1. THE WEEKLY DIG The Weekly Dig January 10,...
Transcript of 1. THE WEEKLY DIG The Weekly Dig January 10,...
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
For Important Disclosures and Analyst Certification See Pages 38-47
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The Weekly Dig
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Ascendant Resources Inc.
Wolfden Resources Corporation
First Cobalt Corp.
Foran Mining Corporation
Sherritt International Corporation
Capstone Mining Corp.
Osisko Metals Incorporated
Xanadu Mines Limited
Taseko Mines Limited
Western Copper and Gold Corporation
Nevada Copper Corp.
Weekly Performance - Base Metals Producers & Developers
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Guyana Goldfields Inc.
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Centamin plc
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Detour Gold Corporation
Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd.
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited
B2Gold Corp.
Newmont Corporation
Weekly Performance - Senior and Intermediate Gold Producers
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Granada Gold Mine…
Lupaka Gold Corp.
Skeena Resources…
RTG Mining Inc.
Jaxon Mining Inc.
Metals Exploration plc
GobiMin Inc.
Amarillo Gold…
Harte Gold Corp.
Superior Gold Inc.
Weekly Performance - Junior, Developer, and Exploration Gold
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Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
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Silver -0.7% WoW $17.92/oz Gold 1.6% WoW $1,552/oz
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S&P/TSX Global Gold Index -3.9% WoW
S&P/TSX Diversified Metals & Mining Index -10.1% WoW
Investors Wary of Gold’s Resilience Following Price Surge
Precious Metals A lot has happened over the last few weeks since our last edition of the Weekly Dig in mid-December. The price of gold broke through the US$1,500 level just prior to Christmas and surged further in the New Year following the U.S. assassination of an Iranian general, briefly piercing the US$1,600 level before retracting as tensions between the two countries eased. Also providing support for gold is the negative trend of the U.S. dollar, with the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) down 2% since late September as concerns over growth prospects of the U.S. economy begin to weigh on the Dollar. The surge in gold price is another reminder of its status as a safe-haven asset, which had been questioned recently given its apparent indifference to other geopolitical issues that many otherwise thought would also be positive for gold. The performance of gold equities has been mixed since the gold price surge; key gold equity indices including the S&P Global Gold Index and the VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF followed gold’s lead, almost reaching similar levels to August last year where the VanEck briefly passed the 40 point level while the S&P Global Gold Index hit 263 points before paring those gains during the week. Osisko Gold Royalties (OR-T, BUY rating, $19.50 target), OceanaGold Corp. (OGC-T, HOLD rating, $3.50 target) and Barrick Gold (ABX-T, BUY rating, $28.00 target) were the better performing gold producers over the last month, up 7.2%, 7.8% and 3.1% respectively. Junior mining/exploration equities were mixed, with advanced-staged explorers performing better than their early-stage/grassroots cousins. Over the last month, several names from our coverage universe registered significant returns including Superior Gold (SGI-V, BUY rating, $1.00 target; up 44%), Falco Resources (FPC-V, HOLD rating, $0.40 target; up 37.5%) and Harte Gold (HRT-T, HOLD rating, $0.25 target; up 36%). While gold enjoyed a 6.2% rise over the last month, each of the other precious metals followed this upward trend, with silver (up 7.8%), platinum (up 8.0%) and palladium (up 12.1%) all performing strongly.
Base Metals It was a turbulent week for base metals as a result of the U.S-Iran debacle. Zinc was up 2.7% week over week to $1.08/lb while copper and nickel settled at $2.79/lb and $6.35/lb, down 0.2% and 1.3% respectively. However, outlook for base metals marginally improved this week as China announced that Vice Premier Liu He will travel to Washington DC to sign the much anticipated Phase 1 deal, solidifying claims made by Donald Trump earlier. Trump has also claimed that he will travel to Beijing to start negotiations on Phase 2 once Phase 1 is official. The exact terms of the deal have not been disclosed yet but in general terms, Trump has agreed to suspend any new tariffs on Chinese imports and reduce some existing levies. China, on the other hand, has agreed to make more agricultural purchases. The agreement will be publicly available once both parties sign. Other positive developments for base metals include China cutting the reserve requirement for Chinese banks, which could potentially free up cash to stimulate the economy via loans. China is hoping to set up the economy for a stronger 2020 using multiple approaches. This week, the S&P Composite Diversified Metals & Mining Index is down 10% while the LMEX Index is up 0.22%. Base metal equities in our coverage universe are mostly down with Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM:TSX, BUY, C$7.00 target) down by as much as 9.1%. The least negatively impacted equity in our coverage universe was Capstone Mining Corp (CS: TSX, BUY, $0.80 target), up 2.6%.
Weekly Performance
January 10, 2020
THE WEEKLY DIG
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
2
January 10, 2020
Contents
Haywood Research: The Week in Review ................................................................................................................ 3
Weekly Commodities ............................................................................................................................................... 6
Commodities Prices and Inventories ....................................................................................................................... 7
Commodities and ETFs .......................................................................................................................................... 10
Upcoming Macroeconomic News .......................................................................................................................... 12
Weekly Indices ........................................................................................................................................................ 13
Weekly Equities ....................................................................................................................................................... 14
Precious Metals Companies .................................................................................................................................. 15
Base Metals Companies ......................................................................................................................................... 17
Major International Miners ................................................................................................................................... 18
Tables
Comparables Tables: Consensus and Haywood Forecasts/Multiples, Plus Market Valuations for In Situ Resources
................................................................................................................................................................................. 19
Precious Metals Companies ................................................................................................................................... 19
Base Metals Companies .......................................................................................................................................... 29
Other Companies (Uranium, Diamond, Cobalt, Coal, Iron) ................................................................................... 33
Junior Exploration Companies Review: Performance of Companies Included in Junior X .................................... 36
Haywood Metals and Currencies Forecasts .......................................................................................................... 37
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
3 January 10, 2020
Haywood Research: The Week in Review – Covered Companies Publications from the Haywood Research team for the week included the following market analysis:
Weekly Technical Analysis: Key takeaways and charts of the week
Publications from the Haywood Research team for the week included the following for covered companies:
Filo Mining Corp. (FIL-V, $1.96): Drilling results
K92 Mining Inc. (KNT-V, $3.32): Q4 production results
Nighthawk Gold Corp. (NHK-T, $0.53): Drilling results
Liberty Gold Corp. (LGD-T, $1.04): Drilling results
Roxgold Inc. (ROXG-T, $1.02): Model update, including Séguéla production scenario
RNC Minerals (RNX-T, $0.48): 4Q19 production results
Publications from the Haywood Research team for the week included the following for uncovered companies:
Osino Resources Corp. (OSI-V, $0.80): Drilling results
Velocity Minerals Ltd. (VLC-V, $0.42): Drilling results
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Weekly Technical Analysis
Equities: Global equities broke out relative to fixed income in Q4/19 after a two-year corrective phase. Both equities and bonds remain in long-term uptrends relative to commodities, but we are seeing early signs of momentum shifts that are signaling a potential rotation into commodities from other asset classes. Gold has been trending higher relative to bonds and has formed bottoming patterns relative to equities and real estate. Small-caps and value both remain out of favor compared to large-caps and growth stocks, while high-beta stocks are starting to outperform low-volatility.
Technical Analysis – January 6, 2020
COVERED NAMES
Filo Mining Corp. (FIL-V, $1.96) | Rating » Buy | Target » $4.60
Our Take: Drill intervals from FSDH032 and FSDH033 (holes ongoing) show that both holes encountered higher grade copper-gold mineralization to their respective end-of-hole (550 metres and 245 metres) at the time of the operations’ hiatus heading into the Season’s break with drilling teams now being mobilized back to site.
Upper Drilling Segments Encounter High-Grade Cu-Au Mineralization as Drilling Continues at Filo in the Search for a Source Porphyry at Depth – January 7, 2020
K92 Mining Inc. (KNT-V, $3.32) | Rating » Buy | Target » $4.75
Our Take: K92 Mining announced its fourth quarter production results from its Kainantu Gold mine in Papua New Guinea, where it recorded production of 23,646 gold equivalent ounces from its Kora North deposit and exceeded budgeted production by 30%. The Company had an upwardly revised guidance of 72-80k oz AuEq (up from 68-75k oz AuEq) in 2019 where following the release of the fourth quarter production it has reached 82,256 AuEq ounces for the year. Ore was extracted primarily from the higher-grade K1 vein – with average grade to the processing plant in Q4 of 25.22 g/t. These grades were higher than expected owing to lower dilution and more material being mined from the K1 vein than expected. The average grade mined at Kainantu for 2019 was 20.8 g/t and 0.37% copper, and average recoveries were 93.7% and 92.8% for gold and copper respectively. We note that these figures were achieved despite continued production delays associated with their expansion project to 400,000 tpa, including the commissioning of a new underground power reticulation system and new main ventilation fans. The commissioning of the new processing plant is expected to be completed this quarter, with a gravity circuit and gold room currently in the commissioning phase. The subsequent ramp-up to 400,000 tpa is expected towards the end of the year.
K92 Continues to Exceed Guidance Expectations – January 7, 2020
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
4 January 10, 2020
Nighthawk Gold Corp. (NHK-T, $0.53) | Rating » Buy | Target » $0.90
Our Take: Nighthawk released results from seven drill holes (2,676 metres) targeting its Zone 3.5 and southern portion of its Zone 3.0 at its Colomac Gold Project. The Company’s Zone 3.5 is in the southern portion of the Colomac Main Sill. The recent results suggest that this higher-grade zone appears to be widening at depth (from <20 metres at surface to ~80 metres at 100 metres below surface. Drilling to this depth is preliminary only and more drilling is required to determine whether there are higher grade portions to Zone 3.5 at depth, similar to what we have seen at Zones 1.5 and 2.0 to the north. A key objective for the Company in 2020 will be to define further higher-grade portions within Zone 3.5, as well as drill testing the 3.5 kilometers between Zone 3.5 and Zone 2.0 where the most significant gold grades have been intersected at Colomac to date. The Company recently concluded its 2019 drill program at Indin Lake, completing 110 holes for 40,834 metres, significantly higher than the previous year's record of 32,500 metres, making it Nighthawk’s most productive and efficient drill season to-date.
Deeper Drilling Shows Promise at Zone 3.5 – January 7, 2020
Liberty Gold Corp. (LGD-T, $1.04) | Rating » Buy | Target » $1.60
Our Take: Liberty released assay results from an additional 17 drill holes at its Black Pine property located in southern Idaho. The key takeaway from the recent results is that high-grade gold mineralization continues to expand laterally beyond the area of historical drilling; specifically, drilling has demonstrated that the two key structural corridors – Discovery 1 and Discovery 2 – are open in all directions. Holes 88, 85, 89, 91, and 95 have extended mineralization to the west of previous drilling at Discovery 2 and appears to show it merging with the Discovery 1 Zone. Meanwhile, drill holes 81, 84, and 103 appear to have expanded mineralization to the south of the Discovery 2 structural corridor by ~200m in an area that is sparsely drilled. Drilling is completed for 2019, with a total of 20,900 metres drilled in 87 RC and 6 core holes. To date approximately 60% of the 1 km2 project area has been drill tested. Gold mineralization is interpreted to occur well beyond this 1 km2 focus area, up to a total area of 12 km2 although drilling is required to confirm this estimate. In response to the successful drilling at Black Pine in 2019, Liberty has expanded its 2020 drill program to 45,000 metres (RC and Core) using three drill rigs. Additionally, large diameter core drilling was recently completed at Black Pine, results of which will be used for metallurgical test work, validation of RC drilling results and specific gravity measurements. The Company is cashed up with ~$22.3 million aided by agreements to sell several non-core projects including Halilaga in Turkey, Kinsley Mountain in Nevada and the Regent Gold Project also in Nevada.
Liberty Further Expands Discovery 2 Zone – January 7, 2020
Roxgold Inc. (ROXG-T, $1.02) | Rating » Buy | Target » $1.90
Our Take: Roxgold’s decision to buy Séguéla from Newcrest in early 2019 would appear to have been wise given the organic growth beginning to materialize through the drill bit at the satellite occurrences to the central Antenna gold deposit. With a core Indicated Resource at Antenna of 6.5 Mt grading 2.4 g/t gold containing 0.5 Moz gold we believe that exploration drilling on Antenna, as well as the proximal satellite targets (e.g., Boulder, Ancien and Agouti) has delineated sufficient potential for resource growth to warrant a production decision by the company over the near term.
Séguéla: Critical Mass Tipping Point? – January 8, 2020
RNC Minerals (RNX-T, $0.48) | Rating » Buy | Target » $0.70
Our Take: RNX had a strong 4Q19 with production of 26.9koz. Based on the quarter, we believe the Company is in good position to achieve gold production of 90-100koz in 2020. The Company reported a record consolidated gold production for December of 9,620 ounces from the Beta Hunt and Higginsville mines in Western Australia. We expect an improvement over 3Q19 C1 cash costs of $938/oz and AISC of $1,183/oz, thanks in part to the contribution from high grade gold production and ongoing efficiencies in milling costs. RNX experienced minor disruptions in ore haulage from Beta Hunt due to road closures in the region, however the Company continued to process ROM stockpiles and Baloo material throughout this period, which we estimate lasted less than two weeks.
Strong Finish to 2019 –January 9, 2020
UNCOVERED NAMES
Osino Resources Corp. (OSI-V, $0.80) | Not Rated
Our Take: Osino released drill assay results from 16 RC holes targeting its Twin Hills Central discovery at its Karibib Gold Project in Namibia. The recent assays are part of the Company’s Phase 2 program at the project where to date a total of 16 RC holes and 8 diamond drill holes have been received following the receipt of Phase 1’s 7 diamond drill holes. The Company’s Phase 1 drilling intersected wide intervals of near-surface gold mineralization including 189 metres grading 0.69 g/t gold (including 33 metres grading 1.03 g/t gold) and the 7 holes intersected gold mineralization over an ~800 metre strike length. Results increase the strike length of gold mineralization by 50% to ~1,200 metres as they extend mineralization to both the east and west as well as at depth. This includes the most significant intersection of gold mineralization drilled to date at Twin Hill (on a g/t × metre basis): Hole OKD024 which
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
5 January 10, 2020
intersected 92 metres grading 1.40 g/t gold (from a downhole depth of 20 metres). The aim of the Company’s phase two program has been to define higher grade shoots, test strike extensions at Twin Hills Central and complete initial drill traverses at Twin Hills West, Barking Dog and Clouds.
Drilling Extends Strike Length at Twin Hills by 50% – January 9, 2020
Velocity Minerals Ltd. (VLC-V, $0.42) | Not Rated
Our Take: Velocity announced its initial drilling results from its Sedefche Gold Project in Bulgaria. Sedefche is a small mine-ready gold deposit with a valid mining concession located approximately 35 kilometers from Velocity’s Bulgarian partner Gorubso’s CIL plant. The project is of interest as it provides a short-term option to feed Garubso’s under-utilized CIL plant. It hosts a non-NI 43-101 complaint resource of ~100,000 ounces of gold at an average grade of between 1.34 and 1.71 g/t gold (depending on which historic resource estimate is used). The recently released assays have broadly confirmed historical drilling results and identified higher-grade zones associated with areas of silica-gold replacement mineralization. Importantly, the Sedefche project is permitted for development and the recent results support the potential to fast-track development of the deposit along the lines of the existing permitted Mine Design Plan. Velocity aims to deliver a NI 43-101 compliant resource and PEA sometime in 2020. Any production at Sedefche will be operated by Gorubso and managed by Velocity. We note that some excavation work has already been completed at Sedefche by Gorubso.
Historic Gold Assays Confirmed at Sedefche – January 9, 2020
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
6 January 10, 2020
Weekly Commodities
Source: Haywood Securities and Bloomberg
.
Name Close 1Wk Δ 1 week % 1 Month % 3 Month % 6 Month % 12 Month % 5 Day Trend 52W H/L 1W H/L
Gold Spot $ 1,552 $ 22.66 1.5% 6.2% 3.1% 11.0% 20.0% $ 1,611 $ 1,574
US$/oz $ 1,266 $ 1,529
Silver Spot $ 17.91 $ (0.11) (0.6%) 7.8% 1.0% 18.5% 13.7% $ 19.65 $ 18.41
US$/oz $ 14.29 $ 17.91
Platinum Spot $ 967 $ (13.20) (1.4%) 8.0% 8.4% 19.1% 17.1% $ 998 $ 982
US$/oz $ 780 $ 954
Palladium Spot $ 2,110 $ 148.67 7.0% 12.1% 25.4% 36.2% 58.8% $ 2,149 $ 2,110
US$/oz $ 1,268 $ 1,961
Name Close 1Wk Δ 1 week % 1 Month % 3 Month % 6 Month % 12 Month % 5 Day Trend 52W H/L 1W H/L
Copper Future $ 2.79 $ (0.00) (0.2%) 1.7% 8.9% 5.9% 3.6% $ 2.98 $ 2.80
US$/lb $ 2.51 $ 2.77
Nickel Spot $ 6.35 $ (0.08) (1.3%) 5.5% (19.9)% 10.8% 25.3% $ 8.45 $ 6.44
US$/lb $ 5.08 $ 6.21
Lead Spot $ 0.87 $ 0.00 0.3% 2.0% (10.0)% (0.3)% (2.4)% $ 1.03 $ 0.87
US$/lb $ 0.80 $ 0.86
Zinc Spot $ 1.08 $ 0.03 2.7% 6.5% 2.5% 1.3% (5.1)% $ 1.37 $ 1.10
US$/lb $ 1.00 $ 1.05
Aluminum Spot $ 0.81 $ - - 0.9% 2.2% (1.8)% (3.1)% $ 0.87 $ 0.82
US$/lb $ 0.77 $ 0.80
Iron Ore Spot $ 93.00 $ 0.45 0.5% 1.0% 0.3% (22.7)% 25.6% $ 140.00 $ 78.80
US$/t $ 77.70 $ 77.70
Name Close 1Wk Δ 1 week % 1 Month % 3 Month % 6 Month % 12 Month % 5 Day Trend 52W H/L 1W H/L
Newcastle Coal $ 72.85 $ 1.60 2.2% 6.8% 2.3% (5.3)% (24.9)% $ 99.75 $ 72.85
US$/t $ 64.50 $ 71.20
Uranium Spot $ 24.50 $ (0.35) (1.4%) (5.8)% (3.0)% (2.6)% (18.7)% $ 26.40 $ 24.85
US$/lb $ 26.40 $ 24.50
WTI $ 59.63 $ (1.55) (2.6%) 1.2% 14.0% 4.0% 8.0% $ 65.65 $ 63.27
US$/bbl $ 50.24 $ 59.61
Brent $ 65.43 $ (0.82) (1.3%) 3.4% 14.8% 4.0% 5.2% $ 71.75 $ 68.91
US$/bbl $ 54.88 $ 65.43
Henry Hub $ 2.17 $ 0.05 2.1% (3.0)% (14.6)% (22.2)% (29.3)% $ 3.17 $ 2.17
US$/MMBtu $ 2.08 $ 2.12.
PRECIOUS METALS
BASE METALS
ENERGY
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
7 January 10, 2020
Commodities Prices and Inventories
Precious Metals
Source: Haywood Securities and Bloomberg
Commodities LME Spot Price Weekly Δ YTD Δ 1 Year Δ
Gold US$ 1,552 /oz 1.5% -0.2% -0.2%
Silver US$ 17.91 /oz -0.6% 0.3% 13.7%
Platinum US$ 967 /oz -1.3% 0.0% 17.1%
Spot Price
(8.0%)
(6.0%)
(4.0%)
(2.0%)
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Precious Metals Weekly Change (12 weeks)
Gold Spot Silver Spot Platinum Spot
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
8 January 10, 2020
Base Metals
Source: Haywood Securities and Bloomberg
Commodities LME Spot Price Weekly Δ YTD Δ 1 Year Δ
Copper US$ 2.79 /lb -0.2% 0.1% 3.6%
Zinc US$ 1.08 /lb 2.7% 4.7% -5.1%
Nickel US$ 6.35 /lb -1.3% 0.4% 25.3%
Commodities LME Inventory Weekly Δ Total (t) YTD Δ 1 Year ΔDays of
Consumption
Copper 135,800 -6.1% 309,432 2% -10% 4.8
Zinc 51,375 0.3% 82,181 4% -47% 2.3
Nickel 167,910 9.5% 205,214 9% -7% 33.4
LME Inventory Total Inventory Excluding Bonded Warehouse Inventory
Spot Price
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Base Metals Weekly Change (12 weeks)
LME Copper Spot LME Zinc Spot LME Nickel Spot
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
9 January 10, 2020
Source: Haywood Securities and Bloomberg
1
Note: Total Inventories exclude the bonded warehouse inventories
31-Jan-1728-Feb-1731-Mar-1730-Apr-1731-May-1730-Jun-1731-Jul-1731-Aug-1730-Sep-1731-Oct-1730-Nov-1731-Dec-1731-Jan-1828-Feb-1831-Mar-1830-Apr-1831-May-1830-Jun-1831-Jul-1831-Aug-1830-Sep-1831-Oct-1830-Nov-1831-Dec-1831-Jan-1928-Feb-1931-Mar-1930-Apr-1931-May-1930-Jun-1931-Jul-1931-Aug-1930-Sep-1931-Oct-1930-Nov-1931-Dec-19
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Copper Price & Inventories
CU Del Stocks LME COPPER TOTAL Comex Copper Stocks LME Copper Price
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Zinc Price & Inventories
LME ZINC TOTAL SHFE Zinc Weekly Inventory Zi LME Zinc Price
31-Jan-1728-Feb-1731-Mar-1730-Apr-1731-May-1730-Jun-1731-Jul-1731-Aug-1730-Sep-1731-Oct-1730-Nov-1731-Dec-1731-Jan-1828-Feb-1831-Mar-1830-Apr-1831-May-1830-Jun-1831-Jul-1831-Aug-1830-Sep-1831-Oct-1830-Nov-1831-Dec-1831-Jan-1928-Feb-1931-Mar-1930-Apr-1931-May-1930-Jun-1931-Jul-1931-Aug-1930-Sep-1931-Oct-1930-Nov-1931-Dec-19
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Nickel Price & Inventories
LME NICKEL TOTAL Del Stk Total LME Nickel Price
31-Jan-1728-Feb-1731-Mar-1730-Apr-1731-May-1730-Jun-1731-Jul-1731-Aug-1730-Sep-1731-Oct-1730-Nov-1731-Dec-1731-Jan-1828-Feb-1831-Mar-1830-Apr-1831-May-1830-Jun-1831-Jul-1831-Aug-1830-Sep-1831-Oct-1830-Nov-1831-Dec-1831-Jan-1928-Feb-1931-Mar-1930-Apr-1931-May-1930-Jun-1931-Jul-1931-Aug-1930-Sep-1931-Oct-1930-Nov-1931-Dec-19
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50,000
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$ -
$ 0.20
$ 0.40
$ 0.60
$ 0.80
$ 1.00
$ 1.20
$ 1.40
Ton
nes
of I
nve
nto
ries
Lead
(U
S $
/lb
)
Lead Price & Inventories
LME LEAD TOTAL Lead Del Stocks/Total LME Lead Price
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
10 January 10, 2020
Commodities and ETFs: A Week in Action
Gold – 1-Year US$/oz (left) and Total ETF Holdings (right)
Spot: Gain (+1.5%) for the week
ETF Holdings: 81,554,149 ounces, up 95,987 ounces for the week
Silver – 1-Year US$/oz (left) and Total ETF Holdings (right)
Spot: Loss (-0.7%) for the week
ETF Holdings: 604,355,796 ounces, down 1,873,374 ounces for the week
Platinum – 1-Year US$/oz (left) and Total ETF Holdings (right)
Spot: Loss (-1.4%) for the week
ETF Holdings: 3,300,741 ounces, down 17,801 ounces for the week
Palladium – 1-Year US$/oz (left) and Total ETF Holdings (right)
Spot: Gain (+7.6%) for the week
ETF Holdings: 618,907 ounces, up 1,859 ounces for the week
Copper – 1-Year US$/lb (left) and LME Inventory (right)
Futures: Loss (-0.2%) for the week
LME Copper: 135,800 tonnes, down 8,875 tonnes for the week
$1,050
$1,150
$1,250
$1,350
$1,450
$1,550
Jan-19 Jan-20Gold ($/oz)
Price
100D MA61
66
71
76
81
86
Jan-19 Jan-20Gold ETF Holdings (Moz)
$13.00
$16.00
$19.00
Jan-19 Jan-20Silver ($/oz)
Price
100D MA
500520540560580600620640
Jan-19 Jan-20Silver ETF Holdings (Moz)
$700
$900
$1,100
Jan-19 Jan-20Platinum ($/oz)
Price
100D MA
2.2
2.7
3.2
3.7
Jan-19 Jan-20Platinum ETF Holdings (Moz)
$460
$1,460
$2,460
Jan-19 Jan-20Palladium ($/oz)
Price
100D MA
0.5
0.7
0.9
Jan-19 Jan-20Palladium ETF Holdings (Moz)
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
Jan-19 Jan-20Copper ($/lb)
Price
100D MA
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
Jan-19 Jan-20LME Copper Inventories (t)
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
11 January 10, 2020
Nickel – 1-Year US$/lb (left) and LME Inventory (right)
Spot: Loss (-1.3%) for the week
LME Nickel: 167,910 tonnes, up 14,592 tonnes for the week
Lead – 1-Year US$/lb (left) and LME Inventory (right)
Spot: Gain (+0.3%) for the week
LME Lead: 66,525 tonnes, up 325 tonnes for the week
Zinc – 1-Year US$/lb (left) and LME Inventory (right)
Spot: Gain (+2.7%) for the week
LME Zinc: 51,375 tonnes, up 175 tonnes for the week
Iron – 1-Year US$/t 62% Fe (left) and 1-Year US$/t Newcastle (right)
Newcastle Thermal Futures: Gain (+1.5%) for the week
62% Fe Iron Ore: Loss (-0.4%) for the week
Uranium – 1-Year US$/lb Short Term (left) and Long-term (right)
Uranium Long: Loss (-1.0%) for the week
Source: Bloomberg, UxC Consulting, and Haywood Securities
$3.70
$5.20
$6.70
$8.20
Jan-19 Jan-20Nickel ($/lb)
Price
100D MA
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
Jan-19 Jan-20LME Nickel Inventories (t)
$0.75
$0.95
$1.15
Jan-19 Jan-20Lead ($/lb)
Price
100D MA
50,000
70,000
90,000
110,000
130,000
150,000
170,000
Jan-19 Jan-20LME Lead Inventories (t)
$0.90
$1.40
Jan-19 Jan-20Zinc ($/lb)
Price
100D MA
40,000
90,000
140,000
190,000
240,000
290,000
Jan-19 Jan-20LME Zinc Inventories (t)
$50
$90
$130
Jan-19 Jan-2062% Iron Ore ($/t)
Price
100D MA
$60
$110
Jan-19 Jan-20Newcastle Therma Coal (USD/t)
Price
100D MA
$18
$23
$28
Jan-19 Uranium Spot ($/lb)
Price
100D MA
$20
$25
$30
$35
Jan-19 Uranium Long-Term ($/lb)
Price
100D MA
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
12 January 10, 2020
Upcoming Macroeconomic News and Events
Source: Bloomberg
Date Event Period Survey Prior Relevance
United States01/10/2020 Change in Nonfarm Payrolls Dec 160k 266k 9901/10/2020 Change in Manufact. Payrolls Dec 5k 54k 6901/10/2020 Unemployment Rate Dec 3.50% 3.50% 8901/10/2020 Wholesale Inventories MoM Nov F 0.00% 0.00% 8101/13/2020 Monthly Budget Statement Dec $10.0b -$208.8b 7601/14/2020 NFIB Small Business Optimism Dec 104.8 104.7 6201/14/2020 CPI MoM Dec 0.20% 0.30% 9601/14/2020 CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM Dec 0.20% 0.20% 7701/14/2020 CPI YoY Dec 2.30% 2.10% 7001/15/2020 MBA Mortgage Applications 10-Jan -- 13.50% 9201/15/2020 PPI Final Demand MoM Dec 0.20% 0.00% 8701/15/2020 PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM Dec 0.20% -0.20% 6601/15/2020 PPI Final Demand YoY Dec 1.20% 1.10% 6901/15/2020 PPI Ex Food and Energy YoY Dec 1.30% 1.30% 6501/15/2020 Empire Manufacturing Jan 4 3.5 8301/16/2020 Import Price Index MoM Dec 0.40% 0.20% 7801/16/2020 Retail Sales Advance MoM Dec 0.30% 0.20% 9201/16/2020 Retail Sales Ex Auto and Gas Dec 0.30% 0.00% 6101/16/2020 Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM Dec 0.60% 0.10% 6401/16/2020 Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Jan 3.4 0.3 8001/16/2020 Initial Jobless Claims 11-Jan -- 214k 9801/16/2020 Continuing Claims 04-Jan -- 1803k 6901/16/2020 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 12-Jan -- 65.1 6701/16/2020 Net Long-term TIC Flows Nov -- $32.5b 7301/16/2020 Total Net TIC Flows Nov -- -$48.3b 6501/17/2020 Building Permits Dec 1470k 1482k 6301/17/2020 Housing Starts Dec 1376k 1365k 9001/17/2020 Capacity Utilization Dec 77.30% 77.30% 6201/17/2020 Industrial Production MoM Dec 0.20% 1.10% 8901/17/2020 U. of Mich. Sentiment Jan P 99.3 99.3 94
Date Event Period Survey Prior Relevance
Canada01/10/2020 Net Change in Employment Dec 25.0k -71.2k 8601/10/2020 Unemployment Rate Dec 5.80% 5.90% 91
Date Event Period Survey Prior Relevance
China01/09/2020 New Yuan Loans CNY Dec 1200.0b 1390.0b 7101/09/2020 Money Supply M2 YoY Dec 8.30% 8.20% 8301/13/2020 Exports YoY Dec 1.90% -1.30% 7601/13/2020 Imports YoY Dec 9.50% 0.30% 7301/13/2020 Trade Balance Dec $45.25b $38.73b 8001/16/2020 Retail Sales YoY Dec 7.80% 8.00% 7801/16/2020 Industrial Production YTD YoY Dec 5.60% 5.60% 6101/16/2020 Industrial Production YoY Dec 5.90% 6.20% 8501/16/2020 GDP YoY 4Q 6.00% 6.00% 95
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
13 January 10, 2020
Weekly Indices
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
.
.
244
246
248
250
252
254
256
258
260
262
264
16,900
16,950
17,000
17,050
17,100
17,150
17,200
17,250
17,300
Go
ld I
nd
ex
Co
mp
osi
te I
nd
ex
S&P/TSX Composite Index 0.8% WoW
S&P/TSX Global Gold Index -3.9% WoW
105
106
106
107
107
108
108
109
109
110
16,900
16,950
17,000
17,050
17,100
17,150
17,200
17,250
17,300
Ba
se M
eta
ls I
nd
ex
Co
mp
osi
te I
nd
ex
S&P/TSX Composite Index 0.8% WoW
S&P/TSX Global Base Metals Index -3.9% WoW
565
570
575
580
585
590
595
1,630
1,635
1,640
1,645
1,650
1,655
1,660
1,665
1,670
1,675
S&P
/TSX
Ven
ture
Co
mp
In
dex
Ru
ssel
l 20
00
Ind
ex
Russell 2000 Index -0.1% WoW
S&P/TSX Venture Comp Index -1.7% WoW
3,200
3,210
3,220
3,230
3,240
3,250
3,260
3,270
3,280
S&P
50
0 In
dex
S&P 500 Index 0.5% WoW
215
220
225
230
235
240
245
NYS
E A
RC
A E
xch
an
ge G
old
BU
GS
Ind
ex
NYSE ARCA Exchange Gold BUGS Index -5.7% WoW
770
780
790
800
810
820
830
840
NYS
E A
rca
Go
ld M
iner
s In
dex
NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index -3.9% WoW
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
14 January 10, 2020
Weekly Equities
Equity Weekly Performance – Precious Metals Companies (S&P/TSX Global Mining Index and Haywood Covered Companies)
Source: Capital IQ and Haywood Securities
10%
4%
3%
3%
1%
1%
(0)%
(1)%
(1)%
(1)%
Harte Gold Corp.
Guyana Goldfields Inc.
New Gold Inc.
Liberty Gold Corp.
Continental Gold Inc.
Argonaut Gold Inc.
Harmony Gold Mining Company…
Torex Gold Resources Inc.
Lundin Gold Inc.
OceanaGold Corporation
Top Companies
-19%-17%
-17%
-17%
-11%
-10%
-10%
-10%
-9%
Falco Resources Ltd.
Coeur Mining, Inc.
TMAC Resources Inc.
Premier Gold Mines Limited
First Majestic Silver Corp.
Sabina Gold & Silver Corp.
Endeavour Silver Corp.
Hecla Mining Company
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd.
Bottom Companies
1Wk 52Wk 1Wk 52Wk
$∆ High $∆ High
TSX:AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Limited 77.06 (1.92) (2)% 86.39 51.39 TSX:LUG Lundin Gold Inc. 8.29 (0.06) (1)% 9.04 4.59
TSX:ASR Alacer Gold Corp. 6.49 (0.33) (5)% 7.66 2.53 TSX:MAG MAG Silver Corp. 14.09 (0.89) (6)% 18.60 9.66
TSX:AGI Alamos Gold Inc. 7.21 (0.51) (7)% 10.12 4.94 TSX:MOZ Marathon Gold Corporation 1.58 (0.12) (7)% 1.76 0.78
NYSE:AU AngloGold Ashanti Limited 28.17 (1.29) (4)% 31.22 14.78 NYSE:MUX McEwen Mining Inc. 1.53 (0.13) (8)% 2.80 1.34
TSX:AR Argonaut Gold Inc. 1.98 0.02 1% 2.87 1.36 TSX:MAX Midas Gold Corp. 0.65 (0.01) (2)% 1.03 0.51
TSX:AKG Asanko Gold Inc. 1.14 (0.07) (6)% 1.45 0.68 TSXV:MAI Minera Alamos Inc. 0.29 (0.02) (5)% 0.32 0.10
TSX:BTO B2Gold Corp. 4.97 (0.13) (3)% 5.36 3.24 TSX:NGD New Gold Inc. 1.21 0.04 3% 2.03 0.82
TSX:ABX Barrick Gold Corporation 22.98 (1.02) (4)% 26.69 15.37 NYSE:NEM Newmont Corporation 54.54 (1.59) (3)% 57.71 38.97
TSX:CG Centerra Gold Inc. 10.03 (0.32) (3)% 13.00 5.64 TSX:NHK Nighthawk Gold Corp. 0.50 (0.01) (2)% 0.73 0.31
TSX:CGG China Gold International Resources Corp. Ltd.1.13 (0.05) (4)% 1.93 0.88 TSX:NG NovaGold Resources Inc. 10.74 (0.74) (6)% 12.00 4.57
NYSE:CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. 8.38 (1.76) (17)% 10.85 3.64 TSX:OGC OceanaGold Corporation 2.50 (0.03) (1)% 4.80 2.12
NYSE:BVN Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A.18.46 (1.10) (6)% 23.37 18.03 TSX:OR Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd 12.23 (0.37) (3)% 17.47 11.00
TSX:CNL Continental Gold Inc. 5.42 0.08 1% 5.46 1.76 TSX:OSK Osisko Mining Inc. 3.81 (0.15) (4)% 4.19 2.49
TSX:DGC Detour Gold Corporation 24.75 (0.30) (1)% 26.14 11.22 TSX:PAAS Pan American Silver Corp. 28.90 (1.58) (5)% 31.23 13.83
TSX:ELD Eldorado Gold Corporation 9.72 (0.80) (8)% 13.34 3.36 TSX:PG Premier Gold Mines Limited 1.61 (0.32) (17)% 2.55 1.41
TSX:EDV Endeavour Mining Corporation 23.28 (1.55) (6)% 28.98 17.24 TSX:PVG Pretium Resources Inc. 13.93 (0.50) (3)% 18.30 8.85
TSX:EDR Endeavour Silver Corp. 2.81 (0.30) (10)% 4.26 2.21 TSXV:PGM Pure Gold Mining Inc. 0.79 (0.06) (7)% 0.88 0.49
TSX:EQX Equinox Gold Corp. 9.82 (0.32) (3)% 10.34 4.90 TSX:RNx Royal Nickel Corporation 0.48 (0.02) (4)% 0.79 0.33
TSXV:FPC Falco Resources Ltd. 0.28 (0.07) (19)% 0.43 0.19 TSX:ROXG Roxgold Inc. 0.95 (0.08) (8)% 1.42 0.72
TSX:FR First Majestic Silver Corp. 14.20 (1.68) (11)% 16.50 6.67 NasdaqGS:RGLD Royal Gold, Inc. 146.87 (10.41) (7)% 181.68 105.58
TSX:FVI Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. 4.88 (0.37) (7)% 6.12 3.22 TSX:SBB Sabina Gold & Silver Corp. 1.71 (0.19) (10)% 2.28 0.99
TSX:FNV Franco-Nevada Corporation 131.69 (2.73) (2)% 137.43 90.50 TSX:SSL Sandstorm Gold Ltd. 8.86 (0.80) (8)% 9.89 5.85
NYSE:GFI Gold Fields Limited 7.99 (0.57) (7)% 8.94 4.56 NYSE:SA Seabridge Gold Inc. 16.39 (1.49) (8)% 21.67 14.33
TSX:GSC Golden Star Resources Ltd. 4.39 (0.38) (8)% 6.48 3.36 TSX:SMF SEMAFO Inc. 2.50 (0.20) (7)% 5.75 2.36
TSXV:GQC Goldquest Mining Corp. 0.14 (0.01) (7)% 0.23 0.08 NYSE:SBGL Sibanye Gold Limited 12.91 (0.21) (2)% 13.73 3.46
TSX:GUY Guyana Goldfields Inc. 0.72 0.03 4% 1.84 0.46 TSX:SVM Silvercorp Metals Inc. 6.94 (0.33) (5)% 7.69 2.61
NYSE:HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited 4.79 (0.00) (0)% 5.14 2.06 TSX:SSRM SSR Mining Inc. 23.17 (1.48) (6)% 25.33 14.23
TSX:HRT Harte Gold Corp. 0.17 0.02 10% 0.44 0.09 TSX:TMR TMAC Resources Inc. 3.10 (0.64) (17)% 6.95 3.08
NYSE:HL Hecla Mining Company 4.02 (0.42) (10)% 4.60 1.58 TSX:TXG Torex Gold Resources Inc. 20.17 (0.13) (1)% 21.91 11.41
TSX:IMG IAMGOLD Corporation 4.41 (0.45) (9)% 5.55 3.08 TSX:TML Treasury Metals Inc. 0.28 (0.03) (8)% 0.42 0.21
TSX:IVN Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. 3.84 (0.36) (9)% 4.54 2.24 TSX:TLG Troilus Gold Corp. 0.60 (0.05) (8)% 1.16 0.52
TSX:K Kinross Gold Corporation 5.82 (0.37) (6)% 7.24 4.04 TSX:WDO Wesdome Gold Mines Ltd. 9.73 (0.50) (5)% 10.47 3.96
TSX:KL Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd. 56.32 (1.15) (2)% 67.87 34.43 TSX:WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. 36.28 (2.31) (6)% 40.95 24.75
TSX:LGD Liberty Gold Corp. 1.12 0.03 3% 1.12 0.29 TSX:YRI Yamana Gold Inc. 4.77 (0.33) (6)% 5.24 2.41
%∆ LowCompany CloseTicker Low%∆CompanyTicker Close
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
15 January 10, 2020
Weekly Performance – Precious Metals Companies (Covered Large Cap)
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
.
.
(1.2%)
(1.2%)
(2.5%)
(2.9%)
(4.3%)
(6.2%)
(6.6%)
(7.4%)
(7.6%)
OCEANAGOLD CORP
DETOUR GOLD CORP
B2GOLD CORP
OSISKO GOLD ROYALTIES LTD
BARRICK GOLD CORP
ENDEAVOUR MINING CORP
ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A
SEMAFO INC
ELDORADO GOLD CORP
Weekly Price Change
7.8%
7.2%
3.1%
2.9%
2.1%
1.7%
1.1%
0.8%
(4.2%)
OCEANAGOLD CORP
OSISKO GOLD ROYALTIES LTD
BARRICK GOLD CORP
B2GOLD CORP
ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A
DETOUR GOLD CORP
ELDORADO GOLD CORP
SEMAFO INC
ENDEAVOUR MINING CORP
1-Month Price Change
16.9%
8.0%
(1.6%)
(3.5%)
(5.8%)
(6.4%)
(8.4%)
(29.2%)
(40.9%)
DETOUR GOLD CORP
B2GOLD CORP
OSISKO GOLD ROYALTIES LTD
BARRICK GOLD CORP
ENDEAVOUR MINING CORP
ELDORADO GOLD CORP
ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A
OCEANAGOLD CORP
SEMAFO INC
3-Month Price Change
44.9%
23.0%
13.0%
9.0%
6.3%
(8.9%)
(9.3%)
(25.4%)
(49.7%)
DETOUR GOLD CORP
B2GOLD CORP
ELDORADO GOLD CORP
BARRICK GOLD CORP
ENDEAVOUR MINING CORP
OSISKO GOLD ROYALTIES LTD
ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A
OCEANAGOLD CORP
SEMAFO INC
6-Month Price Change
127.6%
106.1%
40.3%
39.9%
29.1%
6.2%
0.4%
(14.1%)
(48.1%)
ELDORADO GOLD CORP
DETOUR GOLD CORP
ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A
BARRICK GOLD CORP
B2GOLD CORP
ENDEAVOUR MINING CORP
OSISKO GOLD ROYALTIES LTD
SEMAFO INC
OCEANAGOLD CORP
1-Year Price Change
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
16 January 10, 2020
Weekly Performance – Precious Metals Companies (Covered Small Cap)
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
.
.
9.7%
9.4%
5.4%
2.8%
0.0%
(0.7%)
(0.9%)
(1.5%)
(1.5%)
(2.0%)
(2.1%)
(3.0%)
(3.2%)
(3.3%)
(3.8%)
(4.0%)
(5.8%)
(6.5%)
(6.7%)
(7.1%)
(7.7%)
(7.8%)
(10.5%)
(13.3%)
(17.9%)
HARTE GOLD CORP
SUPERIOR GOLD INC
K92 MINING
LIBERTY GOLD CORP
STEPPE GOLD LTD
LUNDIN GOLD INC
METALLA ROYALTY & STREAMING
FILO MINING CORP
LUMINA GOLD CORP
NIGHTHAWK GOLD CORP
BLUESTONE RESOURCES INC
MIDAS GOLD CORP
EQUINOX GOLD CORP
TREASURY METALS INC
OSISKO MINING INC
ROYAL NICKEL CORP
ASANKO GOLD INC
MARATHON GOLD CORP
MINERA ALAMOS INC
PURE GOLD MINING INC
TROILUS GOLD CORP
ROXGOLD INC
SABINA GOLD & SILVER CORP
GOLDQUEST MINING CORP
FALCO RESOURCES LTD
Weekly Price Change
44.3%
37.5%
36.0%
35.9%
27.3%
26.1%
23.7%
22.3%
22.0%
20.3%
18.0%
16.1%
14.5%
12.3%
11.1%
7.7%
3.6%
2.1%
(0.9%)
(1.0%)
(2.2%)
(2.5%)
(3.7%)
(3.9%)
(9.6%)
SUPERIOR GOLD INC
FALCO RESOURCES LTD
HARTE GOLD CORP
METALLA ROYALTY & STREAMING
LIBERTY GOLD CORP
EQUINOX GOLD CORP
OSISKO MINING INC
BLUESTONE RESOURCES INC
NIGHTHAWK GOLD CORP
K92 MINING
ROYAL NICKEL CORP
MIDAS GOLD CORP
PURE GOLD MINING INC
LUMINA GOLD CORP
TROILUS GOLD CORP
MINERA ALAMOS INC
TREASURY METALS INC
LUNDIN GOLD INC
ASANKO GOLD INC
ROXGOLD INC
STEPPE GOLD LTD
MARATHON GOLD CORP
GOLDQUEST MINING CORP
FILO MINING CORP
SABINA GOLD & SILVER CORP
1-Month Price Change
47.4%
39.7%
39.0%
35.3%
31.7%
30.8%
30.2%
20.8%
19.0%
17.0%
15.8%
5.5%
3.8%
3.5%
3.2%
(1.2%)
(2.1%)
(7.6%)
(9.1%)
(10.3%)
(13.0%)
(13.5%)
(15.5%)
(21.2%)
(32.0%)
MINERA ALAMOS INC
ROYAL NICKEL CORP
METALLA ROYALTY & STREAMING
K92 MINING
PURE GOLD MINING INC
EQUINOX GOLD CORP
LIBERTY GOLD CORP
LUMINA GOLD CORP
NIGHTHAWK GOLD CORP
FALCO RESOURCES LTD
OSISKO MINING INC
TREASURY METALS INC
BLUESTONE RESOURCES INC
LUNDIN GOLD INC
MIDAS GOLD CORP
MARATHON GOLD CORP
ROXGOLD INC
SABINA GOLD & SILVER CORP
SUPERIOR GOLD INC
GOLDQUEST MINING CORP
ASANKO GOLD INC
STEPPE GOLD LTD
TROILUS GOLD CORP
FILO MINING CORP
HARTE GOLD CORP
3-Month Price Change
107.4%
93.1%
87.2%
67.9%
55.4%
41.1%
38.6%
28.1%
26.9%
24.7%
24.1%
12.5%
12.3%
9.8%
5.8%
3.6%
(3.0%)
(5.4%)
(9.5%)
(16.7%)
(17.8%)
(19.5%)
(23.5%)
(26.8%)
(34.6%)
LIBERTY GOLD CORP
MINERA ALAMOS INC
METALLA ROYALTY & STREAMING
EQUINOX GOLD CORP
K92 MINING
PURE GOLD MINING INC
MARATHON GOLD CORP
ASANKO GOLD INC
BLUESTONE RESOURCES INC
LUNDIN GOLD INC
SABINA GOLD & SILVER CORP
STEPPE GOLD LTD
LUMINA GOLD CORP
OSISKO MINING INC
FALCO RESOURCES LTD
TREASURY METALS INC
MIDAS GOLD CORP
SUPERIOR GOLD INC
ROXGOLD INC
NIGHTHAWK GOLD CORP
TROILUS GOLD CORP
ROYAL NICKEL CORP
GOLDQUEST MINING CORP
FILO MINING CORP
HARTE GOLD CORP
6-Month Price Change
261.3%
188.1%
154.5%
141.4%
92.7%
83.6%
72.7%
31.8%
30.9%
21.5%
16.3%
12.4%
12.3%
10.5%
8.4%
7.0%
1.1%
0.0%
(9.4%)
(10.5%)
(16.7%)
(18.9%)
(30.4%)
(35.0%)
(59.5%)
LIBERTY GOLD CORP
K92 MINING
MINERA ALAMOS INC
METALLA ROYALTY & STREAMING
MARATHON GOLD CORP
EQUINOX GOLD CORP
LUNDIN GOLD INC
SABINA GOLD & SILVER CORP
OSISKO MINING INC
PURE GOLD MINING INC
ASANKO GOLD INC
NIGHTHAWK GOLD CORP
LUMINA GOLD CORP
ROXGOLD INC
STEPPE GOLD LTD
BLUESTONE RESOURCES INC
ROYAL NICKEL CORP
GOLDQUEST MINING CORP
TREASURY METALS INC
FILO MINING CORP
SUPERIOR GOLD INC
TROILUS GOLD CORP
FALCO RESOURCES LTD
MIDAS GOLD CORP
HARTE GOLD CORP
1-Year Price Change
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
17 January 10, 2020
Equity Weekly Performance – Base Metals Companies
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
.
.
7.9%
2.9%
2.7%
2.6%
1.1%
0.8%
0.0%
(0.2%)
(1.3%)
(1.4%)
(4.0%)
(4.2%)
(7.0%)
(8.1%)
(8.2%)
(8.9%)
(9.1%)
(9.1%)
(10.1%)
(10.6%)
SHERRITT INTERNATIONAL CORP
TASEKO MINES LTD
LME ZINC SPOT ($)
CAPSTONE MINING CORP
Osisko Metals Inc.
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX
XANADU MINES LTD
LME COPPER SPOT ($)
LME NICKEL SPOT ($)
NEVADA COPPER CORP
LUNDIN MINING CORP
TREVALI MINING CORP
IMPERIAL METALS CORP
ATALAYA MINING PLC
ADVENTUS MINING CORP
COPPER MOUNTAIN MINING CORP
FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS LTD
HUDBAY MINERALS INC
S&P/TSX DIV MTLS&MIN IDX
TECK RESOURCES LTD-CLS B
Weekly Price Change
46.2%
33.3%
29.6%
25.5%
21.1%
12.5%
9.7%
7.9%
7.1%
6.5%
5.5%
4.5%
2.3%
1.7%
1.7%
0.9%
0.9%
(2.1%)
(10.7%)
(14.3%)
IMPERIAL METALS CORP
CAPSTONE MINING CORP
TASEKO MINES LTD
NEVADA COPPER CORP
TREVALI MINING CORP
COPPER MOUNTAIN MINING CORP
ATALAYA MINING PLC
SHERRITT INTERNATIONAL CORP
Osisko Metals Inc.
LME ZINC SPOT ($)
LME NICKEL SPOT ($)
HUDBAY MINERALS INC
ADVENTUS MINING CORP
LME COPPER SPOT ($)
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX
S&P/TSX DIV MTLS&MIN IDX
LUNDIN MINING CORP
TECK RESOURCES LTD-CLS B
FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS LTD
XANADU MINES LTD
1-Month Price Change
64.3%
50.9%
28.3%
25.0%
22.1%
13.3%
12.5%
8.9%
8.7%
8.0%
7.0%
5.2%
3.0%
3.0%
2.5%
(11.0%)
(11.8%)
(19.9%)
(24.1%)
(60.0%)
NEVADA COPPER CORP
CAPSTONE MINING CORP
FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS LTD
TASEKO MINES LTD
LUNDIN MINING CORP
HUDBAY MINERALS INC
COPPER MOUNTAIN MINING CORP
LME COPPER SPOT ($)
IMPERIAL METALS CORP
S&P/TSX DIV MTLS&MIN IDX
TREVALI MINING CORP
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX
ATALAYA MINING PLC
TECK RESOURCES LTD-CLS B
LME ZINC SPOT ($)
ADVENTUS MINING CORP
Osisko Metals Inc.
LME NICKEL SPOT ($)
SHERRITT INTERNATIONAL CORP
XANADU MINES LTD
3-Month Price Change
48.1%
11.8%
10.9%
10.8%
5.9%
4.5%
4.2%
2.9%
1.3%
(1.7%)
(2.4%)
(8.0%)
(10.0%)
(11.0%)
(13.8%)
(21.1%)
(22.7%)
(25.8%)
(27.4%)
(50.0%)
CAPSTONE MINING CORP
FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS LTD
LUNDIN MINING CORP
LME NICKEL SPOT ($)
LME COPPER SPOT ($)
NEVADA COPPER CORP
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX
TASEKO MINES LTD
LME ZINC SPOT ($)
ATALAYA MINING PLC
SHERRITT INTERNATIONAL CORP
TREVALI MINING CORP
COPPER MOUNTAIN MINING CORP
ADVENTUS MINING CORP
IMPERIAL METALS CORP
Osisko Metals Inc.
HUDBAY MINERALS INC
S&P/TSX DIV MTLS&MIN IDX
TECK RESOURCES LTD-CLS B
XANADU MINES LTD
6-Month Price Change
25.5%
25.3%
23.1%
16.4%
15.8%
14.1%
7.0%
3.6%
(5.1%)
(8.4%)
(10.0%)
(16.7%)
(21.7%)
(22.5%)
(29.2%)
(29.4%)
(32.6%)
(47.1%)
(58.2%)
LUNDIN MINING CORP
LME NICKEL SPOT ($)
CAPSTONE MINING CORP
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX
IMPERIAL METALS CORP
ADVENTUS MINING CORP
FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS LTD
LME COPPER SPOT ($)
LME ZINC SPOT ($)
ATALAYA MINING PLC
Osisko Metals Inc.
TASEKO MINES LTD
COPPER MOUNTAIN MINING CORP
NEVADA COPPER CORP
HUDBAY MINERALS INC
S&P/TSX DIV MTLS&MIN IDX
TECK RESOURCES LTD-CLS B
TREVALI MINING CORP
SHERRITT INTERNATIONAL CORP
1-Year Price Change
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
18 January 10, 2020
Equity Weekly Performance – Major International Miners
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
.
.
(1.1%)
(1.2%)
(1.5%)
(1.8%)
(2.7%)
(3.4%)
(5.4%)
(7.5%)
(10.6%)
SOUTHERN COPPER CORP
BHP GROUP LTD-SPON ADR
GLENCORE PLC -UNSP ADR
FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC
RIO TINTO PLC-SPON ADR
VALE SA-SP ADR
ALUMINUM CORP OF CHINA-ADR
ALCOA CORP
TECK RESOURCES LTD-CLS B
Weekly Price Change
9.0%
8.2%
7.3%
7.1%
4.9%
4.3%
3.8%
(2.1%)
(2.2%)
GLENCORE PLC -UNSP ADR
ALUMINUM CORP OF CHINA-ADR
SOUTHERN COPPER CORP
FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC
VALE SA-SP ADR
RIO TINTO PLC-SPON ADR
BHP GROUP LTD-SPON ADR
TECK RESOURCES LTD-CLS B
ALCOA CORP
1-Month Price Change
51.6%
30.3%
17.6%
16.9%
14.1%
13.2%
9.0%
7.6%
3.0%
FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC
SOUTHERN COPPER CORP
RIO TINTO PLC-SPON ADR
VALE SA-SP ADR
BHP GROUP LTD-SPON ADR
GLENCORE PLC -UNSP ADR
ALUMINUM CORP OF CHINA-ADR
ALCOA CORP
TECK RESOURCES LTD-CLS B
3-Month Price Change
19.2%
13.4%
2.2%
(2.6%)
(2.8%)
(3.1%)
(4.6%)
(10.8%)
(27.4%)
FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC
SOUTHERN COPPER CORP
ALUMINUM CORP OF CHINA-ADR
RIO TINTO PLC-SPON ADR
VALE SA-SP ADR
GLENCORE PLC -UNSP ADR
BHP GROUP LTD-SPON ADR
ALCOA CORP
TECK RESOURCES LTD-CLS B
6-Month Price Change
34.1%
21.2%
14.0%
12.6%
(0.2%)
(10.5%)
(11.7%)
(31.9%)
(32.6%)
SOUTHERN COPPER CORP
RIO TINTO PLC-SPON ADR
BHP GROUP LTD-SPON ADR
FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC
ALUMINUM CORP OF CHINA-ADR
VALE SA-SP ADR
GLENCORE PLC -UNSP ADR
ALCOA CORP
TECK RESOURCES LTD-CLS B
1-Year Price Change
The Weekly Dig
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
19
January 10, 2020
Comparables Tables – Precious Metals
Large Cap Precious Metals Companies – Market and Valuation Statistics (Haywood Estimates)
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
Small Cap Precious Metals Companies – Market and Valuation Statistics (Haywood Estimates)
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
Last Shares MC Target Return NAVPS Primary Target / CFPS
Price (C$) O/S (M) (C$M) (C$) (%) (US$) 2019E 2020E Commodity 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020 2019E 2020E
Asanko Gold Inc. TSX:AKG AKG-T GM $1.14 226 $258 $1.15 1% HOLD $1.42 $0.03 $0.30 Gold 248 290 $870 $768 $1,128 $885 0.6x 0.6x 27.3x 2.7x 29.6x 2.9x
Bluestone Resources Inc. TSXV:BSR BSR-V KS $1.37 77 $105 $2.75 101% BUY $2.38 ($0.08) ($0.08) Gold 0.4x 0.9x - - - -
Equinox Gold Corp. TSX:EQX EQX-T KS $9.82 113 $1,114 $13.75 40% BUY $10.56 $0.83 $1.30 Gold 195 270 $760 $785 $975 $1,005 0.7x 1.0x 11.3x 7.3x 12.6x 8.1x
Falco Resources Ltd. TSXV:FPC FPC-V PV $0.28 208 $57 $0.40 45% HOLD $0.76 ($0.01) ($0.06) Gold - - - - - - 0.3x 0.4x - - - -
Filo Mining Corp. TSXV:FIL FIL-V GM $1.97 88 $174 $4.60 134% BUY $3.43 ($0.36) ($0.29) Gold - - - - - - 0.4x 1.0x - - - -
Gold Road Resources Limited ASX:GOR GOR-AU GM $1.22 879 $1,068 $0.85 (30%) SELL $0.66 ($0.02) $0.08 Gold 2 216 $3,285 $730 $5,222 $754 1.4x 1.0x - 13.6x - 8.6x
Goldquest Mining Corp. TSXV:GQC GQC-V PV $0.14 257 $35 $0.08 (41%) Sell $0.06 ($0.01) ($0.01) Gold - - - - - - 1.7x 1.0x - - - -
Harte Gold Corp. TSX:HRT HRT-T PV $0.17 677 $115 $0.25 47% HOLD $0.25 ($0.01) $0.05 Gold 25 55 $1,431 $732 $1,997 $1,000 0.5x 0.8x - 4.7x - 3.8x
K92 Mining Inc. TSXV:KNT KNT-V MC $3.14 213 $669 $4.75 51% BUY $3.65 $0.13 $0.31 Gold 81 113 $535 $652 $844 $795 0.7x 1.0x 18.7x 7.7x 28.4x 11.7x
Liberty Gold Corp. TSX:LGD LGD-T MC $1.12 238 $267 $1.60 43% BUY $1.21 ($0.04) ($0.05) Gold 0.7x 1.0x - - - -
Lumina Gold Corp. TSXV:LUM LUM-V GM $0.64 331 $212 $1.50 134% BUY $1.51 ($0.07) ($0.07) Gold - - - - - - 0.3x 0.8x - - - -
Lundin Gold Inc. TSX:LUG LUG-T KS $8.29 224 $1,854 $9.25 12% BUY $7.07 ($0.15) C$0.73 Gold - 290 - $445 - $570 0.9x 1.0x - 12.7x - 9.7x
Marathon Gold Corporation TSX:MOZ MOZ-T MC $1.58 179 $283 $2.00 27% BUY $1.61 $0.00 ($0.01) Gold 0.7x 0.9x 3,167.5x - 4,555.6x -
Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd. TSXV:MTA MTA-V KS $7.34 34 $248 $8.00 9% Buy $4.10 C$0.04 C$0.03 Silver 275 166 1.4x 1.5x 151.5x 189.5x 167.1x 209.0x
Midas Gold Corp. TSX:MAX MAX-T GM $0.65 271 $176 $1.80 177% BUY $1.41 ($0.07) ($0.03) Gold - - - - - -
Minera Alamos Inc. TSXV:MAI MAI-V KS $0.29 406 $116 $0.50 75% BUY $0.46 $0.00 $0.03 Gold - 17 - 820 - 935 0.5x 0.8x - 6.9x - 13.2x
Nighthawk Gold Corp. TSX:NHK NHK-T MC $0.50 222 $111 $0.90 80% BUY $0.76 $0.00 ($0.08) Gold 0.5x 0.9x - - - -
Osisko Mining Inc. TSX:OSK OSK-T MC $3.81 290 $1,103 $4.50 18% BUY $3.38 ($0.09) ($0.01) Gold 0.9x 1.0x - - - -
Pure Gold Mining Inc. TSXV:PGM PGM-V MC $0.79 358 $283 $1.30 65% BUY $0.92 ($0.04) ($0.04) Gold 0.7x 1.1x - - - -
Royal Nickel Corporation TSX:RNX RNX-T PV $0.48 607 $288 $0.70 47% BUY $0.39 $0.02 $0.06 Gold 64 100 $982 $960 $1,076 $1,020 0.9x 1.4x 18.8x 6.3x 26.7x 8.9x
Roxgold Inc. TSX:ROXG ROXG-T GM $0.95 372 $353 $1.90 100% BUY $0.99 ($0.01) ($0.01) Gold 145 148 $538 $516 $785 $662 0.7x 1.5x - - - -
Sabina Gold & Silver Corp. TSX:SBB SBB-T GM $1.71 297 $507 $2.00 17% HOLD $1.53 ($0.01) ($0.01) Gold - - - - - - 0.9x 1.0x - - - -
Steppe Gold Ltd. TSX:STGO STGO-T PV $0.90 45 $41 $1.75 94% BUY $1.14 ($0.12) $0.61 Gold - 60 - $581 - $698 0.6x 1.2x - 2.4x - 2.2x
Superior Gold Inc. TSXV:SGI SGI-V PV $0.70 97 $68 $1.00 43% BUY $1.12 $0.00 $0.31 Gold 83 100 $1,270 $968 $1,373 $1,078 0.5x 0.7x 102.4x 1.5x 170.5x 2.5x
Treasury Metals Inc. TSX:TML TML-T GM $0.28 169 $47 $1.00 264% BUY $0.84 ($0.02) ($0.01) Gold - - - - - -
Troilus Gold Corp. TSX:TLG TLG-T PV $0.60 69 $42 $2.00 233% BUY $2.07 ($0.26) ($0.16) Gold - - - - - - 0.2x 0.7x - - - -
Group Average 0.7x 1.0x 499.7x 23.2x 712.9x 25.5x
* Production & cost figures presented on a gold-equivalent basis C$/US$ = 1.31x 1.309
EV / CFPS Target /
NAV
Price /
NAV
TCC, US$/ozCFPS (US$) Production, ounces 000's AISC, US$/ozTicker Analyst Company Rating
The Weekly Dig
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
20
January 10, 2020
Precious Metals Companies – Market and Valuation Statistics (Consensus Estimates)
Source: Capital IQ and Haywood Securities
Shares Market Working Enterprise
Company O/S Capitalization Capital Value
(millions) (millions) (millions) (millions) (millions) (millions) CFPS CFPS 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E 2019E %
Senior Precious Metals Producers*
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited NYSE:AEM C$ 77.20 239.1 US$ 14,100 US$ 340 US$ 337 US$ 1,363 US$ 15,126 US$ 3.70 US$ 5.15 13 15.9x 11.5x 17.1x 12.3x 14.0x 10.0x 1.8x 1.18
AngloGold Ashanti Limited JSE:ANG C$ 28.24 415.0 US$ 8,951 US$ 349 (US$ 144) US$ 1,324 US$ 10,419 US$ 2.97 US$ 4.29 2 7.3x 5.0x 8.5x 5.9x 6.3x 4.7x 1.3x 0.31
B2Gold Corp. TSX:BTO C$ 4.97 1026.0 US$ 3,895 US$ 146 US$ 327 US$ 333 US$ 3,902 US$ 0.48 US$ 0.63 11 7.9x 6.0x 7.9x 6.0x 6.1x 4.5x 1.3x 0.80
Barrick Gold Corporation TSX:ABX C$ 22.98 1777.8 US$ 31,207 US$ 2,405 US$ 3,666 US$ 5,494 US$ 33,035 US$ 1.84 US$ 2.27 11 9.5x 7.7x 10.1x 8.2x 7.0x 6.7x 1.4x 0.90
Evolution Mining Limited ASX:EVN C$ 3.42 1704.3 US$ 4,450 US$ 235 US$ 272 US$ 130 US$ 4,308 US$ 0.27 US$ 0.31 6 9.8x 8.4x 9.5x 8.1x 8.6x 6.4x 1.2x 2.43
Fresnillo Plc LSE:FRES C$ 10.60 736.9 US$ 5,964 US$ 362 US$ 996 US$ 801 US$ 5,769 US$ 0.91 US$ 0.96 4 8.9x 8.4x 8.6x 8.2x 7.8x 6.2x 1.1x 3.26
Gold Fields Limited JSE:GFI C$ 8.23 828.6 US$ 5,210 US$ 535 US$ 391 US$ 2,033 US$ 6,852 US$ 1.09 US$ 1.34 1 5.8x 4.7x 7.6x 6.2x 5.5x 4.3x 1.2x 0.43
IAMGOLD Corporation TSX:IMG C$ 4.41 469.0 US$ 1,580 US$ 651 US$ 749 US$ 400 US$ 1,231 US$ 0.56 US$ 0.89 12 6.0x 3.8x 4.7x 3.0x 4.5x 2.5x 0.6x -
Kinross Gold Corporation TSX:K C$ 5.82 1253.4 US$ 5,572 US$ 426 US$ 1,026 US$ 1,837 US$ 6,383 US$ 0.88 US$ 1.05 15 5.1x 4.2x 5.8x 4.8x 4.8x 4.1x 0.9x -
Newcrest Mining Limited ASX:NCM C$ 27.98 767.0 US$ 16,394 US$ 1,600 US$ 1,570 US$ 1,995 US$ 16,819 US$ 1.67 US$ 2.02 5 12.8x 10.6x 13.1x 10.9x 10.0x 8.4x 1.3x 1.03
Newmont Corporation NYSE:NEM C$ 41.66 819.8 US$ 26,089 US$ 2,869 US$ 3,087 US$ 6,139 US$ 29,141 US$ 3.88 US$ 4.63 12 10.8x 9.0x 9.2x 7.7x 7.8x 6.0x 1.3x 2.38
Northern Star Resources Limited ASX:NST C$ 10.60 733.9 US$ 5,940 US$ 187 US$ 165 - US$ 5,775 US$ 0.47 US$ 0.66 5 17.0x 12.3x 16.6x 11.9x 16.9x 9.1x 1.5x 1.23
Yamana Gold Inc. TSX:YRI C$ 4.77 950.4 US$ 3,463 US$ 108 (US$ 22) US$ 991 US$ 4,476 US$ 0.53 US$ 0.68 14 6.9x 5.3x 8.9x 6.9x 5.9x 5.5x 1.2x 1.07
Group Average - Senior Producers 9.5x 7.5x 9.8x 7.7x 8.1x 6.0x 1.3x 1.37
Group Average - Senior Producers (excluding high/low) 9.2x 7.4x 9.6x 7.7x 7.6x 6.0x 1.3x 1.27
Intermediate Precious Metals Producers **
Alamos Gold Inc. TSX:AGI C$ 7.21 391.1 US$ 2,154 US$ 203 US$ 254 - US$ 1,900 US$ 0.72 US$ 0.70 11 7.7x 7.8x 6.8x 6.9x 6.6x 6.4x 0.7x 0.71
Avesoro Resources Inc. TSX:ASO C$ 1.67 81.6 US$ 104 US$ 6 (US$ 19) US$ 128 US$ 252 US$ 0.11 US$ 0.53 1 12.0x 2.4x 29.1x 5.8x 19.2x 3.8x 1.5x -
Centerra Gold Inc. TSX:CG C$ 10.03 1156.0 US$ 8,856 US$ 80 US$ 671 US$ 69 US$ 8,254 US$ 1.45 US$ 1.98 10 5.3x 3.9x 4.9x 3.6x 15.0x 12.7x 0.8x -
Detour Gold Corporation TSX:DGC C$ 24.75 177.4 US$ 3,354 US$ 144 US$ 139 US$ 100 US$ 3,315 US$ 1.94 US$ 2.11 14 9.8x 9.0x 9.7x 8.9x 9.8x 8.5x 1.0x -
Dundee Precious Metals Inc. TSX:DPM C$ 5.18 179.5 US$ 710 US$ 15 (US$ 4) US$ 27 US$ 741 US$ 0.73 US$ 1.04 7 5.4x 3.8x 5.6x 4.0x 4.7x 3.1x 0.6x -
Eldorado Gold Corporation TSX:ELD C$ 9.72 160.8 US$ 1,194 US$ 138 US$ 212 US$ 450 US$ 1,432 US$ 1.02 US$ 2.17 13 7.3x 3.4x 8.8x 4.1x 6.1x 3.4x 0.6x -
Endeavour Mining Corporation TSX:EDV C$ 23.28 109.9 US$ 1,955 US$ 122 US$ 133 US$ 637 US$ 2,460 US$ 2.87 US$ 4.06 6 6.2x 4.4x 7.8x 5.5x 6.2x 4.6x 0.9x -
Golden Star Resources Ltd. TSX:GSC C$ 4.39 109.3 US$ 367 US$ 57 (US$ 28) US$ 67 US$ 462 US$ 0.35 US$ 0.77 4 9.6x 4.4x 12.1x 5.5x 7.9x 3.5x 0.8x -
Hecla Mining Company NYSE:HL C$ 4.02 506.2 US$ 1,554 US$ 33 US$ 33 US$ 585 US$ 2,106 US$ 0.23 US$ 0.36 7 13.4x 8.6x 18.1x 11.6x 12.8x 9.7x 1.5x 0.31
Highland Gold Mining Limited AIM:HGM C$ 3.22 363.9 US$ 894 US$ 8 (US$ 26) US$ 114 US$ 1,034 US$ 0.41 US$ 0.44 2 6.0x 5.6x 6.9x 6.5x 5.5x 4.9x 1.0x 6.52
Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd. TSX:KL C$ 56.32 209.6 US$ 9,018 US$ 616 US$ 359 - US$ 8,660 US$ 4.30 US$ 4.43 8 10.0x 9.7x 9.6x 9.3x 9.0x 6.0x 1.7x 0.55
Leagold Mining Corporation TSX:LMC C$ 3.20 284.9 US$ 696 US$ 56 US$ 128 US$ 290 US$ 858 US$ 0.47 US$ 0.61 6 5.3x 4.0x 6.5x 5.0x 5.7x 4.0x 0.7x -
New Gold Inc. TSX:NGD C$ 1.21 672.9 US$ 622 US$ 179 US$ 148 US$ 728 US$ 1,202 US$ 0.37 US$ 0.42 13 2.5x 2.2x 4.9x 4.2x 5.2x 3.7x 0.7x -
OceanaGold Corporation TSX:OGC C$ 2.50 622.3 US$ 1,188 US$ 56 US$ 13 US$ 150 US$ 1,326 US$ 0.34 US$ 0.41 12 5.6x 4.6x 6.2x 5.2x 6.1x 4.1x 0.7x 1.60Perseus Mining Limited ASX:PRU C$ 1.02 1168.0 US$ 908 US$ 88 US$ 128 US$ 26 US$ 806 US$ 0.09 US$ 0.11 1 8.5x 7.1x 7.6x 6.3x 8.4x 5.6x 1.1x -
Pretium Resources Inc. TSX:PVG C$ 13.93 185.3 US$ 1,972 US$ 17 (US$ 97) US$ 413 US$ 2,482 US$ 1.16 US$ 1.90 7 9.2x 5.6x 11.6x 7.1x 11.7x 6.4x 0.7x -Regis Resources Limited ASX:RRL C$ 3.90 508.2 US$ 1,515 US$ 132 US$ 120 - US$ 1,395 US$ 0.35 US$ 0.38 4 8.5x 7.8x 7.9x 7.2x 6.5x 5.5x 1.0x 3.57
Resolute Mining Limited ASX:RSG C$ 1.09 903.2 US$ 752 US$ 24 US$ 34 US$ 123 US$ 841 US$ 0.14 US$ 0.27 5 5.9x 3.1x 6.6x 3.5x 6.7x 2.8x 0.7x 1.59
Saracen Mineral Holdings Limited ASX:SAR C$ 3.25 1102.9 US$ 2,736 US$ 83 US$ 75 - US$ 2,661 US$ 0.20 US$ 0.25 6 12.7x 10.0x 12.4x 9.7x 16.6x 8.2x 1.3x -
SEMAFO Inc. TSX:SMF C$ 2.50 334.5 US$ 639 US$ 78 US$ 109 US$ 14 US$ 544 US$ 0.71 US$ 0.68 5 2.7x 2.8x 2.3x 2.4x 2.1x 2.4x 0.6x -
St Barbara Limited ASX:SBM C$ 2.49 699.2 US$ 1,327 US$ 624 US$ 614 - US$ 714 US$ 0.26 US$ 0.32 2 7.3x 6.0x 3.9x 3.2x 3.5x 2.8x 0.9x 2.79
Teranga Gold Corporation TSX:TGZ C$ 7.03 107.6 US$ 578 US$ 28 (US$ 54) US$ 140 US$ 772 US$ 0.74 US$ 1.15 3 7.3x 4.7x 9.7x 6.2x 5.7x 3.3x 0.6x -
Torex Gold Resources Inc. TSX:TXG C$ 20.17 85.3 US$ 1,314 US$ 168 US$ 117 US$ 162 US$ 1,359 US$ 3.26 US$ 3.19 7 4.7x 4.8x 4.9x 5.0x 3.8x 3.4x 0.8x -
Group Average - Intermediate Producers 7.5x 5.5x 8.9x 5.9x 8.0x 5.2x 0.9x 2.21
Group Average - Intermediate Producers (excluding high/low) 7.5x 5.4x 8.2x 5.8x 7.8x 4.9x 0.9x 1.80
Junior Precious Metals Producers ***
Alacer Gold Corp. TSX:ASR C$ 6.49 221.4 US$ 1,098 US$ 145 US$ 168 US$ 223 US$ 1,153 US$ 0.76 US$ 0.95 8 6.6x 5.2x 6.9x 5.5x 4.7x 3.5x 1.1x -Alio Gold Inc. TSX:ALO C$ 0.98 86.1 US$ 64 US$ 13 US$ 45 US$ 4 US$ 23 (US$ 0.02) US$ 0.17 3 - 4.4x - 1.6x - 1.2x 0.5x -
Argonaut Gold Inc. TSX:AR C$ 1.98 179.5 US$ 271 US$ 36 US$ 90 US$ 14 US$ 196 US$ 0.42 US$ 0.62 7 3.6x 2.4x 2.6x 1.7x 2.2x 1.4x 0.5x -Asanko Gold Inc. TSX:AKG C$ 1.14 226.2 US$ 197 US$ 14 US$ 15 - US$ 182 US$ 0.08 US$ 0.25 2 10.9x 3.6x 10.0x 3.3x 5.1x 2.4x 0.5x -
Calibre Mining Corp. TSX:CXB C$ 0.90 327.9 US$ 225 US$ 1 US$ 0 - US$ 225 US$ 0.12 US$ 0.18 1 5.6x 3.9x 5.6x 3.9x 10.9x 3.7x 0.5x -Equinox Gold Corp. TSX:EQX C$ 9.82 113.4 US$ 851 US$ 47 US$ 65 US$ 242 US$ 1,027 US$ 0.74 US$ 1.16 6 10.2x 6.5x 12.3x 7.8x 11.8x 6.3x 0.8x -
Guyana Goldfields Inc. TSX:GUY C$ 0.72 174.6 US$ 96 US$ 25 US$ 37 - US$ 59 US$ 0.08 US$ 0.45 2 7.3x 1.2x 4.5x 0.7x 2.9x 1.3x 0.2x -Jaguar Mining Inc. TSX:JAG C$ 0.22 723.9 US$ 119 US$ 12 US$ 6 - US$ 113 US$ 0.05 US$ 0.07 3 3.1x 2.3x 3.0x 2.2x 4.0x 3.2x 0.7x -
K92 Mining Inc. TSXV:KNT C$ 3.14 213.0 US$ 511 US$ 18 US$ 18 US$ 7 US$ 500 US$ 0.18 US$ 0.32 5 13.0x 7.5x 12.7x 7.4x 12.1x 5.0x 0.7x -Premier Gold Mines Limited TSX:PG C$ 1.61 210.5 US$ 259 US$ 33 US$ 27 US$ 19 US$ 250 US$ 0.02 US$ 0.23 3 73.6x 5.3x 71.2x 5.1x 72.0x 6.6x 0.4x -
Roxgold Inc. TSX:ROXG C$ 0.95 371.5 US$ 270 US$ 29 (US$ 3) US$ 14 US$ 286 US$ 0.22 US$ 0.24 3 3.3x 3.1x 3.5x 3.2x 3.0x 2.7x 0.6x -Royal Nickel Corporation TSX:RNX C$ 0.48 606.6 US$ 220 US$ 19 US$ 9 US$ 18 US$ 229 US$ 0.00 US$ 0.08 3 141.2x 4.6x 147.0x 4.8x 12.2x 4.1x 0.5x -
Superior Gold Inc. TSXV:SGI C$ 0.70 97.0 US$ 52 US$ 14 (US$ 2) - US$ 54 US$ 0.03 US$ 0.24 6 16.9x 2.2x 17.6x 2.3x 19.6x 2.3x 0.6x -TMAC Resources Inc. TSX:TMR C$ 3.10 115.0 US$ 272 US$ 36 US$ 77 US$ 107 US$ 303 US$ 0.65 US$ 0.98 8 3.7x 2.4x 4.1x 2.7x 3.4x 2.2x 0.4x -
Wesdome Gold Mines Ltd. TSX:WDO C$ 9.73 137.3 US$ 1,021 US$ 29 US$ 21 - US$ 1,000 US$ 0.43 US$ 0.49 8 17.2x 15.1x 16.9x 14.8x 15.0x 14.3x 1.3x -Westgold Resources Limited ASX:WGX C$ 2.11 399.7 US$ 644 US$ 47 US$ 9 - US$ 635 US$ 0.14 US$ 0.27 1 11.5x 6.1x 11.3x 6.0x 8.8x 5.4x 0.9x -
Group Average - Junior Producers 21.8x 4.7x 21.9x 4.6x 12.5x 4.1x 0.6x -
Group Average - Junior Producers (excluding high/low) 13.3x 4.2x 13.0x 4.1x 8.3x 3.6x 0.6x -
All data sourced from Capital IQ*Prior fiscal year production of greater than 800k ounces of gold.
**Prior fiscal year production of between 200k and 800k ounces of gold.
***Prior fiscal year production of less than 200k ounces of gold.
P/CF Ratio EV/CF Ratio EV/EBITDA Ratio P/NAV Yield
Symbol PriceNumber of
Estimates
2020E2019EDebtCash
The Weekly Dig
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
21
January 10, 2020
Other Precious Metals Companies – Market and Valuation Statistics (Consensus Estimates)
Source: Capital IQ and Haywood Securities
Shares Market Working Enterprise
Company Symbol Price O/S Capitalization Capital Value
(millions) (millions) (millions) (millions) (millions) (millions) CFPS CFPS 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E 2019E %
PGM Producers
Anglo American Platinum Limited JSE:AMS C$ 122.54 262.4 US$ 24,563 US$ 943 US$ 1,089 US$ 365 US$ 23,838 US$ 6.24 US$ 7.67 2 15.0x 12.2x 14.6x 11.8x 10.4x 8.0x 2.3x 1.59Impala Platinum Holdings Limited JSE:IMP C$ 13.84 782.8 US$ 8,274 US$ 600 US$ 989 US$ 390 US$ 7,675 US$ 0.63 US$ 1.24 2 16.8x 8.5x 15.6x 7.9x 10.8x 5.1x 2.0x -Northam Platinum Limited JSE:NHM C$ 12.24 349.9 US$ 3,273 US$ 68 US$ 193 US$ 1,034 US$ 4,114 US$ 0.48 US$ 1.25 2 19.6x 7.5x 24.6x 9.4x 19.1x 8.9x 1.8x -
Group Average - PGM Producers 17.1x 9.4x 18.2x 9.7x 13.5x 7.3x 2.0x 1.59
Silver Producers
Americas Gold and Silver CorporationTSX:USA C$ 3.70 82.8 US$ 234 US$ 6 US$ 4 US$ 11 US$ 241 US$ 0.02 US$ 0.45 2 183.3x 6.3x 188.7x 6.5x - 6.3x 0.6x -Coeur Mining, Inc. NYSE:CDE C$ 8.38 240.5 US$ 1,539 US$ 65 US$ 33 US$ 227 US$ 1,733 US$ 0.55 US$ 1.04 5 11.7x 6.1x 13.2x 6.9x 11.5x 6.1x 1.2x -Endeavour Silver Corp. TSX:EDR C$ 2.81 139.9 US$ 300 US$ 22 US$ 49 US$ 5 US$ 256 US$ 0.00 US$ 0.25 6 2787.6x 8.6x 2375.0x 7.3x - 7.2x 1.1x -Excellon Resources Inc. TSX:EXN C$ 0.95 110.6 US$ 80 US$ 9 US$ 9 - US$ 71 (US$ 0.02) US$ 0.08 2 - 8.8x - 7.8x - - 0.8x -First Majestic Silver Corp. TSX:FR C$ 14.20 204.8 US$ 2,221 US$ 125 US$ 149 US$ 154 US$ 2,226 US$ 0.52 US$ 0.79 5 21.1x 13.8x 21.1x 13.8x 22.2x 13.0x 2.6x -Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. TSX:FVI C$ 4.88 160.3 US$ 598 US$ 72 US$ 46 US$ 109 US$ 661 US$ 0.35 US$ 1.00 3 10.8x 3.7x 11.9x 4.1x 7.5x 3.6x 1.0x -Fresnillo Plc LSE:FRES C$ 10.60 736.9 US$ 5,964 US$ 362 US$ 996 US$ 801 US$ 5,769 US$ 0.91 US$ 0.96 4 8.9x 8.4x 8.6x 8.2x 7.8x 6.2x 1.1x 3.26Hecla Mining Company NYSE:HL C$ 4.02 506.2 US$ 1,554 US$ 33 US$ 33 US$ 585 US$ 2,106 US$ 0.23 US$ 0.36 7 13.4x 8.6x 18.1x 11.6x 12.8x 9.7x 1.5x 0.31Mandalay Resources Corporation TSX:MND C$ 1.18 91.0 US$ 82 US$ 23 (US$ 32) US$ 0 US$ 115 US$ 0.15 US$ 0.76 2 6.0x 1.2x 8.4x 1.7x 6.4x 1.2x 0.5x -Pan American Silver Corp. TSX:PAAS C$ 28.90 209.6 US$ 4,627 US$ 177 US$ 459 US$ 336 US$ 4,504 US$ 1.45 US$ 2.46 10 15.2x 9.0x 14.8x 8.7x 10.5x 7.1x 1.4x 0.62SSR Mining Inc. TSX:SSRM C$ 23.17 123.0 US$ 2,177 US$ 526 US$ 636 US$ 168 US$ 1,708 US$ 1.56 US$ 2.10 7 11.3x 8.4x 8.9x 6.6x 7.6x 5.3x 1.3x -Silvercorp Metals Inc. TSX:SVM C$ 6.94 172.4 US$ 914 US$ 135 US$ 125 - US$ 789 US$ 0.43 US$ 0.44 3 12.3x 12.1x 10.6x 10.5x 10.1x 9.1x 1.4x 0.47
Group Average - Silver Producers 280.1x 7.9x 243.6x 7.8x 10.7x 6.8x 1.2x 1.17
Group Average - Silver Producers (excluding high/low) 29.4x 8.0x 30.4x 7.8x - 6.2x 1.1x 0.55
Diamond Producers
Lucara Diamond Corp. TSX:LUC C$ 0.81 396.9 US$ 246 US$ 5 US$ 52 - US$ 193 US$ 0.14 US$ 0.17 4 4.3x 3.7x 3.4x 2.9x 2.6x 2.5x 0.5x -Mountain Province Diamonds Inc. TSX:MPVD C$ 1.15 210.1 US$ 185 US$ 21 US$ 70 US$ 292 US$ 406 US$ 0.32 US$ 0.43 3 2.8x 2.0x 6.1x 4.5x 5.5x 3.6x 0.7x 3.48Petra Diamonds Limited LSE:PDL C$ 0.15 865.4 US$ 96 US$ 72 US$ 105 US$ 724 US$ 715 US$ 0.11 US$ 0.09 4 1.0x 1.2x 7.7x 9.0x 4.4x 4.7x 0.4x -
Group Average - Diamond Producers 2.7x 2.3x 5.7x 5.5x 4.2x 3.6x 0.5x 3.48
Royalty Companies
Anglo Pacific Group plc LSE:APF C$ 3.11 180.5 US$ 429 US$ 18 US$ 17 - US$ 412 US$ 0.31 US$ 0.29 4 7.8x 8.3x 7.5x 8.0x 6.1x 6.3x 0.8x 4.40Altius Minerals Corporation TSX:ALS C$ 11.59 42.7 US$ 378 US$ 24 US$ 15 US$ 71 US$ 434 US$ 0.72 US$ 0.65 5 12.3x 13.6x 14.1x 15.6x 9.0x 9.6x 1.0x 1.70Franco-Nevada Corporation TSX:FNV C$ 131.69 188.6 US$ 18,970 US$ 92 US$ 220 US$ 242 US$ 18,993 US$ 3.23 US$ 3.84 14 31.1x 26.2x 31.2x 26.2x 29.2x 24.0x 2.1x 0.99Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd TSX:OR C$ 12.23 157.5 US$ 1,471 US$ 113 US$ 114 US$ 263 US$ 1,620 US$ 0.51 US$ 0.59 14 18.4x 15.8x 20.3x 17.4x 19.7x 16.0x 1.0x 1.66Royal Gold, Inc. US:RGLD C$ 146.87 65.6 US$ 7,359 US$ 122 US$ 132 US$ 165 US$ 7,392 US$ 4.30 US$ 5.12 11 26.1x 21.9x 26.2x 22.0x 23.8x 19.3x 2.2x 1.00Sandstorm Gold Ltd. TSX:SSL C$ 8.86 175.4 US$ 1,187 US$ 19 US$ 26 US$ 48 US$ 1,210 US$ 0.33 US$ 0.39 8 20.6x 17.6x 21.0x 17.9x 19.4x 16.2x 1.3x -Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. TSX:WPM C$ 36.28 447.2 US$ 12,394 US$ 152 US$ 124 US$ 1,014 US$ 13,283 US$ 1.19 US$ 1.49 15 23.3x 18.6x 25.0x 20.0x 23.6x 18.5x 1.6x 1.28
Group Average - Royalty Companies 19.9x 17.4x 20.7x 18.1x 18.7x 15.7x 1.4x 1.84
Group Average - Royalty Companies (excluding high/low) 20.1x 17.5x 21.3x 18.6x 19.1x 15.9x 1.4x 1.41
All data sourced from Capital IQ
EV/CF RatioCash Debt P/CF Ratio EV/EBITDA Ratio P/NAV2019E 2020E Number of
Estmates
Yield
The Weekly Dig
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
22
January 10, 2020
Senior Gold Producers* – Reserves and Resources
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
Reserves
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited NYSE:AEM US $14,100 US $337 US $15,206 60.1 2.07 65.1 2.25 92% 22.1 2.70 23.1 2.83 95% US $689 37.9 1.82 41.9 2.01 91% 53% US $253 US $234
AngloGold Ashanti Limited JSE:ANG US $8,951 US ($144) US $10,613 187.8 1.62 206.1 1.78 91% 45.4 1.22 51.0 1.37 89% US $234 137.9 1.85 150.6 2.02 92% 35% US $57 US $51
B2Gold Corp. TSX:BTO US $3,895 US $327 US $3,912 26.3 0.88 30.6 1.03 86% 7.6 1.17 7.9 1.22 96% US $513 18.6 0.80 22.7 0.98 82% 53% US $149 US $128
Barrick Gold Corporation TSX:ABX US $31,207 US $3,666 US $33,035 231.3 0.81 330.1 1.15 70% 89.3 1.25 110.1 1.54 81% US $370 142.0 0.66 220.1 1.02 65% 30% US $143 US $100
Evolution Mining Limited ASX:EVN US $4,450 US $266 US $4,314 13.9 0.88 14.1 0.88 99% 6.9 0.85 7.1 0.87 98% US $621 7.0 0.90 7.0 0.90 100% 40% US $309 US $306
Fresnillo Plc LSE:FRES US $5,964 US $996 US $5,780 91.4 1.98 127.2 2.76 72% 11.0 0.77 19.5 1.37 56% US $525 80.4 2.52 107.7 3.37 75% 64% US $63 US $45
Gold Fields Limited JSE:GFI US $5,210 US $391 US $7,148 104.3 2.11 117.0 2.36 89% 50.2 2.62 51.9 2.71 97% US $142 54.0 1.78 65.1 2.15 83% 45% US $69 US $61
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited JSE:HAR US $2,000 US $80 US $2,336 95.0 1.11 120.4 1.41 79% 17.6 0.63 17.9 0.64 98% US $133 77.5 1.38 102.4 1.83 76% 36% US $25 US $19
IAMGOLD Corporation TSX:IMG US $1,580 US $749 US $1,275 37.9 1.14 38.5 1.15 99% 17.9 1.14 17.9 1.14 100% US $71 20.0 1.14 20.6 1.17 97% 48% US $34 US $33
Kinross Gold Corporation TSX:K US $5,572 US $1,026 US $6,430 61.7 0.69 62.8 0.70 98% 25.5 0.67 26.2 0.69 98% US $252 35.3 0.69 35.8 0.70 99% 20% US $104 US $102
Newcrest Mining Limited ASX:NCM US $16,394 US $1,570 US $16,819 113.5 0.56 191.0 0.94 59% 48.6 0.78 67.6 1.09 72% US $346 64.9 0.46 123.3 0.88 53% 14% US $148 US $88
Newmont Corporation NYSE:NEM US $34,154 US $3,087 US $38,006 234.3 0.68 349.7 1.01 67% 117.3 0.79 159.9 1.07 73% US $324 117.1 0.60 189.7 0.97 62% 30% US $162 US $109
Yamana Gold Inc. TSX:YRI US $3,463 US ($22) US $4,559 38.9 0.57 71.1 1.05 55% 14.2 0.44 33.0 1.03 43% US $322 24.7 0.69 38.1 1.07 65% 49% US $117 US $64
Group Average - Total # Companies: 13 US $349 US $126 US $103
Equivalency assumptions (US$ / 01-09-20): $1,552/oz Au, $17.88/oz Ag, $967/oz Pt, $2,113/oz Pd, $2.79/lb Cu, $1.08/lb Zn, $0.87/lb Pb, $6.35/lb Ni, $14.77/lb Co, $0/t Sb, $24.50/lb U3O8, $7.82/lb Sn, $93.00/t HCC, $93.57/t 62% Fe
*Prior fiscal year production of greater than 800k ounces of gold.
Source: SNL Financial retrieved on January 9, 2020
AuEq
(g/t)% Au
EV/oz
Au
Symbol
Market
Capitalization
(millions)
Working
Capital
(millions)
Enterprise
Value
(millions)
Global Reserves & Resources
AuEq
(g/t)% Au
Au
(Moz)
Au
(g/t)
AuEq
(Moz)
Company EV/oz
Au
Global
EV/oz
AuEq
AuEq
(Moz)
Resources (M&I and Inferred)
AuEq
(g/t)% Au
% Au
Inferred
Reserves
Au
(Moz)
Au
(g/t)
Au
(Moz)
Au
(g/t)
AuEq
(Moz)
The Weekly Dig
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
23
January 10, 2020
Intermediate Gold Producers* – Reserves and Resources
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
Reserves
Alamos Gold Inc. TSX:AGI US $2,154 US $254 US $1,901 23.7 1.34 24.4 1.38 97% 10.5 1.55 10.9 1.61 97% US $181 13.2 1.20 13.5 1.23 98% 43% US $80 US $78
Centerra Gold Inc. TSX:CG US $2,250 US $671 US $1,677 32.0 0.42 48.9 0.64 65% 14.4 0.62 19.1 0.81 76% US $116 17.5 0.33 29.9 0.56 59% 35% US $52 US $34
China Gold International Resources Corp. Ltd. TSX:CGG US $342 US ($390) US $1,378 10.2 0.15 45.1 0.67 23% 4.0 0.25 17.0 1.07 23% US $346 6.2 0.12 27.8 0.55 22% 41% US $135 US $31
Detour Gold Corporation TSX:DGC US $3,354 US $139 US $3,327 21.1 1.00 21.1 1.00 100% 15.4 0.96 15.4 0.96 100% US $215 5.7 1.11 5.7 1.11 100% 22% US $157 US $157
Dundee Precious Metals Inc. TSX:DPM US $710 US ($4) US $741 9.9 0.39 16.3 0.65 61% 2.6 3.32 3.3 4.21 79% US $287 7.3 0.30 13.0 0.54 56% 54% US $75 US $45
Eldorado Gold Corporation TSX:ELD US $1,194 US $212 US $1,459 44.9 0.81 59.7 1.08 75% 16.1 1.35 21.7 1.81 74% US $90 28.8 0.66 38.0 0.88 76% 61% US $32 US $24
Endeavour Mining Corporation TSX:EDV US $1,955 US $133 US $2,557 14.5 1.73 14.5 1.73 100% 7.4 1.75 7.4 1.75 100% US $344 7.0 1.70 7.0 1.70 100% 34% US $177 US $177
Golden Star Resources Ltd. TSX:GSC US $367 US ($28) US $463 11.9 3.28 11.9 3.28 100% 1.6 2.86 1.6 2.86 100% US $288 10.3 3.35 10.3 3.35 100% 63% US $39 US $39
Highland Gold Mining Limited AIM:HGM US $894 US ($26) US $1,038 19.9 2.93 20.4 2.99 98% 5.9 3.15 6.0 3.19 99% US $175 14.0 3.08 14.4 3.17 97% 23% US $52 US $51
Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd. TSX:KL US $9,018 US $359 US $8,678 19.7 4.59 19.7 4.59 100% 5.9 15.34 5.9 15.34 100% US $1,467 13.8 3.53 13.8 3.53 100% 46% US $441 US $441
Leagold Mining Corporation TSX:LMC US $696 US $128 US $872 20.9 1.14 22.0 1.20 95% 7.0 1.29 7.0 1.29 100% US $124 13.8 1.07 15.0 1.16 92% 44% US $42 US $40
New Gold Inc. TSX:NGD US $622 US $148 US $1,235 19.7 0.76 24.8 0.97 79% 13.4 0.80 15.9 0.95 84% US $92 6.2 0.70 8.9 0.99 70% 21% US $63 US $50
OceanaGold Corporation TSX:OGC US $1,188 US $13 US $1,372 13.0 1.58 13.8 1.67 94% 5.5 1.37 6.0 1.51 91% US $251 7.6 1.78 7.8 1.83 97% 56% US $105 US $100
Perseus Mining Limited ASX:PRU US $908 US $125 US $809 10.0 1.22 10.0 1.22 100% 4.3 1.45 4.3 1.45 100% US $188 5.7 1.09 5.7 1.09 100% 42% US $81 US $81
Pretium Resources Inc. TSX:PVG US $1,972 US ($97) US $2,498 46.4 0.65 56.0 0.78 83% 6.4 12.44 6.8 13.12 95% US $390 40.0 0.56 49.2 0.69 81% 30% US $54 US $45
Regis Resources Limited ASX:RRL US $1,515 US $117 US $1,399 10.4 0.97 10.4 0.97 100% 4.8 1.14 4.8 1.14 100% US $295 5.6 0.86 5.6 0.86 100% 38% US $135 US $135
SEMAFO Inc. TSX:SMF US $639 US $109 US $581 7.4 2.74 7.4 2.74 100% 2.7 3.43 2.7 3.43 100% US $215 4.7 2.45 4.7 2.45 100% 40% US $79 US $79
Torex Gold Resources Inc. TSX:TXG US $1,314 US $117 US $1,374 8.2 2.68 10.8 3.54 76% 2.6 3.07 2.6 3.13 98% US $535 5.6 2.53 8.2 3.69 69% 82% US $167 US $127
Group Average - Total # Companies: 18 US $311 US $109 US $96
Equivalency assumptions (US$ / 01-09-20): $1,552/oz Au, $17.88/oz Ag, $967/oz Pt, $2,113/oz Pd, $2.79/lb Cu, $1.08/lb Zn, $0.87/lb Pb, $6.35/lb Ni, $14.77/lb Co, $0/t Sb, $24.50/lb U3O8, $7.82/lb Sn, $93.00/t HCC, $93.57/t 62% Fe
*Prior fiscal year production of between 200k and 800k ounces of gold.
Source: SNL Financial retrieved on January 9, 2020
Enterprise
Value
(millions)
Company Symbol
Market
Capitalization
(millions)
Working
Capital
(millions)
Global Reserves & Resources Reserves Resources (M&I and Inferred)
Au
(Moz)
Au
(g/t)
AuEq
(Moz)
AuEq
(g/t)% Au
Global
EV/oz
Au% Au
Au
(Moz)
Au
(g/t)
AuEq
(Moz)
AuEq
(g/t)
EV/oz
Au
EV/oz
AuEq
Au
(Moz)
Au
(g/t)
AuEq
(Moz)
AuEq
(g/t)% Au
% Au
Inferred
The Weekly Dig
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
24
January 10, 2020
Junior Gold Producers* – Reserves and Resources
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
Reserves
Alacer Gold Corp. TSX:ASR US $1,098 US $168 US $1,257 6.7 1.66 8.1 2.02 82% 3.3 2.15 4.2 2.72 79% US $382 3.4 1.46 4.0 1.72 85% 36% US $189 US $155
Alio Gold Inc. TSX:ALO US $64 US $45 US $24 5.7 0.63 5.8 0.64 98% 2.9 0.58 2.9 0.59 99% US $8 2.8 0.70 2.9 0.72 97% 20% US $4 US $4
Argonaut Gold Inc. TSX:AR US $271 US $90 US $196 12.4 0.60 14.5 0.70 86% 4.1 0.67 4.7 0.77 88% US $47 8.3 0.57 9.8 0.68 85% 15% US $16 US $14
Asanko Gold Inc. TSX:AKG US $197 US $15 US $182 3.1 1.46 3.1 1.46 100% 2.3 1.57 2.3 1.57 100% US $78 0.8 1.22 0.8 1.22 100% 15% US $59 US $59
Continental Gold Inc. TSX:CNL US $887 US $32 US $1,231 11.7 9.40 12.3 9.84 96% 3.7 8.41 3.8 8.69 97% US $332 8.0 9.94 8.5 10.46 95% 75% US $105 US $100
Equinox Gold Corp. TSX:EQX US $851 US $65 US $1,028 12.3 0.50 15.1 0.61 82% 5.5 0.63 5.5 0.63 100% US $186 6.8 0.43 9.6 0.60 71% 51% US $83 US $68
Fiore Gold Ltd. TSXV:F US $42 US $22 US $23 3.2 0.98 3.2 0.98 100% 0.3 0.51 0.3 0.51 100% US $83 2.9 1.07 2.9 1.07 100% 20% US $7 US $7
Goldgroup Mining Inc. TSX:GGA US $3 US ($3) US $7 0.6 1.44 0.9 2.26 64% - - - - - - 0.6 1.44 0.9 2.26 64% 47% US $11 US $7
Guyana Goldfields Inc. TSX:GUY US $96 US $37 US $63 6.6 2.48 6.6 2.48 100% 2.3 2.63 2.3 2.63 100% US $27 4.3 2.41 4.3 2.41 100% 53% US $10 US $10
Hummingbird Resources PLC AIM:HUM US $102 US ($58) US $224 5.2 1.57 5.2 1.57 100% 0.6 3.14 0.6 3.14 100% US $394 4.6 1.49 4.6 1.49 100% 47% US $43 US $43
K92 Mining Inc. TSXV:KNT US $511 US $18 US $501 2.5 9.28 3.0 11.37 82% - - - - - - 2.5 9.28 3.0 11.37 82% 76% US $204 US $167
McEwen Mining Inc. NYSE:MUX US $468 US $16 US $505 13.5 0.11 69.6 0.57 19% 0.7 1.32 0.8 1.51 88% US $682 12.7 0.11 68.7 0.57 18% 47% US $38 US $7
Medusa Mining Limited ASX:MML US $122 US $15 US $107 1.4 3.89 1.4 3.89 100% 0.4 6.87 0.4 6.87 100% US $304 1.1 3.41 1.1 3.41 100% 42% US $75 US $75
Metals Exploration plc AIM:MTL US $36 US ($94) US $153 1.7 1.62 1.7 1.62 100% 0.9 1.86 0.9 1.86 100% US $170 0.8 1.43 0.8 1.43 100% 82% US $88 US $88
Minera IRL Limited BVL:MIRL US $28 US ($97) US $133 2.5 2.17 2.5 2.17 100% 1.1 1.87 1.1 1.87 100% US $123 1.4 2.43 1.4 2.43 100% 76% US $53 US $53
Orosur Mining Inc. TSX:OMI US $7 US ($18) US $26 0.6 0.67 1.4 1.61 42% 0.1 1.42 0.1 1.42 100% US $265 0.5 0.61 1.3 1.63 37% 17% US $43 US $18
Orvana Minerals Corp. TSX:ORV US $18 US ($7) US $37 2.0 3.78 2.6 4.76 79% 0.4 2.65 0.7 4.56 58% US $90 1.6 4.28 1.9 4.95 86% 51% US $18 US $14
Premier Gold Mines Limited TSX:PG US $259 US $27 US $251 10.6 1.51 11.6 1.65 92% 3.0 1.21 3.0 1.22 99% US $84 7.6 1.67 8.5 1.88 89% 53% US $24 US $22
Roxgold Inc. TSX:ROXG US $270 US ($3) US $296 1.4 5.16 1.4 5.16 100% 0.6 - 0.6 - 100% US $499 0.9 3.75 0.9 3.75 100% 24% US $204 US $204
Shanta Gold Limited AIM:SHG US $107 US $9 US $105 2.8 2.44 2.8 2.45 100% 0.3 3.44 0.3 3.44 100% US $400 2.5 2.37 2.5 2.37 100% 54% US $38 US $38
TMAC Resources Inc. TSX:TMR US $272 US $78 US $302 6.4 7.88 6.4 7.88 100% 3.6 6.77 3.6 6.77 100% US $84 2.8 9.95 2.8 9.95 100% 57% US $47 US $47
Vast Resources plc AIM:VAST US $31 US ($1) US $38 1.5 1.39 2.2 2.10 66% 0.3 1.77 0.7 3.64 49% US $117 1.1 1.31 1.6 1.78 74% 45% US $26 US $17
Group Average - Total # Companies: 22 US $218 US $63 US $55
Equivalency assumptions (US$ / 01-09-20): $1,552/oz Au, $17.88/oz Ag, $967/oz Pt, $2,113/oz Pd, $2.79/lb Cu, $1.08/lb Zn, $0.87/lb Pb, $6.35/lb Ni, $14.77/lb Co, $0/t Sb, $24.50/lb U3O8, $7.82/lb Sn, $93.00/t HCC, $93.57/t 62% Fe
*Prior fiscal year production of less than 200k ounces of gold.
Source: SNL Financial retrieved on January 9, 2020
Enterprise
Value
(millions)
Company Symbol
Market
Capitalization
(millions)
Working
Capital
(millions)
Global Reserves & Resources Reserves Resources (M&I and Inferred)
Au
(Moz)
Au
(g/t)
AuEq
(Moz)
AuEq
(g/t)% Au
Global
% AuAu
(Moz)
Au
(g/t)
AuEq
(Moz)
AuEq
(g/t)
EV/oz
Au
EV/oz
AuEq
Au
(Moz)
Au
(g/t)
AuEq
(Moz)
AuEq
(g/t)% Au
% Au
Inferred
EV/oz
Au
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
25
January 10, 2020
Gold Development-Stage Companies (Engineering Study Complete) – Enterprise Value per Ounce
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
Reserves
% AuEq
African Gold Group, Inc. TSXV:AGG US $13 US $0 US $13 2.0 1.01 2.0 1.01 100% 0.5 1.25 0.5 1.25 100% US $29 1.5 0.96 1.5 0.96 100% 59% 59% US $7 US $7
Almaden Minerals Ltd. TSX:AMM US $60 US $2 US $60 2.4 0.44 4.4 0.80 55% 1.4 0.59 2.4 1.01 59% US $43 1.0 0.33 2.0 0.65 51% 40% 55% US $25 US $14
Amarillo Gold Corporation TSXV:AGC US $32 US $6 US $26 1.8 1.10 1.8 1.10 100% - - - - - - 1.8 1.10 1.8 1.10 100% 19% 19% US $15 US $15
ATAC Resources Ltd. TSXV:ATC US $26 US $8 US $18 2.4 3.45 2.4 3.46 100% - - - - - - 2.4 3.45 2.4 3.46 100% 79% 79% US $8 US $8
Barkerville Gold Mines Ltd. TSXV:BGM US $174 US ($2) US $180 4.4 5.31 4.5 5.35 99% 0.0 4.82 0.0 4.82 100% US $5,990 4.4 5.32 4.4 5.36 99% 44% 43% US $41 US $40
Belo Sun Mining Corp TSX:BSX US $171 US $28 US $143 6.8 1.04 6.8 1.04 100% 3.8 1.02 3.8 1.02 100% US $38 3.0 1.07 3.0 1.07 100% 52% 52% US $21 US $21
Bluestone Resources Inc. TSXV:BSR US $86 US $6 US $80 5.1 1.89 5.4 1.99 95% 0.9 8.49 1.0 8.86 96% US $85 4.2 1.61 4.4 1.70 95% 22% 22% US $16 US $15
Cardinal Resources Limited ASX:CDV US $117 US $11 US $131 7.0 1.12 7.0 1.12 100% 5.1 1.14 5.1 1.14 100% US $26 1.9 1.06 1.9 1.06 100% 24% 24% US $19 US $19
Chaarat Gold Holdings Limited AIM:CGH US $222 US ($32) US $286 10.1 2.37 11.1 2.59 91% 0.9 1.09 1.1 1.34 81% US $320 9.2 2.68 10.0 2.89 93% 19% 25% US $28 US $26
Chalice Gold Mines Limited ASX:CHN US $46 US $15 US $31 0.5 1.23 1.0 2.62 47% - - - - - - 0.5 1.23 1.0 2.62 47% 37% 17% US $69 US $33
Chesapeake Gold Corp. TSXV:CKG US $122 US $12 US $110 19.5 0.51 28.4 0.75 69% 18.3 0.52 26.8 0.76 68% US $6 1.2 0.45 1.5 0.58 78% 53% 58% US $6 US $4
Columbus Gold Corp. TSX:CGT US $21 US $1 US $20 2.2 1.42 2.2 1.42 100% 1.2 1.58 1.2 1.58 100% US $16 0.9 1.25 0.9 1.25 100% 47% 47% US $9 US $9
Corvus Gold Inc. TSX:KOR US $187 US $17 US $169 3.6 0.38 3.7 0.39 97% - - - - - - 3.6 0.38 3.7 0.39 97% 19% 18% US $47 US $46
Eastmain Resources Inc. TSX:ER US $20 US $1 US $19 1.7 6.59 1.7 6.64 99% - - - - - - 1.7 6.59 1.7 6.64 99% 37% 37% US $11 US $11
Euro Sun Mining Inc. TSX:ESM US $25 US ($2) US $28 7.0 0.55 9.5 0.75 74% - - - - - - 7.0 0.55 9.5 0.75 74% 1% 0% US $4 US $3
Falco Resources Ltd. TSXV:FPC US $44 US ($9) US $60 5.9 1.60 8.9 2.42 66% 3.7 1.44 5.7 2.18 66% US $16 2.1 1.97 3.3 3.01 66% 47% 50% US $10 US $7
First Mining Gold Corp. TSX:FF US $115 US $6 US $109 11.4 1.51 11.7 1.55 97% - - - - - - 11.4 1.51 11.7 1.55 97% 32% 32% US $10 US $9
Gabriel Resources Ltd. TSXV:GBU US $193 US $26 US $226 16.4 1.05 17.3 1.11 95% 8.1 1.46 8.6 1.54 95% US $28 8.3 0.83 8.7 0.87 95% 27% 26% US $14 US $13
Gold Road Resources Limited ASX:GOR US $816 US $26 US $921 3.3 1.10 3.4 1.13 97% 2.0 1.26 2.0 1.26 100% US $469 1.3 0.92 1.4 0.99 93% 64% 67% US $279 US $271
Goldquest Mining Corp. TSXV:GQC US $27 US $13 US $13 2.2 2.60 3.1 3.67 71% 0.8 3.72 1.1 4.85 77% US $16 1.4 2.19 1.9 3.06 71% 16% 19% US $6 US $4
International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. TSX:ITH US $99 US $7 US $91 12.6 0.68 12.6 0.68 100% 9.0 0.71 9.0 0.71 100% US $10 3.6 0.60 3.6 0.60 100% 31% 31% US $7 US $7
INV Metals Inc. TSX:INV US $40 US ($1) US $41 3.0 3.37 3.7 4.10 82% 2.2 4.92 2.5 5.62 88% US $19 0.8 1.84 1.2 2.61 71% 39% 50% US $14 US $11
KEFI Minerals Plc AIM:KEFI US $22 US ($5) US $29 1.6 1.86 1.6 1.86 100% 0.8 2.12 0.8 2.12 100% US $37 0.8 1.65 0.8 1.65 100% 21% 21% US $18 US $18
Liberty Gold Corp. TSX:LGD US $204 US $12 US $193 3.3 0.40 5.1 0.62 65% - - - - - - 3.3 0.40 5.0 0.62 65% 32% 36% US $59 US $38
Lumina Gold Corp. TSXV:LUM US $162 US $3 US $159 8.5 0.65 10.4 0.80 81% - - - - - - 8.5 0.65 10.4 0.80 81% 100% 100% US $19 US $15
Lundin Gold Inc. TSX:LUG US $1,416 US $125 US $2,064 9.5 8.33 9.6 8.47 98% 5.0 8.77 5.1 8.91 98% US $411 4.5 7.88 4.5 8.02 98% 48% 48% US $218 US $214
Lupaka Gold Corp. TSXV:LPK US $2 US ($0) US $2 0.5 4.20 0.6 5.40 78% - - - - - - 0.5 4.20 0.6 5.40 78% 19% 16% US $4 US $3
Lydian International Limited TSX:LYD US $44 US ($363) US $406 4.8 0.69 5.0 0.73 94% 2.6 0.79 2.8 0.83 95% US $156 2.1 0.60 2.3 0.64 94% 60% 60% US $86 US $81
Marathon Gold Corporation TSX:MOZ US $216 US $23 US $193 4.3 1.85 4.3 1.85 100% - - - - - - 4.3 1.85 4.3 1.85 100% 36% 36% US $45 US $45
Midas Gold Corp. TSX:MAX US $134 US $22 US $139 6.6 1.60 6.7 1.62 98% - - - - - - 6.6 1.60 6.7 1.62 98% 15% 15% US $21 US $21
Minera Alamos Inc. TSXV:MAI US $82 US $1 US $83 0.3 2.10 0.4 2.66 79% - - - - - - 0.3 2.10 0.4 2.66 79% 3% 3% US $259 US $205
Moneta Porcupine Mines Inc. TSX:ME US $31 US $3 US $28 1.3 4.27 1.3 4.30 99% - - - - - - 1.3 4.27 1.3 4.30 99% 69% 69% US $22 US $22
NovaGold Resources Inc. TSX:NG US $2,682 US $152 US $2,632 22.5 2.21 22.5 2.21 100% 16.9 2.09 16.9 2.09 100% US $156 5.6 2.69 5.6 2.69 100% 54% 54% US $117 US $117
Orca Gold Inc. TSXV:ORG US $48 US $11 US $37 4.0 1.22 4.1 1.23 99% 2.0 1.11 2.0 1.11 100% US $18 2.0 1.35 2.1 1.38 98% 83% 82% US $9 US $9
Orezone Gold Corporation TSXV:ORE US $81 US $16 US $65 5.5 0.68 5.5 0.68 100% 1.7 0.81 1.7 0.81 100% US $39 3.9 0.63 3.9 0.63 100% 26% 26% US $12 US $12
Orla Mining Ltd. TSX:OLA US $264 US $3 US $271 11.9 0.82 14.9 1.03 80% 1.5 0.74 1.8 0.87 85% US $178 10.4 0.84 13.2 1.06 79% 16% 16% US $23 US $18
Osisko Mining Inc. TSX:OSK US $843 US $80 US $766 8.8 2.24 8.9 2.28 98% - - - - - - 8.8 2.24 8.9 2.28 98% 49% 48% US $87 US $86
Pure Gold Mining Inc. TSXV:PGM US $216 US $65 US $160 2.5 8.67 2.5 8.67 100% 1.0 8.97 1.0 8.97 100% US $158 1.5 8.48 1.5 8.48 100% 31% 31% US $63 US $63
Red Eagle Mining Corporation OTCPK:RDEM.F US $0 US ($100) US $100 0.6 3.35 0.6 3.35 100% 0.4 5.19 0.4 5.19 100% US $246 0.2 1.98 0.2 1.98 100% 64% 64% US $163 US $163
RTG Mining Inc. TSX:RTG US $34 US $10 US $24 0.4 1.64 0.8 3.31 50% 0.2 2.04 0.5 4.54 45% US $120 0.2 1.34 0.3 2.35 57% 84% 81% US $65 US $32
Rubicon Minerals Corporation TSX:RMX US $70 US $3 US $77 1.1 6.39 1.1 6.39 100% - - - - - - 1.1 6.39 1.1 6.39 100% 48% 48% US $68 US $68
Sabina Gold & Silver Corp. TSX:SBB US $387 US $16 US $372 7.2 6.21 7.2 6.21 100% 2.5 6.30 2.5 6.30 100% US $149 4.7 6.16 4.7 6.16 100% 40% 40% US $52 US $52
Gold X Mining Corp. TSXV:GLDX US $59 US $5 US $53 10.5 0.86 11.6 0.94 91% - - - - - - 10.5 0.86 11.6 0.94 91% 30% 29% US $5 US $5
Seabridge Gold Inc. TSX:SEA US $792 US $15 US $778 120.1 0.47 210.8 0.83 57% 45.3 0.61 65.6 0.89 69% US $17 74.9 0.42 145.2 0.81 52% 81% 84% US $6 US $4
Sihayo Gold Limited ASX:SIH US $21 US ($3) US $28 1.2 2.11 1.2 2.11 100% 0.6 2.08 0.6 2.08 100% US $49 0.6 2.13 0.6 2.13 100% 60% 60% US $23 US $23
Spanish Mountain Gold Ltd. TSXV:SPA US $18 US $1 US $18 5.3 0.37 5.4 0.37 98% - - - - - - 5.3 0.37 5.4 0.37 98% 34% 34% US $3 US $3
Treasury Metals Inc. TSX:TML US $36 US ($2) US $41 1.5 2.37 1.8 2.74 87% - - - - - - 1.5 2.37 1.8 2.74 87% 17% 19% US $27 US $23
West Kirkland Mining Inc. TSXV:WKM US $17 US $0 US $17 0.8 0.46 0.9 0.54 85% 0.6 0.58 0.7 0.67 86% US $30 0.2 0.30 0.3 0.37 82% 45% 44% US $21 US $18
Victoria Gold Corp. TSXV:VIT US $370 US ($13) US $573 4.9 0.66 5.0 0.67 99% 2.7 0.67 2.7 0.67 100% US $215 2.2 0.65 2.3 0.66 98% 21% 21% US $117 US $116
Group Average - Total # Companies: 49 US $303 US $46 US $42
Group Average - 0 - 20 million ounces # Companies: 47 US $46 US $42
Group Average - 20 - 50 million ounces # Companies: 1 US $117 US $60
Group Average - +50 million ounces # Companies: 1 US $6 US $4
Equivalency assumptions (US$ / 01-09-20): $1,552/oz Au, $17.88/oz Ag, $967/oz Pt, $2,113/oz Pd, $2.79/lb Cu, $1.08/lb Zn, $0.87/lb Pb, $6.35/lb Ni, $14.77/lb Co, $0/t Sb, $24.50/lb U3O8, $7.82/lb Sn, $93.00/t HCC, $93.57/t 62% Fe
Source: SNL Financial retrieved on January 9, 2020
*Includes only Liberty's Goldstrike and Kinsley Mountain Projects
Global
EV/oz
Au
EV/oz
AuEq
Resources (M&I and Inferred)
Au
(Moz)
Au
(g/t)
AuEq
(Moz)
AuEq
(g/t)% Au% Au
Au
(g/t)
AuEq
(Moz)
Global Reserves & Resources
AuEq
(g/t)
Au
(Moz)
% Au
Inferred
Company EV/oz
Au
Reserves
Au
(Moz)
Au
(g/t)
AuEq
(Moz)% Au
AuEq
(g/t)
Symbol
Market
Capitalization
(millions)
Working
Capital
(millions)
Enterprise
Value
(millions)
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
26
January 10, 2020
Gold Exploration-Stage Companies (Resource Only) – Enterprise Value per Ounce of Gold
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
Aurion Resources Ltd. TSXV:AU US $123 US $16 US $108 0.8 0.70 0.8 0.70 100% 0.0 5.20 0.0 5.20 100% 0.8 0.70 0.8 0.70 100% - US $131 US $131
Auryn Resources Inc. TSX:AUG US $123 US ($0) US $123 2.3 5.56 2.6 6.26 89% - - - - - 2.3 5.56 2.6 6.26 89% 72% US $53 US $47
Balmoral Resources Ltd TSX:BAR US $50 US $2 US $49 1.2 1.20 1.7 1.75 69% - - - - - 1.2 1.20 1.7 1.75 69% 36% US $41 US $28
Calibre Mining Corp. TSX:CXB US $225 US $0 US $225 2.2 1.22 2.8 1.55 79% - - - - - 2.2 1.22 2.8 1.55 79% 100% US $102 US $80
Condor Gold Plc AIM:CNR US $27 US $5 US $23 2.4 3.87 2.4 3.93 98% 0.7 3.04 0.7 3.10 98% 1.7 4.32 1.8 4.39 98% 73% US $9 US $9
GobiMin Inc. TSXV:GMN US $10 US $24 US ($12) 2.9 1.50 2.9 1.50 100% - - - - - 2.9 1.50 2.9 1.50 100% 63% - -
Gold Standard Ventures Corp TSX:GSV US $206 US $9 US $195 3.6 0.80 3.7 0.83 96% - - - - - 3.6 0.80 3.7 0.83 96% 73% US $54 US $52
Granada Gold Mine Inc. TSXV:GGM US $12 US ($5) US $13 2.8 2.05 2.8 2.09 98% - - - - - 2.8 2.05 2.8 2.09 98% 71% US $5 US $4
Integra Resources Corp. TSXV:ITR US $107 US $5 US $100 2.7 0.42 4.2 0.65 65% - - - - - 2.7 0.42 4.2 0.65 65% 13% US $37 US $24
Kasbah Resources Limited ASX:KAS US $1 US ($3) US $4 0.2 0.55 1.3 3.11 18% - - 0.5 2.86 - 0.2 0.93 0.8 3.28 28% - US $17 US $3
Lincoln Gold Mining Inc. TSXV:LMG US $1 US ($2) US $2 0.1 1.91 0.1 1.91 100% - - - - - 0.1 1.91 0.1 1.91 100% 5% US $22 US $22
Lion One Metals Limited TSXV:LIO US $152 US $6 US $146 0.7 0.09 15.2 1.95 5% - - - - - 0.7 0.09 15.2 1.95 5% 60% US $198 US $10
New Pacific Metals Corp. TSXV:NUAG US $684 US $28 US $654 0.5 6.12 0.6 7.17 85% - - - - - 0.5 6.12 0.6 7.17 85% 45% US $1,291 US $1,102
Nighthawk Gold Corp. TSX:NHK US $85 US $9 US $76 2.9 1.70 2.9 1.70 100% - - - - - 2.9 1.70 2.9 1.70 100% 90% US $26 US $26
Novo Resources Corp. OTCPK:NSRP.F US $465 US $26 US $437 1.3 2.54 1.4 2.81 90% - - - - - 1.3 2.54 1.4 2.81 90% 56% US $335 US $302
Orex Minerals Inc. TSXV:REX US $10 US $0 US $10 0.1 0.21 0.6 2.03 10% - - - - - 0.1 0.21 0.6 2.03 10% 47% US $158 US $16
Osprey Gold Development Ltd. TSXV:OS US $3 US $1 US $2 0.4 3.56 0.4 3.56 100% - - - - - 0.4 3.56 0.4 3.56 100% 92% US $6 US $6
Puma Exploration Inc. TSXV:PUMA US $3 US ($1) US $3 0.1 0.32 1.5 3.69 9% - - - - - 0.1 0.32 1.5 3.69 9% 5% US $26 US $2
Red Pine Exploration Inc. TSXV:RPX US $16 US ($0) US $16 0.4 5.38 0.4 5.38 100% - - - - - 0.4 5.38 0.4 5.38 100% 63% US $37 US $37
Redstar Gold Corp. TSXV:RGC US $6 US $2 US $4 0.5 2.89 0.7 3.60 80% - - - - - 0.1 2.94 0.2 6.07 48% 409% US $7 US $6
Reunion Gold Corporation TSXV:RGD US $42 US $3 US $37 1.2 1.07 1.2 1.07 100% - - - - - 1.2 1.07 1.2 1.07 100% 57% US $31 US $31
Revival Gold Inc. TSXV:RVG US $23 US $1 US $22 2.0 0.62 2.0 0.62 100% - - - - - 2.0 0.62 2.0 0.62 100% 39% US $11 US $11
Rupert Resources Ltd. TSXV:RUP US $75 US $0 US $74 1.0 2.19 1.0 2.19 100% - - - - - 1.0 2.19 1.0 2.19 100% 85% US $75 US $75
Sarama Resources Ltd TSXV:SWA US $12 US $3 US $9 2.7 1.60 2.7 1.60 100% - - - - - 2.7 1.60 2.7 1.60 100% 91% US $3 US $3
SolGold plc TSX:SOLG US $498 US $17 US $480 20.0 0.25 56.8 0.70 35% - - - - - 20.0 0.25 56.8 0.70 35% 17% US $24 US $8
Teras Resources Inc. TSXV:TRA US $7 US ($0) US $8 1.1 0.48 1.3 0.55 88% - - - - - 1.1 0.48 1.3 0.55 88% 10% US $7 US $6
Gold Springs Resource Corp. TSX:GRC US $25 US $5 US $8 1.9 0.07 12.3 0.47 15% - - - - - 1.9 0.07 12.3 0.47 15% 40% US $4 US $1
Group Average - Total # Companies: 27 US $100 US $76
Equivalency assumptions (US$ / 01-09-20): $1,552/oz Au, $17.88/oz Ag, $967/oz Pt, $2,113/oz Pd, $2.79/lb Cu, $1.08/lb Zn, $0.87/lb Pb, $6.35/lb Ni, $14.77/lb Co, $0/t Sb, $24.50/lb U3O8, $7.82/lb Sn, $93.00/t HCC, $93.57/t 62% Fe
Source: SNL Financial retrieved on January 9, 2020
EV/oz
Au
EV/oz
AuEq
Au
(Moz)
Au
(g/t)
AuEq
(Moz)
AuEq
(g/t)% Au
Global
% Au% AuAu
(Moz)
Au
(g/t)
AuEq
(Moz)
Global Reserves & Resources Reserves Resources (M&I and Inferred)
Au
(Moz)
Au
(g/t)
AuEq
(Moz)
AuEq
(g/t)
AuEq
(g/t)
% Au
Inferred
Company Symbol
Market
Capitalization
(millions)
Working
Capital
(millions)
Enterprise
Value
(millions)
The Weekly Dig
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
27
January 10, 2020
Silver – Enterprise Value per Ounce of Silver
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
Reserves
Alexco Resource Corp. TSX:AXU US $233 US $10 US $224 108 418 165 639 65% 30 805 42 1,104 73% US $7.37 77 351 123 559 63% 31% US $2.08 US $1.36
Americas Gold and Silver Corporation TSX:USA US $234 US $4 US $242 113 56 277 138 41% 42 38 129 116 32% US $5.78 71 79 148 165 48% 36% US $2.14 US $0.87
Athena Silver Corporation OTCPK:AHNR US $1 US ($3) US $4 43 67 43 67 100% - - - - - - 43 67 43 67 100% - US $0.09 US $0.09
Bear Creek Mining Corporation TSXV:BCM US $209 US $25 US $185 360 41 722 81 50% 225 50 468 105 48% US $0.82 135 31 254 58 53% 36% US $0.51 US $0.26
Coeur Mining, Inc. NYSE:CDE US $1,539 US $33 US $1,861 686 23 1,626 55 42% 171 20 442 52 39% US $10.87 514 24 1,184 56 43% 34% US $2.71 US $1.14
Defiance Silver Corp. TSXV:DEF US $25 US $0 US $26 28 4 347 48 8% - - - - - - 28 4 347 48 8% 67% US $0.92 US $0.07
Dolly Varden Silver Corporation TSXV:DV US $17 US $3 US $13 44 294 44 294 100% - - - - - - 44 294 44 294 100% 26% US $0.30 US $0.30
Endeavour Silver Corp. TSX:EDR US $300 US $49 US $257 166 203 288 352 58% 47 209 88 394 53% US $5.49 120 201 200 336 60% 76% US $1.55 US $0.89
Excellon Resources Inc. TSX:EXN US $80 US $9 US $72 24 226 47 442 51% 9 137 20 317 43% US $8.41 15 354 27 621 57% 45% US $3.01 US $1.54
First Majestic Silver Corp. TSX:FR US $2,221 US $149 US $2,233 356 155 627 273 57% 108 185 197 335 55% US $20.59 239 144 413 249 58% 70% US $6.26 US $3.56
Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. TSX:FVI US $598 US $46 US $686 85 14 498 82 17% 46 15 269 91 17% US $15.07 39 13 230 74 17% 84% US $8.11 US $1.38
Golden Minerals Company AMEX:AUMN US $33 US $0 US $33 69 367 98 525 70% - - - - - - 69 367 98 525 70% 9% US $0.48 US $0.33
Hecla Mining Company NYSE:HL US $1,554 US $33 US $2,137 866 56 3,088 198 28% 191 168 626 550 31% US $11.19 675 47 2,463 170 27% 69% US $2.47 US $0.69
Investigator Resources Limited ASX:IVR US $13 US $1 US $12 42 140 48 160 88% - - - - - - 42 140 48 160 88% 45% US $0.29 US $0.25
Kootenay Silver Inc TSXV:KTN US $64 US $7 US $57 116 43 244 91 47% - - - - - - 116 43 244 91 47% 21% US $0.49 US $0.23
MAG Silver Corp. TSX:MAG US $931 US $95 US $837 119 51 398 172 30% - - - - - - 119 51 398 172 30% 65% US $7.04 US $2.10
Mandalay Resources Corporation TSX:MND US $82 US ($32) US $120 14 7 289 152 5% - - 66 172 - - 14 11 223 170 6% 8% US $8.55 US $0.41
Minco Silver Corporation TSX:MSV US $33 US $34 US ($0) 162 158 259 253 63% 50 189 61 231 82% - 112 148 198 261 57% 52% - -
Mineworx Technologies Ltd. TSXV:MWX US $30 US $2 US $28 22 9 444 176 5% - - - - - - 22 9 444 176 5% - US $1.28 US $0.06
Pan American Silver Corp. TSX:PAAS US $4,627 US $459 US $4,549 1,800 30 5,700 96 32% 568 60 1,285 135 44% US $8.02 1,233 25 4,417 88 28% 27% US $2.53 US $0.80
Silver Bear Resources Plc TSX:SBR US $67 US $18 US $175 60 704 61 710 99% 22 809 22 809 100% US $7.86 38 655 39 663 99% 63% US $2.90 US $2.88
Silver Bull Resources, Inc. OTCPK:SVBL US $17 US $2 US $15 26 39 133 196 20% - - - - - - 26 39 133 196 20% 0% US $0.58 US $0.11
SilverCrest Metals Inc. TSX:SIL US $654 US $28 US $626 67 361 121 652 55% - - - - - - 67 361 121 652 55% 60% US $9.38 US $5.19
Silvercorp Metals Inc. TSX:SVM US $914 US $125 US $791 213 130 501 306 42% 84 202 159 383 53% US $9.41 129 105 342 280 38% 66% US $3.72 US $1.58
Group Average - Total # Companies: 24 US $9.24 US $2.93 US $1.14
Equivalency assumptions (US$ / 01-09-20): $1,552/oz Au, $17.88/oz Ag, $967/oz Pt, $2,113/oz Pd, $2.79/lb Cu, $1.08/lb Zn, $0.87/lb Pb, $6.35/lb Ni, $14.77/lb Co, $0/t Sb, $24.50/lb U3O8, $7.82/lb Sn, $93.00/t HCC, $93.57/t 62% Fe
Source: SNL Financial retrieved on January 9, 2020
EV/oz
Ag
EV/oz
AgEq
Ag
(Moz)
Ag
(g/t)
AgEq
(Moz)
AgEq
(g/t)% Ag
Global
% Ag% AgAg
(Moz)
Ag
(g/t)
AgEq
(Moz)
Global Reserves & Resources Reserves Resources (M&I and Inferred)
Ag
(Moz)
Ag
(g/t)
AgEq
(Moz)
AgEq
(g/t)
AgEq
(g/t)
% Ag
Inferred
EV/oz
Ag
Company Symbol
Market
Capitalization
(millions)
Working
Capital
(millions)
Enterprise
Value
(millions)
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
28
January 10, 2020
Precious Metals Sensitivity
-30% -20% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 20% 30%
PRODUCERS
Alamos Gold Inc. $10.25 NAVPS Gold $14.10 $10.48 $12.13 $13.24 $13.92 $14.10 $14.83 $14.92 $15.77 $16.35
Asanko Gold Inc. $1.15 NAVPS Gold $1.68 $0.46 $0.91 $1.30 $1.49 $1.68 $1.86 $2.04 $2.43 $2.85
B2Gold Corp. $6.50 NAVPS Gold $4.25 $2.62 $3.20 $3.74 $4.00 $4.25 $4.52 $4.80 $5.36 $5.92
Barrick Gold Corporation $28.00 NAVPS Gold $12.76 $8.83 $10.09 $11.43 $12.10 $12.76 $13.44 $14.12 $15.41 $16.82
Detour Gold Corporation n/a NAVPS Gold $23.85 $6.00 $8.00 $15.45 $19.60 $23.75 $27.95 $31.35 $37.80 $44.00
Eldorado Gold Corporation $15.00 NAVPS Gold $14.06 ($1.30) $3.46 $8.31 $10.75 $13.19 $15.63 $18.06 $22.93 $27.80
Endeavour Mining Corporation $32.00 NAVPS Gold $25.07 $12.25 $16.62 $20.87 $22.97 $25.07 $27.18 $29.28 $33.49 $37.73
K92 Mining Inc. $4.75 NAVPS Gold $4.78 $1.75 $2.65 $3.65 $4.20 $4.78 $5.38 $5.94 $7.07 $8.19
Metalla Royalty & Streaming $8.00 NAVPS Gold $5.35 $4.08 $4.51 $4.94 $5.16 $5.37 $5.59 $5.80 $6.23 $6.66
OceanaGold Corporation $3.50 NAVPS Gold $2.85 $0.63 $1.43 $2.15 $2.50 $2.85 $3.19 $3.54 $4.23 $4.92
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd $19.50 NAVPS Gold $17.00 $14.02 $14.96 $15.89 $16.36 $16.83 $17.29 $17.76 $18.70 $19.63
RNC Minerals $0.70 NAVPS Gold $0.51 ($0.19) $0.07 $0.30 $0.41 $0.51 $0.63 $0.73 $0.92 $1.10
Roxgold Inc. $1.90 NAVPS Gold $1.30 $0.68 $0.87 $1.09 $1.19 $1.30 $1.41 $1.52 $1.75 $1.98
SEMAFO Inc. $3.50 NAVPS Gold $3.80 $1.12 $2.21 $3.15 $3.49 $3.80 $4.11 $4.35 $4.77 $5.10
Superior Gold Inc. $1.00 NAVPS Gold $1.48 $0.34 $0.72 $1.10 $1.29 $1.48 $1.67 $1.86 $2.24 $2.62
DEVELOPERS / EXPLORERS
Bluestone Resources Inc. $2.75 NAVPS Gold $3.05 $1.30 $1.90 $2.45 $2.75 $3.05 $3.35 $3.60 $4.20 $4.75
Equinox Gold Corp. $13.75 NAVPS Gold $13.82 $13.89 $13.85 $13.82 $13.82 $13.82 $13.82 $13.82 $13.82 $13.82
Falco Resources Ltd. $0.40 NAVPS Gold $0.95 ($0.62) ($0.03) $0.47 $0.71 $0.95 $1.19 $1.43 $1.90 $2.36
Filo Mining Corp. $4.60 NAVPS Gold $4.49 $3.35 $3.73 $4.11 $4.30 $4.49 $4.68 $4.87 $5.25 $5.63
Gold Road Resources Limited $0.85 NAVPS Gold $0.79 $0.28 $0.45 $0.62 $0.70 $0.79 $0.87 $0.95 $1.12 $1.28
Goldquest Mining Corp. $0.08 NAVPS Gold $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08
Harte Gold Corp. $0.25 NAVPS Gold $0.35 ($0.14) ($0.07) ($0.01) $0.31 $0.35 $0.39 $0.43 $0.51 $0.59
Liberty Gold Corp. $1.60 NAVPS Gold $1.59 $0.48 $0.83 $1.20 $1.39 $1.59 $1.78 $1.98 $2.38 $2.77
Lumina Gold Corp. $1.50 NAVPS Gold $1.98 $1.66 $1.77 $1.87 $1.92 $1.98 $2.03 $2.08 $2.19 $2.29
Lundin Gold Inc. $9.25 NAVPS Gold $9.30 $3.15 $5.20 $7.15 $8.05 $9.00 $9.90 $10.80 $12.60 $14.40
Marathon Gold Corporation $2.00 NAVPS Gold $2.08 $0.87 $1.26 $1.66 $1.87 $2.08 $2.29 $2.51 $2.94 $3.38
Midas Gold Corp. $1.80 NAVPS Gold $2.61 $1.20 $1.67 $2.14 $2.37 $2.61 $2.84 $3.07 $3.54 $4.01
Minera Alamos Inc. $0.50 NAVPS Gold $0.60 $0.20 $0.30 $0.45 $0.50 $0.60 $0.65 $0.70 $0.85 $0.95
Nighthawk Gold Corp. $0.90 NAVPS Gold $0.99 ($0.02) $0.27 $0.60 $0.79 $0.99 $1.21 $1.44 $1.92 $2.41
Osisko Mining Inc. $4.50 NAVPS Gold $4.43 $2.76 $3.28 $3.84 $4.13 $4.43 $4.72 $5.01 $5.57 $6.15
Pure Gold Mining Inc. $1.30 NAVPS Gold $1.20 $0.56 $0.75 $0.98 $1.09 $1.20 $1.32 $1.43 $1.65 $1.88
Sabina Gold & Silver Corp. $2.00 NAVPS Gold $2.61 $1.20 $1.67 $2.14 $2.37 $2.61 $2.84 $3.07 $3.54 $4.01
Steppe Gold Ltd. $1.75 NAVPS Gold $1.52 $0.62 $0.92 $1.22 $1.37 $1.52 $1.66 $1.81 $2.11 $2.41
Treasury Metals Corp. $1.00 NAVPS Gold $1.04 $0.26 $0.53 $0.78 $0.91 $1.04 $1.16 $1.29 $1.54 $1.80
Company Target MetricPercentage Change Relative to Haywood Forecasted Commodity PricesBase
Case
Primary
Commodity
-30% -20% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 20% 30%
PRODUCERS
Alamos Gold Inc. $10.25 2019 CFPS Gold $0.75 $0.53 $0.60 $0.68 $0.71 $0.75 $0.77 $0.79 $0.82 $0.86
Asanko Gold Inc. $1.15 2019 CFPS Gold $0.08 $0.04 $0.05 $0.07 $0.07 $0.08 $0.09 $0.09 $0.09 $0.08
B2Gold Corp. $6.50 2019 CFPS Gold $0.54 $0.48 $0.50 $0.53 $0.54 $0.54 $0.55 $0.56 $0.58 $0.59
Barrick Gold Corporation $28.00 2019 CFPS Gold $1.90 $1.33 $1.52 $1.71 $1.81 $1.90 $0.77 $0.79 $0.82 $0.86
Detour Gold Corporation n/a 2019 CFPS Gold $1.95 $1.37 $1.56 $1.76 $1.85 $1.95 $0.77 $0.79 $0.82 $0.86
Eldorado Gold Corporation $15.00 2019 CFPS Gold $1.15 $0.81 $0.92 $1.04 $1.09 $1.15 $0.77 $0.79 $0.82 $0.86
Endeavour Mining Corporation $32.00 2019 CFPS Gold $2.79 $2.35 $2.50 $2.64 $2.72 $2.79 $2.86 $2.91 $3.05 $3.18
K92 Mining Inc. $4.75 2019 CFPS Gold $0.17 $0.13 $0.14 $0.16 $0.16 $0.17 $0.18 $0.18 $0.20 $0.21
OceanaGold Corporation $3.50 2019 CFPS Gold $0.43 $0.34 $0.37 $0.40 $0.42 $0.43 $0.45 $0.46 $0.50 $0.53
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd $19.50 2019 CFPS Gold $0.38 $0.45 $0.52 $0.56 $0.61 $0.65 $0.70 $0.81 $0.93 $0.86
RNC Minerals $0.70 2019 CFPS Gold $0.02 $0.00 $0.01 $0.01 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.03 $0.03 $0.04
Roxgold Inc. $1.90 2019 CFPS Gold $0.22 $0.20 $0.20 $0.21 $0.22 $0.22 $0.23 $0.23 $0.24 $0.25
SEMAFO Inc. $3.50 2019 CFPS Gold $0.71 $0.49 $0.57 $0.64 $0.67 $0.71 $0.77 $0.79 $0.82 $0.86
Superior Gold Inc. $1.00 2019 CFPS Gold $0.01 ($0.11) ($0.07) ($0.03) ($0.01) $0.01 $0.03 $0.04 $0.08 $0.12
Note: For price forecast estimates, please refer to the "Haywood Metals and Currencies Forecast" Table later in this report
Percentage Change Relative to Haywood Forecasted Commodity PricesCompany Target Metric
Primary
Commodity
Base
Case
-30% -20% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 20% 30%
PRODUCERS
Alamos Gold Inc. $10.25 2020 CFPS Gold $1.26 $0.72 $0.90 $1.08 $1.17 $1.26 $1.35 $1.44 $1.62 $1.80
Asanko Gold Inc. $1.15 2020 CFPS Gold $0.30 $0.09 $0.16 $0.23 $0.26 $0.30 $0.32 $0.31 $0.34 $0.39
B2Gold Corp. $6.50 2020 CFPS Gold $0.64 $0.38 $0.48 $0.58 $0.60 $0.64 $0.68 $0.73 $0.82 $0.91
Barrick Gold Corporation $28.00 2020 CFPS Gold $2.15 $1.00 $1.35 $1.75 $1.95 $2.15 $2.35 $2.55 $2.90 $3.30
Detour Gold Corporation n/a 2020 CFPS Gold $2.00 $0.65 $1.10 $1.55 $1.80 $2.00 $2.20 $2.45 $2.90 $3.35
Eldorado Gold Corporation $15.00 2020 CFPS Gold $1.95 $0.90 $1.25 $1.55 $1.70 $1.89 $2.05 $2.20 $2.55 $2.90
Endeavour Mining Corporation $32.00 2020 CFPS Gold $3.38 $1.55 $2.17 $2.80 $3.10 $3.38 $3.66 $3.95 $4.52 $5.11
K92 Mining Inc. $4.75 2020 CFPS Gold $0.40 $0.21 $0.27 $0.34 $0.37 $0.40 $0.43 $0.47 $0.53 $0.59
OceanaGold Corporation $3.50 2020 CFPS Gold $0.67 $0.24 $0.38 $0.52 $0.59 $0.67 $0.75 $0.82 $0.98 $1.13
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd $19.50 2020 CFPS Gold $0.77 $0.54 $0.62 $0.69 $0.73 $0.77 $0.81 $0.84 $0.92 $1.00
RNC Minerals $0.70 2020 CFPS Gold $0.08 $0.02 $0.04 $0.06 $0.07 $0.08 $0.09 $0.10 $0.12 $0.14
Roxgold Inc. $1.90 2020 CFPS Gold $0.26 $0.18 $0.20 $0.23 $0.24 $0.26 $0.28 $0.29 $0.33 $0.36
SEMAFO Inc. $3.50 2020 CFPS Gold $0.60 $0.30 $0.40 $0.50 $0.55 $0.60 $0.65 $0.70 $0.80 $0.90
Superior Gold Inc. $1.00 2020 CFPS Gold $0.40 ($0.11) $0.06 $0.23 $0.32 $0.40 $0.49 $0.57 $0.75 $0.92
Note: For price forecast estimates, please refer to the "Haywood Metals and Currencies Forecast" Table later in this report
Company Target MetricPrimary
Commodity
Base
Case
Percentage Change Relative to Haywood Forecasted Commodity Prices
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
29 January 10, 2020
Comparables Tables – Base Metals
Base Metal Companies – Haywood Estimates
Source: Haywood Securities
Base Metal Companies – Market and Valuation Statistics (Consensus Estimates)
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
Last Shares MC Target Return NAVPS Primary
Price (C$) O/S (C$M) (C$) (%) (US$) 2019E 2020E Commodity 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E
Adventus Mining Corporation TSXV:ADZN ADZN-V MC $0.89 101 $90 $1.90 113% BUY $1.41 ($0.04) ($0.03) Copper
Capstone Mining TSX:CS CS-T PV $0.80 400 $320 $0.80 0% BUY $1.04 $0.26 $0.25 Copper 155 155 $1.87 $1.99 0.6x 0.6x 5.1x 5.35 2.4x 2.49
Copper Mountain Mining TSX:CMMC CMMC-T PV $0.73 191 $140 $1.00 37% HOLD $4.96 $0.16 $0.41 Copper 73 91 $2.10 $1.96 0.1x 0.2x 12.5x 4.9x 4.7x 1.8x
Fireweed Zinc Ltd TSXV:FWZ FWZ-V PV $0.69 38 $26 $1.00 45% BUY $1.15 ($0.04) ($0.05) Zinc - - - - 0.5x 0.7x - - - -
HudBay Minerals TSX:HBM HBM-T PV $4.87 261 $1,272 $7.00 44% BUY $7.59 $1.19 $1.13 Copper 303 257 $0.77 $0.38 0.5x 0.7x 5.3x 5.6x 4.5x 4.8x
Lundin Mining TSX:LUN LUN-T PV $7.52 734 $5,521 $9.50 26% BUY $9.29 $0.70 $1.21 Copper 381 551 - - 0.6x 0.8x 9.6x 5.55 10.4x 6.00
Nevada Copper Corp. TSX:NCU NCU-T PV $0.35 762 $263 $0.60 74% BUY $0.89 ($0.01) $0.05 Copper 1 49 $3.19 $1.88 0.3x 0.5x - 8.6x - 9.5x
Osisko Metals Inc. TSXV:OM OM-V PV $0.45 166 $75 $0.90 100% BUY $1.73 ($0.04) ($0.05) Zinc - - - - 0.2x 0.4x - - - -
Trevali Mining TSX:TV TV-T PV $0.23 803 $185 $0.35 52% HOLD $0.43 $0.09 $0.15 Zinc 402 400 $0.86 $0.81 0.4x 0.6x 2.3x 1.4x 2.8x 1.8x
Xanadu Mines Limited ASX:XAM XAM-AU MC $0.03 713 $23 $0.10 210% BUY $0.10 ($0.00) ($0.01) Copper 0.2x 0.8x - - - -
Group Average 0.4x 0.6x 6.9x 5.2x 4.9x 4.4x
C$/US$ = 1.309
C$/AUD$= 0.897
Production, million pounds Company Ticker Analyst Rating
CFPS (US$) Price /
NAV
Target /
NAV
Total Cash Costs, US$/lb EV / CFPS Target / CFPS
As of January 9, 2020 Shares Market Working Enterprise
Company Symbol Price 1-Day 7-Day YTD O/S Capitalization Cash Capital Debt Value 2018 2019E 2020E
% % (%) (millions) (US$ millions) (US$ millions) (US$ millions) (US$millions) (US$millions) CFPS CFPS CFPS 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E
Large-Cap Base Metals Producers
ANGLO AMERICAN PLC LSE:AAL GBp 2144 (0.4) (2.6) (1.3) 1258 $35,222 $6,567 $6,476 $8,971 $45,065 $5.40 $5.87 $6.14 4.8x 4.6x 6.1x 5.8x 4.5x 4.7x
ANTOFAGASTA PLC LSE:ANTO GBp 934.6 0.4 (1.1) 1.9 986 $12,034 $1,034 $2,132 $2,494 $14,503 $1.37 $1.84 $1.64 6.6x 7.4x 8.0x 9.0x 6.1x 6.1x
BHP GROUP LTD ASX:BHP AUD 40.03 1.2 2.8 2.9 2946 $129,647 $15,613 $11,034 $24,828 $143,511 $3.45 $3.48 $3.42 7.9x 8.0x 14.0x 14.2x 6.0x 6.1x
FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS LTD TSX:FM CAD 12.07 (2.9) (9.1) (8.4) 689 $6,357 $1,255 $1,620 $7,752 $15,168 $2.88 $1.45 $2.43 6.4x 3.8x 15.2x 9.1x 9.6x 6.2x
FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC NYSE:FCX USD 12.96 (1.7) (1.8) (1.2) 1451 $18,804 $4,217 $7,391 $11,141 $34,830 $2.67 $1.18 $1.98 11.0x 6.5x 20.4x 12.1x 14.3x 9.0x
GLENCORE PLC LSE:GLEN GBp 238.45 (0.6) (1.1) 1.3 13324 $41,497 $2,046 $3,896 $34,994 $74,887 $0.90 $0.61 $0.66 5.1x 4.7x 9.2x 8.5x 6.8x 6.1x
KGHM POLSKA MIEDZ SA WSE:KGH PLN 96.9 2.0 1.4 1.4 200 $5,072 $256 $533 $2,122 $7,073 $5.14 $5.29 $5.55 4.8x 4.6x 6.7x 6.4x 5.2x 5.2x
MMG LTD SEHK:1208 HKD 2.11 1.9 (13.2) (9.8) 8055 $2,188 $602 ($153) $8,131 $11,620 $0.12 $0.10 $0.16 2.6x 1.7x 14.0x 9.2x 8.5x 7.4x
RIO TINTO PLC LSE:RIO GBp 4451 (1.1) (1.7) (1.2) 1249 $98,619 $10,773 $10,331 $12,752 $109,092 $6.88 $8.76 $8.45 6.6x 6.9x 10.0x 10.3x 5.2x 5.8x
TECK RESOURCES LTD-CLS B TSX:TCK.B CAD 20.37 (3.0) (10.6) (9.5) 546 $8,624 $1,273 $2,056 $4,051 $11,754 $5.42 $4.97 $4.60 3.1x 3.4x 4.3x 4.7x 3.5x 3.8x
VALE SA-SP ADR NYSE:VALE USD 12.99 (1.7) (3.4) (1.6) 5284 $68,645 $5,773 $6,115 $15,437 $77,360 - $2.01 $2.11 6.5x 6.2x 7.3x 7.0x 4.7x 4.6x
BOLIDEN AB SSE:BOL SEK 246.4 (2.1) (0.8) (0.8) 274 $7,101 $256 $812 $379 $7,636 $4.96 $3.88 $4.59 6.7x 5.7x 7.2x 6.1x 5.6x 5.2x
SOUTHERN COPPER CORP NYXE:SCCO USD 42.24 0.8 (1.1) (0.6) 773 $32,654 $845 $1,964 $5,960 $38,768 $2.89 $2.55 $2.64 16.6x 16.0x 19.7x 19.0x 10.7x 10.2x
Group Average - Large-Cap Producers 6.0x 5.3x 10.2x 8.5x 6.7x 5.9x
Group Average - Large-Cap Producers (excluding high/low) 5.9x 5.4x 9.8x 8.3x 6.2x 5.7x
Mid Tier Base Metals Producers
ERO COPPER CORP TSX:ERO CAD 21.26 (2.1) (9.6) (10.0) 86 $1,390 $19 ($9) $152 $1,532 $0.85 $1.50 $1.77 10.8x 9.2x 11.9x 10.1x 11.6x 9.0x
HUDBAY MINERALS INC TSX:HBM CAD 4.87 (0.6) (9.1) (9.5) 261 $972 $515 $445 $1,055 $1,639 $1.58 $1.17 $1.31 3.2x 2.8x 5.4x 4.8x 4.5x 4.0x
KAZ MINERALS PLC LSE:KAZ GBp 547.4 2.5 (0.4) 3.0 472 $3,378 $1,219 $1,224 $3,453 $5,940 $1.58 $1.37 $1.52 5.2x 4.7x 9.2x 8.3x 5.1x 5.1x
LUNDIN MINING CORP TSX: LUN CAD 7.52 (1.7) (4.0) (3.1) 735 $4,223 $815 $949 $11 $4,959 $0.62 $0.72 $1.13 7.9x 5.1x 9.3x 6.0x 7.3x 4.8x
OZ MINERALS LTD ASX:OZL AUD 10.84 0.7 2.5 2.7 324 $2,406 $356 $511 $0 $2,366 $1.08 $0.92 $0.89 8.2x 8.5x 7.9x 8.2x 7.6x 6.6x
TURQUOISE HILL RESOURCES LTD TSX:TRQ CAD 0.86 (3.4) (11.3) (9.5) 2012 $1,322 $1,603 $2,992 $4,187 $2,762 $0.09 $0.03 $0.05 22.7x 14.3x 47.3x 29.8x 8.4x 8.2x
Group Average - Mid Tier Producers 9.7x 7.4x 15.2x 11.2x 7.4x 6.3x
Group Average - Mid Tier Producers (excluding high/low) 8.0x 6.9x 9.6x 8.1x 7.1x 6.2x
Small Cap Base Metals Producers
AMERIGO RESOURCES LTD TSX:ARG CAD 0.54 1.9 (8.5) (8.5) 180 $74 $21 ($17) $66 $136 $0.15 $0.07 $0.27 5.9x 1.5x 10.8x 2.8x - -
ATALAYA MINING PLC TSX:AYM CAD 3.4 0.0 (8.1) (0.9) 137 $357 $38 $10 $0 $348 - $0.14 $0.61 18.6x 4.3x 18.0x 4.1x 5.5x 3.2x
CAPSTONE MINING CORP TSX:CS CAD 0.8 (2.4) 2.6 5.3 400 $244 $30 $104 $217 $522 $0.30 $0.22 $0.25 2.8x 2.4x 5.9x 5.2x 4.7x 4.3x
COPPER MOUNTAIN MINING CORP TSX:CMMC CAD 0.72 (2.7) (8.9) 0.0 188 $104 $34 ($29) $207 $309 $0.18 $0.18 $0.38 3.0x 1.5x 9.0x 4.3x 11.1x 3.5x
IMPERIAL METALS CORP TSX:III CAD 2.12 (1.9) (7.0) 2.9 128 $208 $14 ($579) $668 $137 $0.49 ($0.13) $0.05 - 33.7x - 21.8x - 15.3x
WESTERN AREAS LTD AU:WSA AUD 2.97 2.1 0.0 (2.0) 274 $557 $101 $96 $1 $457 $0.26 $0.22 $0.38 9.1x 5.4x 7.6x 4.5x 8.2x 3.8x
SHERRITT INTERNATIONAL CORP TSX:S CAD 0.205 0.0 7.9 7.9 397 $62 $152 $195 $518 $470 ($0.00) ($0.10) $0.02 - 7.3x - 53.8x 10.8x 4.8x
TASEKO MINES LTD TSX:TKO CAD 0.7 0.0 2.9 11.1 246 $132 $34 $34 $261 $389 $0.22 $0.12 $0.19 4.5x 2.9x 13.2x 8.4x 10.1x 6.2x
TREVALI MINING CORP TSX:TV CAD 0.23 2.2 (4.2) 0.0 814 $143 $65 $17 $132 $181 $0.13 $0.09 $0.10 1.9x 1.8x 2.4x 2.2x 1.9x 2.0x
Group Average - Small Cap Producers 6.5x 6.7x 5.2x 11.9x 7.5x 5.4x
Group Average - Small Cap Producers (excluding high/low) 5.1x 3.7x 5.8x 7.3x 7.9x 4.3x
. C$/US$ FX Rate: $1.31
P/CF Ratio EV/CF Ratio EV/EBITDA Ratio
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
30 January 10, 2020
Copper Non-Producers – Enterprise Value per Pound of Copper Equivalent
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
Shares Market Working LTD EnterprisePrimary /
SecondaryCopperReserves & Resources* - Attributable EV/lb CuEq** (US$)
Company Symbol Price O/S Capitalization Capital Value Value Ratio*** Reserve R&R (Total)
(million) (million) (million) (million) (million) (% Contained) (CuEq** Mlb) (CuEq** Mlb) Reserve Total
Abacus Mining & Exploration Corporation TSXV:AME C$ 0.13 62.7 US$ 6 US$ (0.1) US$ 12.9 US$ 19 Cu / Au 70% 763 953 $0.025 $0.020
Adventus Mining Corporation TSXV:ADZN C$ 0.89 100.6 US$ 68 US$ 14.1 US$ 0.0 US$ 54 Cu / Au 36% - 814 - $0.067
Candente Copper Corp. TSX:DNT C$ 0.03 195.0 US$ 4 US$ (1.1) US$ 0.0 US$ 6 Cu / Au 89% - 10,110 - $0.001
Copper Fox Metals Inc. TSXV:CUU C$ 0.09 461.3 US$ 30 US$ 0.6 US$ 0.0 US$ 29 Cu / Au 71% - 4,903 - $0.006
Coro Mining Corp. TSX:COP C$ 0.07 1608.3 US$ 80 US$ (7.4) US$ 0.0 US$ 87 Cu / - 100% 325 817 $0.268 $0.107
Excelsior Mining Corp. TSX:MIN C$ 1.07 239.0 US$ 195 US$ 24.7 US$ 0.0 US$ 171 Cu / - 100% 5,129 8,016 $0.033 $0.021
Filo Mining Corp. TSXV:FIL C$ 1.97 88.2 US$ 133 US$ 14.4 US$ 0.0 US$ 118 Cu / Au 53% 4,117 7,845 $0.029 $0.015
Foran Mining Corporation TSXV:FOM C$ 0.29 130.1 US$ 28 US$ 0.6 US$ 0.0 US$ 28 Cu / Zn 44% - 1,842 - $0.015
Getty Copper Inc. TSXV:GTC C$ 0.03 108.4 US$ 2 US$ (1.1) US$ 0.8 US$ 4 Cu / Mo 97% 781 1,225 $0.006 $0.004
Highland Copper Company Inc. TSXV:HI C$ 0.03 472.9 US$ 11 US$ (19.3) US$ 0.0 US$ 30 Cu / Ag 99% 2,500 4,820 $0.012 $0.006
Indico Resources Ltd. TSXV:IDI C$ 0.01 147.0 US$ 1 US$ (4.3) US$ 0.0 US$ 5 Cu / - 100% - 122 - $0.040
Los Andes Copper Ltd. TSXV:LA C$ 0.40 271.7 US$ 83 US$ 1.4 US$ 0.0 US$ 82 Cu / Mo 90% - 12,145 - $0.007
Nevada Copper Corp. TSX:NCU C$ 0.35 761.9 US$ 201 US$ (24.3) US$ 103.1 US$ 328 Cu / Au 91% 4,904 8,105 $0.067 $0.040
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. TSX:NDM C$ 0.52 422.9 US$ 168 US$ (3.6) US$ 0.0 US$ 172 Cu / Au 55% - 147,269 - $0.001
NorthIsle Copper and Gold Inc. TSXV:NCX C$ 0.07 120.1 US$ 6 US$ 0.1 US$ 0.0 US$ 6 Cu / Au 54% - 4,874 - $0.001
Panoro Minerals Ltd. TSXV:PML C$ 0.08 263.8 US$ 16 US$ (6.7) US$ 2.0 US$ 25 Cu / Au 77% - 10,400 - $0.002
Philippine Metals Inc. TSXV:PHI C$ 0.08 17.4 US$ 1 US$ 0.1 US$ 0.0 US$ 1 Cu / - 100% - 331 - $0.003
PolyMet Mining Corp. TSX:POM C$ 0.52 1005.2 US$ 399 US$ 8.5 US$ 15.2 US$ 406 Cu / Ni 40% 3,642 14,094 $0.111 $0.029
Quaterra Resources Inc. TSXV:QTA C$ 0.07 217.2 US$ 11 US$ 2.3 US$ 0.0 US$ 8 Cu / - 100% - 3,894 - $0.002
Regulus Resources Inc. TSXV:REG C$ 1.24 101.8 US$ 96 US$ 4.8 US$ 0.0 US$ 92 Cu / Au 63% - 7,976 - $0.011
Serengeti Resources Inc. TSXV:SIR C$ 0.19 105.2 US$ 15 US$ 0.8 US$ 0.0 US$ 14 Cu / Au 63% - 1,917 - $0.007
St. Augustine Gold and Copper Limited TSX:SAU C$ 0.02 726.8 US$ 11 US$ (6.2) US$ 0.0 US$ 17 Cu / Au 56% 4,437 6,842 $0.004 $0.003
Western Copper and Gold Corporation TSX:WRN C$ 1.06 107.6 US$ 87 US$ 1.8 US$ 0.0 US$ 85 Cu / Au 44% 10,121 10,121 $0.008 $0.008
Group Average - Total $0.056 $0.018
*All reserve and resource data sourced from SNL, additional data sourced from Capital IQ.
**CuEq = copper equivalent. Calculated based on Haywood's formal long-term metal price forecasts.
***Copper Ratio = value of in situ copper / total value of in situ metals.
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
31 January 10, 2020
Nickel Non-Producers – Enterprise Value per Pound of Nickel Equivalent
Zinc Non-Producers – Enterprise Value per Pound of Zinc Equivalent
Shares Market Working LTD Enterprise Nickel
Company Symbol Price O/S Capitalization Capital Value Value Ratio*** Reserve R&R (Total)
(million) (million) (million) (million) (million) (% Contained) (NiEq** Mlb) (NiEq** Mlb) Reserve Total
CaNickel Mining Limited TSXV:CML C$ 0.07 37.5 US$ 2 US$ (71.7) US$ 0.0 US$ 74 Ni / - 100% 83 397 $0.891 $0.185
FPX Nickel Corp. TSXV:FPX C$ 0.18 154.7 US$ 21 US$ 1.4 US$ 5.9 US$ 25 Ni / - 100% - 5,995 - $0.004
Giga Metals Corporation TSXV:GIGA C$ 0.33 55.5 US$ 14 US$ 2.5 US$ 0.0 US$ 11 Ni / Co 73% - 8,039 - $0.001
Gossan Resources Limited TSXV:GSS C$ 0.05 33.8 US$ 1 US$ (0.1) US$ 0.0 US$ 1 Ni / Cu 52% - 76 - $0.016
Hannan Metals Ltd. TSXV:HAN C$ 0.18 58.9 US$ 8 US$ (0.1) US$ 0.3 US$ 8 Ni / Cu 80% - 2,455 - $0.003
New Era Minerals Inc. TSXV:NEM C$ 0.03 106.9 US$ 2 US$ (1.1) US$ 0.2 US$ 4 Ni / - 100% - 454 - $0.008
Royal Nickel Corporation TSX:RNX C$ 0.48 606.6 US$ 220 US$ 9.2 US$ 18.2 US$ 229 Ni / Co 71% 2,534 5,053 $0.090 $0.045
Sama Resources Inc. TSXV:SME C$ 0.23 198.5 US$ 34 US$ 3.2 US$ 0.0 US$ 31 Ni / Co 48% - 1,050 - $0.029
Strongbow Exploration Inc. TSXV:SBW C$ 0.06 86.8 US$ 4 US$ 1.0 US$ 3.8 US$ 6 Ni / Sn 50% - 723 - $0.009
Talon Metals Corp. TSX:TLO C$ 0.15 494.3 US$ 57 US$ 6.0 US$ 0.0 US$ 51 Ni / Cu 63% - 286 - $0.177
Group Average - Total $0.491 $0.034
*All reserve and resource data sourced from SNL, additional data sourced from Capital IQ.
**NiEq = nickel equivalent. Calculated based on Haywood's formal long-term metal price forecasts.
***Nickel Ratio = value of in situ nickel / total value of in situ metals.
Primary /
Secondary
Metal
Reserves & Resources* - AttributableEV/lb NiEq** (US$)
Shares Market Working LTD Enterprise Zinc
Company Symbol Price O/S Capitalization Capital Value Value Ratio*** Reserve R&R (Total)
(million) (million) (million) (million) (million) (% Contained) (ZnEq** Mlb) (ZnEq** Mlb) Reserve Total
Ascendant Resources Inc. TSX:ASND C$ 0.39 77.7 US$ 23 US$ (17.4) US$ 0.0 US$ 40 Zn / Pb 73% 844 1,873 $0.048 $0.021
Commander Resources Ltd. TSXV:CMD C$ 0.06 35.7 US$ 2 US$ 1.6 US$ 0.0 US$ 0 Zn / Cu 56% - 25 - $0.002
El Nino Ventures Inc. TSXV:ELN C$ 0.03 61.6 US$ 1 US$ 0.9 US$ 0.0 US$ 0 Zn / Cu 60% - 530 - $0.001
Firestone Ventures Inc. TSXV:FV C$ 0.05 53.7 US$ 2 US$ (0.3) US$ 0.0 US$ 2 Zn / Pb 77% - 428 - $0.005
Fireweed Zinc Ltd. TSXV:FWZ C$ 0.69 37.8 US$ 20 US$ 1.0 US$ 0.0 US$ 19 Zn / Pb 67% - 9,944 - $0.002
InZinc Mining Ltd. TSXV:IZN C$ 0.02 114.7 US$ 1 US$ 0.2 US$ 0.0 US$ 1 Zn / Cu 75% - 3,884 - $0.000
Karmin Exploration Inc. TSXV:KAR C$ 1.01 89.9 US$ 69 US$ (1.4) US$ 1.0 US$ 72 Zn / Pb 54% 1,091 2,443 $0.066 $0.029
Osisko Metals Incorporated TSXV:OM C$ 0.45 165.9 US$ 57 US$ 5.3 US$ 0.0 US$ 52 Zn / Pb 74% - 6,530 - $0.008
Rathdowney Resources Ltd. TSXV:RTH C$ 0.10 161.7 US$ 12 US$ (5.3) US$ 1.5 US$ 19 Zn / Pb 83% - 3,590 - $0.005
ScoZinc Mining Ltd. TSXV:SZM C$ 0.71 10.1 US$ 5 US$ 0.6 US$ 0.0 US$ 5 Zn / Pb 68% - 1,485 - $0.003
Titan Mining Corporation TSX:TI C$ 0.29 123.0 US$ 27 US$ 0.8 US$ 30.5 US$ 56 Zn / - 100% - 1,930 - $0.029
Trevali Mining Corporation TSX:TV C$ 0.23 802.6 US$ 141 US$ 62.9 US$ 66.4 US$ 144 Zn / Pb 72% 3,158 17,342 $0.046 $0.008
Wolfden Resources Corporation TSXV:WLF C$ 0.14 129.5 US$ 14 US$ 1.2 US$ 0.0 US$ 13 Zn / Au 43% - 4,975 - $0.003
Group Average - Total $0.053 $0.009
*All reserve and resource data sourced from SNL, additional data sourced from Capital IQ.
**ZnEq = Zinc equivalent. Calculated based on Haywood's formal long-term metal price forecasts.
***Zinc Ratio = value of in situ zinc / total value of in situ metals.
Primary /
Secondary
Metal
Reserves & Resources* - AttributableEV/lb ZnEq** (US$)
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
32
January 10, 2020
Base Metals Sensitivity
Company
-30% -20% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 20% 30%
PRODUCERS
Capstone Mining Corp. $0.80 NAVPS Copper $1.38 ($2.63) ($1.24) $0.01 $0.72 $1.38 $2.05 $2.64 $3.89 $4.58
Copper Mountain Mining Corp. $1.00 NAVPS Copper $6.54 $0.01 $2.27 $4.47 $5.52 $6.54 $7.55 $8.54 $10.51 $12.49
Hudbay Minerals Inc. $7.00 NAVPS Copper $10.03 ($1.50) $2.44 $6.26 $8.15 $10.03 $11.91 $13.79 $17.54 $21.30
Lundin Mining Corporation $9.50 NAVPS Copper $12.34 $9.90 $10.76 $11.55 $11.95 $12.34 $12.71 $13.09 $13.85 $14.57
Trevali Mining Corporation $0.35 NAVPS Zinc $0.57 ($0.32) ($0.01) $0.29 $0.44 $0.57 $0.72 $0.85 $1.08 $1.35
DEVELOPERS / EXPLORERS
Adventus Mining Corporation $1.90 NAVPS Copper $1.85 $1.17 $1.39 $1.62 $1.73 $1.85 $1.97 $2.08 $2.30 $2.52
Fireweed Zinc Ltd $1.00 NAVPS Zinc $1.33 ($0.56) $0.07 $0.70 $1.02 $1.33 $1.65 $1.96 $2.59 $3.22
Nevada Copper Corp. $0.60 NAVPS Copper $1.17 ($0.27) $0.05 $0.52 $0.83 $1.17 $1.58 $2.05 $3.19 $4.58
Osisko Metals Inc. $0.90 NAVPS Zinc $2.32 ($0.51) $0.64 $1.51 $1.90 $2.32 $2.70 $3.08 $3.84 $4.64
Xanadu Mines Limited $0.10 NAVPS Copper $0.13 ($0.02) $0.03 $0.08 $0.10 $0.13 $0.15 $0.18 $0.24 $0.29
Company
-30% -20% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 20% 30%
PRODUCERS
Capstone Mining Corp. $0.80 2019 CFPS Copper $0.34 $0.23 $0.27 $0.30 $0.32 $0.34 $0.36 $0.38 $0.41 $0.45
Copper Mountain Mining Corp. $1.00 2019 CFPS Copper $0.22 $0.09 $0.13 $0.18 $0.20 $0.22 $0.24 $0.26 $0.30 $0.34
Hudbay Minerals Inc. $7.00 2019 CFPS Copper $1.58 $1.17 $1.31 $1.44 $1.51 $1.58 $1.65 $1.72 $1.85 $1.99
Lundin Mining Corporation $9.50 2019 CFPS Copper $0.93 $0.67 $0.76 $0.85 $0.89 $0.93 $0.97 $1.01 $1.09 $1.17
Trevali Mining Corporation $0.35 2019 CFPS Zinc $0.12 $0.05 $0.07 $0.09 $0.11 $0.12 $0.14 $0.15 $0.18 $0.22
Note: For price forecast estimates, please refer to the "Haywood Metals and Currencies Forecast" Table later in this report
Company
-30% -20% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 20% 30%
PRODUCERS
Capstone Mining Corp. $0.80 2020 CFPS Copper $0.32 ($0.11) $0.04 $0.18 $0.25 $0.32 $0.39 $0.46 $0.60 $0.74
Copper Mountain Mining Corp. $1.00 2020 CFPS Copper $0.53 ($0.11) $0.10 $0.32 $0.43 $0.53 $0.63 $0.71 $0.85 $1.00
Hudbay Minerals Inc. $7.00 2020 CFPS Copper $1.45 ($0.20) $0.35 $0.90 $1.18 $1.45 $1.73 $2.00 $2.56 $3.11
Lundin Mining Corporation $9.50 2020 CFPS Copper $1.56 $0.58 $0.93 $1.25 $1.41 $1.56 $1.71 $1.86 $2.15 $2.45
Trevali Mining Corporation $0.35 2020 CFPS Zinc $0.19 ($0.01) $0.04 $0.11 $0.15 $0.19 $0.23 $0.28 $0.39 $0.51
Note: For price forecast estimates, please refer to the "Haywood Metals and Currencies Forecast" Table later in this report
Percentage Change Relative to Haywood Forecasted Commodity Prices
Base
Case
Percentage Change Relative to Haywood Forecasted Commodity Prices
Primary
Commodity
Base
Case
Percentage Change Relative to Haywood Forecasted Commodity Prices
Primary
Commodity
Base
Case
Target MetricPrimary
Commodity
MetricTarget
Target Metric
The Weekly Dig
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
33
January 10, 2020
Comparables Tables – Other (Uranium, Lithium, Diamond, Cobalt, Coal, Iron)
Uranium/Lithium Companies – Haywood Estimates
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
Diamond Companies – Haywood Estimates
Source: Bloomberg and Haywood Securities
Last Shares MC Target Return NAVPS Primary
Price O/S (C$M) (C$) (%) (US$) 2019E 2020E Commodity 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E
Denison Mines DML-T CH $0.53 597 $317 $2.10 296% BUY C$2.10 ($0.02) $0.02 Uranium - - -
Energy Fuels UUUU-US CH $1.75 99 US$173 US$4.80 174% BUY $4.84 ($0.03) $0.25 Uranium 1.1 2.3 0.4x 1.0x - 7.0x - 19.3x
NexGen Energy NXE-T CH $1.53 357 $546 $6.00 292% BUY C$5.98 ($0.05) ($0.05) Uranium - - - 0.3x 1.0x - - - -
Uranium Energy UEC-US CH $0.90 183 US$166 US$2.90 221% BUY $2.87 $0.08 $0.17 Uranium 0.8 1.6 0.3x 1.0x 11.4x 5.5x 35.1x 16.9x
Uranium Participation U-T CH $4.04 138 $558 $5.90 46% BUY C$5.13 Uranium - - - 0.8x 1.2x - - - -
Plateau Energy PLU-V CH $0.25 86 $21 N/A Under Review Uranium - - -
Azarga Uranium AZZ-T CH $0.23 186 $42 $0.50 122% BUY C$0.50 Uranium 0.5x 1.0x
Group Average 0.4x 1.0x 11.4x 6.3x 35.1x 18.1x
C$/US$ = 1.31
A$/US$ = 1.46
₤/US$ = 0.77
Target / CFPSPrice /
NAV
Target /
NAV Company
EV / CFPS RatingTicker Analyst
CFPS (US$) Production, million pounds Total Cash Costs, US$/lb
Last Shares MC Target Return NAVPS Primary Target / CFPS
Price (C$) O/S (M) (C$M) (C$) (%) (US$) 2019E 2020E Commodity 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E 2019E 2020 2019E 2020E
Mountain Province Diamonds Inc. TSX:MPVD MPVD-T GM $1.15 210 $242 $3.50 204% BUY $3.25 $0.29 $0.34 Diamonds 6,375 6,771 $87 $82 $99 $86 0.3x 0.8x 7.4x 6.5x 9.1x 8.0x
Lucara Diamond Corp. TSX:LUC LUC-T GM $0.81 397 $321 $2.10 159% BUY $1.55 $0.13 $0.20 Diamonds 440 310 $226 $262 $420 $350 0.4x 1.0x 4.6x 3.0x 9.3x 8.0x
Group Average 0.3x 0.9x 6.0x 4.8x 9.2x 8.0x
C$/US$ = 1.3x 1.309
Company Ticker Analyst RatingPrice /
NAV
AISC, US$/ctTCC, US$/ctProduction, 000's caratsCFPS (US$) EV / CFPS Target /
NAV
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
34
January 10, 2020
Uranium Comparables – Consensus Estimates
IBES Shares Market Enterprise Total Reserves IBES
Company (T icker)
Haywood Covered Names bold
Share
Price
Consensus
Target
Implied
Return
Outst.
(millions)
Capitalization
(millions)
Value (USD)
(millions)
& Resources
(M lb)
USD EV/lb
Resource
Consensus
NAV
Price /
Nav 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020
Cameco Corporation (CCO-T) $11.26 $15.30 36% 396 $4,457 $3,515 1,051 $3.34 $14.13 0.80x $1.19 $0.82 $0.58 9.5x 13.8x 19.3x $0.27 ($0.01) $0.05 42.3x 245.7x
Energy Fuels (UUUU-US) $2.29 $4.76 108% 99 $226.3 $171.8 131.3 $1.31 $3.34 0.69x ($0.22) ($0.03) $0.03 75.0x ($0.29) ($0.48) ($0.27)
Uranium Energy (UEC-US) $1.18 $3.60 204% 183 $216.8 $173.3 111.5 $1.55 $2.73 0.43x ($0.13) ($0.08) ($0.56) ($0.13) ($0.12) ($0.10)
Ur-Energy Inc. (URE-T) $0.74 $1.32 79% 160 $118.4 $99.4 41.6 $2.39 $1.18 0.62x ($0.01) $0.05 $0.02 14.3x 42.4x $0.01 ($0.06) $0.00 108.5x 226.3x
Peninsula Energy (PEN-AU) $0.15 $0.81 429% 295 $45.1 $43.7 53.6 $0.82 $0.90 0.17x ($0.01) ($0.03) ($0.05) ($0.10) ($0.07)
Energy Resources (ERA-AU) $0.13 518 $69.7 ($185.9) 431.1 $0.21 0.64x $0.07 $0.15 ($0.03) 2.0x 0.9x $0.01 ($0.03) ($0.08) 14.0x
Group Average - Producers $1.88 0.56x 5.7x 9.6x 45.6x 54.9x #DIV/0! 236.0x
NexGen Energy (NXE-T) $1.53 $5.01 227% 357 $546.2 $466.8 348.8 $1.34 $5.69 0.27x ($0.02) ($0.04) ($0.05) ($0.09) ($0.08) ($0.08)
Denison Mines (DML-T) $0.53 $1.25 136% 597 $316.5 $234.5 179.6 $1.31 $1.30 0.41x ($0.04) ($0.03) ($0.02) ($0.04) ($0.04) ($0.03)
Fission Uranium (FCU-T) $0.29 $1.60 452% 486 $141.0 $102.7 135.2 $0.76 $1.54 0.19x ($0.01) ($0.01) ($0.01) ($0.01) ($0.01) ($0.01)
GoviEx Uranium (GXU-V) $0.14 423 $59.3 $56.9 215.6 $0.26
Global Atomic (GLO-T) $0.49 145 $70.5 $49.9 292.5 $0.17
Boss Resources (BOE-AU) $0.04 1,587 $71.2 $49.9 71.4 $0.70 ($0.00) ($0.00)
UEX Corporation (UEX-T) $0.13 $0.45 260% 394 $49.3 $34.7 98.6 $0.35 ($0.02) ($0.02)
Deep Yellow (DYL-AU) $0.24 $0.36 48% 247 $59.8 $35.4 155.6 $0.23
Azarga Uranium (AZZ-T) $0.23 $0.47 109% 186 $41.7 $31.2 43.6 $0.72 $0.50 0.45x ($0.04) ($0.03) ($0.03) ($0.03)
Laramide Resources (LAM-T) $0.22 143 $31.4 $31.1 122.7 $0.25
Bannerman Resources (BMN-AU) $0.04 1,059 $38.0 $24.5 257.2 $0.10
Toro Energy (TOE-AU) $0.01 2,490 $17.9 $21.0 75.7 $0.28
Western Uranium (WUC-L) $1.02 30 $30.7 $21.0 99.2 $0.21
Vimy Resources (VMY-AU) $0.04 $0.31 616% 619 $26.4 $19.5 117.0 $0.17 $0.32 0.13x ($0.02) ($0.01) ($0.01) ($0.02) ($0.01) ($0.01)
Forsys Metals (FSY-T) $0.13 157 $19.6 $14.3 127.0 $0.11
Plateau Energy (PLU-V) $0.25 $2.00 716% 86 $21.0 $15.3 123.4 $0.12 $4.94 0.05x ($0.06) ($0.09) ($0.09) ($0.02) ($0.14) ($0.10)
A-Cap Energy (ACB-AU) $0.01 872 $8.6 $10.5 190.6 $0.05
U3O8 Corp. (UWE-T) $0.09 23 $2.0 $2.0 47.7 $0.04
Energy Metals (EME-AU) $0.08 210 $17.5 $1.5 61.1 $0.02
Berkeley Energia (BKY-AU) $0.21 $0.98 376% 259 $53.4 ($0.8) 89.4 ($0.09) ($0.04) ($0.04) ($0.09) ($0.04) ($0.04)
Group Average - Developers $0.38 0.25x
Aurania Resources (ARU-V) $4.20 $4.50 7% 35 $146.9 $113.2
IsoEnergy Ltd. (ISO-V) $0.43 91 $39.1 $29.3 8.2 $3.57
Azimut Exploration (AZM-V) $0.51 59 $29.9 $20.5
ValOre Metals (VO-V) $0.31 85 $26.4 $19.5 43.5 $0.45
Mega Uranium (MGA-T) $0.09 326 $27.7 $17.0 17.0 $1.00
enCore Energy (:EU-V) $0.16 142 $22.7 $15.1 56.4 $0.27
Globex Mining (GMX-T) $0.34 54 $18.2 $11.7
Purepoint Uranium (PTU-V) $0.06 223 $12.3 $9.0
Skyharbour Resources (SYH-V) $0.17 $1.01 512% 75 $12.4 $9.2 7.0 $1.32
Blue Sky (BSK-V) $0.10 120 $12.0 $9.3 22.7 $0.41
CanAlaska Uranium (CVV-V) $0.23 47 $10.7 $6.9
Anfield Energy (AEC-V) $0.11 $0.30 173% 75 $8.2 $6.0 37.1 $0.16 $0.40 0.28x
Forum Energy (FMC-V) $0.08 109 $8.2 $6.2 0.6 $9.79
Marenica Energy (MEY-AU) $0.07 117 $8.0 $5.8 113.6 $0.05
X-Terra Resources (XTT-V) $0.12 59 $7.1 $4.7
Fission 3.0 (FUU-V) $0.06 142 $8.5 $5.0
Avrupa Minerals (AVU-V) $0.04 114 $4.0 $3.1
Cauldron Energy (CXU-AU) $0.02 343 $7.7 $4.6 30.9 $0.15
Eros Resources (ERC-V) $0.08 48 $3.9 $2.7
Zadar Ventures (ZAD-V) $0.11 18 $1.9 $1.3
Uravan Minerals (UVN-V) $0.04 42 $1.5 $1.1
Tarku Resources (TKU-V) $0.02 76 $1.1 $0.8
Vanadian Energy (VEC-V) $0.02 42 $0.6 $0.5 43.2 $0.01
Roughrider Exploration (REL-V) $0.06 14 $0.8 $0.5
Group Average - Explorers $1.56
INVENTORY FUNDS
Uranium Participation (U-T) $4.04 $5.49 36% 138 $557.8 $423.5 17.8 $23.77 $4.90 0.82x
Yellow Cake (YCA-LN) £3.33 £4.73 42% 88 £294.0 $215.2 9.6 $22.38
All data sourced from S&P Capital IQ, SNL Financial, Bloomberg, Haywood Securities, Company Reports
EPS (LoC) P/EPS
DE
VE
LO
PE
RS
EX
PL
OR
ER
S
CFPS (LoC) P/CFPS
PR
OD
UC
ER
S
Earnings CompsConsensus Targets In-Situ Comps - EV/lb U3O8 NAV Comps Cash Flow Comps
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
35 January 10, 2020
Diamond Sensitivity
Uranium Sensitivity
-30% -20% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 20% 30%
DEVELOPER / PRODUCER
Mountain Province Diamonds Inc. $3.50 NAVPS Diamonds $4.67 $2.75 $3.39 $4.02 $4.35 $4.67 $5.00 $5.33 $6.00 $6.68
Lucara Diamond Corp. $2.10 NAVPS Diamonds $2.03 $1.95 $1.98 $2.00 $2.02 $2.03 $2.04 $2.05 $2.08 $2.10
-30% -20% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 20% 30%
DEVELOPER / PRODUCER
Mountain Province Diamonds Inc. $3.50 2019 CFPS Diamonds $0.40 $0.44 $0.44 $0.41 $0.40 $0.40 $0.40 $0.39 $0.39 $0.38
Lucara Diamond Corp. $2.10 2019 CFPS Diamonds $0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.13
-30% -20% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 20% 30%
DEVELOPER / PRODUCER
Mountain Province Diamonds Inc. $3.50 2020 CFPS Diamonds $0.45 $0.36 $0.38 $0.42 $0.43 $0.45 $0.46 $0.47 $0.49 $0.51
Lucara Diamond Corp. $2.10 2020 CFPS Diamonds $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20
Note: Diamond sensitivities reflect changes in USD/CAD exchange rate
Note: For price forecast estimates, please refer to the "Haywood Metals and Currencies Forecast" Table later in this report
Percentage Change Relative to Haywood Forecasted Exchange RateCompany Target Metric
Primary
Commodity
Base
Case
Percentage Change Relative to Haywood Forecasted Exchange RateCompany Target Metric
Primary
Commodity
Base
Case
Percentage Change Relative to Haywood Forecasted Exchange RateCompany Target Metric
Primary
Commodity
Base
Case
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
36
January 10, 2020
Performance of Companies from the last Junior Exploration Report
Source: Haywood Securities
(C$) (C$M) (C$M)
Aurion Resources Ltd. TSXV:AU 1.93 161.03 22.00 (5.4)% (4.9)% (5.0)%
BeMetals Corp. TSXV:BMET 0.22 23.08 3.79 (8.3)% (2.2)% (2.3)%
Generation Mining Limited CNSX:GENM 0.42 38.43 2.00 27.3% 50.0% 49.9%GT Gold Corp. TSXV:GTT 1.03 126.97 17.83 (1.9)% (2.8)% (2.9)%
IsoEnergy Ltd. TSXV:ISO 0.43 39.08 2.00 11.7% 7.5% 7.4%
Japan Gold Corp. TSXV:JG 0.26 36.43 8.89 0.0% (5.5)% (5.5)%
Luminex Resources Corp. TSXV:LR 0.74 53.44 7.93 (5.1)% (7.5)% (7.6)%
Oroco Resource Corp. TSXV:OCO 0.49 51.26 1.30 0.0% 8.9% 8.8%
Osino Resources Corp. TSXV:OSI 0.79 50.52 3.50 14.5% 21.5% 21.5%
Red Pine Exploration Inc. TSXV:RPX 0.05 21.48 1.80 0.0% (10.0)% (10.1)%
Reunion Gold Corporation TSXV:RGD 0.13 54.37 9.00 (21.2)% (7.1)% (7.2)%
Rupert Resources Ltd. TSXV:RUP 0.70 97.95 8.30 0.0% 2.9% 2.9%
Sun Metals Corp. TSXV:SUNM 0.21 30.34 7.00 (10.9)% (8.9)% (9.0)%
Velocity M inerals Ltd. TSXV:VLC 0.42 41.07 7.10 (7.7)% (7.7)% (7.8)%
QTD Performance
vs. TSXV IndexTickerJunior Exploration Names
QTD
Performance
Weekly
Performance
Cash as of October
Junior X Report
Market
Capitalization
Close
Price
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
37
January 10, 2020
Haywood Metals and Currencies Performance and Forecasts
Source: Bloomberg, Haywood Securities
OLD NEW OLD NEW OLD NEW OLD NEW OLD NEW
Gold, US$/oz $1,360 $1,391 $1,425 $1,425 $1,425 $1,425 $1,425 $1,425 $1,425 $1,425
Silver, US$/oz $15.75 $16.12 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00
Copper, US$/lb $2.90 $2.70 $3.00 $2.90 $3.05 $3.00 $3.10 $3.10 $3.15 $3.15
Lead, US$/lb $0.95 $0.90 $1.00 $0.95 $1.05 $1.00 $1.05 $1.05 $1.05 $1.05
Nickel, US$/lb $5.90 $6.45 $6.50 $7.00 $7.00 $7.00 $7.00 $7.00 $7.00 $7.00
Zinc, US$/lb $1.20 $1.15 $1.15 $1.15 $1.15 $1.15 $1.10 $1.10 $1.10 $1.10
OLD NEW OLD NEW OLD NEW OLD NEW OLD NEW
C$/US$ FX Rate 1.32 1.33 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.28 1.27 1.27 1.27 1.27
AUS$/US$ FX Rate 1.42 1.45 1.37 1.41 1.35 1.35 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37
Euro/US$ FX Rate 0.89 0.90 0.85 0.86 0.82 0.85 0.83 0.84 0.83 0.84
Commodities
Currencies
2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E
2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E+
2023E+
2023E+
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
38
January 10, 2020
Important Information and Legal Disclosures
This report may be distributed in the following states: nil. Otherwise, this report may only be distributed into those states with an institutional buyer state securities registration exemption.
Analyst Certification
We, Mick Carew, Geordie Mark, Kerry Smith, Pierre Vaillancourt, Colin Healey, hereby certify that the views expressed in this report (which includes the rating assigned to the issuer’s shares as well as the analytical substance and tone of the report) accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject securities and the issuer. No part of my/our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations.
Important Disclosures
Of the companies included in the report the following Important Disclosures apply:
Ticker Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
TSXV:ADZN Adventus Zinc Corp. X X X X
TSX:AGI Alamos Gold Inc. X
TSX:AKG Asanko Gold Inc. X
TSX:AZZ Azarga Uranium Corp. X X X
TSX:BTO B2Gold Corp. X X
TSX:ABX Barrick Gold Corporation X
TSXV:BSR Bluestone Resources Inc. X X X
TSX:CS Capstone Mining Corp. X
TSX:CMMC Copper Mountain Mining Corp. X X
TSX:DML Denison Mines Corp. X X
TSX:DGC Detour Gold Corporation X X
TSX:ELD Eldorado Gold Corporation X X
TSX:EDV Endeavour Mining Corp. X X
TSX:EFR Energy Fuels Inc. X
TSXV:EQX Equinox Gold Corp. X X X
TSXV:FPC Falco Resources Ltd. X
TSXV:FIL Filo Mining Corp. X X X
TSXV:FWZ Fireweed Zinc Ltd. X X X X
TSXV:GQC GoldQuest Mining Corp. X
ASX:GOR Gold Road Resources Limited X
TSX:HRT Harte Gold Corp. X X
TSX:HBM Hudbay Minerals, Inc. X
TSXV:KNT K92 Mining Inc. X X
TSX:LGD Liberty Gold Corp. X X X
TSX:LUC Lucara Diamond Corp. X X
TSXV:LUM Lumina Gold Corp. X X X
TSX:LUG Lundin Gold Inc. X X
TSX:LUN Lundin Mining Corporation X
TSX:MOZ Marathon Gold Corp. X X X
TSXV:MTA Metalla Royalty & Streaming
TSX:MAX Midas Gold Corp. X X X
TSXV:MAI Minera Alamos Inc. X
TSX:MPVD Mountain Province Diamonds Inc. X X
TSX:NXE NexGen Energy Ltd. X
TSX:NCU Nevada Copper Corp. X X
TSX:NHK Nighthawk Gold Corp. X X X
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
39
January 10, 2020
TSX:OGC OceanaGold Corporation X
TSX:OR Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd. X
TSXV:OM Osisko Metals Inc. X X X
TSX:OSK Osisko Mining Corp. X X
TSXV:OSI Osino Resources Corp. X X X
TSXV:PLU Plateau Energy Metals Inc. X X X X
TSXV:PGM Pure Gold Mining Inc. X X X X
TSXV:ROG Roxgold Inc. X X
TSX:RNX RNC Minerals X X X X
TSX:SBB Sabina Gold and Silver Corp. X
TSXV:SGI Superior Gold Inc.
TSX:SMF SEMAFO Inc. X
TSX:STGO Steppe Gold Ltd. X X
TSX:TML Treasury Metals Inc. X X
TSX:TV Trevali Mining Corp. X X
TSXV:TLG Trolius Gold Corp. X X
AMEX:UEC Uranium Energy Corp. X
TSX:U Uranium Participation Corporation X
TSXV:VLC Velocity Minerals Ltd. X X
TSX:XAM Xanadu Mines Ltd. X
1 The Analyst(s) preparing this report (or a member of the Analysts’ households) have a financial interest in this company.
2 As of the end of the month immediately preceding this publication either Haywood Securities, Inc., one of its subsidiaries, its officers or directors beneficially owned 1% or more of this company.
3 Haywood Securities, Inc. has reviewed lead projects of this company and a portion of the expenses for this travel have been reimbursed by the issuer.
4 Haywood Securities Inc. or one of its subsidiaries has managed or co-managed or participated as selling group in a public offering of securities for this company in the past 12 months.
5 Haywood Securities, Inc. or one of its subsidiaries has received compensation for investment banking services from this company in the past 12 months
6 Haywood Securities, Inc. or one of its subsidiaries has received compensation for investment banking services from this company in the past 24 months
7 Haywood Securities, Inc. or one of its subsidiaries is restricted on this company at the time of publication
Distribution of Ratings (as of January 10, 2020)
IB Clients
% # (TTM)
Buy 76.2% 80 96.6%
Hold 10.5% 11 0.0%
Sell 2.9% 3 0.0%
Tender 1.9% 2 0.0%
UR (Buy) 1.0% 1 0.0%
UR (Hold) 0.0% 0 0.0%
UR (Sell) 0.0% 0 0.0%
Dropped (TTM) 7.6% 8 3.4%
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
40
January 10, 2020
Price Chart, Rating and Target Price History (as of January 10, 2020)
Adventus Mining Corporation (ADZN-V) Date Target(C$) Rating5/3/19 $1.90 Buy2/7/19 $1.80 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 2/7/2019
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI-T) Date Target(C$) Rating11/1/19 $10.25 Buy
10/15/19 $10.25 Hold7/25/19 $11.00 Buy1/16/19 $9.00 Buy
10/17/17 $10.00 Buy7/19/17 $11.50 Buy
Initiated Coverage 10/03/03
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Asanko Gold Inc. (AKG-T) Date Target(C$) Rating4/4/19 $1.15 Hold
11/9/18 $1.65 Hold8/4/17 $2.00 Hold
7/20/17 $4.50 Buy2/28/17 $5.20 Buy2/22/17 $5.50 Buy1/25/17 $5.50 Hold
Initiated Coverage 12/11/13
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Azarga Uranium Corp. (AZZ-T) Date Target(C$) Rating6/24/19 $0.50 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 6/24/2019
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
B2Gold Corp. (BTO-T) Date Target(C$) Rating7/25/19 $6.50 Buy7/20/17 $5.00 Buy1/25/17 $5.50 Buy
Transferred Coverage 09/12/12; Re-Initiated Coverage 02/05/14
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX-T) Date Target(C$) Rating7/25/19 $28.00 Buy6/21/19 $23.00 Buy2/14/19 $19.00 Buy
10/26/18 $18.00 Buy10/2/18 $17.00 Buy7/27/18 $19.50 Hold2/16/18 $26.00 Buy
10/17/17 $28.00 Buy7/20/17 $30.50 Buy4/26/17 $37.00 Buy2/17/17 $38.50 Buy1/25/17 $33.00 Buy
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Bluestone Resources Inc. (BSR-V) Date Target(C$) Rating6/26/18 $2.75 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 6/26/2018
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Capstone Mining Corp. (CS-T) Date Target(C$) Rating11/8/19 $0.80 Buy7/23/19 $0.70 Hold
11/27/18 $0.85 Buy10/31/18 $0.70 Buy7/10/18 $1.20 Hold4/10/18 $1.50 Hold
10/19/17 $1.75 Hold8/1/17 $1.50 Buy
7/20/17 $1.40 Buy6/20/17 $1.20 Buy
Initiated Coverage 07/10/07; Name change Capstone Mining
Corp. 11/25/08; Transferred Coverage 6/20/2017
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
41
January 10, 2020
Copper Mountain Mining Corporation (CMMC-T) Date Target(C$) Rating7/23/19 $1.00 Hold2/22/19 $1.50 Buy1/10/19 $1.75 Buy
10/19/17 $2.00 Buy8/8/17 $1.10 Hold
7/20/17 $1.00 Hold6/20/17 $0.90 Hold
Initiated Coverage: 8/26/10; Transferred Coverage 6/20/2017
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Denison Mines Corp. (DML-T) Date Target(C$) Rating10/30/18 $2.10 Buy9/26/18 $2.00 Buy
Transferred & Re-initiated Coverage 08/20/12
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
Dec16
Mar17
Jun17
Sep17
Dec17
Mar18
Jun18
Sep18
Dec18
Mar19
Jun19
Sep19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Detour Gold Corporation (DGC-T) Date Target(C$) Rating11/26/19 N/A Tender7/25/19 $25.00 Buy7/12/19 $23.00 Buy7/27/18 $15.50 Buy4/30/18 $15.50 Hold
10/17/17 $26.00 Buy7/20/17 $28.00 Buy3/24/17 $27.50 Buy1/25/17 $32.00 Buy
Initiated Coverage 9/24/09
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Eldorado Gold Corporation (ELD-T) Date Target(C$) Rating7/25/19 $15.00 Buy7/11/19 $10.00 Buy5/6/19 $6.25 Buy2/1/19 $7.00 Buy1/9/19 $6.50 Buy
10/30/17 $2.50 Buy10/17/17 $5.00 Buy7/20/17 $5.50 Buy6/28/17 $6.50 Buy1/25/17 $8.25 Buy
December 31, 2018: 5:1 Share Consolidation
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Endeavour Mining Corporation (EDV-T) Date Target(C$) Rating10/17/17 $32.00 Buy7/20/17 $35.00 Buy1/25/17 $31.00 Buy
Initiated Coverage 08/21/14; 10:1 Prices/Targets adjusted to reflect
Stock Consolidation 12/02/15; Transfer of Coverage 10/20/16
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Energy Fuels Inc. (AMEX:UUUU) Date Target(US$) Rating1/25/17 $4.80 Buy
Targets and prices prior to 11/06/13 adjusted for share
consolidation; Transferred & Re-initiated Coverage 08/20/12;
Targets prior to 05/31/16 converted to US$ at spot
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (US$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
42
January 10, 2020
Equinox Gold Corp. (EQX-T) Date Target(C$) Rating8/20/19 $13.75 Buy7/25/19 $2.75 Buy
10/19/18 $3.00 Buy10/17/17 $2.80 Buy
4/4/17 $3.00 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 4/4/2017; August 2019 - 5:1 Share
Consolidation
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Aug
…
Sep
…
Oct
…
Nov
…
Dec
…
Jan…
Feb
…
Mar
…
Ap
r…
May
…
Jun…
Jul…
Aug
…
Sep
…
Oct
…
No
v…
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Falco Resources Ltd. (FPC-V) Date Target(C$) Rating1/28/19 $0.40 Hold10/2/18 $0.75 Buy6/22/18 $1.25 Buy5/11/17 $2.00 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 5/11/2017
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Filo Mining Corp. (FIL-V) Date Target(C$) Rating4/18/18 $4.60 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 4/18/2018
0
1
2
3
4
5
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Fireweed Zinc Ltd. (FWZ-V) Date Target(C$) Rating7/15/19 $1.00 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 7/15/2019
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
Jun17
Sep17
Dec17
Mar18
Jun18
Sep18
Dec18
Mar19
Jun19
Sep19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Goldquest Mining Corp. (GQC-V) Date Target(C$) Rating1/25/19 $0.08 Sell3/29/18 $0.20 Hold
10/11/17 $0.60 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 10/11/2017
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Gold Road Resources Limited (GOR-A) Date Target(C$) Rating7/25/19 $0.85 Sell6/21/19 $0.75 Sell8/7/18 $0.75 Hold
10/17/17 $0.90 Buy
Initiated Coverage 9/13/2016; Transfer of Coverage 10/20/16
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Nov19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Harte Gold Corp. (HRT-T) Date Target(C$) Rating11/19/19 $0.25 Hold11/4/19 $0.50 Buy5/8/19 $0.70 Buy
6/22/18 $0.80 Buy12/13/17 $0.90 Buy4/12/17 $1.00 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 4/12/2017
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM-T) Date Target(C$) Rating11/13/19 $7.00 Buy
8/6/19 $8.00 Buy7/23/19 $9.00 Buy2/25/19 $11.00 Buy
12/20/18 $8.00 Buy8/1/18 $9.00 Buy
7/10/18 $11.50 Buy5/3/18 $12.50 Buy
1/12/18 $13.50 Buy10/19/17 $12.50 Buy
8/4/17 $12.00 Buy7/20/17 $11.00 Buy6/20/17 $9.00 Buy
11/29/16 $10.00 Buy11/14/16 $8.25 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 12/19/13; Transferred Coverage 6/20/2017
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
43
January 10, 2020
K92 Mining Inc. (KNT-V) Date Target(C$) Rating11/28/19 $4.75 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 11/28/2019
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Liberty Gold Corp. (LGD-T) Date Target(C$) Rating10/17/19 $1.60 Buy
Initiated Coverage 10/09/12; Transfer of Coverage 10/20/2016
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Lucara Diamond Corp. (LUC-T) Date Target(C$) Rating2/22/19 $2.10 Buy1/8/19 $2.60 Buy
11/3/17 $3.20 Buy1/25/17 $3.50 Buy12/1/16 $3.00 Hold
Initiated Coverage 04/28/15
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Lundin Gold Inc. (LUG-T) Date Target(C$) Rating7/25/19 $9.25 Buy3/4/19 $7.50 Buy
10/17/17 $7.75 Buy1/25/17 $8.25 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 12/08/15
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Lundin Mining Corporation (LUN-T) Date Target(C$) Rating11/27/19 $9.50 Buy
9/9/19 $8.50 Buy7/26/19 $9.50 Buy4/29/19 $10.00 Buy2/19/19 $9.00 Buy
10/25/18 $8.00 Buy9/14/18 $9.00 Buy1/12/18 $9.50 Hold12/1/17 $9.00 Buy
10/19/17 $11.50 Buy7/27/17 $11.00 Buy6/20/17 $10.00 Buy12/1/16 $8.50 Buy
Transferred Coverage: 11/02/15; Transferred Coverage
6/20/2017
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Lumina Gold Corp. (LUM-V) Date Target(C$) Rating7/3/18 $1.50 Buy
3/15/18 $1.20 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 03/15/2018
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Marathon Gold Corporation (MOZ-T) Date Target(C$) Rating5/16/19 $2.00 Buy2/22/19 $1.90 Buy1/11/18 $1.80 Buy2/27/17 $1.50 Buy1/17/17 $1.10 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 1/17/2017
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd. (MTA-V) Date Target(C$) Rating11/27/19 $2.00 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 11/27/2019
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
44
January 10, 2020
Midas Gold Corp. (MAX-T) Date Target(C$) Rating7/25/19 $1.80 Buy5/9/18 $1.90 Buy
7/20/17 $1.50 Buy1/25/17 $1.75 Buy
Transferred and Re-initiated Coverage 11/05/13
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Minera Alamos Inc. (MAI-V) Date Target(C$) Rating7/25/19 $0.50 Buy4/30/19 $0.40 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 4/30/2019
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Mountain Province Diamonds Inc. (MPVD-T) Date Target(C$) Rating10/21/19 $3.50 Buy
8/8/19 $3.80 Buy7/18/19 $4.30 Buy4/26/19 $4.80 Buy
11/27/18 $5.20 Buy11/13/18 $5.60 Buy4/26/17 $6.30 Buy3/30/17 $7.00 Buy
Initiated Coverage 02/05/15
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
NexGen Energy Ltd. (NXE-T) Date Target(C$) Rating2/27/17 $6.00 Buy1/25/17 $4.50 Buy
Initiated Coverage 11/05/15
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Nevada Copper Corp. (NCU-T) Date Target(C$) Rating10/10/19 $0.50 Buy8/29/18 $0.90 Buy6/19/18 $1.00 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 6/19/2018
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Nighthawk Gold Corp. (NHK-T) Date Target(C$) Rating9/10/18 $0.90 Buy
10/20/17 $1.30 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 10/20/2017
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd (OR-T) Date Target(C$) Rating9/4/19 $19.50 Buy
7/25/19 $17.00 Buy10/2/18 $16.50 Buy2/21/18 $18.00 Buy
10/17/17 $19.00 Buy7/20/17 $19.50 Buy1/25/17 $18.25 Buy
Initiated Coverage 12/16/2015; Transfer of Coverage
10/20/2016
0
5
10
15
20
25
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Osisko Metals Incorporated (OM-V) Date Target(C$) Rating4/25/19 $0.90 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 4/25/2019
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
45
January 10, 2020
Osisko Mining Inc. (OSK-T) Date Target(C$) Rating5/24/18 $4.50 Buy3/19/18 $6.00 Buy4/6/17 $6.50 Buy
3/17/17 $5.00 Buy
Initiated Coverage 12/10/2016; Transfer of Coverage
10/20/2016
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Nov16
Feb17
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Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Plateau Energy Metals Inc. (PLU-V) Date Target(C$) Rating8/1/19 UR UR9/4/18 $3.00 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 9/4/2018
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
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Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Pure Gold Mining Inc. (PGM-V) Date Target(C$) Rating2/6/19 $1.30 Buy
6/28/17 $1.00 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 6/28/2017
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
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May18
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Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
OceanaGold Corporation (OGC-T) Date Target(C$) Rating10/16/19 $3.50 Hold3/15/19 $4.00 Hold2/5/19 $4.00 Sell
10/17/17 $4.20 Hold7/20/17 $4.40 Hold6/28/17 $5.10 Buy1/25/17 $5.75 Buy
Initiated Coverage 09/22/14
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
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Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Roxgold Inc. (ROXG-T) Date Target(C$) Rating1/3/18 $1.90 Buy
11/1/17 $1.70 Buy7/20/17 $1.80 Buy1/25/17 $2.00 Buy
Initiated Coverage
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
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Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
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Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
RNC Minerals (RNX-T) Date Target(C$) Rating10/16/19 $0.60 Buy6/28/19 $0.80 Buy1/23/19 $0.75 Buy9/25/18 $0.75 Hold9/20/18 $0.50 Buy9/12/18 $0.40 Buy7/24/18 $0.15 Hold5/15/18 $0.25 Hold3/23/18 $0.30 Hold9/25/17 $0.25 Hold
Initiated Coverage: 07/05/11; Name Change to RNC Minerals
9/13/2016; Transferred Coverage 9/26/2017
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
46
January 10, 2020
Sabina Gold & Silver Corp. (SBB-T) Date Target(C$) Rating7/25/19 $2.00 Hold4/19/18 $2.35 Hold
12/20/17 $2.60 Hold10/19/17 $2.50 Hold10/17/17 $2.70 Buy
9/5/17 $2.75 Buy7/19/17 $2.50 Buy1/25/17 $1.70 Buy
Initiated Coverage 12-15-15
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
SEMAFO Inc. (SMF-T) Date Target(C$) Rating11/13/19 $3.50 SELL7/25/19 $8.50 Buy10/2/18 $6.00 Buy2/20/18 $5.50 Buy4/25/17 $4.50 Buy3/9/17 $5.50 Buy
1/25/17 $7.00 Buy
Initiated Coverage 11/20/09
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Nov16
Feb17
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Aug17
Nov17
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May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
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Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Steppe Gold Ltd. (STGO-T) Date Target(C$) Rating9/5/18 $1.75 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 9/5/2018
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
May18
Jul18
Sep18
Nov18
Jan19
Mar19
May19
Jul19
Sep19
Nov19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Superior Gold Inc. (SGI-V) Date Target(C$) Rating11/20/19 $1.00 Buy10/28/19 $1.15 Buy5/15/19 $1.25 Buy
11/13/18 $1.50 Buy4/3/18 $2.00 Buy
12/12/17 $1.50 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 12/12/2017
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Troilus Gold Corp. (TLG-T) Date Target(C$) Rating11/1/18 $2.00 Buy9/13/18 $2.50 Buy2/20/18 $3.25 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 2/20/2018
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
Jan18
Mar18
May18
Jul18
Sep18
Nov18
Jan19
Mar19
May19
Jul19
Sep19
Nov19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Treasury Metals Inc. (TML-T) Date Target(C$) Rating6/17/19 $1.00 Buy10/2/18 $1.10 Buy7/20/17 $1.20 Buy2/23/17 $1.10 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 6/23/2017
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
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Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Trevali Mining Corporation (TV-T) Date Target(C$) Rating7/23/19 $0.35 Hold1/21/19 $0.80 Buy11/9/18 $1.00 Buy
10/23/18 $1.50 Buy7/10/18 $1.75 Buy
10/19/17 $2.30 Buy7/20/17 $2.00 Buy6/20/17 $1.75 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 02/11/13; Transferred Coverage 6/20/2017
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC-AMEX) Date Target(US$) Rating5/11/17 $2.90 Buy2/3/17 $2.40 Buy
1/25/17 $2.00 Buy
Transferred & Re-initiated Coverage 08/20/12
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
Nov16
Feb17
May17
Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (US$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Mick Carew, PhD, 604-697-6006, [email protected]
Emma Boggio, MSA, CPA, CA, 604-697-6166, [email protected]
The Weekly Dig
47
January 10, 2020
B: Buy; H: Hold; S: Sell; T: Tender; UR: Under Review
Source: Capital IQ and Haywood Securities
Uranium Participation Corporation (U-T) Date Target(C$) Rating10/12/18 $5.90 Buy1/25/17 $5.10 Buy
12/19/16 $5.80 Buy
Transferred & Re-initiated Coverage 08/20/12
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Nov16
Feb17
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Aug17
Nov17
Feb18
May18
Aug18
Nov18
Feb19
May19
Aug19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change
Xanadu Mines Limited (XAM-V) Date Target(C$) Rating7/5/19 $0.10 Buy
2/13/19 $0.30 Buy
Initiated Coverage: 2/13/2019
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
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0.5
0.6
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0.9
Nov16
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Nov19
Price History (C$) Target/Rating/Coverage Change