1 TOWARD REGIONAL COMPARABLE CLASSIFICATION IN MANUFACTURING SECTOR Experience of Establishing a...

1

TOWARD REGIONAL COMPARABLE CLASSIFICATION

IN MANUFACTURING SECTOR

Experience of Establishing a Regional Cooperative Frameworkin East Asia

EAMS Secretariat EAMS Secretariat

Tomoyuki Kuroda Ph.DTomoyuki Kuroda Ph.D

Workshop on Manufacturing StatisticsRio de Janeiro, Brazil,24-26 September 2007

2

Contents

１　 What Is EAMS?

２　 Background of Establishing EAMS

３　 Current Activities and Future Vision

3

Contents

１　 What Is EAMS



4

1. What is EAMS?

a) EAMSa) EAMS 　　　 East Asia Expert Meeting　　　　 on Manufacturing Statistics

b) Foundationb) Foundation 　　　 January 2007, Tokyo, Japan

c) Member Countriesc) Member Countries 　　　　　“ ASEAN+3” 　　　　 || 　　　 ASEAN 10 Countries 　　　 + China, Japan and South Korea

5

1. What is EAMS?

d) Organization in Each Member Countryd) Organization in Each Member CountryCountry Organization Country Organization

Brunei JPKE Myanmar NSC

Cambodia NIS Philippines NSO

China NBS Republic of Korea

NSC

Indonesia BPS Singapore Economic Development Board

Japan Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry

ThaiNSO

Lao PDRNSC Ministry of

Industry

Ministry of Industry and Commerce

Vietnam GSO

Malaysia DOS

6

1. What is EAMS?

e) Objectivee) Objective Promoting international comparability in manufacturing statistics

f) Meansf) Means Developing a common, harmonized

manufacturing industry Classification at 4-digit, reflecting the characteristics of regional economy

Establishing a network of manufacturing statistics organizations in East Asia

Implementing support for human resources with the cooperation of member countries

7

1. What is EAMS?

g) Past Meetingsg) Past MeetingsThe 1st Meeting (Jan. 2007, Tokyo, Japan) Adoption of Terms of Reference and Work Progra

m List of contact persons of each organization

The 2nd Meeting (Jul. 2007, Vientiane, Lao PDR) Reports by each country on the current status of i

ts industrial classification Adoption of time frame for developing the commo

n manufacturing industry classification at 4-digit

*The EAMS shall meet at least once a year.

8

1. What is EAMS?

h) Initiativeh) InitiativeChairpersonship (Co-Chair Style) The host country Japan (Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry) Secretariat Japan ･ Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry ･ Hitachi Research Institute ASEAN Secretariat

9

Contents

１　 What Is EAMS



10

２ . Background of Establishing EAMS

India

Hong Kong, Taiwan, Russia, USA, Mexico, Canada

Australia, New Zealand Chile, Peru, Papua New Guinea

China, Japan, South Korea

APEC

Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam

Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar

ASEAN

East Asia Summit (EAS)

ASEAN＋ 3

a) Political Framework in East Asiaa) Political Framework in East Asia ASEAN+3 region has some established, official

frameworks for political cooperation. (e.g. ASEAN+3 Summit, AEM+3)

11


b) Economic Growth in East Asiab) Economic Growth in East Asia High intra-regional trade ratio in ASEAN+3 (1980: 34.9% → 2003: 52.4%) Vertical production and distribution networks (A qualitative characteristic of manufacturing sector) Rapid growth of economic power in the world (East Asia’s share of global trade is approaching NAFTA’

s.)

The political cooperation bodies need more accurate, comparable statistics for making regional policies.

The Economic growth is attracting private sector’s, academy's and government’s attention globally to East Asia.

12

c) Manufacturing Industry in East Asiac) Manufacturing Industry in East Asia More than 30% of the world manufacturing products has been produced

in East Asia in this 20 (or more) years. Manufacturing industry occupies a large proportion of the whole value

added in each country in comparison to the other regions.

In East Asia, manufacturing industry is extremely important both domestically and internationally.

China: Percentage for the mining and manufacturing industryCompiled based on METI-Japan (2006), raw data published by the UN

(Not all countries)


Region East Asia Europe/US

Country Indonesia Thailand Philippines Japan China S.Korea USA UK France Germany

Year 2004 2003 2004 2003 2004 2004 2004 2004 2004 2004

Manufacturing

industry (%)

24.2

29.6

23.0

20.8

45.7*

25.5

13.9

14.0

12.5

20.4

13

Although each country essentially uses either ISIC Rev.3 or its own industrial classification based on ISIC Rev.3, detailed evaluation of 4-digit data shows that the number of industries that are actually comparable is relatively low.

Number of industries under ISIC Rev.3 Section D (manufacturing

industry) (4-digit)

Number of such industries that are comparable

between ASEAN countries

Number of such industries that are comparable between ASEAN

countries, China, Japan and ROK

12748 　（ 3

8% ） 36 　（ 28% ）“Actually comparable” here refers to industries that correspond to one item of data under one category (class) of ISIC (rather than being bundled together with other categories), excluding other differences such as definition, statistical unit, scale of survey subject, survey method and so on .


d) Current Status of International Comparabilityd) Current Status of International Comparability

14


Target area: ASEAN + 3- Extending the study to cover all categories of ISIC- 4digit Section D, and foundation of the EAMSEAMS.

FY2006

Target area: 8 ASEAN countries + Japan

- Basic study on industrial statistics in generalFY2003


- Initial study into the international comparability of manufacturing statistics

FY2004


- Trial studies into the comparability of manufacturing statistics in three industries (Textiles, Motor vehicles, Furniture)

FY2005

e) Past Studiese) Past Studies

15

Contents

１　 What Is EAMS



16

３ .Current Activities and Future Vision

a) The Whole Picture of EAMS Activitya) The Whole Picture of EAMS Activity

EA

MS

The data base prototype of East Asia manufacturing statistics

(with annotation)

Research on those differences other than classification through the comparative matrix

Research on confidentiality

OtherIssuesdefinition, scope, methodology, etc.

Completion of EAMIC (Submission to international organizations)

The data base of East Asia manufacturing statistics (with annotation)

Inserting the data(figures) to the prototype

Reconfirming the status of applying ISIC Rev.4

Others

countries

The data base based on proto type of EAMIC within pilot countries

Investigating the EAMIC prototype

Data submission for the comparative matrix table at 4-digit, ISIC Rev.4 base

Correspondence table to ISIC Rev.4

New census data at 4-digit

Correspondence table to ISIC Rev.4

Prototype of EAMIC

Pilo

t Stu

dy

Cla

ssificatio

n

FY 2010FY 2009FY 2008FY2007

17


b) An Illustration of EAMIC b) An Illustration of EAMIC (presented at the the 1st EAMS)(presented at the the 1st EAMS)

Focusing on harmony between classification systems 　（ ISIC, ACIC, NSIC)

Focusing on harmony between classification systems 　（ ISIC, ACIC, NSIC)

ISIC Rev.4

Section A

Section B

Section CManufacturing

Section D

：

ACIC EAMICEAMIC

Section A

Section B


Section D

：

Compliance

4-digit Current: 3-digit

Section A

Section B

Section D

：

Future: 4-digit

Manufacturing

4-digit

Manufacturing industry only


Converte

r

A standardized ASEAN+3 system of industrial classification (4-digit) for the manufacturing industry

18


Objective: Developing the prototype EAMIC

Time period: 2 years (FY2007 and FY2008)

Participation to the Pilot Study: 4 countries (from the view of balancing the efficiency with the area coverage) Process of Pilot Study: Workshop with model countries

c) Pilot Studyc) Pilot Study

Model Countries: IndonesiaIndonesia, PhilippinesPhilippines, ThailandThailand and VietnamVietnam

19


d) Challenges for EAMSd) Challenges for EAMS

Various developing stage in each country Differences in each statistical system other than

industrial classification (statistical unit, survey method, definition of items surveyed e.t.c.)

Restriction of budget and/or human resources Maintaining the cooperative framework for more

than five years

20

Thank YouThank Youforfor

Your Attention! Your Attention!

1 TOWARD REGIONAL COMPARABLE CLASSIFICATION IN MANUFACTURING SECTOR Experience of Establishing a...

Documents

Transcript of 1 TOWARD REGIONAL COMPARABLE CLASSIFICATION IN MANUFACTURING SECTOR Experience of Establishing a...