0809 Oil Search roadshow
Transcript of 0809 Oil Search roadshow
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Oil Search Roadshow
September 2008
O I L S E A R C H L I M I T E D
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Summary
Oil Search has delivered sustained top quartile growth over past five years (53% annualised return)Delivery of PNG LNG Project over next four years, together with progressive development of 2nd and 3rd tier gas, has potential to multiply Company value over this periodPNG LNG – The Premier AsiaPac LNG Project:
On track to deliver FID towards end 2009, with first LNG in late 2013/early 2014
Thirty+ year legacy project, with capacity to triple OSH production. Also positively impacts oil field life, value and reservesCurrent share price discounts assessed PNG LNG value and reflects no value for further gas developments or exploration
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Profile
Established in Papua New Guinea (PNG) in 1929
Operates all of PNG’s producing oil and gas fields. Current gross production ~44,000 boepd, net share ~23,000 boepd
As operator, responsible for generating 22% of PNG’s export revenue and 16% of its GDP in 2007
PNG Government is largest shareholder at 17.6%
PNG’s largest investor and taxpayer
At 1.1.08, 73.5 mmboe 2P reserves plus 950 mmboe undeveloped 2C gas and liquids resource. ~60% of gas resource is dedicated to PNG LNG, a world scale LNG development operated by ExxonMobil. Significant resources still to be commercialised
Range of material exploration interests in PNG and Middle East/North Africa
Market capitalisation ~US$5.5 billion. Listed on ASX (Share Code OSH) and POMSOX, plus ADR programme (Share Code OISHY)
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Oil SearchLocation Map
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Consistent strong performance over past 5 years
Jul 03 Jan 04 Jul 04 Jan 05 Jul 05 Jan 06 Jul 06 Jan 07 Jul 07 Jan 08 Jul 08
Share price (rebased to OSH)
Oil Search
Santos
Woodside
ASX 200
WTI oil
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
0.84 1.02 1.33 1.81 3.00 3.69 4.22 3.35 4.16 4.85 6.67
30.33 32.51 38.67 42.17 59.25 61.06 73.85 60.85 71.10 95.95 140.97
OSH (A$/share)
WTI(US$/bbl)
(Actual values of the 1st of the month)
Ranked No.5 TSR Performer amongst current ASX 100 for 5 year period to Dec 2007 (53% annualised return)
1 Aug 08
5.56
123.26
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World ClassSafety Performance
Total Recordable Incidents (TRIs) 1998 – 2007
APPEAOSH OGPTRI / 1,000,000 Hours
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 20050
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2007
Oil Search
Australian Companies
8.5
10.69.8 10.7
5.8
1.7
4.7
2.4 2.32.05
12.7
9.1 9.37.8
7.0 7.3
5.2
6.8
4.0 3.1 2.9
9.4
8.2
8.3
2006
International Companies
6.3
2.7
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Strategy
2007/08 Strategy Review defined initiatives to drive continued top quartile returns, by unlocking value within existing asset baseMajor strategy objectives
Ensure Final Investment decision for PNG LNG Project Transforms Oil Search into significant LNG producer, 30+ year legacy project
Position Company to drive 2nd phase gas developments using existing 2C, 3C gas resources and through gas explorationOptimise PNG oil field operating performance to sustain production and cashflows up to and beyond first gasPursue material exploration opportunities in PNG and MENA
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PNG LNG Project
AsiaPac’s next LNG
development
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Primary Focus - PNG LNG
PNG LNG Project represents PNG’s cornerstone gas development, will more than double country's GDP
“Affects economy of PNG and its balance of trade situation profoundly” (ACIL Tasman report, Feb 2008)
Will underpin Oil Search’s production and profits for 30+ years
Will commercialise ~550 mmboe of Oil Search’s 2C gas resources and add ~20 mmboe to annual net production, tripling current production
Will unlock value for OSH and shareholders
New gas developments at premium prices (BG & Origin, Petronas/Santos, Shell/Arrow, QGC/Sunshine Gas)
AGL sale will provide market a window to project value
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Regional LNG marketsare robust
Notes1. Project Under Construction include: Pluto LNG, Tangguh LNG, Yemen LNG, Qatar Gas 2,3,4, RL3, Angola LNG2. Possible projects include: PNG LNG, Sunrise LGN, Gorgon LNG, Browse, Ichthys, Scarborough, Wheatstone LNG, 4 Gladstone projects, Sulawesi, Abadi, Brunei LNG II,
NLNG VII, Brass LNG, OK LNG, Iran LNG3. Speculative projects include: projects that currently lack any reasonable definition in terms of participants, structure or underlying resources as well as defined supply where
major issues are preventing the project from making substantial progress
Regional market fundamentals remain robust
Steady expansion from existing markets (Japan, Korea, Taiwan)
Growth from emerging markets of India & China and new markets
Decline in existing contracts and concern with new project timing
Supply and Demand imbalance after 2012
Projects under construction do not match capacity
Extensive set of projects in queue from 2013 onwards
Pacific Basin LNG Supply and Demand to 2020mmpta
Onstream Under Construction Possible Speculative Pacific LNG Demand
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
“LNG supply unlikely to keep up with demand with high prices set to continue in the medium term”
“Some of these possible projects are tenuous e.g., LNG from Iran, and actual supply will be lower than shown”
Source Wood MacKenzie Global LNG, April 2008
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LNG Projects Under Construction and Proposed
Large number of possible projects under consideration
Not many possible projects will be able to cover the demand gap in 2013
Western Australia: strong cost pressures and competition for resources
Potential first production post 2014/15
Australian CSG projects: 4+ projects competing for 2014 window, new technology with several hurdles to be overcomeIncreasing foreign focus
PNG LNG is an attractive option relative to others
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LNG Pricing
Strong pricing drivers:Supply/demand fundamentalsPull from EuropeDelays in other projectsEnvironmental advantagesPricing and challenges with competing energy sources
Recent contract pricing around oil price parity:
Recent contracts:Sept 07: Petrochina, 2-3 mtpa, 15 - 20 years ex BrowseSept 07: Petrochina, 1 mtpa, 20 years ex Gorgon Nov 07: CPC, 2-3 mtpa, 15 - 20 years ex BrowseApril 08: Petrochina, 3 mtpa, 25 years from 2011 ex QatarGasApril 08: CNOOC, 2 mtpa, 25 years from 2009 ex QatarGas II
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5
10
15
20LNG (US$/mmbtu)
20 40 60JCC ($/bbl)
80 100
Traditional Contracting
Crude Oil Parity
NWS 2007 Contracting
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World Class and World Scale LNG Project2C resources of 9.3 tcf
6.3 mmtpa, 2 train LNG project
Clean, liquids-rich gas
No technology issues or concerns
Well positioned for the Asia market
Rapidly advancing in optimal timeframe to satisfy regionaldemand in 2013/2014 period
Joint Venture is strongly aligned with supportive Government
Strong OperatorExxonMobil is the Project operator – excellent record of project delivery on time and on budget, assisted by comprehensive pre-FEED process
Oil Search providing PNG experience
Strong Project team
Real Expansion CapacityNew infrastructure will stimulate additional gas development
Substantial existing 2C and 3C resources
PNG LNG:The Premier AsiaPac LNG Project
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PNG LNG Project
Integrated development of Hides, Angore and Juha gas fields plus associated gas from the Kutubu, Agogo, Gobe and Moran oil fields
Upstream infrastructure including production wells, processing facilities and pipeline network linking to the export pipeline
Gas export pipeline from PNG Highlands to LNG plant near Port Moresby
Liquefaction plant, export loading and support facilities located in Portion 152, 20 km from Port Moresby
See schematic above for detail
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PNG LNG Project Fields
Kutubu
Juha Main
Angore
Gobe Main
HidesMoran
Agogo
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PNG LNG Project Milestones reached in 1H08
Commercial alignment achieved, with Joint Operating Agreement (JOA) executed in March 2008 amongst the Project Owners
Initial funding interests pre-Government back-in agreed (OSH 34%) Unitisation and redetermination procedures agreedActionable finance plan agreed
Marketing Representative Agreement signed for joint marketing of 6.3 mmtpa, led by ExxonMobil, Project rolled-out to buyers at GasTech in Bangkok in March 2008
Gas Agreement signed May 2008Outlines fiscal terms and legal obligations under which Project will operate over its life The terms include 30% tax rate and Additional Profits Tax (APT) which applies once a certain threshold level of return has been achievedSets terms and mechanism for State equity participation in the Project
Front End Engineering and Design (FEED) commenced in May 2008
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Project Status
High quality project team assembled – ExxonMobil personnel plus secondees from partners including OSHFEED activities proceeding on schedule. Target completion in 3Q09 (13 months):
EOS (KBR/ WorleyParsons JV) conducting upstream FEED comprising:− Preliminary engineering design for gas field developments − Gas conditioning and compression facilities− Pipeline and infrastructure
Downstream FEED (LNG plant, storage, marine facilities) being conducted in two phases: − Non-competitive phase - support from KBR − Second, competitive EPC bid phase involving APCI (Air Products
and Chemicals, Inc) and COP (ConocoPhillips) process licensed contractors
Oil Search-managed associated gas FEED study commenced with WorleyParsonsMany Project enhancements, optimisations being considered
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Project Status
Marketing:Negotiations commenced between Project and selected offtakers
Project is strongly positioned, competitive advantages recognised by customers
Targeting end 08/early 09 for HOAs, SPAs prior to FID
Government committed and supportive Leadership and co-ordination defined
Discussions between Government and Landowners commenced on Benefits Sharing Agreement
Environmental, licensing and permitting activities underway
State Nominee agreed
JV considering proposal for early works programme subject to marketing, Benefits Sharing Agreement and permitting progress
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PNG LNG Capex Estimates
First phase capex (2008 – 2014) expected to be between US$10 –11 bn (real mid-2007 $s)Historically, ExxonMobil has delivered projects on time and on budget Subsequent capex is several years out (additional Hides drilling, Angore and Juha development and potential LPG extraction if required). Juha timing depends on Hides and Angore outcomes and performance Further updates to capex estimates from EPC bids (3Q 09)Further optimisation will occur during dual FEED
Source: ExxonMobil Analyst Briefing 5th March, 2008.
EM Project Execution Performance
Actual vs. Funded (%)
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Average2003-07 2007
50
75
100
125
0
Cost Schedule
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Project Interest Determination
Methodology agreed for Project Interest determination
Initial Project Interests will be established at FID, taking into account FEED cost estimates and LNG sales contract outcomes
Periodic re-determination and equalisation processes established
Government has the right to back-in (22.5%) to Hides, Angore and Juha licences
Resulting State participation in PNG LNG Project post back of ~19%
1.4%
1.8%
3.6%
17.7%
34.0%
41.5%
Share of FEED costs
MRDC / State
Nippon
AGL
Santos
Oil Search
ExxonMobil
JV Partners Oil Search PNG LNG Interest
26%
28%
30%
32%
34%
36%
FEED Interest
PNG LNG Interest
OSH expected post Government back-in final project interest
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PNG LNG Financing
Debt:Joint debt financing approach, led by a Finance Committee co-ordinated by ExxonMobil with key input from OSH. Soc Gen financial advisor
Recent road shows elicited strong interest from Export Credit Agencies, commercial banks and rating agencies. Banks’ positive attitude to PNG demonstrated by OSH’s recent corporate facilityIncluding capitalised interest through construction, financing fees and funding of the debt service reserve, seeking project finance for ~US$11.5 billion (nominal)
OSH share of project finance ~US$3.2 billion (nominal)
Equity:OSH’s equity contribution (nominal) expected to be ~US$1.3 billion
Funded from existing cash (~US$600m), corporate borrowing from refinancing (US$450m) and oil cash flows between 2009 – 2013 (operating cash flow in 1H08 was US$348m)
Will utilise hedging, if required, to protect cash flow and optimise borrowings
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LNG Project Schedule
FEED
PNG GovernmentApprovals
Benefits SharingAgreement
Project Financing
Detailed EngineeringDesign & Procurement
Construction /Commissioning
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
FirstCargoLNG
*Schedule is Indicative only
FIDPIMClose
Gas Agreement
Entry
Environmental, Licences etc
EPC bids
HOA’sMarketing
SPA’s
Possible early works
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Economic Importance ofPNG LNG Project
ACIL Tasman Report 6 February 2008“Affects economy of PNG and its balance of trade situation profoundly”GDP will more than double Oil & Gas exports will increase 4 fold Up to 7,500 jobs in initial phase, 20% by nationals; 850 full time positions, developing national workforce over timeHuge cash flows to Government – national and provincial - and landowners through tax, royalties, levies and equity participation over 30 yearsMultiplier effects additional
Government recognises importance. Leadership and Co-ordination defined:
Political leadership through Ministerial Economic CommitteeCo-ordination branch approved and being implemented
Retention Licence renewal:Government has announced PRL 11 and PRL 12 renewal
Commitment to pursue Benefits Sharing Agreement:Targeting 4Q08/1Q09
Strong support for the Project at local community level
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Impact on Oil Search
For Oil Search, the Project will provide:Annual incremental net production of ~20 mmboe Booking of ~550 mmboe of Oil Search’s 2C gas resources providing positive impact on depreciationPast costs pay back by Government on back-in at Final Investment Decision Value additions to the oilfields by:− Incremental reserves due to extension of oil field life (Gobe to
2024, Kutubu to 2048) and revised reservoir opportunities − Abandonment deferral− Additional pipeline tariffs − Cost sharing benefits in oil fields and pipeline export system− Reduction of oil field taxation rate on conversion
Detailed field review has commenced to analyse field management of gas and oil, optimal development and value synergies− New Moran development plan
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Benchmark of OSH Peersby AV/2P Reserves
PNG LNG FID will allow booking of ~550 mmboe of 2P reserves
Notes1. Comparable global E&P independent listed companies2. Assumes exchange rate of 0.869 AUD/USD3. Share prices as at 20-Aug-2008
Agg. Value / 2P ReservesUS$/boe
Tullo
w
Lund
inW
oods
ide
ROC
Oil
AWE
Maure
l et P
rom
Adda
x
Dana
Sant
os JKX
Cairn
Vent
ure
Soco
Beac
h Pe
trole
umPA
Res
ourc
es
QGC
DNO
Prem
ier
Oil Se
arch
(+55
0mm
boe)
Nexus
Ene
rgy
Median = US$13.8 boe15.0
14.1 14.1 13.8 13.412.7 12.2 11.8
10.9 10.59.4
8.97.9
6.1
54.7
20.4 20.0
18.1
15.1 15.0
0
5
10
15
20
25
60
International Australian
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GrowthOpportunities
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Gas Growth Opportunities
PNG LNG Project sets the stage for additional gas-based growth opportunities, beyond PNG LNG Project debottlenecking (10 +15% above nameplate capacity)
Additional LNG developments command the highest value:
Sufficient 2C resources for additional train already exist in PNG fields
Other gas development options also available with robust economics
Oil Search seeking to: Increase contractible gas (exploration, appraisal, acquisition)
Aggregate gas for highest value development option
Key partnerships with State – MOU signed in July
New opportunities need to be considered in a framework of being material for a US$5 bn+ company
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Gas Resource Base
~1/3rd of PNG gas resources are held in the Hides field PNG LNG Project accounts for approximately half of PNG’s discovered gas resource OSH has ~1.6 tcf net of discovered gas plus associated liquids not dedicated to PNG LNG
Technical Gas ~ 17,000 bcfTechnical Gas ~ 17,000 bcfStanley
0.1%
Barikewa4%
Pasca1%
Angore7%Juha
6%
P`nyang10%
Pandora A7%
Kutubu Area8.3%
Hides (Technical Reserve)
Kimu4.8%
Elevala3%
Douglas3%
Elk3%
Ketu2.3%
Uramu2%
Gobe Area2%
Moran1%
Kuru1%
Koko0.1%
Bwata0.3%
SE Mananda0.1%
Iehi1%
Pandora B2%
PNG LNG Project
30%
PNG discovered gas reserves by field (Source: Wood Mackenzie Path Finder)
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Oil Search Visionfor LNG Expansion
3.5 – 4.0 tcf additional gas volumes required to underpin construction of additional train
PNG LNG fields comprise Hides, Juha Main, Angore, Kutubu, Agogo, Moran and Gobe Main
Other Highlands JV partner resources (OSH best estimates) include P’nyang and Juha North
Forelands & Offshore resources include Barikewa, SE Gobe, Pandora & Uramu
Considerable exploration upside. 3 year programme targeting >13 tcf gross resource
Exploration
3rd Train Threshold
0
5
10
15
20
25tcf
PNG LNG
Base Volume
PNG LNG3C
Upside
2C
3C
2C
3COther Highlands JV Partner Resources
4th Train Threshold
Forelands & Offshore
Resources
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Location of Gas Resources:PNG LNG Project Fields
Sufficient 3C upside in existing PNG LNG Project fields to underwrite a third 3.15 mmtpa trainAppraisal drilling planned for 2010/11 on Hides
AngoreJuha
Hides
Moran
AgogoKutubu
Gobe Main
15.09.3Total
5.14.0
Juha, Angore, Kutubu, Moran, Gobe Main
9.95.3Hides
3C2CField
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Location of Gas Resources:Other field resources
8.54.8Total
4.7
3.7
2.3
2.4
Juha North
Forelands and Offshore:Kimu, Barikewa, SE Gobe, Uramu, Pandora
Highlands:P’nyang
3C2CField
Barikewa
Uramu
Pandora
P’nyang
Kimu
Based on OSH best estimatesAppraisal drilling at Barikewa in 2009 and Pandora in 2010
Juha North
SE Gobe
AngoreJuha
Hides
Moran
AgogoKutubu
Gobe Main
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Barikewa
Uramu
Pandora
P’nyang
Kimu
Juha North
SE Gobe
Angore
Juha
Hides
Moran
AgogoKutubu
Gobe Main
Location of Gas Resources:Exploration
2009 – 2011 exploration programme will test over 13 tcf mean resource (gross), with average POS of ~15%
Testing off-shore prospectivity (Flinders, Bigpela, PPL 234, APPL 293) to commence in 2009/10
Huria well expected to be drilled prior to the Hides development wells
Considering a range of farm-ins/judicious farm-downs with strategic partners
Flinders
Barikewa Deep
Huria
Hedinia Deep
Cecilia
Iwa
Bigpela
Well 1
Lead 7
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Other Gas Growth Opportunities
Other gas commercialisation opportunities can also offer attractive returns, diversification and timely delivery. These range from export oriented projects to domestic micro projects including:
Methanol and other derivativesGas to liquids (GtL)Compressed Natural Gas (CNG)Gas for use in mine operations eg extending mine life at PorgeraPower generation and other smaller projects catering to the needs of local communities & industry
Size of dedicated resource important in defining commercial optionRange of study groups are being established with Government and other entities to form non-PNG LNG gas development ‘master plan’
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Other Gas Growth Opportunities
Optionality in fields such as P’nyang (Western Corridor) and Barikewa (Eastern Hub) to be feedstock for either LNG or alternative development options
Barikewa
Uramu
Pandora
P’nyang
Kimu
Juha North
SE Gobe
Elk
Douglas
Stanley
Ketu
Elevala
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AGL Asset Sale Outcome a Win:Win for OSH shareholders
AGL is selling its interest in PDL 2 (11.9%) and PDL 4 (66.7%)
Highest bidder expected to be known by mid SeptemberOSH and other licence partners (ExxonMobil, JPP, MRDC) have pre-emptive rights. 30 day pre-emption period post notificationCan pre-empt on either or both licences
Strong investment discipline will be applied when reviewing pre-emption opportunity. Considerations for OSH include:
PriceFunding efficiencyPre-emption intentions of partners
AGL sale outcome a likely Win:Win for OSH shareholders:If a high sale price, demonstrates strong market value and confidence with ‘look through’ implicationsCould represent a potential buying opportunity of well known quality assets subject to meeting investment criteria
25.6%
10.0%
72.3%
49.4%
60.0%
OSH % interest
27.3%SE Gobe Unit (PDL 4)
66.7%Gobe Main (PDL 4)
11.9%SE Mananda (PDL 2)
5.2%Moran Unit (PDL 2)
11.9%Kutubu (PDL 2)
AGL % interestAsset
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AGL Asset Sale:OSH Core Asset Value Implications
‘See-through’ value range dependent on value ascribed to oil vs gas
OSH offers material upside in PNG LNG Project equity, Other Gas and exploration incremental to AGL assets, plus existing cash balances
OSH interest provides full exposure to Hides, Juha & Angore 3C and 3rd train upside
3.1 –3.5%
28.5% -31.5%
PNG LNG (Project Interest)
As at 30/6/08. Represents NSAI reserves less H1 actuals
10.4 mmbbl
53.8 mmbbl
Producing Oil
CommentsAGLOSH
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
8,000
8,500
800 850 900 950 1000
Price paid for AGL's PNG Assets (US$m)
Implied OSH Core Asset "See-Through" Value (US$m)
Core Assets
OSH: 3 year drilling programme will test over one bnbbl unrisked oil and over 8 tcf unrisked gas (net to OSH).AGL: minor exploration value in licence package
Exploration
OSH = ~$600 millionCash & Receivables
OSH has ~1.6 tcf net of 2C gas resources (plus associated liquids) and ~3.0 tcf of 3C resources in other well positioned gas fields including P’nyang, Juha North, SE Gobe, Kimu, Barikewa, Pandora & Uramu
Other Gas
Comments
Other OSH Assets
Excludes Other Gas, Exploration, Cash &
working capital balances
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PNG Oil Operations
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Oil Operations:Providing Cash for Growth
Since Oil Search took over operatorship of PNG oil fields in 2003, fields have produced ~45 mmbbl in excess of previous operator’s expectations and field life extended
Aim is to optimise PNG oil cash generation over the next 5 years to support PNG LNG Project funding requirements
Existing oilfields are mature (decline rate of 15-20%) but with appropriate investment, expect to mitigate decline curve for 2-3 more years
PNG production is highly profitable – in 1H08, cash opex of US$10/bbl, realised oil price of US$118/bbl
Need to balance work programmes and hence production outcomes with demand for rigs for exploration and gas drilling
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PNG Oil Fields
Usano
Kutubu
SE ManandaMoran
SE Gobe
Gobe Main
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Production Summary
Net Production (mmboe)
MENA
Hides GTE
SE Mananda
SE Gobe
Gobe Main
Moran
Kutubu
0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
1H 06 2H 06 1H 07 2H 07 1H 08
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Field Development Drilling Activity
Usano:2008 : 4 wells2009 : 1 wells
SE Gobe:2010 : 1-2 wells
Kutubu:2009 : 3 wells
Agogo:2009 : 2 wells
Moran:2008 : 1-2 wells2009 : 1-2 wells
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PNG Drilling Rig Strategy
Two ‘state of the art’ new rigs, owned by Oil Search:Rig 103 – became operational late 2007. Had a number of commissioning and teething problems, now resolved (significant performance improvement on last development well, UDT 9). Leapfrog unit commissioned Rig 104 - delivery delayed primarily due to late delivery of specialist drilling equipment. Due to commence drilling activities in late Dec 08Likely to use full time on development activity in 2009
Decisions to be made regarding Parker Rig 226 and Rig 101 (ex Rig 2):
Contract with Parker Rig 226 expires at end of Moran 14 wellContract expires with HAES on Rig 101 at end of Cobra 1A well. Future programme under reviewRig choice for exploration/gas drilling campaignWorking with other operators in PNG
Hydraulic Workover Unit operating well:Mobilised low cost workover unit and completed first workover
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Exploration
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PNG Exploration
Portfolio optimisationData room prepared for farm down of some exploration exposures in PNG
Seeking to build on gas portfolio (already outlined)Oil exploration
High grade remaining prospects in close proximity to infrastructureFollow up Footwall plays based on encouragement from Cobra wellConsider deeper Jurassic plays
Frontier “paradigm changers”In the past, PNG exploration focused on few playsPotential to open up new areas with selective, albeit high risk,drilling− Large hinterland structures with possible proven and also
younger untested reservoirs− Innovative seismic acquisition ongoing in this play
− Offshore fans and toe thrusts
Current wells: Cobra (testing), Wasuma, Iwa and Cecilia (2009)
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PNG Exploration
Iwa
Wasuma
Cobra
Cecilia
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Cobra 1A
Seismically defined footwall anticline (‘Sub-thrust Play’) adjacent to SE Gobe oil fieldPrimary Iagifu objective was water wet, but Hedinia Sand was thicker than predicted pre-drill
Recovered oil, currently testing, updip potential
Potential play-opener with significant follow-up
De-risks many along strike - large structural features already identified in portfolio
10.9Cue PNG Ltd
26.5Murray Petroleum
62.6Oil Search
WI %PPL 190
COBRA
PPL219
PPL190
PDL4
PDL4PDL3
10km
Gobe Main
SE Gobe Wasuma
47
Near field exploration opportunity adjacent to the SE Gobe oil fieldIagifu sandstone primary objective -proven reservoir at GobeSeismically defined structure - one of the last un-drilled ‘simple’Hangingwall anticlines within the main Foldbelt trendMay also have deeper target FootwallMean recoverable reserves 35 mmbbl with upside potential to 100 mmbblChance of success 1 in 5Well site construction commenced
WASUMA
PPL219
PPL190
PDL4
PDL4PDL3
10km
Gobe Main
SE Gobe Wasuma
SE GobeWasuma
NESW
Wasuma
8.75Merlin Petroleum
91.25Oil Search
WI %PPL 219
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Near field exploration opportunity located along trend of Usano oil field and adjacent to SE Hedinia gas fieldToro sandstone primary objectiveAdditional upside in Hedinia sandstone (flowed oil when DST’d in SE Hedinia 1x) & Iagifu sandstoneTwo alternative models
Oil exploration prospect separated by fault from SE Hedinia gas field:− Mean recoverable reserves (Toro) 30 mmbbl
with upside potential to 60 mmbbl− Chance of success 1 in 6
Gas appraisal along trend of SE Hedinia (no fault compartmentalisation):− Mean recoverable reserves (Toro) 150 bcf
with upside potential to 250 bcf− Chance of success 1 in 2
IWA
10km
NESW
Iwa
SEMananda
MoranPaua
Kutubu
LakeKutubu
Agogo
PDL2
PPL233
PPL219
PDL5PDL6
Extension of SE Hedinia Anticline
Darai
Ieru
Upper IeruToro
Hedinia
Koi-Iange
Iagifu
Imburu D
11.90AGL (PNG)6.75PRK6.78Merlin Petroleum14.52ExxonMobil60.05Oil SearchWI%PDL 2
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MENA Exploration Strategy
Sale of some of MENA assets to Kuwait Energy recently completed for US$200 million & WCRe-focus on MENA assets that have potential to make a material contribution Retained assets provide significant upside potential –seeking to mature and de-risk through seismic/drillingPre-drill POS can be reduced to >20% through technology or quality of acreage
Continue to seek material opportunities in world class petroleum systems
Maintain and build on core regional relationships
Key strategic advantage of OSH is ability to operate at a local level
Manageable budget yet material opportunities
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MENA Exploration
Sana’a Office
Dubai Office
Block 3
Block 7
Tajerouine
Le Kef
Area 18
Bina Bawi
Shakal
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Shakal – Kurdistan, Iraq
Shakal 1 will target a large sub-thrust anticline
Three Tertiary carbonate units are primary target with up to 1,350 metres of closure
Each target has potential of >80 mmbbl recoverable
Key risk is fault separation from adjacent Pulkhana field
Well planned to spud early September
20Govt.20Govt (unassigned)9Petoil36Shakal Prod. Ltd (op)15Oil Search
WI%Shakal PSC
Near Top Euphrates depth map 10km
PulkhanaField
Shakalcompartment
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Area 18 located in under-explored Pelagian Basin, offshore Libya. Pelagian Basin contains ~7 bn boe reservesArea 18 is located on trend to productive Pelagian Basin fields Exploration targets:
Eocene carbonate (~200 mmbbl mean reserves), proven playCretaceous carbonate (~70 mmbbl), proven play Jurassic clastic gas play (~1 tcf) new playTriassic clastic play (~2.2 tcf) new play
Caliph Prospect will target all three plays Other prospects and leads in the permit are defined on 2D seismic
Area 18 – Offshore Libya
70Petrobras (Operator)
30Oil Search
WI %Area 18
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Yemen Block 3 and 7
Proven commercial fairwayOn trend with OMV basement discovery (2P reserves ~100 mmbbl)>800 km2 3D seismic recently
completed in Blocks 3 and 7Main focus is basement play but shallower plays also presentCurrently processing and interpreting seismicDrilling planned to begin mid-2009
Yemen Oil CompanyMNDPetOil
Oil SearchBlock 3
Yemen Oil Company
ARC/VoyagerKufpec
Oil SearchBlock 7
Adelphi
6.0020.0034.0040.00WI%
8.5021.2521.2534.00WI%
15.00
Example of large, basement-involved structures
Block 7
Block 3
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FinancialOverview
55
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Financial Performance
466.7
410.7
133.3
2005 2006 2007 1H 08
Reven
ue
EB
ITD
AX
Co
reN
et
Pro
fit
Half Year
Full Year
US$m
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~US$600 million in cash following receipt of MENA asset sale funds. No debt
Refinancing of 5 year US$ oil facility in final stages:Very positive response from bank market with competitive offers for more than twice the amount soughtFacility size increased by US$50 million to US$450 millionPricing and facility terms more favourable than those on the facility it is replacingAlmost half the facility provided without political risk insurance – strong endorsement for PNG
With cash and finance facility, liquidity is >US$1bn
No oil hedging undertaken during first half of year or currently in place
Treasury Update
57
FY08 Capital Outlook Update
Exploration expenditure for full year 2008 expected to be US$150 - 160 million, inclusive of acquisition of Shakal interest in Kurdistan
Gas commercialisation and new business expenditure of US$80 million, including growing FEED spend on PNG LNG as activities ramp up
Development expenditure of US$150 million, plus US$20 million on rig acquisition payments
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Outlook
59
Gas set to dominateportfolio over time
Substantial unrealised value exists within Oil Search’s existing asset portfolio (particularly PNG gas)
Current share price discounts assessed PNG LNG value and reflects no value for further gas developments or oil exploration success
Value calibration anticipated from:
PNG LNG: Key milestones reached (LNG HOA’s, early works) Progress on demonstrating value growth options (exploration and appraisal programme, agreements etc.)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Cash
Fourth Train
Third Train
PNG LNG
Oil
Value NPV Over Time (Unrisked)
60
Outlook
Production outlook for 2008 of 8.5 – 9.0 mmboe
Cash flows from operations continue to strengthen already healthy balance sheet. Liquidity of >US$1 bnprovides excellent financing flexibility for PNG LNG as well as an active exploration, appraisal and development programme
PNG LNG Project on track to make Final Investment Decision in late 2009, first production expected late 2013/2014. Will deliver key infrastructure to PNG. 30 year+ legacy project
Debottlenecking opportunities in PNG LNG and resource upside in Hides are likely to provide next tranche of value creation
Significant existing 2C resources outside PNG LNG remain to be commercialised. Value enhanced by PNG LNG Project infrastructure. Oil Search working with PNG Government on non-Project gas development
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Likely Catalystsin 2008-2009
3Q 2008AGL Asset saleSpud Shakal well in Kurdistan
4Q 2008PNG LNG Offtake HOAs late 08/ early 09Spud Caliph well in Libya
1Q 2009Benefits Sharing Agreement
2Q 2009Decision to commence early worksFinalise EPC bids
2H 2009FID on PNG LNGFinancial Close
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Summary
PNG LNG Project and commercialising remaining gas will drive Company value. Rising NPV over time, as cash flows get closer and Project de-risks
Core PNG oil business remains robust, with stable production and cost outlook, provides cash flows to support LNG and other development options
Exploration activities wound back from 2007 high levels, but material prospects still to be drilled in both PNG and MENA
AGL asset sale provides industry value benchmark, with partial value see-through. May provide opportunity to increase PNG LNG interest, but only in the right circumstances – series of gates for decision-making
Considerable upside value in existing asset base still to be recognised by market
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O I L S E A R C H L I M I T E D