2015 Motion Control Market Update...MCA Membership’s Hottest Regions In 2015 . Expectations for...
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2015 Motion Control Market Update Alex Shikany MCA Director of Market Analysis
Transcript of 2015 Motion Control Market Update...MCA Membership’s Hottest Regions In 2015 . Expectations for...
2015 Motion Control
Market Update
Alex Shikany MCA Director of Market Analysis
Agenda
I. Latest Motion Control Statistics
II. Looking Ahead to 2015
III. Economy & Current Events
IV. Conclusion
2014 Motion Statistics
*Projected
NOTE: Orders and Shipments are different primarily because more MCA participating companies supply
shipment data than order data for 2009 to 2014.
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*
Orders $1.53 $2.05 $2.60 $2.55 $2.40 $2.65
Shipments $1.85 $2.31 $2.94 $2.93 $2.80 $3.08
% North American 70.5% 74.2% 73.9% 74.4% 76.1% 77.5%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*
Orders -32.8% 29.8% 19.0% -3.4% -5.8% 9.8%
Shipments -30.3% 23.4% 22.3% -1.0% -4.7% 10.2%
MCA Reported Orders and Shipments in $ Billions (USD)
MCA Year-Over-Year Real Growth Rates (in Percent)
2014 Motion Statistics
Estimated Regional Markets – 2014 – (Billions $)
$0.000
$5.000
$10.000
$15.000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
$2.386
$2.088
$5.667
$4.772
North America Asia Pacific Europe Japan
2014 Motion Statistics
Average Growth Since the First Quarter of 2010
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0%
Other Ancillary Components
Sensors & Feedback Dev.
AC Motors
Motion Controllers
Actuators & Mech. Systems
AC Drives
Support Services
Motors
Electronic Drives
2014 Motion Statistics
Relative Category Shares - 2014
Motion ControllersElectronic DrivesAC DrivesMotorsAC MotorsActuators & Mech. SystemsSensors & Feedback Dev.Other Ancillary ComponentsSupport Services
2014 Motion Statistics
Motion Controllers – Orders & Shipments – 2010 to 2014
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
Orders 15 15 16 18 25 23 21 22 23 22 20 24 25 30 28 31 32 38 39
Shipments 18 16 18 18 22 25 23 23 24 23 23 23 24 29 28 31 33 40 38
- 5.0
10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0
Milli
on
s $
2014 Motion Statistics
Electronic Drives – Orders & Shipments – 2010 to 2014
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
Orders 105 112 117 116 131 118 118 143 133 126 119 118 114 104 109 111 103 107 113
Shipments 123 133 150 141 163 157 150 177 166 163 154 150 144 144 145 142 143 150 153
-
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
200.0
Milli
on
s $
2014 Motion Statistics
AC Drives – Orders & Shipments – 2010 to 2014
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
Orders 52. 54. 72. 71. 103 90. 85. 90. 84. 81. 84. 81. 84. 88. 78. 85. 91. 98. 100
Shipments 50. 54. 60. 72. 80. 87. 89. 88. 83. 83. 87. 83. 83. 86. 84. 78. 83. 92. 95.
-
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
Milli
on
s $
2014 Motion Statistics
Actuators & Mech Systems – Orders & Shipments – 2010 to 2014
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
Orders 82. 88. 88. 93. 113 105 82. 125 122 103 94. 115 102 101 99. 102 108 116 117
Shipments 77. 87. 92. 99. 101 109 97. 129 120 113 104 121 104 106 101 106 109 119 120
-
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
Milli
on
s $
2014 Motion Statistics
Motors – Orders & Shipments – 2010 to 2014
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
Orders 201 190 196 215 236 260 229 216 234 231 222 222 211 211 206 220 218 222 238
Shipments 215 212 231 246 254 288 280 260 266 272 256 256 255 253 250 253 261 266 286
-
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
350.0
Milli
on
s $
The Bottom Line
Total Motion Control Orders and Shipments Thru 2015
$400.0$450.0$500.0$550.0$600.0$650.0$700.0$750.0$800.0$850.0$900.0
Mil
lio
ns $
Orders Shipments
Total Forecasted Growth for 2015:
Orders = 11.2%
Shipments = 8.1%
Expectations for 2015
11% expect > 10% growth
89% expect between 1% and
10% growth
Expectations for 2015
Factory Automation will
remain important
Robotics, Life Sciences, Food
& Consumer Goods, and Semiconductors
are all industries to watch as well
Expectations for 2015
MCA Membership’s Hottest Regions
In 2015
Expectations for 2015
Advances in which motion control technology will have the greatest impact on the overall market in 2015?
Manufacturing Trends
RIA Robot Data – North America – Units Ordered
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Un
its
*Projected
Manufacturing Trends
Domestic Auto Production – Monthly – Not Seasonally Adjusted
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
$3,000,000
$3,500,000
$4,000,000
$4,500,000
$5,000,000
$5,500,000
$6,000,000
$6,500,000
Manufacturing Trends
Semiconductor Market Billings – Americas
(Thousands $, 3-Month Moving Averages)
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
60.0
65.0
Manufacturing Trends
U.S. Manufacturing PMI (2010 – 2014)
70.0
75.0
80.0
85.0
90.0
95.0
100.0
105.0
Manufacturing Trends
U.S. Industrial Production (2007 Levels = 100)
Reshoring Manufacturing to U.S.
Executives are Looking to Automate
“Intelligent Enterprise”
Source: Motorola White Paper - From Cost Center to Growth Center: Warehousing 2018
MCA Statistical Program
Gain access to FULL quarterly reports!
Simple and straight forward process
Manufacturers and distributors can both participate
MCA Statistics Committee
Meets quarterly to determine statistical direction
Great way to gain visibility and get connected
Perfect Time to Get Involved!
Alex Shikany
Director of Market Analysis
MCA
Phone: (734) 994-6088
Twitter: @AlexShikany
Email: [email protected]
Thank You!
