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Passive versus Active Management • Passive equity portfolio management – Long-term buy-and-hold strategy – Usually tracks an index over time – Designed to match market performance – Manager is judged on how well they track the target index • Active equity portfolio management – Attempts to outperform a passive benchmark portfolio on a risk-adjusted basis

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Passive versus Active Management• Passive equity portfolio management

– Long-term buy-and-hold strategy– Usually tracks an index over time– Designed to match market performance– Manager is judged on how well they track the

target index

• Active equity portfolio management– Attempts to outperform a passive benchmark

portfolio on a risk-adjusted basis

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An Overview of Passive Equity Portfolio Management Strategies

• Replicate the performance of an index

• May slightly underperform the target index due to fees and commissions

• Costs of active management (1 to 2 percent) are hard to overcome in risk-adjusted performance

• Many different market indexes are used for tracking portfolios

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Index Portfolio Construction Techniques

• Full replication

• Sampling

• Quadratic optimization or

programming

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Full Replication

• All securities in the index are purchased in proportion to weights in the index

• This helps ensure close tracking

• Increases transaction costs, particularly with dividend reinvestment

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Sampling• Buys a representative sample of stocks in the

benchmark index according to their weights in the index

• Fewer stocks means lower commissions

• Reinvestment of dividends is less difficult

• Will not track the index as closely, so there will be some tracking error

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Expected Tracking Error Between the S&P 500 Index and Portfolio Comprised of Samples of Less

Than 500 StocksExhibit 16.2

500 400 300 200 100 0

2.0

1.0

3.0

4.0

Expected Tracking Error (Percent)

Number of Stocks

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Quadratic Optimization (or programming techniques)

• Historical information on price changes and correlations between securities are input into a computer program that determines the composition of a portfolio that will minimize tracking error with the benchmark

• This relies on historical correlations, which may change over time, leading to failure to track the index

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Methods of Index Portfolio Investing

• Index Funds– Attempt to replicate a benchmark index

• Exchange-Traded Funds– EFTs are depository receipts that give investors

a pro rata claim on the capital gains and cash flows of the securities that are held in deposit by a financial institution that issued the certificates

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An Overview of Active Equity Portfolio Management Strategies

• Goal is to earn a portfolio return that exceeds the return of a passive benchmark portfolio, net of transaction costs, on a risk-adjusted basis

• Practical difficulties of active manager– Transactions costs must be offset– Risk can exceed passive benchmark

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Fundamental Strategies

• Top-down versus bottom-up approaches

• Asset and sector rotation strategies

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Sector Rotation• Position a portfolio to take advantage of the market’s

next move

• Screening can be based on various stock characteristics:– Value– Growth– P/E– Capitalization– Sensitivity to economic variables

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Technical Strategies

• Contrarian investment strategy

• Price momentum strategy

• Earnings momentum strategy

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Anomalies and Attributes

• The Weekend Effect

• The January Effect

• Firm Size

• P/E and P/BV ratios

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Miscellaneous Issues

• Selection of an appropriate benchmark

• Issues pertaining to the benchmark

• Use of computer screening and other quantitatively based methods of evaluating stocks

• Factor models

• The “long-short” approach to investing

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Value versus Growth

• Growth stocks will outperform value stocks for a time and then the opposite occurs

• Over time value stocks have offered somewhat higher returns than growth stocks

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Value versus Growth

• Growth-oriented investor will:– focus on EPS and its economic

determinants

– look for companies expected to have rapid EPS growth

– assumes constant P/E ratio

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Value versus Growth

• Value-oriented investor will: – focus on the price component

– not care much about current earnings

– assume the P/E ratio is below its natural level

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Style• Construct a portfolio to capture one or more of

the characteristics of equity securities

• Small-capitalization stocks, low-P/E stocks, etc…

• Value stocks appear to be underpriced– price/book or price/earnings

• Growth stocks enjoy above-average earnings per share increases

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Does Style Matter?• Choice to align with investment style communicates

information to clients

• Determining style is useful in measuring performance relative to a benchmark

• Style identification allows an investor to diversify by portfolio

• Style investing allows control of the total portfolio to be shared between the investment managers and a sponsor

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Determining Style

• Style grid: – firm size (large cap, mid cap, small cap)– Relative value (value, blend, growth)

characteristics

• Style analysis– constrained least squares

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Benchmark Portfolios

• Sharpe– T-bills, intermediate-term government bonds,

long-term government bonds, corporate bonds, mortgage related securities, large-capitalization value stocks, large-capitalization growth stocks, medium-capitalization stocks, small-capitalization stocks, non-U.S. bonds, European stocks, and Japanese stocks

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Benchmark Portfolios

• Sharpe

• BARRA– Uses portfolios formed around 13 different

security characteristics, including variability in markets, past firm success, firm size, trading activity, growth orientation, earnings-to-price ratio, book-to-price ratio, earnings variability, financial leverage, foreign income, labor intensity, yield, and low capitalization

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Benchmark Portfolios

• Sharpe

• BARRA

• Ibbotson Associates– simplest style model uses portfolios formed

around five different characteristics: cash (T-bills), large-capitalization growth, small-capitalization growth, large-capitalization value, and small-capitalization value

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Timing Between Styles

• Variations in returns among mutual funds are largely attributable to differences in styles

• Different styles tend to move at different times in the business cycle

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Asset Allocation Strategies

• Integrated asset allocation– capital market conditions– investor’s objectives and constraints

• Strategic asset allocation– constant-mix

• Tactical asset allocation– mean reversion– inherently contrarian

• Insured asset allocation– constant proportion

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Asset Allocation Strategies

• Selecting an allocation method depends on: – Perceptions of variability in the client’s

objectives and constraints – Perceived relationship between the past and

future capital market conditions