2003 GEM Workshop 25 June, 2003 W. Jeffrey Hughes for the Center for Integrated Space Weather...

2003 GEM Workshop 25 June, 2003

W. Jeffrey Hughesfor the

Center for Integrated Space Weather Modeling Team

Modeling the Sun-Earth Connection


CISM: Center for Integrated Space Weather Modeling

NSF Science and Technology Center (STC): Funded September 2002

GOAL: Develop a series of ever-improving versions of a comprehensive physics-based numerical model that describes the space environment from the Sun to the Earth.

USES:• Scientific tool for increased understanding of the complex space

environment.• Specification and forecast tool for space weather prediction.• Education tool for teaching about the space environment.

MANDATE: in the National Space Weather Program.


InnerMagnetosphere

CISM Comprehensive Model

Solar Corona Linker/Mikic

Solar Wind ENLIL Ionosphere

T*CGM

Active Regions

Solar Energetic Particles

Ring Current

Radiation Belts

Geocorona and Exosphere

Plasmasphere

MI Coupling

MagnetosphereLFM


University of University of CaliforniaCalifornia

Stanford Stanford UniversityUniversity

SAICSAIC

University of Colorado University of Colorado NCAR/HAO NCAR/HAO

University of University of Texas, El PasoTexas, El Paso

Rice UniversityRice University

Alabama A&M Alabama A&M UniversityUniversity

NCSANCSA

Boston Boston UniversityUniversity

Dartmouth Dartmouth CollegeCollege

CISM Institutions

CCMC CCMC NRLNRLNOAA/SECNOAA/SEC

Lockheed-MartinLockheed-Martin


CISM progress in 2002/03

CISM’s first year was largely spent in planning and getting organized.

• Sept 2002: Funding arrives.• Sept 2002: Initial “kick-off” planning meeting.• March 2003: First Advisory Council Meeting.• May 1, 2003: First annual report submitted. • May 29/30, 2003: First annual site visit by NSF.• July 28 – August, 8 2003: CISM Summer School.• Sept 2003: First CISM graduate student retreat.• Sept 2003: Annual CISM all-hands meeting.


CISM Organization• Science Thrusts: Research directed towards constructing

or improving the component models.• Code Coupling Thrust: Defines and/or develops

computational science coupling tools; Couples component models into comprehensive model.

• Validation and Metrics Thrust: Tests and validates the comprehensive models.

• Empirical Model Thrust: Develops comprehensive empirical model.

• Data Assimilation Thrust: Develops plan in 1st year.• Knowledge Transfer: Provides the models to the research

and forecasting communities.• Education: Uses models in education programs.


Technology

Code Coupling - OverviewGen 0

Ad HocGen 0

Ad Hoc

Gen 1OOP 1

Gen 2OOP 2

Validation

Comm

unity

Coupling

Solar/HeliosphereMagnetosphere

Ionosphere/Thermosphere

Thrusts

Gen 0Ad Hoc

Access

Gen 1OOP 1

Gen 1OOP 1

Gen 2OOP 2

Gen 2OOP 2


2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

CISM 5-Year Plan

Code Coupling

Validation and Metrics testing

Community Science Model

Education

Ad Hoc Coupling Gen I: OOP I

Ad Hoc Coupling Gen I: OOP I

Ad Hoc Coupling

Summer School, Curriculum Development

Gen II: OOP II

Component model developmentScience Thrusts

Forecast Model Gen I

Empirical model

Gen II

Empirical model

Empirical model

Gen I


CISM Summer School 2003

• Material: the space environment (reality), effects of the environment on technical systems (harsh reality), and the use of models (virtual reality).

• Target audience: beginning graduate students; young professionals from NOAA, Air Force, industry.

• Dates: July 28 – August 8.• Oversubscribed: over 40 applications, 30 accepted.• Goal: to provide a national resource for space weather education

that presents the entire sun-earth system as a unified whole


Structure of School• Morning: Three Active Lectures• Afternoon: Labs with space weather

models• Last Day: Final integrative activity


Solar eruption propagates in coupled corona/solar wind model

Expanding Magnetic Flux

Rope


May 12, 1997 Event – CISM Initial MHD Results

Dynamic pressure pulse in correct ambient solar wind test


MHD Fields injection of RadBelt Electrons


E

LFM Model

Magnetosphere -

Ionosphere Coupler

TING Model

Jll, np,Tp

Electric potential:

P

Jll

Particle precipitation: Fe, E0

One Way Coupling Two Way Coupling

Magnetosphere - Ionosphere Coupling

Conductivities:ph


One and Two way Pederson Conductivities

Oneway Twoway


CISMDirector

J. HughesDeputy Director

C. Goodrich

ITMKilleen/Solomon

NCAR

MagnetosphereM. Hudson

Dartmouth

Solar & SWJ. Luhmann

Berkeley

Chief ScientistG. Siscoe

BU

A. RichmondNCAR

R. RobleNCAR

A. BurnsNCAR

W. WangNCAR

G. LuNCAR

N. MaruyamaNCAR

A. Sussman,J. Drake

Maryland

J. LyonDartmouth/BUG. Fisher

Berkeley

I. RothBerkeley

T. HoeksemaStanford

P. ScherrerStanford

J. LinkerSAIC

R. LionelloSAIC

Z. MikicSAIC

P. RileySAIC

D. OdstrcilCU

N. CrookerBU

J. LyonDartmouth/BU

M.WiltbergerNCAR

F. ToffolettoRice

A. ChanRice

NSF OIAGEO

AdvisoryCouncil

CISM Organizational

Chart

V. PizzoNOAA/SEC

B. RogersDartmouth

J. DrakeMaryland

Code CouplingC. Goodrich

BU

Assistant Dir.K. Nottingham

BU

S. GibsonNCAR

N. ArgeCU

M.Wiltberger,W. Wang

NCAR

J. Linker,R. Lionello,

Z. MikicSAIC

D. OdstrcilCU

F. ToffolettoRice

G. FisherBerkeley

R. LopezUTEP

J. HughesBU

R. LopezUTEP

N. TurnerUTEP

S. SolomonNCAR

A. BurnsNCAR

R. LalAAMU

F. ToffolettoRice

N. ArgeCU

ValidationH. Spence

BU

KT & EMD. Baker

CU

H. SingerNOAA/SEC

T. OnsagerNOAA/SEC

R. WeigelCU

X. LiCU

N. CrookerBU

G. SiscoeBU

H. SpenceBU

D. VassiliadisGSFC

N. ArgeCU

Ed & DivR. Lopez

UTEP

G. De FrancisDartmouth

E. ZirbelBU

P. GarikBU

J. MarinezUTEP

N. TurnerUTEP

R. LalAAMU

R. JohnsonNCAR

P. ReiffRice

D. ScherrerStanford

B. LotkoDartmouth

B. LotkoDartmouth

H. SpenceBU

A. TanAAMU

2003 GEM Workshop 25 June, 2003 W. Jeffrey Hughes for the Center for Integrated Space Weather...

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