+

Voorheesville CSD

Strategic Plan Community ForumSeptember 30, 2015

+Goals of the Strategic Planning Process

Review the current state of the school district

Engage stakeholders in discussion and reflection on strategies for the continuous improvement of the district

Establish the goals and strategies for the Voorheesville School District for the next 5 years (2016-2021)

+Strategic Planning Process Overview

Each month of the school year will have a ‘theme’ – a topic that we will review and discuss regarding the district’s programs

Stakeholder groups will have multiple opportunities to participate and provide feedback – Board of Education Meetings, faculty and staff meetings, community forums

Documents will be posted on the district website so all stakeholders can review the information discussed

In the spring of 2016, a comprehensive report of all the information will be prepared and shared, and goals and strategies for implementation will be developed

The strategic goals and strategies will be adopted by the Board of Education by the end of the school year (June 2016)

+Most Recent District Goals VCSD Goals 2015-16:

The district will create an academic culture of openness and continuous improvement, including continuous teacher development, and high quality instruction across all grade levels.

The district will support student achievement by developing students’ Potential for scholarship, curiousity, critical thinking, and problem-

solving Capacity for independent, self-directed learning Social and emotional growth and well being

The district will enhance communication strategies to engage all community members in student learning.

The District will be faithful stewards of the community’s financial commitment to the children and will be responsible in managing all resources.

+Enrollment Data

We will review student enrollment data for the district from 2000 to 2014

We will draw some inferences from the data presented

The source for this data is the New York State Education Department School Report Cards (this data was originally submitted by VCSD to NYSED) – data is from the fall (early October) of each year

We will also review enrollment projections based on current enrollment and projections from the NYS Rural Schools Association and the Capital District Regional Planning Commission

+VCSD Enrollment 2000-2015

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20141050

1100

1150

1200

1250

1300

1350

1306 13041292

1268 1272 1277

1260

1225 1225

11911207

1194

1170 1174 1168

K-12 Enrollment

+Voorheesville Elementary Enrollment

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

K-5 Enroll-ment

525 505 512 500 513 518 549 537 535 523 530 503 500 495 494

465

475

485

495

505

515

525

535

545

555

Voorheesville K-5 Enrollment 2000 - 2014

ES E

nro

llm

ent

+Voorheesville Middle School Enrollment

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

6-8 Enrollment 351 344 332 299 285 288 280 284 289 290 292 298 287 289 273

25

75

125

175

225

275

325

375

Voorheesville 6-8 Enrollment 2000 - 2014

MS E

nro

llm

ent

+C.A. Bouton High School Enrollment

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

9-12 Enrollment 430 455 448 469 474 471 431 404 401 378 385 393 383 390 401

25

75

125

175

225

275

325

375

425

475

Voorheesville High School Enrollment 2000 - 2014

HS E

nro

llment

+VCSD Enrollment by Grade

Voorheesville High School Enrollment 2000 - 2014

+Indications from the Enrollment Data

Voorheesville School District enrollment has declined 10.6% from 2000 to 2014

VES Enrollment has declined 5.9% from 2000 – 2014 – the least decline of all of our schools

Middle School enrollment has declined 22% over the period of 2000 to 2014 – the steepest decline of our schools

High School enrollment declined 6.7% from 2000 to 2014 – less than the district rate of decline

What projections are available for us to estimate future enrollment?

+Projecting Future Enrollment Trends

We will look first at the community demographic data

We can estimate enrollment for incoming kindergartners

We can promote each grade each year to project future enrollment in each grade

There are inherent unknowns such as

Who will move into and who will move out of the district?

Who will choose private schools?

+Community Population Projection (Capital District Planning)

1990 2000 2010 2020 projected 2030 projected

total population 9139 8626 8648 8797 8987

8350

8450

8550

8650

8750

8850

8950

9050

9150

Total Population Voorheesville and New Scot-land 1990 - 2030

Axis Title

+Population Under Age 5 (historical and projected)

1990 2000 2010 2020 projected 2030 projected

under 5 611 477 414 364 365

50

150

250

350

450

550

650

Voorheesville and New ScotlandPopulation under 5 years old

Axis Title

+VCSD Projected Enrollment (NYS Rural Schools Association)

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Rural Schools Projected 1143 1136 1124 1116 1110 1116

1095

1105

1115

1125

1135

1145

Voorheesville K-12 EnrollmentRural Schools Projection

Tota

l Enro

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ent

+Indications from Enrollment Data

The population of children under 5 years old has declined significantly for the past 25 years, but now appears to be leveling off

The district’s K-12 enrollment is projected to stabilize at just over 1100 students in 2021 (as compared to 1150 in 2015)

The district will experience shifts in enrollment from grade to grade as larger and smaller classes move from one grade to the next

We need a pre-school census to determine more precisely how enrollment shifts will impact the district – we are conducting the preschool census now

+2015 ELA 3-8 Test Data: % of Students at or Above Proficiency

3 4 5 6 7 80

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

V'villeG'landN.ColonieBethlehemNisky

+2015 Math 3-8 Test Data: % of Students at or Above Proficiency

3 4 5 6 7 80

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

V'villeG'landN.ColonieBethlehemNisky

+2015 ELA Grades 3-5 Tests: % of students at Level 4

Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 50

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

NYSVCSDSub Cohort

+2015 ELA Grades 6-8 Tests: % of students at Level 4

Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 80

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

NYSVCSDSub Cohort

+2015 Math Grades 3-5 Tests: % of students at Level 4

Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 50

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

NYSVCSDSub Cohort

+2015 Math Grades 6-8 Tests: % of students at Level 4

Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 80

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

NYSVCSDSub Cohort

+ELA 3-8 Tests Results Trends

Grades 4, 5, 7, & 8 have recently improved performance and moved ahead of the suburban cohort For each of those grades, 10 points or higher

Grades 3 & 6 both showed a decline Gr 6 – 1 year Gr 3 - 2 year decline

+Math 3-8 Tests Trends

With the exception of 1 grade level (8th), all have improved proficiency since the onset of the CC exams

With the exception of one grade level (8th), all are out performing the average of the suburban cohort

Grades 4, 5, 6 are 5 points or higher

+HS Course Enrollment Overview

We will review some of the key course enrollment data at the High School

We will review enrollments in elective classes and some AP courses

We will gain some insight as to the percentage of our students who take challenging courses, and what types of elective courses our students select

+ELA 11 Honors

2008-9 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16

Eng 11H % enroll 0.26 0.25 0.33 0.43 0.35 0.4 0.46 0.4

3%

8%

13%

18%

23%

28%

33%

38%

43%

48%

English 11 Honors Course Enrollment as a % of 11th Grade Enrollment

% o

f gra

de e

nro

lled

+AP English

2008-9 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16

AP English % Enroll 0.18 0.2 0.15 0.26 0.23 0.22 0.29 0.34

3%

8%

13%

18%

23%

28%

33%

38%

AP English Course Enrollment as a % of 12th Grade Enrollment

% o

f gra

de e

nro

lled

+AP US History

2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16

APUSH % Enroll 0.26 0.25 0.33 0.43 0.35 0.4 0.46 0.42

3%

8%

13%

18%

23%

28%

33%

38%

43%

48%

APUSH Course Enrollment as a % of 11th Grade Enrollment

% o

f gra

de e

nro

lled

+HS Art Electives

2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016

Total Art 50 35 62 30 47 81 81

5

15

25

35

45

55

65

75

85

Total Art Enrollment All HS Courses

Art

Enro

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ent

+HS Business Electives

2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2012-2013 2014-2015 2015-2016

All Busi-ness Elec-tives

59 60 71 56 58 58 99 107

10

30

50

70

90

110

Enrollment in All Business Electives

Tota

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+HS Music

2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016

Total Music

282 213 232 203 210 217 246 258

25

75

125

175

225

275

Total Music Enrollment All HS Courses

Tota

l M

usic

Enro

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ent

+HS Technology

2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016

All Tech-nology Courses

229 211 206 196 154 183 194 202

25

75

125

175

225

Total Enrollment All HS Technology Courses

Tota

l Technolo

gy E

nro

llm

ent

+Family and Consumer Science

2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016

FACS Total Enroll-ment

32 30 38 45 40 18 0 31

2.5

7.5

12.5

17.5

22.5

27.5

32.5

37.5

42.5

47.5

FACS Total HS Course Enrollment

FA

CS T

toal Enro

llm

ent

+HS Foreign Language Electives

2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016

Elec-tives in Foreign Lan-guage

100 86 97 87 77 87 82 77

10

30

50

70

90

110

Total Enrollment in Electives in Foreign Language

Ele

cti

ves in F

ore

ign L

anguage

+Indications from HS Elective Enrollments Advanced English Courses - 30% to 40% of our students take AP

or honors courses as replacements for the regular courses

AP Social Studies – 30% to 40% of students take AP courses as replacements for the regular courses

Electives – Music and Technology courses are taken by 200+ students (some of these would be the same student taking multiple courses)

Foreign Language elective enrollments have declined slightly

Art and Business elective enrollments have increased

Family and Consumer Science HS electives are low in enrollment (FACS HS courses were eliminated due to budget cuts in 2014-15)

+Thoughts on Future Middle School and High School Course Offerings If more students in 8th grade were to be accelerated

(particularly in science) and/or could take credit bearing HS courses (e.g., Art and Music), more students could take advanced coursework and more elective courses in High School

What additional elective and advanced courses might we offer to allow students to pursue their interests and to take more advanced offerings?

What electives might be considered for elimination due to low student interest?

Are there High School scheduling changes that might make it easier for students to take challenging elective courses?