13th IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre - ICPAC … · 2018-09-28 · IGAD CLIMATE...

IGAD CLIMATE PREDICTION AND APPLICATION CENTER (ICPAC)

USE OF MESA STATIONS

FOR NATURAL RESOURCE

AND FOOD SECURITY

MONITORING

13th EUMETSAT Users Forum - September 2018

IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre - ICPAC

By V. Otieno, E. Kayijamahe & A. Royer


Outline2

Overview of GMES & Africa – ICPAC

Overview of MESA stations

Applications

Natural Habitat

Agriculture

Rangeland

Forest Monitoring


INTERGOVERNMENTAL AUTHORITY ON DEVELOPMENT

3

Project Title:

Monitoring Natural Resources and Food Security in the East African Region

Objective:

Promote sustainable long-term management of natural resources in the East Africa region by providing decision and policy makers with information and tools needed for implementation of sustainable environmental policies at regional and national level

Region:

East Africa Region : Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Tanzania, Uganda

GMES & Africa – East African Region


GMES & Africa – East Africa Region


4

Consortium : Five

institutions

Lead institution: IGAD

Climate Predication and

Applications Centre

Partners:

Makerere University –

Uganda

Tanzania Forest Service –

Tanzania

Kenya Wildlife Service –

Kenya

Sudan Ministry of Animal


GMES & Africa – Result Areas


5

Four Result Areas:

Strengthening infrastructure and data

access: Assuring and increasing data,

knowledge and information access

Consolidation and extension of Natural

Resources Applications

Capacity building and utilization

Raising awareness and outreach


GMES & Africa Application Areas


6

Four Applications:

Natural Habitats Monitoring and

Assessment

Tropical Forest Surveillance,

Monitoring and Assessment

Agriculture Seasonal Monitoring,

Early Warning and Assessment

Rangeland Seasonal Monitoring,

Early Warning and Assessment


MESA stations


7

Hardware and software system:

to receive, process and display Earth Observation

data for environmental monitoring and climate

services

Provided through MESA to RICs/CIC and National

Focal Points (NFP)


8

eStation: a wall-to-wall EO processing server

PC1

PC2

LAN

Other GIS Suites

AnalysisProcessingReception

EUMETCastStation

MESA Stations Architecture


MESA stations distribution


9

Total of 16 stations

0

1

2

3

4

5

Djibouti Eritrea Ethiopia Kenya Rwanda Somalia SouthSudan

Sudan Uganda

No

. of

Stat

ion

s

Country

Distribution of MESA stations per CountryEastern Africa Region - ICPAC

tamsat-rfe

vgt-dmp

vgt-fapar

modis-firms

vgt-fcover

vgt-lai

chirps

fewsnet

lsasaf-lst

lsasaf-et

vgt-ndvi

Dataset


10

Use of MESA Stations in GMES & Africa


Protected Areas Monitoring11

For the EA region, Protected Areas are not only a

habitat conservation resource but economic

resource

Two main threats to

Effects of climate change & variability

Human population growth


Objective – PA Monitoring12

Monitor and assess the state of natural habitats at

various levels to support decision making process

Monitoring eco-climatic

conditions within and

around the Protected Areas

Modelling forage

availability, demand and

forage balance for

protected areas

Land Use Land Cover

Change of Protected Areas

Highlight potential locations

for human-wildlife conflicts

Understand and project

animal movement in search

of pasture

Provide information useful

for Wildlife Authorities when

planning wildlife

translocation across/within

parks

HOW? IMPACT


Eco-climatic Evolution – Regional Monitoring13

ND

VI

Rain

fall

Estim

ate

Feb – May 2017


National Level Monitoring14

ND

VI

Ratio

-com

parison w

ith

LTA

Rain

fall

anom

aly

-com

parison w

ith

LTA

Feb – May 2017


National PA Monitoring – NDVI & RFE15


National PA Monitoring – DMP & Fire16


Hotspot Monitoring – Tsavo NP17

Rain

fall

anom

aly

-com

parison w

ith

LTA

ND

VI

Ratio

-com

parison w

ith

LTA

Feb – May 2017


18

Hotspot Monitoring – Tsavo NP


Impacts of Extreme Weather

Conditions19


Agriculture Monitoring, Early Warning and

Assessment20

Monitor and assess crop conditions, forecast food production and food security and issue timely early warning information to decision makers

Crop masks – crop-type specific

Seasonal crop monitoring and yield forecasting

Feed into food security early warning systems at national, regional and global

Food Security and Nutrition Working Group (FSNWG)

Global Agricultural Monitoring Initiative (GEOGLAM) Crop monitor


Objective – Agriculture Monitoring21

Monitor and assess crop conditions, forecast food production and food security and issue timely early warning information to decision makers

Seasonal crop conditions

monitoring

Monitoring of the evolution

of growing season

Major crop forecast

Dynamic crop masks

Grain trade prices trends

Food security assessment

Food availability, storage

and distribution

Trade and market

information

HOW? IMPACT


Agriculture Monitoring22

ND

VI

Ratio

-com

parison w

ith

LTA

Rain

fall

anom

aly

-com

parison w

ith

LTA


Admin Level Monitoring23


Seasonal Crop Monitor24

Assessment from country Focal Points

Synthesized info to bulletin

Crop conditions and early warning

Major grain market information


Crop Condition Forecast25

Rainfall Outlook for OND 2018 Forecast Rainfall Onset Dates for OND 2018


Rangeland Monitoring, Early Warning and

Assessment


26

Rangelands cover big part of the EA region (Arid

and Semi-arid Lands ASALs) and form a critical

ecosystem home to pastoralists, agro pastoral

communities and wildlife conservancies.


3 : Rangeland Monitoring27

Monitor and assess pasture conditions, forecast fodder balance and livestock carrying capacity and provide timely early warning information to decision makers and stakeholders

Monitor and assess

vegetation health

Modelling forage

availability, demand,

balance and livestock

carrying capacity

Develop rangeland masks

Minimize loss of livestock

Minimize resource conflict

Livestock migration

planning

Highlight potential wildlife –

livestock conflict location

HOW? IMPACT


Karamoja Cluster Monitoring28

DMP FCover Rainfall Estimate

Aug 2018


Beyond MESA & GMES29

ICPAC and other organisation

Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment

Environment Atlases

Distaste Risk Management

Academia


Thank you

Merci

30

13th IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre - ICPAC … · 2018-09-28 · IGAD CLIMATE...

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Transcript of 13th IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre - ICPAC … · 2018-09-28 · IGAD CLIMATE...