1 Dubai Financial Market International Investor Conference London 2008.
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Transcript of 1 Dubai Financial Market International Investor Conference London 2008.
1
Dubai Financial Market
2
Table of Contents
• Introduction
• DFM: Market Highlights
• DFM: Company Highlights
3
Recent oil boom has helped GCC economies achieve compelling GDP growth rates, creating a pool of liquidity in excess of USD 3 T
GCC Nominal GDP(USD Billion)
405
490
608
718
797
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
• Strong growth potential supported by high oil prices
• Large regional GDP size with relatively high per capita income
• Access to a pool of liquidity of US$ 3 trillion
• High financing requirements to support investment needs
• The region is under-going structural transformation
Regional Strengths
CAGR 16.6%
4
Differently from other GCC countries, Dubai has a well-diversified economy that experienced 21% annual growth from 2001 to 2006
Dubai Nominal GDP(USD Billion)
18
46
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2001 2006
CAGR 20.6%
Trade, 21%
Manufacturing, 15%
Construction, 13%
Transportation, 13%
Real Estate, 11%
Financial Services, 7%
Government, 5%
Oil & Gas, 5%
Other, 10%
Dubai 2006 GDP Breakdown(%)
Oil&Gas Sector as a % of GDP
5%
21%
41%
41%
43%
61%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Dubai
Bahrain
Oman
SaudiArabia
AbuDhabi
Qatar
5
Financial services is expected to be a major contributor to the Dubai future growth story
Strong
Oil and gas
Manufacturing
Agriculture
Electricity/Water
Communication
Governmentservices
Construction
Trade
Professionalservices
Financial services
Tourism
Transportation and storage
Very weak Average
Dubai’s strength by international standards
Globally fast growing industrieswith strong Dubai position
Globally fastergrowing sectors
Future globalgrowth 2005– 2015
(%pa)
Globally slowergrowing sectors
Average globalGDP growth
Source: Dubai 2015 Plan
DubaisectorialGDP 2005
Sectors qualified to be part of futuregrowth path
$ 3B
6
Dubai aims to become a regional hub of capital market activity and play an active role in regional and international consolidation…
Vision
• Leading emerging markets exchange
• Regional hub of capital market activity
• Active player in regional and international consolidation
• Connector of liquidity pool
Business Strategy
• Prioritize cash equity market development
• Focus on attracting Institutional investors and become member of major global and/or emerging market indices
• Enhance awareness and increase access for regional retail investors and, in long term, pursue regional and local institutional investors
Portfolio Strategy
• Pursue attractive regional harmonization and integration opportunities and line-up based on strategic fit
• Expand footprint in terms of geography and capabilities
Dubai Capital Market Strategy
7
… which has been a trend over the past years moving from mature markets towards emerging economies
Source: Celent Report, The Economist Intelligence Unit
Growth in emerging markets (CAGR 06-08E)Consolidation in mature markets
Egypt 7.0%
Kazakhstan 9.6%
Kuwait 7.3% India 8.6%
Saudi Arabia 4.6%
Turkey 5.8% Pakistan 6.4%
UAE 8.6%
Libya 5.5%
Jordan 5.9% Turkmenistan 8.0%
NASDAQ-OMX
Euronext NYSE Euronext
Madrid SEValencia SEBarcelona SEBilbao SEIceland SECopenhagen SEVilnius SEStockholm SEHelsinki HEXBoston SENASDAQ StrikeBrut Island InstinetBVLPLIFFEBrussels SEAmsterdam SEBourse de ParisNYSEPCXArcRedibookGlobeNetBorsa ItalianaLondon SEDeutsche BörseSWX Group
Bolsas y Mercados Españoles
London Stock Exchange
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
8
30.7
25.3
18.4
16.4
11.110.1
7.86.7
5.9
3.8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
DeutscheBorse
CME Hong KongSE
NYSE-Euronext
DFM BOVESPA NASDAQ-OMX
LSE SGX TSX
Dubai Financial Market (DFM) is already one of the biggest exchanges in terms of market capitalization
Market Capitalization By Exchange(in USD Billion)(March 31, 2008)
9
Table of Contents
• Introduction
• DFM: Market Highlights
• DFM: Company Highlights
10
DFM Index has outperformed other GCC indices
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07
DFM General Index Performance
+152%
+195
%
-44%
+44%
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07
GCC Indices Performance Comparison(Base 1000)
MSM
KSEADSM
DSMTSE
BSE
DFM
11
DFM was the best performer in GCC even in terms of total trading volume, due to the substantial growth in 2007…
Trading Volume(2007, Billion Shares)
105
70
58
52
3.4 2.7 0.80
20
40
60
80
100
120
DFM KSE TSM ADSM DSM MSM BSE
11.7
22.6
14.9
53.9
34.1
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2007 Q1 2008
Trading Value(USD Billion)
8.6 23.2 20.6 52.9 26.3Trading Volume
(B Shares)
189
365
240
870
560
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2007 Q1 2008
Average Daily Trade(USD Million)
138 358 312 896 432Daily Trading
Volume(M Shares)
12
Comments
… which is testament that DFM is a highly liquid exchange
76%
112%
38%
7%
98%
7%3%2%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
• DFM is a highly liquid exchange as is supported by its high turnover velocity figures
• Turnover velocity ratio was at its highest in 2006 during the market correction
• Turnover velocity in 2007 was impacted by
Reducing the number of trading days per week from 6 to 5 days
Low trading volume earlier in the year
DFM Traded Value and Listings Market Cap(USD billion)
14
11095
103
14
36
112
85
136
1.00.70.30.19.57.95.8
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Traded Value Market Cap
* Turnover velocity is defined as the ratio of Annual Traded Value to Market Cap
DFM Turnover Velocity*(%)
13
Real Estate and Financial Services are the key sectors in terms of trading value – Institutions are increasing their trading activities
Real Estate, 37%
F-Services, 24%
Banking, 18%
Transport, 14%
Utilities, 2%
Insurance, 3%
Telecom, 2%Other, 0%
Trading Activity By Sector(%, Q1 2008)
Trading Activities By Category(%)
84.2% 86.1% 85.4%77.6%
71.8%
15.8% 13.9% 14.6%22.4%
28.2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2004 2005 2006 2007 Q1 2008
Retail Institutions
14
The share of Non-UAE and Non-GCC investors has strongly increased over the past years
Trading Activities By Nationality(%)
88% 89%
78%69% 70%
64%
12% 11%
22%31% 30%
36%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q1 2008
UAE Non-UAE
Trading Activities By Nationality(%)
4%
9% 9%6% 5%
4%
10%
17%
12% 14%
2%
3%
5%
12%
18%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
2004 2005 2006 2007 Q1 2008
GCC Other Arabs Others
36%
30%31%
22%
11%
15
The number of Non-UAE investors has increased to 190k in Q1 2008, representing 30% of the total
36 47 52 53
4071
94 9524
33
40 42
125139
197
382
441 441
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q1 2008
GCC
Other Arabs
Others
UAE
Non-UAE
30%
630627
533
297
155126
• Number of investors has strongly increased from 126k in 2003 to 627k in 2007 (50% 2003-2007 CAGR)
• The share of Non-UAE investors has reached 190k by Q1 2008, 30% of total investors
– GCC investors represents 50% of Non-UAE ones
Number of Investors By Nationality(‘000)
Comments
16
Foreign ownership is increasing, mainly due to greater involvement of international institutions(1)
Foreign Ownership By Category(%)
75%67%
59%
35% 37%
25%33%
41%
65% 63%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2004 2005 2006 2007 Q1 2008
Retail Institutions
Foreign Ownership Development By Nationality(2)
($ Billion)
0.4
2.51.4 1.6 1.61.2
6.7
3.7
5.1 4.4
0.2
1.5
1.9
8.5
7.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
2004 2005 2006 2007 Q1 2008
Others
Other Arabs
GCC
13.0
15.1
6.9
10.7
1.8
4.8% 10.4% 9.9% 13.1% 12.6%% of TotalMarket Cap
Note (1): As can be observed from the combination of both graphs, the “Other” foreign investors are mostly international institutions
Note (2): The term “GCC” under “Foreign” implies non-UAE GCC investors
17
Total DFM listings stood at 56 at the end of 2007 and the exchange is still facing a large untapped market
Number of Listings on DFM
10
1 1 1
4
9
6
91
29 3
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
UAE Foreign
Total No of Listings: 56
5
11
15
12
No of Companies in UAE by Ownership and Size(1)
623
80 120
163
145
80
528
Private Government Foreign Public
Potential Size of IPO Pipeline ~ 2,000
1,497
257 218115
< 100 101 - 500 501 -1,000
< 1,001 – 5,000 5,000+ (potential anchor issuers)
No of employees
Note (1): Estimated by number of employees
38
305215
23 1248
16
18
The following list is illustrative of some of the major IPOs in the pipeline
Source: Market interviews, literature search
Potential future issuance Sector Ownership
Airline Semi-governmental
Natural resources Semi-governmental
Properties, financial services, industrial goods Semi-governmental
Construction Private
Consumer, industrial goods, building and construction Private
Real estate Semi-governmental
19
Table of Contents
• Introduction
• DFM: Market Highlights
• DFM: Company Highlights
20
The Dubai Financial Market started its operations in 2000 and has established significant growth over a short period of time
2000-2001 2002-2003 2004 2006
• DFM (Dubai Financial Market) began operations in March 2000
• Ten companies listed on DFM during first year of operations
• DFM licensed by ESCA in October 2000
• First bond listing in July 2001
• In 2003 the number of investors exceeded 100,000
• DFM foreign investment traded value recorded a YOY growth level of above 70%
• DIFC (Dubai International Financial Center) opened in September 2004
• 20% of DFM’s shares were offered for sale to the public through an IPO in November 2006
• DFM listing in March 2007
• Borse Dubai, the holding company for DFM and DIFX, was created on 6 August, 2007, located in DIFC
2005
• DFM listings market cap exceeded USD 100 Billion
• DFM number of employees exceeded 100
• DIFX (Dubai International Financial Exchange) was opened in September 2005
2007
DFM Timeline
Key
Fac
ts a
nd
Fig
ure
s
Start-up Business GrowthEstablish Footprint
21
DFM is regulated by the Securities and Commodities Authority…
UAE Capital Market Structure
Securities & Commodities Authority
Dubai Gold and Commodities Exchange
Dubai Financial Market
Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange
22
… and is 80% owned by Borse Dubai, the Exchange holding company
DFM Shareholder Structure
20%
LSELSE
66.7%
Borse DubaiBorse Dubai
80% 19.99%
NASDAQ-OMXNASDAQ-OMX
NASDAQ-DIFXNASDAQ-DIFX
DFMDFM
33.3%
PublicPublic
20%
• Borse Dubai in turn has 3 shareholders, mainly
ICD (International Corporation of Dubai): 60%
DIFCI (Dubai International Financial Center Investments): 20%
DFG (Dubai Financial Group): 20%
Comments
23
UAE nationals and retail customers are the main shareholders of the 20% public stake in DFM
Borse Dubai, 80% Public,
20%
DFM Ownership(%, Q1 2008)
Institutions 34%
Retail 66%
20% Public Ownership Breakdown by Category(%, Q1 2008)
Arabs 4%
UAE 66%
20% Public Ownership Breakdown by Nationality(%, Q1 2008)
GCC 2%
Others 28%
Non-UAE=34%
24
Specific Segments
DFM is focusing on 4 key pillars to achieve its targets
Focus on Trade and Post-Trade
• Hybrid trading mechanism
• Adherence to G30 guidelines and best practices
• Develop CSD value added products
3Strong Governance
• Best practice SRO capabilities
• Robust risk controls, especially in CSD operations
4Offer
All Products
• Investors– Foreign institutional
– Local retail
Equity
• Issuers/Listings– UAE
– Large and mid-cap
– Government-owned
Other Products
• Diversification of products and services
– Bonds/ Sukuks
– Derivatives
– ETFs
– Data Services
– Technology
1 2
DFM Key Pillars
25
Over the past years DFM has developed strong operational capabilities
Tradingsystem
Clearing,settlement
and depository
Riskmanagement
• Continuous, order-driven, fully automated trading system
• Tight coupling with depository system, enabling validation of sell orders against depository inventory prior to trading
• Transparent, automated and cost-effective information dissemination
• Upgrading to a high performance OMX X-Stream system
• T+2 rolling settlement with multilateral netting
• Same-day turnarounds (back-to-back transactions)
• Corporate actions (cash dividends, stock splits, bonus issues, etc.)
• Undertaking an operational review to ensure compliance with G30 recommendations
• Trades once executed are final and irrevocable
• Trading limits for market participants commensurate with posted collateral
• Immediate suspension of trading for defaulting brokers
• Established business continuity and contingency plans
DFM Operational Capabilities
26
Compelling advantages are offered to international investors
Description
Accessibility• DFM is open to all international investors
Existing international investment
• Significant existing investment presence by regional, international firms on DFM
Taxation
Repatriation of capital
• No capital gains tax
• No restrictions on repatriation of capital
Exchange Rate
• Foreign ownership allowed for most actively traded companiesForeign ownership
• Exchange rate pegged to US Dollar
Regulation• One of the strongest regulatory frameworks in the Middle East and
North Africa; with continued progress
Dubai vision• Dubai government commitment to growing capital markets as part of
strategic growth plans
27
In particular, regulatory developments should further attract international investors
Federal Regulatory Developments
• Companies Law- Reduction of minimum floatation
from 55% to 30% for family business.
• Capital Markets Regulations
- Allowing GCC citizens to be treated as UAE national.
DFM Regulatory Developments
ESCA Regulatory Developments
2007 - 2008 ( completed )
• Companies Law
- New rules being added
2008 (expected)
• Corporate Governance Guidelines- All listed companies should
implement the guidelines by April 2010.
• Capital Adequacy
• Custodians – drafted
• Margin Trading – Brokers training phase
• ETF - drafted
28
Table of Contents
• Introduction
• DFM: Market Highlights
• DFM: Company Highlights
Financials
29
DFM is a highly profitable exchange where total profits constitute around 90% of total revenues
DFM Revenue and Profits(USD millions)
Profit Margin
(%)
Does not include IPO profits of
USD 126 Million
Comments
• High profit margin is reflective of the scalability business of the exchange
• 2006 revenue dip reflects a reduction in commission charges by 30%
• 2003-2004 revenue figures reflect the startup phase of the exchange
• In 2007 IPO revenue of $126 million was realized rendering profits greater than revenues
7.1 5.4 12 16.544.6
10-1.6
40.2
338.6
215.3
262.3
84.9
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q1 2008
Operating Profit
Expenses 307.0
231.8
350.6
45.5
5.4
-30% 88% 97% 93% 85% 89%
94.9
EBITDA Margin
(%)22% 90% 97% 94% 93% 96%
30
Comments
DFM revenues are driven primarily by trading, clearing, and increasingly by investment revenue
Revenue Breakdown(%)
• Trading and clearing constitute around 70%-80% of total revenue
• More revenue coming from investments
46%36% 38%
41%
34%36%
8%
27% 22%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2006 2007 Q1 2008
Trading Fees
Clearing Fees
Investment Revenue
MembershipCSD RevenueOther
Total Revenue (USD M)
232 306 95
31
Comments
DFM share price increased by more than 500% since the IPO, and the company had a dividend payout ratio of 80% in 2007
• DFM’s market cap is $12.7 billion, 2007 P/E is 33x & 2008 is 24x
• Share price increased substantially at the end of 2007 as the stock market recovered from the 2006 correction
• DFM is one of the most liquid stocks on the exchange
• 2006 EPS reflects a reduction in a commission charges
• 2007 dividend payout ratio amounted to 80%(2)
Listing date
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Mar-07 May-07 Jul-07 Sep-07 Nov-07 Jan-08 Mar-08 May-08
0.044
0.0270.033
0.011
2005 2006 2007 Q1 2008
Note (1): EPS for 2007 excludes the one-off IPO proceedsNote (2): Excludes the one-off IPO proceedsExchange rate: AED 3.67/$
DFM Share Price(AED)
EPS(1)
(USD)
32
DFM Balance Sheet
$ m2006 2007 Q1 2008
Cash & bank balances 79.8 42.2 132.8Islamic investment deposits 242.2 588.0 468.6Total current assets 497.0 779.6 759.2
Intangible assets 0.0 783.4 778.2Goodwill 0.0 784.5 784.4Total non-current assets 143.6 2,006.0 2,050.2
Total assets 640.6 2,785.6 2,809.4
Total current liabilities 49.0 91.8 268.3Total liabilities 49.3 168.7 345.2
Total shareholders equity 591.3 2,616.9 2,464.2
Total liabilities & shareholders equity 640.6 2,785.6 2,809.4
Exchange rate: AED 3.67/$
33
DFM will move to a new fascinating building in Dubai Business Bay
• Dubai Government granted DFM a Land plot in the Business Bay in November 2007
• The land measuring 390,000 square feet was booked at $ 76mn (that time market value)
• The plot oversees the Business Bay’s waterfront from three angles
DFM: Design of the New Building
34
CONTACTS
Dubai Financial MarketDubai - UAE• Phone +971 4 305 5555• Fax +971 4 305 5566 • P.O.Box 9700 Dubai, UAE• Email [email protected] • Web site: www.dfm.ae• Voice portal +971 4 312 8000
Contact Person : Mrs. Fahima Al [email protected]. Areej Al [email protected]