2Q15 Results presentationx - Banco Sabadell · Sabadell cautions that this presentation may contain...
Transcript of 2Q15 Results presentationx - Banco Sabadell · Sabadell cautions that this presentation may contain...
Sabadell2Q15 Results
July 24th, 2015
Disclaimer
Sabadell cautions that this presentation may contain forward looking statements with respect to the business, financial condition, results of operations, strategy, plans and objectives of the Sabadell group. While these forward looking statements represent our judgement and future expectations concerning the development of our business, a certain number of risks, uncertainties and other important factors could cause actual developments and results to differ materially from our expectations. These factors include, but are not limited to, (1) general market. Macroeconomic, governmental, political and regulatory trends, (2) movements in local and international securities markets, currency exchange rate, and interest rates, (3) competitive pressures, (4) technical developments, (5) changes in the financial position or credit worthiness of our customers, obligors and counterparts. These risk factors could adversely affect our business and financial performance published in our past and future filings and reports, including those with the Spanish Securities and Exchange Commission (Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores).
Sabadell is not nor can it be held responsible for the usage. Valuations, opinions, expectations or decisions which might be adopted by third parties following the publication of this information.
Financial information by business areas is presented according to GAAP as well as internal Sabadell group´s criteria as a result of which each division reflects the true nature of its business. These criteria do not follow any particular regulation and can include forecasts and subjective valuations which could represent substantial differences should another methodology be applied.
The distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law. Recipients of this presentation should inform themselves about and observe such restrictions.
These slides do not constitute or form part of any offer for sale or subscription of or solicitation or invitation of any offer to buy or subscribe to any securities nor shall they or any one of them form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever.
1. Quarterly highlights2. 2Q15 Results
3. Commercial activity
4. Liquidity and ALCO portfolio
5. Capital and risk management
6. Update on TSB
2
Quarterly highlights
� On 30 June 2015, the PRA approved the acquisition of TSB. Consolidated accounts include full balance sheet but 0 days of P&L
� NII grows by 2.0% since March driven by lower cost of funding
� Solid performance in net fee income, +1.1% QoQ
� Strong gains from financial operations in a volatile quarter
� Recurrent costs are unchanged from the first quarter
� The closing date of TSB generates a €207M negative goodwill adjustment which impacts positively the group´s P&L
� Extraordinary gains from financial operations and the negative goodwill, grossed up, are neutralised by additional impairments, resulting in increased coverage of NPLs to 52.8% (53.7% including TSB)
� Loan volume is stable in the quarter while the stock of total deposits is up slightly
� NPLs continue to show a favourable evolution with a €0.9bn reduction; NPL ratio now stands at 11% (9% including TSB)
3
1. Quarterly highlights
2. 2Q15 Results 3. Commercial activity
4. Liquidity and ALCO portfolio
5. Capital and risk management
6. Update on TSB
4
June 2015 results
*
* June 2014 numbers are on a comparable basis, as if the payments related to the DGF would not have been accrued.
Note: June 2014 reported net profit was €167.7 million, accruing the payments related to the DGF.
Jun. 14 comp. basis
Jun. 15 % var 15/14
Net Interest Income 1,076.0 1,299.0 20.7%
Equity Method & Dividends 8.5 27.3 ---Commissions 414.5 454.0 9.5%Trading Income & Forex 1,171.2 1,196.6 2.2%Other Operating Results 12.3 -16.9 ---Gross Operating Income 2,682.4 2,960.0 10.3%
Personnel Costs -609.7 -615.5 1.0%Administrative Costs -293.4 -292.5 -0.3%Depreciations -135.9 -143.5 5.5%Pre-provisions Income 1,643.4 1,908.6 16.1%
Total Provisions & Impairments -1,415.3 -1,749.1 23.6%Gains on sale of assets 82.1 -3.3 ---Negative goodwill 0.0 207.4 ---Profit before taxes 310.2 363.5 17.2%Taxes and others -83.4 -11.3 ---
Attributable Net Profit 226.8 352.2 55.3%
5
*
NII grows in the quarter driven by lower cost of funding
Net interest income evolutionEuros in million
YoY growth :
+20.7%
+2.0% QoQ
545.9574.1
609.7643.1 655.9
2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
6
Customer spread is up while loan yield is reduced as a result of lower interest rates
Margin evolutionIn percentage
Customer spread
Net interest margin as a % of ATA
Cost of customer funds
Customer loan yield
Customer loan yield and cost of customer funds In percentage
1.75%1.59%
1.62%
1.86%
2.06%2.22%
2.29% 2.35%2.44% 2.47%
1.14%1.00% 1.05%
1.17%1.29%
1.36% 1.40%1.49%
1.57% 1.59%
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
3.94%3.66%
3.49% 3.51%3.50% 3.47% 3.39% 3.32% 3.32% 3.20%
2.19% 2.07%1.87%
1.65%1.44%
1.25% 1.10% 0.97% 0.88% 0.73%
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
7
The cost of term deposits continues to be reduced …
Contractual rates on term depositsIn percentage
Stock New production/renewals
New term deposits at
0.39%
3.58%3.36%
3.13%2.84%
2.37%2.16%
1.83%1.67%
1.52%1.38%
1.18%
3.39%
2.16%1.85%
1.61%1.51%
1.29%1.05%
0.75%0.60%0.49% 0.39%
Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15
8
… and wholesale funding is being renewed at lower rates
Wholesale funding cost evolutionIn percentage
Recent wholesale maturitiesEuros in million
Recent wholesale issuancesEuros in million
Note: Wholesale issuances and maturities over €750M. GGB refers to senior debt issued with a specific guarantee from the Spanish Government.
3.54% 3.51%3.41%
3.05%
2.71%
2.56%
Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15
9
Instrument Amount Coupon Issue date
Covered bond 1,250 0.875% Nov-14Covered bond 750 0.375% Jun-15
Instrument Amount Coupon Maturity date
Covered bond 1,000 3.375% Oct-14GGB 1,065 3.000% Nov-14Covered bond 1,200 3.625% Feb-15Covered bond 1,500 3.250% Jun-15
Credit spreads are gradually being reduced in a low interest rate environment
Evolution of loan spreads by segmentIn percentage
Our strong SME franchise allows Sabadell to partially cushion the impact of lower spreads
Back book loan spreads by segmentIn basis points
Mortgages to individualsTotal SMEs
Corporates
Back book
Front book
Back book
Front book
Back book
Front book
Back book
Front book
Back book
Front book
Back book
Front book
Mortgages to individuals 87 227 89 214 90 209 92 201 94 187 95 173
SME 270 500 277 492 282 494 285 445 284 459 282 417
Corporates 268 327 266 302 260 297 243 265 229 233 219 233
2Q151Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15
186 187 186 184 181 178
87 89 90 92 94 95
270 277 282 285 284 282
268 266 260243
229 219
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
10
48.6 48.9 53.0 55.6 57.9
55.3 53.6 57.0 54.2 53.9
109.6 112.7121.3 116.0 116.4
2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
Growth in commission income remains high at 9.5% YoY
Commission income evolutionEuros in million
Asset Mgmt1 ServicesLending
1 Includes mutual funds commissions and pension funds and insurance brokerage.
213.5 215.1231.3 225.8
YoY growth :
+9.5%
228.2
11
2,953 4,312
3,4173,322
4,902
7,4031,531
3,806
901
1,387
June 2014 June 2015
Mutual funds are performing well
Volume evolution YoY, by type of fund Euros in million
� An increase of 47.6% in funds under management
� Higher margin products growing at a faster pace
13,705
20,230
Equity fundsBalanced funds
Fixed income funds Guaranteed funds
SICAV, External funds and Others
+47.6%
-2.8%
+46.0%
+51.0%
+148.6%
+53.9%
12
286.0 295.0 295.5 295.5 295.3
24.91.8 0.6 5.6
19.2
2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
Recurrent personnel costs are stable …
Personnel expenses evolutionEuros in million
Recurrent Non-recurrent
310.9 296.8 296.1 301.0314.5
13
Recurrent
personnel expenses :
-0.1% QoQ
139.4 137.9 138.5 145.2 145.0
2.2 0.91.1 1.2
2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
… and so are general expenses
General expenses evolutionEuros in million
Recurrent Non-recurrent
141.6 137.9 139.3146.3 146.2
14
Recurrent
general expenses :
-0.2% QoQ
1. Quarterly highlights
2. 2Q15 Results
3. Commercial activity4. Liquidity and ALCO portfolio
5. Capital and risk management
6. Update on TSB
15
Jun-14 Mar-15Jun-15 ex-TSB Jun-15
% Var. YoY ex-TSB
% Var.QoQ ex-TSB
Total assets 161,557 167,480 164,247 203,959 1.7% -1.9%Of which:
Gross loans to customers ex repos 119,507 118,527 118,416 148,963 -0.9% -0.1%Fixed income portfolio 21,858 27,259 24,323 25,741 11.3% -10.8%
Total liabilities 150,719 155,901 154,769 191,883 2.7% -0 .7%Of which:
On-balance sheet customer funds 95,043 94,899 95,345 130,370 0.3% 0.5%Term funds1
55,625 49,419 45,305 49,584 -18.6% -8.3%Savings accounts 11,471 12,680 13,495 32,688 17.6% 6.4%Current accounts 27,947 32,800 36,545 48,098 30.8% 11.4%
Wholesale funding 24,369 22,340 21,786 22,361 -10.6% -2.5%ECB Funding 5,500 8,900 11,000 11,000 100.0% 23.6%
Off-balance sheet funds 28,597 34,215 35,410 35,410 23.8 % 3.5%Of which:
Mutual funds 13,705 18,674 20,230 20,230 47.6% 8.3%Pension funds 4,375 4,529 4,362 4,362 -0.3% -3.7%Third party insurance products 7,916 7,220 7,083 7,083 -10.5% -1.9%
Loan book is stable and total stock of deposits continue to growCustomer funds and loans evolutionEuros in million
1 Term funds include term deposits and other funds placed in the retail network. Exclude repos. 16
102,471101,807
102,250
103,811104,581
2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15ex-TSB
Positive growth in total performing loans
Performing loans evolution Euros in million
+0.7%QoQOrg
2Q15incl. TSB
134,875
17
28.9
27.9
28.328.6
29.4
29.930.1
Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15
SME loan book growth shows positive momentum albeit slow
SME and company loans evolution, ex-TSBEuros in billion
SME and company loan demand in positive territory
Note: SME and company loans include loans to SMEs, corporates and public sector and exclude NPLs. 18
Improving market shares in companies
Note: 2015 data as of June 2015 or last month available.
LoansExport docum.
creditPoS turnover
10.56% 29.79% 14.54%
10.74% 31.48% 15.88%Companies
Dec.14
2015
Market shares by products
19
0200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000
Jan Apr Jul Oct
New mortgage production showing a steady growth
Cumulative monthly residential mortgage production, ex-TSBEuros in million
New residential mortgage production 50% above 2014 level2015
€ 1,110M
+50% YoY
2014
€ 741M
20
Improving market shares in individuals
Investment funds
Credit card turnover
Life Insurance
Household deposits
5.11% 7.64% 4.17% 5.31%
5.72% 7.89% 4.90% 5.49%Individuals
Dec.14
2015
Market shares by products
21
1
Note: 2015 data as of June 2015 or last month available.1 According to Inverco. 2 Insurance calculated per number of contracts.
2
With the highest standards in quality of service
Source: STIGA, EQUOS (Objective Quality Analysis in Banking Networks, 2Q 2015).
Sabadell stays well above the rest of the sector
Level of service quality Evolution of Sabadell quality index vs sector
22
7.54
7.217.32
7.20 7.24
6.90 6.89
7.167.39
6.956.77
6.61
6.11 6.06 6.01 6.036.29
6.55
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2Q15Sabadell Sector
27,947 32,007 31,099 32,800 36,54548,098
11,471 11,663 12,176 12,680 13,495
32,68855,625 53,705 51,186 49,419 45,305
49,58413,705 14,665 15,706 18,674 20,230
20,230
2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15ex-TSB
2Q15incl.TSB
Improving overall position in on-balance sheet customer fundsEvolution of customer funds and mutual funds Euros in million
Current accounts On-balance sheet term funds
Mutual funds
Note: On-balance sheet term funds include term deposits and other funds placed in the retail network (preference shares, mandatory convertible bonds, senior debt, commercial paper and other). Exclude repos.
Stock of current accounts (ex-TSB):
+11.4% QoQ+30.8% YoY
23
Sabadell’s flagship product “Cuenta Expansión”is driving growth in current accounts
Savings accounts
1. Quarterly highlights
2. 2Q15 Results
3. Commercial activity
4. Liquidity and ALCO portfolio 5. Capital and risk management
6. Update on TSB
24
Deposits71.9%
Retail issues 1.7%
Repos4.1%
ICO financing 3.4%
Wholesale funding12.7%
ECB6.2%
Covered bonds 57.3%
Senior debt 6.0%
Prefs + Subordinated
6.6%
ECP11.6%
Securitisation 13.8%
GGB4.7%
Maintaining a balanced funding structure
Funding structure Wholesale funding breakdown
25Note: Including TSB
9.5 8.5
15.313.6
2.52.3
Mar-15 Jun-15
Actively managing ALCO portfolio in a volatile market and a steepening yield curve
Fixed income portfolio evolution (ex-TSB)Euros in billion
Spanish public debt Other
Life insurance portfolio
ALCO portfolio (ex-TSB)Euros in billion and in percentage
Yield 2.5%
Evolution of ALCO portfolio in run-off scenario (ex-TSB)Euros in billion, yield in %
ALCO portfolio
ALCO portfolio
26
2015e 2016e 2017e 2018eAmount (€bn ) 21.1 19.3 18.3 17.8Yield (%) 2.4% 2.3% 2.4% 2.5%
Mar-15 Jun-15
ALCO portfolio 24.8 22.0
% of total assets (ex-TSB) 14.8% 13.4%
Duration (in years) 5.2 3.6
ECB liquidity position 8.9 11.0
We actively gauge the exposure range
Fixed income portfolio maintains its geographical diversification
ALCO portfolio composition evolution (ex-TSB)Euros in billion
27
Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15
Spanish Government 12.1 8.6 9.5 8.5Italian Government 3.8 4.7 6.0 5.4US Government - 1.5 2.8 2.6Other Government 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.5
of which:
Portuguese Government 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8Mexican Government 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6Netherlands Government 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Agencies 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.5Covered Bonds 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.7Corporates & Fin 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9
TOTAL 21.7 21.0 24.8 22.0
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
Managing liquidity efficiently
Wholesale funding maturitiesEuros in million
ECB liquidity positionEuros in million
Maturity by product type Euros in million
2015 2018 2019 2020 202120172016 >20222022
8,800
5,5007,200
11,000
Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15
28
476 2.44%
4,377 2.62%
3,1473.55% 1,679
3.44% 924 3.42%
1,547 3.09%
2,6092.51%
1,144 3.27%
711 2.28%
4Q15 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 >2022 Outst. AmountCovered Bonds (CH) 476 2,876 2,022 1,561 924 1,122 2,018 1,119 689 12,807GGB 0 0 1,059 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,059Senior Debt 0 1,183 0 100 0 0 0 25 0 1,308Preferred Shares and Subordinated Debt 0 318 66 0 0 425 581 0 15 1,405Other mid- and long-term financial instruments 0 0 0 18 0 0 10 0 7 35Total 476 4,377 3,147 1,679 924 1,547 2,609 1,144 711 16,614
Note: Including TSB
1. Quarterly highlights
2. 2Q15 Results
3. Commercial activity
4. Liquidity and ALCO portfolio
5. Capital and risk management6. Update on TSB
29
11.8% 11.4% 11.5%
-1.52%
-0.21%-0.45%
1.80%
0.06%
March 15 RWATSB
RWASAB
Intangibles Capitalincrease
Profit /others
June 15
11.4%11.8% 11.7% 11.8% 11.5%
1.1%1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5%
June 14 Sep. 14 Dec. 14 March 15 June 15
TSB transaction is capital neutralas announced
Common Equity Tier 1 and Tier II evolution
30
CET1 fully loaded at 11.2%
CET1 quarterly change
CET 1
Tier II
Mar 15 June 15
RWA 74,945 87,810
CET 1 8,847 10,082
TIER I 8,847 10,082
TIER II 777 1,363
CET 1 11.8% 11.5%
TIER I 11.8% 11.5%
TIER II 1.0% 1.5%
Ratio BIS 12.8% 13.0%
NPL ratio has been reduced significantly from peak levels …
Evolution of NPL ratio and coverage of NPLsIn percentage
Note: NPL ratio is calculated including contingent risk and 20% of the APS.
TSB takes the group back to single digit NPL ratio
Coverage of NPLs ex-TSB: 52.8%
13.85% 13.44% 12.74% 11.68% 10.98%9.01%
53.8% 51.9%49.4% 51.4% 52.8% 53.7%
2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15ex-TSB
2Q15
31
NPL ratio
NPL coverage
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
Real Estate development and/or construction purposes 52.56% 52.11% 51.47% 52.17% 49.21% 47.21%
Construction purposes non-related to real estate dev. 8.38% 7.41% 7.35% 8.08% 9.03% 8.74%
Large corporates 6.19% 6.13% 6.30% 6.46% 6.55% 6.14%
SME and small retailers and self-employed 13.08% 13.08% 13.11% 12.60% 12.20% 11.96%
Individuals with 1st mortgage guarantee assets 9.85% 9.75% 9.23% 9.25% 9.12% 8.76%
NPL ratio 13.94% 13.85% 13.44% 12.74% 11.68% 10.98%
… with improvement across all segments
Evolution of NPL ratios by segment ex-TSBIn percentage
Note: NPL ratio is calculated including contingent risk and 20% of the APS. 32
25,878 25,86025,347
24,75823,922
23,189
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
8,151 8,474 8,569 8,848 9,059 9,227
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
17,727 17,386 16,777 15,910 14,863 13,962
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
The stock of NPLs continues the downward trend …
NPL ex-TSB evolution ex-TSB Data include 20% of APS. Euros in million €0.9bn further reduction of
NPLs during 2Q15
The decline in total problematic assets continues
On-balance sheet RE assets evolution ex-TSBData include 20% of APS. Euros in million
Total problematic assets ex-TSBData include 20% of APS. Euros in million
Note: NPLs include contingent risk. 33
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
Ordinary net entries 25 -244 -385 -569 -802 -731Change in RE assets 77 323 96 279 211 167Net entries + Change in RE assets 102 79 -289 -290 -591 - 563
Write-offs 265 97 224 298 245 170
Re assets and NPL quarterly change -163 -18 -513 -588 -8 36 -733
… with improved dynamics in the last quarters
Evolution of NPLs and RE assets, ex-TSB Data include 20% of APS. Euros in million
Total problematic assets are reduced by €733M
34
Maintaining good real estate sales results
Number of foreclosed assets sold and discount versus gross value
35
Sabadell continues to liquidate RE assets at a high pace, reducing the discount to gross value
6,278
4,968 5,190
1H13 1H14 1H15
60.4% 52.4% 46.4% Discount versus gross value
Number of units sold
1. Quarterly highlights
2. 2Q15 Results
3. Commercial activity
4. Liquidity and ALCO portfolio
5. Capital and risk management
6. Update on TSB
36
Update on the TSB takeover
� On 30 June 2015 Sabadell received approval from the PRA regarding the change of control of TSB and consequently the offer became wholly unconditional in all respects. This date also reflects the date of consolidation of TSB accounts
� On 8 July 2015 the acceptance level exceeded 90% and as a result Sabadell initiated the “squeeze out” process
� Sabadell expects to delist TSB on 28 July
� The TSB takeover results in €207M of negative goodwill adjustment with a positive impact in the group P&L
37
Update on the TSB 1H business & financials
� 1.3% growth QoQ in lending driven by strong entry in the mortgage intermediary market and launch of buy-to-let
� GBP1,900M of mortgage applications in 1H 2015, on track to meet full year target of GBP4,000M
� Improved market share in PCAs with total deposits up by 0.8% in the second quarter
� Share of current account gross flow at 6.7%, above current market share
� Costs negatively affected by extraordinary items related to the costs of Sabadell´s transaction
38Note: Summary of TSB results, released on 23 July. Full release available on Sabadell website.
Sabadell near term focus for TSB
� TSB is delivering on its business plan, with a commitment to growing further still as part of the Sabadell group
� The IT platform will be ready at the end of 2016 with integration expected to be completed in 4Q 2017
� The new IT platform will have SME capacity built into it, preparing TSB for a new growth opportunity within the UK SME segment
� Pre-tax synergy target of c.GBP160M per year from IT optimisation in 2018 is maintained
� GBP450M contribution by Lloyds to TSB more than offsets implementation costs of IT migration
� Focus on productivity enhancement
39
Steps since completion
� New corporate governance structure in place
� Project Management Office has been deployed in London
� IT protocol has been set up
� Joint workstreams have been kicked-off
� 100-day plan in motion
40
March 20
“100-day plan”
Today
PRA approvalOffer declared unconditional in all respects
April 17
May 8 June 30
July 8
Offer unconditional as to acceptances
Recommended cash offer announcement
OfferDocument release
May 18Satisfaction of EU Merger Regulation Condition
90% threshold achieved
December 5
For any additional information, please contact:
+34 93 728 12 00
Investor Relations