2010-2011 TEAM

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2010-2011 TEAM 1 st Topic Presentation, Friday 18 th February 2011 Polytech’Nice - Sophia INTEREST OF DISTRIBUTED HYDROLOGICAL MODELS (Mike SHE & HEC-HMS)

description

2010-2011 TEAM. Interest of distributed hydrological models ( Mike SHE & H EC-HMS ). 1 st Topic Presentation , Friday 18 th February 2011 Polytech’Nice - Sophia . Different types of models. Definition. 1) lumped = complete basin as single homogeneous - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of 2010-2011 TEAM

Page 1: 2010-2011 TEAM

2010-2011TEAM

1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

INTEREST OF DISTRIBUTED

HYDROLOGICAL MODELS(Mike SHE & HEC-HMS)

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1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-Shecomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

1) lumped = complete basin as single homogeneouselement with average rainfall input

2) quasi-distributed = discretization of watershed into homogeneous sub-basins with single rainfall parameters based on topography 3) distributed = physically based, division into elementary unit areas as grid cells, solving equations in each cell

Different types of models

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• much simpler than deterministic models

• obtained by aggregating or averaging the spatially variable processes

• usually not done in a formal mathematical manner

• rather, some simple assumptions are made which invariably start with continuity equation

• can’t be used for longer simulation periods considering groundwater infiltration and flow

Model type - lumped

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1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-Shecomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

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•hydrological phenomena vary spatially and temporally

• in accordance with the conservation laws of mass, energy and momentum

• models based on conservation laws are physically-based

• laws expressed as partial differential equations (PDEs)

• solutions of PDEs on finite differences or finite element grid computationally demanding

Model type - distributed

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1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-Shecomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

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Loss Methods Categorization

Initial and constant rate

Event, lumped, empirical, fitted parameter

SCS Curve Number (CN)

Event, lumped, empirical, fitted parameter

Gridded SCS CN Event, distributed, empirical, fitted parameter

Green and Ampt Event, distributed, empirical, fitted parameter

Deficit and Constant Event, lumped, empirical, fitted parameter

Transform Methods Categorization

User-specified unit Event, lumped, empirical, fitted parameter

Hydrograph (UH) Event, lumped, empirical, fitted parameter

Clark’s UH Event, lumped, empirical, fitted parameter

ModClark Event, distributed, empirical, fitted parameter

Kinematic Wave Event, lumped, empirical, fitted parameter

Methods Categorization

Baseflow Lumped

Channel Flow Routing

Lumped

HEC-HMSmainly lumped

modelsExample of method’s

categorization:

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1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-Shecomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

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Fully Lumped Model based on mean value

Quasi Distributed ExampleUsing new Rainfall distribution based on Kriging

method for each sub-catchments

Distributed Model Inconvenient: Take time to build a model based

on gridded file (.dss)Advantage: Good for long time computation

window

HEC-HMS

1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-Shecomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

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HEC-HMSFully Lumped Model Vs Lumped Model

Required parameters:

SCS Unit Hydrograph

SCS CNPercent

Impervious (%)

Initial Abstraction

(mm)Tc (hr)

Storage Coeff. (hr)

Lag Time (min)

77 5,3 15,17 28,934 0,500 578,678 - -75 5,22 16,93 21,459 0,400 429,174 - -70 5,46 21,77 13,323 0,400 266,465 - -75 5,31 16,93 19,364 0,400 387,276 - -80 14,6 12,70 19,885 0,800 397,704 - -

75,40 7,18 16,70 20,59 0,50 411,86- - - - - 0,9 0,4- - - - - 0,7 0,2- - - - - 1,2 0,1- - - - - 0,9 0,3

Hydrologic Elements

Runoff volume Parameters Direct Runoff Parameters Channel Flow SCS Curve Number Clark Unit Hydrograph

Muskingum K (hr)

Muskingum X

Upper Var

Esteron

Fully Lumped Model

Vesubie

Lower Var

Fully Lumped Model

Reach1Reach2Reach3

Tinee

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1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-Shecomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

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Observed hydrograph (cm/s)

SCS Unit Hydrograph (cm/s)

SCS fully Lumped (cm/s)

SCS Unit Hydrograph

(cm/s)

SCS fully Lumped (cm/s)

Observed hydrograph (cm/s)

Total Residual SCS U H

Total Residual SCS fully Lumped

Peak Outflow (cm/s) 3585,8 3411,4 3680 94,20 268,60Time of peak flow (h) 5/11/94 21:00 5/11/94 21:00 5/11/94 18:00 3h 3hVolume (mm) 94,43 67,61 91,56 -2,87 23,95

Fully Lumped Vs Lumped Model

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1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-Shecomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

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Rainfall Distribution: Thiessen Polygons

Lumped : assign 1 rainfall value for 1 polygon.

Quasi distributed :Assign 2 rainfall values in 1 sub-basin.

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1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-Shecomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

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Interpolation method :Best Linear Estimator Unbiased

Could be interesting to apply with :

•More point of measurements,•Taking into account the altitude,•Taking into account the distance to the sea.

Lack of data to built a variogram.

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1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-Shecomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

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Comparison

3/11/94 0:00

4/11/94 0:00

5/11/94 0:00

6/11/94 0:00

7/11/94 0:00

8/11/94 0:00

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Comparison of the Hydrograph produced by Thiessen and Krigging distribution method

Observed Hydrograph

SCS Unit Hydrograph with Thiessen Poly-gons

SCS Unit Hydrograph with Kriging Method

date / hours

Discharge (m3/s)

In our case of study, the rainfall distribution method= Thiessen polygons

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1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-Shecomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

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Fully distributed.

The spatial and temporal variation of meteorological, hydrological, geological and hydrogeological data across the model area is described in gridded form for the input as well as the output from the model.

Mike SHE model

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1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-SHEcomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

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Modelling Process

Network :

Manning MTopographyDomain

Thiessen Polygons and precipitation rates

very complex and time

consuming

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1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-SHEcomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

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Results

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Disc

harg

e Q

[m³/

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Time

Hydrographs at Napoleon III

Mike SHE

estimated

Mike SHE Tutorial

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1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-SHEcomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

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Results• Mike SHE hydrograph doesn’t match observed/estimated discharge rates and peak time at Napoleon III - bridge

• although model is set up more precisely is doesn’t give more accurate results than lumped models

• Manning coefficients M can be adjusted, however no big influence is expected

• most likely destroyed sills/structures during the flood event responsible for “time-shifting”

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1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-SHEcomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

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CONCLUSION

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Disc

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Hydrographs at Napoleon III

Mike SHE

estimated

Mike SHE Tutorial

HEC-HMS

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1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-SHEcomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

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CONCLUSION

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1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Are 5 rain gauges sufficient enough to distribute the rainfall well across the catchment?

The observed/estimated discharge provided at Napoleon III Bridge is not accurate due to extrapolation of the rating curve.

There is no justification in employing a complex, spatially distributed model when a simple one will suffice. Simpler models invariably have fewer parameters and are easy to calibrate.

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-SHEcomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

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Which model should we use?• purpose (resolution of prediction)

• available data (spatially and temporal varying data – soil, landuse, precipitation, temp. and other forcing variables)

• time window (the more complex the more time needed)

• scale of the project (small – homogeneous / large– inhomogeneous catchment)

• budget (computational and engineering time are expensive

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1st Topic Presentation, Friday 18th February 2011Polytech’Nice - Sophia

Definition

Rainfall distribution

methods

Mike-SHEcomparison

Conclusion

HEC-HMScomparison

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Thank you for your attention