1 S I A M E M B E R C O M P A N I E S State of The Satellite Industry David Cavossa, Executive...
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S I A M E M B E R C O M P A N I E S
State of The Satellite Industry
David Cavossa, Executive Director, SIA
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Satellite Industry Overview
Launch Industry•Launch Services •Vehicle Manufacturing
•Component and Subsystem Manufacturing
Satellite Manufacturing•Satellite Manufacturing•Component and Subsystem Manufacturing
•Transponder Agreements
•Mobile Satellite Services•Mobile Phone•Mobile Data
Ground Equipment• Mobile Terminals• Gateways• Control Stations• VSATs• DBS Dishes• Handheld Phones• DARS Equipment
Satellite Services•DBS/DARS•Fixed Satellite Services
•Voice, Video, Data•VSATs•Remote Sensing
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World Satellite Industry Revenues
World satellite industry revenues had average annual growth of 6.7% for the period 2000-2005
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$64.2 $64.4
$71.3$74.3
$82.7
$88.8
Rev
enue
(in
Bill
ions
)
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World Satellite Services Revenue
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
FSS $9.1 $9.0 $8.8 $9.5 $9.3 $9.8 FSS=VSAT services, remote sensing, and transponder agreements
DBS $18.3 $22.0 $25.5 $28.8 $35.8 $41.3 DBS/DARS=DTH TV, DARS, and Broadband
MSS $1.5 $1.3 $1.3 $1.6 $1.8 $1.7 MSS=Mobile telephone and mobile data
Total $28.9 $32.3 $35.6 $39.8 $46.9 $52.8
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$18.3$22.0
$25.5
$28.8
$35.8
$41.3
$1.5 $1.3 $1.3 $1.6 $1.8 $1.7
$9.1 $9.0 $8.8 $9.5 $9.3 $9.82000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
DBSMSSFSS
Rev
enue
(in
Bill
ions
)
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Fixed Satellite Services
• Diverse market-baseDiverse market-base• Media DistributionMedia Distribution• Telecom InfrastructureTelecom Infrastructure• Enterprise NetworksEnterprise Networks• Government Networks & AppsGovernment Networks & Apps
• Geosynchronous SpacecraftGeosynchronous Spacecraft• ~~22,000 miles in orbit22,000 miles in orbit
• C, Ku and Ka FrequenciesC, Ku and Ka Frequencies
• Terrestrial InfrastructuresTerrestrial Infrastructures• TeleportsTeleports• TT&C CentersTT&C Centers• Service PlatformsService Platforms• Fiber InterconnectsFiber Interconnects
• ~ 250 operational commercial GEO satellites in use today • 59 to be launched over next 3 years
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Mobile Satellite Industry
• Function like terrestrial wireless system with ubiquitous reach Function like terrestrial wireless system with ubiquitous reach
• Use a mix of orbit typesUse a mix of orbit types
• Geosynchronous (GEO) Geosynchronous (GEO)
• Non-geosynchronous (LEO and MEO) Non-geosynchronous (LEO and MEO)
• System sizes range from (1) GEO satellite to (66) LEO SatellitesSystem sizes range from (1) GEO satellite to (66) LEO Satellites
• Use a mix of frequenciesUse a mix of frequencies
• Mostly L-Band / Some S-Band, UHF/VHFMostly L-Band / Some S-Band, UHF/VHF
• Feeder links and some services use C, Ka, and Ku-BandFeeder links and some services use C, Ka, and Ku-Band
• ApplicationsApplications
• Aeronautical Aeronautical
• Maritime Maritime
• Land Land
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Satellite Manufacturing Revenues
N.B. – Satellite Manufacturing revenues are recorded in the year the satellite is delivered/launched, not when contract is awarded. World revenue includes the US revenue
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
U.S. Revenue$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
Re
ve
nu
e (
in B
illi
on
s)
$11.5
$9.5
$11.0
$9.8$10.2
$7.8
$6.0
$3.8$4.4 $4.6
$3.9
$3.2
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
U.S. Revenue$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
U.S. Revenue World Revenue
Rev
enue
(in
Bill
ions
)
US Revenue
World Revenue
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Launch Industry Revenues
N.B. - Launch Industry revenues are recorded in the year the launch occurs, not when contract is awarded.
Rev
enue
(in
Bill
ions
)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
U.S. Revenue$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
Re
ve
nu
e (
in B
illi
on
s)
$5.3
$3.0
$3.7
$3.2
$2.8$3.0
$2.7
$1.1$1.0
$2.1
$1.5 $1.5
US Revenue
World Revenue
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
U.S. Revenue$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
U.S. Revenue World Revenue
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Satellite Industry Trends
• After a few difficult years, the satellite industry has begun to rebound.– New technologies are being funded – New applications are driving services demand – New markets are opening worldwide as regulations
change
• The key factors are:– Consumer demand – especially video– Government demand and investment in technology– Financial market interest and investment in both existing
and new businesses– Consolidation and rationalization of capacity
• These factors flow through the industry as new user solutions drive demand for more innovative satellites.
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Satellite Industry Response to Katrina
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Satellite Is Part of the Solution
• First Responders and Public Safety need a non-terrestrial back-up communications infrastructure that is;– Independent of the Public Infrastructure– Pre-positioned– Included in First Responder Training Programs
• The Department of Homeland Security is currently examining a range of emergency communication proposals, including proposals to ensure interoperability. Satellite systems should be emphasized and included in the early planning of these initiatives.
• The required capacity and equipment is available today from commercial satellite operators to corporations, first responders, and consumers across the globe.
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Recommendations
• Satellites must be included in emergency response communications to ensure redundancy.
• Satellite capacity and equipment must be pre-purchased and pre-positioned.
• Satellite operators and personnel must be credentialed as first responders.
• Satellite must be included in education and training programs for first responders.
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Critical To National Security“Network Centric Warfare”
80%
20%
Commercial Satellite B/W
Military Satellite B/W
(2002)(1991) (1999)ENDURING FREEDOMDESERT STORM KOSOVO IRAQI FREEDOM
(2003)
Commercial Satellite ServicesDeployed Forces
51K 250 736
54K
99
542K
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
FORCES
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
MBPS
132K
3,200
Source: Defense Information Systems Agency (DISA)
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Projected DoD Wideband Needs
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
On-
orb
it C
apa
city
(Gbp
s) WGS5
WGS4
WGS3
WGS2
WGS1
GBS3
GBS2
GBS1
DSCS10
DSCS9
DSCS8
DSCS7
DSCS6
DSCS5
DSCS4
DSCS3
DSCS2
DSCS1
Wideband Require
ments
(non-TSAT related)
~6 Gbps
~11 Gbps
~18 Gbps
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What the DoD Wants
• Information sharing and analysis• Open dialogue on vulnerability, protection and operational issues
• Terrestrial physical security• Site backup, protection posture and contingency plans
• Personnel security• Background investigations and access controls
• Cyber/Network security• Detect and respond to intrusions; guarantee secure connectivity
• TT&C information assurance• Encrypted connectivity
• Space situational awareness• System baseline, location, TT&C and mission status
• RFI incident management• Timely detection, notification, characterization and response
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What We Want:Long Term Relationship
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Version 3.0
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Operationally Responsive Space
• The goals of ORS to produce satellites that are less costly, at a faster rate, and in greater numbers; and provide niche capabilities, new technologies, and surge capacity; are not restricted to just small satellites and quick launch technologies.
• The DoD, industry, and Congress should embrace the operationally responsive space movement as an obvious next step toward transformation.
• Next step that includes, not only small satellites and cheap launch vehicles, but also encourages; • Shared Payloads/Hosted Payloads• Multiyear Commercial Transponder Leases• Pre-Positioned Capacity and Transponder Portability • Repositionable Spot Beams and/or Satellites
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US National Space PolicyReleased August 31, 2006
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National COMSATCOM Policy Needed
• To maintain and expand our capabilities, we recommend that the US Government develop a national commercial satellite communications policy that:– Relies to the maximum extent possible, on commercial
satellite systems to meet the unclassified, non-sensitive communications needs of the US Government;
– Maintains robust satellite technology development programs, such as the Transformational Communication Architecture and Operationally Responsive Space programs;
– Takes maximum advantage of the flexibility of current procurements laws which allow multiyear procurement and the aggregation of government demand to build long-term stable relationships with the commercial industry;
– Improves current satellite export control regime;– Maintains a strong national technological leadership
through sponsorship of satellite education programs, career opportunities, and the education of key Government personnel;
– Preserves and protects satellite spectrum from harmful interference;