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NSC project for integrated

research on

Ho-Ching Lee

ClimateChang AdaptationTechnology

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International relations and lawEnvironmental governance

Environmental securityClimate change negotiations

IHDP – institutional dimensionsCOMPON – policy networks

Climate change adaptation

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OutlineTaiwan . Conceptual Framework

Systems . Sectors . Regions . CasesDiscussion

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Taiwan

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(EPA, 2009)

66

Background

• Adaptation in urgent need: Taiwan is densely populated and at high risk for natural hazards to which climate change has a direct effect.

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Background

• 4 building blocks:

• Mitigation

• Adaptation

• Finance

• technology

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Background• Adaptation:

• Engineering and non-engineering approaches

• Policy mainstreaming

• Social learning

• IPCC AR 4 and local knowledge

• Necessary, unavoidable, happening and on-going process

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Background

• Climate-sensitive island country: about 73% of Taiwan’s land and population is exposed to more than three natural hazards (EPA, 2009).

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Background

• Adaptation in dynamic process: the relationship between climate and society has always been dynamic (Hulme, 2009).

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2009Shiao Lin village, Taiwan, drastic changes after typhoon Morakot (2009).

Potential landslide area

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Lu-Shan hot spring, typhoon Morakot (2009).

Potential flood area

1313Taichung, 921 Jiji earthquake in 1999.

Earthquake distribution in Taiwan

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Conceptual Framework

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Climate change

Vulnerability

Adaptation

Driver

State

Response

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Driver

State

Response

Environmental system Analysis

Vulnerability Assessment

Adaptation technology Planning

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D S R

(exposure, sensitivity, adaptive capacity)

C AV

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D S R

(exposure, sensitivity, adaptive capacity)

EAcommunication

AP

VA

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Systems

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D S R

EA

data

knowledge

EAcommunication

AP

VA

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D S R

VA

data info

knowledge

EAcommunication

AP

VA

knowledge

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D S R

APknowledge

info

knowledge

EAcommunication

AP

VA

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Sectors

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D

EA

• Monitoring the past & present

• Projecting the futureTCCIP

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• Water resource• Public health• Ecosystem service• Food security• Environmental disaster

S

VA

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R

AP

• Risk management• Spatial planning• Climate governance

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Regions

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S

VA APEA

D S infodata R

knowledge

Coastal, Urban, Rural,

river-Basin, Offshore, Mountainous

(CURBOM) regions

knowledge

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Mountainous regionCentral mountain region with spatial composition Mm+Mr+Mb is likely to face extreme landslide by the extreme rainfall due to climate change

Rural regionRural region Chia-Yi with spatial composition Rr+Ru+Rm+Rb+Rc is likely to face the extreme drought by the increase of temperture due to climate change

Coastal regionYun-Lin region with spatial composition Cc+Cu+Cr+Cb is likely to face the extreme flood by the extreme rainfall due to climate change

river-Basin regionKau-Pin region with spatial composition Bb+Bu+Br+Bm+Bc is likely to face the extreme flood by the extreme rainfall due to climate change

Offshore regionLan-Yu region with spatial composition Oo+Or+Om+Oc is likely to face the extreme heat affecting human and natural systems by the increase of temperature due to climate change

Urban regionTaipei city region with spatial composition Uu+Ur+Um+Ub+Uc is likely to face the extreme heat island effect by the increase of temperture due to climate change

Uc Uc Ur Ur Um

Uc Uu Uu Ur Um

Uu Ub Uu Ur Um

Uu Uu Ub Ub Um

Rr Rr Rr Rr Rm

Ru Ru Rr Rr Rm

Rc Rb Rr Rr Rm

Rc Uu Rb Rb Rm

Cc Cc Cr Cr

Cc Cu Cr Cr

Cc Cu Cb Cr

Cc Cr Cb Cr

Cc Cr Cr Cb

Mr Mr Mm Mm Mr

Mb Mr Mm Mm Mr

Mb Mb Mm Mb Mm

Mr Mm Mm Mm Mb

Bc Bb Bb Bm Bm

Bb Bu Br Br Bm

Bu Bu Bu Bb Bm

Bc Bu Br Br Bm

Ic Ic Ic Ic Ic

Ic Ir Ii Im Ic

Ic Ir Ii Im Ic

Ic Ic Ic Ic Ic

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Cases

3131

3232

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3434

M-region

3535

U-region

3636

R-region

3737

C-region

3838

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Discussion

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TaiwanTaiwan

United KingdomUnited Kingdom GermanyGermany NetherlandsNetherlands AustriaAustria USAUSA JapanJapan

VietnamVietnam

IndonesiaIndonesiaEA

databasedatabase

EAdatabasedatabase

VAmodelmodel

VAmodelmodel

EAregional studyregional study

EAregional studyregional study

VAregional studyregional study

VAregional studyregional study

Theories,Tools

Theories,Tools

Practices,Findings

Practices,FindingsAP

prototypeprototype

APprototypeprototype

AustraliaAustralia

APregional studyregional study

APregional studyregional study

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Thanks