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    A practitioner's view on NGA

    Xavier Rodrguez-Martn, Chairman & CEO, Oni Communications

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    investing in NGA

    : : Onis distinctive businessmodel to maximise RoI

    : : The global challenges ahead

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    Introduction to Oni www.oni. t/indexUK.htm

    Single next generation Portuguese operator focused

    exc us ve y on t e corporate mar et, w t amarket share

    130 M in revenues, 2/3 IP-based data services

    27 M EBITDA, 2 M net profit

    400 M invested in NGN: 10,000 km of fibre routes, 2n

    European IP-MPLS network, 1st Iberian soft switches

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    investing in NGA

    : : Onis distinctive businessmodel to maximise RoI

    : : The global challenges ahead

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    Two forces:while networks want to converge...

    Access throu h different means: fibre co er

    coax, radio

    uppor ng a arge num er o g a serv ces:voice, data, Internet, video

    Interaction and customization facilitated by IT

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    ... business models tend to diverge

    Dominant convergences

    Clients withCarriers

    Telecom + IT Corporate

    Specific technologies,systems and processes

    xe + mo e

    each segmentResidentialBroadcast + telecom

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    The two forces provoke dilemmas

    Network convergence favours an integratedapproach; business model divergence favours a

    segmen e approac

    efficiency) andservice providers (focus favours

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    Which force weights more whendeciding on NGA strategy depends

    1. History and size

    2. Degree of market maturity

    3. Regulation

    4. Politics

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    1. History and size

    existence of several national networks

    copper and cable incumbents

    Market shares of the different operators

    Qualit of the ast liberalization rocess

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    2. Market maturity: segmentation

    Operator 1.0: Operator 2.0:

    Addressing all the market Addressing part of the

    Gain Penetration Gain Maturity

    Building a large company

    structure

    mar et w t cost contro

    Building a slim company

    Positioning!

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    2. Market maturity: strategic implications

    Operator 1.0: Operator 2.0:

    destructive competition,zero-sum game

    towards segmentation-based,strategic competition

    Me-too strategies

    More innovation

    Permanent price deflation

    Difficult financial erformance

    successful, in different ways, inthe same market

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    2. Market maturity: telecoms 8management traps

    -.

    2. Growth at any price

    3. Fixed cost allocation

    instead of sustainable profitability

    lack of robust mana ement accountin s stems

    4. Strategic optimism

    hides inconsistencies in cost allocation

    waiting for the next big thing

    5. Potential synergies

    6. Growing market

    different traffic profiles, technologies, skills

    everybody running after the same ball

    . or o o

    8. Activity

    -

    confusing activity with results

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    3. Regulation

    De ree of vertical se aration

    Protection of investment in fibre networks

    Alignment of ex-anteregulator (ie telecomsregulator) with ex-postregulator (ie

    competition authority)

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    4. Politics

    Telecoms are oliticall relevant

    Innovation leadership

    Economic relevance

    Portu al: o ortunit to lea fro historical under-

    performance

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    investing in NGA

    : : Onis distinctive businessmodel to maximise RoI

    : : The global challenges ahead

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    Oni: applying the operator 2.0 model

    In business, the majority is always wrong. The future is not

    logic. The stone age did not end by lack of stones

    Anticipation is key: 3.5 years ago we exited the residentialbusiness and focused on corporate and carriers carrier

    Profitabilit is directl associated with focus and differentiation

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    What a business model is

    Value ro osition

    target segment, P&S offering and revenue model

    value chain, cost model and organization

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    and a different operating model

    40% of revenue on fibre access

    Cost leadership through mass customizationand selective

    Processes, systems, skills and culture customized forcorpora e c en s es company o wor n or uga ,Heidrick & Struggles)

    Telco-IT integratormodel based on partnerships

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    investing in NGA

    : : Onis distinctive business modelto maximise RoI

    : : The global challenges ahead

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    The challenges ahead are huge

    Certainties and uncertainties for decision makin

    : : Technology

    : : Economics

    : : Regulation

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    Certainties

    r an u ure or e ecoms

    -

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    Certainties: a brilliant future for telecoms

    -

    NGA will fuel dematerialization of value chains

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    Certainties: short-term challenges aresignificant

    era za on a e n urope

    Current business models have accumulated a lot oftension and can be leapfrogged

    The telecoms industry has a short memory

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    This is a short-memory industry

    The Internet bubble in 2000The Internet bubble in 2000

    drivers consultants + manufacturers +(investors + investment bankers)

    leadership engineers economists lawyers

    ,,cool downcool down

    + +

    leadership lawyers

    economists

    engineers.Fiberpolitics!

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    Certainties: NGA is thedriver for change

    s a e cross roa o macro- ren s

    demographic (i.e. health)social (i.e. education, justice)

    . . ,

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    certainties: NGA is thedriver for change

    Value in the network and not only above level 2 (IPand beyond)

    ecosystem. New apps will allow to escape frombroadband h er-com etition

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    Uncertainties

    Unbalanced risk-return binomial: how to move from

    poetry to maths without loosing motivation

    revenue gap increase the risk on RoI

    Difficulty to anticipate regulatory issues will giveextra work to competition authorities

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    Managing time is crucial

    Right timing what we usually refer as luck

    Anticipation allows to create temporarymonopolies

    Procrastination the worst management sin

    ong- erm approac us nesses are mara ons, no

    sprints

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    A few last observations

    C cles are conse uence of human condition: from

    greed to panic...and from panic to greed (coming soon)

    a ua e n ormat on s not cons ere a commo tyany more. Ideas are scarce...and we have to make

    Strate is back. Execution is not the onl im ortantthing any more

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    Vision without action is adaydream.

    Action without vision is a

    n g mare

    Japanese proverb

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    A practitioner's view on NGA

    Xavier Rodrguez-Martn, Chairman & CEO, Oni Communications