2. Post-Cold War Era

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2. Post-Cold War Era • Threat???? • Global Peace? • No rival power? • No rival ideology? • Does US need a national security strategy anymore?

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2. Post-Cold War Era. Threat???? Global Peace? No rival power? No rival ideology? Does US need a national security strategy anymore?. GHW Bush 1992 Defense Guidance Leaked and disavowed. Threat Emergence of a peer competitor Resurgent Russia China Regional powers (with WMD?) Iraq Iran - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of 2. Post-Cold War Era

Page 1: 2. Post-Cold War Era

2. Post-Cold War Era

• Threat????

• Global Peace?

• No rival power?

• No rival ideology?

• Does US need a national security strategy anymore?

Page 2: 2. Post-Cold War Era

GHW Bush 1992 Defense GuidanceLeaked and disavowed

Threat•Emergence of a peer competitor

– Resurgent Russia– China

•Regional powers (with WMD?)– Iraq– Iran– North Korea

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Hegemonic Realism?

Soviet superpower gone.

US superpower remains.

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GHW Bush StrategyMaintain Core Strategy

1.Nuclear Deterrence

2.Forward Presence

3.Peacetime Military Strength

4.Own the sea

5.NATO and other alliances

6.Free Trade and Commerce

7.Spread Democracy**

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Additions to Core Strategy

1. Missile defense2. Defense cuts

• Base force and Reconstitution

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3. US maintenance of global and regional balance of power

US

Russia China Europe Japan

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Balancer in Regional Relationships

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Crush Regional Aggressors; Reestablish Regional Balance of Power

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Clinton Idealist National Security

Replacing the Truman Doctrine?

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Threats?

• Regional Instability• Regional powers with WMD

– Iran, Iraq, N. Korea

• Threats to democratic transitions– Transnational problems • terrorism, drug trafficking, organized crime

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US Role?

• Building post-cold war order based on Liberal-democracy

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En-En Strategy

Innovations?

1.Free Trade and Commerce1. BEM

2.Spread Democracy**

3.NATO and other alliances

4.Nuclear Deterrence and missile defense

5.Forward Presence

6.Peacetime Military Strength

7.Own the sea

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New Elements of Strategy

1. Focus on regional threats

• Iran, North Korea

2. Human Rights and Humanitarian Crises

• Haiti, Somalia, Bosnia

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Humanitarian InterventionSomalia 1992-1994

The Ground

Bosnia 1995

The Air

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3. Power Projection US military activities everywhere

Combat

• Somalia• Haiti• Bosnia• Iraq• Sudan• Afghanistan• Kosovo• Taiwan Strait

Humanitarian

• Liberia• East Timor• Guinea-Bissau• Sierra Leone• Thailand/Cambodia• Central African

Republic• Gabon and Congo

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4. Two Overlapping Major Regional Contingencies (MRCs)

MRC One

MRC Two

Time

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5. Military Operations Other Than WarMOOTW


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