2010-11 BigTrends Expert Roundtable

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2011 ROUNDTABLE Price Headley, Moby Waller, Andrew Hart, Scott Downing & Bob Lang

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Price Headley and his team of options analysts break down the option market, stock market, etfs, and the S&P 500.Click here to see the video archive:http://www.bigtrends.com/component/content/article/14224.html

Transcript of 2010-11 BigTrends Expert Roundtable

Page 1: 2010-11 BigTrends Expert Roundtable

2011 ROUNDTABLEPrice Headley, Moby Waller,

Andrew Hart, Scott Downing & Bob Lang

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Roundtable Agenda

Broad Market Analysis (SPY)

2011 Volatility Expectations (VIX)

International Hotspots (various)

2011 Stock Valuations (P/E)

Options Trends & Favorite Stocks/Sectors

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S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY) - Monthly

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S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY) - Weekly

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S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY) - Daily

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Big Picture Fibonacci Retracement Has Been Dead On

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So what does Fibonacci say for 2011?

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Lesser-known “Election Effect” will provide added kick.

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We’re experts in anticipating and trading volatility.

What we told our clients last year at this time, and what actually occurred:

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Option Volatility in 2011:

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Moby Waller’s take on 2011 in the markets:

Stocks

Volatility

Index ETFs

Sectors

Bullish mode for first 6 months of 2011, buy dips. Also be prepared to jump onboard upside accelerations.

Slightly lower range in 2011, won’t trade for below 12.5 area for long, if at all. VIX spikes should be briefer in duration.

• Russell 2K (IWM) & Nasdaq 100 (QQQQ) outperformed in 2010. Remember, leaders continue to lead.

• Bullish India (EPI), also Brazil (EWZ) and China (FXI) ETFs lagged in 2010, may outperform in 2011.

• Gold and some other hard commodities have had a long bullish run that is likely to take a pause in 2011, especially from a

contrarian perspective.• Keep an eye on Financials as a leading indicator for stocks.

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International Outlook for 2011

What’s the Consensus?

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Long Term Strategy Review

Name Ticker 2009 Performance

Progressive Energy Portfolio PUW 50.89%

Steel Index SLX 79.54%

Telecom & Wireless PTE 16.55%

Latin American 40 ILF 69.92%

Name Ticker 2010 Performance

Small Cap Brazil BRF 18.19%

Middle East & Africa GAF 22.37%

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Countries to Watch

Thailand

Singapore

Indonesia

Turkey

1

2

3

4

5

Chile

Geo Investing with ETFs

Malaysia 6

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Valuations

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2010 SMARTtrends

International Business Machines (IBM) McDonald’s Corp (MCD) Hewlett-Packard Co (HPQ)

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SMARTtrading3 Stocks for 2011

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Big Trends in Options - 2010Sector Themes & Top Stocks

Commodities CLF, ANR, MEE, WLT, X

Precious Metals (+25%) GLD, SLX, GDX, SSRI, GG

Bonds (10 YR +3.9-4.2%)

China BIDU, SINA, SOHU, NTES

Technology AAPL, INTC, CRM, who else?

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Big Trends in Options - 2011

Retail ANF, TIF, KSS, URBN

Restaurants YUM, BWLD, CMG, CAKE, CPKI

Casinos LVS, WYNN, IGT, WMS

Tech NFLX, AMZN, AAPL

The Year the CONSUMER Returns?

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Biogen Idec (BIIB) - Daily

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SPDRs Gold Trust (GLD) - Weekly

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Platinum Club Membership

The Complete BigTrends Trading

Experience

www.bigtrends.com/platinum

All Access – 12 Months

FREE: On-Demand Vault

FREE: Coaching DVDs

FREE: Home Study Course

FREE: Williams %R DVDs

All Access – 3 Months

$5,995$1,997