2011 11 Presentation for CLSA Conference
Transcript of 2011 11 Presentation for CLSA Conference
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ICICI Group: Strategy &PerformanceNovember 2011
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Agenda
Strategy & executionFinancial results: Q2-2012
Recent developments
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India: economic indicators GDP growth moderating RBI revised growth estimatefor FY2012 downwards to
7.6% from 8.0%
GDP
Exports growth in H1-2012at 52.4% compared to29.7% in H1-2011 Exports grew by 10.8% in
Oct 2011
Exports
Growth in IIP at 4.1% in Aug2011; Apr-Aug 2011 at 5.6%against 8.7% in Apr-Aug2010
Industrial production
Moderation in sales and netprofits both on a y-o-y andsequential basis
Corporate performance
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Credit & depositsNon-food credit growth at 18.9% y-o-y at Oct 21, 2011
21.2% at March 25, 2011 and 21.2% at Oct 22, 2010
Non-food credit growth maintained at about 20% yoy
Total deposits: 15.2% y-o-y increase at Oct 21, 2011 15.9% at March 25, 2011 & 17.4% at Oct 22, 2010
Demand deposits: decrease of 13.8% y-o-y at Oct 21,2011
Deposit growth improving; demand deposits lagging
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Monetary policy actionRepo rate increased by 25 bps to 8.50% on Oct 25, 2011 Policy stance
Maintaining an interest rate environment to contain inflationand anchor inflation expectations Stimulate investment activity to support raising the growthtrend Manage liquidity to ensure it remains in moderate deficit
Inflation expected to moderate from December 2011 Low likelihood of rate action in December review FY2012 GDP growth projection revised downwards to7.6%
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Some smaller banks have already increased their savingsbank deposit rates
Savings rate deregulationSavings bank deposit interest rate deregulated
Uniform rate for deposits up to ` 100,000 Differential rates permitted for deposits above ` 100,000;
same rate to be offered for same deposit amount
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Agenda
Strategy & executionFinancial results: Q2-2012
Recent developments
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Our strategic pathFY2010
4Cs: CASA,Costs, CreditQuality & Capital
FY2011 Resume
balance sheetgrowth
FY2012onwards Accelerategrowth
Position thebalance sheetfor growth
Furtherimprovefunding mixthrough retailterm depositgrowth
Improve RoA:sharpreduction inprovisions
On the back ofimprovedliabilitystructure &RoA
Leveragecapital toincrease RoE
Based on long-term economic growthoutlook for the Indian economy
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Progress against strategy: funding profile
Current accountdeposits
Savingsdeposits
March31, 2009
September30, 2011
CAGR410.36
216.32
701.49
329.97
23.9%
18.4%CASA ratio 28.7% 42.1%
` in bnImprovement in funding profile
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Progress against strategy: asset quality
Provisions/AvgloansProvisions
Q2-2010 Q2-2012 Change10.712.2%
3.190.6%
-70.2%
Unsecured retail/ domestic loans 8.9% 2.3%
` in bnStrengthening asset quality
Net NPA ratio 2.19% 0.80%Provisioningcoverage 51.1% 78.2%
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Focus on derisking portfolio Reduction in investments in bonds/notes of financial
institutions from about US$ 2.2 bn at September 30, 2009to about US$ 288 mn at September 30, 2011No exposure to peripheral Europe in investment portfolio
ICICI Bank UK
Reduction in credit derivative exposure (including offbalance sheet exposure) from ` 54.08 bn at September30, 2009 to ` 20.21 bn at September 30, 2011
Underlying comprises Indian corporate credits
Credit derivative portfolio
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Progress against strategy: efficiencyimprovements
Cost/income
OperatingexpensesFY2008 FY201179.72
50.0%
65.38
41.9%Cost/averageassets 2.2% 1.7%
` in bnSignificant improvement in operating efficiency
H1-201236.18
44.6%1.8%
Despite significant scale up in branch network from 1,262 atMarch 2008 to 2,535 at September 2011
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Key subsidiaries Insurance, asset management & securities businesses
adjusting to regulatory changes and market conditions Continued focus on building franchise to capitalise onlong-term opportunity Strong profit growth in life insurance business
Domestic subsidiaries
Consolidation strategy in view of regulatory approachOngoing dialogue on future plan
Overseas banking subsidiaries
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Resulting in improvement in profitability
StandaloneRoE
ConsolidatedRoEStandalone
RoA
FY2009 FY2011
0.98% 1.34%
7.7% 9.6%
7.8% 11.6%
H1-2012
1.35%
10.0%
12.9%
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Well-placed to meet short-term challenges Volatility in global marketsDomestic inflationary pressures and tighteningmonetary policy Issues relating to project execution
Key challenges
Substantially reduced exposure to internationalmarkets
Careful project selection in infrastructure sector Retail portfolio mainly comprises secured loans
ICICI Banks position
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Asset quality profile (1/2)
Domesticcorporate +overseasbranches(53% of loanbook)
Market concerns on infrastructure sector,especially power ICICI Banks power sector loans/total loans at5.0% (power sector exposure/total exposure
at 7%) Careful project selection based on sponsortrack record, fuel availability, offtakearrangement and tariff Sensitivity analysis indicates adequate DSCR
under cases of substantially lower PLF andhigher imported coal than originallyassumedSME (lessthan 5% ofloan book) Relatively small portfolio size
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Asset quality profile (2/2)CommercialReal Estate(CRE)
Portfolio comprises of developerfinancing, loans against property andbalance sheet financing where partsecurity/ takeout is from CRE Portfolio backed by cash flows fromprojects as well as adequate securitycover
Overall loan loss provisioning/ average loans at 68 bpsin H1-2012
Retail (35.0%of loan book) Portfolio comprises largely of securedloans (67% mortgages)
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Well capacitised for future growth
Build up ofbranchnetwork
Scale up to 2,535 branches at September30, 2011 Largest branch network among privatesector banks
Strongcapital base
CAR of 19.0% with Tier 1 ratio of 13.1%at September 30, 2011
Diversifiedbusinesslines
Presence across all segments of financialservices
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Agenda
Strategy & executionFinancial results: Q2-2012
Recent developments
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Q2-2012: Profitability highlights
Net interest income increased by 13.7% year-on-year;Net interest margin at 2.61%
Increase in fee income by 6.9% from ` 15.90 bn in Q2-2011 to ` 17.00 bn in Q2-2012
Provisions reduced by 50.2% from ` 6.41 bn in Q2-2011to ` 3.19 bn in Q2-2012
21.6% increase in profit after tax from ` 12.36 bn in Q2-2011 to ` 15.03 bn in Q2-2012
42.8% increase in consolidated profit after tax from `13.95 bn in Q2-2011 to ` 19.92 bn in Q2-2012
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Composition of total loan book
D o m e s t i cc o r p o r a t e
2 4 . 2 %
O v e r s e a sb r a n c h e s2 8 . 6 % Reta i lb u s i n e s s
g r o u p3 5 . 0 %
R u r a l7 . 5 %
S M E4 . 7 %
1. Retail business group includes builder loans anddealer funding
2. Including impact of exchange rate movement
September 30, 2011
Total loan book: ` 2,340 bn
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Composition of retail loan book
Vehicleloans25.3%
Home67.3%
Personalloans1.5%
Othersecured
2.8%
Creditcards3.1%
1. September 30, 2011 :Vehicle loans includes auto loans9.2%, commercial business 16.0%
Total retail loan book: ` 819 bn
September 30, 2011
1
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Asset quality and provisioning
Gross retail NPLs at ` 63.17 bn and net retail NPLs at ` 9.76bn at September 30, 2011 Provisioning coverage ratio of 78.2% at September 30, 2011computed in accordance with RBI guidelines Net restructured loans of ` 25.01 bn at September 30, 2011 Outstanding general provision on standard assets: ` 14.80 bnat September 30, 2011
(` billion)
0.91%23.5177.11
100.62June 30,
2011
1.37%31.9270.41
102.33September
30, 2010
0.80%22.3678.71
101.07September
30, 2011
Net NPA ratioNet NPAsLess: Cumulative provisionsGross NPAs
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Key ratios12.93.72.0.70.71.6eturn on average net worth1,2(Consolidated basis)
1.8.8.7.6.6.7ost to average assets (incl.DMA)244.0
40.540.62.57470
40.21.228.5
H1-
2011
41.9
44.739.02.61490
46.51.29
9.6
Q1-
2012
1.35.41.30.34eturn on average assets2
42.12.14.05.1ASA ratio
41.042.42.62470
43.39.2
Q2-
2011
44.440.22.61509
51.910.4
Q2-
2012
44.639.62.61509
49.210.0
H1-
2012
41.2ee to income41.9
2.64478
45.39.6
FY
2011
Book value (`)
Cost to income (incl. DMA)
Net interest margin2
Weighted avg EPS (`)2Return on average net worth1, 2
(Percent)
1. Based on quarterly average net worth2. Annualised for all interim periods
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Certain statements in these slides are forward-looking statements.These statements are based on management's current expectations andare subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. Actual resultsmay differ materially from those included in these statements due to avariety of factors. More information about these factors is contained inICICI Bank's filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.All financial and other information in these slides, other than financialand other information for specific subsidiaries where specificallymentioned, is on an unconsolidated basis for ICICI Bank Limited onlyunless specifically stated to be on a consolidated basis for ICICI BankLimited and its subsidiaries. Please also refer to the statement ofunconsolidated, consolidated and segmental results required by Indianregulations that has, along with these slides, been filed with the stockexchanges in India where ICICI Banks equity shares are listed and w iththe New York Stock Exchange and the US Securities and ExchangeCommission, and is available on our website www.icicibank.com
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Thank you
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Unconsolidated financials
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Profit & loss statement
6.4%45.8823.5422.3444.0022.1290.48Operating profit
(65.7%).24.12.12.56.35.79ease depreciation
(44.4%)1.05)0.80)0.25)0.40)1.44)2.15)Treasury income
0.7036.18
83.00
2.1032.7833.8349.17H1-
2012
0.3515.00
37.82
1.3215.9015.7822.04Q2-
2011
0.7129.26
74.53
2.9530.0332.5841.95H1-
2011
0.3618.44
42.46
1.2017.0017.4025.06Q2-
2012
1.5763.81
156.65
4.4464.1966.4890.17FY
2011
0.3417.74
40.54
0.9015.7816.4324.11Q1-
2012
12.3%Total income
2.9%22.9%
(9.1%)6.9%
10.3%13.7%
Q2-o-Q2
growth
DMA expensesOperating expenses
- Other income- Fee incomeNon-interest incomeNII
(` billion)
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Profit & loss statement
51.51
16.1067.6122.87
90.48
FY
2011
12.36
3.3515.71
6.4122.12
Q2-
2011
22.62
6.9929.6114.39
44.00
H1-
2011
6.4%45.8823.5422.34Operating profit
15.03
5.3220.35
3.19
Q2-
2012
28.35
9.8038.15
7.73
H1-
2012
(50.2%).54rovisions
13.32
4.4817.80
Q1-
2012
21.6%
58.8%29.5%
Q2-o-Q2
growth
Profit before tax
Profit after tax
Tax
(` billion)
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Balance sheet: Assets
21.0%62.6649.5134.47RIDF1 and related
9.2%60.7325.3596.82SLR investments
2.1%24.5324.5322.00- Equity investment insubsidiaries
3,899.98
246.741,942.01
1,362.75348.48
September
30, 2010
8.4%,476.85,395.56nvestments
4,152.15
200.722,206.93
348.94June 30,
2011
4,407.25
229.092,339.52
361.79September
30, 2011
13.0%
(7.2%)20.5%
3.8%Y-o-Y
growth
Total assets2
Fixed & other assetsAdvances2
Cash & bank balances
(` billion)
Investment in security receipts of asset reconstruction companies was `26.70 bn at September 30, 2011 Credit derivative exposure (including off balance sheet exposure) of ` 20.21bn at September 30, 2011 (underlying comprises Indian corporate credits)1. Rural Infrastructure Development Fund
2. Including impact of exchange rate movement
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Equity investment in subsidiaries
124.53
0.140.050.611.871.583.00
13.4811.1223.2533.5035.93
June 30,
2011
122.00
0.140.050.611.871.583.00
10.9611.1223.2533.5035.93
September
30, 2010
11.12CICI Home Finance23.25CICI Bank UK
0.61CICI AMC
33.50CICI Bank Canada
3.00CICI Bank Eurasia LLC13.48CICI Lombard General Insurance
1.58CICI Securities Primary Dealership
0.14thers124.53
0.05
1.87
35.93September
30, 2011
Total
ICICI Venture Funds Mgmt
ICICI Securities Limited
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance
(` billion)
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Balance sheet: Liabilities
10.9%01.4968.5832.48Savings(5.3%)29.9797.7748.57Current
3,899.98
159.19970.10
2,230.94528.24
11.51539.75
September
30, 2010
4,152.15
140.251,140.51
2,306.78553.09
11.52564.61
June 30,
2011
4,407.25
157.071,213.24
2,450.92574.50
11.52586.02
September
30, 2011
13.0%
(1.3)%25.1%
9.9%8.8%0.1%8.6%
Y-o-Y
growth
Borrowings1,2
Total liabilities2
Other liabilities
Deposits- Reserves- Equity capital
Net worth
(` billion)
Credit/deposit ratio of 72.3% on the domestic balancesheet at September 30, 2011
1. Borrowings include preference shares amounting to ` 3.50 bn2. Including impact of exchange rate movement
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Composition of borrowings
970.10
473.3715.22
488.59147.91333.60481.51
September
30, 2010
669.5492.75verseas2194.4000.66Other borrowings349.3047.10Capital instruments1
1,213.24
652.9416.60
543.70September
30, 2011
1,140.51
577.6115.14
547.76June 30,
2011
Total borrowings2
- Other borrowings- Capital instruments
Domestic
Capital instruments constitute 64.2% of domestic borrowings
1. Includes preference share capital ` 3.50 bn2. Including impact of exchange rate movement
(` billion)
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Capital adequacy (Basel II)
865.6118.8236.02Off balance sheet2,803.94,656.02,430.78On balance sheet
3,474.84215.74464.35680.09` bn
June 30, 2011
6.21%13.36%19.57%
%
5.85%13.14%18.99%
%
3,669.55214.50482.26696.76` bn
September 30,
2011
3,166.80204.02436.55640.57` bn
September 30,
2010
6.44%13.79%20.23%
%
Risk weighted assets- Tier II- Tier I
Total Capital
Basel II
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L o a n s &a d v a n c e s
5 7 . 4 %
A s s e t b a c k e dse c u r i t i e s
2 . 0 %
Other asse ts &inv e s t m e n t s
6 . 0 %
I n d i a l i n k e dinv e s t m e n t s
3 . 3 %
C a s h & l i q u i dse c u r i t i e s
2 0 . 6 %o n d s / n o t e s o ff i n a n c i a lins t i tu t ions1 0 . 7 %
`
L o a n s &a d v a n c e s5 8 . 0 %
A s s e t b a c k e ds e c u r i t i e s
1 . 8 %
O t h e r a s s e t s &i n v e s t m e n t s
7 . 0 %
I n d i a l i n k e di n v e s t m e n t s
3 . 9 %
C a s h & l i q u i ds e c u r i t i e s
2 3 . 7 %
B o n d s / no t e s o ff i n a n c i a l
i n s t i t u t i o n s5 . 6 %
ICICI Bank UK asset profile
1. Includes cash & advances to banks, T Bills and CDs2. Includes India-linked credit derivatives of US$ 14 mn at September 30, 2011 (US$ 14 mnat June 30, 2011)3. Includes securities re-classified to loans & advances4. Does not include US$ 154 mn of ABS reclassifiedas loans & receivables in FY2009
Total assets: USD 6.0 bn
June 30, 2011
14
2
3
Total assets: USD 5.1 bn
September 30, 2011
1
4
2
3
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ICICI Bank UK liability profile
Total liabilities: USD 6.0 bn
June 30, 2011
Profit after tax of US$ 2.2 mn in Q2-2012 compared to US$ 8.4 mn in Q2-2011 Capital adequacy ratio at 29.8% Proportion of retail term deposits in total deposits
at 71% at September 30, 2011
Total liabilities: USD 5.1 bn
September 30, 2011
Demanddeposits
15.4%
Syndicatedloans &
interbankborrowings
5.9%
Otherl iabi l i t ies
5.1%
Term depo sits47.9%
Net worth11.6%
Longterm Debt
14.1% D e m a n dd e p o s i t s
1 6 . 4 %
S y n d i c a t e dl o a n s &
i n t e r b a n kb o r r o w i n g s
6 . 2 %
O t h e rl i a b i l i t i e s
5 . 9 %
T e r m d e p o s i ts4 2 . 6 %
N e t w o r th1 3 . 3 %
L o n gte r m d e b t1 5 . 6 %
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Cash & liquidsecurities
10.0%
Insuredmortgage
25.9%
Other assets &investments
10.0%
Asset backedsecurities
1.4%
India linkedinvestments
0.8%
Loans tocustomers
51.9%
Cash & liquidsecurit ies
11.6%
Insuredmortgage
22.8%
Other assets &investments
10.5%
Asset backedsecurit ies
1.5%
India linkedinvestments
0.8%
Loans t ocustomers
52.8%
ICICI Bank Canada asset profile
1. Includes cash & advances to banks and governmentsecurities2. Includes India-linked credit derivatives of CAD 32 million atSeptember 30, 2011 (CAD 29 million at June 30, 2011)3. Based on IFRS, securitised portfolio of CAD 767 million andCAD 921 million considered as part of Insured mortgageportfolio at June 30, 2011 and September 30, 2011respectively
Total assets: CAD 5.1 bn
2
1
Total assets: CAD 5.1 bn
June 30, 2011
3
September 30, 2011
1
23
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Borrowings19.6%
Net worth19.1%
Demanddeposits14.2%
Otherliabilit ies
3.4%
Term deposits43.7%
ICICI Bank Canada liability profile
Total liabilities: CAD 5.1 bn Profit after tax of CAD 5.2 mn in Q2-2012 compared to CAD 12.3 mn inQ1-2012 Capital adequacy ratio at 29.3%
June 30, 2011
1. As per IFRS, proceeds of CAD 769 million and CAD 926 millionfrom sale of securitised portfolio considered as part ofborrowings at June 30, 2011 and September 30, 2011respectively
Total liabilities: CAD 5.1 bn
B o r r o w i n g s1 6 . 6 %
N e t w o r t h1 9 . 3 %
D e m a n dd e p o s i t s
1 4 . 1 %
O t h e rl i a b i l i t i e s
1 . 9 %
T e r m d e p o s its4 8 . 1 %
September 30, 2011
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L o a n s t oc o r p o r a t e s &
b a n k s3 8 . 4 %
R e t a i l lo a n s1 8 . 6 %
C a s h & c a s he q u i v a l e n t s
3 5 . 1 %
P r o m i s s o r yn o t e s4 . 0 % C o r p o r a t eb o n d s
2 . 2 %
O t h e r a s s e t s &i n v e s t m e n t s
1 . 7 %
ICICI Bank Eurasia asset profile
Total assets: USD 338 mn
1. Includes cash & call placements with banks,balances with central bank and nostro balances
Total borrowings of USD 172 mn at September 30, 2011 Capital adequacy of 30.6% at September 30, 2011 Net profit of USD 2.2 mn in Q2-2012
June 30, 2011
1Loans tocorporates &banks39.0%
Retail loans16.0%
Cash & cashequivalents38.7%
Promissorynotes2.9%Corporate
bonds2.1%
Other assets &investments1.3%
Total assets: USD 272 mn
September 30, 2011
1
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Domestic subsidiaries
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ICICI Home Finance
Total assets: ` 81.65 bn Profit after tax of ` 561.3 mn in Q2-2012 compared to ` 539.0 mn in Q2-2011 Capital adequacy ratio of 25.5% at September 30, 2011 Net NPA ratio: 1.3% At September 30, 2011: Networth ` 13.78 bn; Deposits ` 11.06 bn and Borrowings` 51.65 bn
June 30, 2011
Total assets: ` 76.50 bn
September 30, 2011
Loans
94.8%
Investments and
other assets
5.2%
Loans
95.5%
Investments and other
assets
4.5%
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ICICI Life
20.4%648.493.50
16.0%1.187.36
34.0723.1110.96
Q2-2012Q2-2011 FY2011
New business received premium 16.09 78.62Renewal premium 22.64 100.19Total premium 38.73 178.81Annualised premium equivalent (APE) 13.44 39.75New Business Profit (NBP) 2.54 7.13NBP margin 18.9% 17.9%Statutory profit/(loss) 0.151 8.08Assets Under Management 654.84 681.50Expense ratio2 19.4% 17.3%
(` billion)
1. Does not include surplus on the non-participating policyholders funds of `2.54 billion2. Expense ratio: All expenses (including commission) / (Total premium 90%of Single Premium)3. Source: IRDA
Market share based on retail weighted receivedpremium was 5.7%3 for April-August 2011
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ICICI General
1. Excluding remittances from third party motor pool and including premium onreinsurance accepted2. Source: IRDA
0.5613.06
Q2-2012
(0.80).04AT44.080.91ross premium1
FY2011Q2-2011(` billion)
Market share was 9.6%2 for April-August 2011
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Other subsidiaries
0.140.22
(0.02)0.29
Q2-2011
0.200.030.170.16
Q2-2012
0.72CICI Prudential Asset Management
1.13CICI Securities Ltd
0.740.53
FY2011Profit after tax
ICICI VentureICICI Securities Primary Dealership
Consolidated profit after tax increased by 47.1% to ` 36.58 bn inH1-2012 from ` 24.861 bn in H1-2011 Consolidated profit after tax increased by 42.8% to ` 19.92 bn in Q2-2012 from ` 13.952 bn in Q2-2011
Consolidated return on average net worth for H1-2012 at 12.9%compared to 9.7% in H1-2011 Consolidated return on average net worth for Q2-2012 at 13.7%compared to 10.7% in Q2-2011 (11.6% in FY2011)
(` billion)
1. Does not include surplus on the non-participatingpolicyholders funds of ` 3.61 bn2. Does not include surplus on the non-participatingpolicyholders funds of ` 1.88 bn