2009-08 - Load Model Overview

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    Load Modeling in WECCLoad Modeling in WECC

    August 2009August 2009

    Dmitry Kosterev

    BPA

    360-619-6836

    [email protected]

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    History Of Load Modeling in WECCHistory Of Load Modeling in WECC

    1990s Constant current real, constant impedancereactive models connected to a transmission bus

    1990s IEEE Task Force recommends dynamic load

    modeling, however the recommendation does not gettraction in the industry

    1996 BPA model validation study for August 10 1996

    outage: Need for motor load modeling to represent oscillations and

    voltage decline

    2000 2001 WECC Interim Load Model: 20% of load is represented with induction motors

    Tuned to match inter-area oscillations for August 10 1996 and

    August 4, 2000 oscillation events Address critical operational issues for COI

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    o

    o

    o o o o

    o

    o

    o o o o

    Simulations

    instantaneous voltage recovery

    This is what we thought would happen using interim load model

    Motivation for Better Load ModelingMotivation for Better Load Modeling

    30 seconds

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    0.60

    0.65

    0.70

    0.75

    0.80

    0.85

    0.90

    0.95

    1.00

    1.05

    1.10

    0 5 10 15 20 25 30

    Seconds

    Voltage

    (pu

    )

    and this is what actually happened

    Reality

    30-second voltage recovery, 12 seconds below 80%

    Motivation for Better Load ModelingMotivation for Better Load Modeling

    30 seconds

    100%

    75%

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    History Of Load Modeling in WECCHistory Of Load Modeling in WECC

    Late 1980s Southern California Edison observed eventsof delayed voltage recovery attributed to stalling of

    residential air-conditioners

    1994 Florida Power published an IEEE paper on thesimilar experiences of delayed voltage recovery following

    transmission faults

    1997 SCE model validation study of Lugo event:

    Need to represent a distribution equivalent

    Need to have special models for air-conditioning load

    2004-2005 Increased number of observed events of

    delayed voltage recovery in Southern California, greaterneed to develop models to assess dynamic voltage stability

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    WECC LMTF ApproachWECC LMTF Approach

    WECC LMTF was formed in 2002

    Component-based approach Understand load behavior over the wide range

    of disturbances

    Bottom-up model development

    Top-down model validation

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    WECC Composite Load ModelWECC Composite Load Model

    2004-2005 Load Model prototype is developed and

    extensively tested

    Sequence of EPCL programs

    2006 composite load model specifications are developed

    2007 GE implemented version 0 of composite load modelin PSLF

    2006-2008 residential AC testing and modeling research

    is complete, models are developed, tested and validated 2008 LD1PAC model is approved

    2009 composite load model development is completed in

    PSLF program

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    WECC LMTF Approval ProcessWECC LMTF Approval Process

    Load Model Structure Approval

    TOscan use composite load model data

    Provide Guidance to Users on Composite LoadModel Data Sets

    Generic data sets for load composition and load component data

    Model Approval for WECC-wide planning andoperational studies

    Composite load model to replace interim model in WECC planning andoperational studies

    Review the need for WECC disturbance performance standard

    Develop database management tools

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    Load Model StructureLoad Model Structure

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    CompositeComposite Load Model StructureLoad Model Structure

    Electronic

    M

    M

    M

    115-kV

    230-kV

    Static

    M

    UVLS

    UFLS

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    Event Validation Studies with LD1PAC ModelEvent Validation Studies with LD1PAC Model

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    Load Model DataLoad Model Data

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    WECCWECCCompositeComposite Load ModelLoad Model

    Electronic

    M

    Load Model

    Composition

    Data

    M

    M

    115-kV

    230-kV

    Static

    Load Component

    Model

    Data

    Distribution Equivalent Data

    UVLS and UFLS Data

    M

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    Load Model DataLoad Model Data

    Load model data records include:

    Distribution equivalent model data

    PG&E developed methodology, proven to work, feel very confident Model data for load model components (e.g. motor inertia,

    driven load, electrical data, etc)

    Getting test data, develop better understanding of end-usecharacteristics

    Motor protection and control remains least known

    Fractions of total load assigned to each load model

    component Finally we are getting reasonable estimates

    UFLS and UVLS data

    External to the model

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    Modeling EndModeling End--Use ComponentsUse Components

    Models and model data for various electrical end-uses

    For Smaller End-Uses:

    One test is worth a thousand of expert opinions

    Single-phase air-conditioners

    Lights, Electronics

    Large Fans

    Large Pumps

    Variable-Frequency Drives

    Residential Appliances

    For Large End-Uses: manufacturers data analysis

    IEEE Literature review

    Model Aggregation Studies

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    LBNL Electricity Use In California StudyLBNL Electricity Use In California Study

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    Res. - AirConditioning

    Com'l. - AirConditioning

    Com'l. -InteriorLighting

    Com'l. - Other Res. -Miscellaneous

    Res. -Refrigerator

    Com'l. -Ventilation

    Res. -Cooking

    Res. - Dryer Com'l. -Refrigeration

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    Peak Demand

    Annual Consumption

    Source: CEC Demand Analysis Office

    Peak Demand (GW) Consumption (TWh

    Residential ACResidential AC

    Commercial ACCommercial AC

    LightingLighting

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    < 1%4%< 1%5%

    6%

    26%

    < 1%

    9% 4%< 1%

    11%

    33%

    < 1%

    CoolingCooling

    VentilationVentilation

    RefrigerationRefrigeration

    LightingLighting

    CEC California Commercial EndCEC California Commercial End--Use SurveyUse Survey

    Summer Peak LoadSummer Peak Load

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    Component Model FractionsComponent Model Fractions

    The most challenging part of model data

    Sources of data:

    California Energy Commission: 2006 Commercial End-Use Survey

    LBNL Reports on Electricity Use in California

    PNNL DOE2 building simulations and BPA ELCAP

    PG&E methodology and tools for deriving bus-specific load

    composition from billing data

    BPA recorded / purchased building data

    Rules of Association to map end users onto models

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    LBNL: California Summer Peak Day LoadLBNL: California Summer Peak Day Load

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

    Residual ("Other" Area)

    Res. - Air Conditioning

    Com'l. - Air Conditioning

    Com'l. - Interior Lighting

    Res. - Miscellaneous

    Com'l. - Other

    Res. - Refrigerator

    Com'l. - Ventilation

    Res. - Cooking

    Res. - Clothes Dryer

    Com'l. - Refrigeration

    Remainder of Buildings

    sectorIndustrial Sector

    Agriculture & OtherSector

    Time of Day (hour starting)

    System Peak

    Demand (GW)

    Source: LBNL: Electricity Use in California: Past Trends and Present Usage Patterns

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    Component Model FractionsComponent Model Fractions

    WECC LMTF will provide regional defaults

    winter, summer, and shoulder seasons

    6:00, 9:00, 15:00, 18:00 hours

    Multiple climate zones in WECC

    Composition for residential, commercial and mixed load types Please review and provide your comments when LMTF data

    becomes available (WECC posting is expected in middle of June2009)

    Utilities can over-ride the defaults with bus-specificinformation (recommended)

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    WECC TPL StandardsWECC TPL Standards

    Existing WECC transient voltage dip criteria was developed underpresumption that load does not experience a structural change duringa disturbance (mostly constant current active and constantimpedance reactive components were used for load representation)

    WECC voltage dip criteria was developed as a proxy for low voltagesat which load loss may occur

    Transient voltage dip criteria is used only by WECC (not in NERCTPL Standards)

    WECC transient

    voltage dip criteria

    (developed underassumption of constant

    current load model)

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    WECC TPL StandardsWECC TPL Standards

    Transmission faults are likely to results in a wide-spread stalling of air-conditioners, when a stalled motor becomes a locked-rotor shortcircuit for several seconds until it is disconnected by a thermal relay

    Actual system performance (and that captured by the new loadsmodel) may not be able to meet the WECC voltage dip criteria

    See next slide

    Actual system

    performance (and that

    simulated with a newcomposite load model)

    may not meet WECC

    transient voltage dip

    criteria Time

    Bus Voltage

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    Palo VerdePalo VerdeDevers Fault Simulations and ActualDevers Fault Simulations and Actual