2010 -2040 Bay Area Real Estate Market Trends

Bay Area Real Estate Trend

1968~2040

Frank LiuTop Realtor Earn Your Trust!

Video Intro of

Bay Area Real Estate Investment

Frank LiuTop Realtor, Earn your Trust

ResultsTeam.comZipcode Market DataCity Market DateCounty Market DateLatest ListingsSchool API scoresInvestment PropertiesEB-5 Regional Centers

SFSOMA.comSF SOMA Luxury Condo

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US Market since 2010 (USA)




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US Market since 2010 (NY-CA)




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Booming House Market in SF Bay Area: #1

Global Ranking Of The Most Powerful Brands

# 1 : Google

# 2 : Apple




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Booming House Market in SF Bay Area: #2

The Richest Cities in America

San Francisco You'd need $124,561 to live comfortably in SF

San JoseYou'd need $124,561 to live comfortably in SF

USAtoday.com Jan 25th, 2015




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Median Price: SF, SJ, LA, LV




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Booming House Market in SF Bay Area: 3The Nation’s Most Expensive Zip Code is in Silicon Valley

While everyone understandly freaks out about the skyrocketing cost of living in San Francisco, Silicon Valley’s

where the real wealth is. Of the 71 billionaires who call the Bay Area

home, seven have their primary residence in Atherton, a

small town with a population of less than 10,000. Because of Atherton’s unique location and exclusivity,

the zip code 94027 in the town is now the most

expensive in the entire country. Let’s do a quick compare to San Francisco. The

median sale price for San Francisco in the last 90 days is a jaw-dropping $950K. In Atherton it’s $4.59M. The

median list price for Atherton is even crazier at $9.44M. Why is Atherton so expensive? In short, it’s the nicest and most exclusive place to live in Silicon Valley. …

Curbed.com May 12, 2014, by Sally Kuchar




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How China's Richest Billionaires Are Buying AmericanNovember 24, 2014 issue of Forbes.

Chinese firms have inked 896 deals and poured $43 billion into the U.S. since 2000, according to data compiled by Rhodium Group. Over the past five

years, China’s foreign direct investment in America has grown from $2 billion to $14 billion in 2013. Leading the charge are many of China’s 242 billionaires, who made the bulk of their fortunes in the Middle Kingdom but are investing in America’s future.

Much of the action is happening on the Left Coast, with California landing about a quarter of the deals and one-tenth of the total value. All of China’s five richest people, such as tech titan Robin Li and real estate magnet

Wang Jianlin, have significant investments across the Golden State, ranging from Baidu ’s new

R&D lab in Sunnyvale to Dalian Wanda’s mixed-use real estate project in Beverly Hills. Texas and New York follow with 79 and 70 deals respectively, while Virginia leads all states the highest total transaction value ($8.8 billion), largely thanks to WH Group’s $4.7 billion acquisition of Smithfield Foods .

http://www.forbes.com/companies/baidu/




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BUYING AMERICAN

896 deals and poured $43 billion into the U.S. since 2000




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California Median Price since 1964

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

$450

$500

19

68

19

70

19

72

19

74

19

76

19

78

19

80

19

82

19

84

19

86

19

88

19

90

19

92

19

94

19

96

19

98

20

00

20

02

20

04

Thousands




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Mortgage Rate Changes since 1972

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005

30-year Mortgage Rates




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BAY AREA COUNTY MEDIAN PRICE

since 2006




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San Francisco County Median Price

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

Jan

-20

06

May

-20

06

Sep

-20

06

Jan

-20

07

May

-20

07

Sep

-20

07

Jan

-20

08

May

-20

08

Sep

-20

08

Jan

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09

May

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09

Sep

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09

Jan

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10

May

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10

Sep

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10

Jan

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11

May

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11

Sep

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11

Jan

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12

May

-20

12

Sep

-20

12

Jan

-20

13

May

-20

13

Sep

-20

13

Jan

-20

14

May

-20

14

Sep

-20

14

San Francisco County Median Price

Median Price

Poly. (Median Price)

4th degree poly regression




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San Mateo County Median Price

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

800000

900000

1000000

Jan

-20

06

May

-20

06

Sep

-20

06

Jan

-20

07

May

-20

07

Sep

-20

07

Jan

-20

08

May

-20

08

Sep

-20

08

Jan

-20

09

May

-20

09

Sep

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09

Jan

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10

May

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10

Sep

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10

Jan

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11

May

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11

Sep

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11

Jan

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12

May

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12

Sep

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12

Jan

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13

May

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13

Sep

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13

Jan

-20

14

May

-20

14

Sep

-20

14

San Mateo County Median Price

Median Price






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Marin County Median Price

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

Jan

-20

06

May

-20

06

Sep

-20

06

Jan

-20

07

May

-20

07

Sep

-20

07

Jan

-20

08

May

-20

08

Sep

-20

08

Jan

-20

09

May

-20

09

Sep

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09

Jan

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10

May

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10

Sep

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10

Jan

-20

11

May

-20

11

Sep

-20

11

Jan

-20

12

May

-20

12

Sep

-20

12

Jan

-20

13

May

-20

13

Sep

-20

13

Jan

-20

14

May

-20

14

Sep

-20

14

Marin County Median Price

Median Price






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Alameda County Median Price

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

Jan

-20

06

May

-20

06

Sep

-20

06

Jan

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07

May

-20

07

Sep

-20

07

Jan

-20

08

May

-20

08

Sep

-20

08

Jan

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09

May

-20

09

Sep

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09

Jan

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10

May

-20

10

Sep

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10

Jan

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11

May

-20

11

Sep

-20

11

Jan

-20

12

May

-20

12

Sep

-20

12

Jan

-20

13

May

-20

13

Sep

-20

13

Jan

-20

14

May

-20

14

Sep

-20

14

Alameda County Median Price

Median Price






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Contra Costa County Median Price

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

Jan

-20

06

May

-20

06

Sep

-20

06

Jan

-20

07

May

-20

07

Sep

-20

07

Jan

-20

08

May

-20

08

Sep

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08

Jan

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09

May

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09

Sep

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09

Jan

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10

May

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10

Sep

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10

Jan

-20

11

May

-20

11

Sep

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11

Jan

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12

May

-20

12

Sep

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12

Jan

-20

13

May

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13

Sep

-20

13

Jan

-20

14

May

-20

14

Sep

-20

14

Contra Costa County Median Price

Median Price






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Santa Clara County Media Price

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

Jan

-20

06

May

-20

06

Sep

-20

06

Jan

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07

May

-20

07

Sep

-20

07

Jan

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08

May

-20

08

Sep

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08

Jan

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09

May

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09

Sep

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09

Jan

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10

May

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10

Sep

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10

Jan

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11

May

-20

11

Sep

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11

Jan

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12

May

-20

12

Sep

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12

Jan

-20

13

May

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13

Sep

-20

13

Jan

-20

14

May

-20

14

Sep

-20

14

Santa Clara County Median Price

Median Price






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CITY / AREA MEDIAN PRICE SINCE 1999




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PALO ALTO Median Price

$0

$500,000

$1,000,000

$1,500,000

$2,000,000

$2,500,000

$3,000,000

$3,500,000

$4,000,000

$4,500,000

$5,000,000

Jul-

19

99

Jan

-20

00

Jul-

20

00

Jan

-20

01

Jul-

20

01

Jan

-20

02

Jul-

20

02

Jan

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03

Jul-

20

03

Jan

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04

Jul-

20

04

Jan

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05

Jul-

20

05

Jan

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06

Jul-

20

06

Jan

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07

Jul-

20

07

Jan

-20

08

Jul-

20

08

Jan

-20

09

Jul-

20

09

Jan

-20

10

Jul-

20

10

Jan

-20

11

Jul-

20

11

Jan

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12

Jul-

20

12

Jan

-20

13

Jul-

20

13

Jan

-20

14

Jul-

20

14

Jan

-20

15

Palo Alto - MEDIAN PRICE

Median Price





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Mountain View Median Price

$0

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

$1,000,000

$1,200,000

$1,400,000

$1,600,000

$1,800,000

No

v-2

00

1

Ap

r-2

00

2

Sep

-20

02

Feb

-20

03

Jul-

20

03

De

c-2

00

3

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04

Oct

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04

Mar

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05

Au

g-2

00

5

Jan

-20

06

Jun

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No

v-2

00

6

Ap

r-2

00

7

Sep

-20

07

Feb

-20

08

Jul-

20

08

De

c-2

00

8

May

-20

09

Oct

-20

09

Mar

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10

Au

g-2

01

0

Jan

-20

11

Jun

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11

No

v-2

01

1

Ap

r-2

01

2

Sep

-20

12

Feb

-20

13

Jul-

20

13

De

c-2

01

3

May

-20

14

Oct

-20

14

Mt. View Median Price

Median Price





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Los Altos Median Price

$0

$500,000

$1,000,000

$1,500,000

$2,000,000

$2,500,000

$3,000,000

$3,500,000

Au

g-1

99

9

Feb

-20

00

Au

g-2

00

0

Feb

-20

01

Au

g-2

00

1

Feb

-20

02

Au

g-2

00

2

Feb

-20

03

Au

g-2

00

3

Feb

-20

04

Au

g-2

00

4

Feb

-20

05

Au

g-2

00

5

Feb

-20

06

Au

g-2

00

6

Feb

-20

07

Au

g-2

00

7

Feb

-20

08

Au

g-2

00

8

Feb

-20

09

Au

g-2

00

9

Feb

-20

10

Au

g-2

01

0

Feb

-20

11

Au

g-2

01

1

Feb

-20

12

Au

g-2

01

2

Feb

-20

13

Au

g-2

01

3

Feb

-20

14

Au

g-2

01

4

Los Altos Median Price

Median Price





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Cupertino Median Price

$0

$500,000

$1,000,000

$1,500,000

$2,000,000

$2,500,000

Oct

-19

99

Ap

r-2

00

0

Oct

-20

00

Ap

r-2

00

1

Oct

-20

01

Ap

r-2

00

2

Oct

-20

02

Ap

r-2

00

3

Oct

-20

03

Ap

r-2

00

4

Oct

-20

04

Ap

r-2

00

5

Oct

-20

05

Ap

r-2

00

6

Oct

-20

06

Ap

r-2

00

7

Oct

-20

07

Ap

r-2

00

8

Oct

-20

08

Ap

r-2

00

9

Oct

-20

09

Ap

r-2

01

0

Oct

-20

10

Ap

r-2

01

1

Oct

-20

11

Ap

r-2

01

2

Oct

-20

12

Ap

r-2

01

3

Oct

-20

13

Ap

r-2

01

4

Oct

-20

14

Cupertino Median Price

Median Price





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Saratoga Median Price

$-

$1,000,000

$2,000,000

$3,000,000

$4,000,000

$5,000,000

$6,000,000

$7,000,000

Oct

-19

99

Ap

r-2

00

0

Oct

-20

00

Ap

r-2

00

1

Oct

-20

01

Ap

r-2

00

2

Oct

-20

02

Ap

r-2

00

3

Oct

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03

Ap

r-2

00

4

Oct

-20

04

Ap

r-2

00

5

Oct

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05

Ap

r-2

00

6

Oct

-20

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Ap

r-2

00

7

Oct

-20

07

Ap

r-2

00

8

Oct

-20

08

Ap

r-2

00

9

Oct

-20

09

Ap

r-2

01

0

Oct

-20

10

Ap

r-2

01

1

Oct

-20

11

Ap

r-2

01

2

Oct

-20

12

Ap

r-2

01

3

Oct

-20

13

Ap

r-2

01

4

Oct

-20

14

Saratoga Median Price

Median Price





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Evergreen Median Price

$0

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

$1,000,000

$1,200,000

$1,400,000

$1,600,000

$1,800,000

$2,000,000

Au

g-1

99

9

Feb

-20

00

Au

g-2

00

0

Feb

-20

01

Au

g-2

00

1

Feb

-20

02

Au

g-2

00

2

Feb

-20

03

Au

g-2

00

3

Feb

-20

04

Au

g-2

00

4

Feb

-20

05

Au

g-2

00

5

Feb

-20

06

Au

g-2

00

6

Feb

-20

07

Au

g-2

00

7

Feb

-20

08

Au

g-2

00

8

Feb

-20

09

Au

g-2

00

9

Feb

-20

10

Au

g-2

01

0

Feb

-20

11

Au

g-2

01

1

Feb

-20

12

Au

g-2

01

2

Feb

-20

13

Au

g-2

01

3

Feb

-20

14

Au

g-2

01

4

Evergreen Median Price

Median Price





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North Valley Median Price

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

$700,000

$800,000

$900,000

$1,000,000

Oct

-19

99

Ap

r-2

00

0

Oct

-20

00

Ap

r-2

00

1

Oct

-20

01

Ap

r-2

00

2

Oct

-20

02

Ap

r-2

00

3

Oct

-20

03

Ap

r-2

00

4

Oct

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04

Ap

r-2

00

5

Oct

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05

Ap

r-2

00

6

Oct

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06

Ap

r-2

00

7

Oct

-20

07

Ap

r-2

00

8

Oct

-20

08

Ap

r-2

00

9

Oct

-20

09

Ap

r-2

01

0

Oct

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10

Ap

r-2

01

1

Oct

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Ap

r-2

01

2

Oct

-20

12

Ap

r-2

01

3

Oct

-20

13

Ap

r-2

01

4

Oct

-20

14

North Valley Median Price

Median Price





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Milpitas Median Price

$0

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

$1,000,000

$1,200,000

$1,400,000

$1,600,000

$1,800,000

Sep

-19

99

Mar

-20

00

Sep

-20

00

Mar

-20

01

Sep

-20

01

Mar

-20

02

Sep

-20

02

Mar

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03

Sep

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03

Mar

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04

Sep

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04

Mar

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05

Sep

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05

Mar

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Sep

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06

Mar

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Sep

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Mar

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Sep

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08

Mar

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Sep

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09

Mar

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Sep

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10

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11

Sep

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Mar

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12

Sep

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12

Mar

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13

Sep

-20

13

Mar

-20

14

Sep

-20

14

Milpitas Median Price

Median Price





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Mission San Jose Median Price

$0

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

$1,000,000

$1,200,000

$1,400,000

$1,600,000

May

-19

99

No

v-1

99

9

May

-20

00

No

v-2

00

0

May

-20

01

No

v-2

00

1

May

-20

02

No

v-2

00

2

May

-20

03

No

v-2

00

3

May

-20

04

No

v-2

00

4

May

-20

05

No

v-2

00

5

May

-20

06

No

v-2

00

6

May

-20

07

No

v-2

00

7

May

-20

08

No

v-2

00

8

May

-20

09

No

v-2

00

9

May

-20

10

No

v-2

01

0

May

-20

11

No

v-2

01

1

May

-20

12

No

v-2

01

2

May

-20

13

No

v-2

01

3

May

-20

14

No

v-2

01

4

Mission San Jose Median Price

Median Price





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Atherton Median Price

0

1000000

2000000

3000000

4000000

5000000

6000000

7000000

8000000

9000000

Jun

-19

99

De

c-1

99

9

Jun

-20

00

De

c-2

00

0

Jun

-20

01

De

c-2

00

1

Jun

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02

De

c-2

00

2

Jun

-20

03

De

c-2

00

3

Jun

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De

c-2

00

4

Jun

-20

05

De

c-2

00

5

Jun

-20

06

De

c-2

00

6

Jun

-20

07

De

c-2

00

7

Jun

-20

08

De

c-2

00

8

Jun

-20

09

De

c-2

00

9

Jun

-20

10

De

c-2

01

0

Jun

-20

11

De

c-2

01

1

Jun

-20

12

De

c-2

01

2

Jun

-20

13

De

c-2

01

3

Jun

-20

14

De

c-2

01

4

Atherton Median Price

Median Price





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Hillsborough Median Price

0

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

2500000

3000000

3500000

4000000

4500000

5000000

May

-19

99

No

v-1

99

9

May

-20

00

No

v-2

00

0

May

-20

01

No

v-2

00

1

May

-20

02

No

v-2

00

2

May

-20

03

No

v-2

00

3

May

-20

04

No

v-2

00

4

May

-20

05

No

v-2

00

5

May

-20

06

No

v-2

00

6

May

-20

07

No

v-2

00

7

May

-20

08

No

v-2

00

8

May

-20

09

No

v-2

00

9

May

-20

10

No

v-2

01

0

May

-20

11

No

v-2

01

1

May

-20

12

No

v-2

01

2

May

-20

13

No

v-2

01

3

May

-20

14

No

v-2

01

4

Hillsborough Median Price

Median Price





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2010 -2040 Bay Area Real Estate Market Trend

ABAG Report：

The Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) and the Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC) track and forecast the region’s demographics and economic trends policy decisions.




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Population, Employment and Housing Growth

2010-2040

Source: Association of Bay Area Governments




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Employment Growth by Sector2010-2040





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Population Growth in Each County2010-2040





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Silicon Valley, The Manhattan of the West Coast!

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2010 -2040 Bay Area Real Estate Market Trends

Real Estate

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