1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

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1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486
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Transcript of 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

Page 1: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

1Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers

• INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486

Page 2: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

2Learning Objectives

• Learn about some specific non-tariff barriers, NTB

• Explain why the welfare effects of quotas are worse than those of tariffs

• Explain why the welfare effects of VER are worse than those of quotas

• Analyze the welfare effects of a domestic production subsidy

• Analyze the welfare effects of an export subsidy

• Analyze validity of arguments for protection

Page 3: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

4Non-tariff Barriers

• Quotas are a quantitative restriction on the import of a particular good– Value quotas are less common– Most quotas on manufactured goods long

prohibited by GATT

• Embargo – quota equal to zero

Page 4: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

5Non-tariff Barriers

• Voluntary export restraints (VER) are agreements between two governments in which the government of the exporting country agrees to restrain the volume of its own exports.– Met letter, but not spirit, of GATT prohibition

of quotas

Page 5: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

6Non-tariff Barriers

• Tariff-rate quotas (TRQs), allow quantities below the quota to enter at low tariff rates. Once the quota is exceeded a higher tariff applies.

• WTO members are beginning to replace existing quotas with TRQs

• Quotas (on apparel and textiles) are to be phased out by 2005

• Exceptions are allowed

• More detail in chapter 8.

Page 6: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

7Non-tariff Barriers

• Export subsidies and countervailing duties

• Government procurement policies

• Health and safety standards

• Failure to protect intellectual property rights

• Labeling requirements

• Jones Act of 1920

• Many more

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8More Non-tariff Barriers

• International Commodity Agreements– Multifibre Arrangement

• Cartels (international)– Oil, Vitamins, …

• Rules and Regulations• Local Content Requirements• Border Tax Adjustments• “Voluntary” Import Expansion (VIE)

Page 8: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

9International Commodity

Agreements, ICA• Allegedly designed to stabilize the world

price of a specific commodity, e.g., coffee

• Involve both producing and consuming nations and assume one of three forms:– Export restriction schemes– Buffer stocks– Multilateral contracts

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10Multifibre Arrangement, MFA

• An ICA among over 50 producing and consuming countries

• Specifies maximum amounts of fibers that each exporter may ship to each importer– Cotton, wood, and synthetic fibers

• Developed country consumers and developing country producers lose

• Uruguay round calls for 10-year phase out

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11Cartels

• Unlike an ICA, cartels agreements included only suppliers

• Cartels are international (e.g., OPEC), as opposed to trusts (e.g., Standard Oil Trust)

• Cartels exercise monopoly power

• Inefficiency results – restricted output, raised price

Page 11: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

12Deadweight Loss from Monopoly

0 1 2 3 4 5

14

20

Quantity (thousand cars per year)

Pri

ce a

nd

cos

t ($1

000

per

car)

D (price)

MC

MR

4

Page 12: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

13Rules and Regulations

• Ostensibly, unrelated to protectionism• French domestic tax on automobiles

– Graduated by horsepower– May be discriminatory against American cars – Europeans say our safety standards discriminate

• Minimum deposit requirements– Importers deposit a sum equal to half the value of their

imports, at 0% interest, for six months

• Once all VCRs entered France through the tiny port of Portiers, where there was a staff of only four…

Page 13: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

14Local Content Requirement

• Specify that a minimum percentage of the value of a final good be produced domestically

• To sell a tractor or other capital good in Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, or South Korea, a foreign manufacturer must set up domestic assembly operations, and add a certain fraction locally

Page 14: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

15Border Tax Adjustments

• WTO forbids most export subsidies, including rebates of domestic taxes

• Sole exception: rebate of indirect business taxes (IBT) to exporters

• e.g., US sales and excise taxes & VAT in EU• WTO permits an export rebate of IBT, and special

import fees equal to IBT• Provision does not apply to direct taxes, such as

income tax or corporate profits tax

Page 15: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

16“Voluntary” Import Expansion

• US has insisted that Japan import more auto parts, semi-conductors and beef

• In some instances, Japan has agreed to import a certain minimum amount– Practice now known as a VIE

• A VIE affects US-Japan trade much as a US export subsidy would, but VIE raises the price (by increasing demand)– Export subsidy reduces price (by increasing supply)

Page 16: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

17Non-tariff Barriers

• Quotas and other NTB raise the price of the imported good

• The implicit-tariff equivalent of a NTB may be calculated as follows:

domestic foreign

foreign

P PP

Page 17: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

19Welfare Cost of a QuotaSmall Country

6

10

20

0 2 18

Domestic demand for small cars

Domestic supplyof small cars

Quantity (thousands of cars per year)

Pri

ce ($

1000

per

car

)

World price of small cars

14

4

6 10

Domestic supplyplus quota of4000 cars/year

4

quota

quota

8

Page 18: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

21Welfare Cost of a Quota When gov’t auctions licenses

Change in Consumer Surplus

Change in Producer Surplus

Change in Gov't Revenue

Net Welfare Change (a.k.a. Deadweight loss)

Page 19: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

23The Effects of a TariffLarge Country

10

14

18

0 2 4 6

8 A’s import demand for cars

B’s export supplyof cars

Quantity (millions of cars per year)

Pri

ce (t

hou

san

ds

of d

olla

rs p

er c

ar)

9

B’s export supply ofcars plus tariff

Page 20: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

25The Effects of a QuotaLarge Country

10

14

18

0 2 4 6

8A’s import demand for cars

B’s export supplyof cars

Quantity (millions of cars per year)

Pri

ce (t

hou

san

ds

of d

olla

rs p

er c

ar)

9

Quota

Page 21: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

27Are tariffs and quotas equivalent

in their welfare effects?• The foregoing analysis assumed:

– Government conducted a competitive auction for the licenses

– Quota licenses were allocated costlessly (no rent-seeking behavior)

– Static Demand and Supply (no growth)– Perfect competition– No graft (e.g., bribery) and corruption

Page 22: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

28Are tariffs and quotas equivalent

in their welfare effects?• Contrary to these assumptions:

– Licenses are usually given away• Consumers can’t choose the best products

– Quota licenses are valuable• Competition for them is at best wasteful

• At worst, it is corrupt

– When Demand increases (or Supply decreases), the welfare costs of a quota exceed those of a tariff

– Quotas are more harmful than tariffs in the absence of perfect competition

Page 23: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

29Welfare Cost of a Quota

If half of licenses are given to foreigners

Change in Consumer Surplus -a -b -c -d

Change in Producer Surplus +a

Transfer to domestic import license holders

.5c

Net Welfare Change (a.k.a. Deadweight loss)

-b -.5c -d

Page 24: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

30Welfare Cost of a Quota

Rent seeking may absorb the rentsChange in Consumer Surplus -a -b -c -d

Change in Producer Surplus +a

Quota rents - Cost of rent seeking

c-c

Net Welfare Change (a.k.a. Deadweight loss)

-b -c -d

Page 25: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

31When Demand Grows . . .

6

10

20

0 2 18

b

Old domestic demand

Domestic supplyof small cars

ac1

Quantity (thousands of cars per year)

Pri

ce ($

1000

per

car

)

World price of small cars

14

4

World price + old equivalent tariff

6 10

d

Domestic supplyplus quota of4000 cars/year

c2

4

quota

quota

8

12

New domestic demand

Page 26: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

32When demand grows,quota welfare costs (b+d) grow

6

10

20

0 2 18

b

Old domestic demand

Domestic supplyof small cars

ac1

Quantity (thousands of cars per year)

Pri

ce ($

1000

per

car

)

World price of small cars

14

4

World price + new equivalent tariff

6 10

d

Domestic supplyplus quota of4000 cars/year

c2

4

quota

quota

8

12

New domestic demand

Page 27: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

33When demand grows, tariff welfare cost (b+d) changes little

6

10

20

0 2 18

b

Old domestic demand

Domestic supplyof small cars

a

Quantity (thousands of cars per year)

Pri

ce ($

1000

per

car

)

World price of small cars

14

4

World price + old equivalent tariff

6 10

dc

4 8

12

New domestic demand

Page 28: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

34Review: Monopoly’s Q and P

• To maximize profits, the monopolist will produce the quantity where MR = MC

Page 29: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

35Review: Monopoly’s Q and P

0 1 2 3 4 5

10

14

20

Quantity (thousand cars per year)

Pri

ce a

nd

cos

t ($1

000

per

car)

D

ATC

MC

MR

Economicprofit

Profit = $12 mil.($4000 x 3000 units)

Page 30: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

36Domestic Monopoly (in Autarky) in Comparative Disadvantage Good

• Free trade would eliminate the monopoly

– The sole domestic producer would now charge the world price

• Tariff could also eliminate the monopoly

– The sole domestic producer would now charge the world price plus the tariff

• Quota preserves the monopolist’s power

– But only over a part of the market

Page 31: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

37Domestic Monopoly with Quotaquota = 1800 cars/year

0 1 2 3 4 5

10

14

20

D

ATC

MC

MR

profit

Profit = $2.5 mil.($1 x 2.5 units)

D - quotaMR with quota

Pri

ce a

nd

cos

t ($1

000

per

car)

Quantity (thousand cars per year)

Page 32: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

38Domestic Monopoly with Tariffimports = 1800 cars/year

0 1 2 3 4 5

Pw + T

14

20

D

ATC

MC

MR

Econ. Profit = $0

D - quotaMR with quota

Pri

ce a

nd

cos

t ($1

000

per

car)

Quantity (thousand cars per year)

Page 33: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

39Your turn!

Quantity (thousand cars per year)

Pri

ce a

nd

cos

t ($1

000

per

car)

D

D- quota

MC

MR with quota

Page 34: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

42Welfare Cost of a VERSmall Country

6

10

20

0 2 18

b

Domestic demand for small cars

Domestic supplyof small cars

ac1

Quantity (thousands of cars per year)

Pri

ce ($

1000

per

car

)

World price of small cars

14

4

World price + equivalent tariff

6 10

d

Domestic supplyplus VER of4000 cars/year

c2

4

VER

VER

8

Page 35: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

43Welfare Cost of a VER

Change in Consumer Surplus -a -b -c -d

Change in Producer Surplus +a

Change in Gov't Revenue 0

Net Welfare Change (a.k.a. Deadweight loss)

-b -c -d

Page 36: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

44

• the Uruguay Round agreement states that VERs will be phased out by the year 2000

• Quality upgrading occurs with VERs and quotas

Page 37: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

46Welfare effects of a domestic production subsidy

6

10

20

0 2 18

b

Domestic supplyof small cars

a c1

Quantity (thousands of cars per year)

Pri

ce ($

1000

per

car

)

World price of small cars

14

4

World price + new equivalent tariff

6 10

d

Domestic supplywith subsidy

c2

4

Subsidy = $T

8

12

Domestic demand

Page 38: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

47Welfare effects of a domestic

production subsidyChange in Consumer Surplus

Change in Producer Surplus +a

Change in Gov't Revenue -a -b

Net Welfare Change (a.k.a. Deadweight loss)

-b

Page 39: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

50Export Subsidy -- Large Country

0 1 10

Domestic demand for honey

Domestic Supplyof honey

Quantity (millions jars of honey per year)

Pri

ce ($

per

jar

of

hon

ey)

7

Page 40: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

52Welfare Cost -- Export Subsidy

Large Country Case

Change in Consumer Surplus

-a -b

Change in Producer Surplus +a +b +c

Cost of Subsidy: b+c+d+e+f+g

Net Welfare Change in A (a.k.a. Deadweight loss)

-e -f -g -d

Page 41: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

55What do we mean by valid?

• Logic: systematic study of valid inference. Classical, or Aristotelian, logic is concerned with the formal properties of an argument, not its factual accuracy

Source Encyclopedia.com

Page 42: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

56Aristotelian logic

• Aristotle, in his Organon, held that any logical argument could be reduced to a sequence of 3 propositions (2 premises and a conclusion), known as a SYLLOGISM

Source Encyclopedia.com

Page 43: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

57Syllogism -- Defined

• The regular logical form of every argument, consisting of three propositions, of which the first two are called the premises, and the last, the conclusion.The conclusion necessarily follows from the premises; so that, if these are true, the conclusion must be true

Source: Webster's Revised Unabridged Dictionary, © 1996, 1998 MICRA, Inc.

Page 44: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

58Syllogism -- Example

• Example: Every virtue is laudable; Kindness is a virtue; Therefore kindness is laudable.

• These propositions are denominated respectively the major premise, the minor premise, and the conclusion.

• Note: If the premises are not true and the syllogism is regular, the reasoning is valid, and the conclusion, whether true or false, is correctly derived.

Source: Webster's Revised Unabridged Dictionary, © 1996, 1998 MICRA, Inc.

Page 45: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

60Arguments

• Argument -- a sequence of statements together with a claim.

• Sequence -- two or more statements.• Claim -- that one of statements, called the

conclusion, follows from the others, called the premises.

• An argument is sound if it is correct and all its premises are true.

Page 46: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

61Deductive Arguments

• In a valid deductive argument it is impossible for the premise to be true and the conclusion false.

• Example: Economists are scoundrels. Eastwood is an economist. Therefore Eastwood is a scoundrel.

Page 47: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

62Inductive Arguments

• In a correct inductive argument it is improbable for the conclusion to be false if the premise is true.

• Example: None of studies of hormone-treated beef show adverse health effects on humans. Therefore eating such beef will not harm anyone.

Page 48: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

63Invalid Arguments

• Discussed in text– Patriotism– Employment– Fallacy of Composition– Fair Play for Domestic Industry– Preservation of Home Market

• Many others– e.g., “Scientific tariff”

Page 49: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

64Valid Arguments

• Discussed in text– Government Revenue– Income Redistribution– Non-economic Goals– Infant Industry Protection– Domestic Distortions– Protecting the Environment– Strategic Trade Policies

Page 50: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

65The Case Against Protection

• The Infant-Industry Argument– “It is necessary to protect a new industry to

enable it to grow into a mature industry that can compete in world markets.”

Page 51: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

66The Case Against Protection

• The Infant-Industry Argument– This argument is not sound because:

• It only applies if the benefits of learning-by-doing not only accrue to the owners and workers of the firms in the infant industry but also spill over to other industries and parts of the economy.

• It is more efficient to protect an infant industry by using a subsidy financed from taxes.

Page 52: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

67Valid Arguments

• Other arguments with degree of validity, but not necessarily sound– National Security– Dumping– Economic Growth

Page 53: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

68The Case Against Protection

• The National Security Argument– “A country must protect industries that produce

defense equipment and armaments and those on which the defense industries rely for their raw materials and other intermediate inputs.”

Page 54: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

69The Case Against Protection

• The National Security Argument– This argument is not sound because:

• In a time of war, all industries contribute to national defense.

• Do we need the industry, or just a stockpile of their output?

• It is more efficient to subsidize firms, financed from taxes, if a country wishes to increase the output of a strategic industry.

Page 55: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

70The Case Against Protection

• The Dumping Argument– Dumping occurs when a foreign firm sells its

exports at a lower price that its cost of production.

Page 56: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

71The Case Against Protection

• The Dumping Argument– The dumping argument should be resisted

because:• Dumping is virtually impossible to detect.

• A natural global monopoly is not likely.

• Alternative remedies better for dealing with a natural global monopoly.

– More in chapter 8

Page 57: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

72Proposition:

• “An industrial policy will not accelerate overall growth unless it corrects a market failure.” Krugman

• Requires an understanding of the domestic market failure argument for a tariff:

– If production of a good yields extra social benefits not captured as producer surplus, a tariff can increase welfare.

Page 58: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

73The domestic market failure argument for a tariff

3

5

10

0 1 10

b

Domestic demand for honey

Domestic Supplyof honey

a c

Quantity (millions of jars of honey per year)

Pri

ce ($

per

jar

of

hon

ey)

World price of honey

7

2

World price + tariff $2/jar

3 5

d

Page 59: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

74The domestic market failure argument for a tariff

3

5

10

0 1 10

e

Marginal Private Benefit

Marginal Cost

Quantity (millions of jars of honey per year)

Pri

ce ($

per

jar

of

hon

ey)

7

2

3 5

Marginal Social Benefit

Page 60: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

75Are these arguments for

protection valid? …sound?1) Saves jobs

2) Allows us to compete with cheap foreign labor

3) Brings diversity and stability

4) Penalizes lax environmental standards

5) Protects National Culture

6) Prevents rich countries from exploiting developing countries

7) Optimal tariffs increase domestic welfare

8) Strategic trade policies increase domestic welfare

Page 61: 1 Chapter 7 -- Non-tariff Barriers INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, ECO 486.

83What do we mean by valid?

• A logical argument consists of some assumed statements, called the hypothesis, and a derived statement, called the conclusion. It is called valid if and only if the hypothesis implies the conclusion. Otherwise it is called invalid.

Source Clayton W. Dodge, Numbers and Mathematics, page 15.