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Office of Institutional Office of Institutional Research and PlanningResearch and Planning
The mission of the Foothill-De Anza Community College District Office of Institutional Research and Planning is to plan, organize, design, define, collect, analyze, maintain, and disseminate research, information, and data about the functioning and performance of the district, its colleges, its programs, and its students.
Including:
… insure accuracy of state and federal reports on student outcomes
… provide reliable, complete and understandable data and information
… ensure the integrity of student data residing on the student information system
.. verify and interpret results for use in a variety of on-line and printed reports.
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Changing Demographics: An Update on FHDA Student
Characteristics
Andrew LaManque, Ph.D.
Elaine Kuo, Ph.D.
Mallory Newell, Ed.D.
Institutional Research and PlanningDecember 2, 2011
3
Outcomes of Today’s Outcomes of Today’s PresentationPresentation
PrimaryDescribe key attributes of students at FHDA, including needs, goals, and successes. Understand future population trends in Santa Clara County and the implications for FHDA.Articulate questions important to ask when starting a research project at FHDA.
Secondary (maybe!)Interpret and draw conclusions from a cross tabulation of descriptive statistics. Be aware of common pitfalls in analyzing data using percents, averages, and survey samples.
4
Office of Institutional Office of Institutional Research and PlanningResearch and Planning
The mission of the Foothill-De Anza Community College District Office of Institutional Research and Planning is to plan, organize, design, define, collect, analyze, maintain, and disseminate research, information, and data about the functioning and performance of the district, its colleges, its programs, and its students.
Including:
… insure accuracy of state and federal reports on student outcomes
… provide reliable, complete and understandable data and information
… ensure the integrity of student data residing on the student information system
.. verify and interpret results for use in a variety of on-line and printed reports.
5
Office of Institutional Office of Institutional Research and PlanningResearch and Planning
IR generally reports information useful for longer term planning and decision-making
Tends to be less frequent in use – weekly, quarterly, yearly
Tends to be in aggregate form - division, department, college
Tends to look at data over time – year to year, quarter to quarter
Tends to come from a data warehouse and includes ‘frozen’ data (currently ODS/EDW)
6
WebsitesWebsites
www.research.fhda.edu
www.deanza.edu/ir
www.foothill.edu/staff/irs/FHresearch/index.php
7
Making a Research RequestMaking a Research Request
What is the purpose – how do you plan to use the data?
What do you want to know?What is the population you would like information on?
Which students, in which classes or programs?
What is the time frame – year, quarter, etc?
Do you want to track students over time (cohort/longitudinal) or look at students at a moment in time (cross sectional)
What is the comparison group?
8
Test Your Knowledge……Test Your Knowledge……
Fill in the PREDICTED column to questions 1-10.
Throughout the presentation fill in the ACTUAL column on your own sheet. At the end of the presentation compare your predicted answers to the actual answers.
Foothill, 4%
De Anza, 21%
San Jose Evergreen, 28%
West Valley Mission, 27%
San Mateo, 2%
Enrollment by Service Area - De Anza College
Service areas outside of Santa Clara County make up 19% of the enrollment. Fall 2010
10Source: FHDA IR&P
Which service areas feed into De Anza College?
Foothill, 25%
De Anza, 11%
San Jose Evergreen, 11%
West Valley Mission, 13%
San Mateo, 15%
Enrollment by Service Area - Foothill College
Service areas outside of Santa Clara County make up 26% of the enrollment. Fall 2010
11Source: FHDA IR&P
Which service areas feed into Foothill College?
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%N
o H
S D
iplo
ma
Spe
cial
Adm
it
HS
Dip
lom
a/G
ED
AA
/AS
BA
/BS
or h
ighe
r
No
HS
Dip
lom
a
Spe
cial
Adm
it
HS
Dip
lom
a/G
ED
AA
/AS
BA
/BS
or h
ighe
r
De Anza Foothill
Enrollment by Highest Education Level
2008 2009 2010
12
Based on fall enrollment.
What is the education level of our students?
Source: FHDA IR&P
17%22% 24% 23%
14%15% 20% 23% 24%18%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Less than High School
High School Some College/AA
Bachelor's Graduate Degree
Enrollment by Parent's Highest Education
De Anza Foothill
CCCApply supplemental question parent /guardian #1, students who applied and enrolled in fall 2011.De Anza total N = 8,207, FH = 5,286
Foothill - 58%
De Anza - 63%
13Source: FHDA IR&P
What is the education level of the parents of our students?
Less than a Bachelor’s Degree
14
What is the family income of our students?
Source: FHDA IR&P
34%
23% 16%
27%31%
22%16%
31%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Under $25,000 $25,000-$49,000 $50,000-$75,000 Over $75,000
Enrollment by Family Income
De Anza FoothillCCCApply supplemental questions, students who applied and enrolled in fall 2011. De Anza = 7,159, Foothill = 4,539
1/3 of FHDA students reported their family income to be under $25,000/year
29%
40%51%
60%
10%
12%14%
10%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2008 2009 2010
Enrollment by Educational Goal
FH - Transfer
DA - Transfer
FH - Degree/Certificate
DA - Degree/Certificate
16Source: FHDA IR&P
Based on fall enrollment.
What is the three year trend in educational goal at each college?
17
39%
44%
21%
28%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2008 2009 2010
Enrollment by Full-timeStatus
De Anza
Foothill
Based on fall enrollment.
Source: FHDA IR&P
What is the three year trend in full-time status at both colleges?
18Source: FHDA IR&P
What is the three year trend for Pell recipients at each college?
966
1,687
2,893
3,985
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
2008-09 2009-10 2010-11
Enrollment by Pell Recipients
Foothill
De Anza
Federal Pell recipients, year to year comparisons.
19Source: FHDA IR&P
What ethnic groups does each college serve at the highest rate?
Native American, Pacific Islander, Unrecorded not graphed.
35%
3% 5%13%
22%
7% 1%
21%
4% 3%
11%
38%
6% 1%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Asi
an
Afr
ican
Am
eric
an
Fili
pino
His
pani
c
Whi
te
Mul
ti-E
thni
c
Oth
er
Asi
an
Afr
ican
Am
eric
an
Fili
pino
His
pani
c
Whi
te
Mul
ti-E
thni
c
Oth
er
De Anza Foothill
Enrollment by Ethnicity - Fall 2010
20
What is the distribution of student transfers across ethnic groups?
Source: FHDA IR&P
73%
43% 46%35%
45%
22%
51% 48%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Foothill-De Anza - Transfer Rates by Ethnicity
Transfer Velocity Cohort , 2004-05 who transferred within 6 years.
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Summary of Demographic Summary of Demographic Trends – FHDA StudentsTrends – FHDA Students
Higher proportion from out of service area
Growing Latino population
Family incomes less than $25,000/annually
More students with a goal of transfer
Increasingly enrolled full-time
Variations in transfer rates by ethnicity
23
County DemographicsCounty Demographics
Where do our students live?
What are the population projections for Santa Clara County?
24
Ethnicity by Census Tract
http://projects.nytimes.com/census/2010/explorer
Source: American Community Survey
Foothill
De Anza
25
What is the projected trend for potential What is the projected trend for potential FHDA students by ethnicity?FHDA students by ethnicity?
0% 3%
27%23%
1%
44%
2%1% 2%
27% 29%
3%
35%
3%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
American Indian
African American
Asian Hispanic Pacific Islander
White Multiracial
Santa Clara County Adult Population Projections
County 2010 County 2035
Source: CA Department of Finance
Hispanics 2010: 315,170Hispanics 2035: 528,33140% increase Whites 2010: 614,227
Whites: 2035: 623,2951% increase
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+0.6%
+7.3%
+3.2%
-0.1%
-0.5%
+3.9%+1.2%
+0%
+1.8%
Projected net shift in sources of enrollment from 2009 to 2035 for the FHDA District
+1.6%
Methodology: Percentages were calculated by applying current capture rates for each age group to 2035 projections for each of the age groups and summing across all age groups to get a projected share figure for each Zone. The 2009 share figure was then subtracted from the projected 2035 share to get a net shift figure for each Zone. 26Source: FHDA IR&P, Gregory Stoup
2009 capture rate: 1.5%
28
County Demographic TrendsCounty Demographic Trends
Population growth continues next 25 years23% increase among adult population
Latinos increasing with largest numbers
Population growth in San Jose, Santa Clara
29
Academic PreparednessAcademic Preparedness
How does Silicon Valley students compare with the rest of their peers in California?
What are the college-going rates of Santa Clara county high school graduates?
87%
50%
78%
35%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Graduation Rates Graduates Meeting UC/CSU Requirements
2008-09 Silicon Valley & CA HS Rate of Graduation & Share of HS Graduates Meeting UC/CSU Requirements
Silicon Valley California
30Source: Joint Venture, Index of Silicon Valley 2011 & CA Department of Education
How do Silicon Valley high school graduates compare to the rest of CA?
31
What is the college-going rate by gender and ethnicity for public high school graduates to CA public institutions?
Source: CPEC
35%
61%
36%29%
34%33%
55%
43%
30%35%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
African American
Asian/PI Filipino Hispanic White
2009 College-Going Rate from Santa Clara County Public High Schools to Any CA Public College or University
by Gender and Ethnicity
Men Women
Includes attendance at CA community college, CSU or UC institution.
32
Economic Impact Study
Source: Tim Nadreau, EMSI
1/3 of jobs will require training involving up to one year’s worth of experience, training and/or instruction.
Course Success Rates by Ethnicity
Student Success Metric: less than 5 percentage point difference
The bars represent the difference in course success between the group of under-served students (African American, Filipino, and Latino) and all other students (as a group). Job Corps students excluded.
10.8
9.5
10.49.8
9.39.59.9
9.19.1 9.2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Foothill Gap De Anza Gap
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
Source: ARCC Report
Percent Successful in Basic Skills Courses *
Student Success Metric: 85% or highest in peer group
87.1
81.683.9 82.480.4 78.6
83.1
77.880.7
77.2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Foothill De Anza
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
Peer High
* Foothill and De Anza are in the same peer group for this measure
Source: ARCC Report
50%
62%
48%45%
61%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
African American
Asian/PI Filipino Hispanic White
2007-08 Cohort of New FHDA Students who Started in Elementary Algebra and Were Successful in
Intermediate Algebra after Three Years
Cohort ending in 2007-08= 1470. Cohort was tracked through 2009-10. Other and Unknown categories not included.
36
Who is progressing through the Algebra Who is progressing through the Algebra sequence?sequence?
Source: FHDA IR&P
36 out of 72
241 out of 390
68 out of 141 139 out of 310
235 out of 384
17%
33%
7%14%
25%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
African American
Asian/PI Filipino Hispanic White
FHDA Successful Second Quarter Calculus Students Who Started as a Cohort in Fall 2009 First Quarter Calculus
Cohort = 724; De Anza = 421, Foothill = 303; Figures do not include Other and Unknown.
Who is progressing through the Calculus Who is progressing through the Calculus sequence?sequence?
37Source: FHDA IR&P
1 out of 6
1 out of 15
25 out of 99145 out of 425
5 out of 35
Academic Preparedness and Academic Preparedness and Outcomes SummaryOutcomes Summary
High school graduation rates for our area higher than state rate
Half of Silicon Valley HS graduates meet CSU/UC requirements
Majority of jobs will require postsecondary education or training
Course success rates reveal differences when examined at a cohort level
Percentages vs. numbers38
39
Test Your Knowledge……Test Your Knowledge……
Prediction Actual
1While full-time enrollment has increased at both colleges between 2008 and 2010, which college enrolled a higher percentage rate of full-time students?
2What percentage of De Anza students enrolled in Fall 2010 identify themselves as Filipino?
3 Which service area, after its own, does Foothill draw its largest enrollment?
4Has the percentage over the past three years of Foothill students who declared an educational goal of earning a certificate/degree or transferring been trending up or down?
5What percentage of De Anza students come from families with incomes of $25,000 or less?
6 What is the number of De Anza students who received a Pell grant in 2010-11?
7What is the FHDA district six-year transfer rate to a four-year institution for Asian students (not including Filipinos or Pacific Islanders)?
8What is the percentage rate among African American male students from Santa Clara County who attend any California public institution (UC/CSU/CCC)?
9What percentage of Silicon Valley high school students meet UC/CSU requirements in 2008-09?
10Which ethnic group in Santa Clara County is projected to increase the most between 2010 and 2035?
FHDA Office of Institutional Research and Planning
Predictions Exercise
Please provide your predicted answer to each question, then fill in the actual answer which will be given during the presentation. At the end, compare what you predicated with the actual results.
De Anza
5%
San Mateo
Up
34%
3,985
73%
35%
50%
Hispanic