2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
Transcript of 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
1/59
2201AFE Corporate FinanceWeek 13:
Options
Final Exam Revision
Readings: Chapter 20
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
2/59
Agenda
Last Week
Options Key Concepts and Skills
Final Exam Comments and Revision
2
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
3/59
Last Lecture
Dividends matter
Chronology of dividend payment Ex-dividend Date
Dividend Policy doesnt matter (in theory)
Homemade dividends
Clientele effect
In real life policy matters (low/high payouts)
Information content effect signalling to the market
Types of dividend policies
Share repurchases, splits, reverse splits
3
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
4/59
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
5/595
1. Introduction & Financial
Statements
2. Time Value of Money
3. Valuing Shares & Bonds
7. Mid-semester Exam
8. Some Lessons from Capital
Market History
11. Financial Leverage & Capital
Structure Policy
13. Options & Revision
9. Return, Risk & the Security
Market Line
5. Making Capital Investment
Decisions & Project Analysis
12. Dividends & Dividend Policy
6. Revision for Mid-sem Exam
4. Net Present Value & Other
Investment Criteria
10. Cost of Capital
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
6/59
Key Concepts and Skills
Options: The Basics
Contract characteristics
Options Payoffs
6
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
7/59
Option Terminology
Call option
Right without the obligation to BUY a specified asset at a specified price
on or before a specified date.
Put option
Right without the obligation to SELL a specified asset at a specified price
on or before a specified date.
Option premium
The price paid by the buyer/seller for the right to buy or sell an asset.
Strike or Exercise price
The contracted price at which the underlying asset can be bought (call)
or sold (put).
7
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
8/59
Option Terminology
Option contract counterparties: buyer and seller
An investor who SELLS the option the option writer, holds a SHORT
position in the contract.
An investor who BUYS the option holds a LONG position in the
contract.
Expiration date
The date at which an option expires. (See more here:http://www.asx.com.au/products/futures-options-expiry-calendars.htm )
European option
An option that can only be exercised on a particular date (on expiry).
American option
An option that can be exercised at any time up to its expiry date.
8
http://www.asx.com.au/products/futures-options-expiry-calendars.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/futures-options-expiry-calendars.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/futures-options-expiry-calendars.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/futures-options-expiry-calendars.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/futures-options-expiry-calendars.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/futures-options-expiry-calendars.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/futures-options-expiry-calendars.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/futures-options-expiry-calendars.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/futures-options-expiry-calendars.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/futures-options-expiry-calendars.htm -
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
9/59
Option Terminology
Exercising the option
The act of buying or selling the underlying asset via the option contract.
Contract size
Open Interest
Number of open positions (bought and sold) in the market place.
Provides an estimate of market liquidity, the higher the open interest,
the more liquid the market.
Interested? Read more here:
http://www.asx.com.au/products/asx-grain-futures-and-options-trading-strategies.htm
9
http://www.asx.com.au/products/asx-grain-futures-and-options-trading-strategies.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/futures-options-expiry-calendars.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/asx-grain-futures-and-options-trading-strategies.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/asx-grain-futures-and-options-trading-strategies.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/asx-grain-futures-and-options-trading-strategies.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/asx-grain-futures-and-options-trading-strategies.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/asx-grain-futures-and-options-trading-strategies.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/asx-grain-futures-and-options-trading-strategies.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/asx-grain-futures-and-options-trading-strategies.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/asx-grain-futures-and-options-trading-strategies.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/asx-grain-futures-and-options-trading-strategies.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/asx-grain-futures-and-options-trading-strategies.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/asx-grain-futures-and-options-trading-strategies.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/asx-grain-futures-and-options-trading-strategies.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/asx-grain-futures-and-options-trading-strategies.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/asx-grain-futures-and-options-trading-strategies.htmhttp://www.asx.com.au/products/futures-options-expiry-calendars.htm -
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
10/59
Option Valuation
ST
= Share price at expiration
S0 = Share price today
Cor P = Value of call/put option on expiration
C0 or P0= Value of call/put option today
E= Exercise price on the option
10
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
11/59
Value of Option
At the money:
Stock price equals exercise price (no profit/loss).
Out-of-the-money:
Option has no intrinsic value (make a loss).
In-the-money:
Option has intrinsic value (make a profit).
Intrinsic value:
The value of the option if exercised it immediately.
Call: Stock price Exercise price > 0
Put: Exercise price stock price > 0
The time premium or time value component:
The difference between the option premium and the intrinsic value.
11
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
12/59
Value of Call Option (C0)
12
Share price
(S0)
Call option value (C0)
S0 E
Out of the moneyS0 > E
In the money
Exercise price (E)
S0 = E
At the money
45
Value of Call
Intrinsic ValueTime value
Upper bound = C0
S0Lower bound = The larger of 0 or (S0E)
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
13/59
Value of Call and Put Option at Expiry (C & P)
At time T:
If the call is in-the-money, it is worth: C = ST E.
If the call is out-of-the-money, it is worthless: C = 0
If the put is in-the-money, it is worth: P = E ST.
If the put is out-of-the-money, it is worthless: P = 0
Where
ST
is the value of the stock at expiry (time T)
Eis the exercise price.
C is the value of the call option at expiry
P is the value of put option at expiry
13
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
14/59
Call Option Payoffs for Buyer
14
20
12020 40 60 80 100
40
20
40
60
Stock price ($)
Ca
llpayoff($)
50
Exercise price: E = $50
If share at expiration: ST = $80, ST = $20
Buyer payoff: max[ST E,0] max[ST E,0]
max[80-50,0]=30 max[20-50,0]=0
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
15/59
Call Option Payoffs for Seller
15
20
12020 40 60 80 100
40
20
40
60
Stock price ($)
OptionP
ayoff($)
50
Exercise price: E = $50
If share at expiration: ST = $80, ST = $20
Seller payoff: -max[ST-E,0] -max[ST-E,0]
-max[80 50,0] = -$30 -max[20 50,0] = 0
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
16/59
Call Option Profits/Losses
16
Exercise price: E =$50Option premium: C0 = $10
If ST = $80
Sell a call
Loss = +10 +50-80 = -20
Buy a call
Profit = -10 -50 + 80 = 20
20
12020 40 60 80 100
40
20
40
60
Stock price ($)
Op
tionpayoffs($)
50
10
10
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
17/59
Put Option Payoffs for Buyer
17
20
0 20 40 60 80 100
40
20
0
40
60
Stock price ($)
Optionpayoffs($)
Buy a put
50
50
Exercise price: E = $50
If share at expiration: ST = $20, ST = $80
Buyer payoff: max[E ST,0] max[E ST,0]
max[50 20,0] = $30 max[50 80,0]= 0
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
18/59
Put Option Payoffs for Seller
18
20
0 20 40 60 80 100
40
20
0
40
50
Stock price ($)Optio
npayoffs($)
Sell a put
50
Exercise price: E = $50
If share at expiration: ST = $20, ST = $80
Seller payoff: -max[E ST,0] -max[E ST,0]
-max[50-20,0]= -$30 -max[50 80,0] = 0
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
19/59
Put Option Profits
19
20
20 40 60 80 100
40
20
40
60
Stock price ($)
O
ptionpayoffs($)
Buy a putProfit = -10 - 20 + 50 = 20
Exercise price: E = $50
Option premium: P0 = $10
If ST = $20
10
10
Sell a put
Loss = +10 + 20 50 = -20
50
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
20/59
Conclusion
Options are valuable financial instruments
Increases upside potential
Reduces or limits the downside
20
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
21/59
Revision
Course Revision
Recap in more details the chapters
Quiz
Exam instructions, venue and structure
How to study for the exam
Additional consultation times
Final comments
21
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
22/59
Week 5 (part 2)
Chapter 9: Project Analysis and Evaluation
Evaluation of NPV Estimates
Scenario Analysis
Sensitivity Analysis
Simulation Analysis
Break-even
Accounting
Cash
Financial
Operating Leverage
Other consideration in Capital Budgeting
Managerial options
Capital rationing
22
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
23/59
23
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
24/59
24
W k 8
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
25/59
Week 8
Chapter 10: Some Lessons from Capital Market History
How to calculate investment return
Arithmetic and Geometric Averages
How to measure risk
Variance
Standard Deviation
Lessons from Capital Market History
Risk Premium
Risk-Return Relationship
Efficient Market Hypothesis25
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
26/59
26
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
27/59
27
W k 9
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
28/59
Week 9
Chapter 11: Return, Risk and the Security Market Line
Expected Return with unequal probabilities
Variance with unequal probabilities
Portfolio Expected Return
Portfolio Variance
Principle of Diversification
Systematic and Unsystematic risk
CAPM and SML
Reward-to-Risk Ratio
28
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
29/59
29
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
30/59
30
Week 10
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
31/59
Week 10
Chapter 17: Cost of Capital
Discount rate of the firm
Target capital structure: D/E
Cost of Equity
DGM & CAPM
Cost of Debt
YTM
Weighted Average Cost of Capital WACC
Unadjusted, Adjusted, use in NPV
Flotation costs31
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
32/59
32
Week 11
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
33/59
Week 11
Chapter 19: Capital Structure Policy
Optimal Capital Structure
Value of the firm
Cost of capital
Capital Structure Theory Three cases Case I No taxes
Case II With taxes
Case III With taxes and Bankruptcy Costs
Types of Bankruptcy Costs
Direct and Indirect
33
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
34/59
34
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
35/59
35
Week 12
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
36/59
Week 12
Chapter 18: Dividends & Dividend Policy
Irrelevance of dividend policy
Homemade Dividends
Real world factors
Information content effect signalling
Clientele effect
Types of dividend policies
Residual, Constant Div. Growth, Constant Payout, Compromise, DRP
Stock splits, stock dividends and repurchases
36
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
37/59
37
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
38/59
38
Week 13
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
39/59
Week 13
Chapter 20: Options
Basic concepts
Call
Put
Terminology
Option Payoffs
Buyer
Seller
39
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
40/59
40
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
41/59
41
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
42/59
42
Quiz
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
43/59
Break-even analysis shows the relationship between.?
Do we use GM or AM in variance calculation?
What is Beta, Systematic or Unsystematic Risk?
What is the value of market Beta?
If an asset is undervalued, where should it be located with respect of
the SML?
To maximise value of the firm, WACC should be maximised or
minimised?
43
Quiz
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
44/59
If a firm has debt and taxes, what happens to the cost of capital as
D/E increases? What case and proposition is this?
Does dividend policy matter in theory?
What happens to the share price in a reverse split?
When would you buy a call?
If the underlying share price is decreasing the put seller makes a loss
or a profit?
44
Exam Instructions
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
45/59
2.5 hours examination on (Thursday) 20 June 2013 at 8.30AM
All chapters starting Week 5 (part 2) covered
No specific calculations from first half, however know the basic concepts
10 minutes perusal
During perusal, you can only write on the exam paper!
Closed Book
Dont bring the formula sheet with you!
Materials allowed:
Non-Programmable Scientific calculator English Translation Dictionary
45
Exam Venues
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
46/59
QSAC_Track & Field Room, Qld Sport & Athletics Centre
(Ground Floor or Level 1)
QSAC Venue & Parking Map:
http://www.qsac.com.au/The-Venue/Location.aspx
http://www.qsac.com.au/getattachment/The-Venue/Venue-Map/QSAC-Venue-Map.pdf.aspx
46
Break down on time
http://www.qsac.com.au/The-Venue/Location.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/getattachment/The-Venue/Venue-Map/QSAC-Venue-Map.pdf.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/getattachment/The-Venue/Venue-Map/QSAC-Venue-Map.pdf.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/getattachment/The-Venue/Venue-Map/QSAC-Venue-Map.pdf.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/getattachment/The-Venue/Venue-Map/QSAC-Venue-Map.pdf.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/getattachment/The-Venue/Venue-Map/QSAC-Venue-Map.pdf.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/getattachment/The-Venue/Venue-Map/QSAC-Venue-Map.pdf.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/getattachment/The-Venue/Venue-Map/QSAC-Venue-Map.pdf.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/getattachment/The-Venue/Venue-Map/QSAC-Venue-Map.pdf.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/getattachment/The-Venue/Venue-Map/QSAC-Venue-Map.pdf.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/getattachment/The-Venue/Venue-Map/QSAC-Venue-Map.pdf.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/getattachment/The-Venue/Venue-Map/QSAC-Venue-Map.pdf.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/getattachment/The-Venue/Venue-Map/QSAC-Venue-Map.pdf.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/getattachment/The-Venue/Venue-Map/QSAC-Venue-Map.pdf.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/getattachment/The-Venue/Venue-Map/QSAC-Venue-Map.pdf.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/getattachment/The-Venue/Venue-Map/QSAC-Venue-Map.pdf.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/The-Venue/Location.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/The-Venue/Location.aspxhttp://www.qsac.com.au/The-Venue/Location.aspx -
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
47/59
8.00AM Arrive at your exam venue.
8.30AM Perusal start (may write on exam paper only).
8.40AM Start of Final Exam.
No one may leave in the first 30 minutes.
9.10AM Hero to be the first to exit venue (may be zero too).
. . . . . . .
11.00AMLast 10 minutes, no one may leave (no more toilet breaks).
11.10AMEnd of Exam, pens down and time to study for next exam.
47
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
48/59
48
Exam Structure
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
49/59
Question 1 is compulsory and is worth 17 marks.
All students must attempt Question 1.
Attempt any threequestions from the remaining five.
Questions 2 to 6 are worth 11 marks each.
Total marks for exam = 17 + (3 11) = 50
Show step by step workings and formula used.
49
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
50/59
50
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
51/59
51
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
52/59
52
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
53/59
53
Exam Structure
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
54/59
Question 1. (a), (b), (c), (d), (e).
Answer ONLY 3 of remaining 5 questions.
Question 2. (a), (b), (c), (d).
Question 3. (a), (b), (c). Question 4. (a), (b), (c), (d).
Question 5. (a), (b), (c).
Question 6. (a), (b), (c).
54
How to Study?
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
55/59
Practice! Practice! Practice!
Tutorial and practice questions
Lecture examples Chapter examples
Read Lecture Notes
Read the chapters in the text, definitions
Theory questions can be from anywhere!
55
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
56/59
56
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
57/59
57
Consultation Times
l d d k
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
58/59
Consultation during study week:
Please check Learning@GU under Announcement for more
details.
No appointment/booking required if you are seeing us during
these times. If you cannot make it to uni, try and contact your
tutor via email.
Please bring your questions during consultation, we are here to
help you learn.
58
-
7/27/2019 2201AFE VW Week 13 Options & Revision for Final Exam S1, 2013
59/59
Good luck for your exams!
If you have any questions, please see any of our teaching team.
59