2010 Annual Results Presentation - Premier Oil · information that both represents management's...
Transcript of 2010 Annual Results Presentation - Premier Oil · information that both represents management's...
2010 Annual Results Presentation
24th March 2011
2010 Annual Results Presentation 24th March 2011
24th March 2011 | Page 2
Forward looking statements
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties.
A number of factors could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by
these forward-looking statements.
24th March 2011 | Page 3
Agenda
Highlights and progress against strategy Simon Lockett
2010 financial results Tony Durrant
Exploration update Andrew Lodge
Operations update Neil Hawkings
Summary Simon Lockett
24th March 2011 | Page 4
2010 highlights
• On track for production of 75,000 boepd in 2012
• Development portfolio building towards100,000 boepd in 2014
• 8 out of 14 exploration and appraisal wells successful
• Operating cashflow up 25% to $436.0 million
• Record profits after tax of $129.8 million
• $1.1 billion of UK tax allowances - mitigating the impact of proposed tax changes
• Cash and undrawn bank facilities of $1.2 billion
24th March 2011 | Page 5
Building three quality E&P businesses
Strategy• Grow near-term production to
75 kboepd from existing 2P reserves of 261 mmboe
• Deliver further growth by commercialising contingent resource base of 228 mmboe
• Add 200 mmboe through exploration by focusing on core geologies
• Make value-adding acquisitions in three core areas
• Maintain a conservative financing plan
Creating an overall business with 400 mmboe of reservesand 100 kboepd production in the medium term
24th March 2011 | Page 6
2010 financial results
24th March 2011 | Page 7
Production and income statement
12 months to31 Dec 2009
Average gas pricing ($/mcf)2010 2009
Singapore $13.9 $11.0Pakistan $3.5 $3.2
Average Brent oil price was $79.5/bbl(2009: $61.7/bbl)
Operating costs per barrel ($/bbl)2010 2009
UK $28.7 $23.2Indonesia $8.5 $10.0Pakistan $2.0 $1.9Group $13.9 $12.2
2010 includes non-cash mark to market gain on hedging of $39 million (pre-tax)
Tax credit arises due to UK tax allowances acquired with Oilexco
Highlights12 months to31 Dec 2010
Includes impairment charges of$65.3 million (2009: $24.0 million)
Working Interest Production (kboepd)Entitlement Interest Production (kboepd)Realised oil price ($/bbl)Realised gas price ($/mcf)
Sales and other operating revenuesCost of salesGross profitExcess of fair value over purchase considerationExploration/New BusinessGeneral and administration costsOperating profit Financial ItemsProfit before taxationTaxation creditProfit after tax
44.240.266.35.2
$m621
(361)260
6(77)(18)170(90)
8033
113
42.838.379.76.3
$m764
(531)233
-(87)(18)128(27)10129
130
24th March 2011 | Page 8
Overseas
UK
PRT
CT
Prior period revisions
Current charge
Deferred tax credits
Tax credit for the year
12 months to31 Dec 2009
$m
Group taxation position
73.0
23.2
(23.4)
(24.6)
48.2
(81.3)
(33.1)
Allowances remaining at 1/1/10
Net additions in 2010
Recognised as deferred tax asset
Currently unrecognised
Tax allowances carried forward
UK Tax Allowance Position at 31 Dec 2010
$m
1,098
14
1,112
972
140
1,112
Outlook• UK cash corporate taxes not anticipated until at least 2016• Mitigates impact of proposed tax changes• UK allowances of $140 million not yet recorded
12 months to31 Dec 2010
$m
56.9
25.9
nil
(21.3)
61.4
(90.4)
(29.0)
24th March 2011 | Page 9
Cash flow
Cash flow from operations
Taxation
Operating cash flow
Capital expenditure
(Acquisitions)/disposals, net
Finance and other charges, net
Pre-licence expenditure
Net cash flow
12 months to31 Dec 2009
$m 2010
Development
Exploration
Estimated Capex split ($m)
349
165
514
2010 2009
Cash
Net Debt
Balance sheet ($m)
251
245
398
300
406
902Undrawn facilities
419
(71)
348
(303)
(643)
(55)
(20)
(673)
12 months to31 Dec 2010
$m 2009
195
108
303
505
(69)
436
(514)
13
(70)
(19)
(154)
Outlook• Forecast full-year 2011 spend of $500m (development) and $200m (exploration)• Peak net debt of around $800 million in 2012 using $75/barrel
24th March 2011 | Page 10
Forward economics
80
2010A
70
60
50
0
10
20
30
40
OPEXTaxCash Margin
2012E 2014E 2012E 2014E
$79/bbl $75/bbl $100/bbl
New projects lead to improved cash margins
$/bo
e
24th March 2011 | Page 11
Exploration update
24th March 2011 | Page 12
Progress towards 200 mmboe of discoveries
200
100
50
02010 2011
150
2012 2013 2014
250Target cumulative risked additionsActual cumulative proved and probable discovered resourcesActual cumulative plus possible resources
Global exploration:Forecast resource additions (mmboe)
2009
Exploration and Appraisal Drilling• 14 wells drilled, 8 successful• Discoveries at Catcher, Catcher East,
Varadero, Blåbaer and West Rochelle• 27 mmboe reserves and resources added
– Upside to 50 mmboe with appraisal
New Ventures• Licence round awards:
– 19 blocks awarded in UK• Farm-ins:
– UK block 15/26c (West Rochelle) – UK block 15/13b (Eagle)– North Red Sea Block 1 (Cherry)
• Under negotiation:– 2 blocks in Kenya
24th March 2011 | Page 13
Exploration drilling 2011
Firm Wells:Rig Contracted
Firm Wells:Rig TBC
Contingent Wells
All well timings aresubject to revision for operational reasons
Asia 2011Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Vietnam 07/03 CRD Appraisal104/109-05 Jackfruit
Indonesia Tuna Gajah Laut UtaraBelut Laut
Buton BentengNatuna Sea Block A Anoa Deep
Biawak BesarBlock A Aceh Matang-1
North SeaNorway PL406 (8/3) Gardrofa
PL378 Grosbeak AppraisalUK P1430 Burgman
CarnabyP1466 Bluebell
Middle East - PakistanPakistan Kadanwari K-25ST
K-28K-29K-27 SE-1
Bhit/Badhra Badhra-6 (Parh)Badhra Appraisal
Egypt North Red Sea Cherry
Ocean GeneralOcean General
Songa Delta
West CallistoWest Callisto
Weatherford 812
Stena Forth
Weatherford 812
Weatherford 812
• > 300 mmboeunrisked resource
• 2011 full year exploration expenditure ~ $200 million pre-tax
Ocean General
Bredford Dolphin
Galaxy II
Weatherford 812Weatherford 812
Aquamarine
12 to 15 exploration and appraisal wells already planned in 2012
24th March 2011 | Page 14
CRD-2X
Appraisal – Vietnam – Block 07/03 – Cá Rồng Đỏ
Anomalies associatedwith Gas
CRV CRD-1X CRD-2X
Top Cau Depth Map
Cau Sequence
SE NW
Cá Rồng Đỏ• Premier 30% equity • Gross resource estimate 10-60-80 mmboe• CRD-2X appraisal well spudded 10 February 2011
Well status• TD at 3785 metres• Drill stem testing hydrocarbons discovered in Oligocene sands
CRD-1X
24th March 2011 | Page 15
Exploration – Indonesia – Tuna Block
Belut Laut / Gajah Laut Utara• Reserves estimate 40-90-200 and 65-160-350 mmboe respectively• Targeting multiple stacked Miocene and Oligocene reservoirs in fault
dependent closures – Belut Laut prospect is independent of GajahLaut Utara
• Belut Laut is amplitude supported– Belut Laut: low risk for gas, moderate risk for oil– Gajah Laut Utara: moderate risk for oil and gas
• Back to back wells planned for Q2 2011 following CRD well
PTD
2 Km
PRIMARYTARGET
SE
SECONDARYTARGET
Belut LautPTD 4300m MD (3870m TVD)
NW
2 Km
PRIMARYTARGET
W E
SECONDARYTARGET
PTD
Gajah Laut UtaraPTD 4250m MD (3550m TVD)
24th March 2011 | Page 16
Exploration – Indonesia – Natuna – Biawak Besar
Biawak Besar (Natuna PSC)• Premier 28.67% equity • Reserves estimate 66-79-92 bcf• Targeting Miocene reservoirs in a stratigraphic trap, off structure from
the Iguana gas discovery• Seismic attribute analysis and 3D inversion supports presence of gas• Play opening well – low risk for gas• Planned for Q4 2011
PTD3D Seismic Inversion
indicating gas pay
Top Arang DepthC.I.=100 metres
2000m
Iguana Discovery
Biawak Besar-1
Bison Iguana Biawak Besar
PRIMARYTARGET
500m
SENW
24th March 2011 | Page 17
Block 104-109/05• Premier 50% equity • Exploration well to test prospect with reserves
range estimate of 30-60-140 mmboe• High risk for oil, moderate risk for gas• Planned for Q3 2011
Base Tertiary
Exploration – Vietnam – Block 104-109/05
T300
T400
T600Coals
T1000 Base Tertiary
T500
T700
W E
24th March 2011 | Page 18
Exploration – UK – Block 28/9 – Summary
Block 28/9 (P1430)• Combined Eocene and Palaeocene play• Shallow (1350m) • Amplitude supported• Six penetrations drilled to date on Catcher,
Varadero and Burgman– Excellent reservoir quality – High oil saturations (80-90%)– 24° to 31° API oil, low viscosity
• Catcher North, thin Cromarty sands conform to low amplitudes on seismic data
• Exploration well campaign ongoing– Burgman currently being sidetracked– Carnaby well deferred
• Development planning on going– New 3D seismic is planned on the block in 2011
Block 28/9
Eocene – Tay Amplitudes
Catcher Main
Carnaby
CatcherNorth
Varadero
Burgman
CatcherEast
Burgman
Catcher
Varadero
24th March 2011 | Page 19
Burgman
Exploration – UK – Burgman
Burgman• Premier 35% equity • Burgman vertical well encountered:
– 22 feet net hydrocarbon pay in Tay section– 12 feet of gas in the Upper Tay– 10 feet oil in the Lower Tay sandstones
– 400 feet oil column– Cromarty and Jurassic sands were not
hydrocarbon bearing• Well being sidetracked to the South East• Prospective resource estimates 15-35-60 mmbo
NS
Fulmar
Cromarty
Upper Tay
Burgman
Carnaby
Lower Tay
NW SE
Catcher Main
Catcher E
Burgman
VaraderoCromarty Depth Structure
Burgman location
Burgman Burgman ST
24th March 2011 | Page 20
Cherry (North Red Sea – Block-1)• Premier 20% equity • Hess operator - proven deep water expertise• Water Depth - prospects/leads in ~700m WD• Multi-billion barrel unrisked potential in two
independent plays• NRS-2 well present depth 4500m, estimated
time to target 20-30 days
Exploration – Egypt – North Red Sea – Block 1
New Rift Plays
24th March 2011 | Page 21
Exploration – Kenya – Deep water Rift plays
L10A & L10B• Provisional award accepted by joint venture
– Subject to fully termed PSA– Expect award in 2Q 2011
• Premier equity– L10A: 20%, L10B: 25%
• BG operator• Area >10,000 sq km• Water depth 500-1700m• Commitments:
– Seismic acquisition in first term (2 years)• Forward Plan:
– Acquire 2D and 3D seismic data (2011/2012)
Blocks L10A & L10B
CENTRAL PLATFORMMOMBASA
HIGHINBOARD
TERTIARY RIFT
Rift Margin Plays
INVERTED JURASSIC RIFT
EW Inverted Rift Play
L10BBG 45%Premier 25%Cove 15%Pancon 15%
L10ABG 40%Premier 20%Cove 25%Pancon 15%
New Rift Plays
24th March 2011 | Page 22
North Sea – acquisition / new ventures
UK: 2010 New acreage• In 2010 Premier secured interests in 19 new
North Sea exploration blocks
UK – West Orkney• Frontier acreage targeted a Devonian pre-rift system• Existing data to be reprocessed in 2011 with an optional well in 2013UK – 15/9, 10, 13b, 14 and 15• Lower Cretaceous and Tertiary play fairways• 3D acquired in 2010• One well planned in 2012UK – 15/23g, 14/30b, 15/26c• Near field exploration • Successful West Rochelle well in 2010UK – 21/7b • Tertiary amplitude play• Well planned for 2012UK – 22/21c, 22/26c• Pre Cretaceous target• 3D planned in 2011
Norway: 2011 New acreageNorway – 35/12• Upside potential to GrosbeakNorway – 2/6 • Multiple target block secured on a drill or drop option
24th March 2011 | Page 23
Total Portfolio Unrisked Prospective Resource
Total Portfolio Risked Prospective Resource
Resource under appraisal105 mmboe
Leads1000 mmboe
Prospects800 mmboe
Total>1900
mmboe
Leads80 mmboe
Prospects160 mmboe
Total>340
mmboe
• Unrisked prospect portfolio of 1800 mmboe– 800 mmboe in prospects– 1000 mmboe in leads
• Represents a 300 mmboe increase during 2010– New acreage aquired in the North Sea
and Egypt – Prospect maturation in the North Sea
• The total portfolio on a risked basis is 240 mmboe– The prospect inventory is 160 mmboe– The lead inventory is 80 mmboe
Prospective resource portfolio
On track to deliver 200 mmboeof 2P reserves by 2015
Resource under appraisal105 mmboe
24th March 2011 | Page 24
Operations update
24th March 2011 | Page 25
Operations highlights
• Good production performance in Indonesia and Pakistan
– Offset by recent downtime in the UK portfolio
• Material progress on Chim Sáo, Gajah Baru and Huntington
– On target for 75,000 boepd in 2012
• Continued progress on the future development portfolio
– New Asia projects progressing for 2013/14 start-up
– MoU signed on Solan participation
– On track for 100,000 boepd in 2014
24th March 2011 | Page 26
Production update
• Continued growth in Pakistan production in 2011
• Industry HSE related downtime in the UK in 1Q 2011
• Singapore gas demand strong• 2011 full year production forecast
in the range 45-50 kboepd
Current production split63% gas and 37% oil, but 62%
of production is linked to oil price
50
Production (working interest)(kboepd net)
20
10
0
25
35
45
2006 2007 20102008 2009 2011E
40
30
5
15
Middle East-PakistanNorth Sea / W. AfricaAsia
24th March 2011 | Page 27
• Successful infill drilling at Kadanwari has increased production rates
• Minor impact from flooding seen at Zamzama• Qadirpur initial licence term was extended by five years• Compression projects on schedule:
– Qadirpur and Bhit completed– Zamzama due May 2011
• Continued strong production is anticipated
Pakistan production update
3000
Kadanwari Production - Net WI(boepd)
2006
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
02007 2008 2009 2010 2011E
24th March 2011 | Page 28
UK production update
• Industry wide issue driven by a need to improve performance and increased HSE enforcement action
• Wytch Farm shutdown in November to address pipeline integrity issues
• Balmoral shutdown in December to address fabric maintenance issues
• Various maintenance related production restrictions / shutdowns at Scott
• Consistent production from Kyle
UK Production by Week (kboepd net)
18
12
10
4
2
0Sep 10
6
8
14
16
Oct 10 Nov 10 Dec 10 Jan 11 Feb 11 Mar 11
Balmoral AreaWytch FarmScott and TelfordKyle and Others
2011 group production expected at low end of range, no impact on 2012
24th March 2011 | Page 29
Indonesia production and development update
• 2010 was a record year for Block A gas sales– Sold 160 bbtud vs a DCQ of 126 bbtud– Opportunity to increase GSA1 DCQ at 1/1/2014
• Gajah Baru builds up to a DCQ of 130 bbtud in 2012• In 2011 expect to approve:
– Anoa phase 4 compression expansion (2013)– Pelikan and Naga field developments (2013)
• Total sales capacity will increase to 400 bbtud
180
West Natuna Sales to Singapore (GSA1 Only)(bbtu/d)
0
40
80
20
60
100120140160
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Natuna ‘A’ 2014
24th March 2011 | Page 30
Development drilling at Anoa
24th March 2011 | Page 31
Progress towards 75,000 boepd
Gajah Baru Chim Sáo Huntington
24th March 2011 | Page 32
• Phase 1 development drilling successfully completed– Wellhead platform installed in September 2010– 5 wells drilled and completed– Significantly higher deliverability than planned– Small reserves increase anticipated
• Central Processing Platform (CPP) progressing well– Jacket was 86.9% complete at end Feb
– Installation planned for late May-early June– Topsides were 78.9% complete at end Feb
– Installation planned for early July – Gas Export Pipeline to be installed in June-July
• First gas remains on schedule for October 2011
• Premier 28.67% equity
Gajah Baru development update
24th March 2011 | Page 33
Gajah Baru CPP jacket to be installed in June
24th March 2011 | Page 34
Gajah Baru CPP topsides nearing completion
24th March 2011 | Page 35
• Very successful 2010 installation program:– Wellhead platform– Gas Export Pipeline– Sub-sea flow-lines
• Development drilling commenced in June– 5 producers and 3 injectors will be available at
first oil– MDS-5 reservoir is better quality than anticipated– MDS-6 reservoir is close to prediction
• FPSO (Lewek Emas) is 90% complete and approaching mechanical completion
– Commissioning is now the key project activity
• Development project in line with budget
• First oil is forecast for late July 2011
• Premier 53.125% equity
Chim Sáo development update
OWC
CS-S10PCS-S7P
CS-S14I
CS-N2P
CS-S8P
CS-N1P
CS-N3P
CS-S11P
CS-S15I
CS-N4I
CS-S9P
CS-N5I
CS-S13I
CS-S12I
CS-1X-ST1
CS-2X
CS-S6P
24th March 2011 | Page 36
Chim Sáo – Lewek Emas FPSO
March 2010 March 2011
October 2010
24th March 2011 | Page 37
Huntington – on schedule for 2012
• Field development plan approved – project sanctioned early November 2010• Contract awarded to Sevan for provision of Voyageur FPSO• Drilling template installation late March 2011• Ensco 100 jack up rig selected, spud expected May 2011 – four well initial programme• Subsea installation to commence July 2011• FPSO sail-away October 2011 • Target first oil is Q1 2012
24th March 2011 | Page 38
Rochelle development update
• Western Rochelle well and sidetrack encountered gas-bearing sands
• DECC have determined a single field development area
• Phase 1 covering East area –sanction in May for 4Q 2012 first gas
• Phase 2 West area to be integrated later in 2011
• Scott tariff arrangements – parties working towards early conclusion
• Plan for unitised development with 15/27, equity under discussion
Rochelle
15/26b-10
15/26b-10z
15/26b15/26c
Kopervik pinch-out
Rochelle FDA
24th March 2011 | Page 39
Progress towards 100,000 boepd
SolanCatcherFrøy
24th March 2011 | Page 40
Frøy development status
• Technical concept selection near complete– Sevan 300 FPSO bridge linked to a WHP– Water and gas injection to optimise reservoir development
(70 mmbbl)– Third party field tie-ins being prioritised
• Work programme for Q2 is focused on commercial arrangements
– FPSO contracting– Third party field tie-in arrangements– Gas offtake arrangements
• FEED studies to commence mid year
• Project sanction gate in Q4 2011
• Target first oil for late 2014
24th March 2011 | Page 41
Catcher development scenario
• Current exploration drilling programme on Block 28/9 is nearing completion
– Reserves distribution is being clarified– New 3D seismic shoot planned for April/May
• Premier keen to progress to development– Most likely scenario is a standalone FPSO – Sub-sea tie backs from Varadero and Burgman– Reservoir modelling ongoing for Catcher and
Varadero, due to complete mid year– Drilling studies currently focused on wellbore
stability and completion design– Gas export pipeline
• Formal concept selection process to commencein Q2 followed by FPSO market enquiries
• Project sanction targeted for mid 2012
• First oil targeted for mid 2014
Illustrative Catcher Development
24th March 2011 | Page 42
Solan development status
Development Concept• Changed to conventional jacket with Not
Permanently Attended accommodation, but still with a sub-sea tank
• Two producers and two injectors • Internal project reviews ongoing to
validate reserves, costs and schedule• Full project sanction expected Q2 2011• First oil Q3 2013
Commercial Arrangements• Premier and Chrysaor signed MoU on 16 March 2011• Premier will participate in the development with a 60% equity • Premier will provide Chrysaor with a bridging loan to fund their remaining project costs • Chrysaor will repay the loan via a cash sweep to Premier of a share of their revenue• Operatorship arrangements still to be discussed• Intention is to sign a full SPA by mid April
24th March 2011 | Page 43
A path to 100,000 boepd
120
Production(kboepd net)
40
20
0
60
80
100
Development capex($m)
2011 2012 20152013 2014 2016
Future Asia developmentsFuture Norway developmentsFuture UK developmentsHuntingtonChim Sáo, Gajah BaruOn production
800
200
100
0
300
400
500
2011 2012 20152013 2014 2016
Future Asia developmentsFuture Norway developmentsFuture UK developmentsHuntingtonChim Sáo, Gajah BaruOn production
700
600
24th March 2011 | Page 44
Summary
24th March 2011 | Page 45
Target Asia MEP North Sea
75,000 in 2012 Chim Sao andGajah Baru Pakistan growth Huntington
Commercialise potential developments
Future Singapore gas
Tight gasopportunity
Catcher, SolanNorway
Add 200 mmboefrom exploration
Natuna Sea / Nam Con Son North Africa rift plays UK Central North
Sea and Norway
Acquisitions Targeting core area acquisitions
Financially conservative Debt capacity increased and maturity extended
Building three quality businesses delivering 100 kboepd from 400 mmboe
Building three quality E&P businesses
24th March 2011 | Page 46
Appendix
24th March 2011 | Page 47
Reserves and resources
500
2006
450
400
350
0
150
200
250
300
2007 2008
100
50
Reserves and contingent resources(mmboe)
Production Additions &Revisions
End 20102009
2C contingent resources2P reserves
227
261
24th March 2011 | Page 48
Hedging
• Policy unchanged: secure cashflows via floors or forwards to fund investment programme even at low oil prices
• 2010 Impact– Income statement gain of $39 million as past
provisions unwind– Cash cost of $8 million on maturing hedges
Outlook• Approximately 26% of forecast liquids production for
2011/12 capped at average of $87• Approximately 19% of forecast gas production from
Indonesia for 2011/12 and 1H 2013 is capped at $500 / MT
• Future hedging plans will depend on development programme requirements relative to cashflow
24th March 2011 | Page 49
End 2010 2P reserves and contingent resources
North Sea/W Africa
Asia MEP Total
2P Reserves On production 31.0 23.5 26.1 80.6
Approved for development 11.7 83.8 15.4 110.9
Justified for development 20.8 46.9 1.6 69.3
Total Reserves 63.5 154.2 43.1 260.8
2C Contingent Resources
Development pending 50.6 0.3 0.0 50.9
Un-clarified oron hold 32.0 30.1 18.9 81.0
Development not currently viable 30.8 63.6 1.4 95.9
Total Contingent Resources 113.4 94.0 20.3 227.7
Total Reserves & Contingent Resources 176.9 248.2 63.4 488.5
These figures do not include prospective resources
24th March 2011 | Page 50
Indicative Net New Field Rates Equity%
Net InitialRate (boepd)
2012UK Huntington 40.00 9,000
Rochelle TBA 2,0002013UK Solan 60.00 7,200
Caledonia / Ptarmigan Area 80.00* 5,000Norway Bream 20.00 6,000Asia Dua 53.13 5,0002014UK Catcher Area 35.00 10,000
Fyne 39.90 8,000Norway Froy 50.00 18,000Asia Block A Aceh 41.67 5,000
Figures are Unrisked* Caledoneia 100%, Ptarmigan 60% equity
Indicative field rates
24th March 2011 | Page 51
Progress on other developments
Bream (Norway)• Preferred FPSO identified• Negotiations in progress• Gardofa to be drilled in Q3
Grosbeak and Blåbær (Norway)• Grosbeak appraisal imminent• Blabaer is a possible tie-back to Jordbaer (PDO submitted)
Block A Aceh (Indonesia)• PSC extension approved• EPCI tender to be issued shortly
Caledonia and Ptarmigan (UK)• Awaiting results from Bluebell
exploration well
Dua (Vietnam)• FEED in progress• Development being optimised
24th March 2011 | Page 52
Exploration – Indonesia – Block A Aceh
Matang (Block A Aceh)• Premier 41.67% equity • Medco operator• Gross reserves estimate 20-40-70 mmboe• Low risk for gas
– Gas is the expected phase– Critical factor is reservoir presence– 250 bcf follow on potential in the success case
• Well planned for Q3 2011Matang-1 PTD 3000m MD
EW
1500m
Top Peutu DepthC.I.= 50 metres (structure)
Carbonate Isochore (color fill)2500m
Matang-1
24th March 2011 | Page 53
Exploration – Indonesia – Buton
meters
‘B’
Bentang (Buton PSC)• Premier 30% equity • Japex operator• Prospect reserve estimates 35-100-300 mmboe• High risk for oil, in fold belt theme• Drilling planned Q3 2011
BentengNW SE
0 5000
24th March 2011 | Page 54
Exploration – Indonesia – Natuna – Anoa Deep
Anoa Deep (WL-5 extension) (Natuna PSC)• Premier 28% equity• Estimated reserves 47-57-90 bcf• Targeting Lama Formation reservoirs directly underlying the West
Lobe platform on Anoa field. Lama Formation produces oil and gas in nearby Kakap field
• Moderate risk for gas• Dilliing planned for Q2 2011
Top Lama
Top H
Top A
PTD
PRIMARYTARGET
SE
Anoa Deep
NW
5 Km
Top Lama DepthC.I.=50 feet
5000m
1400 acre
Lowest Closing Contour
WL5
24th March 2011 | Page 55
Appraisal well
Exploration – Norway – Grosbeak appraisal
Grosbeak (PL378)• Premier 20% equity• Successful Grosbeak well completed in July 2009
– Close to nearby infrastructure– Oil in Middle Jurassic sandstones– Estimated reserves 35-80-190 mmboe
• Appraisal well scheduled for Q2 2011
1500m
S N Top Brent
Discovery well
Grosbeak
24th March 2011 | Page 56
Exploration – Norway – Bream, Gardrofa
Bream (PL406)• Premier 20% equity • BG operator • Brent age oil discovered 1971, close to Yme Field• In 2009,17/12-4 and its sidetracks wells appraised
this discovery, testing 2,516 boepd• Estimated reserves 39-50-63 mmboe• Formal concept selection targeted Q2 2011
Gardrofa (PL407)• Premier’s first operated licence in Norway• Premier 40% equity • Untested trap flanking a Salt dome feature• Estimated reserves 15-70-115 mmboe• Moderate risk for oil• Well planned for Q3 2011
9/1-1 Gardrofa Prospect Well Location
Success at Gardrofa will lead to a new core area for Premier in Norway
24th March 2011 | Page 57
P1466 Bluebell Prospect (15/24c,15/25f)• Premier 60% equity• Palaeocene Forties reservoir• Reserves estimate 9-19-31 mmboe• Partial carry by farm-in partner• Well planned for Q3 2011• Valuable tieback opportunity for Brenda/Balmoral
Exploration – UK – P1466 Bluebell
Top Forties Depth SS, CI=5 m
Top Forties Lambda Rho Extraction
Top Forties Lambda Rho Extraction Near Offset
Lamda Rho, HC Indicator
Bluebell
Bluebell
Bluebell Well Location
Bluebell Site Survey
Bluebell
Bluebell Well Location
Bluebell
24th March 2011 | Page 58
Carnaby
Exploration – UK – Carnaby
Carnaby• Premier 35% equity• Prospective Resource estimates:
– Tay reservoir: 20-35-60 mmbo– Cromarty reservoir: 15-20-30 mmbo
• Expected phase oil– Gas in shallower Eocene targets (Horda Fm)
• Risk assessment– Moderate risk at Tay level - oil quality– High risk at Cromarty level - reservoir presence
Varadero
Carnaby CatcherN & E
Catcher Main
Catcher E
Carnaby
Varadero
NS
Cromarty
Tay
Horda
Burgman
Cromarty Depth Structure
Carnaby Prospect
Eocene amplitude extraction
Carnaby
24th March 2011 | Page 59
Exploration – UK – West Orkney Basin
P1577: West Orkney Basin• Premier 100% equity• 1,700 km2 acreage covering West Orkney Basin depo-centres• Shallow water, low cost environment• Frontier Rift Basin exploration opportunity• Target is Pre-rift Devonian system preserved in Mesozoic rifts
– Petroleum system proven - exhumed oil accumulations on Orkney– Key uncertainty is presence and preservation of traps– Material unrisked play potential, presently high risk
• Work programme commensurate with risk reduction– 6 year concession with a drill or drop option– Purchase 6,000 km of existing 2D data– Reprocess selected lines
• Go Forward plans– Firm: Purchase, reprocess and interpret data 2011– Optional: Acquire new seismic data 2012 and Drill 2013
A’A Terraces with probable Devonian source and
reservoirs and probable Zechstein seal
West Orkney Basin Structure Top Devonian
Orkney Isles
Half grabens with Pre-rift section: Potenential for Devonian source and reservoirs plus Zechstein seal
Orkney Islands;Inverted Devonianbasins, withBreached oilfields
Metamorphic highs; exposed at seabed
Half grabens with possible Devonian source and reservoirs and proven Zechstein seal
24th March 2011 | Page 6025th March 2010 | Page 60
www.premier-oil.com 24th March 2011