2015 New York International Auto Show

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AutoForecast Solutions

New York Auto Show Review & Highlights

April 2015

2015 New York International Auto Show

AutoForecast Solutions LLC Special Report:

mailto:[email protected]


AutoForecast Solutions2

Introductions2015 New York International Auto Show

Daimler

• 2016 Mercedes-Benz GLE-Class

Ford Motor Company

• 2015 Lincoln Continental concept

Fuji Heavy

• 2015 Subaru BRZ STI concept

General Motors

• 2016 Cadillac CT6

• 2016 Chevrolet Malibu

• 2016 Chevrolet Spark

Hyundai-Kia

• 2016 Hyundai Tucson

• 2016 Kia Optima

Lyons Motor Car

• 2015 Lyons LM2 Streamliner

McLaren

• 2016 McLaren 570S

Mitsubishi

• 2016 Mitsubishi Outlander

Renault-Nissan

• 2016 Nissan Maxima

Tata

• 2016 Jaguar XF

• 2016 Range Rover Sport HST

• 2016 Range Rover SVAutobiography

Toyota

• 2016 Lexus RX

• 2016 Scion iA

• 2016 Scion iM

• 2016 Toyota RAV4 Hybrid

Volkswagen

• 2016 Porsche Boxster Spyder

• 2016 Volkswagen Golf SportsWagen Alltrack




Briefly

Styling Updates & Special EditionsAston Martin

•Aston Martin Vulcan (North American debut)

BMW

•BMW 1-Series

•BMW M4 MotoGP Safety Car

Daimler

•Smart ForTwo (North American debut)

Fiat Chrysler

•Fiat 500X (North American debut)

Ford Motor Company

•Ford Focus RS (North American debut)

Geely

•Volvo XC90 R-Design (North American debut)

General Motors

•Buick Enclave Tuscan Edition

•Chevrolet Equinox

•GMC Terrain

Mazda

•Mazda MX5 Club Edition

Renault-Nissan

•Infiniti QX30 (North American debut)

Toyota

•Lexus RC-F race car

Volkswagen

•Audi A3 e-tron (North American debut)

•Audi TT (North American debut)

•Bentley EXP 10 Speed 6 (North American debut)

•Porsche Panamera Edition

•Volkswagen Beetle Denim

•Volkswagen Beetle Pink

•Volkswagen Beetle R-Line

•Volkswagen Beetle Wave




2015 New York International Auto Show

Luxury cars and the fuel regulationsEven thought the New York show is the oldestcar show in North America, it can getoverlooked next to the Detroit, Los Angeles,and Chicago shows. This year, however, NewYork played host to a number of big debuts.

When Cadillac announced in January that NewYork would be the backdrop for the introductionof their new flagship CT6, the gauntlet hadbeen thrown down. But it wasn’t until the firstweek of April when the relevance of the showcame into focus.

Luxury cars were front and center for the 2015NYIAS. Cadillac’s full-sized CT6 introduces thenew senior platform and Cadillac’s exclusive3.0L twin-turbo V6. Across town rival Ford stoleGM’s thunder by surprising the audience withthe new Lincoln Continental concept and thebrand’s new styling direction. Other new andrevised luxury models were introduced byRolls-Royce, Lexus, Mercedes-Benz, Infiniti,BMW, and Porsche. But it’s not like the luxurycars of years past.

Instead of burly big-displacement V8 enginesmotivating over-weight land yachts, these newmodels are fuel efficient and trim. Starting with

the Cadillac CT6’s new Omega platform blendsaluminum and high strength steel to make a bigcar that weighs less than the mid-sizedcompetition, while choices under the hoodrange from a 400hp six-cylinder down to aturbocharged four-cylinder. Lincoln’s sedan alsogets nothing larger than a turbo 3.0L V6.

As manufacturers plan for their future models,American fuel regulations are playing thegreatest role in history. When past regulationsmight have limited the variations or enginesoffered, stronger fuel economy rules createwhole new powertrains targeting just the US.

To reach previously unreachable goals, moreand more models are offering electric-only,hybrid, and even the return of diesel engines.Plug-in hybrids from BMW and Mercedes-Benzboost fuel economy numbers to near regulatedgoals, years ahead of schedule.

The New York show has introduced the world tomany new vehicles over the last century and,as the industry’s last car show of the season,manufacturers want to take the chance toquench the appetite for cars and trucks untilfall.




World Car of the Year

2015 Mercedes-Benz C-ClassAfter taking third in the European Car of the Year competition (behind

the winning Volkswagen Passat and 2nd place Citroen C4 Cactus), the

award of the Mercedes-Benz C-Class as World Car of the Year was a bit

of a surprise.

Mercedes-Benz did a great job with the latest generation C-Class.

Riding on Mercedes-Benz’ new Modular Rear Architecture (MRA)

platform, the car is positioned for the future. The MRA platform

decreases the vehicle’s weight while allowing Mercedes-Benz to create a

larger number of models from this one architecture including the GLC

(replacing the GLK) and the next-generation E-Class.

2015 Ford Mustang 2015 Volkswagen Passat

Performance Car of the Year

2015 Mercedes-AMG GT

Luxury Car of the Year

2015 Mercedes-Benz S-Class Coupe

Design of the Year 2015 Citroen C4 Cactus

Green Car of the Year

2015 BMW i8




Reporting/Analysis Planning

Vehicle Life Cycle Charts Regional Scenario creation

Multiple Flexible Report Generators Competitor/Market Share

Quick access reports Vehicle Changes (what’s new, cancelled, or changed)

Support

Daily/Weekly Monthly Frequently

Direct Access to Forecast Team

Leaders

Regional Code Books Back Office Support

AFS Weekly Guidance Report Regional Cycle Charts WardsAuto Relationship

Regional Production Databases

Volumes, History, Structure and FPP (thru 2022)

Light Vehicle VM, Brand Owner, Brand, Platform, Program, Nameplate, Plant,

Segment, SOP/EOP… and more

Powertrain

*Engine, Transmission, Electric Motors,

Drivetrain

Family; # of Cyl; # of Forward Gears; Fuel Type; Package type;

Voltage; Valves per Cyl, Transmission Type, manufacturer/plant

source … and much more … attached to each vehicle




WardsAutoForecast Solution Highlights

AFS Forecast* Regional vehicle production data - Volume, History, Structure, and FPP Production Forecast thru 2022.

Monthly/Annual Detail: VM, Brand Owner, Brand, Platform, Program, Nameplate, Plant, Segment, SOP/EOP.. and more

*Engine, Transmission,

Electric Motor, Drivetrain

Production Data

Volume, History, Structure, and FPP Production Forecast thru 2022.

Monthly/Annual Detail: Family; # of Cyl; # of Forward Gears; Fuel Type; Package type; Voltage; Valves per Cyl,

manufacturer/plant source, .. and much more … attached to each vehicle

AFS Weekly Weekly PDF detailing global automotive manufacturing changes, new vehicle introductions, cancelled vehicles, and

labor issues

AFS Monthly Regional code books. Vehicle structure detail for the 8-year forecast planning window – in PDF format on a monthly

basis.

AFS Quarterly A quarterly newsletter focused on key factors driving the automotive production outlook - Regional analysis, key

performance indicators, editorial commentary, and light vehicle and powertrain production outlook highlights.

AFS Cycle Charts Regional cycle charts. Chart/volume lifecycle charts at the vehicle assembly detail level. User defined filters and report

layouts. Excel output.

AFS Market Share Enter and analyze market share and competitive positioning by product, vehicle, customer, and competitor. Dynamically

updated each month to maintain an accurate, and consistent global competitive view. Integrates directly with the AFS

Forecast data.

AFS Scenario Build your own regional vehicle/powertrain forecasts to support scenario analysis (upside, base, downside). Full

reporting capability. The only tool of its kind in the industry today!

AFS Planning A web-based, revenue planning solutions developed specifically for automotive suppliers. Track past, current, and future

revenue at the part number level. Attach products directly to vehicle and powertrain applications to analyze part

volumes, installation rates, piece price, and much more – all in real time! Dynamically attached to the AFS Forecast

database for accurate results. AFS Planning is the premier solution for business planning and opportunity identification

to support your core business and promote future growth.

*Flexible Report

Generators

User-friendly interface to create customized data layouts at the monthly, quarterly and annual levels .. With all of the

available vehicle and powertrain data fields. Save, view, and export results into Excel.

*Support Subscribers gain direct access to the automotive forecast team. We are more than just your data provider - we support

your automotive industry analysis and back office operations.




Global LV Production(2009 –2021)

0

20,000,000

40,000,000

60,000,000

80,000,000

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

20

20

20

21

Middle-East/Africa

Asia-Pacific

Eastern Europe

Western Europe

South America

North America

Region 2014 (Mil) 2021 (Mil) 2021 VS. 2014 Growth 2021 vs. 2009 CAGR 2021 vs. 2014 CAGR

NA 17.02 18.96 11.4% 6.8% 1.6%

SA 3.83 5.20 35.6% 2.9% 4.4%

WE 13.34 15.24 14.2% 2.1% 1.9%

EE 6.75 7.89 16.9% 4.0% 2.3%

AP 45.47 58.76 29.2% 6.1% 3.7%

ME/A 0.82 1.00 21.3% 6.6% 2.8%

TOTAL 87.23 107.00 22.7% 5.2% 3.0%

2021 = 107 Million

This sample of the data provided to clients of Wards/AutoForecast Solutions.




Global Segment Growth Analysis(2014 –2021)

0 3 6 9 12

CAR

Pickup

CUV

SUV

Van

Segment Volume Growth(2014 to 2021)

Millions

2014

2021

Global Market by Segment

Car

Pickup

CUV

SUV

Van

2021 vs. 2014 = 19.7 Million Units Volume GrowthSource: WardsAuto/AutoForecast Solutions – January 2015

This sample of the data provided to clients of Wards/AutoForecast Solutions.




New York International Auto Show

AutoForecast Solutions (AFS) produces regular updates for significant global automotive events including international car shows like the New York International Auto Show.

To get your free copy of the 33-page report covering 22 individual car and truck introductions:

Call AFS at 855-734-4590

or send an email to:

Sam Fiorani at [email protected]

Recent reports on the Detroit and Geneva auto shows are also available upon request.





AutoForecast Solutions LLCAutoForecast Solutions (AFS) provides vehicle, powertrain, and drivetrain production forecasting and advisory solutions to the global automotive industry. Our suite of Automotive Business Intelligence Solutions, coupled with our global, detailed, forecasting databases and tools are unmatched in the automotive industry.

AutoForecast Solutions and WardsAuto maintain an exclusive partnership to further enhance our combined global solution. With breakthrough innovations, the combination of these two proven companies provides valuable insight, expertise, and decision support to vehicle manufacturers, suppliers, financial institutions and the academic community.

Please feel free to contact us to see how we can support your automotive forecasting and business planning needs

855.734.4590




Joe McCabePresident & CEO

[email protected]

(610)813-6370

Sam FioraniVice President, Global Vehicle Forecasting

[email protected]

(610)813-6372

Brian MaximVice President, Global Powertrain Forecasting

[email protected]

(610)813-6373

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2015 New York International Auto Show

Automotive

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