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Transcript of 1 Audited Results For twelve months ended June 2008 Infinite possibilities when Bidvest people take...
1
Audited ResultsFor twelve months ended
June 2008
Infinite possibilities when Bidvest people take on a challenge
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Agenda
► Introduction
► Financial Results
► Group Outlook
► Appendices:• Appendix 1: Geographic and Segmental contributions to Revenue and
Trading Profit
• Appendix 2: Detailed segmental results
• Appendix 3: Effects of economic drivers by segment
• Appendix 4: Historic Performance
• Appendix 5: The Bidvest Business Model
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Introduction and Overview
Brian Joffe
4Note: IFRS compliant
F2008 results summaryIntroductionIntroduction
ROFE from 50% in F2007 to 42% in F2008
DPS 11% to 495cps
HEPS 10% to 1068cps
Revenue earnings 16% to R110,5bn
Gross profit 18% to R21,7bn
Trading profit 17% to R5,3bn
Headline earnings 11% to R3,2bn
Taking trading advantage of price inflation ►Inflation has been turned to profit advantage in foodservice businesses►Cost-push inflation in food and energy did not crimp overall margin
Strength of Australian dollar assisted translation
Commendable performance from the Bidvest team in tough markets►Smart trading and instances of market share gains support result ►Individuals and companies under unrelenting affordability pressure in all markets►Increase in business bad debts in H2
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F2008 – Bidvest people managed their environment
Working capital►Cash applied lower than in F2007 due to sharp improvement in H2►Working capital absorption, excl. McCarthy, reduced by 60%►Inventory up in support of trading strategy - to profit, where feasible, from escalating prices
IntroductionIntroduction
Revenue (Rm) Trading Profit (Rm)
Segment F2007 % ch. F2008 F2007 % ch. F2008 Bidfreight - Strong Bulk result (e.g. agricultural & petro-chemical volumes); weaker consumer imports but evidence of improving exports; bulk-category capex pays off
18 772,4 +17.2 21 992,7 585,6 +18.0 690,8
Bidserv – Critical mass in outsourcing, investment in facilities and assertiveness in tackling competitive markets underpins a record result
5 243,2 +22.5 6 424,5 660,0 +27.1 838,7
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Segments at the forefront of performance IntroductionIntroduction
Revenue (Rm) Trading Profit (Rm)
Segment F2007 % ch. F2008 F2007 % ch. F2008 Bidvest Europe - Strong contribution from Deli XL (+31% in Euros); 3663 flat – solid effort given weakening economy; resistance to selling price increases; reorganisation of sales team yielding results
29 962,5 +12.4 33 683,8 757,5 +16.1 879,8
Bidvest Asia Pacific - R97m full year trading profit from Angliss (well ahead of expectations); market share gains, Australia up 44%, New Zealand up 33% despite weakening economy & drought
8 863,6 +63.2 14 467,4 346,5 +59.1 551,4
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Segments at the forefront of performanceIntroductionIntroduction
Revenue (Rm) Trading Profit (Rm)
Segment F2007 % ch. F2008 F2007 % ch. F2008
Bidfood – Caterplus & Speciality trading profit up 23% despite weakness in chain restaurant market; Bidfood Ingredients trading profit up 47% - management team having an impact & Bakery Ingredients turned around
3 733,2 +18.4 4 418,9 273,1 +31.4 358,8
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Segments at the forefront of performanceIntroductionIntroduction
Revenue (Rm) Trading Profit (Rm)
Segment F2007 % ch. F2008 F2007 % ch. F2008 Bid Industrial and Commercial – Voltex up 7% off high F2007 base - good volume growth and benefits from higher copper price and weaker Rand in H2; stronger H2 from Kolok, good performance from Waltons, especially Gauteng
8 369,1 +12.4 9 403,0 728,3 +8.5 790,1
Bidpaper Plus – Lack of big export projects; slowdown in traditional paper-based solutions; strong growth in electronic billing; Stationery has grown market share; rising cost pressures
1 823,8 +6.2 1 937,4 226,9 -3.0 220,2
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Segments holding their ownIntroductionIntroduction
Revenue (Rm) Trading Profit (Rm)
Segment F2007 % ch. F2008 F2007 % ch. F2008 Bid Auto - Like-for-like profit declined 26%; R204m (excl. funding costs) contribution from Viamax in its first full year exceeded expectations; new vehicles volumes down, but some margin recovery in used vehicles in H2; 6 dealerships and 12 Value Servs closed; higher new “imposed” inventory, used vehicle working capital levels managed down in H2; initial NCA insurance premium impact; consumer spending impact on Yamaha & Budget continues
18 656,3 -1.0 18 467,5 724,5 +2,6 743,0
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Segments holding their ownIntroductionIntroduction
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Financial ResultsDavid Cleasby
Consolidated Income StatementFinancialsFinancials
►Organic growth of 13%►13% growth excluding exchange rate translation►Full year contributions from Angliss (R3bn) and Viamax (R544m)
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Year ended June 30 2008Avg
R/£14.64Avg
R/£ 13.95F2008 in constant currency R/£13.95
Rm’s 2008 % ch 2007 2008 % ch
Revenue 110 477,6 +16 95 655,5 108 132,7 +13
Year ended June 30 2008Avg
R/£14.64Avg
R/£ 13.95F2008 in constant currency R/£13.95
Rm’s 2008 % ch 2007 2008 % ch
Revenue 110 477,6 +16 95 655,5 108 132,7 +13
Trading profit 5 334,9 +17 4 546,8 5 269,4 +16
Consolidated Income StatementFinancialsFinancials
Trading Margins F2008 F2007
Local 6.2% 6.0% Bidserv & Bidfood compensated for Voltex & Bidpaper Plus margins
Offshore 3.2% 3.1% Full year contribution from Angliss (lower inherent margins due to trading nature of the business) vs improvement in Deli XL & Australian margins
Group 4.8% 4.7%Note: 1. EBITDA up 20%: R6,9bn in F2008 vs R5,7bn in F2007 2. 11% organic growth in Trading Profit 3. Foreign businesses = 31% (R1,6bn) contribution to Trading Profit vs 29% (R1,3bn) in F2007
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Consolidated Income StatementFinancialsFinancials
► H1 = R445m; H2 = R486m ► Increase in interest due to funding of increased capex, acquisitions and working
capital absorption ► Offshore interest of R138,2m vs local interest of R792,8m ► Net debt offshore of R0,7bn vs local net debt of R4,8bn
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Year ended June 30 2008Avg
R/£14.64Avg
R/£ 13.95F2008 in constant currency R/£13.95
Rm’s 2008 % ch 2007 2008 % ch
Revenue 110 477,6 +16 95 655,5 108 132,7 +13
Trading profit 5 334,9 +17 4 546,8 5 269,4 +16
Net finance expense (931,0) +64 (566,2) (924,6) +63
Consolidated Income StatementFinancialsFinancials
Associates: Tiger Auto (Sold for R212m with effect from March 2008) Enviroserv (To be sold for R569m with effect from Q2 F2009) Comair Full year contribution Other
Note: Note: Includes dividends received
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Year ended June 30 2008Avg
R/£14.64Avg
R/£ 13.95F2008 in constant currency R/£13.95
Rm’s 2008 % ch 2007 2008 % ch
Revenue 110 477,6 +16 95 655,5 108 132,7 +13
Trading profit 5 334,9 +17 4 546,8 5 269,4 +16
Net finance expense (931,0) +64 (566,2) (924,6) +63
Associate Income 122,0 +78 68,4 122,0 +78
Year ended June 30 2008Avg
R/£14.64Avg
R/£ 13.95F2008 in constant currency R/£13.95
Rm’s 2008 % ch 2007 2008 % ch
Revenue 110 477,6 +16 95 655,5 108 132,7 +13
Trading profit 5 334,9 +17 4 546,8 5 269,4 +16
Net finance expense (931,0) +64 (566,2) (924,6) +63
Associate Income 122,0 +78 68,4 122,0 +78
Taxation (1 200,0) +16 (1 033,2) (1 184,5) +15
Consolidated Income StatementFinancialsFinancials
Effective tax rates
F2008 F2007
Local 26.5% 27.4% Reduction in corporate tax rate to 28%; F2007 benefitted from utilisation of assessed tax losses
Offshore 26.3% 23.6% Corporate rate reductions in UK & Netherlands; Angliss lower sovereign tax rate; no benefit on tax losses in Belgium
Group 26.5% 27.1% Sustainable rate of +/- 27%16
Year ended June 30 2008Avg
R/£14.64Avg
R/£ 13.95F2008 in constant currency R/£13.95
Rm’s 2008 % ch 2007 2008 % ch
Revenue 110 477,6 +16 95 655,5 108 132,7 +13
Trading profit 5 334,9 +17 4 546,8 5 269,4 +16
Net finance expense (931,0) +64 (566,2) (924,6) +63
Associate Income 122,0 +78 68,4 122,0 +78
Taxation (1 200,0) +16 (1 033,2) (1 184,5) +15
Minority interests (82,0) -6 (87,1) (82,0) -6
Consolidated Income StatementFinancialsFinancials
Bidvest Namibia: Namsov - significantly better H2► Forms part of Bidvest Namibia (mainly comprising Bid Industrial and Manica
businesses in Namibia) Versalec: Slightly downBidAuto: Slightly up
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Consolidated Income StatementFinancialsFinancials
►8% organic growth in earnings
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Year ended June 30 2008Avg
R/£14.64Avg
R/£ 13.95F2008 in constant currency R/£13.95
Rm’s 2008 % ch 2007 2008 % ch
Revenue 110 477,6 +16 95 655,5 108 132,7 +13
Trading profit 5 334,9 +17 4 546,8 5 269,4 +16
Net finance expense (931,0) +64 (566,2) (924,6) +63
Associate Income 122,0 +78 68,4 122,0 +78
Taxation (1 200,0) +16 (1 033,2) (1 184,5) +15
Minority interests (82,0) -6 (87,1) (82,0) -6
Headline earnings 3 237,8 +11 2 912,0 3 195,1 +10
Year ended June 30 2008Avg
R/£14.64Avg
R/£ 13.95F2008 in constant currency R/£13.95
Rm’s 2008 % ch 2007 2008 % ch
Revenue 110 477,6 +16 95 655,5 108 132,7 +13
Trading profit 5 334,9 +17 4 546,8 5 269,4 +16
Net finance expense (931,0) +64 (566,2) (924,6) +63
Associate Income 122,0 +78 68,4 122,0 +78
Taxation (1 200,0) +16 (1 033,2) (1 184,5) +15
Minority interests (82,0) -6 (87,1) (82,0) -6
Headline earnings 3 237,8 +11 2 912,0 3 195,1 +10
HEPS (cents) 1 068,0 +10 970,0 1 053,5 +9
Diluted HEPS (cents) 1051,0 +11 947,2 1 037,1 +9
Consolidated Income StatementFinancialsFinancials
Diluted HEPS – 308,1m diluted weighted avg shares in issue - share buy-back of 5,6m shares from shareholders in May 2008 in lieu of interim distribution
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Year ended June 30 2008Avg
R/£14.64Avg
R/£ 13.95F2008 in constant currency R/£13.95
Rm’s 2008 % ch 2007 2008 % ch
Revenue 110 477,6 +16 95 655,5 108 132,7 +13
Trading profit 5 334,9 +17 4 546,8 5 269,4 +16
Net finance expense (931,0) +64 (566,2) (924,6) +63
Associate Income 122,0 +78 68,4 122,0 +78
Taxation (1 200,0) +16 (1 033,2) (1 184,5) +15
Minority interests (82,0) -6 (87,1) (82,0) -6
Headline earnings 3 237,8 +11 2 912,0 3 195,1 +10
HEPS (cents) 1 068,0 +10 970,0 1 053,5 +9
Diluted HEPS (cents) 1051,0 +11 947,2 1 037,1 +9
Distribution 495,0* +11 446,4 495,0 +11
Consolidated Income StatementFinancialsFinancials
* Interim distribution effected by pro-rata share buy-back; distribution policy still +/- 2x covered by HEPS20
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Consolidated Cash Flow Statement – Rm’s
►Investment activities of R4bn:•R2,7bn in capex vs R1,7bn in F2007, mainly Bidfreight, Bidserv, BidAuto and Bidvest Europe•R1,3bn spent on acquisitions, mainly Viamax (R960m)►In the 4 years to June 2008: •R8,8bn cash generated from operations after working capital, tax and distributions, supported the •R11,6bn spent on acquisitions & investments of businesses for medium term growth•Full benefits still to manifest
Cash generated from ops
Working capital utilised
Net Finance charges
Taxation
Distributions
Cash effects of investment act’s
Cash effects of financing act’s
Year ended June 30 2008
FinancialsFinancials
Year ended June 30 2007
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Some lengthening in working capital cycle, although H2 was proportionately better►Inventory – increased strategic buying & ‘imposed’ stock►Debtors - quality of debtors book is sound►Creditors - impact of importing stock with shorter credit lines►Banking assets are up R219m (increased lending achieved) vs banking liabilities up R153m
Net Working Capital Days
Debtors days
Stock days
Creditors days
H1 2006 F2006 H1 2007 F2007 H1 2008 F2008
9-32 8 14 Net days
FinancialsFinancials
10
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Working capital movements
► 60% reduction in working capital, excl. McCarthy where ‘imposed’ new vehicle over-stocking occurred
► Additional working capital invested in Chinese vehicles (R310m)
FinancialsFinancials
Rm’s F2008 % ch F2007
Group working capital 730 47% 1 367
McCarthy working capital (338) 14% (392)
Group working capital movement, Group working capital movement, excl. McCarthyexcl. McCarthy 392392 60%60% 975975
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Net working capital flows vs cash generated - Rbn
► Upward trend in cash generated – cash positive international businesses ► Net working capital typically better in 2nd half
H1 2006 H2 2006 H1 2007 H2 2007 H1 2008 H2 2008
FinancialsFinancials
Year ended June 30 2008
Target interest cover range
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Gearing
H1 2006 F2006 H1 2007 F2007 H1 2008 F2008
► Interest cover of 5.7x vs target of 5-6x; EBITDA interest cover of 7.3x► R1,8bn increase in debt vs F2007:
• Acquisition R1,3bn• Net capex of R2,8bn• Net working capital of R0,7bn
FinancialsFinancials
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Group OutlookBrian Joffe
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Bidfreight Bidfreight ► Substantial prior capex will continue to pay dividends, particularly in Bulk► Organic growth is immediate focus together with tighter debtor and cash
management ► Agricultural volume potential (maize exports vs wheat imports) ► Liquid bulk upgrades on hold until agreement can be reached with Ports
authorities• Port services demand buoyant• Higher pricing necessary to compensate for capacity shortage
Bidserv Bidserv
► Airports Company “super license” a step-change for BidAir ► TMS
• Continued strong profit performance together with foreign expansion potential ► Bidvest Bank – new foreign exchange products► Critical mass in soft services plus market reach will enable Bidserv to once
again grow profits – particularly in tourism, aviation and mining
Operational Prospects – F2009Group OutlookGroup Outlook
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Operational Prospects – F2009
Foodservice Foodservice ► Asian potential barely exploited - excellent local trading skills and
facilities positions Bidvest strongly; expansion remains on the agenda ► Cost pressures in Australia, New Zealand and SA could impinge on
margin but management actions/market strength will ensure growth continues
► Contract wins, bolt-ons, and tighter cost control will benefit Deli Netherlands & Belgium; focus on cost controls and improved efficiencies
► 3663 is strongly positioned to weather competitive stresses and will benefit from industry consolidation but short term customer price resistance should not be underestimated and profit growth will be difficult to achieve
Group OutlookGroup Outlook
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Operational Prospects – F2009
Bid Industrial & Commercial Products Bid Industrial & Commercial Products ► Electrical Wholesaling:
• Challenge: declining residential/commercial market • Opportunity: civil engineering investment on a broad front, energy efficiency
initiatives, accommodation investments ahead of World Cup 2010, political imperative of low-cost housing
► Kolok: upward momentum in H2 continues into H1 F2009 ► Waltons: Improving earnings to continue, led by Gauteng market and
promotional gifts► Vulcan to capitalise on modernized facilities and new products
Bidpaper PlusBidpaper Plus► Newer technology e-business opportunities are being vigorously
exploited, supported by cash generated from traditional ex-growth activities
► Retail exposure to remain tough
Group OutlookGroup Outlook
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Operational Prospects – F2009Group OutlookGroup Outlook
Bid Auto Bid Auto ► Management is striving to maintain profitability in what is the most
difficult vehicle market for five years • New vehicle volumes to fall further • Rationalisation where necessary, selective additions (e.g. Suzuki)• Positive used market volume momentum to continue• Parts and service revenues will grow • Focus on Chery profitability through Value Centres and independents• Viamax provides good profitability and return, with renewals augmenting
contract run-outs • Addition of Viamax provides scale economies and synergy savings for
newly named McCarthy Fleet Solutions ► Yellow metal distribution orientated toward price conscious/owner
operated market
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Group Prospects – F2009
GroupGroup► Bidvest has a diversity of drivers to profit from good times and bad► Management and staff well incentivised to stretch the performance
envelope ► Competitor weaknesses will be exploited ► Scanning for keenly priced acquisitions: vendor aspirations are more
realistic► Equity is now more attractive relative to the servicing cost of debt;
Bidvest will continue to re-assess the most attractive means of optimising its WACC and funding
► Difficult times bring opportunity for a group with an opportunistic culture ► Bidvest will not disappoint in F2009
Group OutlookGroup Outlook
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