2014 The Next Giant Leap conference wrap up

Next Giant Leap: LeveragingLunar Assets for Sustainable

Pathways to Space

Wrap Up DiscussionNovember 13 2014

Alex Hall

Purpose

• Take outputs from working groups/conference toformulate next steps for sustainable pathways tospace.– Goals: The purpose toward which an endeavor isdirected.

– Strategies: Broad plan of acMon– ObjecMves: Something that one's efforts or acMons areintended to aRain or accomplish; purpose or target.Usually measurable.

– TacMcs: Means for carrying out strategy. (how andwho)

Conference Recap

• 6 plenary panels

• 8 individual presentaMons

• 3 working groups

• Lots of networking (and great food!)

• Stellar group of parMcipants.

THANK YOU

• Jim Crisafulli

• State of Hawaii• Amazing “no request is too muchtrouble” team from University ofHawai’I Hilo Conference Center.

• You.

Plenary Panels

• Relevant topics to feed into working groups– Some overlapping discussion, probably unavoidable.– SomeMmes difficult to avoid it becoming a way tosneak in a quick presentaMon.• Might suggest a different balance needed betweenindividual presenta9ons and plenary panels for a futuregathering.

• Notes to follow (apologies for any omissions, didn’t manageto get everything in. Will add and update for formal conferencerecord. Please send me what I’m missing!)

Notes from Plenaries

• Plenary 1 – Sustainable Pathways: Challenges,OpportuniMes and OpMons [Craig et al]– The human space community must develop a consensus on the

path forward– NRC report Pathway Principles are framework for creaMng

sustainability -‐> internaMonal and commercial partnerships arecriMcal

– There is enormous potenMal in government – commercialpartnerships –> they expand the stakeholder base

– Government – commercial partnership• Both have a role• A complex and evolving relaMonship• Commercial involvement must occur early in government planning


• Plenary 2 – Moon as a Catalyst forSustainable Space Enterprise [Kelso et al]

• NASA has indicated the final desMnaMon isMars...toward expanding humanity to a mulM-‐planetspecies, via asteroid exploraMon.

• InternaMonal consensus favors moonexploraMon/technology• Private sector has interest in resources via the moon

• ISRU is criMcal to a sustainable architecture and mustbe integrated early into the architecture flow

Notes from Plenaries• Cont./ Plenary 2• Moon is a logical 'next-‐step' in advancing/tesMng planetary

technology to enable Mars seRlement. Most design referencemissions for Mars seRlement begin with a roboMcally-‐enabledinfrastructure BEFORE humans arrive

• Moon is closer than asteroids and has gravity fieldmore consistent to Mars than does asteroids.

• Tools for construcMng with regolith and extracMon ofhydrogen /oxygen from resources on moon are morestrategically applicable when done on moon vsasteroids

– Space Law -‐ issues with mineral rights, extracMon mustconMnue to be worked to resoluMon.


• Plenary 3 – Moon Mars Alliance: ConnecMng thedots. [Nall et al]

– The Moon is criMcal for developing a cislunarindustrial base.

– The existence of this industrial base will makeMars exploraMon and development sustainable.

– The existence of this industrial base will providedirect benefits to Earth.


• Plenary 4 – MulM ParMcipatory Approach [Rasky et al]– CommunicaMon to voters and educaMon ofrepresentaMves is necessary to support space exploraMongoals.

– Crowd-‐funding/sourcing can be successful.– CiMzen science provides value and engagement.– Tools using voMng and analysis can provide engagementand data.

– “Storytelling” in the right way for your audiences is criMcal.– NASA needs to succeed because NASA is part of the teamin space.


• Plenary 5 – Building Public Private Partnerships forSustainable SpaceExploraMon/Development/UMlizaMon [Lark et al]– More of:

• Research Partnerships/Centers• Research Parks• COTS like Agreement• Space Act Agreements

– The early and research stages are when private companiesneed the most help from NASA/Govt.

– Insure the commercial side is at minimum a partner andthat the government knows when to step out of the way.


• Plenary 6 – OpMons and OpportuniMes forInternaMonal Space Enterprise [PiRman et al]– Models exist, such as ISS, COMSAT (and similar),AntarcMc treaty etc., that can provide pointers forInternaMonal collaboraMon.

– ESA’s processes and approach is worth– ExisMng risk averse culture can exclude more agile andcost affecMve enterprise.

– Considerable internaMonal demand and interest thatis already finding ways to parMcipate.

– CoordinaMon is important, but need to avoid justanother agency/body to dictate what can be done.

Notes from Individual PresentaMons

• New Horizons for SpaceExploraMon/Development/UMlizaMon – BuzzAldrin

• Technology and architecture is available to planrepeatable Mars missions (Aldrin Mars Cycler)• The Moon is a key part of the process for developingand proving technologies but should not be thedesMnaMon.• Need progressive missions to maintain excitement andmomentum and avoid cancelaMon.• Needs a NaMonal commitment• Advocates for a Lunar Development CorporaMon


• Agile Aerospace -‐ Ben Haldeman, Planet Labs– Planet Labs has used agile aerospace to launch and operate over 70

spacecrar in the last 18 months– A tradiMonal waterfall approach is risk adverse, slow, expensive, and

not adaptable to exponenMal technological progress– An agile approach uses rapid iteraMon, tolerance for higher risk,

focuses on increasing capabiliMes, has a risk profile that lowers overMme, and is adaptable to an unpredictable technological and fundingclimate

– Agile aerospace techniques will increasingly be able to be applied tolarger systems

– The private funding and entrepreneurial climate will rapidly developto support all sorts of agile companies that develop in the variousareas for creaMng sustainable mulM-‐world seRlements for humanity

– A space renaissance is happening -‐ we are living in an insanely exciMngMme and this will happen much more rapidly than most people think.

– Stay excited, believe, and find ways to push this forward. Ad Luna


• Lunar StaMon/ ILRP Proposals – PiRman, Rasky,Bland and Day.– InformaMon in delegate packet.

• View from Washington – Roter and HueRner– There are mulMple exisMng agreements with individualcountries as well as the Outer Space Treaty.

– State department can make sure that non-‐bindingreally is non-‐binding where the US govt is concerned.

– Providing informaMon to state representaMves andtheir engagement in major student outreachprograms moves the needle for posiMve engagementwith space policy decisions.


• Results from recent lunar missions and lessonslearned – Foing– TO ADD

Notes from Individual PresentaMons• Making the Business Case – Lark

– NewSpace is a tough business case to close– Need to take acMon on the small steps that will lead to the giant

leaps– Important to consider how space products could have shorter

term terrestrial applicaMons (immediate profit markets)– Think of space projects from an investors perspecMves and

spend more Mme on the early obstacles and fundamental techor products that enable further development

– Frequent reliable access to space is the first and more crucialstep upon which most space enterprises depend.

– Investors are watching. As things mature, more will invest.– The people maRer. Can’t make progress without individuals

taking acMon. What is my/our next step? AcMon?


• DeclaraMon for an internaMonal lunar decade– Beldavs, Atvars

• Mechanism to establish central organizing enMty• Mechanism to drive collaboraMon

• The Transplanetary FoundaMon, enabling theNext Giant Leap – Keravala– TO ADD

Working Groups

• Have heard the presentaMons. A lot of work!• Will try to extract the commonaliMes, goalsetc. Will circulate/ reconfirm / add in asnecessary.

• We will not reach complete agreement oneverything, but we can reach consensus onsome things.

• We should act on the things we can reachconsensus on.

Working Groups

• OpportuniMes/Goals for Leveraging LunarAssets [Oesterle/PiRman/Rasky et al]

• CollaboraMve Pathways toward sustainablefaciliMes and lunar ventures. [Bland, Day, Dukeet al]

• Enabling mechanisms for ProgramDevelopment. [Keravala, Nall, Ilves et al]

• Extra group -‐ Industry View – [Heck et al]

Comments

• Break it down into smaller pieces• What CAN we do now?

• We need owners and Mmescales.• Which goal can you personally do mostto help move forward? What acMon willyou volunteer for or add to increase thelikelihood of success?

Reminder.

• Take outputs from working groups/conference toformulate next steps for sustainable pathways tospace.– Goals: The purpose toward which an endeavor isdirected.

– ObjecMves: Something that one's efforts or acMons areintended to aRain or accomplish; purpose or target.Usually measurable.

– Strategies: Broad plan of acMon– TacMcs: Means for carrying out strategy. (how andwho)

Suggested Goals

• MaturaMon and uMlizaMon of exisMng earthbased lunar/planetary analogs fordevelopment and tesMng of technologies andprocesses.

• Establishment of a mulM-‐site lunar roboMcvillage, having supporMng cis-‐lunar and lunarorbiMng elements, tele-‐operated from Earth,ISS and or other lunar vicinity habitats.

Suggested Goals

• Evolve the roboMc village to includeroboMcally enabled and assisted humanoperaMons staMon, iniMally 3-‐6 persons toserve mulMple purposes.

• Develop into a permanent habitat withincreasing growth to advance humanity andfurther the larger goal of space seRlement.

ObjecMves (near term)

• Establish network of analogs (including hi-‐fidelity) within next 3 years.

• Secure 100m funding for PISCES hi-‐fidelityanalog and funding for other analogs.

• Determine common technicalstandards/infrastructure needs for “roboMcvillage”.

• Have iniMal lunar surface roboMc tenants by2019. (including precursor missions)

ObjecMves (near term)

• Mature ISRU technologies within the next fiveyears to support future exploraMon.

• Build global public support with messagesreaching millions.

• Enact poliMcal change (unlikely before 2016)to support a goal of returning to the Moon.Permanently.

Strategy

• Pursue parallel paths of organizing US poliMcalchange (essenMal, despite internaMonal nature ofendeavor) while organizing and conveningaround what can be done now without thatoverarching direcMonal change.– Maximize integraMon of exisMng relevant programbudgets (internaMonal). Minimize capabilityduplicaMons and funcMonal design overlaps.

– Develop collaboraMon mechanisms that don’t sMfleinnovaMon.

– Working with industry/private sector, evolve andpromote market development tools.

Strategy

– Insure key roadmap documents incorporaterelevant stakeholders and match the lunardevelopment goals.

– Engage the ciMzenry, globally.

TacMcs (who/when?)

• MeeMng of exisMng and future lunar hardwarebuilders/operators, Europe, Spring 2015

• Working group to determine mechanisms to engageprivate industry in the expansion of analogs.

• Relevant working group to develop the core statementsfrom WG4 on the needs of industry to parMcipate, to feedinto..

• Working group to determine ILRP storytelling/valueproposiMon to be used in government, industry andacademic circles to building a stakeholder base forsupporMng and funding ILRP at regional/federal levels andacross internaMonal boundaries. (Increase stakeholders)

TacMcs (who/when?)

• Working group to provide feedback for GERclarificaMons/modificaMons incorporaMngrecommendaMons of other lunar/marsexploraMon analysis groups and commiRees.

• Develop funding opportuniMes to sMmulateISRU technology development.

• Advocate for firm launch date and funding forLunar Prospector and RESOLVE + other NASAspecific internal advocacy to be added

TacMcs (who/when?)

• Develop and secure funding for major publicoutreach to generate excitement andexpectaMon.

• Educate/Engage investors in value of dual usetechnology/systems to sMmulate fundingopportuniMes.

• Evolve and promote market development tools(prizes, tax incenMves, insurance indemnificaMon,govt. anchor tenant etc.,).

• Centralize to make easily available thisknowledge base.

TacMcs (who/when?)

• Establish mulM stakeholder group to reviewmechanisms for coordinaMon anddevelopment, such as FormaMon of an ILRPCorp as an NGO.

The Story

• Back to the Moon, For Good.

• 400 theaters, 19 languages (to date)

• Over its 2-‐3yr lifespan, will reach >100millionparents and kids.

• Flat Screen next year will mean addiMonalcountless views/venues.

• Total budget was around $850k (animaMon,footage, markeMng, distribuMon, support)

2014 The Next Giant Leap conference wrap up

Science

Transcript of 2014 The Next Giant Leap conference wrap up