160525 NewClimate Co-benefits of increased ambition€¦ · Co-benefits of increased ambition...
Transcript of 160525 NewClimate Co-benefits of increased ambition€¦ · Co-benefits of increased ambition...
Co-benefits of increased ambitionAchieved and missed benefits of INDCs
Thomas Day, 25 May 2016, Carbon Expo
Background
Considerable time invested in analysis of mitigation costs.
Mitigation policy making typically neglects to consider the potential benefits of mitigation action.
Estimating other benefits could:
• increase willingness to undertake ambitious mitigation actions
• increase the cost efficiency of doing so
• accelerate implementation.
25/05/2016 Co-benefits of climate change mitigation 2
Aims of the project
Develop methodologies for the indicativequantification of co-benefits
Major gap reported by many stakeholders
Could be used in projects attached to carbon pricing or market mechanisms
Demonstrate the role for a thorough consideration of co-benefits in climate policy planning to increase ambition
25/05/2016 Co-benefits of climate change mitigation 3
What was assessed
Cost savings through reduction of fossil fuel imports
Premature deaths from ambient air pollution prevented
Creation of decent green jobs in the renewable energy sector
25/05/2016 Co-benefits of climate change mitigation 4
3 Benefits
11 Countries
US, EU, Canada, Japan, Chile,
Australia, South Africa, Turkey,
China, Switzerland, India
Methodologies
25/05/2016 Co-benefits of climate change mitigation 5
Analysis of three scenarios
Methodologies
25/05/2016 Co-benefits of climate change mitigation 6
Benefit calculations
Full, repeatable methodologies available in the Annex of the full length repot (online).
Focus on indicative, rather than scientifically precise calculation methodologies
Determination of energy
related CO2
emissions under 3
scenarios
Assumed emissions of
local air pollutants, SO2
and NOx
Assumed PM2.5
concentrations based
Contribution of PM2.5
concentrations to death rate
E.g. Premature deaths due to air pollution
Results
25/05/2016 Co-benefits of climate change mitigation 7
Detailed results preview
Detailed results available for all three indicators in all 11 countries.
See full-length report
Results summary
25/05/2016 Co-benefits of climate change mitigation 8
Cost savings from fossil fuel imports
Results summary
25/05/2016 Co-benefits of climate change mitigation 9
Reduced premature deaths from ambient air pollution
Results summary
25/05/2016 Co-benefits of climate change mitigation 10
Creation of decent green jobs in renewable energy
Recap
Consideration of co-benefits can reduce perceived costs and increase ambition
Major role for indicative quantification tools
The “missed” co-benefits are scales larger than those achieved by the countries analysed
25/05/2016 Co-benefits of climate change mitigation 11
Thank you for your attention!
Contact details:
Thomas Day
25/05/2016 Co-benefits of climate change mitigation 12