1 Money & Banking Chapters 4 & 5 Debt Instruments and Interest Rates.
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Transcript of 1 Money & Banking Chapters 4 & 5 Debt Instruments and Interest Rates.
4
Rule of the Cash Flow Timeline
Cash flows at the same date can be added together, but cash flows at different dates cannot be added together.
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3. Coupon Bond
Most bonds with maturities greater than a year are of this form.
Coupons bonds issued byFederal government (Treasurys)State and local governments (munis)Corporations (corporates)
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4. Discount, or Zero Coupon, Bond
Identical in cash flow structure to a simple loan. The difference is that there’s an active secondary market for zero coupon bonds.
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Draw cash flow diagrams for the four types of credit instruments.
Take the perspective of the lender.
Simple loanAnnuity/Amortized loanCoupon bondZero coupon (discount) bond
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Rate Maturity
Mo/Yr
Bid Asked Chg Asked
Yield13 1/4 May 15 143:01 143:02 +14 6.78
Semi annual coupon on $1 mil of face value?$66,250.00Number of coupons remaining?Nov06 … May15 18Asked price of $1 mil of face value?$1,430,625
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Pricing a coupon bond
Suppose I need a 4% rate of return.
How much would I be willing to pay for $1 million of face value of the bond on the previous slide?
(FV=1mil, n=18, i = .02, PMT = 66,250)
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http://online.wsj.com/public/page/8_0004.html?mod=djemITP
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Yield to Maturity
The rate of discount that equates the present value of future cash flows with the price of the credit instrument.
19
Calculate the yield to maturity on a consol that pays $100 a year and is
priced at $2,500.
Recall formula for present value of a consol:
i
couponPV
22
Fisher Equation
The nominal (actual) interest rate equals the real rate plus the expected inflation rate.
e
rii
23
TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protection Securities)
• Originally issued in 1997.
• Interest and principal payments are adjusted for inflation.
• In times of high inflation the $ amount paid to investors rises.
• Return on TIPS provides information on expected inflation.
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Supply and Demand
Analysis ofthe Bond Market
Market Equilibrium
1. Occurs when Bd = B
s, at P* =
$850, i* = 17.6%
2. When P = $950, i = 5.3%, Bs >
Bd (excess supply): P to P*, i
to i*
3. When P = $750, i = 33.0, Bd >
Bs (excess demand): P to P*,
i to i*
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Loanable Funds Terminology
1. Demand for bonds = supply of loanable funds
2. Supply of bonds = demand for loanable funds
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Factors that Shift the Bond Demand Curve
1. WealthA. Economy grows, wealth , Bd , Bd shifts out to right
2. Expected ReturnA. i in future, Re for long-term bonds , Bd shifts out to rightB. e , Relative Re , Bd shifts out to rightC. Expected return of other assests , Bd , Bd shifts out to right
3. RiskA. Risk of bonds , Bd , Bd shifts out to rightB. Risk of other assets , Bd , Bd shifts out to right
4. LiquidityA. Liquidity of Bonds , Bd , Bd shifts out to rightB. Liquidity of other assets , Bd , Bd shifts out to right
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Shifts in the Bond Supply Curve
1. Profitability of Investment Opportunities
Business cycle expansion, investment opportunities , Bs , Bs shifts out to right
2. Expected Inflation
e , Bs , Bs shifts out to right
3. Government Activities
Deficits , Bs , Bs shifts out to right