2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf ·...

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2016 IPO Year in Review Best Year for IPO Returns since 2013. January 16, 2017 Kris Tuttle & Nicolas Spoors

Transcript of 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf ·...

Page 1: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

2016 IPO Year in ReviewBest Year for IPO Returns since 2013.

January 16, 2017 Kris Tuttle & Nicolas Spoors

Page 2: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

2016 was light on IPO volume with only 113 IPOs pricing on the US markets (we do not include blank-check acquisition firms in our analysis). Only 2 months produced above-average IPO volume and both occurred at the end of the year.

Page 3: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

The overall average return from 2016 IPOs for the year was 23%. Deals were (relatively) evenly split between the three grades of Underwriter Quality (A, B, and C). As can be seen from the bar graph on the right, the average return from the "A deals" was 31%. For the lower quality, "C deals", the average was just 17%.

Page 4: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

Here are some of the best IPO deals from 2016. These are deals with the highest underwriter quality that ended the year at least 20% above their IPO price.

Page 5: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

Here is a look at the Top 5 performing IPO deals from each Underwriter Quality:

Page 6: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

Healthcare was the biggest sector in 2016 (47 deals) and it accounted for 42% of the total

volume of IPOs for the year.

2016 IPO Volume by Industry

Page 7: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

Looking at deals by amount raised gives finance, energy and

industrials a major boost.

2016 IPO Volume by Size of Deal in Billions of US Dollars

Page 8: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

66% of the companies that went public in 2016 ended the year above their IPO price, and the average positive increase was over 47%. Note that the number of IPOs here is only 112 because Peekay Boutiques (PKAY) stopped producing price data after November 18th:

Page 9: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

Here is the full spectrum of returns from 2016 IPOs. The most common returns were between 0% and 25%. There were also 13 IPOs that did extremely well (75% or Greater):

Page 10: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

Historically, there are usually 2 main modes of returns for IPOs:

1.) Losing -75% or Less, or 2.) Gaining 75% or Greater.

Page 11: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

Technology IPOs were the stars for 2016 IPOs. Also, finance, industrials and energy IPOs made a major comeback during the end of the year:

Page 12: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

2016 was the best year since 2013 for IPO performance. 2014 had the most deals by volume, but those deals did not perform as well as the deals of 2016.

Page 13: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

Thursday was "The Day" for IPOs:

Page 14: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

2016 was the best year since 2013 as well for First Trading Day Returns on their IPO Date. The average First Trading Day Return from the opening price to the closing price was 1.27%!

Page 15: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

Best performing IPOs by % and amount raised (size of bubble.)

Page 16: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

Here are the worst IPOs from 2016 by performance:

Page 17: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•
Page 18: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•
Page 19: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•
Page 20: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

There were no energy IPOs for the year until September 15th. During the three months following, 5 energy deals emerged. 4 out of 5 of these energy deals ended the year above their IPO price.

Page 21: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•
Page 22: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•
Page 23: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

2016 IPOs sorted by IPO date

Page 24: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

2016 IPOs sorted by IPO date

Page 25: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

2016 IPOs sorted by change from IPO price.

Page 26: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

2016 IPOs sorted by change from IPO price.

Page 27: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

2016 IPOs sorted by Industry and then Performance

Page 28: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

2016 IPOs sorted by Industry and then Performance

Page 29: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

Summary Highlights• 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).

• Nearly all IPOs (66%) ended the year above their IPO price, and the overall average performance was 23%.

• Healthcare had the most deals out of all the industries (47 deals priced).

• Technology was the best performing sector for IPOs (with an average performance at the end of the year of 34%)

• Acacia Communications and Impinj were the best technology names with gains of 168% and 152% respectively.

• Monster Digital was the worst technology name. It finished the year with a negative return of (-61%).

• Energy produced zero IPOs until September 15.

• Energy had 5 IPOs during the end of the year and 4 out of 5 of the deals ended the year above their IPO price.

• All industries of IPOs from 2016 ended the year with a positive average return.

• 2016 was the best year since 2013 for average performance for IPOs.• 2016 was the best year since 2013 for First Trading Day Returns on their IPO Date. The average First Trading Day Return

from the opening price to the closing price was 1.27%.

• Thursday was the most popular day in terms of volume and also for the best returns for ending the year. Thursday

produced 47 (42%) of the 113 IPO deals from 2016.

• Thursday IPOs ended the year with an average return of 34% (which was 11% above the average for 2016 IPOs).

Page 30: 2016 IPO Year in Review - Amazon S3s3.amazonaws.com/ipo_candy/IPO_Candy_2016_Year_Review.pdf · 2017-01-22 · • 2016 was a light year in terms of volume (113 IPO deals priced).•

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