3360 UNIT 10.2 2014-I-01
Transcript of 3360 UNIT 10.2 2014-I-01
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ENGR 3360U Winter 2014
Unit 10-2
Risk Identification
Dr. J. Michael Bennett, P. Eng., PMP,
UOIT,
Version 2014-I-01
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"#ane Record
2014-I-01 Initia$ "reation
2014-I-0110-2 %&r' ('M' )ennett* P'En'* PMP ENGR 3360
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10'2 Risk Identification
10'2'1 In+,ts '1 EEP
'2 P.
'3 Project /co+e /tate!ent
'4 Risk Manae!ent P$an ' PMP
10'2'2 oo$s and ec#ni,es
'1 &oc,!entation Reies
'2 Info Gat#erin ec#ni,es
'3 "#eck$ist .na$5sis
'4 .ss,!+tions .na$5sis
' &iara!!in ec#ni,es
10'2'3 ,t+,t
'1 Risk Reister
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Risk Identification
&eter!ines #ic# risks !i#t affect t#e
+roject and doc,!ent t#eir c#aracteristics
W#o does t#isPM* tea! !e!7ers* !anae!ent tea!
/MEs* ot#er e8terna$ e8+erts
",sto!ers* end ,sers/take#o$ders
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Risk Identification
/te+ 19 "a+t,re t#e /tate!ent of Risk
/te+ 29 "a+t,re t#e "onte8t of t#e Risk
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,r Risk Paradi!
"ontro$
Identif5
:;: .na$5
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/te+ 19 "a+t,rin a /tate!ent of Risk
#e Risk state!ent consists of 2 +arts
condition:a sin$e +#rase descri7in t#e ke5
circ,!stances* sit,ations* ca,sin concern*
do,7t* an8iet5* ,ncertaint5
consequence9 a sin$e sentence descri7in t#e
ke5 >nor!a$$5 neatie? o,tco!es of t#e
c,rrent sit,ation
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E8a!+$e
"ondition9 #e GUI !,st 7e coded ,sin A
Windos and e do not #ae e8+ertise in A
Windos
"onse,ence9 #e GUI code !a5 not 7e
co!+$eted in ti!e and !a5 7e inefficient
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/te+ 29 "a+t,rin t#e "onte8t of a Risk
#is inc$,des recordin additiona$
infor!ation reardin t#e circ,!stances*
eents and interre$ations#i+s t#at !a5 affect
t#e risk
intent is to +roide eno,# e8tra
infor!ation t#at ot#er +eo+$e can
,nderstand t#e risk* +artic,$ar$5 after ti!e
#as +assed
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E8a!+$e
. GUI is'' .nd e need one 7eca,se C
#e ra+#ica$ interface is an i!+ortant +art
of t#e s5ste! and e do not #ae an5onetrained in A Windos' We #ae a$$ 7een
st,d5in t#e $an,ae 7,t it is co!+$e8 and
on$5 one +erson on t#e tea! #as an5
ra+#ics e8+erience and t#at is it#
Windos on a P"'
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10'2'2 Risk Identification9 ;
'1 &oc,!entation Reies
'2 Info Gat#erin ec#ni,es
'3 "#eck$ist .na$5sis'4 .ss,!+tions .na$5sis
' &iara!!in ec#ni,es
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'1 &oc,!entation Reies
/tr,ct,red reie of
Project doc,!entation
P$ans* ass,!+tionsPrior +roject !or,e fi$es
"#eck t#e consistenc5 of t#e ario,s +$ans
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'2 Infor!ation Gat#erin ec#ni,es
)rainstor!in
&e$+#i tec#ni,e
InterieinRoot ca,se identification
/W ana$5sis
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'3 "#eck$ist .na$5sis
Dike )oe#!s $ist
r s#o,$d #ae one
"#eck o,t te8t7ooksDook at t#e $oest $ee$ of t#e R)/FW)/
Note t#at e cannot 7,i$d an e8#a,stie $ist*
eer
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'4 .ss,!+tions .na$5sis
Hind t#e ass,!+tions
"#eck o,t t#e a$idit5 of t#e ass,!+tions
Dook at t#e inacc,rac5* inconsistencies*inco!+$eteness of t#ose ass,!+tions
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' &iara!!in ec#ni,es
Is#ikaas
Process f$o c#arts
Inf$,ence diara!s
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Is#ikaa &iara!s
Unit 12costs
50% of all
Effort LQ
Environment People Process
Measurement Machines Materials
frequent changes
icons most trouble
ps fin!ing parts
fe" spares
test #$ !o"n
o spares
inaccurate timing
ne" time s&stem
ine'perience
ne" contractor
har! to mo!if&
har!
co!e!
10
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/a!+$e Process H$oc#art PM) +ae 1B4
1
Project
Re,est
2
"o!+$iance
"o+5
3
&ee$o+
.rtork
4
J
N
N
=Kendor !akes
Proofs
6.rtork o,t
for Proofs
"" for
/+ecs
LE/
LE/
B
:. Reie.++roa$J
@
Proofsacce+ta7$eJ
N
LE/10
Proof 7ack
to Kendor
11
/+ecs /ined
12 rder
Materia$s
U 10 P R M
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10'2'3 Risk Identification9 ,t+,ts
Risk Reistr5
. PMI ter! to indicate t#e re+ositor5 of a$$ of
t#e infor!ation associated it# risks
.ai$a7$e to ot#er +$annin areas and +rocesses
U 10 P R M
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Risk Reistr5
Dist of identified risks
Dist of +otentia$ res+onses
Root ca,ses of t#e risksU+dated risk cateories