15_3 _ Huesser_PVPS_Bangkok_2015

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  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    PV global utility business

    models and trends

    Pius HuesserIEA PVPS Task 1 Switzerland

    Director Nova Energie GmbH

    Vice Chairman Swiss Solar Professional Association

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    The old utility world

    Central production

    One waytransmission to

    customers

    Load control bysome simple

    communication

    means

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    The old utility world

    Monopoly

    Average selling price covers investment independent of

    usefulness and risks

    Production was close to federal and regional governments (or was

    owned by the government)

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    Next step: Market liberalization

    Stock market for electricity: Investment in new

    production capacity becomes riskier.

    Transmission lines as bottleneck

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    The future

    Customers added value:

    Producer

    Storage provider

    Increase in energy demand

    Dispatchable loads also for residential

    houses

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    Example New York

    The following 2 slides are from the PVPS Workshop

    Electricity Systems of the Future held in Golden, Colorado 21st April 2015, Author Lena Hansen, Rocky mountain institute

    The state of New York set up working

    groups to design the future of the

    electricity and energy services:

    Reforming the energy vision REV.

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    REV Regulatory Policy Order

    Utilities, and this Commission, could respond to [the challenges facing the industry] by clinging to the traditional business model for as long as

    possible, relying on protective tariffs, regulatory delay, and other

    defenses against innovation.

    Example New York

    Alternatively, we can identify and build regulatory, utility, and

    market models that create new value for consumers and support

    market entrants and this new form of intermodal competitionin other words, embrace the changes that are shaking the

    traditional system and turn them to New Yorks economic and environmental advantage.

    We decisively take the latter approach.

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    Press comment:

    In one of the most promising moves in the energy sector in years, New York State is

    proposing a way to get a head start on, and

    perhaps help lead, a revolution in the world

    of electricity generation

    May 12th, 2014

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    Threads for utilities

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    Grid defection

    With lower costs for

    PV and storage, the

    grid can become

    optional in certain

    areas of this world

    Average electricity

    price in Hawaii:

    35 47 UScents/kWh

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    Opportunities: Swiss case

    Average electricity consumption of a household:

    4000 6000 kWh/a

    Grid connection:3 phase 400 V, 25 or 40 A

    -> 17 to 27 kW

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    Change of heating system

    Before:1500 Liters of Oil

    New:5000 kWh/a of

    electricity

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    New PV System

    7 kWp

    7000 kWh/year

    70% in Summer

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    New mobility standards

    15 000 km/a

    20 kWh/100km

    3000 kWh/a for 1 Tesla

    (+ 100 kWh/a for an E-Bike)

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    The future Prosumer

    Before: 5000 kWh/a

    Heat Pump: +5000 kWh/a

    PV System: - 7000 kWh/a

    EV (Tesla): + 3000 kWh/a

    Total: 6000 kWh/a from Grid

    Self consumption of PV: max. 5000 kWh/a

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    The new utility/DSO

    Service provider for prosumers:

    Installer for PV systems

    Extended metering services (Smart Meters/load management)

    Managing the electricity flow at their customers premises

    Maintaining the PV systems

  • IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

    PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

    The are many more

    opportunities in the new

    electricity markets

    Thank you for your attention