2013 Investor Conference2013 Investor Conference · 2013. 7. 15. · 2013 Investor Conference2013...

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Transcript of 2013 Investor Conference2013 Investor Conference · 2013. 7. 15. · 2013 Investor Conference2013...

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  • 2013 Investor Conference2013 Investor Conference2013 Investor Conference2013 Investor ConferenceEmerson OverviewEmerson OverviewDavid N. FarrDavid N. Farr

    Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

    February 11 2013February 11, 2013Safe Harbor Statement

    Our commentary and responses to your questions may contain forward-looking statements, including our outlook for the remainder of the year and Emerson undertakes no

    Non-GAAP Measures

    the remainder of the year and Emerson undertakes no obligation to update any such statement to reflect later developments. Information on factors that could cause actual results to vary materially from those discussed today is available in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and subsequent reports as filed with the SEC.

    Non GAAP Measures

    In this presentation we will discuss some non-GAAP measures (denoted with an *) in talking about our company’s performance, and the reconciliation of those measures to the most comparable GAAP measures is contained within this presentation or is available at our website www.emerson.comunder the investor relations tab.

  • Investor Conference Investor Conference –– AgendaAgendaMonday, February 11, 2013Monday, February 11, 2013Investor Conference Investor Conference –– AgendaAgendaMonday, February 11, 2013Monday, February 11, 2013Monday, February 11, 2013Monday, February 11, 2013Monday, February 11, 2013Monday, February 11, 2013Time Title Presenter

    3:00 – 5:00pm Emerson Overview D. N. Farr

    5:00 – 5:45pm Network Power Systems Overview D. S. Barbour

    5:45 – 6:15pm Q&A

    6 15 6 45 C kt il6:15 – 6:45pm Cocktails

    6:45pm Dinner

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  • Investor Conference Investor Conference –– AgendaAgendaTuesday, February 12, 2013Tuesday, February 12, 2013Investor Conference Investor Conference –– AgendaAgendaTuesday, February 12, 2013Tuesday, February 12, 2013Tuesday, February 12, 2013Tuesday, February 12, 2013Tuesday, February 12, 2013Tuesday, February 12, 2013

    7:00AM - 8:00AM BREAKFASTGROUP A GROUP B

    8:00AM - 8:30AMTravel to Delaware

    Depart for Learning Center8:30AM - 9:00AM Global Service Overview

    Group A1 Group A2 Group B1 Group B29:00AM - 9:15AM

    DCIM Lab Technology/FWTMonitoring Center Training Floor

    9:15AM - 9:30AM Training Floor Monitoring Center9:30AM - 10:00AM Technology/FWT DCIM Lab

    Travel to Delaware10 00AM 10 30AM10:00AM - 10:30AM

    Travel to Learning Center Group B1 Group B210:30AM - 11:00AM DCIM Lab Technology/FWT11:00AM - 11:30AM Global Service Overview11:00AM - 11:30AM Global Service Overview

    Technology/FWT DCIM LabGroup A1 Group A2

    11:30AM - 11:45AM Monitoring Center Training FloorTravel to Hotel11:45AM - 12:00PM Training Floor Monitoring Centerg g

    12:00PM – 12:30PM Travel to Hotel12:30PM – 1:30PM LUNCH

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  • Investor ConferenceInvestor Conference –– Emerson AttendeesEmerson AttendeesInvestor ConferenceInvestor Conference –– Emerson AttendeesEmerson AttendeesInvestor Conference Investor Conference Emerson AttendeesEmerson AttendeesInvestor Conference Investor Conference Emerson AttendeesEmerson AttendeesCorporate

    David Farr Chairman and Chief Executive OfficerCraig Ashmore Executive Vice President – Planning and DevelopmentFrank Dellaquila Executive Vice President and Chief Financial OfficerEd Monser President and Chief Operating OfficerCharlie Peters Senior Executive Vice PresidentKathy Button Bell Vice President and Chief Marketing OfficerPat Fitzgerald Director – Investor RelationsLal Karsanbhai Vice President – Planning

    Network Power SystemsScott Barbour Executive Vice PresidentScott Barbour Executive Vice PresidentFrank Bibens President – Global ServicesSteve Hassell President – AvocentL M i Vi P id t Pl i d D l t

    5

    Lynne Maxeiner Vice President – Planning and DevelopmentChuck Spears President Network Power Sales AmericasArmand Visioli President – ASCO Power Technologies

  • Emerson Experienced a Strong Start to Fiscal Emerson Experienced a Strong Start to Fiscal 20132013Emerson Experienced a Strong Start to Fiscal Emerson Experienced a Strong Start to Fiscal 201320132013201320132013

    Q1 2012 Q1 2013Q1 2013 vs.

    Q1 2012Sales $5.3B $5.6B 4.6%

    GP Margin 38.7% 39.7% +1.0 pts

    5.6% Underlying Sales Growth*

    OP Margin* 13.2% 14.6% +1.4 pts

    EBIT* $611 $727 19.1%

    % f S l * 11 5% 13 1% +1 6 t% of Sales* 11.5% 13.1% +1.6 pts

    Operating Cash Flow $334M $554M 65.7%

    Free Cash Flow* $204M $439M 114.7%Free Cash Flow $204M $439M 114.7%

    EPS $0.50 $0.62 24.0%

    DPS $0.40 $0.41 2.5%

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    Emerson Had a Very Strong First Quarter in 2013, Which Will Help Us to Achieve Our Fiscal Year Targets

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  • Underlying Orders TrendsUnderlying Orders TrendsTrailing 3Trailing 3--Month Average vs. Prior YearMonth Average vs. Prior YearUnderlying Orders TrendsUnderlying Orders TrendsTrailing 3Trailing 3--Month Average vs. Prior YearMonth Average vs. Prior YearTrailing 3Trailing 3 Month Average vs. Prior YearMonth Average vs. Prior YearTrailing 3Trailing 3 Month Average vs. Prior YearMonth Average vs. Prior Year

    This slide has been omitted

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  • Fiscal 2013 Financial ExpectationsFiscal 2013 Financial ExpectationsFiscal 2013 Financial ExpectationsFiscal 2013 Financial ExpectationsFiscal 2013 Financial ExpectationsFiscal 2013 Financial ExpectationsFiscal 2013 Financial ExpectationsFiscal 2013 Financial Expectations

    Operational Performance 2013E DeltaPerformance

    20122013E Delta

    Sales $24.4B $25.0 - $25.6B 2% - 5%

    GP Margin 40.0% ~40.5% ~50 bps

    ^

    GP Margin 40.0% 40.5% 50 bps

    OP Margin* 17.7% 17.8% - 17.9% 10-20 bps

    EBIT* $3.9B ~$4.1B ~5%

    % of Sales* 16.1% 16.2% - 16.3% 10-20 bps

    Operating Cash Flow $3.1B ~$3.35B ~9%

    Free Cash Flow* $2.4B ~$2.65B ~10%

    EPS $3.39 $3.53-$3.63 4% - 7%

    ROTC 19.4% ~20% ~60 bps

    8^Operational Performance*: Excluding goodwill impairment of $592M pretax or $0.72 per share in 2012

    Remember: We Still Expect 70-80% of 2013 EPS Growth in the First Half

  • 2013 Outlook2013 Outlook –– Key Highlights to Drive ValueKey Highlights to Drive Value2013 Outlook2013 Outlook –– Key Highlights to Drive ValueKey Highlights to Drive Value2013 Outlook 2013 Outlook Key Highlights to Drive ValueKey Highlights to Drive Value2013 Outlook 2013 Outlook Key Highlights to Drive ValueKey Highlights to Drive Value● Global Gross Fixed Investment (GFI) is Forecasted to Grow

    Only 3-5% in 2013, but this could be optimistic● This will lead to a 2-5% Underlying Sales* Growth in 2013,

    with minimal acquisitions in plan● Positive order trends suggest several of our businesses –gg

    Process Management, Climate Technologies, Commercial & Residential Solutions – Should Experience Solid Underlying Growth

    ● Another Record Year for Profit Margins is expected – as we expect all time highs in Gross and Operating Profit Margins

    ● Significant Cash Flow Improvement is expected to occur –● Significant Cash Flow Improvement is expected to occur producing an incremental gain of $200-$300M in Free Cash Flow*, after a weak Fiscal 2012

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  • Underlying Global Economics Have Underlying Global Economics Have Softened in 2012/2013 But Solid Pockets Softened in 2012/2013 But Solid Pockets of Growth Still Existof Growth Still Exist

    Underlying Global Economics Have Underlying Global Economics Have Softened in 2012/2013 But Solid Pockets Softened in 2012/2013 But Solid Pockets of Growth Still Existof Growth Still Existof Growth Still Existof Growth Still Existof Growth Still Existof Growth Still Exist

    GFI % Change GFI 2012/13E2010/2011 2011/2012 GFI 2013E $ Real Growth

    United States 3.0% 6.1% $2.6T 3-5%R id ti l (3 8%) 9 3% $0 5T 13 15%Residential (3.8%) 9.3% $0.5T 13-15%Non-Residential (8.0%) 9.2% $1.7T 2-4%

    Western Europe 1.6% (1.7%) $2.8T (2%)-(1%)Australia / New Zealand 5.1% 8.6% $0.5T 4-6%Japan 0.3% 5.7% $1.3T 1-2%Canada 6.6% 3.1% $0.4T 2-4%Mature Markets 2.2% 2.7% $7.6T 1-3%

    Emerging Asia 7.5% 5.9% $5.8T 4-6%China 9.5% 7.5% $3.9T 5-7%India 5.5% 3.4% $0.6T 3-5%

    Eastern Europe / Russia 9 8% 4 3% $1 1T 2 3%Eastern Europe / Russia 9.8% 4.3% $1.1T 2-3%Latin America 10.1% 3.6% $1.2T 4-5%Middle East and Africa 6.8% 5.5% $0.5T 2-4%Emerging Markets 8.2% 5.3% $8.6T 3-5%

    10Source: IHS Global Insight and Emerson assessment 10

    World GFI GrowthEmerson Underlying Sales* Growth

    4.7%11%

    3.8%3%

    3-5%2-5%

  • United StatesUnited States Gross Fixed InvestmentGross Fixed InvestmentUnited StatesUnited States Gross Fixed InvestmentGross Fixed InvestmentUnited StatesUnited States Gross Fixed InvestmentGross Fixed InvestmentUnited StatesUnited States Gross Fixed InvestmentGross Fixed Investment

    14%

    16%2012 2013E

    Non-Residential GFI

    10%

    12%

    14%Residential GFI

    o es de t a GResidential GFI: 13% - 15%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    Non Residential GFI: 2% 4%

    0%

    2%

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    Non-Residential GFI: 2% - 4%

    Residential GFI 9.3% 13-15%Non-residential GFI 9.2% 2-4%Total US GFI 6.1% 3-5%

    11Source: IHS Global Insight

    United States Residential Market Is Expected to Be Stronger in 2013 and Non-Residential Markets Will be Weaker

  • Underlying Global Economics Have Underlying Global Economics Have Softened in 2012/2013 But Solid Pockets Softened in 2012/2013 But Solid Pockets of Growth Still Existof Growth Still Exist

    Underlying Global Economics Have Underlying Global Economics Have Softened in 2012/2013 But Solid Pockets Softened in 2012/2013 But Solid Pockets of Growth Still Existof Growth Still Existof Growth Still Existof Growth Still Existof Growth Still Existof Growth Still Exist

    GFI % Change GFI 2012/13E2010/2011 2011/2012 GFI 2013E $ Real Growth

    United States 3.0% 6.1% $2.6T 3-5%R id ti l (3 8%) 9 3% $0 5T 13 15%Residential (3.8%) 9.3% $0.5T 13-15%Non-Residential (8.0%) 9.2% $1.7T 2-4%

    Western Europe 1.6% (1.7%) $2.8T (2%)-(1%)Australia / New Zealand 5.1% 8.6% $0.5T 4-6%Japan 0.3% 5.7% $1.3T 1-2%Canada 6.6% 3.1% $0.4T 2-4%Mature Markets 2.2% 2.7% $7.6T 1-3%

    Emerging Asia 7.5% 5.9% $5.8T 4-6%China 9.5% 7.5% $3.9T 5-7%India 5.5% 3.4% $0.6T 3-5%

    Eastern Europe / Russia 9 8% 4 3% $1 1T 2 3%Eastern Europe / Russia 9.8% 4.3% $1.1T 2-3%Latin America 10.1% 3.6% $1.2T 4-5%Middle East and Africa 6.8% 5.5% $0.5T 2-4%Emerging Markets 8.2% 5.3% $8.6T 3-5%

    Source: IHS Global Insight and Emerson assessment

    World GFI GrowthEmerson Underlying Sales* Growth

    4.7%11%

    3.8%3%

    3-5%2-5%

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  • Western EuropeWestern Europe Gross Fixed InvestmentGross Fixed InvestmentWestern EuropeWestern Europe Gross Fixed InvestmentGross Fixed InvestmentWestern EuropeWestern Europe Gross Fixed InvestmentGross Fixed InvestmentWestern EuropeWestern Europe Gross Fixed InvestmentGross Fixed Investment

    4%2012 2013E

    2%

    -2%

    0%

    (2%) – (1%)

    -4%Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    Western Europe GFI (1.7%) (2%) – (1%)

    Source: IHS Global Insight

    Western Europe Will Continue to Struggle in 2013, But Slight Improvements are Starting to Show Up

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  • The Global Material Inflation Trends and The Global Material Inflation Trends and Emerson’s ActionsEmerson’s Actions –– Expect to Be Green in 2013Expect to Be Green in 2013The Global Material Inflation Trends and The Global Material Inflation Trends and Emerson’s ActionsEmerson’s Actions –– Expect to Be Green in 2013Expect to Be Green in 2013

    3%

    4% Price %Net Material Inflation %

    Emerson s Actions Emerson s Actions Expect to Be Green in 2013 Expect to Be Green in 2013 Emerson s Actions Emerson s Actions Expect to Be Green in 2013 Expect to Be Green in 2013 Emerson Net Material Inflation vs. Price

    ?

    1%

    2%

    Flat to (0 5%)

    ?

    ?

    (1%)

    0% (0.5%)

    (4%)

    (3%)

    (2%)

    Deflation Period

    (1.5%) to (2.0%)

    Deflation Period

    ∆Price & NMI

    (4%)2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014F 2015F

    Period

    Neutral

    Period

    We Will See Flat to Slightly Down Price in Fiscal 2013, and the Net Material Inflation will be Negative (1.5%) to (2.0%). However, We are Concerned

    That Inflation Could Start to Emerge in Late 2013 or Early 201414

  • During Significant Deflation Points of Inflection, During Significant Deflation Points of Inflection, it is Normally a Challenge to Remain Net Green it is Normally a Challenge to Remain Net Green (Price vs. Material Inflation)(Price vs. Material Inflation)

    During Significant Deflation Points of Inflection, During Significant Deflation Points of Inflection, it is Normally a Challenge to Remain Net Green it is Normally a Challenge to Remain Net Green (Price vs. Material Inflation)(Price vs. Material Inflation)(Price vs. Material Inflation) (Price vs. Material Inflation) (Price vs. Material Inflation) (Price vs. Material Inflation)

    20%

    World Producer Price Index (PPI) Year-over-Year Change

    10%

    15% Inflection Point?

    5%

    10%

    -5%

    0%

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q42010 2011 2012 2013E

    PPI 6.3% 11.1% (0.2%) 1.2% 1.5% - 2.5% 3.0% - 5.0%

    2014F 2015F

    Price Cost Deflation Will Put Price Pressure on Emerson in 2013 Versus 2011 and 2012

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  • Creating LongCreating Long TermTerm Value at Emerson:Value at Emerson: Still ValidStill ValidCreating LongCreating Long TermTerm Value at Emerson:Value at Emerson: Still ValidStill ValidCreating Long Creating Long Term Term Value at Emerson: Value at Emerson: Still ValidStill ValidCreating Long Creating Long Term Term Value at Emerson: Value at Emerson: Still ValidStill ValidShare

    RepurchaseProfit

    Growth

    ROTCEBIT Margin

    14 - 18+%Drives EPS

    $5BAcquisitions

    ROTCTarget 15 - 25%

    14 - 18+%OP Margin15 - 19+%

    EPS 10 - 13% CAGR

    Operating Capital Efficiency• Trade Working Capital –

    Underlying Sales

    Growth

  • Historical Gross Fixed Investment Growth TrendsHistorical Gross Fixed Investment Growth TrendsHistorical Gross Fixed Investment Growth TrendsHistorical Gross Fixed Investment Growth TrendsHistorical Gross Fixed Investment Growth TrendsHistorical Gross Fixed Investment Growth TrendsHistorical Gross Fixed Investment Growth TrendsHistorical Gross Fixed Investment Growth Trends

    GFI Growth

    Periods with HighGrowth Rates

    8%

    10%

    Average GFI Growth: 5.2%

    Average GFI Growth: 6.4%

    6%

    8%

    “Slower Global Recovery”

    2012-2015F CAGR: 3-5%

    RecessionAverage: 3% to 4%

    Recession2%

    4%

    0%1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E2014F 2015F1995 2000 2003 2008 20152010

    World GFI Growth Rates Have Slowed Down in 2012. A Lower Growth Environment is Expected Over the Next Three Years.

    This Drives a Modified Near-Term Value Creation Chart Source: Global Insight and Emerson assessment 17

  • Creating Long Creating Long Term Term Value at Emerson in the Value at Emerson in the NearNear--Term with a Lower Growth EnvironmentTerm with a Lower Growth EnvironmentCreating Long Creating Long Term Term Value at Emerson in the Value at Emerson in the NearNear--Term with a Lower Growth EnvironmentTerm with a Lower Growth EnvironmentNearNear Term with a Lower Growth EnvironmentTerm with a Lower Growth EnvironmentNearNear Term with a Lower Growth EnvironmentTerm with a Lower Growth Environment

    Share RepurchaseProfit

    Lower Sales Growth Will Slightly Dampen Our Traditional

    EPS and ROTC Targets

    ROTC

    RepurchaseProfitGrowth

    EPS and ROTC Targets

    Acquisitions

    Target 18 - 22%EBIT Margin~17.5%

    OP Margin~19%

    Drives EPS 7 - 9% CAGR

    Operating Capital Efficiency• Trade Working Capital –

  • 2012 2012 --2015F Global Gross Fixed (GFI) Investment 2015F Global Gross Fixed (GFI) Investment Growth TrendsGrowth Trends2012 2012 --2015F Global Gross Fixed (GFI) Investment 2015F Global Gross Fixed (GFI) Investment Growth TrendsGrowth Trends

    2-4%

    Growth TrendsGrowth TrendsGrowth TrendsGrowth Trends

    United StatesMATURE 2 4%2-4%

    0-2%Western Europe

    United States

    Canada

    MATURE

    Mature2-3%

    1-3%

    3-5%

    3-5%Eastern Europe / Russia

    Japan

    EMERGING

    Australia & New Zealand

    3 5%

    5-7%

    3-5%

    p

    Emerging Asia

    Latin America

    EMERGING

    Emerging 4-6%

    3-5%

    5-7%

    Middle East

    Africa

    4 6%

    3-5%World GFI Growth

    Source: IHS Global Insight and EMR assessment 19

  • Given the Current Economic Environment, We Given the Current Economic Environment, We Expect 2012Expect 2012--2015F Underlying Sales Growth to be 2015F Underlying Sales Growth to be in the 3%in the 3% -- 5% Range5% Range

    Given the Current Economic Environment, We Given the Current Economic Environment, We Expect 2012Expect 2012--2015F Underlying Sales Growth to be 2015F Underlying Sales Growth to be in the 3%in the 3% -- 5% Range5% Rangein the 3% in the 3% 5% Range5% Rangein the 3% in the 3% 5% Range5% Range

    $30$B

    Growth in the Next Three Years Will Be Slower ~$27 4B

    $24.2B $24.4B$25~$25.5B

    $27.4B

    $21.0B

    $20 2012 – 2015F: 3-5% Underlying Growth2010 – 2012: 7.7%

    $152010-2015F CAGR: 5-7%

    $102010 2011 2012 2013E 2015F

    2010 2015F CAGR: 5 7%

    20

    2010-2015F Growth Could Still Be in the 5-7% Range Because of Very Strong 2011 Underlying Growth* of 11%

  • How Do We Drive to a $27.4B Company by 2015? How Do We Drive to a $27.4B Company by 2015? 20122012 –– 2015: 32015: 3--5% Underlying Growth5% Underlying GrowthHow Do We Drive to a $27.4B Company by 2015? How Do We Drive to a $27.4B Company by 2015? 20122012 –– 2015: 32015: 3--5% Underlying Growth5% Underlying Growth2012 2012 2015: 32015: 3 5% Underlying Growth5% Underlying Growth2012 2012 2015: 32015: 3 5% Underlying Growth5% Underlying Growth

    Sales ($B)$29

    2012 2015 T t 3 5% G th $2 4

    $24.4B$25

    $27 2012-2015 Target: 3-5% Growth Internal Strategic

    InvestmentsEmerging MarketsMature

    ~$27.4B

    $21

    $23MarketsMature

    Markets

    $17

    $19

    $13

    $15 The Three Key Macro Growth Drivers Within Emerson to Drive ~$3B of

    Incremental Sales Over 2012-2015F

    21

    $112012 2015F

  • Key Global Investment Trends That Will Drive a Key Global Investment Trends That Will Drive a Lower But Reasonable Level of Fixed InvestmentLower But Reasonable Level of Fixed InvestmentKey Global Investment Trends That Will Drive a Key Global Investment Trends That Will Drive a Lower But Reasonable Level of Fixed InvestmentLower But Reasonable Level of Fixed InvestmentLower But Reasonable Level of Fixed InvestmentLower But Reasonable Level of Fixed InvestmentLower But Reasonable Level of Fixed InvestmentLower But Reasonable Level of Fixed Investment

    ● North America– Continued recovery of the U.S. residential market and upgrades– Consumers will continue moderate spending levels– Oil & Gas investments both upstream and downstream– Continued reasonable levels of capital spending on automation to

    ff t ti ht i kill d l b k toff-set tightening skilled labor market● Asia Pacific

    – China has started to increase fixed investments to drive moderate tt b d b d frecovery - pretty broad based so far

    – Southeast Asia driven Oil & Gas investments and China recovery– India should see a solid growth year driven by government election

    ● Europe– Much growth or recovery is not expected, but It has stabilized and

    should see better capital investment environment as year progresses and as we move into 2014progresses, and as we move into 2014

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  • Emerson Continues to Invest in Countries with Emerson Continues to Invest in Countries with Strong Growth PotentialStrong Growth PotentialEmerson Continues to Invest in Countries with Emerson Continues to Invest in Countries with Strong Growth PotentialStrong Growth PotentialStrong Growth PotentialStrong Growth PotentialStrong Growth PotentialStrong Growth Potential

    30%

    35%2002-12SalesCAGR

    2012EMRSales

    2002-12GFI

    CAGR

    Share of Real (2005 USD) Worldwide Gross Fixed Investment2012Real GFI

    20%

    25%United States

    China20% 16%$3.0B$10.0B 4%

    13%0%

    $2.0T$2.2T

    10%

    15% Top EMs (excluding China)

    Western Europe

    17%$2.1B8%

    $3.9B 5%0%

    $1.1T

    $2.6T

    10%

    5%

    10% Next Tier EMs 5% 10%$2.4B$1.2T

    Japan $0.3B 4%(1%)$0.9T

    10%

    0%1992 2002 2012 Emerson Emerging

    Market % of Sales~40%36%19%9%

    2015F201220021992

    Emerson is Strategically Positioned to Benefit from GFI Growth in Emerging Markets and a Good Recovery in North America

    Top EMs: India, Brazil, Russia, MexicoNext Tier EMs: Africa, South Korea, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Singapore, UAE, Thailand, Colombia, Poland, Turkey, Czech Rep, Indonesia 23

  • Key Global Investment Trends That Will Drive a Key Global Investment Trends That Will Drive a Lower But Reasonable Level of Fixed InvestmentLower But Reasonable Level of Fixed InvestmentKey Global Investment Trends That Will Drive a Key Global Investment Trends That Will Drive a Lower But Reasonable Level of Fixed InvestmentLower But Reasonable Level of Fixed InvestmentLower But Reasonable Level of Fixed InvestmentLower But Reasonable Level of Fixed InvestmentLower But Reasonable Level of Fixed InvestmentLower But Reasonable Level of Fixed Investment

    ● North America– Continued recovery of the U.S. residential market and upgrades– Consumers will continue moderate spending levels– Oil & Gas investments both upstream and downstream– Continued reasonable levels of capital spending on automation to

    ff t ti ht i kill d l b k toff-set tightening skilled labor market● Asia Pacific

    – China has started to increase fixed investments to drive moderate tt b d b d frecovery - pretty broad based so far

    – Southeast Asia driven Oil & Gas investments and China recovery– India should see a solid growth year driven by government election

    ● Europe– Much growth or recovery is not expected, but It has stabilized and

    should see better capital investment environment as year progresses and as we move into 2014

    24

    progresses, and as we move into 2014

  • Emerson’s Key NearEmerson’s Key Near--Term Growth Regions Term Growth Regions –– Top PrioritiesTop PrioritiesEmerson’s Key NearEmerson’s Key Near--Term Growth Regions Term Growth Regions –– Top PrioritiesTop PrioritiesTop PrioritiesTop PrioritiesTop PrioritiesTop Priorities

    United States& Canada

    Huge Growth opportunity remains both upstream and downstream, if Government leaders open up Expanded Oil & Gas Exploration and Canada to U S pipeline

    We have good penetration but plenty of t d th h P t hi lik

    MatureEmerging

    Exploration and Canada to U.S. pipeline. Also U.S. residential housing markets are gaining positive momentum

    Mexico room to expand through Partnerships like Pemex: a top growth priority over the next 3 years, as we drive to $1B in salesGreat opportunity for growth as the region i f ll f N t l R d ti dEastern

    Europe / Russia

    We will take advantage of our strong

    is full of Natural Resources and continued infrastructure build out and production expansion to serve Western Europe

    China

    g ginvestments in the region – We Expect a Good Recovery in 2013 and 2014. We have significant growth penetration left across all emerging markets

    25

    SoutheastAsia

    Significant Oil & Gas and natural resource investments and “balance against China”. Growth across the region should show steady opportunities

  • How Do We Drive to a $27.4B Company by 2015? How Do We Drive to a $27.4B Company by 2015? 20122012 –– 2015: 32015: 3--5% Underlying Growth5% Underlying GrowthHow Do We Drive to a $27.4B Company by 2015? How Do We Drive to a $27.4B Company by 2015? 20122012 –– 2015: 32015: 3--5% Underlying Growth5% Underlying Growth2012 2012 2015: 32015: 3 5% Underlying Growth5% Underlying Growth2012 2012 2015: 32015: 3 5% Underlying Growth5% Underlying Growth

    Sales ($B)

    $27

    $292012-2015 Target: 3-5% Growth ~$27.4B

    $24.4B

    $23

    $25

    $27 gInternal

    Strategic Investments

    Emerging MarketsMature

    M k t

    • Oil & Gas in North AmericaR id ti l M k t

    $19

    $21Markets

    There Will Be Good Growth Available in U.S., Canada some European Markets (Germany / Italy)

    • Residential Market Recovery in U.S.

    $13

    $15

    $17

    Canada, some European Markets (Germany / Italy) and Australia, as China Recovery takes hold

    $11

    $13

    2012 2015F2010 2012 2010-2012 CAGR 2015F 2012-2015F CAGR

    Mature Market Sales

    $13.9B $15.7B 6.5% ~$16.7B ~2%

    26+1.8B +1.0B

  • Growth in Mature Markets is Key to Next 3 YearsGrowth in Mature Markets is Key to Next 3 YearsGrowth in Mature Markets is Key to Next 3 YearsGrowth in Mature Markets is Key to Next 3 YearsGrowth in Mature Markets is Key to Next 3 YearsGrowth in Mature Markets is Key to Next 3 YearsGrowth in Mature Markets is Key to Next 3 YearsGrowth in Mature Markets is Key to Next 3 Years● Gross Fixed Investment in Mature Markets will grow

    2%-3%, Emerson’s sales should grow slightly above th k t 2 3 %the market: 2-3+%

    ● Oil & Gas Investments and recovery of residential market in North America will drive significant growthmarket in North America will drive significant growth

    ● Investments in Shale Gas in Canada will also help the growth (3-Year CAGR: 7%+)growth (3 Year CAGR: 7% )

    ● No overall growth expected in Western Europe

    ● Australia should recover growth in 2014 and 2015 as● Australia should recover growth in 2014 and 2015 as China markets recover

    27

  • 20102010--2012 Mature Market Sales Were Solid and 2012 Mature Market Sales Were Solid and PositivePositive20102010--2012 Mature Market Sales Were Solid and 2012 Mature Market Sales Were Solid and PositivePositivePositivePositivePositivePositive

    2012 Sales

    2010-2012

    CAGR14% $0 9B

    Canada

    U.S.

    14% $0.9B

    5% $3.9B

    Western Europe

    Japan

    5% $10B5% $

    7% $0.3B

    Australia & New Zealand

    2010-2012 CAGR

    2012 Sales

    2012 Sales 2010-2012 CAGRMature Markets $15.7B 6.5%

    49% $0.6B

    Mature Markets Grew $1.8B Over Just 2 Years and Should Continue to Drive Moderate Growth Over the Next 3 Years – +$1B, Led by U.S. and Canada

    28

  • 20122012--2015F Sales in Mature Markets2015F Sales in Mature Markets20122012--2015F Sales in Mature Markets2015F Sales in Mature Markets20122012 2015F Sales in Mature Markets2015F Sales in Mature Markets20122012 2015F Sales in Mature Markets2015F Sales in Mature Markets$18

    JapanUnited WesternE CanadaAustralia &

    New Zealand ~$16 7B

    Sales ($B)

    $16

    JapanStates Europe

    Canada New Zealand $16.7B$15.7B

    $12

    $14

    $10

    $12

    Mature Markets 2012-2015F CAGR: ~2%

    $82015F2012

    The United States Will Account for Most of Emerson’s Mature Market Growth Over the Next Three Years – Emerson Will Take Advantage of a

    Better U.S. Investment Environment29

  • United States Will Offer Emerson Excellent United States Will Offer Emerson Excellent Growth Opportunities Through this Global Growth Opportunities Through this Global SlowdownSlowdown

    United States Will Offer Emerson Excellent United States Will Offer Emerson Excellent Growth Opportunities Through this Global Growth Opportunities Through this Global SlowdownSlowdownSlowdownSlowdownSlowdownSlowdown

    • Strong Investments in UpstreamOil & Gas • Strong Investments in Upstream and Downstream• 3-Year CAGR: 8%+

    Residential • U.S. Residential Market isU it d St t Residential MarketU.S. Residential Market is Expected to Recover

    • 3-Year CAGR: 15%+

    United States

    Industrial • Reasonable Levels of Capital

    30

    Reasonable Levels of Capital Spending on Automation

  • Mature Markets Gross Fixed InvestmentMature Markets Gross Fixed InvestmentMature Markets Gross Fixed InvestmentMature Markets Gross Fixed InvestmentMature Markets Gross Fixed InvestmentMature Markets Gross Fixed InvestmentMature Markets Gross Fixed InvestmentMature Markets Gross Fixed Investment

    5% 5% 5% 5%6% 6% 6% 6%

    90%

    100%

    Canada

    Australia & New Zealand

    17% 16% 17% 16%

    70%

    80% Japan2010-2015F

    Change(1 pts)

    41% 41% 39% 38%

    40%

    50%

    60% Western Europe2010-2015F

    Change

    31% 32% 33% 35%20%

    30%

    40%

    United States

    (3 pts)

    31% 32% 33% 35%

    0%

    10%

    2010 2011 2012 2015F

    2010-2015F Change+4 pts

    2010 2011 2012 2015F

    Source: IHS Global Insight and EMR assessment- 2012 Nominal GFI Base, with Real Growth Rates

    Mature GFI $7.2T $7.4T $7.6T0 $8.1T0United States and Canada Should Offer Solid Growth Prospects

    31

  • United States Will Offer Emerson Excellent United States Will Offer Emerson Excellent Growth Opportunities Through this Global Growth Opportunities Through this Global SlowdownSlowdown

    United States Will Offer Emerson Excellent United States Will Offer Emerson Excellent Growth Opportunities Through this Global Growth Opportunities Through this Global SlowdownSlowdownSlowdownSlowdownSlowdownSlowdown

    • Strong Investments in UpstreamOil & Gas • Strong Investments in Upstream and Downstream• 3-Year CAGR: 8%+

    Residential • U.S. Residential market isU it d St t Residential MarketU.S. Residential market is expected to recover

    • 3-Year CAGR: 15%+

    United States

    Industrial • Reasonable levels of Capital

    32

    Reasonable levels of Capital Spending on Automation

  • Oil & Gas Companies are Making Significant Oil & Gas Companies are Making Significant Investments in United States and CanadaInvestments in United States and CanadaOil & Gas Companies are Making Significant Oil & Gas Companies are Making Significant Investments in United States and CanadaInvestments in United States and CanadaInvestments in United States and CanadaInvestments in United States and CanadaInvestments in United States and CanadaInvestments in United States and Canada

    North America Top 10 Oil & Gas Companies

    (Upstream & Midstream)

    Strong Investments Announced in U.S. Indicate Growth in the Oil & Gas Market

    6%6%

    (Upstream & Midstream)CAPEX Spend $266B (2013-2017)

    TransCanadaChevron

    Iowa Fertilizer’s investments in a greenfield nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing facility in Iowa

    A i l t tl i t ti /

    ~$1.4B6%

    6%6%

    5%55%

    ExxonMobil

    Enbridge

    Imperial OilSasol plans to invest in 2 plants to take advantage of cheap natural gas unlocked

    Ammonia plants currently in construction/ detailed-engineering or in FEED studies 8

    $21B 5%4%

    55%

    3%4%

    3%2%

    Imperial Oil

    Shell

    Suncor EnergyAnadarko

    advantage of cheap natural gas unlocked by the U.S. shale revolution

    Potential LNG export projects in U.S., with strong interest in exports for non-NAFTA

    Others

    ~$21B

    16 2% BPPetroChina

    North America Top 10 Oil & Gas C i Will A f

    trading partners

    Capital investments in shale gas are expected between 2010 and 2015. Shale gas’ economic contribution in U.S. is

    16

    $1 9T

    33

    Companies Will Account for ~$120B of the Total Capex

    Investments

    gas economic contribution in U.S. is expanding rapidly from $76B in 2010 to $118B in 2015.

    Source: Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, IHS Global Insight

    $1.9T

  • United States Will Offer Emerson Excellent United States Will Offer Emerson Excellent Growth Opportunities Through this Global Growth Opportunities Through this Global SlowdownSlowdown

    United States Will Offer Emerson Excellent United States Will Offer Emerson Excellent Growth Opportunities Through this Global Growth Opportunities Through this Global SlowdownSlowdownSlowdownSlowdownSlowdownSlowdown

    • Strong investments in UpstreamOil & Gas • Strong investments in Upstream and Downstream• 3-Year CAGR: 8%+

    Residential • U.S. Residential Market isU it d St t Residential MarketU.S. Residential Market is Expected to Recover

    • 3-Year CAGR: 15%+

    United States

    Industrial • Reasonable levels of Capital

    34

    Reasonable levels of Capital Spending on Automation

  • Housing Recovery Remains on Track, and Will Housing Recovery Remains on Track, and Will Be HelpfulBe HelpfulHousing Recovery Remains on Track, and Will Housing Recovery Remains on Track, and Will Be HelpfulBe HelpfulBe HelpfulBe HelpfulBe HelpfulBe Helpful

    2 02.5

    Housing Starts, M unitsSource: Census Bureau, NEMA/BIS

    0 51.01.52.0

    Total

    0.00.5

    2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

    Single family

    ● Housing Market Recovery is Gaining Momentum

    – New housing starts rose to their highest level since the middle of 6

    7

    1 41.61.8

    Single Family Home Sales, M unitsSource: Census Bureau

    highest level since the middle of November 2008

    ● Housing Starts Up 25% and 35% in Q4 2012 and Q1 2013

    6 9 M th L f HVAC I t ll ti4

    5

    6

    0.40.60.81.01.21.4

    New (left axis)– 6-9 Month Lag for HVAC Installation– Additional 100K Systems Sales

    35

    30.00.2

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Existing (right axis)

  • United States Will Offer Emerson Excellent United States Will Offer Emerson Excellent Growth Opportunities Through this Global Growth Opportunities Through this Global SlowdownSlowdown

    United States Will Offer Emerson Excellent United States Will Offer Emerson Excellent Growth Opportunities Through this Global Growth Opportunities Through this Global SlowdownSlowdownSlowdownSlowdownSlowdownSlowdown

    • Strong investments in UpstreamOil & Gas • Strong investments in Upstream and Downstream• 3-Year CAGR: 8%+

    Residential • U.S. Residential market isU it d St t Residential MarketU.S. Residential market is expected to recover

    • 3-Year CAGR: 15%+

    United States

    Industrial • Reasonable Levels of Capital

    36

    Reasonable Levels of Capital Spending on Automation

  • Industrial Automation Market ReboundIndustrial Automation Market ReboundIndustrial Automation Market ReboundIndustrial Automation Market ReboundIndustrial Automation Market ReboundIndustrial Automation Market ReboundIndustrial Automation Market ReboundIndustrial Automation Market Rebound

    $B

    U.S. Gross Fixed Capital Formation

    Manufacturing

    $300

    $400 3 Trends Pointing to a U.S. Manufacturing Rebound

    • Dissipating cost advantages of3.5% Growth

    Today

    $100

    $200 Dissipating cost advantages of outsourcing

    • A weakening dollar is making U.S. d tt ti t f iI d t i l M hi

    5.6% Growth

    $-goods more attractive to foreign buyers

    • Energy production is booming in the $15

    $20

    Industrial Machinery

    U.S. (petroleum and coal products represent 10% of U.S. manufacturing production, up from 3% in 2000)

    $5

    $10

    $15

    4.4% Growth

    2.8% GrowthSource: The Wall Street Journal

    $-1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

    2.8% Growth

    37

  • How Do We Drive to a $27.4B Company by 2015? How Do We Drive to a $27.4B Company by 2015? 20122012 –– 2015: 32015: 3--5% Underlying Growth5% Underlying GrowthHow Do We Drive to a $27.4B Company by 2015? How Do We Drive to a $27.4B Company by 2015? 20122012 –– 2015: 32015: 3--5% Underlying Growth5% Underlying Growth2012 2012 2015: 32015: 3 5% Underlying Growth5% Underlying Growth2012 2012 2015: 32015: 3 5% Underlying Growth5% Underlying Growth

    Sales ($B)

    $27

    $292012-2015 Target: 3-5% Growth ~$27.4B

    $24.4B

    $23

    $25

    $27 gInternal

    Strategic Investments

    Emerging MarketsMature

    $

    • China• Southeast Asia• Mexico• Eastern Europe /

    R i$19

    $21Markets

    Russia• Middle East

    $13

    $15

    $17

    Last 2 Years of Investments Will Pay off With Increased Growth in Key Emerging Markets in

    $11

    $13

    2012 2015F

    China, India, Latin America, Middle East and Africa. We Have Plenty of Room for Strong Growth in Emerging Markets – Low Penetration Today

    2010 2012 2010-2012 CAGR 2015F 2012-2015F CAGR

    Emerging Market Sales

    $7.1B $8.7B 10.0% ~$10.7B ~7%

    +1.6B +2.0B 38

  • Growth in Emerging MarketsGrowth in Emerging MarketsGrowth in Emerging MarketsGrowth in Emerging MarketsGrowth in Emerging MarketsGrowth in Emerging MarketsGrowth in Emerging MarketsGrowth in Emerging Markets● Gross Fixed Investments in Emerging Markets will grow

    4-6%, Emerson’s Sales Will Grow at a Higher Rate: ~7%

    ● Top Emerging Countries (Brazil, Russia, India, Mexico and China) will drive approximately 60% of Emerson’s sales in emerging markets in the next three yearssales in emerging markets in the next three years

    ● China has started to increase fixed Investments to drive moderate recoverymoderate recovery

    ● Oil & Gas investments will drive growth in Southeast Asia

    ● Upcoming government election in India will most likely generate a solid 2013-2014 growth year

    39

  • 20102010--2012 Emerging Market Sales Grew 2012 Emerging Market Sales Grew $1.6B / 10% CAGR$1.6B / 10% CAGR20102010--2012 Emerging Market Sales Grew 2012 Emerging Market Sales Grew $1.6B / 10% CAGR$1.6B / 10% CAGR$1.6B / 10% CAGR$1.6B / 10% CAGR$1.6B / 10% CAGR$1.6B / 10% CAGR

    2012 Sales

    2010-2012

    CAGR Eastern CAGR

    18% $1.1B

    Europe

    6% $4.9B

    Asia PacificLatin

    America

    Middle East / Africa

    6% $4.9B16% $1.4B

    2010-2012 2012

    13% $1.3B

    CAGR2012 Sales2012 Sales 2010-2012

    CAGREmerging Markets $8.7B 10%

    40

    A Nice Balance in All Emerging Markets. Sales Dollar Increases Over the Past Two Years - $1.6B

  • 20122012--2015F Sales in Emerging Markets2015F Sales in Emerging Markets20122012--2015F Sales in Emerging Markets2015F Sales in Emerging Markets20122012 2015F Sales in Emerging Markets2015F Sales in Emerging Markets20122012 2015F Sales in Emerging Markets2015F Sales in Emerging Markets

    $12 Middle East & Af i

    EasternEuropeLatinA i ~$10 7B

    Sales ($B)

    $8

    $10& Africap/ Russia

    Latin America

    Asia Pacific

    ~$10.7B

    $8.7B

    $6

    $8

    $2

    $4Emerging Markets

    2012-2015F CAGR: ~7%

    $0

    $2

    2015F2012

    Emerson Has a Good Balance Across All the Emerging Markets and Gaining Strength in the Next Important Tier of Emerging Markets

    41

  • We Have Invested Significantly in Top Emerging We Have Invested Significantly in Top Emerging Economies Over the Last 5 Years, Which Will Economies Over the Last 5 Years, Which Will Drive Our Near Term Growth OpportunitiesDrive Our Near Term Growth Opportunities

    We Have Invested Significantly in Top Emerging We Have Invested Significantly in Top Emerging Economies Over the Last 5 Years, Which Will Economies Over the Last 5 Years, Which Will Drive Our Near Term Growth OpportunitiesDrive Our Near Term Growth OpportunitiesDrive Our Near Term Growth OpportunitiesDrive Our Near Term Growth OpportunitiesDrive Our Near Term Growth OpportunitiesDrive Our Near Term Growth Opportunities

    Russia• Added 655+ People

    16 N OffiMexico

    • 16 New Offices• 1 New Facility• 10 New Regional Offices• Spent Over $60M CapEx

    • Added 125+ Customer Facing People

    • 5 New Offices• 2 New Service Centers• Spent Over $113M on

    New Facilities

    India• Added 1,860+ People• 28 New OfficesB il

    China• Added 540+ Customer

    Facing People• 134 New Offices• 28 New Offices

    • Spent Over $80M CapExBrazil

    • Added 770+ People• 3 New Offices• Sorocaba Facility Expansion

    S t O $60M C E

    • 134 New Offices• 13 New Service Centers• 10 Facility Expansions• Spent Over $200M CapEx

    42

    • Spent Over $60M CapEx

  • Strong Oil & Gas and Infrastructure Investments Strong Oil & Gas and Infrastructure Investments Along With a Reasonable Rebound in China Will Along With a Reasonable Rebound in China Will Drive Solid Emerging Market GrowthDrive Solid Emerging Market Growth

    Strong Oil & Gas and Infrastructure Investments Strong Oil & Gas and Infrastructure Investments Along With a Reasonable Rebound in China Will Along With a Reasonable Rebound in China Will Drive Solid Emerging Market GrowthDrive Solid Emerging Market GrowthDrive Solid Emerging Market GrowthDrive Solid Emerging Market GrowthDrive Solid Emerging Market GrowthDrive Solid Emerging Market Growth

    $4.0Sales ($B)

    2002 CAGR 16%2007 2012

    Top 5 Emerging 54%

    $2 0

    $3.02012

    2015F

    p g gMarket Sales % of Total Emerging Sales

    59%54%

    $8.7B$6.1B

    $1.0

    $2.0CAGR 10%

    CAGR 13%

    CAGR 22%

    CAGR 19%Approaching

    $1BApproaching

    $1B

    $0.0Mexico Brazil Russia India China

    2012 Sales $0 6B $0 4B $0 5B $0 6B $3 0B2012 Sales $0.6B $0.4B $0.5B $0.6B $3.0B2012-2015FGFI Growth 5.0% 4.0% 5.0% 5.0% 6.0%

    2015F $0 8B $0 5B $0 6B $0 8B $3 8B2015F ~$0.8B ~$0.5B ~$0.6B ~$0.8B ~$3.8B

    43

    These Five Markets Will Drive ~60% of Our Emerging Market Sales, As We Approach 40% of Total Sales in Emerging Markets

  • Total China Sales by Business GroupTotal China Sales by Business GroupTotal China Sales by Business GroupTotal China Sales by Business GroupTotal China Sales by Business GroupTotal China Sales by Business GroupTotal China Sales by Business GroupTotal China Sales by Business Group

    ~$3.8B2005–2012 CAGRCommercial13%

    2012 China Economic Slowdown Hurt us, but

    $3.0B$2.7B

    16.8%

    26 4%

    Commercial & Residential Solutions

    Industrial

    13%10-yr CAGR

    Slowdown Hurt us, but Recovery Has Started

    $

    10.5%

    26.4%AutomationClimate Technologies

    $1.1B 12.6%Process Management

    2005 2010 2012 2015F

    16.1%NetworkPower

    Mid-Tier Investments will Augment Growth in the Next Three Years, But Core Products Drive Largest Dollar Growth

    44Note: excludes Motors & Appliances

  • Investing in the China MidInvesting in the China Mid--Tier Market Tier Market ––New Product DevelopmentNew Product DevelopmentInvesting in the China MidInvesting in the China Mid--Tier Market Tier Market ––New Product DevelopmentNew Product DevelopmentNew Product DevelopmentNew Product DevelopmentNew Product DevelopmentNew Product Development

    $0.3B $3.0B ~$3.8B Emerson Sales in China Have Grown t 20% CAGR O

    Top Tier China

    $2.3B76%96%

    at a 20% CAGR Over the Last 12 Years

    ~$2.8B74%

    $290M

    Mid-Tier China Sales

    Top-Tier China Sales

    $0.7B24%

    96%

    4% ~$1.0B26%2000 2012 2015F

    24%

    Industrial91 Mid-Tier Products Currently in Market 2013-2015 Total

    26%

    Industrial Automation

    Climate Technologies

    NetworkP

    +14 42

    +3 14

    +4 22

    2811

    18PowerProcess

    Management

    +4 22

    +38 62

    140

    1824

    45

  • Emerson Has a Lot of Runway for Growth Across Emerson Has a Lot of Runway for Growth Across Our Emerging Markets at 36% of Total SalesOur Emerging Markets at 36% of Total SalesEmerson Has a Lot of Runway for Growth Across Emerson Has a Lot of Runway for Growth Across Our Emerging Markets at 36% of Total SalesOur Emerging Markets at 36% of Total SalesOur Emerging Markets at 36% of Total SalesOur Emerging Markets at 36% of Total SalesOur Emerging Markets at 36% of Total SalesOur Emerging Markets at 36% of Total Sales

    Top 5 Next 12

    2002 2012 2002 2012

    3%

    2002 2012 2002 2012

    5% 1% 3%

    Emerson Sales

    Emerson SalesTargeted

    GFI

    $0 7BEmerson Sales $1 2B $5 1B $2 5B

    Targeted GFI

    10YR CAGR16%

    10YR CAGR14%$0.7B

    Total GFI

    Targeted GFI

    $0.9T $5.3T $0.5T $1.5T

    $40B $106B $50B $90B

    Emerson Sales $1.2B $5.1B $2.5B16%

    10%

    14%

    7%

    ~5% Penetration of our Key Markets ~3% Penetration of our Key Markets

    g $ $ $ $%

    Source: IHS Global Insight and Emerson assessment

    2002-2012: Emerson’s Position Strengthened In Key Emerging Markets. We Will Continue On This Path In Order To Increase Our Penetration In

    These Markets – Plenty of Room for Growth46

  • Our Current Relative Position in Key Emerging Our Current Relative Position in Key Emerging MarketsMarkets –– and Top Prioritiesand Top PrioritiesOur Current Relative Position in Key Emerging Our Current Relative Position in Key Emerging MarketsMarkets –– and Top Prioritiesand Top Priorities

    Process Management Network Power

    Industrial Automation

    Climate Technologies

    Commercial & Residential Solutions

    Mexico

    Markets Markets and Top Priorities and Top Priorities Markets Markets and Top Priorities and Top Priorities

    Mexico

    Brazil

    Russia

    India

    Top 5 Countries

    China

    Malaysia

    Singapore

    UAE

    The Next12 Impactful

    UAE

    Africa

    Saudi Arabia

    Thailand12 Impactful

    Markets Czech RepublicPoland

    Colombia

    S th KSouth Korea

    Turkey

    Indonesia

    Note: Colors signify our current strength of presence to drive growth 47

  • Southeast AsiaSoutheast Asia is a Key Pocket of Growthis a Key Pocket of GrowthSoutheast AsiaSoutheast Asia is a Key Pocket of Growthis a Key Pocket of GrowthSoutheast AsiaSoutheast Asia is a Key Pocket of Growth is a Key Pocket of Growth Southeast AsiaSoutheast Asia is a Key Pocket of Growth is a Key Pocket of Growth

    This slide has been omitted

    48

  • Middle EastMiddle East is Another Key Pocket of Growthis Another Key Pocket of GrowthMiddle EastMiddle East is Another Key Pocket of Growthis Another Key Pocket of GrowthMiddle EastMiddle East is Another Key Pocket of Growthis Another Key Pocket of GrowthMiddle EastMiddle East is Another Key Pocket of Growthis Another Key Pocket of Growth

    This slide has been omitted

    49

  • We Continue to Increase Our International and We Continue to Increase Our International and Emerging Markets PresenceEmerging Markets PresenceWe Continue to Increase Our International and We Continue to Increase Our International and Emerging Markets PresenceEmerging Markets PresenceEmerging Markets PresenceEmerging Markets PresenceEmerging Markets PresenceEmerging Markets Presence

    100%Gross Fixed Investment Emerson Sales

    75%45%

    49% 64%~60%MatureMature

    74%

    50%80%

    55%

    91%

    74%81%

    25%

    55%

    51%

    EmergingEmerging 36%~40%

    26%

    0%1992 2002 2012 2015F

    20%

    1992 2002 2012 2015F

    EmergingEmerging

    9%

    36%26% 19%

    Twenty Years Ago, Our Sales Mix Did Not Reflect Global Investment Patterns.Emerson Continues to Invest in Emerging Markets to Grow and Rebalance

    1992 2002 2012 2015F

    Source: IHS Global Insight and Emerson assessment 50

  • Our Past Investments in Emerging Markets are Our Past Investments in Emerging Markets are Continuing to Pay Off with Strong Sales Growth; Continuing to Pay Off with Strong Sales Growth; Mature Market Growth Has ReturnedMature Market Growth Has Returned

    Our Past Investments in Emerging Markets are Our Past Investments in Emerging Markets are Continuing to Pay Off with Strong Sales Growth; Continuing to Pay Off with Strong Sales Growth; Mature Market Growth Has ReturnedMature Market Growth Has ReturnedMature Market Growth Has ReturnedMature Market Growth Has ReturnedMature Market Growth Has ReturnedMature Market Growth Has Returned

    2012-15F

    $8 7B$15.7B

    2012

    Emerging MarketsMature Markets

    $7 1B$13.9B

    2010

    ~$10 7B~$16.7B

    2015F CAGR

    ~7%~2%

    $24.4B$8.7B

    Total Emerson SalesEmerging Markets

    $21.0B$7.1B

    ~$27.4B~$10.7B

    ~3-5%~7%

    ∆ Mature Markets$$1.8B

    $~$1.0B

    ∆ Emerging Markets $1.6B ~$2.0B

    51

    ~55% of Growth Over the Last Two Years has Come from Mature Markets.For the Next Three Years Emerging Markets will Continue to Be a Source of

    High Growth and Increased Incremental Sales

  • How Do We Drive to a $27.4B Company by 2015? How Do We Drive to a $27.4B Company by 2015? 20122012 –– 2015: 32015: 3--5% Underlying Growth5% Underlying GrowthHow Do We Drive to a $27.4B Company by 2015? How Do We Drive to a $27.4B Company by 2015? 20122012 –– 2015: 32015: 3--5% Underlying Growth5% Underlying Growth2012 2012 2015: 32015: 3 5% Underlying Growth5% Underlying Growth2012 2012 2015: 32015: 3 5% Underlying Growth5% Underlying Growth

    Sales ($B)$29

    2012 2015 T t 3 5% G th $2 4

    $24.4B$25

    $27 2012-2015 Target: 3-5% Growth Internal Strategic

    InvestmentsEmerging MarketsMature

    ~$27.4B

    • Internal Strategic Programs

    • New Products & Markets

    • Service $21

    $23MarketsMature

    Markets

    Infrastructure• Perfect Execution

    $17

    $19

    Internal Strategic Investments Leverage Our Global Presence and Ensure We Keep Our

    Technology Edge. Focusing on Both Customers and Execution, We Drive Benefits

    on Operational Sales and Profits$13

    $15

    52

    on Operational Sales and Profits$11

    2012 2015F

  • Strategic Investments RoadmapStrategic Investments RoadmapStrategic Investments RoadmapStrategic Investments RoadmapStrategic Investments RoadmapStrategic Investments RoadmapStrategic Investments RoadmapStrategic Investments Roadmap● Over the last 12 years, targeted Strategic Investments

    allowed us to pursue Higher Growth and Profit O t iti d t l f tOpportunities and create value for our customers

    ● We were able to Increase Our Services & Solutions at a global level by upgrading our infrastructure andglobal level by upgrading our infrastructure and increasing our headcount

    ● We invested in Innovation and Technology, defendingWe invested in Innovation and Technology, defending our core markets and entering new ones

    ● Strategic Investments Increased Sales and Both Gross and Operating Margins, and we will keep investing to obtain further growth

    53

  • We Continue to Invest to Increase Technology Base and We Continue to Invest to Increase Technology Base and Service & Solution Capabilities to Drive a Higher Gross Service & Solution Capabilities to Drive a Higher Gross Profit Margin and Sustainable ProfitabilityProfit Margin and Sustainable Profitability

    We Continue to Invest to Increase Technology Base and We Continue to Invest to Increase Technology Base and Service & Solution Capabilities to Drive a Higher Gross Service & Solution Capabilities to Drive a Higher Gross Profit Margin and Sustainable ProfitabilityProfit Margin and Sustainable Profitability

    2000 2010 2012 2013E 2015F

    Reported

    Profit Margin and Sustainable ProfitabilityProfit Margin and Sustainable ProfitabilityProfit Margin and Sustainable ProfitabilityProfit Margin and Sustainable Profitability

    2000 2010 2012 2013E 2015FSales $15.5B $21.0B $24.4B $25.0-25.6B ~$27.4B

    GP Margin 35.6% 39.6% 40.0% ~40.5% ~42.0%

    OP M i * 16 3% 16 7% 17 7% 17 8% 17 9% 19 0%OP Margin* 16.3% 16.7% 17.7% 17.8%-17.9% ~19.0%

    E&D (% of Sales) 2.9% 3.3% 3.3% ~3.4% ~3.5%Directed Strategic Investments $20M $15M $45M ~$45M ~$50M

    Services & Solutions (% of Sales) 5% 9% 10% ~11% ~13%(% of Sales)

    The Increasing Investments We Made On Technology Strategic ProgramsThe Increasing Investments We Made On Technology, Strategic Programs, and Service & Solution Capabilities Were Successful and Brought Value to

    Our Customers and Shareholders54Note: potential sales of Embedded Computing & Power would improve margins by ~50 bps

  • Strategic Investments Focus on Programs That Strategic Investments Focus on Programs That Increase Emerson’s Strategic Value to CustomersIncrease Emerson’s Strategic Value to CustomersStrategic Investments Focus on Programs That Strategic Investments Focus on Programs That Increase Emerson’s Strategic Value to CustomersIncrease Emerson’s Strategic Value to CustomersIncrease Emerson s Strategic Value to CustomersIncrease Emerson s Strategic Value to CustomersIncrease Emerson s Strategic Value to CustomersIncrease Emerson s Strategic Value to Customers

    E i h dLevel of Customer

    Engagement

    Services & Solutions

    Enriched Business

    Model

    gage e t

    A li ti

    Emerging Markets

    Solutions

    Historical E&D Investments

    ProductTechnologies

    Application

    Expanding Emerson’s Value

    within OurMarket Analysis

    Strategic Value

    within Our Served Markets

    Value

    55

  • 20102010--2013E: Targeted Strategic Investment 2013E: Targeted Strategic Investment Programs Drive Very Specific Technology and Programs Drive Very Specific Technology and Key Industry Growth RepositioningKey Industry Growth Repositioning

    20102010--2013E: Targeted Strategic Investment 2013E: Targeted Strategic Investment Programs Drive Very Specific Technology and Programs Drive Very Specific Technology and Key Industry Growth RepositioningKey Industry Growth RepositioningKey Industry Growth RepositioningKey Industry Growth RepositioningKey Industry Growth RepositioningKey Industry Growth Repositioning

    This slide has been omitted

    56

  • Strategic Investments Continue to Increase the Strategic Investments Continue to Increase the Value We Deliver to Our CustomersValue We Deliver to Our CustomersStrategic Investments Continue to Increase the Strategic Investments Continue to Increase the Value We Deliver to Our CustomersValue We Deliver to Our CustomersValue We Deliver to Our CustomersValue We Deliver to Our CustomersValue We Deliver to Our CustomersValue We Deliver to Our Customers

    This slide has been omitted

    57

  • E&D Investments: Confirm Our Technological E&D Investments: Confirm Our Technological Leadership and Increase Our ProfitabilityLeadership and Increase Our ProfitabilityE&D Investments: Confirm Our Technological E&D Investments: Confirm Our Technological Leadership and Increase Our ProfitabilityLeadership and Increase Our ProfitabilityLeadership and Increase Our ProfitabilityLeadership and Increase Our ProfitabilityLeadership and Increase Our ProfitabilityLeadership and Increase Our Profitability

    ~$1B

    Engineering & Development Investments

    Patents GrantedPatents Granted~2,000

    25%

    28%

    $623M

    $808M 1,646

    45%50%

    Emerging

    72%

    17%$6 3

    Emerging1,081

    40%

    45%

    50%

    Emerging

    55%83%75% 72%

    Mature

    60%

    50%

    Mature

    E&D % of Sales 2.8% 3.3% ~3.5%

    2007 2012 2015F2007 2012 2015F

    MatureMature

    We Will Continue to Moderately Increase Our E&D Investments to Drive Further Growth and Achieve Our Gross Profit Target of 42%

    58

  • Emerson’s New Product Engineering HeadcountEmerson’s New Product Engineering Headcount20102010--2012: Increased +1,081 People2012: Increased +1,081 PeopleEmerson’s New Product Engineering HeadcountEmerson’s New Product Engineering Headcount20102010--2012: Increased +1,081 People2012: Increased +1,081 People20102010 2012: Increased 1,081 People2012: Increased 1,081 People20102010 2012: Increased 1,081 People2012: Increased 1,081 People

    This slide has been omitted

    59

  • Major New Products Launches 2010Major New Products Launches 2010--20132013Major New Products Launches 2010Major New Products Launches 2010--20132013Major New Products Launches 2010Major New Products Launches 2010 20132013Major New Products Launches 2010Major New Products Launches 2010 20132013

    Our Investments in Technology Drive Our Market Leadership, Create Value to Customers, and Support

    Introduction Year

    p, , ppSales and Margin Growth

    2010 2011 2012 2013E

    Introduction Year

    Numbers Of Major Programs 72 66 106 120

    Intro + 5 Years Sales Expectations $8.9B $8.4B $10.5B $11.0B

    Between 2010-2012 We Launched 244 New Products That Will Result in $25+B Sales Over the Next 5 Years

    60

  • Major New Products Launches 2010Major New Products Launches 2010--20132013Major New Products Launches 2010Major New Products Launches 2010--20132013Major New Products Launches 2010Major New Products Launches 2010 20132013Major New Products Launches 2010Major New Products Launches 2010 20132013DeltaV SIS

    CHARM I/O Logic Solvers

    Liebert NXL 1100 KVA

    CHARM I/O Logic SolversSafety

    InstrumentedSystems

    Leveraging CHARM

    High Level Power Availability

    T f b d CHARMsTransformer-based UPS LIFE™ - Enabled

    (up to 1100 KVA Modules)

    250 – 1100 kVA Modules

    3 Next Generation Scroll Compressors Wireless

    With 1 4BWith over 1.4B operating hours,

    wireless is moving into main stream

    operations

    Refrigeration Market Residential Market

    •Significantly Smaller•More Efficient•Embedded

    •Energy Efficient•Size•Increased

    2010 2011 2012 CAGR

    Bookings $75M $120M $195M 61%

    p•Embedded Electronics

    •Increased Diagnostics

    •New Regulations

    61

  • 20102010--2012: We Invested Globally on Customer 2012: We Invested Globally on Customer Facing People to Increase Sales and PenetrationFacing People to Increase Sales and Penetration20102010--2012: We Invested Globally on Customer 2012: We Invested Globally on Customer Facing People to Increase Sales and PenetrationFacing People to Increase Sales and PenetrationFacing People to Increase Sales and PenetrationFacing People to Increase Sales and PenetrationFacing People to Increase Sales and PenetrationFacing People to Increase Sales and Penetration

    3,415 3,772 3,526 3,865, ,

    4,365 5,087

    357339

    526 773

    282 449

    ,

    Investments 2010-2012247

    167722

    North America $33MLatin America $28MEurope $51M

    & f $

    247

    Middle East & Africa $31MAsia Pacific $106M

    Total $249M

    2010 Customer

    Facing

    2012 Customer

    Facing

    Over the Next 3 Years We Will Add 1,950+ Customer Facing People to Support Our Technology Investment and to Enhance Our Partnership With Customers

    62

  • China Investment for Growth tChina Investment for Growth to Protect and o Protect and Extend Our Broad Customer BaseExtend Our Broad Customer BaseChina Investment for Growth tChina Investment for Growth to Protect and o Protect and Extend Our Broad Customer BaseExtend Our Broad Customer BaseExtend Our Broad Customer BaseExtend Our Broad Customer BaseExtend Our Broad Customer BaseExtend Our Broad Customer Base

    5 000+5,000+

    1,410 1,7671,925+ Sales

    Headcount

    E i i

    3,724 4,372

    2010 2012 2013E

    2,605 3,110+Engineering Headcount2,314

    We Have Over 4,000 Customer-Facing and Engineering Personnel in a Key Growth Market and We Have Rebalanced Westward

    63

  • Services & Solutions Support Our Growth and Services & Solutions Support Our Growth and Deliver Value to Customers at Several LevelsDeliver Value to Customers at Several LevelsServices & Solutions Support Our Growth and Services & Solutions Support Our Growth and Deliver Value to Customers at Several LevelsDeliver Value to Customers at Several LevelsDeliver Value to Customers at Several Levels Deliver Value to Customers at Several Levels Deliver Value to Customers at Several Levels Deliver Value to Customers at Several Levels

    ~$3.4B2012 2007 2012

    $1 8B$2.4B

    2012Sales

    2007-2012CAGR

    Contracts $550M +6%

    Maintenance $697M +11%$1.8B Maintenance $697M +11%Repair and Rebuild $493M +8%Engineering and Consulting $286M +3%

    $1.6B

    ConsultingInstallation $355M +28%

    Training $31M +4%2007 2010 2012 2015F Total $2,412M +9%

    % of Sales 9% 10% ~12%7%

    Services & Solutions Accounting for ~12% Of Our Sales in 2015 Will be Key in Achieving the Financial Targets that Differentiate us from Our Competitors

    64

  • Our Service Headcount Reflects the Company’s Our Service Headcount Reflects the Company’s Installed BaseInstalled BaseOur Service Headcount Reflects the Company’s Our Service Headcount Reflects the Company’s Installed BaseInstalled BaseInstalled Base Installed Base Installed Base Installed Base

    $104B$45B

    2,500People 1,615$45Bp 1,615People

    Last 10 Years of

    SalesCurrent

    Headcount

    $38B

    $10B

    1,872People

    165People

    814People $9B

    Service Headcount:3,549

    290

    5,0182,609 3,695

    1,953 3,316

    Service Headcount

    (2012)

    Installed BaseSales

    (Last 10 years)2010 2012 2015FProcess Management Network Power

    +940

    2010 2012 2015FClimate Technologies

    +100

    290

    2010 2012 2015F

    +1,323190

    ,160

    g g

    Over the Next 3 Years We Will Add 2,300+ Service Personnel to Harvest MRO Opportunities and to Protect Our Valuable Installed Base

    65

  • We Plan to Open 35 New Service Centers Over We Plan to Open 35 New Service Centers Over The Next 3 Years The Next 3 Years –– After Opening 102 from 2010After Opening 102 from 2010--20122012

    We Plan to Open 35 New Service Centers Over We Plan to Open 35 New Service Centers Over The Next 3 Years The Next 3 Years –– After Opening 102 from 2010After Opening 102 from 2010--201220122012201220122012

    2012 2015F 2012-15Process Management 383 407 +24

    We Will Develop Our Service Infrastructure In Emerging Markets

    Service Center Locations

    Process Management 383 407 +24Network Power 265 266 +1Climate Technologies 16 26 +10

    Infrastructure In Emerging Markets and In Clusters Across Major

    Installed Base Sites66

  • Process ManagementProcess Management Provides Support to Provides Support to Customers Promptly, Everywhere, Customers Promptly, Everywhere, and for Every Needand for Every Need

    Process ManagementProcess Management Provides Support to Provides Support to Customers Promptly, Everywhere, Customers Promptly, Everywhere, and for Every Needand for Every Need

    Proximity & Responsiveness

    People: 4hrParts: 24hr

    People: 4hrParts: 24hr

    People: 4hrParts: 24hr

    and for Every Needand for Every Needand for Every Needand for Every NeedSystems Measurement/FlowFinal Controls

    Responsiveness Required Quick Ship: 5 daysDepot: 2hr

    QuickShip: 10 daysStaging: 24hr

    Quick Ship: 5 daysDepot: 24hr

    Super 3 Super Centers3 Super CentersSupeCenterTier 3

    S i 380 Service Centers380 Service Centers

    pp• Outage Management • Depot Repair Center

    • Multi Business Unit • Training Center

    Service CenterTier 2

    380 Service Centers380 Service Centers• Multi Business Unit • Quick Ship/Repair

    • Software Upgrade • Embedded Resources

    Field ServiceTier 1

    2,609 Field Service Engineers2,609 Field Service Engineers• Repair/Replace • Basic Maintenance

    • Local Response in Remote Areas• Meter Calibration

    We Adapted Our Service & Solutions Capabilities to Our Customers’ Needs. The Proximity and Responsiveness We Provide are Unmatched

    67

  • Emerson Continues to Invest in Enriched Emerson Continues to Invest in Enriched Business Models: Business Models: Climate TechnologiesClimate TechnologiesResidential Solutions BusinessResidential Solutions Business ModelModel

    Emerson Continues to Invest in Enriched Emerson Continues to Invest in Enriched Business Models: Business Models: Climate TechnologiesClimate TechnologiesResidential Solutions BusinessResidential Solutions Business ModelModelResidential Solutions BusinessResidential Solutions Business ModelModelResidential Solutions BusinessResidential Solutions Business ModelModel

    This slide has been omitted

    68

  • Climate TechnologiesClimate Technologies’ Deep System Diagnostics ’ Deep System Diagnostics Convert Data into Information and Deliver First Convert Data into Information and Deliver First Class Solutions and ServicesClass Solutions and Services

    Climate TechnologiesClimate Technologies’ Deep System Diagnostics ’ Deep System Diagnostics Convert Data into Information and Deliver First Convert Data into Information and Deliver First Class Solutions and ServicesClass Solutions and ServicesClass Solutions and ServicesClass Solutions and ServicesClass Solutions and ServicesClass Solutions and Services

    This slide has been omitted

    69

  • Creating LongCreating Long TermTerm Value at Emerson:Value at Emerson: Still ValidStill ValidCreating LongCreating Long TermTerm Value at Emerson:Value at Emerson: Still ValidStill ValidCreating Long Creating Long Term Term Value at Emerson: Value at Emerson: Still ValidStill ValidCreating Long Creating Long Term Term Value at Emerson: Value at Emerson: Still ValidStill ValidShare

    RepurchaseProfit

    Growth

    ROTCEBIT Margin

    14 - 18+%Drives EPS

    $5BAcquisitions

    ROTCTarget 15 - 25%

    14 - 18+%OP Margin15 - 19+%

    EPS 10 - 13% CAGR

    Operating Capital Efficiency• Trade Working Capital –

    Underlying Sales

    Growth

  • 20052005 –– 2015F Profitability2015F Profitability20052005 –– 2015F Profitability2015F Profitability2005 2005 2015F Profitability2015F Profitability2005 2005 2015F Profitability2015F Profitability2010 2012 2015F2005

    35.7%39.6% 40.0% 42.0% Gross Profit~42%

    15.0% 16.7%17.7% 19.0% Operating Profit~19%

    *

    13.6% 14.9% 16.1%17.4% EBIT~17.5% *

    71

    Through-the-Cycle EBIT* Margin is 14% – 18%+, Driven by a Continuous Focus on Perfect Execution Programs

    Note: potential sales of Embedded Computing & Power would improve margins by ~50 bps

  • Our Perfect Execution Strategy Our Perfect Execution Strategy ––A Key Driver of WorldA Key Driver of World--Class PerformanceClass PerformanceOur Perfect Execution Strategy Our Perfect Execution Strategy ––A Key Driver of WorldA Key Driver of World--Class PerformanceClass PerformanceA Key Driver of WorldA Key Driver of World Class PerformanceClass PerformanceA Key Driver of WorldA Key Driver of World Class PerformanceClass Performance

    The Right Product.On Time. Every Time. • Best lead time to customers• Unwavering customer loyalty

    Providing Value to Customers and a Return to Shareholders • Solutions to today’s challenges• Continuously improving total cost

    Best in Class Asset M t

    • Optimal product availability • Matching supply to customer demand

    and a Return to Shareholders Continuously improving total cost

    Management • Matching supply to customer demandContinually Improve Core • Leading technology and solutions

    Profitability to Invest for Growth • Positioned to win in growth areas

    72

  • Perfect Execution Benefits are All Centered Perfect Execution Benefits are All Centered Around Speed and EfficiencyAround Speed and EfficiencyPerfect Execution Benefits are All Centered Perfect Execution Benefits are All Centered Around Speed and EfficiencyAround Speed and EfficiencyAround Speed and EfficiencyAround Speed and EfficiencyAround Speed and EfficiencyAround Speed and Efficiency• Delivering world-class customer service differentiates and builds loyalty

    - Elevating customer engagement to anticipate needs fasterf- Equipping customer facing employees with the best tools and training

    • Solutions capabilities create value for customers- Innovative approaches to optimization allow customers to focus on growth

    - Helping customers manage resources more efficiently – just like we do ourselves

    • Rigorous focus on optimizing asset management- Investing in capabilities and technologies to position customers to win- More efficient resource allocation maintains focus on customer needs

    • Higher levels of innovation drive growth for customers and Emerson- Continuously investing in new products and solutions- Anticipating technology trends to position for the futureg gy

    73

    Again, This is a Journey We Must Accelerate and Make Happen in Today’s Slower Growth Market Environment

  • Our Robust Profit Planning Process Continues to Our Robust Profit Planning Process Continues to Drive Margin, Cash Flow and ReturnsDrive Margin, Cash Flow and ReturnsOur Robust Profit Planning Process Continues to Our Robust Profit Planning Process Continues to Drive Margin, Cash Flow and ReturnsDrive Margin, Cash Flow and ReturnsDrive Margin, Cash Flow and ReturnsDrive Margin, Cash Flow and ReturnsDrive Margin, Cash Flow and ReturnsDrive Margin, Cash Flow and Returns

    Supply ChainProcurementLogistics

    Product PortfolioDevelopment ProcessProduct Line Integration

    Facility ReviewFacility MixBest Practices Logistics

    Lean EnterpriseDemand & Production Plan

    Product Line Integration, Rationalization, Prioritization Quality

    Best PracticesRisk Management

    Asset UtilizationInventoryDSO & DPO

    Price InitiativesPower & Risk AnalysisNew Services / Features

    Annual Profit ReviewsNow Led by Bob Sharp DSO & DPO

    CAPEXNew Services / FeaturesVisibility Initiatives Vendavo

    y p…….

    Perfect Execution

    Human ResourcesLabor ProductivityMedical Inflation

    Ethics & SafetySafety Audit ResultsEthics Training

    ITERP / Oracle UpdatesSystem Updates Medical Inflation

    Job MovesCompensation ContainmentTraining/Development

    Ethics TrainingSystem UpdatesNew SoftwareEmerson.com

    74

  • Emerson Performance MetricsEmerson Performance Metrics -- ExampleExampleEmerson Performance MetricsEmerson Performance Metrics -- ExampleExampleEmerson Performance Metrics Emerson Performance Metrics ExampleExampleEmerson Performance Metrics Emerson Performance Metrics ExampleExampleCustomer Satisfaction

    Customer Service LevelsQuality

    On-Time Delivery Customer Loyalty

    QualityLead Time Quality (PPM)

    Asset Utilization

    InventoryDSO & DPO

    Days Sales Outstanding Days Payable Outstanding

    DSO & DPOCAPEX Days in Cash Cycle Inventory Turnover

    Supply Chain

    Procurement

    Lead Time Service Level

    LogisticsLean EnterpriseDemand & Production Plan

    Regionalization Forecast Accuracy

    75

  • Emerson Regionalization Strategy ScorecardEmerson Regionalization Strategy ScorecardEmerson Regionalization Strategy ScorecardEmerson Regionalization Strategy ScorecardEmerson Regionalization Strategy ScorecardEmerson Regionalization Strategy ScorecardEmerson Regionalization Strategy ScorecardEmerson Regionalization Strategy Scorecard

    Americas EuropeAsia

    Pacific

    1 – 5 (Worst) to (Best)

    Markets

    2000 Today 2015 2000 Today 2015 2000 Today 2015Manufacturing 5 5 5 2 2 2 3 2 2Engineering 5 5 5 3 2 2 3 2 2S l Ch i

    Americas

    atio

    n

    Supply Chain 3 4 5 2 2 2 2 1 2Customer Sales / Service 4 4 5 - - - - - -Manufacturing - - - 3 3 4 - - -Engineeringng

    Loc

    a

    Engineering - 1 1 4 4 5 - 2 2Supply Chain - - - 3 3 4 - - -Customer Sales / Service - - - 4 4 5 - - -Manufacturing 3 2 2 3 2 2 3 5 5

    Europe

    fact

    urin

    Manufacturing 3 2 2 3 2 2 3 5 5Engineering - 2 3 - 2 3 2 4 5Supply Chain 3 4 4 3 4 4 3 5 5Customer Sales / Service 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 5

    AsiaPacificM

    anuf

    3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 5

    76

    The Emerson Regionalization Strategy is a Key Component of the Planning Process at each of our Business Units – Global Best Cost and Perfect Execution

  • Perfect ExecutionPerfect Execution –– Key ActionsKey ActionsPerfect ExecutionPerfect Execution –– Key ActionsKey ActionsPerfect Execution Perfect Execution Key ActionsKey ActionsPerfect Execution Perfect Execution Key ActionsKey Actions● Global Vice President of Profit Planning and Perfect Execution

    Bob Sharp – Reports to Ed Monser

    ● Integration of Perfect Execution principles into the Profit Planning process

    ● Increasing collaboration with customers and suppliers in an g ppintegrated sales and operations planning process

    ● Supply Chain lead time integrated into the new product development processdevelopment process

    ● Regional alignment of sales, manufacturing, and the supply base for better supply chain integration and shorter lead timesL t i id t i t ti f dd d● Leverage enterprise wide system integration for added operational efficiency

    ● In delivering this strategy, we also significantly improve our risk iti hil t ki d t f E ’ i t t iposition, while taking advantage of Emerson’s investment in

    global scale and infrastructure

    77

  • We Will Focus on Acquisitions and Divestitures We Will Focus on Acquisitions and Divestitures That Align With Our Value Creation StrategyThat Align With Our Value Creation StrategyWe Will Focus on Acquisitions and Divestitures We Will Focus on Acquisitions and Divestitures That Align With Our Value Creation StrategyThat Align With Our Value Creation Strategy

    $29Sales ($B) ~$28.5B

    That Align With Our Value Creation StrategyThat Align With Our Value Creation StrategyThat Align With Our Value Creation StrategyThat Align With Our Value Creation Strategy

    Portfolio

    $25

    $27Portfolio

    Management

    I t l• Strong Cash

    Generation$24.4B

    2012-2015 Target: 3-5% ~$27.4B

    $21

    $23Internal

    StrategicInvestments

    Emerging Markets

    Mature

    Generation• Strategic Capital

    Allocation• Acquisitions &

    Divestitures• $2 $3B Acquisitions

    $17

    $19Markets • $2-$3B Acquisitions

    • $2-$2.5B Divestitures

    $13

    $15

    $112012 2015F

    78

  • Creating LongCreating Long TermTerm Value at Emerson:Value at Emerson: Still ValidStill ValidCreating LongCreating Long TermTerm Value at Emerson:Value at Emerson: Still ValidStill ValidCreating Long Creating Long Term Term Value at Emerson: Value at Emerson: Still ValidStill ValidCreating Long Creating Long Term Term Value at Emerson: Value at Emerson: Still ValidStill ValidShare

    RepurchaseProfit

    Growth

    ROTCEBIT Margin

    14 - 18+%Drives EPS

    $5BAcquisitions

    ROTCTarget 15 - 25%

    14 - 18+%OP Margin15 - 19+%

    EPS 10 - 13% CAGR

    Operating Capital Efficiency• Trade Working Capital –

    Underlying Sales

    Growth

  • Operating Capital Efficiency DrivesOperating Capital Efficiency DrivesSignificantly Higher Cash Flow and ReturnsSignificantly Higher Cash Flow and ReturnsOperating Capital Efficiency DrivesOperating Capital Efficiency DrivesSignificantly Higher Cash Flow and ReturnsSignificantly Higher Cash Flow and ReturnsSignificantly Higher Cash Flow and ReturnsSignificantly Higher Cash Flow and ReturnsSignificantly Higher Cash Flow and ReturnsSignificantly Higher Cash Flow and Returns

    Average Trade Working Capital % to Sales

    $4.0B $4.3B$4.5B $4.0B

    Long Term Targets

    $3.6B ~$4.3B

    17.9% 19.0% 16.8% 16.7% 17.5%

    $4.0B

  • 20122012--2015F Cash Sources & Uses2015F Cash Sources & Uses20122012--2015F Cash Sources & Uses2015F Cash Sources & Uses

    100%

    20122012 2015F Cash Sources & Uses2015F Cash Sources & Uses20122012 2015F Cash Sources & Uses2015F Cash Sources & Uses

    $11B $11B

    Dividends$4B80% 36%

    We will return ~58% of cash to

    our

    Operating Cash Flow

    $11B

    Share Repurchases$2-$3B

    40%

    60% ~22%our

    shareholders

    CapEx

    Acquisitions$2-$3B

    20%

    40%~22%

    p$2B

    0%Cash Sources

    2012-2015FCash Uses2012-2015F

    20%

    Note: Does not reflect divestitures of $2.0B - $2.5B in revenue 81

  • Continuously Repositioning the Business and Continuously Repositioning the Business and EndEnd--Market Portfolio: Emerson Since 2000Market Portfolio: Emerson Since 2000Continuously Repositioning the Business and Continuously Repositioning the Business and EndEnd--Market Portfolio: Emerson Since 2000Market Portfolio: Emerson Since 2000EndEnd Market Portfolio: Emerson Since 2000Market Portfolio: Emerson Since 2000EndEnd Market Portfolio: Emerson Since 2000Market Portfolio: Emerson Since 2000● Consolidated sales increased at 4% CAGR● Profitability increased at both the Gross Profit Level (+4.4 pts) and y ( p )

    at the Operating Profit* Level (+1.4 pts)● Acquired 85 Companies ($6.1B Annual Sales) and Divested 26

    Companies ($2 6B Annual Sales)Companies ($2.6B Annual Sales)● International Sales Expanded from 38% to 59% of total Emerson

    sales● Actively repositioned our portfolio of businesses into Higher

    Growth and More Profitable Markets– Exited the Motors and Appliance components businessespp p

    – Built out the Network Power Systems platform

    – Evaluating potential sale of Embedded Computing & Power business which would improve margins by ~50 bps but reduce sales by ~$1 4Bwhich would improve margins by ~50 bps, but reduce sales by ~$1.4B in 2014

    82

  • 20002000--2012 Continuous Portfolio Management2012 Continuous Portfolio Management20002000--2012 Continuous Portfolio Management2012 Continuous Portfolio Management20002000 2012 Continuous Portfolio Management 2012 Continuous Portfolio Management 20002000 2012 Continuous Portfolio Management 2012 Continuous Portfolio Management Acquisitions

    Appliance & ToolsCommercial & Residential

    Solutions 8%

    ClimateTechnologies

    Appliance & Tools22%

    Industrial

    ClimateTechnologies

    15%

    85 Companies

    IndustrialAutomation

    Technologies16%

    Network

    Industrial Automation

    21%

    p$6.1B of Annual Sales

    22%

    Network Power21%

    Network Power25%26 Companies

    $2 6B f A l S lProcess

    Management19%

    21%Process

    Management31%

    $2.6B of Annual Sales

    2000

    19%

    Divestitures2012

    83

  • Embedded Computing & Power ProfileEmbedded Computing & Power ProfileEmbedded Computing & Power ProfileEmbedded Computing & Power Profile2012 Segment Sales2012 Segment Sales2012 Segment Sales2012 Segment Sales

    Industrial / Medical / Test &

    Embedded Computing & Power ProfileEmbedded Computing & Power ProfileEmbedded Computing & Power ProfileEmbedded Computing & Power ProfileProductsProductsProductsProducts

    35%

    12%

    ComputingMeasurement

    Embedded Computers

    Processing Boards

    AC-DC Power Supplies

    53%Component Interfaces

    DC-DC Converters

    Telecom / Mobile

    ($M) 2012

    Financial Financial HighlightsHighlightsFinancial Financial HighlightsHighlights Sales by GeographySales by GeographySales by GeographySales by GeographyUnited States

    & Canada

    CommunicationsInterfaces Converters Mobile

    ($M) 2012Sales $1,389Adjusted EBITDA $102

    % of Sales 7.3%

    23%

    14%58%

    AsiaPacific

    % of Sales 7.3%EBIT $14% of Sales 1.0%

    14%

    5%

    58%Europe

    Latin America 84

  • Lower Growth Environment Will Also Affect Lower Growth Environment Will Also Affect Business Group Growth Rates Through This Business Group Growth Rates Through This Current CycleCurrent Cycle

    Lower Growth Environment Will Also Affect Lower Growth Environment Will Also Affect Business Group Growth Rates Through This Business Group Growth Rates Through This Current CycleCurrent CycleCurrent CycleCurrent CycleCurrent CycleCurrent Cycle

    C i l &

    2012-2015F Growth

    Commercial & Residential Solutions

    Climate Technologies 5-7%

    4-6%

    Industrial Automation 2-4%

    Process Management

    Network Power 5-7%

    6-8%

    2% 4% 6% 8% 10%

    3 - 5%

    Process Management

    Emerson Growth Targets

    6 8%

    Growth Through 2015 Will be Lower Due to Slower, Choppy Global Economic Environment

    3 5%Emerson Growth Targets

    85

  • Emerson’s Acquisition Spending 2005Emerson’s Acquisition Spending 2005 –– 2015F2015FEmerson’s Acquisition Spending 2005Emerson’s Acquisition Spending 2005 –– 2015F2015FEmerson s Acquisition Spending 2005 Emerson s Acquisition Spending 2005 2015F2015FEmerson s Acquisition Spending 2005 Emerson s Acquisition Spending 2005 2015F2015FAcquisition Spending by Year$4

    $B

    $3.0 $3

    $2.0-$3 0

    $2$3.0

    $0.5

    $0.8

    $0.4 $0.6

    $1.0

    $0.2 $0.2

    $1$0.5-$0.7

    $02005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2012-

    2015F

    In the 2012-2015F Period We Continue to Focus on Small to MediumIn the 2012 2015F Period We Continue to Focus on Small to Medium Size Bolt-On Acquisitions to Strengthen Our Current Platforms

    – Don’t Anticipate Anything Big in 201386

  • Our Acquisition Efforts Will Be Tailored to Our Acquisition Efforts Will Be Tailored to Strengthening Our Business PlatformsStrengthening Our Business PlatformsOur Acquisition Efforts Will Be Tailored to Our Acquisition Efforts Will Be Tailored to Strengthening Our Business PlatformsStrengthening Our Business PlatformsStrengthening Our Business PlatformsStrengthening Our Business PlatformsStrengthening Our Business PlatformsStrengthening Our Business Platforms

    Core Adjacent Geography Opportunistic Technology

    Process Management Network Power et o o eSystems IndustrialAutomation Climate Technologies Commercial & Residential Solutions

    Process Management and Industrial Automation Have Significant

    Residential Solutions

    g gOpportunities to Continue to Grow Their Platforms into Global Franchises – We Plan to Focus our Acquisition Activities in These Two Businesses,

    but All Businesses are Looking for Opportunities87

  • 2013 Outlook2013 Outlook –– Key Highlights to Drive ValueKey Highlights to Drive Value2013 Outlook2013 Outlook –– Key Highlights to Drive ValueKey Highlights to Drive Value2013 Outlook 2013 Outlook Key Highlights to Drive ValueKey Highlights to Drive Value2013 Outlook 2013 Outlook Key Highlights to Drive ValueKey Highlights to Drive Value● Global Gross Fixed Investment (GFI) is Forecasted to Grow

    Only 3-5% in 2013, but this could be optimistic● This will lead to a 2-5% Underlying Sales* Growth in 2013,

    with minimal acquisitions in plan● Positive order trends suggest several of our businesses –gg

    Process Management, Climate Technologies, Commercial & Residential Solutions – Should Experience Solid Underlying Growth

    ● Another Record Year for Profit Margins is expected – as we expect all time highs in Gross and Operating Profit Margins

    ● Significant Cash Flow Improvement is expected to occur –● Significant Cash Flow Improvement is expected to occur producing an incremental gain of $200-$300M in Free Cash Flow*, after a weak Fiscal 2012

    88

  • Fiscal 2013 Financial ExpectationsFiscal 2013 Financial ExpectationsFiscal 2013 Financial ExpectationsFiscal 2013 Financial ExpectationsFiscal 2013 Financial ExpectationsFiscal 2013 Financial ExpectationsFiscal 2013 Financial ExpectationsFiscal 2013 Financial Expectations

    Operational Performance 2013E DeltaPerformance

    20122013E Delta

    Sales $24.4B $25.0 - $25.6B 2% - 5%

    GP Margin 40.0% ~40.5% ~50 bps

    ^

    GP Margin 40.0% 40.5% 50 bps

    OP Margin* 17.7% 17.8% - 17.9% 10-20 bps

    EBIT* $3.9B ~$4.1B ~5%

    % of Sales* 16.1% 16.2% - 16.3% 10-20 bps

    Operating Cash Flow $3.1B ~$3.35B ~9%

    Free Cash Flow* $2.4B ~$2.65B ~10%

    EPS $3.39 $3.53-$3.63 4% - 7%

    ROTC 19.4% ~20% ~60 bps

    89^2012 Operational Performance*: Excluding goodwill impairment of $592M pretax or $0.72 per share in 2012.

    Remember: We Still Expect 70-80% of 2013 EPS Growth in the First Half

  • Creating Long Creating Long Term Term Value at Emerson in the Value at Emerson in the NearNear--Term with a Lower Growth EnvironmentTerm with a Lower Growth EnvironmentCreating Long Creating Long Term Term Value at Emerson in the Value at Emerson in the NearNear--Term with a Lower Growth EnvironmentTerm with a Lower Growth EnvironmentNearNear Term with a Lower Growth EnvironmentTerm with a Lower Growth EnvironmentNearNear Term with a Lower Growth EnvironmentTerm with a Lower Growth Environment

    Share RepurchaseProfit

    Lower Sales Growth Will Slightly Dampen Our Traditional

    EPS and ROTC Targets

    ROTC

    RepurchaseProfitGrowth

    EPS and ROTC Targets

    Acquisitions

    Target 18 - 22%EBIT Margin~17.5%

    OP Margin~19%

    Drives EPS 7 - 9% CAGR

    Operating Capital Efficiency• Trade Working Capital –

  • We Must Focus on Pockets of Growth in Order to We Must Focus on Pockets of Growth in Order to Drive Strong Results in a Slowing EconomyDrive Strong Results in a Slowing EconomyWe Must Focus on Pockets of Growth in Order to We Must Focus on Pockets of Growth in Order to Drive Strong Results in a Slowing EconomyDrive Strong Results in a Slowing EconomyDrive Strong Results in a Slowing EconomyDrive Strong Results in a Slowing EconomyDrive Strong Results in a Slowing EconomyDrive Strong Results in a Slowing Economy

    SalesGrowth

    • Due to the slow economic environment underlying sales growth target has been revised to 3-5% for 2012-2015F.

    • Positioning to capture pockets of growth in emerging and

    Margin Improvement

    3-5%

    • Strong track record of continuous margin improvement. • Technology investments and Perfect Execution strategy

    • Positioning to capture pockets of growth in emerging and mature markets.

    ~17.5% EBIT ~19% OP

    Acquisitions • Plan to spend $2-3B in acquisitions in the next three

    years

    • Technology investments and Perfect Execution strategy will help drive higher levels of profitability.

    Share

    cqu s t o s$2-3B

    • Plan to spend $2-3B in share repurchase in the next three

    years. • Focus will be on bolt-on strategic acquisitions that

    enhance business platforms.

    Repurchase$2-3B

    years.