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    11

    Overview of Vietnam and the KeyOverview of Vietnam and the KeyEmerging MarketsEmerging Markets

    Presented by: Rodney Sim

    General ManagerT A Management Pte Ltd

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    About T A ManagementAbout T A Management

    Project Management and Market Consultancy. Priority focus in Mekong Region countries of Vietnam,

    Cambodia and Myanmar. Serve Vietnamese Clients in their projects with

    Singapore partners. Conduct market studies/consultancy for Singapore-

    based Clients. Inland Containers Depot Opportunities in Second-tier Provinces

    of Vietnam, Containers Depot Association of Singapore. Healthcare opportunities in Vietnam, International Enterprise

    Singapore. Education opportunities in Vietnam, International Enterprise

    Singapore

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    Outline of SessionOutline of Session Overview of Vietnam and significant recent

    developments

    Emerging cities and provinces in NorthernVietnam

    Emerging cities and provinces of SouthernVietnam

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    OVERVIEW OF VIETNAMOVERVIEW OF VIETNAM

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    Economic Growth of VietnamEconomic Growth of Vietnam

    Source: Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC)

    Economic Growth of Selected Countries in Asia (2003-2005)

    2.9

    0.5 0.4

    10 10.1 10.2

    4.8 5.15.65.5

    7.2

    4.9

    6.2

    5

    2.9

    8.7

    6.47

    6.2

    4.5

    7.37.8

    8.4

    5.2

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    2003 2004 2005

    Year

    G r o w t h i n P e r c e n t a g e

    Brunei Darussalam China Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam

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    GDP by Sector ContributionGDP by Sector Contribution

    Manufacturing20.70%

    Mining and quarrying10.52%

    Hotels and restaurants3.50%

    Financial activities1.80%

    Transport, storage andcommunications

    4.37%

    Education and training3.22%

    Electricity, gas and watersupply3.45%

    Construction6.36%

    Wholesale and retail trade13.58%

    Fishing3.86%

    Forestry1.20%

    Agriculture15.83%

    Others2.61%

    Government services5.00%

    Real estate and businessactivities4.01%

    Source: General Statistics Office, Vietnam

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    VietnamVietnam s Export & Import Trendss Export & Import Trends

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    Cargo Throughput (Import & Export) ofCargo Throughput (Import & Export) of

    Northern & Southern PortsNorthern & Southern Ports

    Source: Vietnam Seaport Association

    Import and Export Cargo Throughput Trendsin Northern and Southern Vietnam (2001-2005)

    NorthNorthNorthNorthNorth South South South South South0

    5,000

    10,000

    15,000

    20,000

    25,000

    30,000

    35,000

    40,000

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

    Year

    I m p o r t a n

    d E x p o r t

    C a r g o T

    h r o u g h p u

    t

    ( i n

    ' 0 0 0 m e t r i c

    t o n n e s

    )

    14,987

    27,221

    24,000

    29,972

    35,267

    13,786

    18,234

    21,61623,704

    10,505

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    Significant TrendsSignificant Trends

    Accession to WTO & steadyeconomic growth.

    Increasing importance &global recognition of Vietnamas a location formanufacturing activities.

    Growth of Hanoi & HCMC ashub cities for services in North& South respectively,including healthcare andeducation services.

    Development of industrialactivities outside Hanoi &HCMC.

    Vietnam government reducedGDP growth target to 7%.

    Annual inflation hits more than20% in April 2008.

    Commercial banks are limiting

    loans to individuals andenterprises.

    Some factories face workers

    strike.

    Standard & Poor cut outlookon Vietnams sovereign rating

    from stable to negative.

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    Northern VietnamNorthern Vietnam

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    GDP ComparisonGDP Comparison -- Northern VietnamNorthern Vietnam

    Source: Hai Duong Statistical Yearbook 2005, GSO Vietnam

    Comparison of GDPs among Selected Provinces inNorthern Vietnam (at current prices) (2005)

    4,395.38

    1,302.94

    520.94 597.81 853.44 514.88948.44

    663.94300.94 264.69

    630.88187.50

    -

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    Hanoi Hai

    Phong

    Bac Ninh Vinh

    Phuc

    Hai

    Duong

    Hung

    Yen

    Ha Tay Thai

    Binh

    Ninh

    Binh

    Ha Nam Nam

    Dinh

    Lao Cai

    Province

    U S

    $ m i l l i o n

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    GDP Per Capita ComparisonGDP Per Capita Comparison Northern VietnamNorthern Vietnam

    Source: Hai Duong Statistical Yearbook 2005, GSO Vietnam

    Comparison of GDP Per Capita among Selected Provincesin Northern Vietnam (at current prices) (Year 2005)

    1381

    730

    522 513 499 456

    376 359 329 321 322 312.5

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    1600

    Hanoi HaiPhong Bac Ninh VinhPhuc HaiDuong HungYen Ha Tay ThaiBinh NinhBinh Ha Nam NamDinh Lao Cai

    Province

    G D P

    P e r C a p i t a

    i n U S $

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    HANOIHANOICITYCITY

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    Hanoi CityHanoi City s Key Indicatorss Key IndicatorsIndicator Value

    Economic structure Primary: 1.7% Secondary: 40.8% Tertiary: 57.5%

    GDP at current prices (year 2005) US$4.4 billion.

    Economic growth (estimated) 11.6%Registered FDI (from 1998 to 2005) US$12 billion

    Key foreign investors origin China Japan Taiwan

    Key products Electrical products Electronics Aluminum products

    Population size (year 2006) 4 million

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    Significant Development TrendsSignificant Development Trends

    Highest concentration of industries in NorthernVietnam, second highest after HCMC.

    Rapid development to catch up with HCMC.

    Entrenched hub for business services in

    Northern Vietnam due to its political importanceand strategic location.

    Important consumers market due to increasingaffluence of the urban population.

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    BAC NINHBAC NINH

    PROVINCEPROVINCE Province has 12

    industrial parks.

    Third Vietnam-Singapore

    Industrial Park(VSIP).

    Prominent

    manufacturersinclude Canon andFujitsu.

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    Bac Ninh ProvinceBac Ninh Province s Key Indicatorss Key IndicatorsIndicator Value

    Economic structure Primary: 25.7% Secondary: 47.1% Tertiary: 27.2%

    GDP at current prices (year 2005) US$520.94 million

    Economic growth (estimated) 14.5%

    Registered FDI (from 1998 to 2005) US$290.7 million

    Key foreign investors origin Japan Korea Taiwan

    Key products Automotive components & parts Electronics & electrical components Textiles & garments

    Population size (year 2006) 1 million people

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    Significant Development TrendsSignificant Development Trends

    Province developing as an important manufacturing &service centre in Northern Vietnam.

    Becoming a centre of distribution of goods from Guangxi,China e.g. Unilever.

    A location for the development of urban-industrial park

    e.g. Foxconn, VSIP, Orix. Province has plan to develop an Inland Containers Depot

    & to establish the province as a trans-shipment hub.

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    HAI DUONGHAI DUONG

    PROVINCEPROVINCE Industrial province nearto the ports in HaiPhong & Quang Ninh.

    Main imports

    Leather

    Fabrics Chemical

    Main exports

    Footwear Garment & clothing

    Frozen meat

    Pickled cucumber

    Cakes (green bean)

    E i I di tE i I di t E i St tE i St t

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    Economic IndicatorEconomic Indicator Economic StructureEconomic Structure

    Source: Hai Duong Statistical Yearbook 2005

    4 0

    . 6

    3 4

    . 9

    2 4

    . 5

    4 1

    . 8

    3 3

    . 9

    2 4

    . 3

    3 5

    . 4

    3 6

    . 6

    2 8

    3 5

    . 8

    3 5

    . 7

    2 8

    . 5

    3 6

    . 8

    3 5

    2 8

    . 2

    3 4

    . 8

    3 7

    . 2

    2 8

    3 3

    . 4

    3 7

    . 8

    2 8

    . 8

    3 2

    3 9

    . 6

    2 8

    . 4

    3 0

    4 1

    . 5

    2 8

    . 5

    2 8

    . 3

    4 2

    . 4

    2 9

    . 3

    2 7

    . 2

    4 3

    . 3

    2 9

    . 5

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    P e r c e n t a g e

    1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

    Year

    Changes in Hai Duong Province's Economic Structure(1995 - 2005)

    Primary Sector Secondary Sector Tertiary Sector

    GDP of US$853 million in 2005

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    Foreign Direct InvestmentsForeign Direct Investments

    Hai Duong Province's Source of Foreign Investment(Year 2005)

    Taiwan54.08

    United States20.45%

    Others4.00%

    China2.21%Australia

    2.26%

    Korea5.93

    Japan2.29

    Hong Kong

    3.53%

    Singapore2.11%

    United Kingdom2.07% Canada

    1.06%

    Registered FDI of US$1.6billion as at May 2007.

    Types of industries:

    Garment & footwear

    Electronics

    Agro-processing

    Automotive-related

    Leading Enterprises:

    Ford Brother Industries

    Sumiden Vietnam

    C f D i B i i H i D P iC f D i B i i H i D P i

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    Cost of Doing Business in Hai Duong ProvinceCost of Doing Business in Hai Duong Province

    Cost item Cost Remarks (if any)

    Rental of industrial land (with infrastructure) US$33 to US$41 per m For 49 years Not including value-added tax (VAT)

    Power supply- 4.00 am to 6.00 pm- 6.00 pm to 10.00 pm- 10.00 pm to 4.00 am

    - US$0.06 per kwh- US$0.11 per kwh- US$0.03 per kwh

    Not including VAT

    Clean water US$0.30 per m Paid monthly

    Average salary of unskilled worker US$50 to US$75 Monthly

    Average salary of staff US$70 to US$120 Monthly

    Average salary of engineers and technicians US$110 to US$150 Monthly

    Average salary of head of department US$230 to US$400 Monthly

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    Southern VietnamSouthern Vietnam

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    GDP ComparisonGDP Comparison Southern VietnamSouthern Vietnam

    Source: Dong Nai Province Statistical Yearbook 2006

    Comparison of GDPs Among Selected Provinces in SouthernVietnam (at constant 1994 prices) (2006)

    6.23

    2.65

    1.370.58 0.57 0.52 0.48

    0.19

    0.00

    1.002.00

    3.00

    4.00

    5.00

    6.00

    7.00

    Ho Chi Minh City Ba-Ria-Vung Tau Dong Nai Binh Duong Tien Giang Long An Tay Ninh B

    Province

    U S $

    b i l l i

    o n

    HO CHIHO CHI

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    HO CHIHO CHI

    MINH CITYMINH CITY Tertiary sectorcontributed more than

    50% of the economicactivities.

    A big consumer marketand one that is ofincreasing affluence.

    Emerging and growingmiddle class.

    A centre for distributionactivities due to itsestablishedinfrastructures.

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    2626Prepared by T A Management Pte Ltd 2007

    Ho Chi Minh CityHo Chi Minh City s Key Indicatorss Key IndicatorsIndicator Value

    Economic structure Primary: 1% Secondary: 48%

    Tertiary: 51%

    GDP at current prices (year 2005) US$11.6 billion

    Economic growth (estimated) 12.2%

    Registered FDI (from 1998 to 2005) US$15.87 billion

    Key foreign investors origin Taiwan South Korea

    SingaporeKey products Garment

    Footwear Agricultural products Electronics

    Population size (year 2006) 7 million

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    Significant Development TrendsSignificant Development Trends Expansion of the city & the increase in costs led to need

    to shift port activities to Ba Ria-Vung Tau Province.

    New international airport will be built in Long ThanhDistrict, Dong Nai Province.

    High value manufacturing activities will likely grow with

    the investment of US$1 billion by Intel Corporation. Lower value manufacturing moving to other provinces

    such as Binh Duong and Dong Nai provinces.

    Ba RiaBa Ria --

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    Ba RiaBa RiaVung TauVung Tau

    PROVINCEPROVINCE 120 km from HCMC. Traditional Oil & Gas

    Region. Increasingly

    becoming thelocation for domestictourism.

    The port and logisticsactivities will be thenext big thing.

    FUTURE PORT DEVELOPMENT

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    IN SOUTHERN VIETNAM

    BINH DUONGBINH DUONG

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    BINH DUONGBINH DUONG

    PROVINCEPROVINCE 13 km from HMC. An industrial province with

    numerous industrial park,including the two Vietnam-Singapore Industrial Parks.

    Development of higher end

    residential townships suchas the Canary Project bythe Guocoland Group andthe Oasis Project.

    A new international classwomen and childrenhospital to be managed byThomson Medical Centre ofSingapore.

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    Question &

    Answer ?