2016 New York International Auto Show

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AutoForecast Solutions

New York Review & Highlights

April 2016

New York International Auto Show

AutoForecast Solutions LLC Special Report:

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AutoForecast Solutions2

Introductions 2016 New York International Auto ShowDaimler

• 2017 Mercedes-Benz GLC Coupe

Ford

• 2017 Lincoln Navigator concept

Fuji Heavy

• 2017 Subaru Impreza

General Motors

• 2017 Chevrolet Camaro ZL1

• 2017 Chevrolet Sonic

Honda

• 2017 Acura MDX

Hyundai Kia

• 2016 Genesis New York concept

• 2017 Kia Cadenza

Mazda

• 2017 Mazda MX-5 RF

Renault/Nissan

• 2017 Nissan GT-R

• 2017 Nissan Titan Half Ton

Toyota

• 2017 Toyota Prius Prime

Introductions




Briefly

Styling updates & Special EditionsDaimler

•Mercedes-AMG C63 Cabriolet•North American debut

•Mercedes-AMG E63•New trim level

Fiat Chrysler

•Jeep Grand Cherokee Trail Hawk and Summit•New trim levels

•Maserati Levante•North American debut

General Motors

•Buick Encore•Facelift

•GMC Terrain Nightfall•New Trim Level

Honda

•Honda Civic Hatchback•New body style

Mazda

•Mazda CX-9•North American debut

Mitsubishi

•Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV•North American debut

•Mitsubishi Mirage G4•North American debut

Renault/Nissan

•Infiniti QX70 Limited•New Trim Level

Spyker

•Spyker C8 Preliator•North American debut

Toyota

•Scion tC Release Series 10.0•Final Edition

•Toyota 86•North American debut

•Toyota Highlander•Facelift

Volkswagen

•Audi R8 Spyder•New body style

•Porsche 718 Boxster•North American debut

•Porsche 911 R•New trim level

•Porsche Macan•New engine

•Volkswagen Golf Alltrack•North American debut




April 2016: New York International Auto Show Review

Luxury Debuts Mark a Great EconomyIts strange how it looks like Green Cars are thehighlight of this year’s New York auto showwhen gasoline is averaging under $2 across theUnited States. General Motors highlightedupdates to their smallest Buick and the littlestAmerican-made Chevrolet, Porsche launched afour-cylinder Macan crossover, Toyota launcheda 50-state plug-in hybrid, Acura introduced ahybrid version of the MDX, and even the firstGenesis brand concept sported a hybriddrivetrain.

The biggest splashes, however, were from theless eco-friendly side of the industry. Mercedes-Benz showed a sportier version of its compactGLC crossover with 367hp along with two high-performance AMG versions of other models.Kia took the show to introduce the secondgeneration of its Cadenza full-sized sedan.Nissan’s supercar, the GT-R, added new stylingand even more power. Porsche went old-schoolwith its racing edition 911 R with less weight, areal 6-speed manual transaxle and a largernon-turbo six-cylinder pumping out 500hp. But,arguably, the stars of the show were twoconcepts for two different luxury marques.

Rumored for nearly a decade, Hyundai rolledout is Genesis brand earlier this year withrevamped versions of the top two Hyundaimodels. As part of a future six-model lineup, itwas a certainty that announcements were ontheir way. The first came in the form of the “NewYork Concept,” which promises to point the wayfor the new Genesis design theme and hint atthe upcoming “entry-level” Genesis G70 sedan.The beauty of the “New York Concept” cannotbe properly demonstrated in photographs sincethere are just too many details that need to beseen as a whole. Obvious winner.

As part of Lincoln’s reintroduction to the world,Matthew McConnaughey swaggered onto thestage and unveiled the Navigator Concept. Thisis the second straight introduction where anactual name was used instead of the “MK”series that flushed Zephyr and Town Car fromthe lexicon. As a large SUV concept, theNavigator shows the clean lines from theContinental and the vast interior space offeredin the Navigator production model. Even thoughits lavish and huge gull-wing doors won’t makeproduction, another obvious winner.




World Car of the Year

2016 Mazda MX-5The 10th annual World Car Awards

announcement saw the Mazda MX-5

overcome its runner-up status (North

American and European COTY) to take the

prize over the Audi A4 and Mercedes-Benz

GLC. Other awards included Design (Mazda

MX-5), Green Car (Toyota Mirai),

Performance Car (Audi R8), and Luxury Car

(BMW 7-Series).

2016 Audi A4 2016 Mercedes-Benz GLC




Daimler

2017 Mercedes-Benz GLC Coupe•Starting with the new GLC crossover, Mercedes-Benz created a sportier “coupe” body style to take on the BMW X4

•Enhancing its sportier style, the GLC Coupe drops the frames from the standard GLC’s windows, removes the wagon-like roofline in favor of a hatch-like silhouette, and lowers the top for a sleeker, faster look

•Nearly three inches longer, an inch and a half lower, and more than 4 ¼

inches wider than the standard GLC, the Coupe has a more aggressive

demeanor and style

•Under the hood lies a twin-turbocharged V6 engine producing 367hp and

pushing it all through Mercedes-Benz’ 9G-TRONIC nine-speed automatic

transmission powering all four 21-inch wheels




Ford

2016 Lincoln Navigator concept•Just about as wild as modern American concepts get, the Navigator concept provides a look at the new Lincoln styling theme stretched across the large SUV canvas

•The new Continental’s front clip has been enlarged to Navigator size and still retains the modern look of the large sedan

•Instead of the four doors on the standard-length Navigator, the concept

fills the sides with two large gull-wing doors hinged near the central line of

the truck; production version will obviously trade them for swinging doors

•The next generation of 3.5L EcoBoost twin-turbo V6 engine is said to

produce over 400hp in this vehicle




Fuji Heavy

2017 Subaru Impreza•Subaru’s fifth generation Impreza showcases a mild update on an all-new platform

•Continuing as a four-door sedan and a “5-door” hatchback or small wagon, the new model adds production lines in the US to accommodate assembly of Canadian and US vehicles

•Subaru’s new platform will be the basis for all next-generation models from the brand•Marginally larger, the sedan continues the look of earlier generations

while the 5-door gains a little more crossover-like styling with its larger tail

section but still keeping the family resemblance to the earlier model




General Motors

2017 Chevrolet Camaro ZL1•About 200 pounds lighter than the outgoing model, the new Camaro ZL1 is even more track-focused

•Starting with the restyled body of the new Camaro, the ZL1 tops the lineup with a unique powertrain and the debut of a new transmission

•The Corvette’s supercharged V8 pushes 640hp in this application

•A joint development between Ford and General Motors, the ZL1 is GM’s

first use of the new 10-speed automatic transmission, which will eventually

find its way into a number of rear-wheel drive models

•Pricing for the coupe is expected to be in the US$60,000 range, a

convertible version will also be offered




General Motors

2017 Chevrolet Sonic•New styling and features bring the subcompact back for more fierce competition

•Outside, the Sonic drops the round headlights in favor of LED running lights and the Chevrolet face shown on the new Bolt and Cruze

•The new interior features things Millenials expect such as 4G LTE wi-fi, Apple CarPlay and Android Auto along with a new 7-inch touchscreen

•Sedans will be offered in four trim levels while the hatchback will only be

offered in the sportier RS trim

•Powertrain choice continue to be a non-turbo 1.8L four-cylinder or a

138hp 1.4L turbocharged four with 6-speed automatic or manual

transaxles




Honda

2017 Acura MDX•First model to adopt Acura’s new design language which made its debut on the concept car shown at January’s NAIAS

•The MDX’s grille is now more prominently diamond pentagon-shaped and sports a larger version of the Acura caliper logo

•Inside, the MDX gains USB charging ports, an “ultra-widescreen Rear Entertainment System, and real wood trim

•Standard and Advance models Super Handling All-Wheel drive

•Sport Hybrid model combines a 3.0L SOHC V6 and 7-speed dual-clutch

transaxle along with a front motor and rear “Twin Motor Unit” into a hybrid

system that generates 325hp and includes Sport Hybrid SH-AWD traction

for a 7mpg improvement over non-hybrid models




Hyundai

2016 Genesis New York concept•First look at the new styling direction for the Genesis brand as well as a glimpse of the new mid-sized G70 model

•Styling details on the concept, including bronze accents and “gills” on the fenders and grille that move to the inside, cover the car completely while not looking busy or overwrought

•Modern interior sports a 21-inch LG-supplied curved 4K screen that

covers much of the instrument panel’s center which allows for gesture

control of various features

•The hybrid drivetrain combines a 2.0L direct-injected gasoline four-

cylinder engine with an 8-speed automatic transmission and electric

motors




Hyundai

2017 Kia Cadenza•Kia’s second generation full-sized front-drive sedan, the Cadenza continues to take aim at entry-premium models such as Toyota’s Avalon

•Because it was introduced late in its global life-cycle, the Cadenza is being updated only two years after its North American introduction

•Two different trim levels can be differentiated by their grille designs; base

models feature the “Diamond Butterfly” styling that ties it with the rest of

the Kia lineup while the upper models get a unique “Intaglio” grille with its

vertical slats

•Lower and wider, the new Cadenza has a 290hp version of the 3.3L V6

and a new eight-speed transaxle




Mazda

2017 Mazda MX-5 RF•In this use, “RF” stands for retractable fastback to differentiate it from the earlier retractable hardtop

•Unlike the earlier retractable hardtop MX-5, this version sports sail panels for a permanent fastback style but the targa-type roof opening removes automatically at the touch of a button at speeds of up to 10km/h (6mph)

•Mechanically, the RF is identical to the standard roadster edition with its

2.0L SKY-ACTIV-G four-cylinder for North American customers while a

1.5L version will be offered to various global markets




Renault/Nissan

2017 Nissan GT-R•The biggest change in the GT-R since its 2007 North American introduction, the new model gets updated styling and power

•Nissan’s family “V-motion” grille opening is adapted to the top-of-the-line GT-R model with new ground effect sills protruding from under each side

•Revised rear-end styling keeps the four round taillights and adds more pronounced quad chromed exhaust tips

•Inside, the GT-R gets simpler audio system controls and a larger touch

panel

•Hand-built in Japan, the GT-R’s 3.8L DOHC twin-turbo V6 improves from

545hp to 565hp while adding 4 lb-ft of torque; even the 6-speed dual-

clutch transmission is improved with smoother shifting




Renault/Nissan

2017 Nissan Titan Half Ton•Alongside its bigger XD brother, the standard Titan pickup will hit the showroom floor later this year

•Sharing only basic styling and cab size, the “half-ton” model has a shorter nose and its own frame

•Single-, King-, and Crew-Cab varieties will be offered, each with its own bed length

•Also offered in the larger XD, the “half-ton” model gets Nissan’s

“Endurance” 5.6L DOHC V8 gasoline engine and 7-speed automatic

transmission in 4x2 and 4x4 editions; a gasoline V6 is planned for later

introduction but only in the “half-ton”




Toyota

2017 Toyota Prius Prime•Breaking from the prior plug-in version of the Prius, the new model gains its own name and styling

•Expected to be a bigger seller than the earlier plug-in, the 50-state (unlike the earlier model) Prius Prime features a more Murai-like front end with unique fenders, hood, and front end from the standard Prius•A new instrument panel showcases a huge 11.6-inch HD display with

navigation along with heads-up display and wireless phone charging

•Improved driveline allows the Prime to operate for up to 22 miles on EV-

only mode at speeds of up to 84mph; with its 11.3-gallon gas tank, the

Prime is capable of more than 600 miles between fill ups




AutoForecast Solutions LLCAutoForecast Solutions LLC (AFS) provides vehicle, powertrain, and drivetrain production forecasting and advisory solutions to the global automotive industry. Our suite of Automotive Business Intelligence Solutions, coupled with our global, detailed, forecasting databases and tools are unmatched in the automotive industry.

AutoForecast Solutions and WardsAuto maintain an exclusive partnership to further enhance our combined global solution. With breakthrough innovations, the combination of these two proven companies provides valuable insight, expertise, and decision support to vehicle manufacturers, suppliers, financial institutions and the academic community.

Together, our two companies bring the WardsAuto/AFS Forecast & Planning Solutions to the global automotive community.

The following slides contain a sample of the data provided to AFS customers as part of their subscription-based service

Please feel free to contact us to see how we can support your automotive forecasting and business planning needs

855.734.4590 x1001




Global LV Production(2009 – 2022)

0

20,000,000

40,000,000

60,000,000

80,000,0002

00

9

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

20

20

20

21

20

22

Middle-East/Africa

Asia-Pacific

Eastern Europe

Western Europe

South America

North America

Region 2015 (Mil) 2022 (Mil) 2022 VS. 2015 Growth 2022 vs. 2009 CAGR 2022 vs. 2015 CAGR

NA 17.5 19.2 10.0% 6.4% 1.4%

SA 3.1 4.1 32.4% 0.8% 4.1%

WE 14.2 14.8 3.9% 1.7% 0.5%

EE 6.82 8.2 21.7% 4.0% 2.8%

AP 45.5 57.4 26.1% 5.4% 3.4%

ME/A 2.2 2.8 25.0% 3.6% 3.2%

TOTAL 89.3 106.5 19.3% 4.5% 2.6%

Source: WardsAuto/AutoForecast Solutions – January 2016

2022 = 106.5 Million




Regional Light Vehicle Production Forecast

Region 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

ASIA-PACIFIC 45,515,000 48,940,000 51,060,000 53,070,000 54,675,003 55,830,000 56,695,000 57,400,000

EASTERN EUROPE 6,718,997 6,800,000 7,035,000 7,470,000 7,920,000 8,080,000 8,150,000 8,175,000

MIDDLE 2,236,000 2,450,000 2,560,000 2,610,000 2,656,000 2,725,000 2,790,000 2,795,000

NORTH AMERICA 17,457,998 17,700,000 18,070,000 18,250,000 18,615,000 18,970,000 19,110,000 19,210,000

SOUTH AMERICA 3,108,998 3,100,000 3,400,000 3,570,000 3,850,000 3,950,000 4,040,000 4,115,000

WESTERN 14,209,558 14,300,000 14,400,000 14,500,000 14,600,000 14,720,000 14,730,000 14,765,000

Total 89,246,551 93,290,000 96,525,000 99,470,000 102,316,003 104,275,000 105,515,000 106,460,000

Memo Items 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Memo: BRIC 2,335,868 2,373,676 2,683,024 2,815,582 3,081,094 3,163,274 3,240,365 3,307,805

Memo: BRIC 23,115,828 24,827,611 26,471,798 27,948,174 29,133,626 29,962,395 30,639,848 31,295,381

Memo: BRIC 4,023,885 4,756,891 5,007,170 5,462,798 5,742,463 5,866,774 5,886,436 5,885,668

Memo: BRIC 1,304,008 1,497,290 1,626,889 1,734,430 1,844,715 1,916,988 1,986,672 2,005,539

Memo: BRIC 30,779,589 33,455,468 35,788,881 37,960,984 39,801,898 40,909,431 41,753,321 42,494,393

Memo: Europe 20,928,555 21,100,000 21,435,000 21,970,000 22,520,000 22,800,000 22,880,000 22,940,000

Regional LV Production

Release: R1512 Dec 31 2015

Source: WardsAuto/AutoForecast Solutions – Jan 2016




Regional Powertrain Forecast by Package Type and Vehicle Region Application


Powertrain Package Type - All Region

Summary 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

EL Only 259,842 332,583 394,012 450,027 479,133 499,244 507,293 508,797

EVICE 17,020 25,300 29,707 31,106 31,693 31,952 32,617 32,451

FC Only 1,469 2,881 4,163 4,396 5,157 5,624 5,634 5,379

HYBRID 2,450,589 2,963,425 3,166,300 3,307,460 3,549,336 3,770,024 3,790,688 3,896,469

IC Only 86,517,631 89,965,811 92,930,818 95,677,011 98,250,684 99,968,156 101,178,768 102,016,904

Total - All Region Summary 89,246,551 93,290,000 96,525,000 99,470,000 102,316,003 104,275,000 105,515,000 106,460,000

Powertrain Package Type - ASIA-PACIFIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

EL Only 116,797 148,689 157,809 169,391 180,387 178,722 182,940 183,372

EVICE 204 432 3,708 4,813 4,842 4,944 5,104 5,193

FC Only 1,421 2,833 4,115 4,139 4,162 4,141 4,147 4,158

HYBRID 1,926,198 2,263,813 2,369,983 2,422,071 2,458,286 2,422,698 2,398,127 2,450,957

IC Only 43,470,380 46,524,233 48,524,385 50,469,586 52,027,326 53,219,495 54,104,682 54,756,320

Total - ASIA-PACIFIC 45,515,000 48,940,000 51,060,000 53,070,000 54,675,003 55,830,000 56,695,000 57,400,000

Powertrain Package Type - EASTERN

EUROPE 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

EL Only 6,348 7,926 8,274 8,634 8,826 8,818 9,132 9,300

EVICE 1,095 3,068 3,447 3,762 4,152 4,339 4,520 4,535

HYBRID 19,210 26,557 27,271 26,707 34,665 39,463 40,036 41,999

IC Only 6,692,344 6,762,449 6,996,008 7,430,897 7,872,357 8,027,380 8,096,312 8,119,166

Total - EASTERN EUROPE 6,718,997 6,800,000 7,035,000 7,470,000 7,920,000 8,080,000 8,150,000 8,175,000

Powertrain Package Volumes

Release: R1512 Dec 31 2015

*Volumes displayed are the Powertrain Volumes consumed by Light Vehicle (LV) production.Package Types are: EL Only - Electric Motor Drive with battery only; EVICE - Electric Motor Drive with Internal Combustion Engine as Generator;

FC Only - Electric Motor Drive with Fuel Cell power source; HYBRID - Electric Motor and Internal Combustion Engine Drive; IC Only - Internal Combustion Engine Drive



AutoForecast Solutions22Source: WardsAuto/AutoForecast Solutions – Jan 2016

Powertrain Package Type - MIDDLE

EAST/AFRICA 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

EL Only 46 66 66 66 66 54 54 54

HYBRID 0 0 0 2,850 3,444 3,492 3,540 3,600

IC Only 2,235,954 2,449,934 2,559,934 2,607,084 2,652,490 2,721,454 2,786,406 2,791,346

Total - MIDDLE EAST/AFRICA 2,236,000 2,450,000 2,560,000 2,610,000 2,656,000 2,725,000 2,790,000 2,795,000

Powertrain Package Type - NORTH

AMERICA 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

EL Only 72,464 107,362 157,354 195,208 196,072 208,462 211,393 213,585

FC Only 0 0 0 0 498 979 983 989

HYBRID 288,673 434,537 516,341 584,347 756,276 991,140 1,025,629 1,074,820

IC Only 17,096,861 17,158,101 17,396,305 17,470,445 17,662,154 17,769,419 17,871,995 17,920,606

Total - NORTH AMERICA 17,457,998 17,700,000 18,070,000 18,250,000 18,615,000 18,970,000 19,110,000 19,210,000

Powertrain Package Type - SOUTH

AMERICA 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

IC Only 3,108,998 3,100,000 3,400,000 3,570,000 3,850,000 3,950,000 4,040,000 4,115,000

Total - SOUTH AMERICA 3,108,998 3,100,000 3,400,000 3,570,000 3,850,000 3,950,000 4,040,000 4,115,000

Powertrain Package Type - WESTERN

EUROPE 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

EL Only 64,187 68,540 70,509 76,728 93,782 103,188 103,774 102,486

EVICE 15,721 21,800 22,552 22,531 22,699 22,669 22,993 22,723

FC Only 48 48 48 257 497 504 504 232

HYBRID 216,508 238,518 252,705 271,485 296,665 313,231 323,356 325,093

IC Only 13,913,094 13,971,094 14,054,186 14,128,999 14,186,357 14,280,408 14,279,373 14,314,466

Total - WESTERN EUROPE 14,209,558 14,300,000 14,400,000 14,500,000 14,600,000 14,720,000 14,730,000 14,765,000

*Volumes displayed are the Powertrain Volumes consumed by Light Vehicle (LV) production.Package Types are: E L Only - Electric Motor Drive with battery only; E V ICE - Electric Motor Drive with Internal Combustion Engine as Generator;

FC Only - Electric Motor Drive with Fuel Cell power source; HY BRID - Electric Motor and Internal Combustion Engine Drive; IC Only - Internal Combustion Engine Drive

Regional Powertrain Forecast by Package Type and Vehicle Region Application (Cont’d)




NAFTA Greenfield Production

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

2,000,000

Canada United States Mexico

• BMW San Luis Potosi (2019)• BMW (2-Series, 3-Series, 4-Series)

• COMPAS (RNNS + Daimler) Aguascalientes (2017)• Infiniti QX30

• Daimler (A-Class SWB, GLB)

• Daimler North Charleston (2018)• Freightliner Sprinter

• Faraday Futures North Vegas (2017)• Faraday (Large EV Plus, MP-EV, Sedan)

• FCA Saltillo Van (2013)• Ram ProMaster

• Ford (via Multimatic) (2016)• Ford GT

• Ford Queretaro (2018)• Ford Focus

• Honda Performance Manufacturing Center (2016)• Acura NSX

• Honda Celaya (2014)• Honda (Fit/Jazz, HR-V/Vezel)

• Hyundai Monterrey (2016)• Kia (Forte, Rio)

• Karma Automotive (2016)• Elux Karma EV/EVER

• Mazda Salamanca (2014)• Mazda (2, 3)

• Toyota Yaris / Scion iA

• RNNS Aguascalientes 2 (2013)• Nissan (B-CUV, Sentra)

• Toyota Guanajuato (2018)• Toyota Corolla

• Volvo (Geely) Berkeley County (2018)• Volvo (S60/S60L, XC60)

• VW San Jose Chiapa (2015)• Audi Q5




AutoForecast Solutions24Source: WardsAuto/AutoForecast Solutions – May 2015

Reporting/Analysis Planning

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2016 New York International Auto Show

Automotive

Transcript of 2016 New York International Auto Show