23 July 2009 - corporate.mobistar.be...Q1 08. 37. 193. Q2 08. 11. 173. Q3 08. 35. Q4 08. 41**...
Transcript of 23 July 2009 - corporate.mobistar.be...Q1 08. 37. 193. Q2 08. 11. 173. Q3 08. 35. Q4 08. 41**...
•Analyst presentation
•half year results 2009•23 July 2009
2
This presentation contains forward-looking statements about Mobistar, in particular for 2009. Although Mobistar believes these statements
are
based on reasonable assumptions, these forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, including matters not yet known to us or not currently considered material by us, and there can be no assurance that anticipated events will occur or that the objectives set out will actually be achieved. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the results anticipated in the
forward-
looking statements include, among others, the effectiveness of the mobility centric operator strategy including the success and market acceptance of the mobile voice and date abundance plans, the Mobistar brand and other strategic, operating and financial initiatives, Mobistar’s
ability to adapt to the
ongoing transformation of the telecommunications industry, regulatory developments and constraints and the outcome of legal proceedings, risks and uncertainties related to business activity.
Cautionary statement
3
Market approach
Benoit Scheen
4
Accelerate fix-mobile substitution
through launch of abundance offers (supported by ADSL)
Increasing mobile data revenues
(Internet Everywhere, Mail & Surf, , MATMA, …)
Leverage complementary partnerships
Push full
convergence strategy
Focus first on voice convergence (“One Office Voice Pack”), then on full convergence (voice + data) through
Business Pack offers
Integrate services
into telecommunication solutions: from
network to services
Mobility Centric
Residential: Mobility Centric Substitution
Business: Mobility Centric Convergence
Since July 2007, we have consistently further implemented our unique strategy
5
For the residential market this was translated into a clear segmented portfolio
6
completed with a data product line which addresses the demand in a progressive way
22
29
98
H1 2008
16
6938
H1 2009
ADSL
IEW
•Number of clients (‘000)
7
In the business segment, Mobistar continues to apply its convergence strategy
Mobistar
elected as Telecom service provider of the year
•
More than 130 000 mobile cards secured on the One Office Voice Pack offer
•
Since launch 1 year ago already 1000 companies connected on One Office Full Pack
•
Close to 140 000 active fix connections (essentially in the business segment)
8
Revenue evolution (Mio EUR)
Customer base mix
•
Important growth in postpaid (up to 70% of the customer base) thanks to iPhone
offers & good positioning in the business market
Product Synergies
•
Successful uptake of the One Office Voice Pack product
Network Synergies
•
3G Network swap in order to have 1 unique equipment supplier between Vox
and Mobistar
With Vox, after 5 years of sustained growth new phase with successful integration
18
33302719
7
H1 2009
20082007200620052004
9
Within the machine to machine segment, Mobistar
leads the way since 2002
•Market size M2M Belgium: ~230 k sim
cards* (HY 09)
Telematics Point of sales Telemetry
116,866
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 Q2 2009
•Mobistar
M2M card evolution
•* Based on company estimations
10
Mobistar’s
leadership recently recognized by its selection as the France Telecom International M2M center
Before : decentralized modelNew International M2M center
(located within Mobistar)
1SIM
Global SIM –
hustle free solutioncomplex logistic and high costs
Ready for another exclusive
success story
11/07/2008 26/06/2009
12
Business performance
Benoit Scheen
13
41 5019 29 18
150 105
144
157
-19
106.2%105.7%103.8%102.4%100.7%
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
218
Q1 08
37
193
Q2 08
11
173
Q3 08
35
Q4 08
41**
28*
-29**
58
Q1 09
22
3
Q2 09
Competition
Mobistar retail
MVNO @ Mobistar
Active Penetration
27
Net Adds (#In K) Active Penetration
221
(*) excl. MATMA and VOXmobile
customers
(**) Source: Mobistar estimates based on company announcements incl
MVNO (restatement for BASE inactivity)
With a continuous focus on value, Mobistar net adds in line, underperforming MVNO’s
14
Postpaid users passed the 2 Mio land-mark
Prepaid
Post BUS
Post RES
44%
2.912.806
2005
51%
3.152.455
2006
54%
3.489.859
2007
55%
H2 2009
MVNO
Laptop cards
Postpaid % retail cust base
0
1.000.000
2.000.000
3.000.000
4.000.000
5.000.000
H1 20080%
100%
3.738.604
2008
58%
3.787.578
57%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Postpaid % of retail base**
3.645.378
Customers on Mobistar network*
(*) excl. MATMA and VOXmobile
customers
(**) excluding MVNO cards
15
Excl. regulatory effect, usage compensates pricing pressure driven by mobile data
34,5
FY 2007
32,4
FY 2008
33,1
H1 2008
0,6
MTR Decrease
0,7
Roaming Off & on net
5,3
Price
5,1
Usage
31,7
H1 2009
•-0.2€
•-1.3€
•€
month
16
Commercial focus on mobile data continues to deliver growth
•
Mobile data revenues up to 28% of mobile service revenues in H1 2009 (from 20% in H1 2008)
•
Non-SMS mobile data represent 21% of total mobile data revenues (vs. 20% in H1 2008)
•
Supported by the successful uptake of •
SMS abundance offers•
Strong take up Internet Everywhere•
Blackberry and Mobile Office Cards in the Business market
•
Leader in MATMA applications with ~120,000 cards
0
50
100
150
200
H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 2009MATMA
Mobile data handset and PC
SMS Premium
SMS Person to Person
+36%€ mio
17
Benoit Scheen
Efficiency at Mobistar
18
Launched in Sept 2008, Odyssey 2011 is the company-wide transformation program
What is Odyssey 2011?
Odyssey 2011 is a set of programs, projects, strategy implementations and new ways of working together designed to change our company and cope with external and internal
challenges
(e.g. Mobile Data, Fix Program, revenue engineering)
(e.g. IT Renewal) (e.g. Organizational evolution)
Our ambition is to be celebrated by our customers as the trusted leader in personal(ised) communication and services
19
Measures to improve gross margin profitability in postpaid
•
Small adjustments to older tariff plans
•
slight increase in national tariffs of 1 cent per minute (including VAT)
•
change of tariff outside the bundle for some old price plans to 20 EURcent/min
•
On data packages, out of bundle prices adapted
•
after included bundle has been used up, each MB will be billed at 10 cents (including VAT) from 1st July 2009
20
Measures to improve gross margin profitability in prepaid
SMS abundance threshold increased
to min 15 EUR recharge
Valorize instant messaging sessions in the prepaid offer
21
In order to stay competitive, Mobistar
needs to transform its IT
•
Improve time to market
•
Increase level of compliance
•
Increase customer experience
•
Reduce complexity
•
Reduce total cost of ownership
+/- 80~4%
~6%
2008 2012
•IT cash-out ambition (capex-opex
in Mio EUR/as % of revenues)
22
38.3%
39.0%
Odyssey program starts to deliver first results
Q1 2009
H1 2009
FY 2009 guidance
Close to 40%
Initiatives launched since Q1 2009
On gross margin :
Redesign of prepaid offers
Small tariff adaptations
On opex/capex:
IT Renewal: RFP launched
Contingency plan across all departments
2009 EBITDA margin evolution
23
Regulatory Update
Benoit Scheen
24
Several regulatory decisions are pending
Billed Revenues
incoming voice
14%15%
69%
3%8%
5%
H1 2008
8%
9%
H1 2009
visitor roaming66%
3%
incoming data
roaming off net
Breakdown Mobistar Mobile service revenues
34%
66%
31%
69%Handset subsidy
GSM license extension
Emission rules
Mobile termination rate
Mobistar
is anticipating handset subsidy while securing business
as usual
DECEMBER 08
Mobistar initiated internal program to
analyze possible impact
23 APRIL 09: EU court decision
01 JUNE 09: 1st
market launch
EU Court
of Justice
states
that
the Belgian
prohibition
on
joint offers is not
compatible with
the Unfair Commercial Practices
Directive
New Belgian law still to come but some first
initiatives from distribution
Mobistar
strategy to turn handset subsidy into a value creation
ACQUISITION LOYALTY & RETENTION CHANNEL
1.
Redesign tariff portfolio
2.
Contain SAC
1.
SRC in order to avoid churn & washing machine effect
2.
Develop sophisticated
customer value base mgmt capabilities
3.
Drive customers to controlled channels
for contract renewal
1.
Balance commercial acts from acquisition to acquisition & contract extension
2.
Reinforce controlled channels
in overall mix
3.
Develop web share
in commercial acts
4.
Contain open channels
VALUE OPTIMIZATION
MTR evolution since July 2007
10.63
9.94
9.028.5
7.937.2
12.5213.34
11.43
6.0
10.0
14.0
Jul-07
Sep-07
Nov-07
Jan-08
Mar-08
May-08
Jul-08
Sep-08
Nov-08
Jan-09
Mar-09
May-09
€c/
min
Mobistar Proximus Base
•MTR evolution (EURcent/min, indexed prices)
Status on national termination
Mobistar positioning
•
MTR model should be cost oriented
•
Suspension / annulment BIPT decision imposing symmetric rates by Court =>Asymmetric still justified given later entrance of Mobistar
•
In case of symmetry, Mobistar is closer to 3rd operator in terms of customer base
Next steps
• MTR cost modeling exercise ongoing by BIPT
• BIPT will launch public consultation on methodology, glidepath
and symmetry/asymmetry
• Needs to request advices from Competition Counsel and European Commision
Update on other regulatory files
•
2G license renewal
•
Mobistar
2G license expires on 27/11/2010
•
Royal decree 17/07/2009 defines that
•
Each operator will pay 80819€/month/Mhz (non indexed) duplex till 2021
•
Choice payment modalities left at the operator : one payment or 11 annual fees
•
Discrimination with incumbent remains, license supposed to start
after Mobistar!
•
Legislation on emission rules is a regional competence
•
Brussels : 3V/m (cumulative) decree approved but execution decrees
for implementation still under discussion (timing September 2009)
•
Wallonia: Decree adopted on April 1st
2009 3V/m (non cumulative)
•
Flanders:
Federal norm does not apply anymore and discussion on going (leading to difficulties to obtain building permits)
29
Werner De Laet
Financial performance
30
In a challenging economic and regulatory landscape, solid performance
(*) includes other revenues
Mio € H1 2008 H1 2009 %
Total Statutory Revenues (*) 762.7 778.1 2.0%Total Turnover 745.5 761.6 2.2%Total Service Revenues 716.5 713.3 -0.4%Cash Expenses -462.7 -499.7 8.0%EBITDA 300.0 278.4 -7.2%In % of service revenues 41.9% 39.0% -6.8%Depreciations and amortizations -85.9 -80.8 -5.9%Net finance income -0.3 -2.8 833.3%Tax expense -68.7 -66.3 -3.5%Net profit 145.1 128.5 -11.4%Diluted earnings per share (in €) 2.30 2.14 -7.0%
Mobistar consolidated income statement
31
SMS abundance offers impacting incoming revenues, billed revenues under pressure
•Mio €
21,8716,5
Vox H1 2009
713,3
Customer roaming
H1 2008 Billed revenues
-17,6
1,3
-3,1 5,1
Visitor roaming
0,5-3,8
National Incoming
-7,5
32
Profitability of Belgian activities impacted by regulation and growing fix business
Mio € H1 2008 H1 2009 %Total Statutory Revenues 703.5 713.0 1.4%Total Turnover 687.9 698.8 1.6%Total Service Revenues 660.8 651.7 -1.4%Cash Expenses -396.7 -425.2 7.2%EBITDA 306.8 287.9 -6.2%In % of service revenues 46.4% 44.2%Depreciations and amortizations -80.6 -74.7 -7.3%EBIT 226.2 213.2 -5.8%
Mobistar Mobile Income Statement
Mio € H1 2008 H1 2009 %Total Statutory Revenues 41.4 46.5 12.3%Total Turnover 39.8 44.2 11.1%Total Service Revenues 39.6 44.2 11.6%Cash Expenses -49.4 -58.3 17.9%EBITDA -8.0 -11.8 46.9%In % of service revenues -20.2% -26.6%Depreciations and amortizations -1.3 -2.0 50.0%EBIT -9.3 -13.8 47.3%
Mobistar FIX Income Statement
33
VOXmobile
activities are still growing according to plan and synergies start to materialize
Mio € H1 2008 H1 2009 %Total Turnover 18.3 21.8 19.4%Total Service Revenues 16.5 18.4 11.8%Cash Expenses -17.1 -19.5 14.3%EBITDA 1.2 2.3 91.7%In % of service revenues 7.3% 12.5%Depreciations and amortizations -4.0 -4.1 1.3%EBIT -2.8 -1.8 -37.5%
VOXMobile Income Statement
34
Despite inflation and new lines of products, Odyssey program starts to deliver savings
Total cash expenses
Non-headcount costLower selling fees driven by less business sales & change in dealer remuneration, partly offset by better consumer postpaid sales, mobile data & contract extensions in residential channels
Optimization of advertising, sales expenses and general expenses as response to economic downturn
Sourcing impacts in domain of logistics, billing and IT Maintenance
VOX
Decrease thanks due to Group synergies on handsets purchasing
Headcount costs
Total Mobistar headcount Avg H1 2009 at 1377 (vs. 1448 FTE Avg H1 2008due to outsourcing and efficiency gains throughout the company
Impact of high index
Interconnect and other costs of sales
More interconnect costs driven by SMS abundance retail offers, partially offset by less voice costs mainly due to lower VAS rate & customer roaming regulation impact.
Higher site volumetry
Growth in Mobile Data applications
Handsets & RT costs
in line with strong increase in handset sales, mainly driven by I-Phone launched H2 2008<
16,6
499,7
462,716,3
Vox
Handset/RT Costs
229,9209,3Interconnect
& OtherSales Costs
35,3
62,2
139,3
446,1
H1 2008
52,9
65,6
134,9
483,4
H1 2009
HeadcountCost
Non-Headcount
Cost
•* 2008 handset/RT costs restated •** after intercompany elimination
35
3G network build out and IT renewal according to the investment plan
Capex (in Mio EUR)Capex to service revenues ratio (in %)
* excluding the proceeds from sale of equipment related to the 3G equipment renewal
160147
165
0
50
100
150
200
250
Vox
CAPEX/service revenues
Sales and Other
11%
2006
10%
2007
11%
2008
49
153
10%
70
H1 2008
433
187
9%
61
H1 2009
IT
Network2
36
Balance sheet remains solid
Mio € Dec-08 Jun-09
Non-current assets 898.0 877.5
Current Assets 295.5 279.2
Cash and Cash equivalents 6.8 6.8
TOTAL ASSETS 1,200.3 1,163.5
Net Equity 452.5 308.5
Provisions 15.1 14.6
Long Term Debt 75.0 50.0
Short Term Debt 243.3 222.3
Current Liabilities 414.4 568.1
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 1,200.3 1,163.5
Net Debt / (Net Cash) -314.0 -265.5
Balance Sheet
37
Free cash flow generation in line with guidance
Mio € H1 2008 H1 2009 %EBITDA 300.0 278.4 -7.2%Change in working capital -4.0 170.3Net financial charges (incl other not withdrawn exp.) -0.3 -2.0Corporate Taxes -68.7 -66.3
Net cash from operating activities 227.0 380.4 67.6%Purchase of intangible and tangible assets -69.6 -61.1 -12.2%Proceeds from sale of equipment 13.2 0.0
Net cash used in investing activities (56.4) (61.1) 8.3%
Operating cash flow 170.6 319.3 87.2%Proceeds/Repayment long-term interest - bearing loans and borrowings
0.0 -25.0
Proceeds/Repayment from new short term interest-bearing loans and borrowings
77.7 -21.0
others -0.2 -0.2Free cash flow before dividend payments and capital movements
248.1 273.1 10.1%
Capital increase (decrease) 248.0 0.0Capital and share premium -248.0 0.0Dividend payments -173.6 -273.1Share buy-back -73.7 0.0Available Cash Flow 0.8 (0.0)
Free Cash Flow Generation
Concluding remarks
Benoit Scheen
Mobistar
reconfirms full year guidance while adapting capex/sales ratio
Total Turnover flat revenues
confirmed
Ebitda-margin close to 40%
confirmed
Net results
240-260 Mio EUR
confirmed
Capex/sales
between 11% -12%
around 10%
40
Q&A