2007 ESRI Homeland Security GIS Summit -- The Best-Laid ...€¦ · The Best-Laid Plans of Mice and...
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The Best-Laid Plans of Mice and Men; Katrina The Lessons of Space and Time James E. Mitchell, Ph. D. IT GIS Manager
Transcript of 2007 ESRI Homeland Security GIS Summit -- The Best-Laid ...€¦ · The Best-Laid Plans of Mice and...
The Best-Laid Plans of Mice and Men; Katrina
The Lessons of Space and Time
James E. Mitchell, Ph. D.IT GIS Manager
Hurricane GeorgesSeptember 1998
Venezuela
Colombia
Mexico
Guyana
Cuba
Canada
Suriname
Nicaragua
Honduras
Guatemala
Haiti
French Guiana
Panama
Costa Rica
Brazil
Belize
Dominican Republic
El Salvador
Jamaica
Puerto Rico
Trinidad & Tobago
The Bahamas
Guadeloupe
Martinique
Dominica
St. LuciaBarbados
GrenadaAruba
Netherlands Antilles
Virgin Is. Antigua & BarbudaCayman Is.
Anguilla
St. Vincent & the Grenadines
Turks & Caicos Is.
British Virgin Is.
Bermuda
New Orleans
Hurricane IvanSeptember 2004
Venezuela
Colombia
Mexico
Guyana
Cuba
Canada
Suriname
Nicaragua
Honduras
Guatemala
Haiti
French Guiana
Panama
Costa Rica
Brazil
Belize
Dominican Republic
El Salvador
Jamaica
Puerto Rico
Trinidad & Tobago
The Bahamas
Guadeloupe
Martinique
Dominica
St. LuciaBarbados
GrenadaAruba
Netherlands Antilles
Virgin Is. Antigua & BarbudaCayman Is.
Anguilla
St. Vincent & the Grenadines
Turks & Caicos Is.
British Virgin Is.
Bermuda
New Orleans
Hurricane DennisJuly 2005
Venezuela
Colombia
Mexico
Guyana
Cuba
Canada
Suriname
Nicaragua
Honduras
Guatemala
Haiti
French Guiana
Panama
Costa Rica
Brazil
Belize
Dominican Republic
El Salvador
Jamaica
Puerto Rico
Trinidad & Tobago
The Bahamas
Guadeloupe
Martinique
Dominica
St. LuciaBarbados
GrenadaAruba
Netherlands Antilles
Virgin Is. Antigua & BarbudaCayman Is.
Anguilla
St. Vincent & the Grenadines
Turks & Caicos Is.
British Virgin Is.
Bermuda
New Orleans
Evacuation Routes Around theNew Orleans Metropolitan Area
Lafourche
St. TammanyLivingston
Tangipahoa
Terrebonne
Plaquemines
St. Bernard
Jefferson
Iberville
St. CharlesAssumption
Ascension
Orleans
East Baton Rouge
St. James
WashingtonSt. Helena
St. Mary
East Feliciana
St. Martin
St. John the Baptist
West Baton Rouge
Iberia
tu90
tu61
tu190
tu190
tu190
§̈¦10
§̈¦55
§̈¦12
§̈¦59
§̈¦310
§̈¦510
§̈¦610
GIS Analysis to Develop aStaged Evacuation Plan
Evacuation Phases Based on GIS Analysis
One Million Guides Distributed
2005 LouisianaEmergency Evacuation Plan
1. 72 hrs from Tropical Storm Wind Landfall Stage Assets and Personnel
2. 50 hrs from Tropical Storm Wind Landfall Evacuate Phase I
3. 40 hrs from Tropical Storm Wind Landfall Evacuate Phase II
4. 30 hrs from Tropical Storm Wind Landfall Evacuate Phase III - Contraflow
5. 6 hrs from Tropical Storm Wind Landfall Terminate Contraflow – Secure Assets and Personnel
2006 Emergency Evacuation PlanH-66 MOU with DOE Activated for school buses (if necessary)
H-60 LANG Provides 100 bus drivers (if necessary)
H-54 All Coaches at Staging Areas and are proceeding to Parish Pick Up Points
H-50 Phase I Evacuation Implement Waterways/Bridges Emergency Plans Coordinate Evacuation plans with neighboring states
H-40 Phase II EvacuationProvide evacuation information to ESF 15 Mobilizing Contra-flow resources
H-30 Phase III Implement Contra-flow Bus operations cease
H-24 Shut down of Staging Areas Completed
H-6 Contra-flow resources are secured
H-120 Monitoring the StormAlert DistrictsReview Plans & ProceduresDOTD EOC - Partial Activation
H-102 Mobilize Coach and Pet Transportation and Staging AreasDOTD EOC – Selected support agency representatives activated
H-96 Staff State EOCContra-flow, Levee, Waterway/Bridge Coordinators on AlertImplement LOOP Emergency Plan
H-94 Staging Areas Operational
H-90 Coaches begin arriving
H-72 Fully staff DOTD EOCDamage Assessment & Contra-flow plans activatedDOTD instructs contractors to clear construction projects on evacuation routes. Monitoring of Transportation InfrastructureCalculate and estimate the potential amount of debrisStaff State Police Traffic Control Center
HURREVACStorm Forecasts to Support Emergency Management
H-120Monitor storm, alert Districts, review plans,
and partial Activation of DOTD EOC
LNew Orleans
TropicalDepression #12
Mexico
Cuba
Canada
The Bahamas
H-102Mobilize Coach and Pet Transportation and Staging Areas, activate selected DOTD EOC support agency
representatives
New OrleansMexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
(
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
New OrleansMexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
(
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
H-96Staff State EOC, alert Contraflow, Levee, Waterway &
Bridge Coordinators implement LOOP Emergency Plan
New OrleansMexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
(
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
H-72Fully staff DOTD EOC, activate Damage Assessment &
Contraflow plans, instruct contractors to clear construction projects on evacuation routes, monitor
transportation infrastructure, estimate potential amount of debris, staff State Police Traffic Control Center
H-60LANG Provides 100 bus drivers (if necessary)
New OrleansMexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
(
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
H-54All Coaches at Staging Areas and
are proceeding to Parish Pick Up Points
New OrleansMexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
(
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
H-50Phase I Evacuation
Implement Waterways and Bridges Emergency Plans Coordinate evacuation plans with neighboring states
New OrleansMexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
(
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
H-40Phase II Evacuation
Provide evacuation information to ESF 15Mobilizing Contra-flow resources
New OrleansMexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
(
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
New OrleansMexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
(
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
H-30Phase III Evacuation
Implement Contraflow Bus operations cease
New OrleansMexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
(
Mexico
Cuba
GuatemalaHonduras
Canada
Belize
Jamaica
Nicaragua
The Bahamas
HaitiCayman Is.
H-6Contraflow terminated and resources secured
What Really Happened?-1 20
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- 60
- 50
- 40
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- 20
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0
10
20
30
32
Pla n Act ua l
Prepare Transportation
Evacuation Preparation
Phase I Evacuation
Phase II Evacuation
Phase III Evacuation
Storm Exits Louisiana
H-49.5 - Initiation of DOTD Emergency Operations (H-72)
H-28 - Phase I Evacuation (H-50)
H-25 - Phase II Evacuation (H-40)
H-21 - Phase III Evacuation (H-30)
H+4 - Contraflow Ceases (H-6)
ResultsThe Most Successful Evacuation of a
Major Metropolitan Area in History
• 1.38 Million People Evacuated
• 66 Hour Plan Completed in 43.5 Hours– 10 Hours of Contraflow Added
• No Major incidents to Impede Operation– Breakdowns– Out of Gas– Crashes– Medical Emergencies
Conclusions• Timelines are Important!
– They provide a single procedure to coordinate multiple participants
– They provide guidance for what to do now, and what to do next– They provide a context for drills to practice response– They provide a yardstick for progress during an event
• Flexibility is Important!– Timeline boundaries must build in some “play” to allow for
dynamic situations– Missing a milestone does not mean failure– Timelines can be slowed or accelerated to meet situational
needs
