1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton...
-
Upload
cynthia-mathews -
Category
Documents
-
view
214 -
download
0
Transcript of 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton...
![Page 1: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
1
Modelling Task 8EBS Task Force Meeting 16,
Lund, 28 November 2012
Dr. David Holton
Dr. Steven Baxter
![Page 2: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
2
Motivation
• The Nuclear Decommissioning Authority (NDA) are studying and considering the safe disposal of high level wastes within the UK.– A range of potential concepts are being considered, including the
use of bentonite as part of an EBS to surround disposal canisters.
• Participation in the EBS Task Force offers the NDA the unique opportunity to further the UK’s capabilities.
• Modelling Task8 has provided NDA the opportunity to:– verify and validate techniques and processes developed for
modelling bedrock and the bentonite interface;– demonstrate confidence in modelling the resaturation process; and– develop methodologies to represent the interaction between the
groundwater flow from the rock, and resaturation of the bentonite.
![Page 3: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
3
Task 8
Task 8C• Task 8C1
– Create a local scale model of the BRIE / TASO site.• Boundary conditions from large scale model.
– Use specified deformation zones (3).– Predict inflows to deposition holes (~0.07).– Support field experiment - importance of fractures and rock matrix.
• Task 8C2– Evaluate the effects of fractures on the wetting of the bentonite.– This is the Base Case for future calibration and learning from
prediction exercise.
![Page 4: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
4
Model domain & boundary conditions
![Page 5: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
5
Tools
![Page 6: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
6
Fracture orientation
Set Orientation
trend Plunge Fischer
concentration P32 P32 0.5m < L < 10m
1 280 20 10 1.10 0.85
2 20 10 15 2.00 1.55
3 120 50 10 0.75 0.58
All Sets 3.85 2.99
0
1
2
3
4
5
KO0020 KO0018 KO0017 KO0015 KO0014 Overall P32
Borehole
P10
,co
rr o
r P
32 [
m-1
]
![Page 7: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
7
Transmissivity / length correlation
1.E-16
1.E-15
1.E-14
1.E-13
1.E-12
1.E-11
1.E-10
1.E-09
1.E-08
1.E-07
0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100Length [m]
Tran
smis
sivi
ty [m
2 /s]
Ävrö granite (core)
Quarts monzodiorite (core)
Small features from Matrix Experiment
Background features from True BS
Transmissivity = 7·10-11 · Length 1.7
![Page 8: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
8
Fracture model
Model domain
Major structures Major structures + background fractures
wfracture_02wfracture_01
NNW4wfracture_01
wfracture_02
![Page 9: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
9
Transmissivity local to the tunnel
Fractures coloured by transmissivity for a vertical slice through the boreholes, and a horizontal slice at z = -418m.
wfracture_01
NNW4
![Page 10: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
10
Pressures local to the tunnel
Fractures coloured by pressure for a vertical slice through the boreholes, and a horizontal slice at z = -418m.
![Page 11: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
11
Inflows to probe boreholes
0.1
1
10
100
KO0020 KO0018 KO0017 KO0015 KO0014
Borehole
Infl
ow
[m
l/m
in]
BoreholeAverage Inflow
(ml/min)Realisation 2 Inflow
(ml/min)Measured Inflow
(ml/min)
KO0020 4.6 0.0 -
KO0018 7.1 0.7 -
KO0017 4.8 1.0 0.5
KO0015 6.6 0.7 -
KO0014 6.4 3.1 1
![Page 12: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
12
Inflows for “realisation 2”
Inflow locations to each of the probe boreholes
Fracture connected to the boreholes, coloured by transmissivity
![Page 13: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
13
Pressure recovery for “realisation 2”
The upper 1m of boreholes are packed off.
BoreholeAverage Pressure
(bar)
Realisation 2 Pressure
(bar)
Measured Pressure
(bar)
KO0020 7.0 0.0 -
KO0018 5.2 8.1 -
KO0017 5.1 5.6 6
KO0015 4.3 2.6 -
KO0014 4.3 4.0 3
![Page 14: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
14
Expansion of KO0017 and KO0018
• Average inflows increase to the larger diameter holes:– Flows are consistent with log(r) behaviour.– A skin may exist in the vicinity of the borehole wall, and therefore the
scaling may be different.– Flows are channelised, and hence there is the possibility of
intersecting new channels.– Larger diameter hole intersects more fractures.
![Page 15: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
15
Expansion of KO0017 and KO0018
Borehole
Av. inflows for all probe
holes
Av. inflows for expanded KO0017 &
KO0018 % increase
(ml/min) (ml/min)
KO0018 7.1 10.0 41.74%
KO0017 4.8 5.5 15.33%0.1
1
10
100
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Realisation
Infl
ow
[m
l/min
]
Inflows to KO0017G01
Inflows to KO0018G01
0.1
1
10
100
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Realisation
Infl
ow
[m
l/min
] Inflow to probe boreholes
Inflow to expanded deposition hole
![Page 16: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
16
Expansion of KO0017 and KO0018
Expansion of boreholes KO0017 and KO0018 to 0.3m diameter
![Page 17: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
17
Effective permeability
• Use CONNECTFLOW to calculate the effective permeability for individual grid blocks
CONNECTFLOW Model TOUGH2 permeability
![Page 18: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
18
Upscaling
keff = (kmax kint kmin)1/3
The geometric mean of the principle components of the permeability tensor
Upscaled conductivities, with
fracture traces overlain.
![Page 19: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
19
TOUGH2 – open borehole conditions
KO0017G01 KO0018G01
• Inflows to open boreholes KO0017G01 and KO0018G01.– Locations consistent with CONNECTFLOW calculations.
![Page 20: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
20
Resaturation of bentonite
• TOUGH2 used to model the resaturation front through the emplaced bentonite in the 5 deposition holes.
• Note: – 7 orders of magnitude variability in permeability.– Initially gave some convergence difficulties, especially with
heterogeneous wetting associated with a fractured host rock.
• Following slides illustrate results for realisation 2 of the stochastic fracture network.
![Page 21: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
21
Parameters
• Fracture permeability and porosity from the upscaling.
• Assume a matrix permeability for granite ~ 10-21m2, porosity 0.5%.
• Bentonite ~ 6.4 x 10-21m2, porosity 44%.
![Page 22: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
22
Modelling bentonite resaturation
• van Genuchten capillary pressure function used for Bentonite and fractured rock:
Fractured Rock Bentonite
• Relative permeability functions (a: aqueous phase, g: gas phase):– van Genuchten used for the fractured rock:
– Fatt and Klikoff cubic law used for the bentonite:
,~
1~
1,~
11~ 21
21
SSkSSk rgra
,1~ 11
SPP ocap ,
1
~
ar
ara
S
SSS
,56.0.10039.21 4
oP
,3.0.10080.11 7
oP
,~
1,~ 33 SkSk rgra
![Page 23: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
23
Evolution of the bentonite
• Bentonite is emplaced in all 5 boreholes– The evolution of liquid saturation is highly heterogeneous.
T = 0yrs
Liquid Saturation Liquid Pressure [MPa]
![Page 24: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
24
Evolution of the bentonite
• Bentonite is emplaced in all 5 boreholes– The evolution of liquid saturation is highly heterogeneous.
T = 0.1yrs
Liquid Saturation Liquid Pressure [MPa]
![Page 25: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
25
Evolution of the bentonite
• Bentonite is emplaced in all 5 boreholes– The evolution of liquid saturation is highly heterogeneous.
T = 1yrs
Liquid Saturation Liquid Pressure [MPa]
![Page 26: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
26
Evolution of the bentonite
• Bentonite is emplaced in all 5 boreholes– The evolution of liquid saturation is highly heterogeneous.
T = 10yrs
Liquid Saturation Liquid Pressure [MPa]
![Page 27: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
27
Evolution of the bentonite
• Bentonite is emplaced in all 5 boreholes– The evolution of liquid saturation is highly heterogeneous.
Liquid Saturation Liquid Pressure [MPa]
T = 100yrs
![Page 28: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
28
Resaturation rate of the bentonite
• For the heterogeneous description of the bedrock.– Saturation is characteristically heterogeneous for the low
permeability rock matrix (10-21 m2)– Minimum & maximum values taken for 5 realisations of the model.
• Homogeneous descriptions of the bedrock are shown to resaturate much more quickly.
Time to 99% Saturation KO0020G01 KO0018G01 KO0017G01 KO0015G01 KO0014G01
Minimum 18.7 10.9 12 7.4 9.3
Realisation 2 42.2 75.4 29.2 16.7 18.9
Maximum 42.2 75.4 40.3 25.8 18.9
Time to 95% saturation KO0020G01 KO0018G01 KO0017G01 KO0015G01 KO0014G01
Heterogeneous 32.8 62.3 25.2 12.1 16.7
Homogeneous 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
![Page 29: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
29
Rock matrix effects
T = 10yrs
The low permeability rock matrix is
potentially slightly
desaturated by the
bentonite
![Page 30: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
30
Altering rock matrix permeability
• The default rock matrix permeability is 1 10-21m2.– Sensitivity analysis by considering rock matrix permeabilities of:
1 10-20m2, and 1 10-19m2.– Deposition hole KO0015G01 considered in isolation.
Base Case: 1 10-21m2 Variant: 1 10-20m2 Variant 1 10-19m2
T = 0yrs T = 0yrs T = 0yrs
![Page 31: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
31
Altering rock matrix permeability
• The default rock matrix permeability is 1 10-21m2.– Sensitivity analysis by considering rock matrix permeabilities of:
1 10-20m2, and 1 10-19m2.– Deposition hole KO0015G01 considered in isolation
T = 0.1yrs T = 0.1yrs T = 0.1yrs
Base Case: 1 10-21m2 Variant: 1 10-20m2 Variant 1 10-19m2
![Page 32: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
32
Altering rock matrix permeability
• The default rock matrix permeability is 1 10-21m2.– Sensitivity analysis by considering rock matrix permeabilities of:
1 10-20m2, and 1 10-19m2.– Deposition hole KO0015G01 considered in isolation
Base Case: 1 10-21m2 Variant: 1 10-20m2 Variant 1 10-19m2
T = 1.0yrs T = 1.0yrs T = 1.0yrs
![Page 33: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
33
Altering rock matrix permeability
• The default rock matrix permeability is 1 10-21m2.– Sensitivity analysis by considering rock matrix permeabilities of:
1 10-20m2, and 1 10-19m2.– Deposition hole KO0015G01 considered in isolation
Base Case: 1 10-21m2 Variant: 1 10-20m2 Variant 1 10-19m2
T = 10yrs T = 10yrs T = 10yrs
![Page 34: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
34
Altering rock matrix permeability
• Time evolutions for the centre of the bentonite at z = -417m.
Gas Saturation - KO0015G01
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Time (yrs)
Gas
Sat
ura
tio
n (
%)
Base Case: RM = 1E-21
Variant: RM =1E-20
Variant: RM =1E-19Rock Matrix Variant
Time (years)
95% Saturation 99% Saturation
Base CasePermeability = 10-21 m2 11.7 13.5
Permeability = 10-20 m2 2.2 4.8
Permeability = 10-19 m2 0.6 4.4
![Page 35: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
35
Conclusions
• Have illustrated a methodology to model the heterogeneity in the rock.
• Default properties show highly heterogeneous wetting and resaturation times.
• Resaturation depends on intersecting fractures, but also on the rock matrix.
• Surprisingly a deposition hole can have the same effective equivalent hydraulic conductivity but can resaturate at a different rate (depends on matrix conductivity of the granite).
![Page 36: 1 Modelling Task 8 EBS Task Force Meeting 16, Lund, 28 November 2012 Dr. David Holton david.holton@amec.com Dr. Steven Baxter steven.baxter@amec.com.](https://reader038.fdocuments.us/reader038/viewer/2022110209/56649e575503460f94b4f02f/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
36
Potential future Task 8 activities
• Task 8D – e.g. updating the fracture network, bentonite installation, etc.
• Sensitivities (e.g. matrix permeability of the granite).• Larger models (although smaller models were useful).• Capillary pressure / relative permeability functions (robustness).• The stochastic fracture generation.
– Further realisations of the upscaled fracture network (what does the resaturation look like on “average”).
– Transmissivity relationship.– Calibration of the fracture network (does this help?).
• Mechanical coupling?• Bentonite installation.
– Including a bottom plate, central tube and upper rubber seal.