1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction,...

54
1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Business & Economics. All rights

Transcript of 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction,...

Page 1: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

1

Chapter 22

Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management

Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. StrongCopyright ©2006 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Business & Economics. All rights reserved.

Page 2: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

2

Life wasn’t designed to be risk-free. They key is not to eliminate risk, but to estimate it accurately and manage

it wisely.

William A. Schreyer, former chairman and CEO, Merrill Lynch & Company

Page 3: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

3

Outline Introduction Setting the Stage Meeting an Income Constraint Risk Management Managing Cash Drag

Page 4: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

4

Introduction Futures and options:

• Can be used in risk management and income generation

• Can be integrated into the portfolio management process

Page 5: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

5

Setting the Stage Portfolio Objectives Portfolio Construction

Page 6: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

6

Portfolio Objectives Portfolio objectives must be set with or

without derivatives

Futures and options can be used to adjust the fixed-income portfolio, the equity portfolio, or both to accomplish the objectives

Page 7: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

7

Portfolio Objectives (cont’d) Assume:

• You are newly responsible for managing a corporate in-house scholarship fund

• The fund consists of corporate and government bonds and bank CDs

• The fund has growth of income as the primary objective and capital appreciation as the secondary objective

Page 8: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

8

Portfolio Objectives (cont’d) Assume (cont’d):

• A one-time need requires income generation of $75,000 during the next year

• An account is opened with the deposit of cash and the existing fixed-income securities for a value of about $1.5 million

• Trading fees are paid out of a small, separate trust fund

Page 9: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

9

Portfolio Construction Fixed-Income Securities Stocks

Page 10: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

10

Fixed-Income Securities The fund holds ten fixed-income securities:

Page 11: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

11

Stocks You decide to include stocks in the

portfolio for $1,000,000 so that:• The portfolio beta is between 1.05 and 1.15• The investment in each stock is between 4 and

7 percent of the total• You avoid odd lots

Linear programming can be used to determine the solution (see next slide)

Page 12: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

12

Page 13: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

13

Stocks (cont’d) The final portfolio consists of:

• $495,002 in bonds

• $996,986 in stocks

• $3,014 in cash

• A total value of $1,495,002

Page 14: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

14

Meeting an Income Constraint Determining Unmet Income Needs Writing Index Calls

Page 15: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

15

Determining Unmet Income Needs

The existing portfolio should yield:• $33,350 from bonds• $25,026 from dividends

You are $16,624 short relative to the $75,000 goal

Page 16: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

16

Writing Index Calls You want to write index call options to

generate the additional needed income:• Write short-term out-of-the-money calls to

avoid exercise• Determine implied volatilities of the options• Use the implied volatilities to determine the

option deltas• Determine the number of options you can write

Page 17: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

17

Writing Index Calls (cont’d) Eligible options are identified (all with

August expiration):

Striking Price Premium Delta

305 4.13 0.435

310 3 0.324

315 1.75 0.228

320 1 0.151

Current level of the Index = 298.96

Page 18: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

18

Writing Index Calls (cont’d) You determine the maximum contracts you

can write using stock as collateral:

Striking Price Premium Delta

Maximum Contracts Income

305 4.875 0.435 171 $83,362

310 3.00 0.324 203 60,900

315 1.75 0.228 244 42,700

320 1.00 0.151 301 30,100

Page 19: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

19

Writing Index Calls (cont’d) You decide to write 56 AUG 310 index

calls:• Generates $3 × 56 × 100 = $16,800 in income

immediately

• The delta of 0.324 indicates that these options will likely expire worthless

Page 20: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

20

Risk Management Stock Portfolio Hedging Company Risk Fixed-Income Portfolio

Page 21: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

21

Stock Portfolio Determining the Portfolio Delta and Beta Caveats about Prices from the Popular Press Caveats about Black-Scholes Prices for

Away-from-the-Money Options

Page 22: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

22

Determining the Portfolio Delta and Beta

The equity portion of the portfolio has a beta of 1.08

Writing index call options always reduces the portfolio beta• Short calls carry negative deltas

It is important to know the risk level of the portfolio

Page 23: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

23

Determining the Portfolio Delta and Beta (cont’d)

First, determine the hedge ratio for the stock portfolio:

Portfolio value Beta

Contract value

$996,9751.08 36.02

$298.96 100

HR

Page 24: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

24

Determining the Portfolio Delta and Beta (cont’d)

The stock portfolio is theoretically equivalent to 36.02 at-the-money contracts of the index

Next, calculate the delta of a hypothetical index option with a striking price of 298.96• Assume the delta is 0.578

Page 25: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

25

Determining the Portfolio Delta and Beta (cont’d)

Determine the delta contributions of the stock and the short options:

Page 26: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

26

Determining the Portfolio Delta and Beta (cont’d)

Lastly, estimate the resulting portfolio beta:

Initial portfolio delta Final portfolio delta

Initial portfolio beta Final portfolio beta

2,081.96 267.56

1.08 BetaBeta 0.14

Page 27: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

27

Determining the Portfolio Delta and Beta (cont’d)

The stock portfolio combined with the index options:• Has a slightly positive position delta• Has a slightly positive beta

The total portfolio is slightly bullish and will benefit from rising market prices

Page 28: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

28

Caveats about Prices from the Popular Press

Nonsynchronous trading is the phenomenon whereby comparative prices come from different points in time• Prices for less actively traded issues may have

been determined hours before the close of the market

• When you consider strategies involving away from the money options, you should verify the actual bid/ask prices for a security

Page 29: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

29

Caveats about Black-Scholes Prices for Away-from-the-Money

Options

The Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model:• Works well for near-the-money options • Works less accurately for options that are

substantially in the money or out of the money

To calculate delta, it may be preferable to calculate implied volatility for the option you are investigating

Page 30: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

30

Hedging Company Risk Introduction Buying Puts Buying Puts and Writing Calls

Page 31: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

31

Introduction Equity options can be used to hedge

company specific risk• Company specific risk is in additional to overall

market risk– e.g., a lawsuit

Page 32: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

32

Buying Puts To hedge against a small price change, it is

necessary to determine how many option contracts are necessary to bring the position delta to zero:

100deltaput

0.1sharescontracts of #

Page 33: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

33

Buying Puts (cont’d)Example

You own 1,000 shares of a stock currently selling for $56 per share. Put options are available with a premium of $0.45 and a $55 striking price. The put delta is –0.18.

How many options should you purchase to hedge your position in the stock from a downfall due to company specific risk?

Page 34: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

34

Buying Puts (cont’d)Example (cont’d)

Solution: Calculate the number of contracts needed:

56.5510018.0

0.1000,1

100deltaput

0.1sharescontracts of #

Page 35: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

35

Buying Puts and Writing Calls Hedging a long stock position involves adding

negative deltas to the positive deltas from the shares• Long puts and short calls both have negative deltas

Major market movements up or down can result in significantly different ending portfolio values for the puts-only scenario compared with the puts-and-calls alternative

Page 36: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

36

Fixed-Income Portfolio Hedging the Bond Portfolio Value with T-

Bond Futures Hedging the Bond Portfolio with Futures

Options

Page 37: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

37

Hedging the Bond Portfolio Value with T-Bond Futures

T-bond futures can be used to reduce interest rate risk by reducing portfolio duration• If interest rates rise, the value of a fixed-income

portfolio declines

Page 38: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

38

Hedging the Bond Portfolio Value with T-Bond Futures (cont’d)

Determine the hedge ratio:

where price of bond portfolio as a percentage of par

duration of bond portfolio

price of futures contract as a percentage

duration of cheapest-to-deliver bond eligible

b bctd

f f

b

b

f

f

P DHR CF

P D

P

D

P

D

for delivery

conversion factor for the cheapest-to-deliver bondctdCF

Page 39: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

39

Hedging the Bond Portfolio Value with T-Bond Futures (cont’d)

Determine the number of contracts you need to sell to hedge:

Portfolio valueNumber of contracts

$100,000HR

Page 40: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

40

Hedging the Bond Portfolio Value with T-Bond Futures (cont’d)

Example

A fixed-income portfolio has a value of $495,002. Using the cheapest-to-deliver bond, you determine a hedge ratio of 0.8215.

How many T-bond futures do you need to sell to completely hedge this portfolio?

Page 41: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

41

Hedging the Bond Portfolio Value with T-Bond Futures (cont’d)

Example (cont’d)

Solution: You need to sell 5 contracts to hedge completely:

contracts 91.4

9914.0000,100$

002,495$

000,100$

valuePortfoliocontracts ofNumber

HR

Page 42: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

42

Hedging the Bond Portfolio with Futures Options

A futures option is an option giving its owner the right to buy or “sell” a futures contract• A futures call gives its owner the right to go

long a futures contract

• A futures put gives its owner the right to go short a futures contract

Page 43: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

43

Hedging the Bond Portfolio with Futures Options (cont’d)

The buyer of a futures option has a known and limited maximum loss• Buying only the futures contract can result in

large losses

Page 44: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

44

Hedging the Bond Portfolio with Futures Options (cont’d)

Futures options do not require the good faith deposit associated with futures

You could buy T-bond futures puts instead of going short T-bond futures to hedge the bond portfolio

Page 45: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

45

Hedging the Bond Portfolio with Futures Options (cont’d)

The appropriate hedge ratio for futures options is:

Portfolio value 1

$100,000 DeltaHR CF

Page 46: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

46

Hedging the Bond Portfolio with Futures Options (cont’d)

Example

A fixed-income portfolio has a value of $495,002. MAR 98 T-bond futures calls are available with a premium of 2-44 and a delta of 0.583. The underlying futures currently sell for 91.

How many calls do you need to write to hedge? What is the income this strategy generates?

Page 47: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

47

Hedging the Bond Portfolio with Futures Options (cont’d)

Example (cont’d)

Solution: The hedge ratio indicates you need to write 9 contracts to hedge:

Portfolio value 1

$100,000 Delta

$495,002 10.91

$100,000 0.583

8.933

HR CF

Page 48: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

48

Hedging the Bond Portfolio with Futures Options (cont’d)

Example (cont’d)

Solution (cont’d): Writing 9 calls will generate $24,187.50:

2 44/64% × $100,000 × 9 = $24,187.50

Page 49: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

49

Managing Cash Drag A portfolio suffers a cash drag when it is

not fully invested• Cash earns a below-market return and dilutes

the portfolio return

A solution is to go long stock index futures to offset cash holdings

Page 50: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

50

Managing Cash Drag (cont’d) The hedge ratio is:

Portfolio size Beta

Futures sizeHR

Page 51: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

51

Managing Cash Drag (cont’d)Example

You are managing a $600 million portfolio. 93% of the portfolio is invested in equity, and 7% is invested in cash. Your equity beta is 1.0. During the last year, the S&P 500 index (your benchmark) earned 8 percent, with cash earning 2.0 percent.

What is the return on your portfolio?

Page 52: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

52

Managing Cash Drag (cont’d)Example (cont’d)

Solution: The return on your total portfolio is 7.58% (42 basis points below the market return):

(0.93 x 0.08) + (0.07 x 0.02) = 7.58%

Page 53: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

53

Managing Cash Drag (cont’d)Example (cont’d)

Assume a distant SPX futures contract settles for 1150.00.

How many futures contracts should you buy to make your portfolio behave like a 100 percent equity index fund?

Page 54: 1 Chapter 22 Integrating Derivative Assets and Portfolio Management Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006.

54

Managing Cash Drag (cont’d)Example (cont’d)

Solution: The hedge ratio indicates you should buy 146 SPX futures:

Portfolio size Beta

Futures size0.07 $600,000,000

1.01150.00 $250

146.09

HR