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Regional Watch 3 Step User Guide

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DOWNLOAD

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WHY DO WE NEED PASSWORD PROTECTION?Regional Watch contains commercially confidential information from copyrighted sources, which the Market Intelligence Team can only share with Lloyd’s Managing Agents. For this reason, Regional Watch is password-protected.

WHERE CAN YOU GET YOUR PASSWORD FROM?Managing Agents can obtain their password by sending the Market Intelligence Team an email. Please send your email to: marketintelligence@lloyds.com

WHAT DO YOU NEED THE PASSWORD FOR?When accessing Regional Watch you will be prompted to add your password on a pop-up box. After enter the password, the PowerPoint Show will load up. Please note that this may take a short while – depending on the size of the document.

Back To > 3 Step Guide

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WHAT IS THE DASHBOARD FOR?Regional Watch is built as a dashboard, to enable both breadth and depth of intelligence to be quickly accessible. While the level of intelligence on territories differs (as a result of demand and availability of information), the organising principle of all Regional Watch dashboards remains the same.

WHAT IS THE MAIN ORGANISING PRINCIPLE?

HOW CAN YOU GET TO THE DASHBOARDS QUICKLY?All slides contain a link to the MAIN DASHBOARD on the top-right of each slide.

Once you are in a THEMED SECTION, i.e. “Economy”, you can quickly go back to the summary dashboard by clicking the 2nd link on the top-right of each slide.

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Distr ibution Dashboar d

Insur ance Dashboar d

(Re-)Insur er s Dashboar d

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Economy Dashboar d

Pr emium Dashboar d

Macr o Themes

Mar ket Pr emium

Mar ket Pl ayer s

Ll oyd’s

Distr ibut ion

Content

Ll oyd’s Dashboar d

Gl ossar y / Defi nit ions

Links to Info Sour ces

Ll oyd’s Data Limitat ions

Cl ick for Tutor ial

DisclaimerDisclaimer

Cl ick Flag to navigate toContent

ONE MAIN DASHBOARD

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Key Issues to WatchExecutive Summary

> CLICK ANY BOX FOR DETAILSummary

Major export economy with strong SMEsThe modern German state was founded in 1870. After the second world war (1939-1945), Germany was divided into two parts: a liberal parliamentary democracy in the west; and a totalitarian communist regime in the east. Germany was reunified on October 3rd 1990 after the end of the Soviet Union's hegemony in central and eastern Europe.

ECONOMIC OUTLOOK:The current German economic recovery is likely to see a relapse before a sustained upswing starts in late 2010. The German economy experienced an exceptionally sharp drop in GDP of about 6% in fourth-quarter 2008 and first-quarter 2009 that should lead to lagged deterioration of labour-market conditions during 2010.

The encouraging rebound of orders and leading indicator data since the second quarter has recouped only about a third of the preceding plunge, putting matters into perspective. Indeed, still-tightening credit conditions and an unavoidable further increase in unemployment throughout 2010 suggest that the risk of a temporary setback remains high and that a sustained upswing may only develop during 2011.

Global Insight’s January interim forecast predicts GDP growth to recover from -4.8% (-4.9% unadjusted) in 2009—it has since officially been released at a preliminary -5.0%—to 1.5% (1.6%) in 2010.Prospects for 2010 critically depend on whether global demand recovers lastingly and with sufficient magnitude in order to limit a picking up of redundancies.

Market Intelligence based on: Global Insight, “Executive Summary”, (January 2010)

DE: Economy Dashboar d

Back To > Countr y Dashboar d

Str ong Gr owth Sector sEconomic

Map

Wind Ener gy Cl uster

Macr o Context

Popul at ion by r egion

GDP by r egion

Top Companies by r egion

SEVERAL THEMED DASHBOARDS

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DE: Macr oeconomic Context Back To > Economy Dashboar d

Back To > Countr y Dashboar d

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP): 2008 - 2012

GDP in trillion USD (at current prices) in: 2008 – 2012 / NB: fall in 2010 due to exchange rate adjustments as per IMF estimates Source: Market Intelligence based on: IMF, “World Economic Outlook”, (April 2010), http://www.imf.org/;

Bloomberg, German Jobless Drops as Economy Shrugs Off Winter, Greek Crisis”, (April 2010), www.businessweek.com

HIGHLIGHTS

Rising momentum of exports stabilising upturn followed by increased inland demand of the local / national industry (investments).

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*IMF FORECASTS3.7

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2.9%2.5%

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4%German unemployment improvements: The jobless rate fell to 7.8% from 8%.

German manufacturing growth accelerated in April 2010 and business confidence jumped to a two-year high.

However, budget gap is expectedto widen to 5.5% of GDP in 2010.

The recovery in 2010 is expected to be “moderate” with the IMF forecasting a growth of 1.3%.

INTELLIGENCE SLIDES

Back To > Economy Dashboard

Back To > Country Dashboard

1 There is always one MAIN DASHBOARD. These can be

accessed from all slides.

The larger Regional Watch dashboards have several

THEMED DASHBOARDS. These contain summaries of a

particular theme (i.e. Economy, Lloyd’s Business etc.) and links to further INTELLIGENCE SLIDES.

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2 The INTELLIGENCE SLIDES contain

intelligence structured by Themes (i.e. Economy, Lloyd’s Business etc.).

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WHAT ARE THE DOWNLOAD OPTIONS? Regional Watch can be viewed as a PowerPoint Show, which allows the user to navigate though all slides.

HOW CAN YOU MANIPULATE SLIDES? Regional Watch can also be saved as a PowerPoint. This will allow you to copy and manipulate slides.

For you to be able to do this, you need to save the presentation as a PowerPoint (suffix = .ppt NOT .pps)

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Presentation (*.ppt)

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Back To > 3 Step Guide