05.Asset Allocation

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    Asset allocation One step

    Security selection

    Rarely (if ever) done as it is too costly

    Securities Security

    Selection

    Overall

    Portfolio

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    Asset allocation Two steps

    Security selection and Asset allocation

    Asset allocation usually precedes stockselection

    Securities Security

    Selection

    Asset-class

    Portfolio

    Stock

    Portfolio

    BondPortfolio

    Asset

    Allocation

    Overall

    Portfolio

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    Asset allocation

    Involves defining asset classes

    Typical institutional asset classes Domestic equities

    Foreign equities

    Fixed income Real estate

    Private equity

    Policy portfolio defines the target allocation to

    each of the asset classes

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    Whats the big deal?

    Both asset allocation and security selectioncontribute to the overall performance of theportfolio

    However, studies have shown that asset

    allocation has an overwhelmingly moreimportant effect than pure security selection

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    Defining asset classes

    Functional attributes play a dominant role indefining asset classes Debt versus equity

    Private versus public Liquid versus illiquid

    Domestic versus foreign

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    Typical asset classes

    Domestic stocks Largecap / Midcap /Smallcap

    Value/growth

    Industry

    International stocks Developed / emerging

    Domestic bonds Long term / intermediate

    term / short term

    Government / corporate High yield

    Municipal

    International bonds

    Real Estate

    Alternative investments Commodities / natural

    resources

    Currencies

    Private equity / venturecapital

    Hedge funds

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    Criteria for determining asset classes

    Relatively few in number Explain a substantial proportion of variance in returns Relative independence

    Does the asset class help efficient diversification? What is its correlation with other asset classes?

    Eg. intermediate term bonds vs. long term and short termbonds

    Homogeneity If club dissimilar components, then impose the unnecessary

    constraint that components be held in same relative proportion Eg. Foreign stocks is perhaps not an asset class

    Capacity Should be sufficiently large to absorb a meaningful fraction of

    portfolio

    Have a low-cost index for each class

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    Defining asset classes example

    Fixed income frequently treated as hedgeagainst downturns

    This strictly implies only high-quality, long-term, non-callable bonds, essentially

    government bonds Junk bonds should not be mixed

    Contain equity-like risks

    TIPS should not be mixed with this What is the impact of unanticipated inflation?

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    Strategic and tactical asset allocation

    Strategic asset allocation Long-term forecasts of expected returns, variances,

    and covariances

    What to do for the long-term

    Tactical asset allocation (TAA) How funds are to be divided at any particular point

    of time given short-term forecasts

    What to do under current market conditions

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    Portfolio revision

    Previous portfolio may become sub-optimal Change in attitude towards risk and return

    Forecasts have changed

    Weights have changed due to different performanceof asset classes

    Benefits to be weighed against transactioncosts

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    Alternative asset classes

    Three main types Absolute return

    Real estate

    Private equity

    Contribute to the portfolio constructionprocess by pushing back the efficient frontier

    Facilitate structuring of truly diversifiedportfolios

    Lack efficient pricing Opportunities for astute active managers

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    Absolute return

    Positions in marketable securities exhibitinglittle correlation with traditional stock andbond movements

    Two types

    Event driven: Depend on the timing of a specificcorporate finance transaction Returns dependent on events rather than on the overall

    stock market

    Value driven: Employ hedged portfolios

    Absolute return depends on active management