38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio, Finland, 22-26...

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Study on the impact of sudden stratospheric warmings in mid- latitude MLT region according to ground-based and satellite temperature measurements Medvedeva I.V.(1), Semenov A.I.(2) Chernigovskaya M.A.(1), Perminov V.I.(2) 1 - Institute of Solar-Terrestrial Physics (ISTP), Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Irkutsk, Russia; 2- Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP), Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia e-mail: [email protected] 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods, Siuntio, Finland, 22-26 August 2011

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Page 1: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

Study on the impact of sudden stratospheric warmings in mid-latitude MLT region

according to ground-based and satellite temperature measurements

Medvedeva I.V.(1), Semenov A.I.(2) Chernigovskaya M.A.(1), Perminov V.I.(2)

1 - Institute of Solar-Terrestrial Physics (ISTP), Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Irkutsk, Russia;

2- Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP), Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

e-mail: [email protected]

38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods,Siuntio, Finland, 22-26 August 2011

Page 2: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

Sudden stratospheric warmings (SSW) are an important manifestation of vertical dynamical coupling in the atmosphere. During strong SSW variations of dynamic and temperature regime in the middle atmosphere are observed, the disturbances during SSW cover large atmospheric range from troposphere to MLT heights.

• Major SSW occur when the westerly winds at 60N and 10hPa (geopotential height) reverse, i.e. become easterly (westwards). A complete disruption of the polar vortex is observed.

• Minor SSW are similar to major warmings however they are less dramatic, the westerly (eastward) winds are slowed, however do not reverse. Therefore a breakdown of the vortex is never observed.

Page 3: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

Background

It is known that mesospheric coolings are associated with SSWs.

The key mechanism by Matsuno (1971) is now widely accepted: the growth of upward propagating planetary waves from the troposphere and their interaction with the mean flow. Liu and Roble (2002) predicted mesospheric cooling extending up to the heights of ~ 110 km with a secondary warming between 110-170 km.

Experimental results confirmed impact of SSW on MLT region were presented in (Myrabo et. al., 1984; Matveeva & Semenov, 1985; Walterscheid, 2000; Sigernes et al., 2003). Using the data of OH rotational temperature the authors revealed the mesopause temperature decrease.

Page 4: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

Background

However, association between SSW events and the MLT region is not fully understood.

• Questions about the timing of stratospheric and mesospheric disturbances remain. Myrabo et al. (1984) report a 1–2 day delay in the mesospheric response to a stratospheric event, and Hernandez (2004) suggests the mesosphere cooling is a 1–2 month leading indicator of stratospheric warmings, while the model result of Liu and Roble (2002) indicates little, if any, phase lag or lead between the temperature anomalies in the mesosphere and stratosphere.

• The height distribution of mesosphere cooling associated with SSW events is also not yet well established. Thus, (Siskind, et.al., 2005) using the SABER temperature data revealed that mesospheric temperatures between 0.7 hPa and 0.01 hPa (~52-80 km) show a significant anticorrelation with stratospheric temperatures during SSW. However, for pressures <0.01 hPa, this anticorrelation breaks down and near 0.002 hPa (~88 km), which is the pressure associated with the peak of the OH* emission, the correlation coefficient is close to zero or slightly positive, in disagreement with calculations of Liu and Roble (2002).

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The study is based on measurements of the atmospheric temperature, obtained in different longitudinal zones – Irkutsk (52N,

103E) and Zvenigorod (56N, 37E)

- Study of variations in atmospheric temperature at the MLT heights during the winter stratospheric warming in 2008-2011 using ground-

based and satellite measurements data; - Comparison of satellite and ground-based measurements data on

temperature at MLT height

Objective

Page 6: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

Analyzed Data :data about the variations of mesopause temperature (~87 km) obtained from ground-based spectrographic measurements of the OH emission (834.0 nm, band (6-2)) at ISTP and IAP observatories near Irkutsk (52N, 103E) and Zvenigorod (56N, 37E) respectively;

satellite data on vertical temperature distribution in the atmosphere from MLS (Microwave Limb Sounder) aboard the spacecraft EOS Aura [http://disc.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/Aura/MLS/index.shtm];

ECMWF stratosphere temperature data presented by Stratospheric Research Group of FU Berlin [http://strat-www.met.fu-berlin.de/cgi-bin/winterdiagnostics];

data on zonal temperature and wind of NCEP GDAS and CPC [http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat-trop];

annual NCEP data for the Northern Hemisphere [http://acdb-ext.gsfc.nasa.gov/Data_services/met/ann_data.html]

Page 7: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

An example of the emission spectrum of the night airglow in the area of 780-1030 nm.

Top side – OH and O2 bands.

Mesopause temperature in Irkutsk and Zvenigorod was determined using the emission spectrum of OH(6-2). Measurements and data handling at both observatories were carried out by the same method. High-aperture diffraction spectrographs with receivers on the CCD matrix allowing to register the emission spectrum of the night sky in the near infrared region with high spectral (~ 2-3 A) and temporal (~ 2 min) resolutions were used. To determine the rotational temperature we used the first 3 lines of P-branch of the vibration-rotation band of OH(6-2). The temperature is determined with 1-2 K accuracy.

Analyzed Data

High-aperture diffraction spectrograph

SP-50

Page 8: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

Maximum temperature of the stratosphere at 10 hPa isobaric level (~31 km) for each analyzed SSW event

Year Tmax Data Tmax site coordinates

2008 283 K 23.01.08 72.5°N, 90°E2009 287 K 23.01.09 77.5°N, 40°W2010 272 K 25.01.10 62.5°N, 122.5°E

2011 273 K 30.01.11 67.5°N, 122.5°E

The mean temperature of winter stratosphere at that altitude in quite conditions is ~ 210 К

Page 9: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

NCEP Data for the Northern Hemisphere.

In January-February 2008, January 2009 and January 2010, there were very intense, long time winter SSW, covering large part of the Northern Hemisphere. The SSW in January 2011 was less intense, however well-pronounced in zonal stratospheric temperature at 50 N. SSWs in 2008-2009 are among the most intense events in the Northern Hemisphere since 1978. Especially remarkable was the SSW in January 2009, when the stratospheric temperature reached record values. This event is described in a number of publications (Labitzke, 2009, Harada et al. 2009) . Ellipse – periods of analyzed SSW events

Page 10: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

2009

Zonal Mean Temperature (60-90N)

2010

2011

SSW 2008 - oscillatory nature during period of about a month

Zonal Mean Temperature (50N)

Page 11: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

Zonal Mean Wind 50-80N

Major SSW 2009 – 10 hPa zonal circulation reversal

2008

2009

2010

Page 12: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

SSW in January 2009

10 hPa (~31 km)3 hPa (~40 km)

Page 13: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

ResultsAltitude-temporal maps of the atmospheric temperature distribution according to the MLS AURA for the region of Irkutsk and Zvenigorod

(search radius is 900 km)

2008

During SSW 2008-2011, stratospheric temperature disturbances of large spatial scales were observed.

Page 14: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

2009

The temperature disturbances in almost the entire middle atmosphere and significant change in the vertical distribution of temperature occured.

Page 15: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

2010

The largest temperature increases were observed in the stratosphere at altitudes of 40-50 km. Registered cooling of the atmosphere at altitudes of MLT was distributed very irregularly in both altitude and time.

Page 16: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

Date

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ght,

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165175185195205215225235245255265275285295305

T, K

14/12/2010; Tmax = 284,7 К (11,7 С); h = 46 km08/01/2011; Tmax = 286,5 K (13,5 С); h = 43 km08/02/2011; Tmax = 278,2 K (5,2 С); h = 46 km

01/12/10 15/12/10 01/01/11 15/01/11 01/02/11 15/02/11

01/12/10 15/12/10 01/01/11 15/01/11 01/02/11 15/02/11

Zvenigorod, Decem ber 2010 - February 2011

Date

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t, km

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T, K

15/12/2010; Tmax = 276,5 К (3,5 С); h = 46 km09/01/2011; Tmax = 267 К (-6 С); h = 46 km30/01/2011; Tmax = 276 K (3 С); h = 43 km26/02/2011; Tmax = 266 K (-7 С); h = 49 km

01/12/10 15/12/10 01/01/11 15/01/11 01/02/11 15/02/11

01/12/10 15/12/10 01/01/11 15/01/11 01/02/11 15/02/11

Irkutsk, December 2010 - February 2011

2011

Page 17: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

a) Т of the stratosphere averaged for 3.16-1 hPa

(39-49 km) levels, Aura data;

b) T of the mesopause region averaged for 0.005-0.002 hPa (84-88 km) levels, Aura data;

с) Т ОН (~87 km), ground-based data

Zvenigorod: During all analyzed SSW events decrease in T of the mesopause region was observed.

Irkutsk: the pattern is not so well-definite. Thus, during the period of the SSW 2008, oscillations of the atmospheric temperature at altitudes both the stratosphere and mesopause with periods of about 6-8 days were observed.

Page 18: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

Quantitative characteristics of the relationship of day-to-day T stratosphere (39-49 km) and T mesopause (84-88 km) values during the SSWs has been obtained

by regression analysis of Aura data

For SSW 2008-2010, Zvenigorod and SSW 2009, Irkutsk, the regression dependency was revealed:

Tmes= -(0.35±0.04)*Тstr + 288±12, r = -0.55,r - correlation coefficient

Irkutsk: Correlation between Tmes and Tstr for the SSW 2008 and 2010 practically absent.

Probably, this is due to the longitudinal manifestation of nature of the interaction of dynamic and thermal processes during analyzed periods of SSW. In any case, this result as the result of the work (Siskind et. al., 2005), does not correspond to model calculations (Liu & Roble, 2002), predicted a steady decrease in MLT temperature of up to heights ~110 km during the SSW.

Page 19: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

Zvenigorod2008

2009

2010

CrossCorrelation Functions of T strat (39-49 km) and T mes (84-88 km).

First variable: Tstrat, Lagged: Tmes.

In the European longitudinal zone Tmes decreased almost simultaneously with increase of the T strat.

Negative correlation of T str and T mes. Maximal correlation coefficients at Lag=0

r=-0.62

r=-0.59

r=-0.57

Page 20: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

In the East Asian longitudinal zone - a reaction temperature of the mesopause on the SSW did not reveal a stable tendency.

Manifestations of the influence of SSW on the mesopause region in the East Asian longitude zone is more complicated than in the European one.

Irkutsk

CrossCorrelation Functions of T strat (39-49 km) and T mes (84-88 km).

First variable: Tstrat, Lagged: Tmes.2008

2009

2010

Page 21: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

Altitude of the mesopause is changing as altitude of the stratopause change also. We compared the ratio of the temperatures of the stratopause and mesopause, at the altitudes where mesopause and stratopause were located each day. The value of this ratio changed from 1.1 up to 1.9 during analyzed SSWs.

This ratio could be probably used as quantitative characteristic of manifestation of the complicated processes of interaction between lower and upper atmosphere during SSW events.

Page 22: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

• The analysis of the atmospheric temperature variations according ground-based and satellite data during the events of winter stratospheric warming in 2008-2011 revealed a disturbances in the middle atmosphere from the stratosphere to the mesopause.

• Regression and correlation dependency of day-to-day temperatures of the stratosphere and mesopause during the SSW were obtained. It was revealed that manifestations of the influence of SSW on the mesopause region in the East Asian longitude zone is more complicated than in the European one. In the European longitudinal zone Tmes decreased almost simultaneously with rise of the T strat. In all these SSW events, when the stratospheric temperature increases by ~ 30 K, the temperature in the mesopause decreased by ~ 20 K. In East Asia - a reaction of the mesopause temperature on the SSW did not reveal a stable tendency. These results may indicate on a possible longitudinal effect of SSW on the thermal and dynamic regimes of the middle and upper atmosphere.

• The ratio of the temperatures at the stratopause and mesopause, at the altitudes where mesopause and stratopause be located each day was analyzed. This ratio could be probably used as quantitative characteristic of manifestation of the complicated processes of interaction between lower and upper atmosphere during SSW events.

• Comparison of satellite and ground-based data on mesopause temperature showed a pretty good agreement

Conclusions

Page 23: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

References

• Harada Y., Goto A., Hasegawa H., Fujikawa N., Naoe H., Hirooka T. (2010) A major stratospheric sudden warming event in January 2009 // J. Atmos. Sci., 2010. doi: 10.1175/2009JAS3320.1.

• Hernandes G. (2004) Winter mesospheric temperatures above South Pole (90S): Mesospheric cooling during 2002 // Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L07109, doi:10.1029/2004GL019414. 2004.

• Labitzke K., Kunze M. (2009) On the remarkable Arctic winter in 2008/2009 //J. Geoph. Res., 2009. V. 114, D00I02. doi:10.1029/2009JD012273.

• Liu H.-L. and Roble R.G. (2002) A study of a self-generated stratospheric sudden warming and its mesospheric–lower thermospheric impacts using the coupled TIME-GCM/CCM3 // J. Geoph. Res., 2002. V. 107, № D23, 4695, doi:10.1029/2001JD001533.

• Matsuno T. (1971) A dynamical model of the Stratospheric Sudden Warming // J. Atmos. Sci., 1971. V. 28. Р. 1479-1494.

• Matveeva O.A., Semenov A.I. (1985) The results of hydroxyl emission observations during MAP/WINE period; stratospheric warmings (February, 1984) // MAP/WINE Newsletters. 1985. 3, 4-5.

• Myrabo H.K., Deehr C.S., and Lybekk B. (1984) Polar cap OH airglow rotational temperature at the mesospause during a stratospheric warming event // Planet. Space Sci., 1984. 32. Р. 853-856.

• Sigernes F., Shumilov N., Deehr C.S., Nielsen K.P., Svenoe T. and Havnes O. Hydroxyl rotational temperature record from the auroral station in Adventdalen, Svalbard (78N, 15E. // J. Geophys. Res. 2003. V. 108. № A9. P. 1342. doi:10.1029/2001JA009023. 2003

• Siskind, D. E., L. Coy, and P. Espy Observations of stratospheric warmings and mesospheric coolings by the TIMED SABER instrument, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L09804, doi:10.1029/2005GL022399. 2005.

• Walterscheid R.L., Sivjee G.G., Roble R.G. (2000) Mesospheric and lower thermospheric manifestations of a stratospheric warming event over Eureka, Canada (80N) // Geophys. Res. Lett., 2000. 27(18), 2897.

Page 24: 38th annual European Meeting on Atmospheric Studies by Optical Methods , Siuntio,  Finland, 22-26 August 2011

Thanks for attention!