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    An Organization Behavior Approach to Risk ManagementAuthor(s): Darwin B. Close

    Source:The Journal of Risk and Insurance,

    Vol. 41, No. 3 (Sep., 1974), pp. 435-450Published by: American Risk and Insurance AssociationStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/252046 .

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    An

    Organization Behavior

    Approach To

    Risk

    Management

    DARwiN

    B.

    CLOSE

    ABSTRACT

    This

    researchseeks

    to

    discover further

    theoretical base

    for the area of

    Risk Managementby incorporatingaspects of Organization Behavior

    Theory into

    the processes of risk

    identificationand risk

    measurement.

    This is done

    not only

    to help the

    individual

    riskmanager,

    but to a

    larger

    degree to

    provide

    a

    base for the

    teaching

    of

    Risk

    Management

    in the

    college classroom.

    A

    systems

    model

    by

    William

    G.

    Scott

    of a

    complex

    organization

    s

    adapted to

    the

    study of

    risk. The basic

    system and

    its

    subparts

    are

    described

    and the

    goals of the

    system

    are

    related to the

    general goals of the

    Risk Manager.

    Each

    subpart

    is

    then

    examined for

    its contribution

    to the

    processes of risk

    identification

    and

    measurement.

    The

    interrelationsbetween

    the subparts

    and the

    dynamic

    nature of

    these interrelationsare noted.

    Historically,

    the

    subject

    of

    risk

    management

    has

    been

    viewed as

    a

    three-

    step process

    consisting

    of

    recognition

    of

    risk, measurement

    of

    risk

    and

    handling

    of

    risk.

    One

    description

    of

    the current

    process

    of risk

    management

    is

    illustrated on the next

    page.'

    Once

    these three

    steps of

    risk

    management were

    stated,

    the majority

    of

    articles

    and

    texts on the

    subject

    then

    set about the

    task of

    finding

    the best

    methods

    of

    carrying

    them out.

    In

    many

    works in

    the

    area of risk

    manage-

    ment, the first two steps are given only brief, cursory

    treatment.2

    Risks

    Darwin B.

    Close,

    Ph.D.,

    CPCU

    is

    Associate

    Professor of

    Insurance and

    Finance in

    The Ohio State

    University.

    He

    was

    Executive Director of

    the Griffith

    Foundation

    for

    Insurance

    Education,

    1965-69.

    This

    paper

    was submitted

    in

    February,

    1973.

    1

    Charles T.

    Bidek,

    unpublished

    research,

    The

    Ohio

    State

    University,

    January,

    1972,

    taken

    from an

    extensive

    survey

    of

    current

    literature

    in

    risk

    management.

    2

    For example

    in Risk

    Management

    and

    Insurance

    by

    Williams

    and

    Heins, one

    twenty

    page

    chapter

    is

    devoted

    to risk

    recognition

    and

    measurement.

    Robert

    Mehr and

    Bob

    Hedges devote three

    chapters

    in Risk

    Management

    and

    the

    Business

    Enterprise

    to

    these

    subjects but cover many potential losses, leasehold interest, improvement and better-

    ments,

    extra

    expenses, etc.

    almost

    completely

    from

    an

    insurance

    point of view.

    Donald

    L.

    MacDonald, Corporate

    Risk

    Control,

    Ronald

    Press

    Company, 1966,

    has

    nothing

    clearly

    identifiable

    as

    risk

    recognition

    and

    measurement.

    One

    minor section

    titled The

    Intelligence System

    by

    implication

    is

    addressed to

    these areas.

    The

    Growing Job

    of

    Risk

    Management,

    American

    Management

    Association, Inc.,

    Times

    Square,

    New

    York,

    1962,

    provides

    one

    case

    entitled

    Alertness

    to

    Changing

    Needs and

    one

    article

    by

    A.

    J.

    Ingley

    on

    the

    Problemsof

    Risk

    Analysis.

    William

    M. Howard's

    casebook,

    Cases

    on Risk

    Management,

    McGraw-Hill,

    New

    York, 1967,

    does not contain

    a

    single

    case on

    either

    subject.

    (

    435

    )

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    436

    The

    Journal

    of Risk

    and

    Insurance

    THE

    PRESENT

    STATUS

    OF

    RISK MANAGEMENT

    START

    The search for

    manageable risk

    identified?

    *

    Yes

    No

    Can

    the

    risk

    be

    measured?

    Yes

    Measuree Handle

    via least

    cost

    criterion.

    Can the risk ..)Yes aS top

    ]

    t

    |

    ab

    a

    t~g'

    i

    |

    *No

    Can

    the risk be

    Yes

    id

    Stop

    *

    No

    Can the risk

    be

    es

    j

    n

    Sto

    economically

    0

    ~~~~~~~~~retained?-

    nuac

    Can the risk be

    Yes

    Transfer

    ___

    transferred?

    LT

    No O

    ther

    0-4

    Can combination Yes it feasible Yes

    make

    handling

    desirable?

    W

    ble ombie

    _

    No

    ei No

    l~vauate

    ririoN

    No

    as reevaluation

    provided

    a

    metho

    of handling

    the

    risk?

    Yes

    Source:

    Charles

    T.

    Bidek

    Unpublished

    Research

    The Ohio

    State

    University

    January

    1972

    are

    first

    classified,

    i.e.,

    fundamental

    vs.

    particular, pure vs.

    speculative,

    etc.,

    and

    typically

    some

    schemes

    of

    risk

    recognition

    are described.

    The

    insurance

    survey,

    insurance

    policy

    check

    list and

    risk-enumeration

    ap-

    proaches

    are those most

    often described.

    Risk

    measurement

    is often

    described

    in

    terms

    of probability

    distributions

    and

    measures

    of

    variation, perhaps

    with some reference

    to

    utility

    functions

    or indifference analysis accompanying the discussion.

    H.

    Wayne Synder, ed.,

    Risk

    Management,

    in the

    Huebner

    Foundation

    series, Richard

    D.

    Irwin, Inc.,

    Homewood, Illinois,

    1964,

    has

    one

    page on

    analysis and

    one chapter

    on evaluation.

    Tom C. Allen

    and Richard M.

    Duval,

    A Theoretical

    and

    Practical

    Approach to Risk

    Management,

    American

    Society

    of

    Risk

    Management,

    New

    York, 1971, devotes less

    than

    one

    page

    to both

    topics.

    Author

    Matthew

    Lenz, Jr.,

    Risk

    Management Manual,

    Insurors Press,

    Santa

    Monica,

    California, 1972,

    devotes

    one

    part

    of

    one small

    section,

    19

    pages, to

    identification and

    another 14

    pages

    to risk

    analysis

    out

    of almost 400

    pages.

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    An OrganizationBehavior Approach to Risk Management 437

    In any event, the brief treatment accorded risk recognition and measure-

    ment has been due to the rudimentary state of the art. There is, in fact,

    little

    in

    the way of a theoretical base for risk management as a whole and

    discussion, specifically of the topics of risk recognition and measurement,

    has been entirely descriptive in the how to do it, reporting sense of the

    word. Teachers in the area have really had little to work with aside from

    a

    simple this

    is

    how

    it

    is done

    approach.

    One

    university recently dropped

    its

    course offerings

    in

    risk management

    because of

    what

    was viewed as a lack of

    anything

    concrete

    to

    teach.3

    This

    is

    why most

    texts

    pass quickly into the third step; that of handling

    the

    risk. Here the

    authors are getting closer to firmer, more familiar ground

    because

    it is

    only

    a

    short

    step

    to

    insurance.

    But

    even

    in

    this area, other

    methods of handling risk: hedging, buy vs. lease, other contractual transfers

    of

    risk, etc.,

    are

    given

    short

    shrift.

    Once

    again

    there

    appears to be

    a

    dis-

    tinct

    lack of much to

    say

    about

    these

    subjects,

    little

    in

    the

    way

    of

    theory

    to

    be used

    either

    in

    the

    teaching

    of risk

    management

    or

    in

    its

    practice.

    One

    text even defines the

    term

    risk

    management

    in

    a

    way that accom-

    modates this

    state of the

    art.

    Mehr and

    Hedges

    define

    the

    term as

    the

    management

    of

    those risks for

    which the

    organization, principles, and

    tech-

    niques appropriate

    to

    insurance

    management

    are

    useful. 4

    As a result,

    the

    risk

    management

    works

    cited

    are

    about ten

    percent risk

    identification

    and

    measurement

    and

    about 90

    percent

    here

    is how

    the

    insurance mechanism

    works

    as

    the most

    effective

    way

    of

    handling risk.

    Thus risk

    management

    becomes

    insurance

    oriented

    and

    emphasizes the

    handling

    of risk.

    One

    recent incident demonstrated

    this

    emphasis.

    The

    August,

    1971

    Annual Meeting

    of

    ARIA in

    Montreal

    presented

    a

    session

    termed

    What's

    New

    in

    Risk

    Management.

    This session

    was

    interesting

    and

    lively,

    but

    it should

    have

    had

    a

    different

    title,

    more

    appropriately,

    What

    Are

    the

    Current Problems in Insurance Coverages for Larger Business Concerns?

    The

    topics discussed, product

    recall

    coverage

    for

    example,

    dealt

    almost

    exclusively

    with

    the

    problem

    of

    securing appropriate

    insurance

    coverage

    for

    unusual

    exposures.

    No new

    aspects

    in

    the areas

    of

    identification or

    measurement

    were discusssed.

    The

    major problem

    of risk

    management, then, appears

    to be

    related

    to

    the lack

    of

    any underlying theory

    of risk

    management

    and so the

    historical

    emphasis

    on

    insurance

    seems to be

    a

    nervous

    grasping

    for

    something

    con-

    crete

    and

    explainable.

    The result

    has been

    many

    courses

    in

    principles

    of

    insurance masquerading as courses in risk management, and many articles

    about

    insurance

    topics

    which the authors

    have cloaked with a

    pseudo

    risk

    management

    flair.

    Perhaps

    the

    reason

    for this situation is the fact that

    the

    emphasis

    has

    been

    upon

    risk rather

    than

    upon management.

    Risks to

    the

    organization

    3

    University

    of

    Pennsylvania

    discussion

    with

    Dr.

    Dan M.

    McGill, Spring, 1972.

    4Robert

    I.

    Mehr and

    Robert

    A.

    Hedges,

    Risk

    Management

    in

    the

    Business Enter-

    prise (Richard

    D.

    Irwin, Inc.,

    Homewood, Illinois, 1963), p.

    viii.

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    438

    The Journal of Risk and

    Insurance

    claimed

    the emphasis. The organization

    itself

    under such an emphasis

    has

    been

    considered

    as an entity,

    a bathysphere in an ocean

    of pressures

    (risks) acting upon

    it. The viewpoint

    is external, seeing

    the effects

    of

    something untoward acting upon the organization. Viewing the organiza-

    tion as

    an entity creates

    distortion because

    any complex-goal oriented

    organization

    is a

    system with

    subparts and

    subsystems which are usually

    in a sort

    of dynamic juxtaposition,

    constantly

    being rearranged, in response

    to external and

    internal forces. This view sees

    a forest

    without realizing

    that it is made up

    of individual,

    differing trees. A much

    closer look

    at

    organizations

    and

    organization theory

    seems

    warranted.

    Perhaps by looking

    for theory

    in

    organization,

    one can find help

    for theory

    in risk manage-

    ment.

    Organizations are dynamic systems and all have goals. Perhaps the major

    goal of any organization

    can

    be considered

    as

    survival

    and

    growth,

    the

    ability

    to exist

    and

    prosper.

    Such a

    goal

    requires

    that

    risks to

    it

    be

    handled.

    Perhaps

    then some

    answers

    to

    risk management

    problems can

    be

    approached by way

    of

    organization

    theory.

    Organizations

    As

    Systems

    Scott

    describes

    the

    distinctive

    qualities

    of

    modern organization

    theory

    as being its conceptual-analytical base, its reliance upon empirical research

    and

    its

    synthesizing, integrating

    nature. He

    accepts

    the

    premise

    that

    the

    only

    meaningful way

    to

    study

    organization

    is

    as a

    system.

    Understanding

    human

    organization

    requires

    a

    creative synthesis of massive

    amounts

    of

    empirical data,

    a

    high

    order

    of

    deductive reasoning, and

    an

    intuitive

    appreciation

    of

    individual

    and social

    values.

    Accomplishing

    all

    these

    objectives

    and

    including

    them

    in

    the

    framework of the

    concept of

    the

    system appears

    to

    be the

    goal

    of

    modem

    organizationtheory.5

    Scott

    presents

    a

    model

    which

    appears adaptable as

    a framework

    for

    risk analysis.

    This

    model, depicted

    below,

    will be

    explained and

    the

    subsequent

    discussion will

    indicate

    how it

    can be

    used in

    risk management.

    This

    model is

    useful

    to insurance scholars

    because

    it

    does

    provide

    a

    frame-

    work

    within which

    to consider

    risk identification and measurement. Per-

    haps

    the best

    indication of such

    value is

    the

    subsequent

    discussion here of

    just

    how

    a

    practicing

    risk

    manager

    may

    be

    able to

    use

    it.

    This

    discussion

    then

    presents

    Scott's

    model

    adapted

    to use

    as a framework for

    the

    study

    of risk

    management

    as

    well

    as

    for the risk

    management

    practitioner.

    Such

    a use of this model is perhaps an illustration of the synthesizing-integrating

    nature

    of

    organization

    theory.

    A Framework

    of

    System Analysis

    The

    large

    box

    represents

    the

    organization

    and

    the circles

    represent

    parts

    of the

    organization,

    linked

    together

    by

    solid

    lines;

    within each circle

    5William

    C. Scott, Organization

    Theory,

    A Behavioral

    Analysis

    for

    Management

    (Richard

    D.

    Irwin, Inc.,

    Homewood,

    Illinois,

    1967), p.

    123.

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    An OrganizationBehavior Approach

    to Risk

    Management

    439

    THE SYSTEM

    THE GOAL

    OF

    THE SYSTEM

    0_

    STABILITY

    INPUT-

    IND

    8.1f f

    GROWTH

    INTERACTION

    (part)

    are

    intrapart

    links,

    jobs

    to

    jobs, individuals

    to

    individuals,

    for

    example.

    The

    various parts

    of the

    system are:

    A- Individuals-the

    people

    within

    every

    organization,

    B-The

    Formal

    Organization-the

    structure

    tself,

    C-The

    Physical

    Environmentof the Work

    Systems-the

    task environ-

    ment

    where people, processes

    and

    equipment

    interface,

    D

    -The

    Informal

    Organizations-the peculiar qualificationsand alter-

    ations of

    the

    formal

    organization

    so

    as

    to

    make it livable and

    bearable,

    E

    -

    The

    Structure

    of Status and

    Role-ExpectancySystems-literally the

    effects of individuals on the formal organization and how values

    are built into

    the

    system.

    Scott

    then described

    the

    goal

    of an

    organization

    as

    being any one,

    or

    combination

    of:

    (1)

    Growth, (2) Stability,

    and

    (3)

    Interaction.

    These

    goals may

    be interrelated

    or

    they may

    be

    completely independent.

    Or

    they may

    be

    sequential,

    for

    example

    a

    short

    term

    goal may be

    growth,

    then

    would

    come

    stability

    as

    a

    desired

    state. One

    of

    these

    goals, interaction,

    refers

    to

    the

    end

    of

    providing

    a mechanism

    for

    association

    of

    members

    from which they gain satisfaction. Scott interpretsthis as meaning that

    any system

    which is

    dependent upon

    the

    proper functioning

    of

    interrelated

    parts

    must seek

    the interaction

    goal.6

    This

    suggests

    that all

    organizations

    have

    to

    be

    responsive

    to

    the

    needs

    of their

    members.

    The

    first two

    goals

    are

    perhaps

    of more direct

    interest

    to

    a

    risk

    manager.

    First,

    he

    has a

    substantial

    interest in

    the

    stability

    of

    his

    organization

    and

    stability

    of

    his

    organization

    can

    be

    directly

    affected

    by

    his

    treatment

    of

    B Ibid.,

    p.

    128.

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    440

    The

    Journal of Risk and Insurance

    risk. Reduction of risk and

    uncertainty means reduction in the frequency

    and severity of deviations

    from the stated goals of the enterprise. Any

    increase in knowledge, any

    increase in the level of certainty, leads to

    increased stability.

    The

    goal of stability

    implies a closing of the

    system,

    an attempt to

    reduce the ability of a

    firm's external environment to affect it adversely.

    All systems, all people, try to become closed in order to reduce the ability

    of

    external factors to affect

    them. It follows that systems which are static

    are more successful in

    closing themselves. Where all things are known and

    nothing changes, a system

    can adapt, and unchanging, remain adapted to

    its environment. The search

    then is for certainty and knowledge as a way

    of reaching such a state.

    The risk manager's function is precisely in this

    direction, a search for certainty by way of a reduction in uncertainty.

    The

    second goal, that of

    growth,

    is

    the property of open systems. Growth

    means change, characterized

    by

    Scott

    as movement along

    two

    vectors-

    those

    of

    development and structural evolution.

    The term

    development

    is used

    here

    to describe

    the

    stages that

    an

    organization goes through

    as it

    grows

    to

    maturity,

    and

    the

    term structural

    evolution

    is used

    to

    describe

    changes

    in

    an

    organization stemming

    from

    its

    adaptation

    to new

    environmental conditions.

    But

    whether

    it is

    development

    or structural

    evolution,

    the risk

    manager

    knows that

    growth

    means

    dynamism,

    the

    introduction of

    change

    and

    uncertainty,

    and

    new

    risks

    to

    the

    organization.

    Growth often means

    destabilizing influences

    so

    to

    a

    cer-

    tain extent

    the

    relationship

    between

    growth

    and

    stability

    is

    antithetical.

    Certainly

    there

    appears

    to

    be a

    trade-off

    between

    growth

    and

    stability

    in

    many

    situations. The risk

    manager, then,

    must

    recognize

    that the

    goal

    of

    growth complicates

    his

    function.

    The

    Risk

    Manager

    In

    The System

    But how can a risk managerutilize this systems approach?Where does

    he

    fit? How

    can he

    utilize

    the

    system

    to

    improve

    his own

    function?

    He

    simply puts

    himself into the model which now

    would

    appear

    as

    follows:

    la

    Usk

    Mauager's

    Fir

    Zput)

    >| Status and

    T o

    Role

    Expectancy

    ThRio

    Oraniztio

    INGROWNR

    ,System

    -

    ZManager

    _

    g

    \eWr

    \Tme Ifo

    ronment

    STABEITV

    This

    is, after, the realistic position

    of

    a risk manager. He is in the

    middle, encompassed by

    his

    organization,

    acted

    upon by individuals, units

    and

    sub-units and in turn

    acting

    and

    reacting

    himself in

    response.

    7bidb

    ,

    p.

    128.

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    An OrganizationBehavior Approach

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    441

    Within

    the

    system

    he

    would view

    his

    job

    in

    relation to the various

    sub-

    parts. He would ask himself two questions:

    1.

    How

    can my knowledge

    of

    this

    system and the individual

    sub-sets

    help me perform my job more effectively?

    2. How will the incidences of change

    in any one sub-part

    affect the

    interrelations

    between the sub-parts?

    In this

    paper

    the object

    will be to take the first steps toward utilizing

    this

    systems approach

    for

    risk

    management.

    The intention is not

    to

    explore

    exhaustively

    the

    aspects

    described

    above

    but rather

    to

    illustrate how

    each

    of

    the

    steps subsequently

    described can

    be used in risk

    management.

    But how

    can

    he use the system?

    The risk manager should begin by

    attempting to identify and classify risks in relation to the sub-parts most

    directly

    affected.

    This

    suggests

    that

    an internal classification of risks

    might

    be more

    helpful

    than some more familiar

    dichotomy

    such as fundamental

    vs.

    particular, pure

    vs.

    speculative, etc.

    It would

    seem logical

    to state that

    if

    those

    risks affecting

    each

    part

    are

    identified, then the

    risk manager has

    gone

    a

    long

    way toward identifying

    the risks

    acting

    upon

    the

    system.

    Simply put,

    the risk

    manager

    tries

    to

    identify

    those risks which affect each

    sub-part.

    The sum of the risks

    affecting each sub-part

    will become

    the

    first total of risks

    impinging upon

    the

    total

    organization.

    A-The

    Individuals

    Looking at

    the first sub-part,

    the

    individuals in the

    organization, the

    risk

    manager

    might

    first

    try

    to

    identify

    those

    dangers

    to

    the

    organization

    which

    are

    likely

    to

    be felt

    by way

    of

    their

    effects on

    individuals. Perhaps

    the

    organization

    via the

    risk

    manager

    should

    ask

    itself

    to

    what extent

    and

    in what manner

    is each

    individual

    important

    to

    it.

    This

    approach suggests

    some enumeration

    of the

    key

    men in the orga-

    nization. March and Simon discuss this concept of key men from the

    viewpoint

    of the

    organization by

    relating

    inducements

    offered

    to employees

    to the

    contributions

    they

    make.8

    They

    believe

    that

    employee

    motivation

    and job

    satisfaction

    will

    be

    high

    when the

    employees perceive

    the induce-

    ments

    they

    receive

    to be

    equal

    to or

    greater

    than

    the

    contribution

    they

    make

    to

    the

    organization.

    The

    organization

    would

    define

    a

    key man,

    how-

    ever,

    as one

    who is

    making

    a

    contribution

    which

    substantially

    exceeds

    the

    inducements

    which

    are

    required

    in order to

    retain

    his

    services. It

    is the

    employee

    with

    a

    unique

    worth

    or

    an

    employee

    who

    consistently

    makes

    a contribution far in excess of the inducement level necessary to retain

    his services

    who is

    the

    key employee.

    March

    and

    Simon

    would

    say

    that when inducement

    is

    less than contri-

    bution

    (I

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    442

    The Journal

    of Risk and

    Insurance

    viable alternative.

    Thus, when

    there is a difference between

    the firm's

    idea

    and the

    employee's own

    conception of his worth or if the

    employee

    sees

    no

    alternative

    employment available, there

    can be a contribution

    considered greater than the inducement necessary to keep him. The loss

    of

    such

    employees

    would

    damage,

    perhaps even destroy, the organization

    and

    is

    therefore a

    risk, and

    is normally transferred to a professional

    risk

    bearer

    via the

    product

    of life insurance.

    Even the temporary loss of

    key people, because

    of illness or accident,

    can

    be

    damaging.

    This

    suggests

    additional approaches are necessary

    since

    such

    remedies

    as

    key

    man

    life insurance would not adequately handle the

    risk.

    But the real reason

    for concern about

    the

    key man lies perhaps in the

    development of that management theory concerning people within orga-

    nizations

    and the functions which

    they perform.

    Henri Fayol9 described

    the function

    which

    a

    manager

    performs

    as

    being: (1)

    Planning, (2) Or-

    ganizing, (3)

    Commanding,

    (4) Coordinating,

    and

    (5)

    Controlling.

    Davis10

    took a similar

    view

    and now authors such as Koontz1 describe

    the

    important

    functions

    in

    very nearly

    the same

    way. These writers

    represent

    the

    Classical School of

    management thought

    and

    although

    modern management

    theories

    go

    far

    beyond

    these

    views,

    the

    concept

    of

    the individual

    remains

    of value

    because

    it

    helps

    to

    focus

    attention upon

    the

    individual

    functions

    in an

    enterprise.

    The

    key personnel

    of an

    organization

    should

    be

    viewed

    in

    relation

    to

    the

    management

    functions

    performed.

    To what

    purpose

    should

    risk manage-

    ment

    be

    directed toward

    consideration

    of

    these basic

    management

    func-

    tions?

    The

    response

    to this

    query

    would

    appear

    to

    lie

    in

    the

    use of these

    functions

    as a

    means

    of

    identification, measurement,

    or

    handling of risk.

    Job

    or

    position

    analysis,

    the

    aspect

    of

    manpower

    and

    personnel

    study

    dealing

    with

    job descriptions

    and

    duties,

    is a fertile area for the

    risk

    manager. Here is the place to start, here is where he should ask the

    questions: (1)

    What

    functions

    do

    you perform?

    (2)

    How

    do

    you perform

    them?

    (3)

    What

    aspects

    of these functions do

    you

    believe could

    be the

    basis

    of

    risk to

    the

    organization?

    (4)

    How

    can we

    eliminate, reduce,

    or

    otherwise

    handle these

    risks?

    An alert

    risk

    manager, especially

    attuned

    to risk

    origin,

    should

    be

    able

    to gain

    much valuable

    information

    from this source.

    Certainly

    the

    enumera-

    tion

    of

    duties

    by any important

    employee

    should

    help

    identify potential

    dangers

    to the

    organization

    should

    these duties not

    be

    performed.

    The first sub-part of the system, then, should help in the area of risk

    management by directing

    attention

    toward

    those

    key people

    within

    the

    Henry

    Fayol,

    General

    and Industrial Administration,

    International

    Management

    Institute,

    New York,

    New

    York,

    1930.

    O

    Ralph

    C.

    Davis,

    The

    Fundamentals

    of Top

    Management,

    Harper

    and Brothers,

    New

    York,

    New

    York,

    1951, p.

    23.

    11

    Harold

    Koontz

    and

    Cyril

    O'Donnell, Principles

    of

    Management:

    An Analysis

    of

    Managerial

    Functions,

    McCraw-Hill

    Book

    Company,

    New

    York,

    New

    York, 1972.

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    An OrganizationBehavior Approach to

    Risk Management

    443

    organizationand toward analysis of the functions which these key people

    perform.

    B-The

    Formal

    Organization

    The formal organization itself has been subject of much discussion

    in general managementtheory. Weber, in his Theoryof Bureaucracy,

    2

    established a framework within which formal

    organizations could be

    studied. In this pioneering work

    on

    organizational

    heory he demonstrated

    the need

    for

    a

    clearly identified hierarchy

    of authority, a deliberately

    planned structure containing rules,

    regulations,

    and procedures necessary

    for

    it

    to function.

    He identified the

    necessity

    for an impersonalorientation

    and a career dedication

    on

    the

    part

    of

    the

    management orce.

    Such a structureexists in any entity and along with it the rules and

    regulations,processes

    and

    procedures necessary

    to

    carry

    out the

    business

    of

    the enterprise.

    This

    formalorganization an

    be of help to the risk manager.

    The

    key

    is

    to

    use

    it

    as means of risk

    identification.

    Criddle

    uses the

    formal

    organization

    as the

    key

    to his

    approach

    to risk

    management.

    He

    utilizes

    the

    financial statements

    and

    other

    records

    as

    a

    means of

    ferreting

    out risks to the firm.13

    The

    organization

    chart of a

    concern

    could

    be useful in

    identifying key

    men and

    potential key

    men.

    The

    ledger

    is

    obviously a source of information

    concerningthe real property and other assets of the firm which are of

    critical

    importance

    to the risk

    manager.

    Profit

    and

    loss

    statements

    reflect

    risks

    of

    consequential

    loss and so it

    goes. Certainly

    all the

    records

    of the

    firm

    can

    be

    useful to the risk

    manager.

    The

    risk

    manager'sproblem

    is to

    identify

    and use those records which have most

    applicability

    to his

    own

    function.

    The

    major point

    is that

    the formal

    organization

    s

    but

    one

    part

    of

    the

    total

    system.

    It

    can

    yield important

    nformation o

    the

    risk

    manager.

    It is

    not, however,sufficient n and of itself as an approachto riskmanagement.

    Once

    again

    the entire

    system

    must be

    examined.

    C-The

    Physical

    Work

    Environment

    The

    physical

    environment

    of

    the work

    system relates quite closely

    to

    that school

    of

    management thought

    termed

    Scientific

    Management

    and

    represented by

    the

    philosophy

    of

    Frederick W.

    Taylor.14Taylor's

    work,

    viewed

    today

    as

    too

    simplistic,

    nonethelesshas

    been

    of

    major mpor-

    tance

    in

    management heory

    because of

    its

    scientific

    approach.

    Taylorfocused attentionon the man and machinerelations in manufac-

    turing

    concerns.

    He believed

    that there

    was one

    best

    way

    to

    accomplish

    a

    task

    and that

    the

    proper

    role of

    management

    was to

    find

    it.

    Study

    of the

    12

    Max Weber,

    Theory of

    Social and Economic

    Organizations (The Free

    Press, New

    York,

    New

    York, 1947).

    13A.

    Hawthorne

    Criddle,

    Evaluation

    of Risk

    incorporated

    in

    H.

    Wayne Snider's

    Risk Management,

    (Richard

    D.

    Irwin, Homewood,

    Illinois, 1964), p. 19-32.

    14Frederick

    W.

    Taylor, Principles of

    Scientific Management, Harper

    &

    Brothers, New

    York, New York,

    1911).

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    444

    The Journal of Risk and Insurance

    job, the man, and

    the equipment

    would lead to job specialization, job

    simplification, and logically, to greater

    efficiency.

    Taylor's emphasis upon

    the

    physical environment of the job

    points out a

    natural area of interest

    to a risk manager.

    Two aspects are

    immediately evident; first, the

    industrial safety engineer-

    ing considerations

    and

    secondly,

    the

    concepts of the flow chart as advanced

    by

    Ingly.'5

    Both of

    these ideas arise

    logically from

    the

    risk

    manager's

    interest in the

    physical environment of the work.

    In relation to

    safety engineering, Brereton and Peterson

    describe specific

    methods

    of

    searching out and

    identifying risks in the

    physical work setting

    and state them

    in

    the form of guiding

    principles of

    safety management.'8

    The first principle:

    An

    unsafe act, an

    unsafe

    condition,

    an accident-all

    are symptoms of something wrong in the system.

    17

    An accident suggests

    that a risk was not

    identified and that the risk manager

    has had a failing,

    large or small as it

    was. This is true

    because the function of job safety must

    be

    performed by

    someone

    or

    some

    department and

    part

    of

    a

    risk

    manager's

    responsibility

    must be to

    observe these results.

    The

    function

    of

    safety engineering

    is

    to

    define and

    to locate these

    operational errors,

    whether

    they

    occur

    because

    of

    poorly

    defined

    respon-

    sibilities, organizational

    deficiencies, inadequate

    planning, or imperfect

    tool

    or

    process design.

    Brereton and

    Peterson

    believe

    that each accident

    opens

    a

    window

    through

    which the

    system

    can

    be

    viewed; that different

    accidents

    may

    indicate

    the same or similar factors

    responsible.

    Certainly

    all

    risk

    managers

    in

    organizations

    where

    machinery is used

    must

    consider

    employee safety

    as one of their

    major

    concerns.

    This is one

    area

    in which

    reducing dangers

    reduces risks. The

    savings

    in

    human lives

    and

    productivity

    make this

    job

    most

    important.

    Equally

    rewarding

    are

    endeavors at

    risk

    identification which follow

    Ingly's

    ideas

    of

    the

    flow

    chart

    method

    of risk

    management.'8

    Ingly

    believed

    that the risk manager should diagram the entire operations from initial

    acquisition

    of raw

    materials, through

    the

    processing

    and

    marketing

    to the

    final use of

    the

    product

    by

    the

    consumer. Such

    a

    diagram

    would indicate

    bottlenecks

    and other

    possible

    risks. He defined

    the

    measurement

    of

    risk

    as

    being

    the costs associated with elimination of

    these

    bottlenecks.

    Ingly

    believed in

    physical inspections

    of the

    process

    flows as

    an impor-

    tant

    adjunct

    to flow

    charting.

    Visual

    inspections

    are

    always advantageous.

    Such

    an

    approach,

    somewhat

    akin

    to current

    management

    concepts of

    critical

    path analysis,

    is of

    great

    importance exactly

    because it

    focuses

    attention on critical processes, critical points in processes, and critical

    people performing

    them.

    The risk

    manager

    will find

    this

    area

    a

    fertile one

    15

    A. J. Ingly, Corporate

    Risk

    Management

    Insurance

    Series

    112, New York American

    Management Association,

    1956, p.

    3.

    16

    Philip

    R.

    Brereton

    and Daniel

    C.

    Peterson, Safety

    Management for the Risk

    Manager,

    Risk

    Management,

    February, 1971, p.

    31.

    7

    Ibid.,

    p.

    31.

    18A.

    J.

    Ingly, op. cit., p.

    4.

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    The

    Journal

    of Risk and Insurance

    safety regulations

    which act to slow piecework

    output? Have

    workers

    unknowingly developed dangerous

    ways of performing tasks?

    The informal

    groups would

    be a factor improving the productivity

    of

    such inspection tours if for no other reason than that such groups ordinarily

    are

    task

    oriented,

    and perform

    the function of helping each

    other

    with

    difficult work

    tasks.

    Such group expertise and

    cooperation mean

    workers

    do not

    have to ask superiors for help and can

    thus avoid looking dumb

    or

    inefficient

    because

    the members can help each other. Understanding

    group behavior and utilizing

    informal groups

    positively give the risk

    manager a better grasp of potential

    personnel and

    work environment risks.

    But informal

    groups

    are

    important beyond their

    use in identifying per-

    sonnel

    and

    work environment

    risks. Those groups in and of themselves

    are a source of specific potential losses to the firm. Whether or not such

    losses

    are

    within

    the

    purview

    of the

    risk manager

    is a separate consideration

    but

    there is

    no

    denying

    the

    potential

    harm to a

    firm

    which can arise

    when

    such

    groups

    feel threatened or when they perceive that the

    firm's

    goals

    are different

    from

    their

    own.

    Perhaps

    the

    most

    obvious

    illustration of

    such

    dangers

    are

    the common

    production

    losses

    created when groups

    decree

    different

    and

    lower

    production quotas.

    Slow downs,

    establishment of

    low

    level

    quotas

    and

    piece

    rate

    norms are examples. The effects

    of such

    tactics

    on

    production,

    and, therefore, profits, are

    well understood.

    Another

    perhaps

    more

    potentially

    serious

    risk arises from the decision of

    some such

    groups

    to

    engage

    in

    outright

    sabotage.

    Not

    only

    can

    production be damaged

    but

    also

    building

    and

    expensive equipment.

    The

    point

    is

    that

    the risk

    manager

    can

    improve

    the efficiency

    of his

    job by recognizing

    the existence of

    informal

    organizations-their

    effects

    on

    the

    firm. Informal

    groups

    can

    be

    the source

    of

    risk

    identification

    and

    are of themselves

    sources

    of risk and

    potential

    loss.

    E-Status and

    Role

    The last subpart-status

    and

    role expectancy systems-is

    important to

    the

    risk manager because

    status is important to every employee.

    The

    need

    for

    esteem,

    as described

    by Maslow,20

    is a need felt

    by everyone.

    These

    needs can be

    satisfied by employment and

    many individuals look

    to their

    jobs

    as their

    principle

    source of

    ego satisfaction.

    The

    formal

    organization,

    with

    its formal ordering of

    people and

    positions,

    its

    hierarchy

    of

    authority,

    is

    a

    natural

    place

    to seek

    status

    satisfaction.

    It is obviousthat in any formalorganization,statusesand roles are internally

    linked

    by

    hierarchical

    ordering.

    At

    the

    same

    time,

    there

    are

    also

    informal

    orderings

    of statuses

    and

    roles

    in terms

    of

    prestige

    groups

    and

    occupations.2'

    Viewing

    this

    subject

    first

    from

    the

    aspect

    of the formal

    ordering,

    it

    is

    suggested

    that the

    position

    held

    by

    the

    risk

    manager himself

    will have

    20

    A.

    H. Maslow,

    Motivation and

    Personality

    (Harper

    Brothers,

    New

    York,

    New

    York,

    1954).

    21

    bid.,

    William G.

    Scott,

    op. cit.,

    p. 125.

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    An

    Organization

    Behavior

    Approach

    to Risk

    Management

    447

    a

    bearing

    upon his ability to

    perform

    his job effectively. If he

    is

    attached

    to

    the

    formal

    organization at a

    relatively high

    level, his

    office will

    have

    prestige.

    His

    comments and

    suggestions will carry more

    weight

    because

    they become equated to the power of that level of the formal organization

    to which

    his office is attached.

    If the risk

    manager

    is

    the firm's

    insurance

    buyer,

    with a

    fancy title,

    his prestige

    will reflect this fact

    and so will his

    effectiveness. Support for

    this

    function

    must

    come

    from

    above, a point

    sufficiently

    high

    in

    the firm's

    chain

    of

    command

    that the risk manager's function is

    of obvious

    importance.

    The

    organization runs a risk that

    it

    may

    be

    passively

    retaining

    risks

    simply because

    the

    risk

    manager

    hasn't

    sufficient

    clout to make

    his

    function

    appear important to others.

    This

    could

    be

    manifested

    by department

    heads,

    for example, failing to cooperate in locating company problems and dangers.

    Status is

    important. Appropriate

    status

    for

    the risk

    manager

    means

    enough

    to

    enable

    him to perform his

    function

    effectively.

    From

    the standpoint

    of the informal

    ordering

    of statuses

    the

    risk

    manager

    may

    find

    significant problems

    involving

    his

    function.

    The

    effect

    of

    status

    upon safety

    is

    perhaps

    an

    obvious

    example.

    In

    some circles a

    white laboratory

    jacket carries

    the status of

    a

    scien-

    tist.

    This

    jacket, while

    protecting one's

    clothing, can be

    a

    sign

    of

    status.

    There should not

    be

    any problem

    in

    getting

    any employee to wear such

    garb,

    and

    the safety value of

    such clothing

    is

    easily achieved because such

    equipment

    is

    readily

    accepted.

    Safety

    helmets, on the

    other hand,

    have

    currently

    taken on a

    political,

    reactionary connotation. The hard

    hat

    image

    is

    one

    of political conserva-

    tism. People

    may, or may

    not, wish

    to wear one,

    depending

    upon their

    own

    political

    philosophy. This means

    that a worker's decision

    concerning

    this protection will

    perhaps

    be made on the

    wrong

    basis, since the only

    correct

    reason

    for

    wearing the hat is because one is

    near

    dangerous processes.

    In addition to any political connotations, safety equipment in general

    carries

    a distinct

    lack

    of

    status.

    With the

    exception

    of

    groups like engi-

    neers,

    safety equipment

    is

    the

    sign

    of the rank and file

    worker.

    An

    individ-

    ual

    may be reluctant

    to wear

    safety

    gear, or

    use

    it, because

    he

    is

    marked as

    a

    common

    employee.

    Further,

    safety gear may

    become

    the mark of the

    sissy, the

    timid man

    who

    is

    afraid of his

    machine. This

    is

    especially true if

    the

    informal leader

    is

    a

    he-man type

    who

    disdains use of such

    equipment.

    Obviously, safety

    equipment not

    in

    use

    is of no

    value,

    and

    risk

    of industrial

    accident can

    increase dramatically.

    Status and

    role then

    become

    important to

    the risk

    manager as they

    cause

    human behavior

    which may

    tend to

    accentuate dangerous

    working

    conditions.

    Perhaps this

    is

    of

    no

    great moment

    in the

    risk manager's pro-

    cedures for

    identifying

    risk. It

    is, however,

    of

    vital

    importance in

    measuring

    risk.

    Any

    risk

    manager

    who

    believes

    he

    has

    substantially reduced

    industrial

    safety

    hazards when he has

    had some new

    equipment installed

    without

    consideration

    of status

    systems is

    over-simplifying

    his

    position.

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    448 The Journal of Risk and Insurance

    Intra-

    and

    Inter-Part Interaction

    Referring back to the original model, Scott indicates

    that intrapart

    relations exist; individual to individual, job to job.

    These relationships

    are dynamic in nature, subject to constant change. Intrapart shifts are

    both the starting point for major organizational changes as

    well as the

    end

    point focus of deliberate organizationally induced changes.

    Looking within each of the subparts the risk manager must focus

    upon:

    (1) Changes in the internal structure, (2) Changes in

    personnel,

    and

    (3)

    Changes in interpersonal relationships.

    Looking within the subparts, individuals must first be considered

    because

    the people within organizations are constantly entering it, shifting

    their

    positions within it, and leaving the organization. This observation

    should

    serve to remind

    the risk manager that his analysis

    of

    these

    individuals,

    their functions and value to the firm must be reviewed

    periodically.

    Observation of the formal organization through its

    various records is

    a

    must

    for

    the

    risk manager since it is this very dynamism

    which

    creates

    risks

    for the

    enterprise.22 Shifts,

    demonstrated

    by changes

    in

    the formal

    organization chart, the process flow charts, profit and

    loss statements,

    balance

    sheets,

    and other

    formal

    records,

    often

    present

    the risk

    manager

    with his

    greatest challenges.

    Changes in the work environment bring about new exposures to danger

    and the

    ebb

    and

    flow within the informal

    organizations create new leaders,

    new

    influences, and

    new

    group opinions

    on

    jobs, processes

    and

    people.

    Movement

    causing

    new

    intrapart

    relations within the status

    systems

    of

    the

    organization introduce further dynamism. Each

    of

    these intrapart

    variations requires recognition by the risk manager

    and

    his

    response.

    It

    is

    the

    interpart relationships, however, which demonstrate the real

    value

    of

    a systems approach to the subject of risk

    management. These inter-

    part

    relations

    describe the total interdependency of the

    system.

    A

    change

    in personnel can lead to new informal groupings with new leaders emerg-

    ing and new group cohesiveness developed. A change in

    the physical work

    environment,

    occasioned

    perhaps by

    a

    new

    machinery installation, can

    produce profound changes

    in

    accident rates, machinery breakdown, and

    product output.

    Scott

    states that system

    and the

    interdependency

    of

    parts

    are

    interchangeable

    ideas.

    23

    Turning

    back to Scott's

    model, imagine

    the

    limits of the

    system as

    being

    a

    relatively rigid

    framework from which is

    suspended

    the

    various

    subparts by

    a

    series of rubber

    bands.

    (See

    illustrations on

    next

    page.)

    Each

    part

    is

    connected

    to

    the frame and to

    each other

    part by an elastic

    band.

    Now, imagine movement, perhaps

    caused

    exogenously,

    of

    one

    of

    the

    parts.

    For

    example,

    the

    effects

    of a

    new

    government

    safety regulation

    on

    the

    man-machine

    subpart.

    This movement

    will

    cause

    further

    movement

    22A risk

    manager for

    a

    large group

    of

    companies recently

    discovered a new

    poten-

    tially

    highly dangerous

    risk

    accepted by

    the

    company by reading the minutes of

    the

    Board

    of

    Directors meeting.

    2 William

    C. Scott, op. cit., p. 120.

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    An

    OrganizationBehavior Approach to Risk Management

    449

    by the subparts

    as

    each

    reacts to the new

    strain caused by its connection

    to

    the affected part.

    For

    example, new safety regulations may

    cause

    changes in part C, which alters the job's prestige which alters that

    worker's

    place in the informal organization.

    RIGID FRAMEEXTERIOR

    WITHELASTIC.LEXIBLE

    CONNECTIONS

    ETWEEN

    THE SUBPARTS.

    STRAIN

    INTRODUCED

    ON

    SUBPART

    C.

    li,

    INCREASED

    ENSION

    One

    can

    expect

    that a

    new

    equilibrium

    will

    develop

    within

    the

    confines

    of the

    system.

    Even the

    periphery

    itself

    may well

    bend a

    little; however,

    if it

    is

    assumed that

    the

    organization

    survives

    the change as a viable

    force,

    one must assume that the perimeter remains intact. The risk manager now

    must

    look at

    a

    new

    set

    of

    relationships, new connections

    between the

    parts.

    It

    is

    precisely

    at this

    point

    that the

    systems approach

    to

    risk

    management

    becomes

    of

    such

    great importance. Previously

    used

    methods

    of

    risk identi-

    fication have

    been

    relatively

    static

    in

    their

    operation. Searching for

    risk

    was

    like

    viewing

    one frame of a motion

    picture,

    a

    snapshot

    of

    the

    organ-

    ization at

    one

    particular point

    in

    time

    and

    space. Emphasis was upon

    the

    risk

    and

    not

    necessarily upon

    its

    effects on

    all

    parts

    of the

    organization.

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    450

    The Journal of Risk and

    Insurance

    Emphasis on one part

    created by some change could be handled but

    there

    was no way to analyze

    the changing relations between the various

    parts

    of the organization. Each change was handled

    as though it affected

    the

    organization only through its effect on one part, thus the perception of

    interdependency was missing.

    This systems approach,

    with its emphasis upon inter-relations,

    gives

    the risk

    manager

    a

    framework

    within which he can

    begin

    to assess

    the

    effects of change

    upon

    an

    organization.

    It is, after all, dynamism

    which

    creates

    risk

    and

    the

    systems approach

    lets

    the

    risk

    manager

    handle change.

    What are the effects of

    a change

    in

    A

    on

    parts

    B,

    C, D,

    and E?

    The

    systems

    approach provides a

    theoretical

    framework

    within

    which such

    questions

    can be approached.

    Conclusion

    The systems approach

    to

    risk

    management

    is

    of value because of several

    attributes. It focuses

    attention

    upon

    risk identification, a function long

    neglected

    in the literature. It

    provides

    an

    emphasis upon the organization

    rather

    than

    upon

    some

    artificial,

    external classification of risk. This approach

    tries

    to

    classify

    risks

    by

    means of

    identifying

    those risks

    impinging

    upon

    each

    of the

    subparts

    of the

    system.

    Such a classification

    makes sense

    because

    the

    very

    nature of the

    process

    customizes the classification to the

    specific organization

    served

    by

    the

    risk

    manager.

    It

    is believed

    that

    by identifying the risks acting upon each subpart

    that

    the

    risk

    manager

    has

    gone

    a

    long way

    toward identifying the risks

    acting

    upon

    the

    whole.

    This

    seems

    logical since the whole, barring substantial

    synergistic properties,

    would

    appear

    to

    be the

    sum

    of the parts.

    Finally, the systems

    approach emphasizes the inter-relations

    present

    within

    the

    organization,

    providing

    the

    risk

    manager

    with a

    framework

    with

    which

    to measure the incidence

    of risks effect

    on

    the total organiza-

    tion. Dynamic conditions can be handled.

    It

    has not been the

    aim here to

    describe

    exhaustively the risks affecting

    each

    part

    but

    only

    to illustrate

    some

    obvious

    ones. The goal rather

    was to

    describe

    the

    system

    and indicate how

    it

    can be used by a risk manager.

    By concentrating upon

    the

    system,

    a

    risk

    manager has a new tool, a frame-

    work

    wherein

    his

    identification and measurement

    process can be

    attacked

    more

    systematically,

    more

    logically,

    and

    more

    completely.