3 Collecting Information and Forecasting Demand 1.

18
3 Collecting Information and Forecasting Demand 1

Transcript of 3 Collecting Information and Forecasting Demand 1.

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3Collecting

Information and Forecasting

Demand

1

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What is a Marketing Information System?

A marketing information system consists of people, equipment, and procedures to gather, sort, analyze, evaluate, and distribute needed, timely, and accurate information to marketing decision makers.

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Table 3.2 Information Needs Probes

What decisions do you regularly make? What information do you need to make these

decisions? What information do you regularly get? What studies do you periodically request? What information would you want that you are

not getting now? What are the four most helpful improvements

that could be made in the present marketing information system?

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Internal Records and Marketing Intelligence

Order-to-PaymentCycle

Databases,Warehousing,

Data Mining

MarketingIntelligence

System

Sales Information

System

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What is a Marketing Intelligence System?

A marketing intelligence system is a set of procedures and sources that managers use to obtain everyday information about developments in the marketing environment.

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Needs and Trends

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Fad

Trend

Megatrend

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Major Forces in the environment

Demographic

EconomicPolitical-Legal

Socio-CulturalTechnological

Natural

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Population and Demographics

Population growth Population age mix Ethnic markets Educational groups Household patterns

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Economic Environment

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Consumer Psychology

Income Distribution

Income, Savings, Debt, Credit

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Social-Cultural Environment

Views of themselves Views of others Views of organizations Views of society Views of nature Views of the universe

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Table 3.4 Most Popular American Leisure Activities

Reading TV Watching Spending time with

family Going to movies Fishing

Computer activities Gardening Renting movies Walking Exercise

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Natural Environment

Shortage of raw materials

Increasedenergy costs

Anti-pollutionpressures

Governmentalprotections

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Technological Environment

Pace of change

Opportunitiesfor innovation

Varying R&D budgets

Increased regulationof change

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The Political-Legal Environment

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Business Legislation

Growth of Special Interest Groups

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Forecasting and Demand Measurement

How can we measure market demand? Potential market Available market Target market Penetrated market

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Estimating Current Demand: Total Market Potential

Calculations Multiple potential

number of buyers by average quantity each purchases times price

Chain-ratio method

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Estimating Current Demand: Area Market Potential

Market-Buildup

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Estimating Future Demand

Survey of Buyers’ Intentions Composite of Sales Force Opinions Expert Opinion Past-Sales Analysis Market-Test Method

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