8/2/2019 2012 SUMMER FORECAST FOR INDIA

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METD WEATHERAKSHAY DEORASSEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

HIGHLIGHTS OF" EXPECTED 2012 SUMMER OF INDIA"

Courtesy- JAMSTEC

FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT-

metdweather.blogspot.com

1) LA NINA WEAKENING. TRANSITION VERY LIKELY IN APRIL END2) Summer will get to see MIXED EFFECTS due to ongoing weak La Nina and the transition period.3) The Weak La Nina will cool down Central India,Southern India and East ern India prominently by around -0.1C to -0.5C on average.4) Subsequently the Northern India will be warming up again this Summer by around +0.1C to +0.5C on an average. In the month of May,temperature variations can take place where most of the places will mark the highest of the season temperature

5) The overall precipitation activity seems to be FAIR with most of the places in India getting NORMAL RAINFALL DURING THE PERIOD

Zonal Wise Forecast.

Note- The scales are as compared to average i.e (+0.1C) when counted on the average

North India,NCR,Desert Region -

Warmer than normal summer. The overall temperature records shall be similar to 2011 year with temperature variation of ( +0.1 to +0.5 C)

East India-

The areas of Eastern India will witness a COOLER than normal Summer. The Temperature anomaly will be around ( -0.4C to -0.7C). The precipitation levels shall match the normal level

Southern India-

Continuing the tradition, Southern India also will witness Cooler Summer. However many areas will be experiencing normal summer. These areas are difficult to point out in general Temperature variation shall be 0C to -0.2C

Western India-

8/2/2019 2012 SUMMER FORECAST FOR INDIA

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Western India will be warming up this year with temperature variation expected around (+0.1C to +0.3C).Anticyclones at lower levels in the Arabian Sea and over Gujarat would play a decisive role. Central India-

Central India will also COOL this year. However the strength of this cooling shall be LOWER than experienced previous year which will be pushing most of the stations to a NORMAL or JUSTBELOW NORMAL LEVEL

Temperature variation shall be around (-0.1C to -0.3C). North-Eastern States-The North-Eastern States will experience a cooling pattern this year due to assisted neutral ENSO. Temperature variations shall reach from -0.3C to -0.7C. NAGPUR WEATHER-THE HIGHEST TEMPERATURE WHICH MAY HIT NAGPUR THIS YEAR WILL BETWEEN 45.5C (+ OR MINUS 0.5C). THE TEMPERATURE SHALL BE REACHING IN MAY 2012. IN ALL THERE WILL BE NOT MORE THAN 3-4 RAINFALL EVENTS DURING MAY

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