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EQUITY DISCOUNT PREMIUM BETWEEN PUBLIC AND PRIVATE COMPANIES IN THE EUROZONE 33
Jaime lvarez y Paula Herrera: Equity discount permium between public and private companies in the EurozonePrima de descuento entre las empresas cotizadas y no cotizadas en la Eurozona
Anlisis Financiero, n. 120. 2012. Pgs.: 33-47
Jaime lvarez* y Paula Herrera**
Equity discount premium betweenpublic and private companies in
the EurozonePrima de descuento entre las empresas cotizadas y
no cotizadas en la Eurozona
ABSTRACTNon-listed firms analyzed by investors show poor firm marketability and financial information. Due to these fac-tors, there is a higher perceived risk and, as a consequence, the private-held firms are sold at a discount over simi-lar listed firms and over firms that generate acceptable levels of financial information within the Euro area. Thispaper concludes that the discount on privately-own companies across industries is economically reasonable andstatistically significant.
Keywords: Equity premium, discount premium, private transactions, Eurozone transactions.JEL Classification: G34, G39
RESUMENEn el anlisis de valoracin de las empresas no cotizadas los inversores potenciales consideran la falta de informa-cin financiera y liquidez. Esto hace que se incremente el riesgo percibido y, por tanto, se generen primasde des-cuento con relacin a las empresas cotizadas y sobre las que se maneja todo tipo de informacin dentro de laEurozona. Este trabajo estudia las transacciones realizadas en diferentes sectores con el resultado de que dicho des-cuento es razonable y estadsticamente significativo.
Palabras Clave: Prima de descuento, transacciones privadas, empresas no cotizadas, transacciones en la ZonaEuro.
Cdigo JEL: G34, G39
Recibido: 20 de junio de 2012 Aceptado: 3 de septiembre de 2012
* Facultad de Ciencias Econmicas y Empresariales. Universidad Complutense de Madrid (Espaa). Contacto: [email protected]** Universidad de los Andes (Colombia).
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ANLISIS FINANCIERO34
Jaime lvarez y Paula Herrera: Equity discount permium between public and private companies in the EurozonePrima de descuento entre las empresas cotizadas y no cotizadas en la Eurozona
Anlisis Financiero, n. 120. 2012. Pgs.: 33-47
1. INTRODUCTION
When valuing assets and investments, investors analyze sev-
eral key factors, like risk, size, liquidity, and interest rates.Nevertheless, the process is more complex when the firm is
not listed, due to a lack of liquidity, company-specific infor-
mation, and, most important, an observable market price. As a
consequence, specific and appropriate valuation methods
should be considered.
This lack of marketability and information make those firms
less interesting to potential investors. Thus, the lower the lev-
el of appeal to investors in a particular stock, the higher the
expected return. As a consequence, these type of firms should
be sold at a discount over similar listed firms.
As the discounted cash flow (DCF) model requires some
parameters not available to the unlisted firm, the analyst
requires a complementary model using estimations through
comparable firms. A well known model to value private com-
panies is the Relative Valuation Method (RVM), which,
besides its simplicity, incorporates some market values. In
this way, the value of an unlisted firm is approximated by the
prices paid for similar firms, after being standardized for per-
formance measures. The accuracy and reliability of the
method is a function of how similar the comparables firms
are. However, there are many factors that affect the decision
to buy or sell stocks of a particular listed firm, differing con-
siderably in terms of value creation (size, earnings, cash
flows, and risk). Accordingly, the valuation process should
take into account these different features.
Many studies, using different measurement methods, provide
evidence of a liquidity discount. Nevertheless, few studies
have tried to estimate the value of a firm based on others non-
standard features besides liquidity. Koeplin et al (2000) tried
to estimate what they called Private Company Discount, just
for the American market. They acknowledge that any private
placement discount should be valued differently than listedfirms. Accordingly, the discount should be associated with
other factors besides liquidity, and thus, taken into account.
One way to find out the private company discount is to calcu-
late the difference between the lower price paid by a closely
held firm, and the price paid by a portfolio of listed firms, both
groups with similar value features.
To examine the Private Company Discount embedded in the
Euro Zone, we compare historical transaction multiples of
privately held companies with transactions multiples of simi-
lar publicly held firms. The values used in the multiples areDeal Equity Value and Deal Enterprise Value against Profit
before and after tax, EBITDA, EBIT, Operating Income,
Total Assets and Shareholders funds.
This article proceeds as follows. Section I presents a literature
review, Section II describes the sample data set, Section III
explains the methodology, Section IV describes and analyzes
the empirical results. Finally, Section V concludes.
I. LITERATURE REVIEW
Potential investors of unlisted firms dont have a direct access
to an observable equity price posted on any platform. If the
investor decides to value a specific private company by com-
paring it to industry-like listed firms, the accuracy of that val-
uation will depend on how similar are both firms in terms of
value characteristics like risk, growth rate, capital structure,
the size and timing of cash flows, and liquidity. However, the
fundamentals of listed companies within a specific industry
may differ considerably, thus a discount may be applied to
account for these differences in characteristics.
The most outstanding characteristic is marketability, meaningthe ease at which an asset could be traded since the market is not
frictionless or free of trading costs. Marketability could be
defined as the degree to which an asset can be converted into
cash quickly with almost no transaction costs (Bajaj et al, 2001).
The estimation of the marketability discount has thoroughly
been studied and measured using different models whose
results differ substantially (Koeplin et al., 2000; Chiming Wu,
2010; Officer, 2006; Bajaj et al, 2001). Other studies (Hibbert
et al, 2009) attempted to estimate a liquidity premium or mar-
ketability discount exclusively. In relative terms it refers to
the price discount or excess return that bears an asset when itis compared against a security with higher level of liquidity,
and with equivalent key characteristics like credit and market
risk, sector of activity, etc. The methods to estimate the mar-
ketability discount could be grouped in i) Pre-IPO approach
ii) restricted stock approach, and iii) comparable acquisitions
approach.
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In the first approach, the discount is estimated by comparing
the Initial Public Offering (IPO) price of a firm with the price
of previous transactions when the firm was private. Emory
(1997) found an average marketability discount of 44%(median of 43%) for transaction prices relative to the IPO
prices, being the average discount steady through the period
1985-1997. Likewise, Williamette Management Associates
estimated an average marketability discount ranging from
32% to 74%.
The Pre-IPO approach has several deficiencies in the estima-
tion of the marketability discount. First, the transactions
before the IPO might differ substantially from the ones
embedded in the IPO itself. Pre-IPO dealings probably are
issued for insiders, like managers or other investors that pro-
vide monitoring or administration services (Damodaran,2002a). Therefore, part of the price discount for private pre-
IPO transactions reflects some type of management compen-
sation for providing those services. Second, only successful
firms or the ones with high expectations of improvement car-
ried the IPO ahead, resulting in sample bias, since unsuccess-
ful firms are not included. Also, changes in the characteristics
of values, and in the macroeconomic environment between
private transactions and IPO dates, affect the prices, and thus
the discount estimation.
The restricted stock approach compares the difference in prices
between market and restricted stocks (common shares not mar-
ketable during a period of time). The lack of liquidity of the
restricted type explains the difference in prices. At Bajaj et al
(2001) is shown a review of 8 authors that estimated the average
marketability discount within a 20% - 30% range, inlcuiding his
own estimation of 22,21%. Silber (1991) reported an average
discount of 33,75% within a -12,7% - 84% range. He suggested
that the discount should not be the same for all types of compa-
nies. Wruck (1989), and Hertzel & Smith (1983) found mean
marketability discounts of 17,6% and 13,5% respectively1.
Nevertheless, the majority of the restricted stock issues are
placed to insiders and accredited investors who typically are
committed to management and monitoring activities of thefirms, thus the discount reflects some compensation for serv-
ices provided and monitoring costs. Additionally, Bajaj et al.
(2001) found significant factors affecting the discount from a
cross-sectional analysis. Those factors were percentage of
shares issued over total shares after issue, business risk meas-
ured by volatility, financial distress, and total income.
The comparable acquisitions approach compares the acquisi-
tion price multiples of private and public held firms. As it was
the case for the other two approaches, the discount reduction
accounts for more factors than just marketability. Koeplin et al(2000) used the following simple approach:
They reported that private targets were, in domestic and for-
eign transactions, significantly smaller in net sales and assets
than their public peers. Furthermore, the cumulative growth
rate for the 3 years before the acquisition was in domestic
transactions higher for private targets than public targets.
They showed that private companies sell at a significant dis-
count based on EBIT and EBITDA2
. In case of domestictransactions, the mean was 28.26% and 20.30% respectively.
For foreign targets, average was 43.87% and 53.85%. As for
sales multiples, the discount was not significant for neither
domestic nor foreign transactions. Keoplin et al. (2000) sug-
gested that to value revenue, different industries follow differ-
ent procedures. Additionally, attempting to control for the dif-
ference in companies characteristics, Koeplin et al. (2000)
estimated regressions separately for domestic and foreign
transactions. The independent variables were size, growth,
industry, and a dummy variable indicating privately / publicly
held. They found that private company discount is still signif-
icant for earnings multiples.
Officer (2006) compared the multiples paid for unlisted tar-
gets3 with portfolios of comparable publicly held firms. The
multiples used were price to equity book value, price to earn-
ings, deal value to EBITDA and deal value to sales. Officer
found that multiples of unlisted firms had an average discount
of 15% -30% relative to the multiples paid to control related
publicly held firms. Although the approach is similar to
Koeplin et al. (2000), Officer attributes the discount to the
lack of liquidity.
Aflaw in the comparable acquisitions approach is that it relies
in the systematic differences in features between private andpublic firms, ie, closely held companies have smaller assets
and revenues, and higher earnings growth rates. Additionally,
Bajaj et al. (2001) show that in contrast to a public transaction
of a comparable firm, private transactions for Pre-IPO, and
restricted stock approaches are acquired by insiders who
receive compensation for services or employment contracts,
EQUITY DISCOUNT PREMIUM BETWEEN PUBLIC AND PRIVATE COMPANIES IN THE EUROZONE 35
Jaime lvarez y Paula Herrera: Equity discount permium between public and private companies in the EurozonePrima de descuento entre las empresas cotizadas y no cotizadas en la Eurozona
Anlisis Financiero, n. 120. 2012. Pgs.: 33-47
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resulting in a reduction of price. Nevertheless, those differ-
ences are not relevant to our case, because the goal is to cap-
ture the total reduction in price of a private held firm com-
pared to a public held one, and where marketability is just oneof the factors accounted for. In fact, applying just a liquidity
discount is only appropriate when valuing firms based on
multiples of comparable transactions.
To value a firm, it is common to use the discount cash flow
(DCF) method along with a comparable multiples approach
(CMA, also called relative valuation), because the market val-
ues similar companies in similar ways. Nevertheless, the DCF
valuation method fits better to publicly held than privately
held companies. This is due mainly to the difficulties to meas-
ure the market risk of unlisted firms and, therefore, their cost
of capital. The less reliable these factors are, the less reliableis also the value of the estimated firm.
There are two main reasons to apply the CMA to our work.
First, the use of this method is quite spread among analysts of
unlisted firms. Three reasons: easy to understand, fewer
explicit assumptions, and the incorporation of the market fac-
tor. According to Damodaran (2002b), relative valuations
yield values that are closer to the market price than DCFs.
Kaplan and Ruback (1996) found that the relative method in
the same industry have lower valuation errors, although the
DCF method provides better reliable value estimations. How-
ever, the value of the firm should be adjusted somehow, since
the characteristics of private and public firms are different.
The second reason to use the CMAinstead of the DCF method
is embedded in the analysis. The DCF method is not very suit-
able to obtain some conclusions based on hundred of firms
across the Euro Zone. Apply the DCF method to so many
firms would generate many drawbacks. This is due to the fact
that there are many variables playing in the field: CF calcula-
tions, expectations, risks, etc., that surely would be a burden
in the process of DCF valuation, generating more noise than
information. The relative valuation method, on the other hand
is more useful and practical, generating less errors, and, there-
fore, easier to identify facts and reach conclusions.
II. THE SAMPLE
The source of the data is Zephyr, a Bureau Van Dijk data base
with information ranging from mergers and acquisitions to
IPOs, private equity, and venture capital transactions, cover-
ing all the European Stock Exchange spectrum, and the targets
represent almost all European countries. The data included
5.881 and 8.827 transactions of public and private held targetsrespectively, from September 1996 to April 2011. The data
was depurated to eliminate all transactions with missing infor-
mation as industry, date and deal type.
The original idea was to estimate private company discounts
based on matching private transaction with public acquisition
within the same country, industry division, and similar time
period. Unfortunately, due to the large private unmatched
transactions, the sample became significantly reduced. For
example, France is the country with more private and listed
transactions, but only 130 pairs fit the conditions. In conse-
quence, the results for each country could fall into a sort of
selection biased, failing to be statistically significant. To over-
come these obstacles, it was decided to analyze the private
company discount for the total Euro Zone instead.
ANLISIS FINANCIERO36
Jaime lvarez y Paula Herrera: Equity discount permium between public and private companies in the EurozonePrima de descuento entre las empresas cotizadas y no cotizadas en la Eurozona
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The sample displayed various categories. As shown in 1, the
deal types can be classified in two groups regarding the con-
trolling interest. Transactions with a controlling interest is just
1.41% of total listed companies while in closely held compa-nies is 63.94%.
We define acquisition following the Zephyr4 as Any deal
where the acquirer ends up with 50% or more of the equity of
the Target is coded as an Acquisition as the Acquirer now has
control of the Target. Even if the acquired stake is very small;
if the final stake is 50% or above the deal is classed as an
Acquisition. The Acquirer has purchased a number of shares
in the Target and the resulting stake held is less than 50%. Be
aware that a stake of only 2% could be classified as an acqui-
sition if the Acquirers overall stake reaches 50% or above.
It could be expected that when new investors buy participa-
tions in unlisted firms, they have the intention to be involved
directly in managing it, or indirectly, in monitoring it. On the
contrary, investors in public, listed firms, usually hold a port-folio of diversified firms, letting managers and board directors
to run the firms.
Thus, when investors are involved in the administration of the
firm, two things could occur: i) the acquired price has taken a
discount to compensate management and/or monitor services;
ii) a premium is paid for acquiring a controlling interest5 and,
therefore, reducing discount on the private company. Follow-
ing these lines, the sample was broken down in two groups
based on transactions ending or not in a controlling interest. (1
and 2).
EQUITY DISCOUNT PREMIUM BETWEEN PUBLIC AND PRIVATE COMPANIES IN THE EUROZONE 37
Jaime lvarez y Paula Herrera: Equity discount permium between public and private companies in the EurozonePrima de descuento entre las empresas cotizadas y no cotizadas en la Eurozona
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All transactions have been sort out following three dimen-
sions: country (Europe), year (1999-2011), and industry (clas-
sified by 2 digit NACE code list). For each dimension, the
number of deals has been further broken down in controlling
or not controlling interest, and private and public transactions
(see Table 2). The appendix shows the results by industry.
Some sectors have been eliminated to accommodate data,
being reduced from 84 to 52 sectors.
As shown in Table 2, these selection criteria reduced the sam-
ple to 83 and 5,310 public transactions, and 950 and 2,342 pri-
vate transactions in controlling and no controlling interest
respectively. Although the sample is significantly reduced
mostly in the controlling interest segment, almost all countries
in the Euro Zone are well covered.
Table 3 reports some statistics on Operating revenue, EBIT-
DA, EBIT, Profit before & after taxes, Total Assets, and
Shareholders Funds for the four variables studied. The mean
and median are higher for public than private companies. In
fact, the mean of the listed firms is statistically different than
the one of the unlisted at a significance level of 1%. The
exception is Total Assets in the controlling interest sample,
where the significance level is 6%. This could be attributed to
a high level of variance for Total Assets, so that the mean plusone standard deviation in private transactions exceeds the
mean for public targets.
Although median and mean are unbiased estimators of the
central tendency, the mean is highly sensitive to extreme out-
liers, whereas the median is hardly sensitive and, therefore, a
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more robust metric. Observing both metrics for all groups,
there is an outstanding difference between them, and this is
factored in the estimation of the private company discount.
Finally, Table 3 shows a large standard deviation for most ofthe variables, indicating a great dispersion from the average.
III. METHODOLOGY
To estimate a liquidity discount for unlisted firms in the Euro
Zone, we developed a method following Koeplin et al. (2000),
and Officer (2006).
Valuation Multiples Used
The main idea is to approximate the value of a firm through
the use of multiples of publicly held comparable firm with
similar growth rates, industry, risk, cash flow generation, and
size. This methodology standardizes the prices paid by trans-
forming them into fundamental measures or value character-
istics of the firm acquired. The ratios or multiples obtained
are then applied to any firm being valued. For example, if the
price paid for a comparable firm B (similar to A) was 100
and the net assets of B were of50, then the multiple price to
net assets for B is 2,00 (100 / 50). Thus, for A who has 25
of net assets, the value is 50 EUR (25 x 2,00), As net assets
x Multiple price to net assets of comparable firm B.
Usually prices are standardized relative to revenues, book val-
ue (such as net assets or stock/equitys book value) and earn-
ings. It is also common in some industries to use additional
specific parameters such as employees, clients, etc., each one
with some advantages and pitfalls (see Mascareas, 2005).
The multiples selected must be precise and accurate in reflect-
ing the essentials of the firm, the cash flow generated by the
firm, with its associated risk, and the growth rate. In other
words, they should be potential measures of value for bothpublic and private firms. However, it is hard to decide the
most appropriate multiples without knowing which specific
firm is going to be valued, and for the purpose of estimating
the private company discount, many measures of performance
should be used, and this is the reason this paper makes use of
all multiples available from Zephyr.
Zephyr defines Deal Equity Value as: If stated, equity value
equals deal value. If not specified, the value equals the value
of shares given and the estimated price per share. Deal Enter-
prise Value: If stated, enterprise value equals deal value. If notspecified, use the following definition: equity value + short
term & long term interest bearing debts cash & equivalents.
When the multiple turns negative, the results have not signifi-
cance. The meaning of each multiple is different due to the
influence that the accounting variables have upon it. P/E mul-
tiples are influenced by the mix debt and equity, or capital
structure because earnings are computed after interest expens-
es and taxes. Price to EBITDA multiples are influenced by
capital intensity, whereas Price to EBIT by depreciation.
Both, nevertheless, are independent of the capital structure.
However, these multiples do not reflect how the firm is con-
trolling costs, and it varies extensively among industries.
Private Company Discount
The mean and median of multiples based on all unlisted firm
transactions were compared to those listed firms under the
same industry and year. In comparison to Koeplin et al.
(2000), who match just one private transaction with a public
comparable company, or Officer (2007), with a portfolio of
comparables, we take a different path. Thus, with the intention
to avoid an excessive sample size reduction and selection bias,
a group of similar public and private firms are compared. Withthe intention to only count multiples that were economically
reasonable, negative parameter values and their associated
multiples were deleted.
The private company discount was estimated by matching
listed and unlisted firms for each of the two controlling seg-
ments, and for every sector, multiple, and year. The discount
was estimated by the following formula (see Koeplin et al,2000):
Hypothesis Tests
We carried out the Student T Test to each multiple of unlist-
ed firms to check if there is a statistical significance in the
EQUITY DISCOUNT PREMIUM BETWEEN PUBLIC AND PRIVATE COMPANIES IN THE EUROZONE 39
Jaime lvarez y Paula Herrera: Equity discount permium between public and private companies in the EurozonePrima de descuento entre las empresas cotizadas y no cotizadas en la Eurozona
Anlisis Financiero, n. 120. 2012. Pgs.: 33-47
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mean estimation. This type of test is used to judge goodness of
the estimator compared to the data in the sample when the
variance is unknown. In other words, to test if the private com-
pany discount is likely to occur by chance or not.
The null hypothesis used for multiple i is:
Ho:mean private equity discount for multiple i=0
In the other hand, the alternative hypothesis is:
Ha:mean private equity discount for multiple i /= 0
Therefore, it is used a two tailed t-test expecting a rejection for
the null hypothesis for a given significance level.
IV. RESULTS & ANALISYS
Table 4 exhibits the mean, median and standard deviation of
deal equity value relative to each fundamental. It can beobserved the difference between means and medians. Medi-
ans are always lower than means in both sample types (con-
trolling and not controlling), but it is even more outstanding
in private firms transactions. Thus, it can be inferred the
presence of high outliers in both samples. In addition, the
standard deviation is usually higher than the mean (some
reach 300%); ie, see deal equity value to EBITDA in the not
controlling interest, and to EBIT in the controlling interest
sample respectively, reinforcing the thought of considerable
outliers in the sample.
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The most outstanding and surprising - fact about table 4 is
that these deal equity value multiples suggest that the private
company discount is instead a premium. In both sample types,
almost all medians and means are higher in privately heldtransaction multiples than in listed firms. Additionally, in pri-
vate firms the standard deviation of multiples is higher. Also,
when a controlling interest is acquired, the mean earnings
multiples are higher than when it is not acquired, but this is not
the case for the median. Also, this result is not as clear for
mean transactions of private firms, although it is for the medi-
an, perhaps, reflecting the presence of outliers in transactions
of private firms since means are more sensitive to them than
medians.
For example, only the mean of deal equity to EBIT is higher
when a controlling interest is acquired. But for the median, the
operating income multiple, and all earnings multiples (EBIT-
DA, EBIT, and profit before and after tax) are higher when apremium is paid for the controlling interest.
The statistics of deal enterprise value multiples are shown in
Table 5. In this case, the sample is smaller because the corre-
sponding data are not available for all transactions. Particular-
ly, the smaller group in deal enterprise value multiples is in the
financial sector.
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Jaime lvarez y Paula Herrera: Equity discount permium between public and private companies in the EurozonePrima de descuento entre las empresas cotizadas y no cotizadas en la Eurozona
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In this case, the statistics show quite similar results. First,
medians are lower than means in both samples, but high stan-
dard deviations, particularly in privately held targets. Second,
in general terms, mean and median multiples are higher in theacquisition of private firms. Third, roughly, all mean multi-
ples are higher when a controlling interest is acquired.
Table 6 shows the estimates of private company discounts for
the Euro Zone. The mean and median are all negative but one.
This conclusion is similar to the one found in our previous
analysis of the multiples for transactions in both sample types:there is no private company discount. Instead, the results sug-
gest a premium.
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Mean discounts are very large although, these cases have notstatistical significance, others have and a premium of this size
is not rational. This issue is addressed afterward.
For the first multiple, the mean private company discounts are
-766% and -626% with median of -22% and -6%, respective-
ly. Mean (median) discounts from deal equity value to EBIT-
DA reach -711% (-40%), and from deal enterprise value mul-tiples 515% (-29%). At last, for total asset multiple, the result-
ing private company discounts have means (medians) of -
726% (-30%) as of deal equity value and -432% (-7%) as of
deal enterprise value. Mean discounts are still very large, but
medians are below 100% though in a wide range and sill neg-
ative.
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Considering the group Without controlling interest, only the
mean discounts of operating revenue, EBIT, and total assets
are statistically significant at 99% level for both, deal equity
and enterprise value. Something similar can be seen in theControlling interest acquired group. But, only deal equity
value multiples to operating revenue and total assets, and deal
enterprise value multiples to profit before and after tax are sta-
tistically significant with confidence level of 99%.
However, for confidence levels of 95% the following mean
discounts are statistically significant: deal equity value multi-
ple to EBITDA, and deal enterprise value multiples to operat-
ing revenue, EBITDA, EBIT and total assets. Regarding
shareholdersfunds multiples; they are significant at a level of
10% in both deal value types.
Comparing both groups across fundamentals (Figure 1), every
mean and median deal equity multiple is higher than its corre-
sponding enterprise equity multiple: thin lines are below their
corresponding thick lines. This is reasonable, given that usu-
ally deal equity value is lower than deal enterprise value.
On the other hand, nothing can be concluded about a lower
discount when a controlling interest is acquired or not. There-
fore, when the stake acquired does not include a controlling
interest, means & medians deal equity and enterprise valuemultiples all have similar patterns. But when a controlling
interest is acquired, then, there is barely any correlation. At
any rate, this is less obvious than in the previous case, and
changes are more variable. Also, the patterns between mean
deal types (for means and medians) are less similar.
As it can be seen in the analysis of targets features (section
II), and in the descriptive statistics of the multiples used, the
fact that mean discounts are extremely larger than median dis-
counts suggests again the presence of large outliers. But, even
though medians are in the negative two digit bracket, there is
no economical reason to think in a premium instead of a dis-count for private equity. An explanation is that this estimation
of the private company discount for the Euro zone does not
have any comparable value within the same country. Instead,
many transactions are compared for many countries with dif-
ferent macro & micro economic features and risk levels. Fur-
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ther, it cannot be ignored the possibility of faulty data and,
therefore, an erroneous estimation of multiples.
With the intention of controlling some of these possible draw-backs, the private company discount was computed again, this
time taking into account only the previously estimated posi-
tive private company discounts for each sector and year.
exhibits the new results.
Although the sample is significantly reduced, all mean private
equity discounts are statistically significant at level of 1% or
5%. As expected, the discounts are positive after acquiring a
controlling interest. Additionally, all means (medians) are in a
range of 37% - 77% (33%-79%), much lower than those pre-
viously found. Since mean and median ranges are quite simi-
lar, then, we could assume that the private company discount
for the euro zone is in that range.
Figure 2 plots the results in Table 7. Mean private equity dis-
counts (Panel A) follow similar patterns between deal types,
but for median discounts, the likeness is beyond doubt. It is
remarkable that, when a controlling interest is acquired, medi-
an discounts (Panel B) of the EBIT multiples are higher than
70%, while median discounts of other multiples are below
64%. Mean discounts with multiples EBIT tend to be higher
for both Panels A & B. This may suggest that when buying a
private firm, the market penalizes more the EBIT multiple.
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V. CONCLUSIONS
The private company discount computed for the Euro Zone is
not economically reasonable. First, a negative private compa-
ny discount suggests a premium over public firms. This goes
against the standard theory of a discount price paid for a firm
with less liquidity, lower size, and higher risk. Second, mean
values are extremely large (reaching a 25,000% premium).
Thus, when applying private equity discounts to transactions
of listed firms, the resulting multiples are very large. For
example, the multiple deal equity value to operating revenue
of a public firm is equal to 3. Applying a discount of -
10.000%, the resulting multiple is 303 (3 x (1-(-10.000%)).This is not a credible multiple for any firm. On the contrary,
median discounts (above -100%) are more reasonable in val-
ue, although they are still negative.
The large values, and the gap between means and medians can
be explained by the presence of large outliers, since the mean
is more sensitive to them. These results can also be attributed
to the fact that this study compares transactions across all
countries in the Euro Zone. In other words, in order to com-
pute the private company discount of a private firm, a one-to-
one comparison between firms in different countries should
be arranged.
When outliers and negative values for mean and median pri-
vate company discounts are left out, then, the discount is eco-
nomically reasonable and statistically significant for all deal
value types and multiples. It was found that mean private
company discounts (medians) range between 37% (33%) and
77% (79%).
Although all countries in the Euro zone use the same curren-
cy, they differ in economic features (business cycle, GDP)
and risk levels. Besides, as we cover many countries across
Europe with different accounting and fiscal systems, there is
the possibility of faulty information and, therefore, miscalcu-
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lation of multiples in the Zephyr s database. Therefore,
these two factors could account for both, the large figures, and
the large percentage of the discount found.
An additional limitation is that those who buy privately held
firms tend to be high ranking officers and private equity funds.
As they provide services like managing and monitoring, part
of the discount reflects the compensation for those services.
And, although this study controls for differences based in the
controlling stake, no significant differences between each
sample type (controlling & not) were found.
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Notes
1.- Quoted in Bajaj, et al. (2001) at 99-100.
2.- EBITDA: earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation & amortization
3.- Officer (2006) defines unlisted targets as stand alone private corpora-
tions, and not listed subsidiaries of publicly held firms.
4.- B u r e a u Va n D i j k . G l o s s a r y . I n Z e phy r Us e r G u i d e .
http://webhelp.bvdep.com/Robo/BIN/Robo.dll?project=ZephyrNeo_E
N&newsess=1 at Deal Classifications. Date of access: May 04, 2011
5.- See Damodaran (2002a) at 1; Bajaj et al. (2001) at 97, and Koeplin et al
(2000) at 95.
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APPENDIX - DEALS AVAILABLE FOR EACH ECONOMIC ACTIVITY. SOME SECTORS HAVE BEEN ELIMINATED TO
ACCOMMODATE DATA
EQUITY DISCOUNT PREMIUM BETWEEN PUBLIC AND PRIVATE COMPANIES IN THE EUROZONE 47
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