2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

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J. Van Rose, Jr. MIRM President Rose and Womble New Homes Residential Market Review

Transcript of 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

Page 1: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

J. Van Rose, Jr. MIRM President

Rose and Womble New Homes

ResidentialMarket Review

Page 2: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

Hampton Roads Housing Market

Inventory 1.0%

Existing Home Closings 10.8%

Existing Home Avg Price 3.8%

New Home Closings 5.9%

New Home Avg Price 4.8%

Building Permits 4.7%

Interest Rates 1.0%

New Home Traffic -9.7%

Page 3: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company
Page 4: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

Hampton Roads Foreclosure & Short Sales

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

45.0%

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ju

l-07

Sep

-07

No

v-0

7Jan

-08

Mar-

08M

ay

-08

Ju

l-08

Sep

-08

No

v-0

8Jan

-09

Mar-

09M

ay

-09

Ju

l-09

Sep

-09

No

v-0

9Jan

-10

Mar-

10M

ay

-10

Ju

l-10

Sep

-10

No

v-1

0Jan

-11

Mar-

11M

ay

-11

Ju

l-11

Sep

-11

No

v-1

1Jan

-12

Mar-

12M

ay

-12

Ju

l-12

Sep

-12

No

v-1

2Jan

-13

Mar-

13M

ay

-13

Ju

l-13

Sep

-13

No

v-1

3

Total Short Sale/ Foreclosure Closings % Market Share

36

642

378

Page 5: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

Hampton RoadsAverage Closing Prices

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$400,000

$450,000

Existing Homes New Construction

Page 6: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

2003

2,562 sf. $105/sf 2,758 sf. $155/sf 2,501 sf. $138/sf

2007 2013New Detached Homes are Smaller

Page 7: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

GREAT!KIND

OF

Page 8: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

THE GOOD

Page 9: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

Interest Rates are Still Low!

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

30-Yr Fixed R...

Page 10: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company
Page 11: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company
Page 12: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

THE BADKIND

OF

Page 13: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company
Page 14: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

THE GREAT

Page 15: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

'Renter Nation' Just A Myth:93% of Millennial Renters Plan To

Buy A Home Someday *Trulia

Page 16: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

Percent of renters planning to buy a home

in the next 2 Years!

Jan '11

May '12

Nov '12

Dec '13

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

*Trulia

Page 17: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company
Page 18: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

THE CHALLE

NGE

Page 19: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company
Page 20: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company
Page 21: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

2013 Top Community in Hampton Roads

Permits: 109 Closings: 104 Avg Price: $288,983 Revenue: $30,054,227

Page 22: 2014 Hampton Roads Residential Real Estate Forecast by J. Van Rose of Rose & Womble Realty Company

Cavalier on the Hill