2009 Reports Re Connectivity
Transcript of 2009 Reports Re Connectivity
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FORUM
Climate change, connectivity and conservation
decision making: back to basics
Jenny A. Hodgson*1, Chris D. Thomas2, Brendan A. Wintle3 and Atte Moilanen4
1Institute of Integrative & Comparative Biology, Miall Building, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, UK; 2Department
of Biology, University of York, PO Box 373, York YO10 5YW, UK; 3School of Botany, University of Melbourne, Victoria
3010, Australia; and 4Metapopulation Research Group, Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences, PO
Box 65 (Viikinkaari 1), University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI-00014, Finland
Summary
1. The challenge of climate change forces us to re-examine the assumptions underlying conserva-
tion planning.2. Increasing connectivity has emerged as the most favoured option for conservation in the face of
climate change.
3. We argue that the importance of connectivity is being overemphasized: quantifying the benefits
of connectivity per se is plagued with uncertainty, and connectivity can be co-incidentally improved
by targeting more concrete metrics: habitat area and habitat quality.
4. Synthesis and applications. Before investing in connectivity projects, conservation practitioners
should analyse the benefits expected to arise from increasing connectivity and compare them with
alternative investments, to ensure as much biodiversity conservation and resilience to climate
change as possible within their budget. Strategies that we expect to remain robust in the face of
climate change include maintaining and increasing the area of high quality habitats, prioritizing
areas that have high environmental heterogeneity and controlling other anthropogenic threatening
processes.
Key-words: adaptation, biodiversity, conservation prioritization, habitat quality, landscape
planning, spatial ecology, speciesarea relationship, uncertainty
Introduction
How should we adapt our conservation strategies in the face of
climate change? Of the multitude of suggested answers, the
single most repeated suggestion is to increase connectivity
(Heller & Zavaleta 2009). Connectivity conservation (Crooks
& Sanjayan 2006) is gathering pace and political support (e.g.Australian Government 2004; IUCN WCPA 2006; Kettunen
et al. 2007). The idea is to maintain and build connected envi-
ronments that will enable species to move with the climate.
Whilst laudable, our concern is that this strategy could cause
more harm than good if it inadvertently redirects resources
and attention away from more certain and effective conserva-
tion actions.
In this study, we revisit the principles of spatial ecology
and conservation planning. We summarize how connectivity
emerges as a complicated function of habitat area, habitat
quality, the spatial arrangement of habitat and species-spe-
cific dispersal. We argue that uncertainty associated with
connectivity is generally higher than uncertainty about habi-
tat area and quality, and threatening processes such habitat
destruction. We aim for a more balanced approach to devel-
oping climate change conservation strategies where connec-
tivity is treated as a potentially useful tool, but not as an end
in itself.
Spatial conservation planning: the basics
We start from a consideration of individual species; the popu-
lation theory we discuss applies to any species, but we apply
this primarily to spatial planning for terrestrial landscapes.
The regional carrying capacity, and hence the population size
of a species depends principally on the area of suitable habitat,
the quality of that habitat and on the spatial arrangement
of suitable habitat (Fig. 1; Andrewartha & Birch 1954; Mac-
Arthur & Wilson 1967). Habitat arrangement has multiple
dimensions, but we consider the main one to be aggregation
(Fig. 1); how habitat is concentrated in space. We consider
habitat quality to be a measure of potential population*Correspondence author. E-mail: [email protected]
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growth andor density, and area to be the total area with a
positive quality. Importantly, each of these three quantities has
a threshold below which the regional population of the species
will not persist (Fig. 1) too little habitat area, too low habitat
quality or excessive dispersion of habitat will all lead to regio-
nal extinction of the focal species (Fig. 1; With & King 1999;
Hanski & Ovaskainen 2000). Eventhough area, habitat quality
and aggregation are abstractions and their exact definitions
might be debated, there is very good evidence for their effects
on single species (e.g. Thomas, Thomas & Warren 1992), and
they are used as thebasis of much conservation planning(Mar-
gules & Pressey 2000; Moilanen & Wintle 2006).
Defining area, quality and aggregation for multiple species
simultaneously is not straightforward because the require-ments of species vary. The relationship between species and
area is most strongly established (MacArthur & Wilson 1967;
Simberloff 1976a,b). More area generally means more individ-
uals, more resources and more environmental variation, giving
opportunities for niche specialization. Quality is a difficult
notion when considering multiple species, but for practical
purposes can be described in terms of freedom from anthropo-
genic degradation, disturbance, pollution, etc. Influences of
habitat aggregation and isolation on diversity are seen for
many communities (e.g. MacArthur & Wilson 1967; Simberl-
off 1976b; Hanski 1998), but differences among species in their
habitat requirements and dispersal characteristics mean thatthere is no universal relationship.
Connectivity and uncertainty
Connectivity is seen as something that should be accounted
for in conservation planning (Margules & Pressey 2000;
McCarthy, Thompson & Possingham 2005; Moilanen et al.
2005), but there are numerous overlapping definitions
(Tischendorf & Fahrig 2000; Moilanen & Hanski 2001;
Goodwin 2003; Fagan & Calabrese 2006). Broadly, func-
tional connectivity estimates the actual or potential rate of
immigration into a point, cell, or patch on the landscape
(Hanski 1998; Tischendorf & Fahrig 2000), and thus depends
on several attributes of the species, as well as the interaction
between the species and the landscape (Fig 2). As a result,
most connectivity measures subsume influences of habitat
area, quality and spatial aggregation, and some also include
information about heterogeneities in the non-habitat (Fig. 2).
We argue that uncertainties in the estimation and effects of
connectivity make it potentially inefficient as a primary conser-
vation metric. Conservation planning is plagued with uncer-tainties (Regan, Colyvan & Burgman 2001). Uncertainty
about area and quality derive from uncertainty about which
environmental and biotic factors explain the local carrying
capacity for a given species (Elith, Burgman & Regan 2002).
Uncertainty about the functional connectivity of the species
automatically includes uncertainties relating to area, quality
and habitat pattern because functional connectivity depends
partly on the distribution and quality of habitats in the land-
scape (Fig. 2). Additional uncertainties about the measurement
of connectivity include: species-specific influences of distance
on dispersal; tails of dispersal distributions, which are notori-
ously difficult to estimate; effects of source and target habitatquality on emigration and immigration; how dispersing indi-
viduals search for habitat; how movement behaviour is
affected by the spatial structure of non-habitat, and the influ-
ence of spatially correlated environmental stochasticity on
population-dynamical processes (Moilanen & Nieminen
2002). By combining all of these, uncertainty about measuring
and predicting connectivity is always higher than uncertainty
about the constituent factors that contribute to connectivity.
Not only is the measurement of connectivity uncertain, but
so are its effects on long-term expected population size. Total
carrying capacity always steadily increases with increasing
habitat area and quality, but does not do so with increasing
habitat aggregation (Fig. 1bd) or increasing dispersal, theother components of connectivity. There is only a relatively
narrow window at intermediate levels of habitat aggregation
where increased aggregation makes a major difference to
expected population size (because once habitats are close
enough to be colonized, further benefits of aggregating habitat
or increasing dispersal are diminished). Thus, increasing area
and quality are more certain to increase population size than
are increases in aggregation and dispersal, unless isolation is
already known to be the main constraint for a particular
species and landscape.
As uncertainties about connectivity tend to be high, and
increases in habitat quantity and quality coincidentallyimprove connectivity, we conclude one should generally
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
Fig. 1. Fundamental variables of spatial population biology. (a)
Habitat area, habitat quality and habitat aggregation (see text for
definitions) are independent axes that all affect regional population
size (they also affect functional connectivity, see Fig. 2). (bd) For
each factor, there is a threshold below which the regional popula-
tion is unable to persist. Solid lines indicate potential carrying
capacity, whilst dashed lines denote the long-term expected popula-
tion size.
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provide higher weight in decision-making to actions that
increase area and quality. Theoretically, we know that popula-
tions will sometimes benefit more from a small, well-connected
piece of habitat than a larger, more isolated one, but the rela-
tive uncertainties and the probability of worse-than-expectedoutcomes should also affect our decision making. From a deci-
sion theoretic perspective, when faced with two options that
convey similar expected (mean) returns, one should choose
the option with the lowest variance of expected outcome to
maximize the probability of achieving ones conservation goal
(e.g. Ben-Haim 2001).
We are particularly concerned that in a planning process,
people who want to release areas from conservation, e.g. for
development, could actually exploit the profusion of connec-
tivity measures (Kindlmann & Burel 2008) to choose one that
works for them (Walker et al. 2009). For example, restored
corridors, stepping stones or softening of the anthropogenic
matrix will cause increases in some connectivity measures.
Depending on the connectivity metric used, a large percentage
increase in connectivity could be used to argue that a large
percentage decrease in habitat area is acceptable allowing a
development to proceed. Loss of habitat implies certain and
immediate decreases in population sizes, whereas compensat-
ing long-term benefits of additional connectivity might be lar-
gely unknown and possibly small (Falcy & Estades 2007).
Notwithstanding these misgivings, the functional connectiv-
ity of landscapes applied to single species is a very useful con-
cept in appropriate circumstances, when the constraints on a
particular species are known. But, ultimately, conservation is a
multi-species enterprise. In this context, various measures ofstructural connectivity have been proposed, that generalize
the connectivity of vegetation types without reference to partic-
ular species. Combining species responses in this way magni-
fies uncertainty because multi-species responses are not a
simple function of each individual species response. There is
an attractive simplicity to increasing structural connectivity formulti-species conservation, but the scientific basis for such a
strategy is largely absent and the applicability of this concept
under climate change is also highly uncertain. The trade-off
between increased structural connectivity per se and increased
protection for existing natural or semi-natural habitats are
always very difficult to calculate. However, maintaining and
increasing the area of natural or semi-natural habitats will add
useful habitat area for many species and, as described above,
will usually coincidentally increase connectivity.
The new world order
So far, our discussion has been most relevant to situations
where the regional distributions of species can be assumed to
be relatively stationary. Given climate change and the lagged
responses of species (Mene ndez et al. 2006), dynamic change
will be the norm for the foreseeable future. At large scales there
are shifts to higher latitudes and elevations (Hickling et al.
2006; Parmesan 2006; IPCC 2007) andmovements along mois-
ture gradients, and at smaller scales there are shifts in preferred
microclimates and changes to the nature of the vegetation that
constitutes habitat (Thomas et al. 2001; Davies et al. 2006).
These changes undermine three common presumptions in
conservation planning. First, we often presume that vegetation
type can be used as a reasonable proxy for habitat availabilityfor one or many species. Quaternary evidence shows that
Habitat
What the
organism needs
(niche)
defines
Area Quality Aggregation
(or other pattern)
Dispersal
mechanism, etc.
Potential forbarriers or
conduits in non
habitat
Connectivity (proxy for
immigration rates)
Vital rates and
carrying capacity
Population size, spatial distribution and
persistence probability
is quantified in terms of
Fig.2. A schematic of the place of (func-tional) connectivity in spatial ecology and
conservation. Functional connectivity is a
quantity that always incorporates some
aspect of spatial pattern, but it usually also
includes information about the amount and
quality of habitats and factors influencing
dispersal behaviour and success.
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species exhibit individualistic responses to climate change, and
vegetation types change with the climate (Williams, Shuman &
Webb 2001), so that the community classification schemes we
now use to describe vegetation types will become redundant in
the long term. Secondly, we assume that structural connectiv-
ity, measured on the basis of land cover types, is a reasonableproxy for functional connectivity of multiple species. As with
the first assumption, this will become less reasonable the more
climate change advances and changes communities.
Thirdly, we commonly assume that protecting locations
with the most populations of a species will maximize the
chances of persistence in both the short- and long-term sur-
vival. Under climate change, prioritizing only existing core
populations carries the danger of promoting short-term per-
sistence in current strongholds at the expense of long-term
survival; but prioritizing only marginal populations that are
predicted to expand is risky because of massive uncertainties
about the true consequences of climate change. In essence
we are required to deal with trade-offs through time, as well
as continuing to pay attention to trade-offs in space and
trade-offs between species. We have to address the addi-
tional question How much short-term conservation success
should we forgo in order in increase the long-term probabil-
ity of achieving our targets? Perhaps not much, as benefits
that are to materialize a long time in the future may have a
tendency of disappearing on the way (Walker et al. 2009).
Such considerations need to be incorporated within popula-
tion viability analyses and decision frameworks, which can
no longer assume long-term stasis in environmental condi-
tions.
Reasons to be cheerful
It is easy to be overwhelmed by the complexity and uncertainty
involved in conservation planning for a world with climate
change. There is a huge desire to do something but what
exactly is it that we should do? A vast number of suggestions
have been made, and there is limited direct evidence to assess
which of these is likely to be most effective (Heller & Zavaleta
2009). So, can we step back and ask if any principles hold true
with or without climate change, and thereby which conserva-
tion strategies are most likely to be robust?
One such principle is that increasing numbers of species areassociated with increasing area (Connor & McCoy 1979; Guil-
haumon et al. 2008). But how much area is enough? Effective
conservation requires sufficient habitat where a species cur-
rently occurs and additional locations that will support popu-
lations whilst the distribution is changing, until it reaches a
new equilibrium (assuming the climate does; Araujo et al.
2004). Any previously used target [e.g. the 10% terrestrial pro-
tected area target (IUCN 2004)] will deliver lower conservation
outcomes under climate change than originally hoped. There-
fore, renewed effort and additional funding to conserve extra
land is warranted. Locations that have low human impacts
should remain good for many species, even if the identities of
those species change. Maintaining sites of high value to biodi-
versity should be feasible, but management that attempts to
retain a particular community composition may be expensive
and ultimately doomed to failure.
A second generalization is that environmental heterogeneity
provides opportunities for populations to survive different
extremes by shifting between different types of vegetation,
soils, aspects or elevations (Thomas et al. 2001; Davies et al.2006). Species diversity and endemism are also increased in
regions with high topographic and habitat diversity (e.g. Sim-
berloff 1976a), especially where there are steep elevation and
climatic gradients (Ohlemu ller et al. 2008). Our second mes-
sage is that focussing efforts on regions with high existing envi-
ronmental heterogeneity is likely to be a robust strategy. In a
sense, we are identifying the importance of a different kind of
connectivity that between cooler and warmer (and drier and
moister), habitats rather than between currently similar habitats.
Further research is needed to quantify the benefit of habitat
diversity, especially when there might be a trade-off between this
and theaggregation of existing habitat for many species.
Thirdly, the majority of small-range terrestrial species are
clustered into a small percentage of the land surface (centres of
endemismareas of high irreplaceability, cf. Wilson, Carwar-
dine & Possingham 2009), many of which are mountain
ranges. A high percentage of thespecies threatened with extinc-
tion from climate change are found in such locations: they are
expected to show range retractions within the regions where
they currently occur, and are unlikely to achieve long distance
colonization of other parts of the world (Midgley et al. 2002;
Williams, Bolitho, & Fox 2003; Thomas et al. 2004; Malcolm
et al. 2006; Ohlemu ller et al. 2008).So, our third message is that
concentration of conservation effort in centres of endemism
remains a valid strategy.Fourthly, almost all threatened species are negatively
impacted by multiple factors. In some instances, mitigating
known threats other than climate change may be sufficient to
permit a population to persist, even if the local climate has
deteriorated. When this strategy cannot ensure persistence in
its own right, mitigating known threats should be regarded as
an essential first step in making populations robust to climate
change. We recommend dealing with known (stoppable)
threats for which there are known solutions before addressing
uncertain andor unstoppable threats with less certain or less
feasible solutions (Pressey et al. 2007; Wilson et al. 2007).
These four principles, increasing protected area, maintain-ing and in some cases increasing environmental heterogeneity,
concentrating efforts in centres of endemism, and reducing
other pressures are likely to be beneficial and robust, with or
without climate change. However, these are rules of thumb,
and there is great potential for improved planning at regional
scales with improved adaptive decision-making methods.
Importantly, decision-making tools need to weight strategies
according to their relative costs, expected benefits and the
uncertainty in achieving that benefit (Burgman, Lindenmayer
& Elith 2005; McDonald-Madden, Baxter & Possingham
2008). Ecological research needs to contribute by quantifying
benefits (including the benefits of connectivity and the bene-
fits of habitat heterogeneity) in terms of a common currency,
e.g. long-term species persistence, and by quantifying
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uncertainty. Research is required in the development of deci-
sion frameworks (Hoegh-Guldberg et al. 2008) to integrate
and visualize the costs and benefits, and to ensure that meth-
ods are easy to adapt and update as new information
becomes available.
Conclusion
In summary, we think that the political and ecological reality
of climate change should prompt us to reassess which ideas to
keep, which to modify and which to abandon (Table 1). Con-
nectivity usefully reminds people that excessive isolation is a
threat to populations, but, as increased attention is paid to the
spatial arrangement of habitats and dispersal, morefundamen-
tal issues may be overlooked (Fig. 1; Table 1). Whilst climate
change adds extra challenges, potential damage can still be
alleviated by removing other sources of threat. Land conver-
sion and land-use change leading to habitat loss is still the most
cited threat to currently endangered species, and the most
straightforward way to tackle this is to maintain and restore
larger areas of natural habitat. Species will not be able to sur-
vive where they are or shift their distributions to new climati-
cally suitable areas unless there are sufficient habitats for them,
and it should be remembered that increasing habitat area is an
effective way of increasing connectivity. Furthermore, con-
serving habitats will be beneficial even if the particular species
found in an area are graduallyreplaced by others as the climate
changes. The conservation of high quality existing habitats
should therefore remain the primary focus of conservation
efforts to maintain biodiversity.
Acknowledgements
Thanks to two anonymous reviewers whose comments helped to improve the
manuscript. J.H. and C.D.T. were supported by Natural England. B.W. was
supported by the Australian ResearchCouncil (DP0774288)and the Australian
Governments Commonwealth Environment Research Facility program. A.M.
was supported by the Academy of Finland, Finnish Center of Excellence Pro-
gramme2006-2011, grant213457.
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Table1. Suggested re-assessment of basic ideas in conservation planning, assuming climate change
Ideas to keep Ideas to modify and develop Ideas that hold us back
More total area is beneficial; including
expanding present conservation areas
Biodiversity hotspotscentres of endemismshould be prioritized
Environmentalhabitat heterogeneity
facilitates diversity and persistence
Human activities that diminish diversity
should be minimized or reversed
The time frame for conservation planning (the
trade-off between current and future benefit;
and incorporation of environmentalchange in population viability assessment)
The role of connectivity, including trade-offs
between connecting landscapes and other
conservation actions
Attempting to maintain existing or
past community composition
Using permanently fixed conservationtargets (e.g. 10% terrestrial area target)
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Received27 February2009;accepted3 July2009HandlingEditor: Morten Frederiksen
Climate, connectivity and conservation 969
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FORUM
Connectivity, dispersal behaviour and conservation
under climate change: a response to Hodgson et al.
Veronica A. J. Doerr1,2*, Tom Barrett3 and Erik D. Doerr1,2
1CSIRO Ecosystem Sciences, GPO Box 284, Canberra ACT 2601, Australia; 2Research School of Biology, Australian
National University, Canberra ACT 0200, Australia; and 3New South Wales Department of Environment, Climate
Change & Water, PO Box 494, Armidale NSW 2350, Australia
Summary
1. Hodgson et al. [Journal of Applied Ecology 46 (2009) 964] argue that connectivity is complex and
uncertain, that it can be improved incidentally by increasing habitat extent, and that connectivity
conservation is unlikely to be effective under climate change.2. We believe that they have overlooked recent research on dispersal behaviour and structural con-
nectivity, which has improved our understanding of functional connectivity and revealed that it will
not necessarily increase with habitat extent.
3. New modelling techniques including least-cost path models incorporate this more detailed
understanding of connectivity into conservation planning, facilitating the true aim of connectivity
conservation to ensure appropriate interactions between habitat extent, quality and connectivity.
4. Synthesis and applications. Advances in behavioural research and modelling techniques allow us
to manage structural connectivity with as much certainty as we manage extent and quality of habi-
tat. Successful landscape conservation to address both current threats and future climate change
must manage these three elements in concert.
Key-words: aggregation, behavioural ecology, connectivity conservation, corridor, fragmen-tation, gap-crossing, metapopulation, population viability, range shift, stepping stone
Introduction
For most of the worlds ecosystems, human-induced habitat
loss, degradation and fragmentation are primary causes of
declines in biodiversity (Fahrig 2003; Lindenmayer & Fischer
2006). Furthermore, climate change is predicted to interact
with and intensify the effects of these problems. Connectivity
conservation has emerged as an overarching solution with
considerable political and popular support (Crooks & Sanja-
yan 2006). However, Hodgson et al. (2009) highlight the dan-
gers of investing in connectivity per se, and argue that other
strategies may provide better protection for species in a chang-
ing climate.
We wholeheartedly agree with Hodgson et al. that connec-
tivity should not be the sole focus of conservation actions, and
that conservation investments should be based on analysis of
their likely benefits. Yet Hodgson et al. suggest that connectiv-
ity conservation is never likely to be a robust strategy, and here
we disagree. Specifically, Hodgson et al. argue that there is too
much uncertainty surrounding connectivity, that connectivity
is primarily a result of habitat aggregation, and it can coinci-
dentally be improved by increasing habitat extent. They also
suggest that connectivity conservation sacrifices long-term
conservation success under a changing climate in favour of
short-term gains. In this response, we suggest that Hodgson
et al. have overlooked recent advances in our understanding of
connectivity, particularly arising from research on dispersal
behaviour. These advances provide a clearer distinction
between structural and functional connectivity and greater cer-
tainty regarding the effects of structural connectivity. They also
bring a new awareness that increases in habitat extent alone
will not necessarily increase functional connectivity. In addi-
tion, we believe that Hodgson et al. have misinterpreted con-
nectivity conservation, which carries a specific meaning that
involves more than just conserving structural connectivity, and
can provide long-term solutions to many of the threats associ-
ated with climate change including those highlighted by Hodg-
son et al. Finally, we suggest that the differences in our
perspectives may partly result from differences in the scales at
which empirical research and conservation planning are con-
ducted. Fortunately, new modelling techniques are allowing us*Correspondence author. E-mail: [email protected]
Journal of Applied Ecology 2011, 48, 143147 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2010.01899.x
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to move beyond simple measures of aggregation to incorporate
a more detailed behavioural understanding of connectivity into
conservation planning, despite differences in scale.
Dispersal behaviour and structural
connectivity
The intent of connectivity is to facilitate dispersal of individu-
als. Thus, an empirical understanding of connectivity depends
on understanding animal behaviour, particularly movement
and dispersal behaviour, to reveal what parts of landscapes
individuals are willing to move through and why (Lima & Zoll-
ner 1996; Chetkiewicz, Clair & Boyce 2006). The value of
behavioural research for conservation has been debated
(Blumstein & Fernandez-Juricic 2004; Caro 2007), and thus it
is unsurprising if conservation biologists are not familiar with
the movement behaviour literature, very little of which existed
during early discussions about connectivity. Yet movement
behaviour is a rapidly growing field (Nathan 2008), with exten-
sive empirical analyses and emerging theories that can provide
a strong foundation for modelling and conserving connectiv-
ity.
When connectivity began to be viewed from a behaviour-
based perspective, it became a characteristic of the matrix
between subpopulations (Taylor, Fahrig & With 2006), rather
than a characteristic of patches or landscapes. Movement
could be dependent not just on distances between subpopula-
tions (i.e. aggregation) but on the physical characteristics of
the matrix itself, particularly the presence of habitat elements
too small for settlement but which might nonetheless facilitate
movement. As a result, a much clearer distinction emergedbetween structural and functional connectivity. Structural
connectivity refers to physical characteristics of the landscape
between patches of occupied habitat. Functional connectivity
refers to the degree to which movement of individuals andor
their genetic material actually occurs, and is influenced by both
movement potential due to structural connectivity and by local
subpopulation dynamics (Hilty, Lidicker & Merenlender
2006).
Empirical research on movement behaviour has concen-
trated on revealing what types of structural connectivity pro-
vide the potential for dispersal movements and thus contribute
to functional connectivity. A number of studies have shownthat various species use corridors to move through fragmented
landscapes (Haddad et al. 2003; Haddad & Tewksbury 2005),
and some have demonstrated the use of simpler landscape ele-
ments such as scattered trees (Fischer & Lindenmayer 2002;
Doerr, Doerr & Davies 2010). Research on gap-crossing
behaviour has been particularly critical, identifying gap dis-
tances either within corridors or among scattered trees that
may prevent movements, thus revealing details of structural
connectivity that contribute to movement potential (St. Clair
et al. 1998; Grubb & Doherty 1999; Robertson & Radford
2009). In addition, research on overall movement strategies
such as foray search is illustrating that distances between
subpopulations (i.e. aggregation) may have a threshold effect
rather than a linear effect on movement potential. When
individuals use a foray-based search strategy, they may have a
maximum search distance beyond which they will not travel,
regardless of how much structural connectivity is present in the
landscape (Conradt, Roper & Thomas 2001; Doerr & Doerr
2005; Doerr, Doerr & Davies 2010).
The species-specific nature of behavioural research may beviewed as an impediment to its usefulness for ecosystem con-
servation, but patterns are emerging which suggest that
responses to structural connectivity may not be as species-spe-
cific as was once thought (Haddad et al. 2003; Doerr, Doerr &
Davies 2010; Gilbert-Norton et al. 2010). Instead, movement
behaviour may be shaped by the structure of environments
experienced over evolutionary time, and species in any given
ecological community with broadly similar life-histories may
have evolved similar movement behaviours as responses to
their shared environments (Fahrig 2007). For example, Doerr,
Doerr & Davies (in press) found that use of scattered trees,
foray distances, and gap distances crossed were similar among
five Australian woodland birds despite substantial differences
in their ecology. Belisle (2005) proposed that travel costs may
provide one mechanism through which landscapes can exert
similar evolutionary pressures across species. Thus, theories
from behavioural ecology such as the marginal value theorem
could provide the basis for general theories of connectivity,
allowing us to predict the effects of different types of structural
connectivity for large suites of species at once (Belisle 2005).
Conservation certainty
All of these advances are making structural connectivity a
much more measurable and manageable concept than Hodg-son et al. suggest. Functional connectivity remains complex
because it integrates movement potential with the dynamics of
subpopulations (which is why Hodgson et al. deem it too
intractable for conservation planning). Yet structural connec-
tivity contributes significantly to functional connectivity by
determining movement potential. The resulting effects on pop-
ulation persistence are also increasingly predictable thanks to
controlled research in experimental landscapes which is dem-
onstrating that connected patches experience fewer local
extinctions than isolated patches (Damschen et al. 2006; Brud-
vig et al. 2009). Thus, structural connectivity can be directly
quantified in the landscape, has predictable effects onmovement potential, and is known to contribute to population
persistence, making it a worthwhile focus for management.
Unfortunately, Hodgson et al. omit structural connectivity
from their schematic of the place of connectivity in conserva-
tion (Hodgson et al., Fig. 2). We have revised their diagram to
distinguish between structural and functional connectivity and
depict the relationships between them, as well as relationships
with the area and quality of habitat suitable for settlement
(Fig. 1). Structural connectivity is independent of habitat area
and quality and is what defines habitat for dispersal, just
as area and quality are what define habitat for settlement.
Structural connectivity, habitat area and quality interact to
determine functional connectivity, but they also interact
to determine subpopulation dynamics and thus the effective
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population size of the population as a whole. None has a direct
influence on populations completely independent of the others
all provide the same degree of conservation certainty because
their benefits depend on the interactions between them.
Hodgson et al. also argue we can be relatively certain about
the positive effects of increasing habitat extent and habitat
quality often assumed to be accomplished through increasingthe size andor number of protected areas. Yet in highly dis-
turbed ecosystems, there may be little habitat left outside of
already existing protected areas. Thus, increasing habitat
extent and improving habitat quality involves restoring habitat
in areas where it has been lost to other land uses. Unfortu-
nately, there are substantial limitations and uncertainties in
our ability to restore ecosystems. For example, nitrogen
enrichment via fertilisation reduces plant diversity as well as
the stability of ecosystems worldwide (McIntyre 2008; Bai
et al. 2010). These effects can last long after fertilisation has
ceased, inhibiting full recovery of the ecosystem despite resto-
ration attempts (Munro et al. 2009). It is also reasonable to
argue that habitat quality will often be more species-specific
than structural connectivity, as habitat for settlement must
provide for many more of a species needs than habitat for
dispersal (Haddad & Tewksbury 2005; Doerr, Doerr & Davies
2010). Restoring habitat for settlement, either for a single
species or particularly for an entire community, may thus be
more complex and uncertain than restoring habitat for
dispersal (i.e. increasing structural connectivity).Finally, Hodgson et al. argue that increasing habitat extent
will coincidentally improve connectivity by increasing aggrega-
tion and thus reducing distances between patches. However,
behavioural research suggests that reducing inter-patch
distances without providing structural connectivity will only
be beneficial once patches become close enough to allow
gap-crossing between them. That distance may be as little as
60100 m (unlikely to be achieved by most efforts to increase
habitat extent), as many species are unwilling to cross gaps any
larger (Desrochers & Hannon 1997; Robertson & Radford
2009; Doerr, Doerr & Davies 2010). Individuals can traverse
much greater distances between habitat patches if structural
connectivity is present, but the existence of foray-based search
means that increases in aggregation may only be beneficial
if distances between patches can be reduced below a critical
foray distance threshold, which may only be 12 km (Doerr,
Doerr & Davies 2010, in press). Thus, the benefits of reducing
aggregation per se (as opposed to managing it in concert with
structural connectivity) are risky because they are not com-
mensurate with effort.
Connectivity conservation is more than just
conserving connectivity
Hodgson et al. interpret connectivity conservation as the effortto increase structural connectivity with the primary purpose of
enabling species range shifts due to climate change. However,
as highlighted above, structural connectivity interacts with
other aspects of the landscape and thus is not necessarily the
sole or most important aspect to improve in every landscape.
Connectivity conservation acknowledges this, and has a very
specific meaning in the literature (IUCN WCPA 2006; Wor-
boys 2010), much like systematic conservation planning has a
specific meaning and doesnt merely refer to taking a system-
atic approach to planning conservation actions (Margules &
Pressey 2000). As a result, connectivity conservation is broader
than Hodgson et al.s interpretation.Connectivity conservation can be defined as coordinated
efforts to achieve metapopulation viability across a range of
spatial scales, which involves evaluating and improving the
interactions between habitatarea, habitat quality and structural
connectivity (Crooks & Sanjayan 2006; Worboys 2010). There
is no overarching rule about which action is always more effec-
tive this depends on the existing conditions in a given land-
scape. Connectivity conservation thus aims to develop flexible
solutions, tailored to the different needs of different landscapes.
This may involve protecting large continuous areas of existing
habitat, but may also involve protecting or increasing connec-
tions between multiple small discontinuous areas of habitat
where that is all that remains. The preference of Hodgson et al.
to focus on habitat area and habitat quality can thus be
What the organismneeds for survival and
reproduction
What the organismneeds for dispersal
Habitat for settlement Habitat for dispersal
DefinesDefines
Is quantified in terms of
Is quantified in terms of
Structural connectivity
Which is the interaction between
Area Quality
Landscape characteristicsbetween areas of habitat
for settlement
Distance between areas ofhabitat for settlement
Potential rates of dispersalbetween subpopulations
Which determine
Functional connectivity (actual rates of dispersal)and
subpopulation size and dynamics
Which interact to determine
Effective population size, spatial distributionand persistence probability
Which are integrated over multiplesubpopulations to determine
Fig. 1. A schematic illustrating the role of both structural and func-
tional connectivity in spatial ecology and conservation (revised from
Fig. 2 in Hodgson et al. (2009)). Functional connectivity results from
interactions between the amount and quality of habitat suitable forsettlement as well as the influence of the rest of the landscape (i.e.
structural connectivity) on the potential for dispersal. Structural con-
nectivity is therefore a vital component of functional connectivity that
is tractableto model andmanage.
Connectivity and dispersal behaviour 145
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encompassed by connectivity conservation wherever these
actions are deemed to provide the greatest benefits.
Finally, the ultimate purpose of connectivity conservation is
not simply to facilitate range shifts, but to increase the resil-
ience of populations to the variety of threats caused by or
intensified by climate change. Under connectivity conserva-tion, structural connectivity is desired where it links multiple
subpopulations via dispersal, allowing subpopulations to func-
tion collectively as one larger, more resilient population. These
principles can be applied at any scale, not just scales that might
be relevant for possible range shifts under climate change
(Opdam & Wascher 2004). Thus, connectivity conservation
can be used to reduce pressures other than climate change, can
be applied to increase viability of populations in centres of
endemism, and can concentrate on areas of high environmen-
tal heterogeneity all of which are principles that Hodgson
et al. suggest will underlie robust conservation strategies under
climate change.
Moving beyond aggregation in large-scale
conservation planning models
Conservation modellers may still be unsure how to incorporate
advances in our understandingof connectivity and connectivity
conservation due to the different scales at which behavioural
research and conservation planning are usually conducted.
Conservation planning often occurs at very large scales
regions to global scales. Yet a behavioural understanding of
connectivity is shaped at scales relevant to movement of indi-
viduals local to landscape scales. The difficulty is that incor-
porating small-scale detail in large-scale models is oftendeemed computationally intractable. Fortunately, there are
promising new advances that can model connectivityover large
spatial scales in ways that align more closely with a behaviour-
based view of connectivity.
First, we have already noted that the types of structural con-
nectivity that facilitate dispersal movements are not necessarily
species-specific. Thus, models may only need to incorporate
general principles (such as threshold distances between habitat
patches) rather than behavioural detail specific to many differ-
ent species. Another way in which conservation planning mod-
els can incorporate a tractable amount of behavioural detail is
through the use of least-cost path modelling and state-spacemodelling. These new types of models simultaneously explore
behavioural and landscape parameters to identify which land-
scape details most need to be incorporated into large-scale
models (Chetkiewicz, Clair & Boyce 2006; Kadoya 2009),
which can then be kept relatively simple by modelling only the
few most relevant small-scale parameters. Remaining compu-
tational challenges can often be overcome by decreasing the
sizes of grid cells only to a relevant scale. Further behavioural
detail can then be incorporated by modelling resistance of grid
cells that have different compositions (McRae & Beier 2007).
One example of the success of these new approaches comes
from our own work, in which data on gap-crossing distances
(Doerr, Doerr & Davies 2010) were used to define the maxi-
mum distance individuals will move through non-habitat, and
data on foray-based search behaviour and foray distances
(Doerr & Doerr 2005; Doerr, Doerr & Davies 2010) were used
to define the maximum distance individuals will move through
structural connectivity, modelled as suboptimal habitat. Using
modern satellite imagery, suboptimal habitat could be mapped
at a fine scale of resolution to detect very small elements ofstructural connectivity known to support dispersal move-
ments, such as single trees. Fine-scale habitat mapping and
simplified behavioural rules were then modelled together using
the least-cost path approach (Drielsma, Manion & Ferrier
2007), with habitat quality as a surrogate for movement cost.
This modelling approach simultaneously evaluates habitat
area, quality and structural connectivity, identifying where
these elements currently exist in concert in the landscape versus
where they are unable to interact due to deficiencies in one or
more elements (Barrett et al. 2010). This gives conservation
planners the ability to make practical recommendations that
maximise the likelihood that actions at a local scale will con-
tribute to population viability and resilience at large scales
(Barrett et al. 2010). These models are currently being used to
guide conservation planning decisions in several regions of
New South Wales, Australia.
Reasons to be cheerful indeed!
As Hodgson et al. suggest, it is easy to be overwhelmed by the
challenges of conservation under climate change. It is worth-
while returning to basic principles, focusing on actions that will
be cost-effective and that will address current threats as well as
those anticipated due to climate change. Fortunately, connec-
tivity conservation provides such an approach by focusing onhabitat area, quality, and structural connectivity as indepen-
dent attributes that must all work together to support viable,
resilient populations. Thanks to a growing body of behavioural
research, we can reliably identify situations in which fostering
structural connectivity in the matrix is likely to yield positive
benefits for populations. We can also use behavioural informa-
tion to model connectivity alongside habitat extent and quality
and thus tailor management to specific landscapes. Ultimately,
these new techniques ensure that large-scale conservation plan-
ning can take advantage of up-to-date connectivity knowledge
to truly provide evidence-based conservation guidance.
Acknowledgements
Thanks to members of the Great Eastern Ranges Initiative, David Westcott,
Paul Sunnucks, Sasha Pavlova, and Colleen Cassady St. Clair for discussions
that shapedthese ideas.The manuscript wasgreatly improvedby thecomments
of Richard Fuller, Sue McIntyre, Dan Lunney, Vicki Logan, and five anony-
mous reviewers.
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HandlingEditor: Morten Frederiksen
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Habitat area, quality and connectivity: striking the
balance for efficient conservation
Jenny A. Hodgson1*, Atte Moilanen2, Brendan A. Wintle3 and Chris D. Thomas1
1Department of Biology Area 18, University of York, York YO10 5DD, UK; 2Metapopulation Research Group,
Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences, PO Box 65 (Viikinkaari 1), FI-00014, Finland; and 3School
of Botany, University of Melbourne, Vic., 3010, Australia
Summary
1. Population viability can depend on habitat area, habitat quality, the spatial arrangement of habi-
tats (aggregations and connections) and the properties of the intervening non-breeding (matrix)
land. Hodgson et al. [Journal of Applied Ecology 46 (2009) 964] and Doerr, Barrett & Doerr (Journalof Applied Ecology, 2011) disagree on the relative importance of these landscape attributes in
enabling species to persist and change their distributions in response to climate change.
2. A brief review of published evidence suggests that variations in habitat area and quality have big-
ger effects than variations in spatial arrangement of habitats or properties of the intervening land.
Even if structural features in the matrix have a measurable effect on dispersal rates, this does not
necessarily lead to significant increases in population viability.
3. Large and high-quality habitats provide source populations and locations for colonisation, so
they are the main determinants of the capacity of species to shift their distributions in response to
climate change because populations must be established successively in each new region.
4. Synthesis and applications. Retaining as much high quality natural and semi-natural habitat as
possible should remain the key focus for conservation, especially during a period of climate change.Key-words: aggregation, climate change, conservation planning, corridor, landscape, matrix,
uncertainty
Introduction
Hodgson et al. (2009) noted that habitat area, quality, and
aggregation were key components of landscape-scale conserva-
tion, and that prioritising habitat area and quality would be a
robust way to facilitate connectivity and the persistence of bio-
diversity in the face of climate change. Doerr, Barrett & Doerr
(2011) suggest that structural features to facilitate dispersal in
non-breeding habitat are valuable targets in themselves, and
can be measured with certainty equal to that of area, quality,
and aggregation. They further suggest that we misunderstood
the term connectivity conservation. In this reply to the Forum
by Doerr, Barrett & Doerr in this issue, we begin by summaris-
ing where we are in agreement. We then present our case that
Doerr, Barrett & Doerr, in focussing narrowly on non-habitat
structural features, have ignored the bigger picture of relative
priorities for conservation under climate change.
Hodgson et al. (2009) and Doerr, Barrett & Doerr (2011)
present different ways of approaching the same overall goal;
limiting extinctions and maintaining functioning ecosystems.
Because of the complexities of ecology and human impacts in
different regions, no single prescription for conservation will
work everywhere. So, we agree with Doerr, Barrett & Doerr
(2011) that conservation strategies need to be tailored to the
landscape. We also fundamentally agree about which factors
affect the persistence of populations and metapopulations (Do-
err, Barrett & Doerrs Fig. 1 essentially expands our boxes for
dispersal mechanism and potential for barriers or conduits in
non habitat). However, we disagree about the relative impor-
tance of the various factors: habitat area, habitat quality, the
spatial arrangement of habitats (aggregations and connections)
and the properties of the intervening non-breeding (matrix)
land. Hence, we providehere evidence in support of our assess-
ment of the relative importance of these landscape attributes.
Relative importance of landscape attributes
H A B I T A T A R E A
Successful reproduction is confined to natural andsemi-natural habitats for the majority of terrestrial species.*Correspondence author. E-mail: [email protected]
Journal of Applied Ecology 2011, 48, 148152 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2010.01919.x
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In the context of climate change, multi-generational range
shifts are facilitated initially by large habitat areas that
support large source populations, by substantial intervening
habitat areas to support breeding and generate propagules
en route, and by high habitat availability within target
regions to ensure eventual persistence (Table 1). Maximis-ing area is also likely to increase diversity via increased
habitat heterogeneity. Contrary to Doerr, Barrett & Doerr
(2011), we contend that there is generally a large amount
of natural or semi-natural habitat with insufficient protec-
tion. Tropical forest, for example, is converted to other
land uses at around 05% annually (FAO 2005). It is usu-
ally much more effective and cheaper to retain what is still
present than to attempt to recreate it.
H A B I T A T Q U A L I T Y
Quality improves persistence by increasing population
growth, resulting in larger propagule numbers, increased
likelihood of colonisation, and higher population growth
rates following colonisation. Many aspects of habitat qual-
ity are, as Doerr, Barrett & Doerr (2011) suggest, species-
specific and difficult to control. However, some aspects of
quality affect many species similarly, such as nutrient pol-
lution, the spread of invasive species or major habitat dis-
turbances. Much of the worlds biomes are now partly or
substantially altered by, for example, selective logging, par-
tial fertilisation of grasslands, drainage of wetlands, and
elimination of fire or large mammals. Preventing further
degradation and increasing the quality of already-degraded
areas can generate extremely large differences in populationdensities (e.g. Table 1) and, therefore, colonisation and
population growth, including range expansion.
S P A T I A L A R R A N G E M E N T O F H A B I T A T S
The locations of remaining habitat fragments in landscapes
are known to be important to long-term population persis-
tence (Hanski & Ovaskainen 2000), but the size of this effect
is smaller than the effects of quantity and quality (Table 1),
principally because the production of new individuals takes
place within habitats, regardless of their location (Ovaskai-
nen 2002). Habitat aggregation generally increases thechance of a propagule landing in suitable habitat, and there-
fore of a patch of habitat being colonisedoccupied, but it
can only compensate a little for deficiencies in quantity and
quality (Table 1). Under climate change, the benefit of aggre-
gation may be less certain because aggregating remaining
habitat within a few regions may leave dispersal barriers that
will eventually need to be bridged. When suitable habitat is a
very low proportion of the landscape, there may be a trade-
off between maximising aggregation and reducing the largest
dispersal barriers. There is evidence that corridors may
increase dispersal rates between patches to some extent
(Table 1), but an increase in dispersal per se is not direct evi-
dence of an increase in population viability.
N O N - B R E E D I N G H A B I T A T ( O R T H E M A T R I X )
Interventions in the matrix could contribute to population via-
bility by overcoming behavioural barriers to crossing certain
boundaries or land-cover types, or by reducing dispersal mor-
tality. Managing the matrix can result in modest increases indispersal between nearby habitat patches (by ca. 25%,
Table 1). However, we could find no robust evidence that
matrix condition alters long-distance, multi-generational range
changes. The likelihood of leaving an individuals natal habitat
patch may increase if the intervening matrix is favourable, but
movements typically become faster and straighter when an
individual is in a hostile matrix environment, and this leads to
much longer realised dispersal distances (Ovaskainen et al.
2008; Zheng, Pennanen & Ovaskainen 2009). The longest dis-
persal distances are the most important for maintaining genetic
diversity and for range expansions under climate change (Neu-
bert & Caswell 2000; Trakhtenbrot et al. 2005). We also note
that a whole different set of considerations apply to wind- and
water-dispersed species, and to the four kingdoms other than
animals. The suggestion of Doerr, Barrett & Doerr (2011) that
dispersal behaviour could be universal is centred on an exam-
ple that involved a small number of well-studied and related
species with high cognitive abilities.
Uncertainty and robustness
Doerr, Barrett & Doerr (2011) argue that structural connec-
tivity can be measured with reasonable certainty. The issue
to us is not the development of a repeatable metric, but
whether variation in such a metric is a good predictor ofmulti-generational range expansions for a wide range of
different taxa. The effect of the matrix on long-distance
dispersal and colonisation is virtually unknown; and we
already know that short-distance matrix effects are species
specific (Eycott et al. 2009; Prevedello & Vieira 2010). Doerr,
Barrett & Doerr (2011) reasonably counter that measure-
ment of habitat quality is an issue, and also species-specific,
but it is much easier to investigate, for example by relating
the population densities of individual species or broader
measures of diversity to environmental and biotic variables.
We strongly disagree with the Doerr, Barrett & Doerr (2011)
view of area, quality and connectivity that all provide the
same degree of conservation certainty because their benefits
depend on the interactions between them. It is clear to us
(e.g. Table 1) that different variables that interact in a given
model do not all have the same effect sizes or associated
uncertainties. Uncertainty about functional connectivity is
higher than any of the above-mentioned factors because it
adds uncertainty about dispersal distances and behaviour on
top of uncertainty about what constitutes habitat quality.
Crucially, though, this uncertainty does not negate the large
effects of habitat area and quality over large numbers of
species and landscapes, because only metapopulations close
to their extinction threshold are substantially limited by
connectivity (Hodgson et al. 2009: Fig. 1).
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Table 1. Brief overview of evidence for the importance of different landscape-scale factors in conservation. Priority has been given to review
papersand meta-analyses, papersthat compare more than one factor, andpapers that relatefactors specifically to range expansion
Landscape attribute Summary of evidence Sources
Habit at a rea Eas tern US tre es range exp ansi ons de pe nde nt on so urc e
populations
Iverson, Schwartz & Prasad
(2004)
Patch area has consistently bigger effect (up to 100 times
greater F ratio in ANOVA) than connectivity measures on
species richness and abundance of plants and butterflies in
fragmented grasslands in southern Germany
Bruckmann, Krauss &
Steffan-Dewenter (2010)
Plant and butterfly species richness of calcareous grasslands
in northern Germany is affected by patch area, and not
significantly by isolation or surrounding landscape
heterogeneity
Krauss, Steffan-Dewenter &
Tscharntke (2003);Krauss
et al. (2004)
Simulated and observed expansion rates of butterfly Pararge
aegeria >40% slower in landscape containing 24% less
woodland cover
Hill et al. (2001)
Hesperia comma butterfly range expansion rates in UK
strongly related to habitat quantity
Wilson, Davies & Thomas
(2010)
Habitat quality* Positive effects of quality on occupancy for plants, butterflies,
moths, other insects, amphibians, birds, small mammals,
primates and carnivores
Reviewed by Mortelliti, Amori
& Boitani (2010)
Correct vegetation management can increase butterfly
densities 10- to 100-fold
Thomas, Simcox & Hovestadt
(2010)
Macaw (Ara and Orthopsittaca spp) density in Amazon varies
>10-fold with respect to indicators of human disturbance
Karubian et al. (2005)
Sea otters (Enhydra lutris nereis) range expansion dependent
on population growth rate
Tinker, Doak & Estes (2008)
Quality the dominant factor affecting butterfly and moth
abundance and diversity in a Finnish landscape
Po yry et al. (2009)
Spatial pattern 1:
aggregation (aka spatial
autocorrelation)
Isolation negatively affects colonisation rate and occupancy Reviewed in Hanski (1999:
Chapter 9)
Negative effect of isolation on patch occupancy in three
English butterflies (effect of habitat quality is 23 times
larger).
Thomas et al. (2001)
Positive effects of aggregation on flower visitation and seed
set in pan-European study of 10 plant species (although
patch area effect is bigger)
Dauber et al. (2010)
Aggregation measures have positive effects on species richness
and abundance of butterflies (and to lesser extent plants) in
fragmented grasslands, though not as large as the effects of
area
Bruckmann, Krauss &
Steffan-Dewenter (2010)
Spatial pattern 2: habitat
connections (corridors
and stepping stones)
Average 16-fold increases in exchange rates between patches,
based on systematic review in which the corridor is the same
type of habitat as the connected patches
Eycott et al. (2009)
Modest positive effect of corridors on dispersal rate:
standardised effect size
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This leads to the issue of robustness. Understanding and
modelling the detailed behavioural responses of individuals to
multiple landscape elements is an interesting area of research.
However, if such details are to be incorporated within multi-
generational distribution models, we would argue that other
details (e.g. habitat changes, local adaptation, species interac-
tions, evolution of dispersal) are equally relevant, and that they
all have associated uncertainties. The robustness of such com-
plicated modelling will almost necessarily be low. The intention
of the original Hodgson et al. (2009) argument was to identify
robust, easy to understand and easy to implement conserva-
tion strategies.
What role for connectivity conservation?
It is possible that everybody understands connectivity con-servation to mean a holistic, landscape-to-continental scale
conservation method that accounts for all important factors
(including habitat quality, quantity, spatial habitat arrange-
ments, the character of the intervening landscape), and the
consequences of these for persistence and resilience of multi-
ple species, in a location-specific manner (Doerr, Barrett &
Doerr 2011). If so, our fears about an over-emphasis on con-
nectivity may be unfounded. But if connectivity conserva-
tion is all this, then the term is actually an unneeded alias
for biodiversity conservation. Such a re-branding may be
useful to stimulate investment in conservation, but we should
still be aware of the potential for confusion it creates. Ouroriginal concern was not that there were problems with every
activity labelled connectivity conservation, but that the
review of Heller & Zavaleta (2009) found that increasing
connectivity was the predominant proposed solution for
conservation under climate change.
We think that considerations of connectivity have an impor-
tant place in conservation planning (e.g. Moilanen et al. 2005;
Moilanen & Wintle 2007; Moilanen, Wilson & Possingham
2009; Carroll, Dunk & Moilanen 2010). Recent awareness of
connectivity has undoubtedly been helpful to conservation: it
has freed conservationists from focusing too narrowly on indi-
vidual protected areas, and has brought landscape-scale and
spatial considerations into conservation. But our concern was
how connectivity is often seen as the solution when the funda-
mental problem is an inadequate quantity of high-quality habi-
tats. It is fortunate that many of the existing connectivity
conservation programmes such as the Great Eastern Ranges
(GER) initiative are heavily focused on increasing and consoli-
dating natural habitat area (the first three of five GER goals;
Mackey, Watson & Worboys 2010). This serves to reinforce
the impression that connectivity conservation may be a new
name for the business of conservation that has long recognised
the role of habitat quantity, quality, and connectivity (e.g. Dia-
mond 1975).
Based on the weight of current evidence (Table 1) and our
original arguments (Hodgson et al. 2009), we remain of the
opinion that maintaining (and where feasible restoring) large
areas of environmentally diverse, high-quality (low human
impact) breeding habitats should be the primary focus of con-
servation when resources limit the range of conservationactions that can take place. Compared to this, structural fea-
tures of the matrix which are not breeding habitat for many or
any species are a minor consideration.
Acknowledgements
We thank Amy Eycott, Jeremy Thomas and Kevin Watts for providing mate-
rialpermission tocite work inpress.
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