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Transcript of 2 Mean Response - atmos.washington.edudavid/White_etal_jas_2019_sub… · 1 Revisiting Mountains...
Revisiting Mountains and Stationary Waves: the Importance of the Zonal1
Mean Response2
R.H. White∗3
Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain.4
J.M. Wallace and D.S. Battisti5
Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA6
∗Corresponding author address: R.H. White, Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Carrer de Jordi
Girona, 29, 31, 08034 Barcelona, Spain.
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E-mail: [email protected]
Generated using v4.3.2 of the AMS LATEX template 1
ABSTRACT
The impact of global orography on wintertime climate is revisited using a
state-of-the-art climate model, with sophisticated parameterization of the im-
pacts of sub-gridscale orography (the Whole Atmosphere Community Cli-
mate Model, WACCM). The main impact of orography is to amplify the
stationary waves produced by land-sea thermal contrasts, as evidenced by
the strong spatial resemblance between the stationary wave pattern in a no-
mountain (NM) simulation with that induced by orography. Orography am-
plifies extratropical NM stationary waves at all levels, with an amplification
factor of a∼ 1.6 in the mid-latitudes, increasing to a> 1.9 in the high-latitude
stratosphere. Orography also decelerates the zonal mean zonal wind pole-
ward of 40◦N throughout the troposphere and stratosphere. The effect of the
weakening of the zonal winds on stationary waves is twofold: it amplifies the
thermal forcing and it amplifies the planetary-wave response to a prescribed
thermal forcing.
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1. Introduction24
Earth’s atmospheric stationary waves are seen in the planetary scale wave-like structure in cli-25
matological sea level pressure or geopotential height. In the Northern Hemisphere the dominant26
features of the wintertime stationary waves are so prominent that they have been given names: the27
Aleutian low, the Icelandic low, and the Siberian high. The forcing of stationary waves is provided28
by planetary features that are, unsurprisingly, largely stationary: orography (Charney and Eliassen29
1949; Bolin 1950), and zonal asymmetries in atmospheric heating, typically from land-sea con-30
trasts (e.g. Smagorinsky 1953; Manabe and Terpstra 1974; Hoskins and Karoly 1981; Valdes and31
Hoskins 1991).32
From the 1980s to 2010 numerous studies examined the relative contributions of ‘orographic’33
and ‘thermal’ forcing to the observed stationary waves. This research, collectively using linear and34
non-linear stationary wave models, as well as full general circulation models (GCMs), has shown35
that orography produces anywhere between 30% and 66% of the observed stationary wave ampli-36
tude, with recent estimates towards the lower end of this range (Held 1983; Chen and Trenberth37
1988a,b; Nigam et al. 1988; Valdes and Hoskins 1989; Ting et al. 2001; Held et al. 2002; Chang38
2009). The authors’ impression is that the value of 30% from the review of Held et al. (2002) is39
often taken as the best estimate of the role of mountains, even if it were not intended as such. The40
large range of results can be at least partially understood from differences in the background flow41
into which the orography was placed, including differences in low-level winds (e.g. Valdes and42
Hoskins 1989; Held and Ting 1990; Ringler and Cook 1995; Held et al. 2002), as well as model43
differences in atmospheric dissipation strength and imposed drag (Valdes and Hoskins 1989).44
Much less attention has been paid to the impact of orography on the axisymmetric flow. As Held45
et al. (2002) noted, the tropospheric zonal mean zonal wind structure is broadly similar between46
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the Northern and Southern hemispheres (NH and SH), suggesting that the orography of the NH47
has relatively little impact in the troposphere, consistent with earlier modelling results (Manabe48
and Terpstra 1974). Conversely, a strong asymmetry exists between the wintertime zonal mean49
stratospheric jets in each hemisphere, caused by large differences in wave activity generated by50
land-sea contrasts and orography (Waugh and Polvani 2010; White et al. 2018). Early modelling51
results suggest that orography reduces the speed of the NH winter stratosphere jet by approxi-52
mately 15% (Manabe and Terpstra 1974), although large biases in that model existed. In a modern53
GCM, White et al. (2018) found that the presence of the ‘Mongolian mountains’ of Asia alone54
reduces zonal mean stratospheric wind speeds in winter by up to 40%.55
In addition to acting as a large-scale obstruction to the flow, orography impacts the climate56
through subgrid-scale orographic drag, via the forcing of orographic gravity waves, as well as the57
blocking of flow (e.g. McFarlane 1987; Shaw et al. 2009; Sigmond and Scinocca 2010; Pithan58
et al. 2016; Sandu et al. 2016, 2019). Including gravity wave parameterization of orographic59
effects substantially increases zonal mean sea level pressure in the high latitude NH (shown in the60
appendix of Broccoli and Manabe 1992), and will thus impact the low-level zonal mean zonal61
wind (U). Parameterizing the effects of orographic drag reduces tropospheric U (Sandu et al.62
2016) and alters stationary waves and their response to climate change (van Niekerk et al. 2017;63
Sandu et al. 2019). The representation of such impacts within GCMs has improved in recent years,64
through both increased resolution, and improved parameterizations (Garcia et al. 2007; Richter65
et al. 2010; Garcia et al. 2016), although limitations and biases still exist (Sandu et al. 2019). The66
time therefore seems ripe to re-evaluate the role that orography plays in the wintertime climate67
using a state-of-the-art climate model.68
Using NCAR’s Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM), we quantify the to-69
tal role of orography on the observed stationary waves, including both local and remote changes70
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in diabatic heating, as well as changes in SSTs due to air-sea heat fluxes. We present evidence71
for a substantial impact of orography on the zonal mean climate in both the troposphere and72
stratosphere, and highlight the remarkable similarity between the stationary wave patterns from73
‘land-sea forcing’ and from ‘orographic’ forcing. We offer a new perspective on how orography74
influences the stationary waves, with implications for our understanding of stationary waves in75
the present day and other climates: we propose that the most important impact of orography on76
stationary wave amplitude is to amplify the ‘land-sea’ stationary waves, in addition to forcing a77
stationary wave pattern of its own, as in the traditional view.78
2. Models and Experiments79
We use the WACCM4, an atmospheric dynamical model with 66 vertical levels, including a well-80
resolved stratosphere (Marsh et al. 2013). In addition to high resolution in the upper atmosphere,81
the WACCM has improved parameterizations of vertically propagating gravity waves and surface82
stress from unresolved topography (termed turbulent mountain stress, TMS), relative to the lower-83
top CAM model (Garcia et al. 2007; Richter et al. 2010; Marsh et al. 2013). A horizontal resolution84
of 1.9◦x 2.5◦is used.85
To investigate the role of orography in shaping the stationary waves, two WACCM simulations86
are performed, each 30 years in length (following a one year spin-up period). The ‘CTL’ sim-87
ulation has present-day topography, and the ‘NM’ (No-Mountain) simulation has all topography88
flattened to 50m above sea level. In addition to the topographic height, we reduce the variables89
associated with subgrid-scale variability in orography, ‘SGH’ and ‘SGH30’, to approximate values90
associated with regions of low orography in the CTL simulation (30 and 10 m respectively).91
Mountains are known to affect the ocean circulation (Kitoh 2002; Sinha et al. 2012) through92
impacts on wind stress and freshwater fluxes (Warren 1983; Emile-Geay 2003). Here we focus93
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on the dynamical atmospheric response to global mountain ranges and do not consider dynamical94
ocean changes. Orographic forcing can also influence SSTs through air-sea heat fluxes (Okajima95
and Xie 2007; Chang 2009). This influence may affect the impact of orography on diabatic heating,96
although in the past this has been considered to be small (Held 1983). Since the WACCM is not97
currently coupled to a slab ocean, we allow atmospheric changes to affect SSTs by using simulated98
changes in monthly climatological SSTs from a slab-ocean model coupled to the CAM model99
with and without orography. These SST changes and their impacts on our results are discussed in100
Section 4.101
The NH extratropical SSTs for each experiment, as well as the CTL-NM difference, are shown102
in Fig. 8.103
The WACCM model reproduces tropospheric and stratospheric circulations well, albeit with a104
cold pole bias (Marsh et al. 2013). Throughout this paper we further evaluate the WACCM by105
comparing it with the ERA-interim re-analysis data (Dee et al. 2011).106
3. Results107
a. Stationary Wave Response108
The stationary wave pattern can be seen in the eddy geopotential height, Z′ = Z− Z, where109
the overbar denotes the zonal mean. Fig. 1 shows Z′ at 60◦N for ERA-I, the CTL and NM110
simulations, and the CTL-NM difference. The CTL simulation reproduces the observed pattern111
from ERA-interim re-analysis data well (compare Figs. 1a and b). The climate in the CTL and112
NM simulations, and thus the climate response to orography (CTL-NM), is broadly similar to that113
found in earlier studies (e.g. Nigam et al. 1986; Held 1983; Held et al. 2002).114
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To provide a quantitative metric for comparing the relative contributions of orography and land-115
sea contrast, we calculate the ‘stationary wave strength’, defined as the longitudinal standard de-116
viation (σ ) in Z. The ‘orographic contribution’ is calculated as (σ(ZCT L)−σ(ZNM))/σ(ZCT L).117
There is substantial variation in the orographic contribution with latitude and height, shown in118
Fig. 2a, with a maximum value of∼ 85% in the high latitude stratosphere, and a latitude-weighted119
value in the NH mid-latitudes (30-70◦N) of approximately 45% throughout the troposphere and120
stratosphere.121
In idealized simulations, the stationary response to a single mountain has a zonal wavenumber122
of around 4-6 (Hoskins and Karoly 1981; Valdes and Hoskins 1991; Cook and Held 1992; Held123
et al. 2002; White et al. 2017). In contrast to these idealized studies, our CTL-NM response124
has a wavenumber, phase, and vertical structure remarkably similar to that in the NM simulation125
(compare Figs. 1c and d), with a pattern of approximately wavenumber 2 in the troposphere, and126
wavenumber 1 in the stratosphere. That is, the first order effect of the mountains is to amplify127
the mid-latitude stationary wave pattern that is already present as a consequence of the land-sea128
contrast.129
This amplification of the land-sea stationary wave pattern (NM) in the CTL simulation can also130
be seen in maps of Z′ (Fig. 3). A comparison of Z′ between ERA-I and our CTL simulation shows131
that the WACCM simulates the observed spatial pattern of stationary waves well at both 300 and132
1000 mb (c.f. Fig. 3a with 3b and Fig. 3d and 3e; colours show the eddy component, whilst black133
contours show the full fields). The NM eddy fields (Figs. 3c and f) exhibit a spatial structure134
similar to that of the CTL fields, but with muted amplitude; the first order effect of orography is to135
greatly amplify this pattern.136
We calculate the Pearson correlation coefficient between the CTL-NM and NM fields, with137
masking for points that are below the surface in the CTL simulation (Fig. 2b. At 1000, 300, and138
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30 mb respectively, the latitude-weighted correlation coefficients for the mid-latitudes are 0.33,139
0.60, and 0.81, confirming that a large component of the CTL-NM response is to amplify the140
background stationary wave pattern present in the NM simulation, particularly above the lower141
troposphere. To provide a quantitative metric for the strength of this amplification by orography142
we define an ‘amplification factor’, a, as the slope of the linear regression between the CTL and143
NM fields; we can thus write Z′CT L = aZ′NM +Z′M, where Z′M is the orography-induced change in144
eddy geopotential height that does not project onto the NM pattern. This amplification factor is145
show in Fig. 2c, with a latitude-weighted mean value of a ∼ 1.6 throughout the troposphere and146
stratosphere. Vertical cross-sections of both the correlation coefficient and amplification factor are147
shown in Figs. 2b and c.148
b. Zonal mean response to orography149
In addition to the stationary wave response, the WACCM simulations show that orography sub-150
stantially shapes the wintertime zonal mean zonal wind climatology. Fig. 4 shows a pole-to-pole151
meridional cross-section of U (colours), and Z (black contours) for winter in each hemisphere,152
i.e. DJF in the NH and JJA in the SH. Fields are masked between 10◦S and 10◦N to emphasise153
the discontinuity at the equator. The WACCM reproduces the general structure of the wintertime154
geopotential and zonal jets in both hemispheres well, including the difference in strength of the155
NH and SH stratospheric jets (c.f. Figs 4a and b). The NM fields (Fig. 4c) show much greater156
symmetry between the NH and SH, as expected. At 10 mb the NH wintertime stratospheric jet157
in the NM simulation is only ∼ 10% weaker than its SH counterpart: orography thus plays a158
dominant role in the hemispheric differences in the stratospheric winter jet (see also White et al.159
2018).160
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Fig. 4d shows the CTL-NM differences in the zonal mean fields. The orographic impact on161
the NH stratospheric jet is substantial: at 10 mb the jet reaches 82 m/s in the NM simulation,162
in contrast to 39 m/s in the CTL (c.f. Figs. 4b and c). Consistent with previous understanding163
(e.g. Held et al. 2002), changes in the sub-tropical jet are small. There is, however, a significant164
orographically-induced weakening of tropospheric U north of 40◦N, extending all the way down165
to the surface. Whilst the absolute magnitude of the near-surface changes is small relative to166
the stratospheric changes (∼ 3m/s at 925 mb between 50-80◦N), it has a profound effect on the167
character of the low-level flow.168
To explore the mechanisms behind the weakening of U in the CTL simulation relative to NM,169
Fig. 5 shows the Eliassen-Palm (EP) wave activity flux and its divergence (Eliassen and Palm170
1961; Andrews and McIntyre 1976; Edmon et al. 1980). Arrows are scaled (see caption), and thus171
should not be used to estimate divergence. The EP fluxes are calculated based on climatological172
wintertime data, that is, they show the propagation of wintertime stationary wave activity, and the173
impacts of the wintertime stationary waves on the zonal mean flow. Positive divergence of the EP174
fluxes signifies a strengthening of the zonal mean flow by the waves (Andrews and McIntyre 1976;175
Edmon et al. 1980).176
The CTL simulation reproduces the ERA-I spatial pattern of stationary wave EP fluxes, and their177
divergence, relatively well (c.f. Figs. 5a and b), although the magnitude of EP flux divergence in178
the mid-latitude troposphere is underestimated; we thus avoid making quantitative conclusions179
based on this analysis. The EP flux arrows show a reduction in the propagation of wave activity180
strength away from the surface in the NM simulation relative to the CTL (c.f. Figs 5b and c).181
Stationary wave activity is still present in the troposphere in the NM simulation: the land-sea182
forcing is sufficient to produce substantial tropospheric wave activity at lower latitudes; however183
the strong EP flux divergence north of 40◦N is absent in the NM simulation. There is also a184
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stark absence of wave activity (and thus divergence) reaching into the stratosphere in the NM185
simulation. Calculation of EP fluxes on daily data confirms that stationary waves dominate the186
stratospheric CTL-NM response, consistent with a relatively small propagation of transient waves187
into the stratosphere (Li et al. 2011).188
4. Discussion189
The impact of global orography on the climatological extratropical circulation is examined with190
the WACCM, a state-of-the-art climate model, revisiting the seminal work of the 1980s and 1990s.191
The influence of orography on the NH mid-latitude stationary waves is generally comparable to192
land-sea thermal contrasts, with orography dominating in some parts of the troposphere and strato-193
sphere. This is consistent with previous work, but suggests a larger role for orography than the194
most recent estimates (Ting et al. 2001; Held et al. 2002; Chang 2009). We highlight the remark-195
able similarity between the NM stationary wave pattern and the CTL-NM response, concluding196
that the first-order role of orography is to amplify the stationary wave pattern that would be present197
by virtue of the land-sea contrast alone. The amplification factor, a measure of how much orog-198
raphy amplifies the NM stationary wave pattern, is approximately 1.6 for the troposphere, and 1.8199
for the stratosphere.200
The impact of orography on large-scale extratropical circulation is not limited to the stationary201
waves - orography has a strong impact on the zonal mean flow poleward of 40◦N. Without orog-202
raphy, the NH wintertime polar night jet is much stronger than in observations and the WACCM203
CTL simulation, and is comparable to the strength of the SH wintertime stratospheric jet. The204
strong sensitivity of the NH stratospheric winter jet to the inclusion of mountains is consistent205
with the concept of a positive feedback in stratospheric zonal wind: faster stratospheric flow limits206
the waves that can propagate into the stratosphere to smaller wavenumbers (Charney and Drazin207
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1961); this reduces the Eliassen-Palm flux convergence in the stratosphere, further enhancing the208
zonal wind. Our results suggest that, in the absence of orography, very little stationary wave ac-209
tivity is able to propagate into the stratosphere. The impact of orography on zonal winds extends210
all the way down to the surface poleward of ∼ 50◦N; gravity wave drag and frictional drag from211
the presence of mountains impact the near surface flow.212
This profound impact of orography on the zonal mean flow can be connected to the orographic213
amplification of the land-sea stationary wave that we have highlighted. For low-level extratrop-214
ical heating, the amplitude of the stationary wave response to a given diabatic heating profile is215
inversely proportional to the low-level mean zonal wind (Held and Ting 1990). The linear model216
of Held and Ting (1990) shows a stationary wave amplitude response to low-level wind changes217
of the same order of magnitude that we see in our simulations: an amplification of ∼1.6 for a218
reduction in U from, for example, ∼ 6 m/s (NM) to 2 m/s (CTL).219
In addition to the reduction in stationary wave amplitude for a fixed diabatic heating, decel-220
eration of the zonal mean flow allows stronger atmospheric zonal temperature gradients (from221
land-sea contrast) to be maintained; in the limit of infinite zonal flow, no zonal temperature gra-222
dients could be maintained. Thus a reduced zonal flow can enhance the diabatic heating pattern223
from land-sea contrast, leading to a further amplification of the ‘thermal’ stationary wave pattern.224
Fig. 6 shows that the diabatic heating patterns are indeed enhanced in the CTL simulation relative225
to NM.226
The positive feedback of stratospheric zonal wind speed, discussed above, may provide an addi-227
tional mechanism by which orography amplifies the existing stationary wave in the stratosphere:228
in the presence of orography, enhanced stationary wave EP flux convergence in the stratosphere229
weakens the stratospheric jet; this in turn enhances the probability of waves generated by land-sea230
contrast propagating into the stratosphere. This mechanism differs somewhat from that discussed231
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by White et al. (2018), who removed individual mountain regions; this difference suggests non-232
linear interactions between different orographic regions. The amplification of the NM stationary233
wave pattern by the orography may also be affected by the location of the main orographic fea-234
tures of the NH. Both the North American Rockies and the dominant orography in Asia are located235
approximately 30◦ longitude upstream of the eastern edge of a continent; the mechanical forcing236
of the orography results in northerly flow and cold advection downstream of the mountain range,237
which is thus, rather coincidentally, located such that it enhances the existing land-sea temperature238
contrast (e.g. Brayshaw et al. 2009).239
The impact of orography is reduced when SSTs are held fixed to the observed climatology in240
both the CTL and NM simulations (c.f. Figs. 2a) and 7a). The degree of correlation between241
the CTL-NM and NM patterns (7b), and the orographic amplification factor 7c) are also reduced242
(although still present). The imposed changes in SSTs, as simulated by the CAM coupled to a slab243
ocean model with q-fluxes modified to reproduce observed SSTs in the CTL simulation, are shown244
in Fig. 8. The strong cooling in the west of each ocean basin is consistent with cold air advec-245
tion induced by the orographically forced stationary wave. The strong warming in the northeast246
Atlantic is associated with sea-ice changes. The influence of this lower boundary condition may247
be part of the reason that this amplification effect has remained largely unnoticed up until now. In248
retrospect, amplification can be seen to some degree in earlier studies, even with SSTs were fixed249
to observed values in both CTL and NM simulations. Held (1983), Held et al. (2002) and Chang250
(2009) mention a constructive interference between the thermal forcing and the orography forcing251
between 120E and 60W, but did not explore this further.252
The amplification of the land-sea stationary wave as a large part of the orographic contribution253
suggests a greater importance for the land-sea thermal contrast that previously understood. This254
has potential implications for stationary waves under global warming: during the coming century255
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the land will warm more than the ocean surface, reducing the land-sea thermal contrast during win-256
ter. A greater importance of this land-sea contrast for forcing stationary waves may help explain257
the projected reduction in low wavenumber stationary waves seen in Simpson et al. (2016).258
This work offers a new perspective of how orography shapes Earth’s stationary waves: orogra-259
phy provides a substantial amplification of the background, land-sea generated, stationary wave260
pattern, through the impact of orography on the zonal mean flow, as well as forcing an additional261
stationary wave pattern.262
Acknowledgments. RHW received funding from the European Unions Horizon 2020 research263
and innovation programme under the Marie Skodowska-Curie Grant Agreement 797961, from264
the National Science Foundation grant AGS-1665247, and from the Tamaki Foundation. DSB265
was supported by the Tamaki Foundation. Simulations were performed at the Department of266
Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Washington, and on the NCAR’s Cheyenne computer267
under grant UWAS0064. The code to produce the figures shown in this paper can be found on268
RHW’s github account (rhwhite): https://git.io/fjumK.269
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18
LIST OF FIGURES378
Fig. 1. Eddy geopotential height, Z′, at 60◦N: a. ERA-I, b. CTL, c. NM, and d. CTL - NM . . . . 20379
Fig. 2. Cross-section of DJF metrics of orographic impact on stationary waves. a. orographic con-380
tribution to stationary wave strength ((σ(ZCT L)−σ(ZNM))/σ(ZCT L)); b. Pearson correla-381
tion coefficient between CTL-NM and NM fields; c. orographic amplification factor (the382
slope of the linear regression between the CTL and NM fields). . . . . . . . . . 21383
Fig. 3. DJF Z, full fields (black contours; zero contour bold) and zonal anomalies (Z′; colours), at384
1000 mb (left), and 300 mb (right). Top row: ERA-I; centre: CTL, and bottom row: NM.385
Prominent highs and lows in the full fields are denoted with H and L respectively. At 300386
mb the contour interval for the full fields for CTL and NM is 200 m, whilst at 1000 mb the387
contour interval is 20 m. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22388
Fig. 4. Wintertime (DJF for NH, JJA for SH) U (colours), and Z (black contours, contour interval389
200 m for a-c and 100 m for d; negative values dashed and 0 contour bold), for a. ERA-I, b.390
CTL, c. NM, and d. CTL - NM. Wintertime fields are shown for both hemispheres; values391
are masked between 10◦S to 10◦N. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23392
Fig. 5. Wintertime (DJF for NH, JJA for SH) stationary wave Eliassen-Palm flux (arrows, m/s2) and393
flux divergence (colours, m/s/day) for a. ERAI, b. CTL and c. NM. The EP flux follows the394
scaling of Edmon et al. (1980) for log-pressure coordinates, and divides by the square root395
of 1000/pressure to aid visualization (Taguchi and Hartmann 2006). Wintertime fields are396
shown for both hemispheres; values are masked between 10◦S to 10◦N. . . . . . . . 24397
Fig. 6. DJF diabatic heating fields for ERA-I (top row), CTL (centre row) and NM (bottom row).398
Left: mass-weighted average between 1000-850 mb; right: mass-weighted average between399
850-500 mb. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25400
Fig. 7. As Fig. 2, but for simulations where SSTs are fixed to observed values in both CTL and NM401
experiments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26402
Fig. 8. DJF sea surface temperature for a. CTL and b. CTL-NM differences. CTL values are from a403
CAM simulation coupled to a slab ocean with q-fluxes adjusted to simulate observed SSTs.404
NM values taken from an identical simulation but with flattened orography. . . . . . . 27405
19
0 60E 120E 180 120W 60W1000
500
200
100
50
20
10
Pressure (mb)
a. ERA-I
0 60E 120E 180 120W 60W1000
500
200
100
50
20
10
Pressure (mb)
b. CTL
0 60E 120E 180 120W 60W1000
500
200
100
50
20
10
Pressure (mb)
c. NM
0 60E 120E 180 120W 60W1000
500
200
100
50
20
10
Pressure (mb)
d. CTL-NM
−450 −300 −150 0 150 300 450m
FIG. 1. Eddy geopotential height, Z′, at 60◦N: a. ERA-I, b. CTL, c. NM, and d. CTL - NM.
20
30N 40N 50N 60N 70N 80N1000
500
200
100
50
20
10
pressure (mb)
a.
−1.0−0.8−0.6−0.4−0.20.00.20.40.60.8
30N 40N 50N 60N 70N 80N1000
500
200
100
50
20
10pressure (mb)
b.
−1.0−0.8−0.6−0.4−0.20.00.20.40.60.8
30N 40N 50N 60N 70N 80N1000
500
200
100
50
20
10
pressure (mb)
c.
0.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.41.61.8
FIG. 2. Cross-section of DJF metrics of orographic impact on stationary waves. a. orographic contribution to
stationary wave strength ((σ(ZCT L)−σ(ZNM))/σ(ZCT L)); b. Pearson correlation coefficient between CTL-NM
and NM fields; c. orographic amplification factor (the slope of the linear regression between the CTL and NM
fields).
406
407
408
409
21
030W
60W
90W
120W
150W180
30E
60E
90E
120E
150E
L
L
H
a.
030W
60W
90W
120W
150W180
30E
60E
90E
120E
150E
L
L
H
b.
030W
60W
90W
120W
150W180
30E
60E
90E
120E
150E
LH
H
H
c.
−150 −100 −50 0 50 100 150
m
030W
60W
90W
120W
150W180
30E
60E
90E
120E
150E
L
d.
030W
60W
90W
120W
150W180
30E
60E
90E
120E
150E
L
e.
030W
60W
90W
120W
150W180
30E
60E
90E
120E
150E
L
f.
−300 −200 −100 0 100 200 300
m
ERA-I
CTL
NM
1000 mb 300 mb
FIG. 3. DJF Z, full fields (black contours; zero contour bold) and zonal anomalies (Z′; colours), at 1000 mb
(left), and 300 mb (right). Top row: ERA-I; centre: CTL, and bottom row: NM. Prominent highs and lows in
the full fields are denoted with H and L respectively. At 300 mb the contour interval for the full fields for CTL
and NM is 200 m, whilst at 1000 mb the contour interval is 20 m.
410
411
412
413
22
80N60N40N20N020S40S60S80S1000
500
200
100
50
20
10pre
ssure
(m
b)
a. ERA-I
80N60N40N20N020S40S60S80S1000
500
200
100
50
20
10
pre
ssure
(m
b)
b. CTL
80N60N40N20N020S40S60S80S1000
500
200
100
50
20
10
pre
ssure
(m
b)
c. NM
−72
−48
−24
0
24
48
72
m/s
80N60N40N20N020S40S60S80S1000
500
200
100
50
20
10
pre
ssure (mb)
d. CTL - NM
−32
−24
−16
−8
0
8
16
24
32m/s
FIG. 4. Wintertime (DJF for NH, JJA for SH) U (colours), and Z (black contours, contour interval 200 m for
a-c and 100 m for d; negative values dashed and 0 contour bold), for a. ERA-I, b. CTL, c. NM, and d. CTL -
NM. Wintertime fields are shown for both hemispheres; values are masked between 10◦S to 10◦N.
414
415
416
23
5m2/s25m2/s2
80N60N40N20N020S40S60S80S1000
500
200
100
50
20
10Press
ure (mb)
a. ERAI
5m2/s25m2/s2
80N60N40N20N020S40S60S80S1000
500
200
100
50
20
10
Pre
ure (mb)
b. CTL
5m2/s25m2/s2
80N60N40N20N020S40S60S80S1000
500
200
100
50
20
10
Pre
ure (mb)
c. NM
−5.00 −3.75 −2.50 −1.25 0.00 1.25 2.50 3.75 5.00m/ /day
FIG. 5. Wintertime (DJF for NH, JJA for SH) stationary wave Eliassen-Palm flux (arrows, m/s2) and flux
divergence (colours, m/s/day) for a. ERAI, b. CTL and c. NM. The EP flux follows the scaling of Edmon
et al. (1980) for log-pressure coordinates, and divides by the square root of 1000/pressure to aid visualization
(Taguchi and Hartmann 2006). Wintertime fields are shown for both hemispheres; values are masked between
10◦S to 10◦N.
417
418
419
420
421
24
030W
60W
90W
120W
150W180
30E
60E
90E
120E
150E
a.
030W
60W
90W
120W
150W180
30E
60E
90E
120E
150E
d.
030W
60W
90W
120W
150W180
30E
60E
90E
120E
150E
b.
030W
60W
90W
120W
150W180
30E
60E
90E
120E
150E
e.
030W
60W
90W
120W
150W180
30E
60E
90E
120E
150E
c.
−6 −3 0 3 6
K/day
030W
60W
90W
120W
150W180
30E
60E
90E
120E
150E
f.
−3.0 −1.5 0.0 1.5 3.0
K/day
Q1000− 850mb Q500− 850mbERA-I
CTL
NM
FIG. 6. DJF diabatic heating fields for ERA-I (top row), CTL (centre row) and NM (bottom row). Left:
mass-weighted average between 1000-850 mb; right: mass-weighted average between 850-500 mb.
422
423
25
30N 40N 50N 60N 70N 80N1000
500
200
100
50
20
10
pressure (mb)
a.
−1.0−0.8−0.6−0.4−0.20.00.20.40.60.8
30N 40N 50N 60N 70N 80N1000
500
200
100
50
20
10pressure (mb)
b.
−1.0−0.8−0.6−0.4−0.20.00.20.40.60.8
30N 40N 50N 60N 70N 80N1000
500
200
100
50
20
10
pressure (mb)
c.
0.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.41.61.8
FIG. 7. As Fig. 2, but for simulations where SSTs are fixed to observed values in both CTL and NM experiments.
26
030W
60W
90W
120W
150W180
30E
60E
90E
120E
150E
a.
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
28
030W
60W
90W
120W
150W180
30E
60E
90E
120E
150E
b.
−4.5
−3.0
−1.5
0.0
1.5
3.0
4.5
FIG. 8. DJF sea surface temperature for a. CTL and b. CTL-NM differences. CTL values are from a CAM
simulation coupled to a slab ocean with q-fluxes adjusted to simulate observed SSTs. NM values taken from an
identical simulation but with flattened orography.
424
425
426
27