Texas A&M University-Central Texas Math 5376: Introduction ...
2012 Central Texas Education Profile
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Transcript of 2012 Central Texas Education Profile
2012 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE
www.e3alliance.org
Made possible through the investment of:
Agenda• Who is E3 Alliance?• Central Texas Economy• Educational Overview• Student Readiness & Success
E3 Alliance uses objective data and focused community collaboration to align our education systems
so all students succeed and lead Central Texas to economic prosperity
Mission
E3 Alliance is a Catalyst For Educational Change in Central Texas
E3 serves as the Central Texasregional P-16 Council
© E3 Alliance, 2012
What We Don’t Do• Run school programs• Provide direct services • Write curriculum• Make decisions that
school boards or leaders make for their districts
We are acatalyst for positive change
in education
© E3 Alliance, 2012
• Improved Student Outcomes
• Economic Prosperity
E3 Alliance Model for Change
Using Information to Change Practice
Building Community Will for Change
Regional Strategic Plan
© E3 Alliance, 2012
Education Research Centers• Authorized in 2006• UT Austin ERC• Linked data from TEA, THECB, & TWC
going back to early 1990s allow long-term student tracking
• Contains all 6.3M P-20 students in the state – can answer questions no district or institution ever could
• One of the first sources of student data along the entire pipeline in the country
• Brought over $11M in funded research to the state of Texas; $6.5M in queue
© E3 Alliance, 2012
CENTRAL TEXAS ECONOMY
© E3 Alliance, 2012
Central Texas Region
Central Texas Better than Texas and US during Great Recession
© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts & US Labor Statistics
2001
Jun
2001
Dec
2002
Jun
2002
Dec
2003
Jun
2003
Dec
2004
Jun
2004
Dec
2005
Jun
2005
Dec
2006
Jun
2006
Dec
2007
Jun
2007
Dec
2008
Jun
2008
Dec
2009
Jun
2009
Dec
2010
Jun
2010
Dec
2011
Jun
2011
Aug
2011
Oct
2011
Dec
2012
Feb
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
CTX Unemp. Rate TX Unemp. Rate US Unemp. Rate
Une
mpl
oym
ent R
ate
Unemployment Rates for Central Texas, Texas and the USA
Higher Education = Higher Employment
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
14.9%
10.3%8.4%
4.7%
10.6%9.1%
7.4%
4.1%
US Texas
Une
mpl
oym
ent
Rate
Unemployment Rate for Persons Age 25 and Older, 2010
© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: US Department of Labor and Census Bureau
Thriving CTX Economy Will Rely on Bachelor Degrees and STEM Education
© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: Texas Workforce Commission
Educational Requirements
Number of Targeted
Occupations
TargetedOccupations in
STEM
Typical Salary Range
Work Experience in a Related Occupation
3 1 $32,000 - $57,000
On-the-Job Training 6 0 $33,000 - $67,000
Associates Degree or Vocational Certificate
6 3 $40,000 - $64,000
Bachelor Degree or Higher
28 16 $48,000 - $94,000
Top 43 Targeted Occupations in Texas, 2008-2018
EDUCATIONAL OVERVIEW
Texas Largest Growth by State
CTX ELLs
CTX Low Income Students
CTX Students
Texas Students
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160%
139%
93%
40%
21%
Enrollment Growth Rate, 2001 to 2011
© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: E3 Alliance analysis of AEIS data from TEA
Central Texas Student Population
© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: E3 Alliance analysis of TEA’s AEIS data
Schools Students
35 Independent School Districts 443 299,738
15 Charter Organizations 37 6,978
Higher Education Institutions 8 127,203
Total = 433,919
Central Texas Schools and Student Enrollment, 2011-2012
Low Income Student Enrollment Doubled
CTX ELLs
CTX Low Income Students
CTX Students
Texas Students
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160%
139%
93%
40%
21%
Enrollment Growth Rate, 2001 to 2011
© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: E3 Alliance analysis of AEIS data from TEA
Half of Student Enrollment Low Income
2000-01
Non-Low Income,65%
Low Income,35%
2010-11
Non- Low Income,
51%Low Income,
49%
© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: E3 Alliance analysis of AEIS data
Link
Percentage of Students Who are Low Income vs. Non-Low Income, Central Texas, 2000-01 and 2010-11
District Income Levels10 Years Ago
© E3 Alliance, 2012
District Income LevelsLast Year
© E3 Alliance, 2012
Large Increase in Hispanic Student Enrollment
Native,0%Asian,
3%
2000-01
White,52%
Hispanic,35%
Black,10%
Native,0%
Asian,4%
2010-11
White,40%
Hispanic,47%
Black,9%
© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: E3 Alliance analysis of AEIS data
Link
Percentage of Student Population, by Ethnicity, Central Texas, 2000-01 and 2010-11
Largest Increase in Younger Student Enrollment
PK KG 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 -
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000 Growth in Student Enrollment,
Central Texas, 2000-01 and 2010-11
2010-112000-01
Grade Level
Num
ber o
f Stu
dent
s
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of AEIS data © E3 Alliance, 2012
Central Texas ELL Enrollment is Growing 7 Times Faster than the Texas Student Enrollment
CTX ELLs
CTX Low Income Students
CTX Students
Texas Students
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160%
139%
93%
40%
21%
Enrollment Growth Rate, 2001 to 2011
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of AEIS data from TEA © E3 Alliance, 2012
English Language Learners• ELLs are students who are learning English as
another language; once successful, they are excluded from the ELL group
• 831,904 ELL students in Texas (2010-11) – (Texas and Central Texas)– Texas has more ELLs than 28 states have students– 91% speak Spanish – Over 120 languages are spoken– Vast majority are US born
Source: TEA website, March 2012 © E3 Alliance, 2012
ELL Enrollment is Highest in Urban Center
2000-01 2010-11
© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: E3 Alliance analysis of AEIS data from TEA
© E3 Alliance, 2012
Central Texas ELL Collaborative
Summary of FindingsDramatic increases in:1) # of Students2) Low Income Students3) Hispanic Students4) Youngest Students5) English Language Learners
© E3 Alliance, 2012
EARLY CHILDHOOD SCHOOL READINESS
Kindergarten Readiness Collaborative
© E3 Alliance, 2012
Half of Central Texas Students Are Not Ready for Kindergarten
Kindergarten Readiness, Central Texas, 2011
Ready, 50%
Not Ready, 50%
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of CTGSR assessment data © E3 Alliance, 2012
Pre-K Programs Associated with Higher Kindergarten Readiness
Source: CTGSR assessment data, un-weighted sample
Low Income Non-Low Income0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
19%
45%42%
63%
No Pre-K Any Pre-K
Perc
enta
ge o
f Ki
nder
gart
ener
s
Statistically Equal
Percentage of Students Meeting Kindergarten Readiness Components, Low Income vs. Non-Low Income, Fall 2011
© E3 Alliance, 2012
75% of Eligible 4 year olds Attend Public Pre-K Programs
Source: 2010 and 2011 PEIMS enrollment data at UT ERC
Texas Central Texas0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
69%75%
31% 25%Enrollment in Pre-K Programs, Fall 2011
In Public Pre-K Not in Public Pre-K
Perc
enta
ge o
f Elig
ible
Chi
ldre
n
© E3 Alliance, 2012
ELEMENTARY SCHOOL READINESS & SUCCESS
Achievement Gaps Appear to be ClosingGrade 5 Reading TAKS Scores,
Central Texas, 2003 through 2011
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 110%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Hispanic African AmericanWhite Low Income
Test Year
Perc
enta
ge W
ho M
et M
inim
um S
tand
ard
Grade 5 Math TAKS Scores, Central Texas, 2003 through 2011
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 110%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Hispanic African AmericanWhite Low Income
Test Year
© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: TEA district-level TAKS data
But, Gaps are Persistent – at ALL GradesGrade 5 Reading TAKS Scores
Central Texas, 2003 Through 2011
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 112000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Test Year
Aver
age
Read
ing
TAKS
Sco
re
Grade 5 Math TAKS ScoresCentral Texas, 2003 Through 2011
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 112000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
Test Year
Aver
age
Mat
h TA
KS S
core
© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: E3 Alliance analysis of TEA district-level TAKS data
Few Students are Retained in Grade 5
K 1 2 3 4 50%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
2.2%
2.7%
1.4%1.0%
0.5% 0.6%
Grade Level
Perc
enta
ge o
f Stu
dent
s Re
tain
ed
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS 2010 and 2011 enrollment data at UT ERC
Student Retention Rates by Grade Level,Central Texas, 2009-10 to 2010-11
© E3 Alliance, 2012
ELL Students are Concentrated in Bilingual Programs
Pre-K K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 -
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000
ELL Student Enrollment by Language Program, by Grade Level, Fall 2011
ESL
BIL
Neither
Grade Level
Num
ber o
f ELL
s
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of 2010-11 PEIMS data from UT ERC © E3 Alliance, 2012
Special Education Services Lowest for ELLs in Bilingual Programs
Pre-K K 1 2 3 4 50%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%Special Education Participation by ELL Program, 2010-11
ESL
Bilingual
Neither
Non-ELL
Grade Level
Perc
enta
ge o
f En
glis
h La
ngua
ge L
earn
ers
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of 2010-11 PEIMS data from UT ERC © E3 Alliance, 2012
Summary of Findings• Low income children in PK
are equally K-Ready• Full-day PK => Higher
Enrollment• Achievement gaps persist • Grade 5 is NOT high-
retention grade• ELLs in bilingual programs
better off
© E3 Alliance, 2012
MIDDLE SCHOOL READINESS & SUCCESS
Achievement Gaps• Persist• BUT, gaps are closing faster then in earlier
grades
• Helping middle school students reach college & career readiness
• 8 schools participated in 2011• All teachers receiving extensive training• Close to 1 in 4 students is a struggling reader
© E3 Alliance, 2012
MS & HS Bright Spots, Reading/ELA
State Average
Low Growth AverageGrowth High Growth
© E3 Alliance, 2012
HIGH SCHOOL READINESS & SUCCESS
HS Students Miss 2+ Weeks of School
Elementary School Middle School High School0
5
10
15
6.6 7.4
11.3
Aver
age
Day
s Ab
sent
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS data at UT ERC
Student Absences by School Level, Central Texas, 2009-10
© E3 Alliance, 2012
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS data at UT ERC
Central Texas Student Miss More School
9 10 11 120
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
10 10 101111 10
11
14
Texas
Central TX
Grade Level
Aver
age
Day
s Ab
sent
Student Absences by Grade Level, Central Texas vs. Texas, 2009-10
© E3 Alliance, 2012
Grade 9 Retention is Dramatic
PK KG Gr1 Gr2 Gr3 Gr4 Gr5 Gr6 Gr7 Gr8 Gr9 Gr10 Gr11 Gr12 -
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000 Central Texas Students, by Grade Level, 2010-11
Stud
ent E
nrol
lmen
t
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of AEIS data
1 in 10 Freshmen areRetained Students
© E3 Alliance, 2012
Retained Freshmen Missed 5 Weeks of School
Retained in 9th Promoted to 10th0
5
10
15
20
25
24
6
Absences for First Time 9th Graders in 2006-07
Status in 2007-2008 School Year
Aver
age
Num
ber o
f Abs
ence
s
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS data at UT ERC © E3 Alliance, 2012
Only 17% of Retained Freshmen Passed TAKS Math
Retained in 9th Promoted to 10th0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100% Percentage of Students Passing Math TAKS, Central Texas, 2006-07
2008 Student Status
Perc
enta
ge o
f Stu
dent
s
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS and TAKS data at UT ERC
74%
17%
57 Percentage Point Difference
© E3 Alliance, 2012
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS and TAKS data at UT ERC.
Retained Freshman 10x More Likely to Dropout
Retained in 9th Promoted to 10th0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
19%
1.7%
Percentage of Students Dropping Out in 9th Grade,Central Texas, 2010-11
Perc
enta
ge o
f Stu
dent
s D
ropp
ing
Out
© E3 Alliance, 2012
10 Times Difference
Graduation Rates Improving Slowly
Class of 2007 Class of 2008 Class of 2009 Class of 20100
102030405060708090
100
76 80 79 8285 84 86
4-Year Rate
5-Year Rate
Perc
enta
ge o
f 9th
Gra
ders
Percentage of 9th Graders Graduating Within 4 & 5 Years,Central Texas, Classes of 2007 through 2010
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of AEIS data © E3 Alliance, 2012
Summary of Findings• 1 in 4 MS students is
struggling reader• E3 is working to identify
bright spot campuses• Poor attendance associated
with host of negative academic outcomes
© E3 Alliance, 2012
POST-SECONDARYREADINESS & SUCCESS
Only 1 in 4 Freshmen College and Career Ready
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000 9th Graders in 2003-0418,200
Graduated on Time
11,700 (64%)On-Time Gradu-ate with RHSP or
DAP9,640 (53%)
RHSP/DAP On-Time Graduate & Took SAT or
ACT7,600 (42%)
RHSP/DAP Graduate & Col-
lege Ready in Math & ELA4,540 (25%)
Num
ber o
f Stu
dent
s
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of TEA ad hoc data
2003-04 9th Grade Cohort Milestones to College Enrollment,Central Texas, Class of 2007
© E3 Alliance, 2012
Gaps in College Readiness Exist
African American Hispanic White0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
52%59%
82%
42%
55%
80%
TAKS College and Career Readiness Rates of Texas Graduates, by Ethnicity, Central Texas, Class of 2011
English Language Arts (ELA)
Math
Perc
enta
ge o
f Gra
duat
es
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of AEIS data © E3 Alliance, 2012
African American & Hispanic Students Receive More Minimum Diplomas
African American Hispanic White0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
23% 18% 12%
70% 74%66%
7% 8%22%
Distinguished
Recommended
Minimum
Perc
enta
ge o
f Gra
duat
es
Types of Diplomas Received by Ethnicity, Central Texas, Class of 2010
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS data at UT ERC © E3 Alliance, 2012
Distinguished Diploma Shows Highest Degree Completion
CTX 2004 HS Graduates Enrolling in Higher Education Fall/Spring after Graduation
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Data at UT ERC
Minimum Recommended Distinguished0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
26%
61%
71%
2%
21%
45%
Enrolled IHE 6-Year Degree
High School Diploma
Perc
enta
ge o
f Gra
duat
es
© E3 Alliance, 2012
Direct to College Enrollment = Higher Degree Attainment
2004 High School Graduates Direct Enrollment into Postsecondary
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
20.2%
35.6%
5.9%
19.7%
Non-Low Income
Low Income
Perc
enta
ge o
f Gra
duat
es
Earn
ing
Cred
entia
l
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of state data at UT ERC
Degree Attainment Within 6 Years, Central Texas, Class of 2004
© E3 Alliance, 2012
Conclusions• Region’s demographics
changing dramatically• Performance improving and
gaps closing in later grades• Attendance key to success• Now time for qualitative
exploration of bright spots• Distinguished diploma =
most likely to graduate from college/university
© E3 Alliance, 2012
Next Food For Thought
Attendance: Using Data to Drive Action & Policy
Late July
© E3 Alliance, 2012
www.e3alliance.org/moreinfo
The conclusions of this research do not necessarily reflect the opinions or official position of the Texas Education Agency, the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, or the State of Texas.