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©2010 Energy Technologies Institute LLPThe information in this document is the property of Energy Technologies Institute LLP and may not be copied or communicated to a third party, or used for any purpose other than that for which it is supplied without the express written consent of Energy Technologies Institute LLP.This information is given in good faith based upon the latest information available to Energy Technologies Institute LLP, no warranty or representation is given concerning such information, which must not be taken as establishing any contractual or other commitment binding upon Energy Technologies Institute LLP or any of its subsidiary or associated companies.
UK priorities for the development of UK priorities for the development of sustainable energy technologiessustainable energy technologies
www.energytechnologies.co.uk
David ClarkeDavid Clarke Chief ExecutiveChief Executive
September 20September 20thth 2010 2010
2©2010 Energy Technologies Institute LLP Subject to notes on page 1
Affordability
Security
(£40/tonne)
-80%
Sustainability
fossil fuel baseline
DUKES data
Addressing the UK’s energy challengesAddressing the UK’s energy challenges
3©2010 Energy Technologies Institute LLP Subject to notes on page 1
Addressing the UK’s 2020 and 2050 energy challenges requires ....Addressing the UK’s 2020 and 2050 energy challenges requires ....
Setting a strategic direction Creating commercial confidence
Viable commercial operation
Which energy technologies do we need and when? Innovative technologies and sub-systems
Full system demonstrationReducing risk
Increasing investor confidence
Bringing together new supply-chains
4©2010 Energy Technologies Institute LLP Subject to notes on page 1
ETI Delivery of engineering demonstrations of innovative low carbon energy systems
Viable commercial operation
Setting a strategic direction Creating commercial confidence
Innovative technologies and sub-systemsWhich energy technologies do
we need and when?
World-class ETI capability in energy system modelling
and strategic analysis
The ETI - Addressing the UK’s 2020 and 2050 energy challenges by ....The ETI - Addressing the UK’s 2020 and 2050 energy challenges by ....
Focused on the integrated UK energy system – power, heat, transport and
associated infrastructure
13
Probability of
deployment
Average deployment
Probability of
deployment
Average deployment
43% 9 TWh
65%
16 TWh
Technology analysis – tidal streamTechnology analysis – tidal stream
30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Cost of Electricity 2050 (£/MWh)
Pro
bab
ility
Initial cost estimate
Revised cost estimate
Initial Deployment Revised Deployment
Impact of reducing uncertainty over future costs
13
Probability of
deployment
Average deployment
Probability of
deployment
Average deployment
43% 9 TWh
65%
16 TWh
Technology analysis – tidal streamTechnology analysis – tidal stream
30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Cost of Electricity 2050 (£/MWh)
Pro
bab
ility
Initial cost estimate
Revised cost estimate
Initial Deployment Revised Deployment
Impact of reducing uncertainty over future costs
5©2010 Energy Technologies Institute LLP Subject to notes on page 1
The ETI’s UK Energy System ModelThe ETI’s UK Energy System Model
PC based mathematical model identifying and evaluating options for design of the future UK Energy system
Generation and Demand
Power, Heat, Transport and Infrastructure
Enables decision making on investment and prioritisation
6©2010 Energy Technologies Institute LLP Subject to notes on page 1
Portfolio analysis
14
Possible Portfolios (ranked by cost)
Mitig
ation C
ost
90% CO2 reduction
80% CO2 reduction
60% CO2 reduction
Portfolio analysis – powerPortfolio analysis – power
Portfolio costs for different 2050 CO2 targets
Indication of probability of meeting target at or below a given cost
14
Possible Portfolios (ranked by cost)
Mitig
ation C
ost
90% CO2 reduction
80% CO2 reduction
60% CO2 reduction
Portfolio analysis – powerPortfolio analysis – power
Portfolio costs for different 2050 CO2 targets
Indication of probability of meeting target at or below a given cost
The ETI Energy System Modelling Environment - informing technology choicesThe ETI Energy System Modelling Environment - informing technology choices
Example outputs
Energy System ModelEnergy System Model
PowerPower
HeatHeat
TransportTransport
InfrastructureInfrastructure
Probabilistic modellingenvironment Macro assumptionsMacro assumptions
Constraints/Dependencies
Technology Roadmaps
7©2010 Energy Technologies Institute LLP Subject to notes on page 1
ETI 2010 portfolio - addressing key energy challenges ETI 2010 portfolio - addressing key energy challenges Wind
Offshore specific system design and engineering
Marine Tidal Stream and Wave
Distributed Energy (DE) Combined Heat and Power (CHP), demand
management, efficiency
Buildings Retrofit of new technologies and systems
Energy Storage and Distribution Infrastructure, heat and energy storage, fault
management, smart networks
Carbon Capture, handling and Storage (CCS) Storage modelling, capture technologies, network
design
Transport Electric vehicle infrastructure, heavy duty vehicle
efficiency
BioEnergy Soil chemistry and agronomy, value chains, energy
conversion
Energy Systems Modelling (ESM)
ETI technology strategy 2010
Offshore Offshore WindWind
MarineMarine
Distributed Distributed EnergyEnergy
BuildingsBuildings
Energy Storage Energy Storage and Distributionand Distribution
CCSCCS
TransportTransport
BioEnergyBioEnergyESMESM
8©2010 Energy Technologies Institute LLP Subject to notes on page 1
£62m of major projects underway>£100m of further projects in developmentCCS, DE, offshore wind, energy storage, smart systems, transport
£62m of major projects underway>£100m of further projects in developmentCCS, DE, offshore wind, energy storage, smart systems, transport
£62m of projects announced
Organisations working on ETI projects – July 2010
SMEs
Large corporates
ETI Members
Universities and Research Institutes
9©2010 Energy Technologies Institute LLP Subject to notes on page 1
Northern Ireland
North West
East
South West
Wales
East Midlands
ScotlandOutside the UK
North East
Yorkshire
London
West Midlands
ETI Project delivery partners – June 2010
South East
ETI Project partnersETI Project partners
10©2010 Energy Technologies Institute LLP Subject to notes on page 1
Major challenges for the UK energy system
2010-2050
Major challenges for the UK energy system
2010-2050
11©2010 Energy Technologies Institute LLP Subject to notes on page 1
3 enabling priorities ….
Large-scale deployment through major industries
Innovation pulled through from smaller enterprises and academia
Sustained support for long-term incentives, skills development and regulatory frameworks
©2010 Energy Technologies Institute LLP Subject to notes on page 1
12
©2010 Energy Technologies Institute LLP Subject to notes on page 1
www.energytechnologies.co.uk
Building PartnershipsBuilding Partnerships
Delivering InnovationDelivering Innovation
Sharing riskSharing risk
Informing PolicyInforming Policy
Demonstrating Affordable systemsDemonstrating Affordable systems
for Secure, Low Carbon Energyfor Secure, Low Carbon Energy
©2010 Energy Technologies Institute LLP Subject to notes on page 1
12
13©2010 Energy Technologies Institute LLP Subject to notes on page 1
Addressing the challenges of climate change and low carbon energy
Improving energy usage, efficiency, supply and generation
Demonstrating systems and technologies
Developing knowledge, skills and supply-chains
Informing development of policy, regulation and standards
Enabling deployment of affordable, secure, low carbon energy systems
Energy Technologies InstituteEnergy Technologies Institute
ETI Programme Associates
ETI Project Partners
Public Sector